Championship Week Notebook, and the Final Day of the Regular Season (3/4)

227 teams remain. That includes Utah Valley, who will be on the board due to being a first place finisher in the Great West, BYU who is out of the conference tournament, but still under consideration, and Wichita State, who is out of the conference tournament, but a virtual lock for the NCAA Tournament. Chad Sherwood has, as he always done, but together a list of today’s conference tournament action.

– Three teams punched their tickets yesterday. The final outcomes weren’t surprising, but the games themselves were. Florida Gulf Coast, in their first ever conference tournament, made it to the finals and had a lead at the half over heavily favored Belmont, who had crushed them twice during the regular season. In the end, Belmont was just too much and captured the automatic bid. They will be a dangerous first round opponent for whoever they face. Belmont’s profile isn’t the best and they did stub their toes multiple times throughout the year, but when they play up to their maximum ability they can beat top 25 caliber teams.

– Murray State got a scare from Tennessee State, but hit a game winning shot in the final seconds to win the Ohio Valley and the automatic bid. They really didn’t need the automatic bid, so because they managed to hold on, another bubble team will now make the field.

– VMI, who was just 8-10 on the season, played well for a half, but then UNC Asheville took over in the second half and won the Big South’s automatic bid. They’ll probably end up on the #16 line, but with the MEAC, SWAC and America East champions looking to take three out of four spots in the opening round, they should be able to avoid it and go straight into the round of 64.

– Some really good games yesterday, but again, it was mostly chalk. Georgia State put up a fierce fight against George Mason, but lost in the final seconds. The Colonial now has its top four teams in the semis in Drexel, Old Dominion, VCU and George Mason, and it the automatic bid really is up for grabs. Continue reading

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Bracket Report – Sunday 03.04.12

It’s time for a special edition of the Bracket Report. For the rest of this week, we’ll be starting off every morning with an updated view of the bracket, accounting for the wins and losses of the previous night. Here’s where we stand as of Sunday morning, March 4:

REARRANGING THE ICING: Kansas and Michigan State have landed the third and fourth 1 seeds in our latest bracket. Why not North Carolina? Well, the Tar Heels have worse numbers than Michigan State, almost across the board. And yes, North Carolina has “looked better” in abstract, but that’s been against a significantly weaker ACC — and, frankly, a Duke team that’s highly inconsistent and a bit overrated. if Michigan State loses today to Ohio State, then UNC probably slips by them, but I still think that the Spartans are a better resume choice than North Carolina. Elsewhere, Ohio State falls to eight on the S-curve, so they get plopped into Kentucky’s bracket.

MY FRIEND THE UPSET: Personally, I’m looking forward to some upsets, just to knock the bottom of the bubble out of contention. I’ve chuckled at the TV talking heads talking about Northwestern, Seton Hall, Virginia, and Colorado State being in trouble — folks, they’re all in. The quality of the bubble is so bad that our lower-level play-in game consists of Texas and Arizona, neither of whom should be sniffing the tournament in a normal year. So the thought here is that upsets need to start happening in otherwise one-bid leagues. We lost one of those on Saturday when Murray State held on to win the Ohio Valley Conference. We’ve got another one on the slate today, as Creighton (who’s in regardless) faces off against Illinois State. Haters of bad bubble teams, root vociferously for the Redbirds! There are a few other possibilities – Harvard *might* warrant an at-large (although I doubt it), Long Beach State *might* warrant an at-large (again, doubt it), and…well, that might be it for the smaller conferences. The next chance at knocking out bad bubble teams might be upsets in the Mountain West, A-10, and Conference USA.

LAST FOUR IN/OUT: My last four in were (in order) Seton Hall, St. Joseph’s, Arizona, and Texas. I’m not impressed with any of these teams, but they have a better case than the first four out which are Xavier, Miami, South Florida, and UCF. It’s a very fluid situation, though. Xavier has been in every field I’ve put together so far, but their continued struggles against subpar competition were finally too much to handle. Of the “out” group, I think Xavier’s got the best chance of moving back up. For the curious, the next four out were Oregon, Tennessee, VCU, and Illinois.

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Conference Tournament Viewing Guide 03.04.12

Here is the list of conference tournament games on the schedule for today, together with their available television/webstreaming options.  Please note that I only list webstreams for games without national television coverage, even if a stream may also be available. “Local TV” means that the game does not have full national coverage and you should check your local listings.  (PPV) means that the webstream has a fee.

(all times are eastern)

Sunday, March 4

America East Semifinal:
5:00 PM    (1) Stony Brook vs (4) Albany    espn3.com
7:30 PM    (2) Vermont vs (6) Hartford    espn3.com

Colonial Semifinal:
2:00 PM    (1) Drexel vs (4) Old Dominion    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
4:30 PM    (2) Virginia Commonwealth vs (3) George Mason    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com

Metro Atlantic Semifinal:
2:00 PM    (1) Iona vs (4) Fairfield    espn3.com
4:30 PM    (2) Loyola vs (6) Siena    espn3.com

Missouri Valley Championship:
2:00 PM    (2) Creighton vs (4) Illinois State    CBS

Northeast Semifinal:
12:00 PM    (2) Wagner vs (3) Robert Morris    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Atlantic
6:00 PM    (1) Long Island University vs (5) Quinnipiac    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Atlantic

Southern Semifinal:
6:00 PM    (N1) UNC-Greensboro vs (N3) Western Carolina    Local TV/espn3.com
8:30 PM    (S1) Davidson vs (N2) Elon    Local TV/espn3.com

Summit Quarterfinal:
7:00 PM    (4) Western Illinois vs (5) North Dakota State    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Central
9:30 PM    (3) Oakland vs (6) Southern Utah    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Central

Sun Belt Quarterfinal:
7:00 PM    (1) Middle Tennessee vs (9) Arkansas State    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
7:15 PM    (4) Louisiana-Lafayette vs (5) North Texas    sunbeltsports.org (PPV)
9:30 PM    (2) Arkansas-Little Rock vs (7) Western Kentucky    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
9:45 PM    (3) Denver vs (6) South Alabama    sunbeltsports.org (PPV)

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Championship Week Notebook and Other Highlighted Games (3/3/2012)

-250 teams remain…I think. For a list of all of today’s action, please see Chad’s very informative post below.

-A couple of surprises last night, but nothing to Earth shattering. LMU fell to San Francisco in the WCC quarters. LMU’s profile is nowhere close to being tournament worthy, but they’d played so well down the stretch that I thought they may actually be able to win the conference tournament and capture the automatic bid. Nevertheless, the best they can hope for now is the NIT. The semis of this tournament should be great. San Francisco will face Saint Mary’s, and Gonzaga will face BYU. Some great storylines. San Francisco needs the automatic bid, BYU is on the bubble and could use another big win to feel safe, and Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga potentially facing each other in the finals.

-Florida Gulf Coast University first opened their doors as an institution in 1997. They’ve had athletics for even less time, and have never had a winning season in men’s basketball. Unless they reach the Sweet Sixteen, they won’t this year either, but they do have a shot at making the NCAA Tournament if they can pull off the upset against Belmont. For Belmont, not having to play Mercer at Mercer for the conference championship is a welcome scenario, I’m sure.

-UNC Asheville is at home against VMI for the Big South Championship. VMI isn’t a team that anyone really expected to see in this game. UNCA won both regular season meetings, but by a combined total of just 12 points. It may not be the cakewalk that they’re hoping for, even though VMI finished just 8-10 in league play. Continue reading

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Small Conference Game(s) of the Day 03.03.12

Welcome to the final regular installment of the Small Conference Game of the Day.  While a few conferences will continue their regular season play into Sunday, March 4, those conferences are the ACC, SEC, Big Ten and Pac-12…none of which (other than arguably the Pac-12) qualify as small or mid-major conferences.

For today’s final regular installment, we are going to actually feature three games.  The first two come, of course, from the Ivy League.  Harvard, after pulling out an overtime win last night at Columbia, travels to Cornell (7pm, espn3) while the Penn Quakers host Yale.  The automatic bid can be clinched by Harvard tonight with a victory AND a loss by Penn.  If both teams win or both teams lose, then Penn would need to beat Princeton Tuesday night to force a one game playoff next weekend.  If Penn wins and Harvard loses, Penn would need to beat Princeton on Tuesday night to clinch the bid, while a loss there would force a one game playoff as well.

It is somewhat fitting that Cornell and Princeton, while both eliminated from being able to win the bid, will play a role in determining whether or not Harvard makes the NCAA tournament.  In the past 25+ years, only three teams from the Ivy League have made the Big Dance: Penn, Princeton and Cornell.  In fact, if Harvard is able to make the tournament this year, they will break the longest streak of missing the field for a team that has been in at least one NCAA tournament before.  Their last bid was in 1946!  (and on a side note, they will hand that title off to conference-mate Dartmouth who was last in the field in 1959).

Of course, I mentioned that there were three games that I was featuring tonight.  While the two games in the Ivy are the focus, it is hard to pass up a regular season game that will result in the winner’s season continuing and the loser going home.  The third game for today comes from the Southland Conference where Sam Houston State heads to San Marcos, Texas to take on Texas State.  Only the top 8 teams, regardless of division, qualify for the Southland tournament.  Seven spots in their field have been clinched, but the eighth will be awarded to today’s winner.  As such, today’s game is a de facto playoff game, and worthy of mention in this column as well.

 

 

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Conference Tournament Schedule 03.03.12

Here is the list of conference tournament games on the schedule for today, together with their available television/webstreaming options.  Please note that I only list webstreams for games without national television coverage, even if a stream may also be available. “Local TV” means that the game does not have full national coverage and you should check your local listings.  (PPV) means that the webstream has a fee.

(all times are eastern)

Saturday, March 3

America East Quarterfinal:
12:00 PM    (1) Stony Brook vs (9) Binghamton    americaeast.tv (FREE)
2:30 PM    (4) Albany vs (5) New Hampshire    americaeast.tv (FREE)
6:00 PM    (2) Vermont vs (7) Maine    americaeast.tv (FREE)
8:30 PM    (3) Boston University vs (6) Hartford    americaeast.tv (FREE)

Atlantic Sun Championship:
7:00 PM    (1) Belmont vs (6) Florida Gulf Coast    ESPN2

Big Sky Quarterfinal:
5:00 PM    (4) Eastern Washington vs (5) Idaho State    bigskyconf.com (FREE)
10:00 PM    (3) Portland State vs (6) Montana State    bigskyconf.com (FREE)

Big South Championship:
12:00 PM    (1) UNC-Asheville vs (7) Virginia Military    ESPN2

Colonial Quarterfinal:
12:00 PM    (1) Drexel vs (9) UNC-Wilmington    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
2:30 PM    (4) Old Dominion vs (5) Delaware    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
6:00 PM    (2) Virginia Commonwealth vs (7) Northeastern    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com
8:30 PM    (3) George Mason vs (6) Georgia State    Local TV/Full Court/espn3.com

Horizon Semifinal:
6:00 PM    (2) Cleveland State vs (3) Detroit    espn3.com
8:30 PM    (1) Valparaiso vs (5) Butler    ESPNU

Metro Atlantic Quarterfinal:
2:30 PM    (4) Fairfield vs (5) Rider    espn3.com
5:00 PM    (1) Iona vs (8) Marist    espn3.com
7:30 PM    (2) Loyola vs (7) Niagara    espn3.com
10:00 PM    (3) Manhattan vs (6) Siena    espn3.com

Missouri Valley Semifinal:
2:30 PM    (1) Wichita State vs (4) Illinois State    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Atlantic/espn3.com
5:00 PM    (2) Creighton vs (3) Evansville    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Atlantic/espn3.com

Ohio Valley Championship:
2:00 PM    (1) Murray State vs (2) Tennessee State    ESPN2

Patriot Semifinal:
2:00 PM    (2) Lehigh vs (3) American    CBS Sports Network
4:30 PM    (1) Bucknell vs (5) Lafayette    CBS Sports Network

Southern Quarterfinal:
12:00 PM    (N1) UNC-Greensboro vs (N5) Appalachian State    espn3.com
2:30 PM    (S2) Wofford vs (N3) Western Carolina    espn3.com
6:00 PM    (S1) Davidson vs (S5) Furman    espn3.com
8:30 PM    (N2) Elon vs (S3) Georgia Southern    espn3.com

Summit Quarterfinal:
7:00 PM    (1) Oral Roberts vs (8) IUPU-Fort Wayne    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Central
9:30 PM    (2) South Dakota State vs (7) IUPUI    Local TV/Fox College Sports – Central

Sun Belt First Round:
7:00 PM    (6) South Alabama vs (11) Troy    sunbeltsports.org (PPV)
7:15 PM    (8) Florida Atlantic vs (9) Arkansas State    sunbeltsports.org (PPV)
9:30 PM    (7) Western Kentucky vs (10) Florida International    sunbeltsports.org (PPV)

West Coast Semifinal:
9:00 PM    (1) St. Mary’s vs (5) San Francisco    ESPN2
11:30 PM    (2) Gonzaga vs (3) Brigham Young    ESPN2

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