Joby’s Nitty Gritty Rankings (JNG)

Joby’s Nitty Gritty Rankings Explained

ONCE AGAIN, in 2023 the JNG was the #1 100% Computer-based Metric in predicting the actual NCAA Tournament field IN THE ENTIRE WORLD!

Out of the 10 computer based metrics submitted to bracketmatrix.com; the JNG comes out on top with its best all-time score of 359, matching well-known human bracketologists, such as ESPN’s Joe Lunardi.

SUMMARY: Joby’s Nitty Gritty (JNG) rankings were created as an attempt to quantify the characteristics the selection committee has always stated and shown to be important as key factors in their analysis.  He actually draws from what is known as the “Nitty Gritty Sheet” that the NCAA Selection Committee uses in taking the inputs for the statistics that make up these ratings.  This is why it is known as his Nitty Gritty Ratings.

Soon we will we show a formal seed list gathered from the ratings and submitted to the bracketmatrix.com.

After that list are the ratings for all 363 teams.  Once the season begins, if one wants to eyeball the at-large field, look around the 40th-55th spot.  The gap there allows one to see who is in and who is out.  Similarly the NIT field break can be seen between 75th and 95th.  For fun we added a CBI break about 20 spots later.   In addition, you may see some daily dramatic jumps and drops around the NIT cut line even if a team does not play due to specific requirements and traits taken that subtly change a team’s merits but have a dramatic effect on their profile.

PROJECTED SEED LISTlast updated Sunday March 17 at 4:20pm

SEEDTEAM
 
1Connecticut
1Houston
1Purdue
1North Carolina
2Tennessee
2Iowa State
2Marquette
2Arizona
3Baylor
3Creighton
3Kansas
3Illinois
4Kentucky
4Alabama
4Auburn
4Duke
5BYU
5Wisconsin
5South Carolina
5San Diego State
6Utah State
6Florida
6Texas Tech
6St. Mary’s
7Nevada
7Gonzaga
7Clemson
7Washington State
8Boise State
8Dayton
8Texas
8Nebraska
9TCU
9Colorado State
9Mississippi State
9Northwestern
10Colorado
10New Mexico
10Texas A&M
10Florida Atlantic
10St. John’s
10Michigan State
11Oregon
11Drake
11North Carolina State
11James Madison
12Grand Canyon
12McNeese State
12Duquesne
12UAB
13Yale
13Samford
13College of Charleston
13Vermont
14Morehead State
14Akron
14Oakland
14Colgate
15South Dakota State
15Stetson
15Western Kentucky
15Long Beach State
16Longwood
16Saint Peter’s
16Grambling
16Montana State
16Howard
16Wagner

COMPLETE JNG RATINGS – last updated Sunday March 17 at 4:30pm

RANKFinal RatingConf+/-Ystdy
1Connecticut11.47081279BE12
2Houston11.39496962BXII-11
3Purdue10.95372842BIG3
4North Carolina9.445474734ACC4
5Tennessee8.925748412SEC5
6Iowa State8.375062627BXII28
7Marquette8.238439039BE-16
8Arizona8.120016664P12-17
9Baylor7.529531314BXII9
10Creighton7.174033583BE10
11Kansas7.116150883BXII11
12Illinois6.983091524BIG113
13Kentucky6.768134111SEC-112
14Alabama6.621059685SEC115
15Auburn6.53585341SEC116
16Duke6.451406531ACC-214
17BYU5.619605644BXII118
18Wisconsin5.61829641BIG321
19South Carolina5.513307796SEC19
20San Diego State5.465766224MWC-317
21Utah State5.339784421MWC122
22Florida5.218105827SEC325
23Texas Tech5.168406934BXII-320
24St. Mary’s5.143199656WCC-123
25Nevada4.993045577MWC126
26Gonzaga4.896596079WCC-224
27Clemson4.501509259ACC27
28Washington State4.420041404P1228
29Boise State4.393026882MWC29
30Dayton4.313811362A1030
31Texas4.297526734BXII31
32Nebraska4.17569193BIG234
33TCU4.011538038BXII33
34Colorado State3.994731451MWC-232
35Mississippi State3.908755686SEC237
36Northwestern3.459250679BIG541
37Colorado3.457812993P12239
38New Mexico3.439704014MWC442
39Texas A&M3.374619787SEC746
40Florida Atlantic3.357599036AAC-535
41St. John’s3.309285241BE-338
42Michigan State3.286065774BIG-240
43Oklahoma3.19612445BXII-736
44Oregon3.158272274P12751
45Drake3.067176258MVC45
46North Carolina State3.001969011ACC1056
47Providence2.878556692BE47
48Seton Hall2.806692398BE-444
49Virginia2.761439707ACC-643
50Kansas State2.546410119BXII-248
51James Madison2.528952165SunB960
52Indiana State2.527222555MVC-349
53Ohio State2.463338522BIG255
54Pittsburgh2.440684745ACC-450
55Iowa2.417993638BIG257
56Villanova2.405133753BE-452
57Wake Forest2.394590138ACC-453
58Cincinnati2.340185502BXII58
59Grand Canyon2.327045463WAC59
60Butler2.288595571BE161
61Syracuse2.28316245ACC162
62Utah2.282168924P12163
63UNLV2.088477881MWC164
64Virginia Tech2.068321088ACC165
65Richmond2.049676649A10166
66McNeese State2.029654053SLC369
67Indiana1.911763245BIG67
68Memphis1.848510481AAC68
69VCU1.648684007A10271
70Appalachian State1.611651077SunB70
71Princeton1.604150847IVY-1754
72Duquesne1.501503194A10173
73Loyola-Chicago1.422770777A10174
74Ole Miss1.40705962SEC175
75Central Florida1.297498246BXII176
76Bradley1.248088554MVC177
77LSU1.170886638SEC380
78South Florida1.166359225AAC-672
79Boston College1.151461881ACC79
80UAB1.137219146AAC989
81Washington1.129751885P1281
82Santa Clara1.020912174WCC183
83St. Joseph’s0.984166776A10-182
84Yale0.959085651IVY488
85Minnesota0.925566684BIG85
86Samford0.915709553SoCON-284
87San Francisco0.888890933WCC-186
88Xavier0.873873128BE-187
89Florida State0.783983348ACC291
90St. Bonaventure0.669956665A1090
91UC-Irvine0.653001882BW192
92Cornell0.597987473IVY-1478
93George Mason0.547081713A1093
94SMU0.467530457AAC94
95College of Charleston0.354164558CAA95
96Vermont0.281205734AmE298
97Massachusetts0.264846138A1097
98Northern Iowa0.249802419MVC-296
99Belmont0.181965284MVC99
100Charlotte0.103949132AAC100
101UNC-Wilmington0.014418307CAA101
102North Texas-0.001171719AAC102
103Georgia-0.065432113SEC103
104Morehead State-0.124015621OVC104
105Louisiana Tech-0.13380952CUSA105
106Akron-0.136699634MAC1107
107Oakland-0.16297636HZN-1106
108Penn State-0.218292036BIG108
109Colgate-0.285444717PAT109
110Tarleton-0.292263334WAC110
111Southern Illinois-0.32493292MVC111
112USC-0.374457993P12112
113Maryland-0.383309065BIG113
114Miami-0.514309159ACC114
115Rutgers-0.567355666BIG2117
116High Point-0.617523831BSo2118
117Georgia Tech-0.619891642ACC-1116
118Arkansas-0.633413405SEC-3115
119Bryant-0.653336913AmE119
120UCLA-0.661249154P1210130
121Hofstra-0.664833526CAA2123
122Western Carolina-0.677196898SoCON-1121
123Eastern Washington-0.680674774BSKY-1122
124Texas-Arlington-0.702991487WAC-4120
125Weber State-0.727327763BSKY-1124
126Toledo-0.762922354MAC-1125
127UC-San Diego-0.818075244BW-1126
128Arizona State-0.867039229P123131
129UNC-Greensboro-0.869802612SoCON-2127
130Youngstown State-0.921048421HZN-2128
131Sam Houston State-0.922266135CUSA-2129
132Drexel-0.927989099CAA132
133Montana-0.98301812BSKY133
134Quinnipiac-1.016311578MAAC134
135Chattanooga-1.054992705SoCON135
136South Dakota State-1.07851938SUM136
137Towson-1.088642395CAA137
138Missouri State-1.113606447MVC138
139Seattle-1.120051554WAC139
140UNC-Asheville-1.134615474BSo1141
141Oklahoma State-1.18492615BXII1142
142Massachusetts-Lowell-1.201346179AmE-2140
143Texas A&M-CC-1.244551588SLC143
144Stanford-1.264095576P12144
145Troy-1.311835637SunB145
146Wyoming-1.331790471MWC146
147Stetson-1.359679532ASUN147
148Stony Brook-1.381207629CAA2150
149Lipscomb-1.400564925ASUN149
150California-1.402231469P122152
151Notre Dame-1.411383552ACC-3148
152Western Kentucky-1.431174472CUSA8160
153Stephen F. Austin-1.449924066WAC2155
154Long Beach State-1.456603682BW-1153
155Liberty-1.458222509CUSA1156
156Fort Wayne-1.463869274HZN-2154
157Fairfield-1.489124097MAAC-6151
158Louisiana-1.495735056SunB158
159Oregon State-1.502759114P122161
160Tennessee-Martin-1.548828308OVC2162
161Merrimack-1.578919927NEC2163
162UC-Davis-1.605784944BW-5157
163Norfolk State-1.609868699MEAC-4159
164Nicholls State-1.699467466SLC2166
165Longwood-1.705946309BSo-1164
166Ohio-1.727529194MAC1167
167Wright State-1.754798186HZN1168
168Hawai’i-1.756191041BW-3165
169Southern-1.779778592SWAC1170
170Arkansas State-1.780379111SunB-1169
171Michigan-1.798480501BIG1172
172East Tennessee State-1.817437906SoCON-1171
173Cleveland State-1.859755893HZN173
174Delaware-1.865276512CAA174
175Monmouth-1.868196389CAA1176
176St. Thomas-1.868447083SUM-1175
177Milwaukee-2.007038325HZN177
178St. Peter’s-2.029798667MAAC4182
179West Virginia-2.031296543BXII-1178
180Grambling-2.064900418SWAC10190
181Western Illinois-2.066170843OVC-2179
182Northern Kentucky-2.067578285HZN-2180
183Wofford-2.112263916SoCON-2181
184Little Rock-2.142200912OVC-1183
185San Diego-2.161125813WCC-1184
186Central Michigan-2.200392351MAC3189
187Winthrop-2.24678813BSo-1186
188Central Connecticut-2.248424777NEC-1187
189Green Bay-2.277878069HZN-1188
190Furman-2.323432005SoCON2192
191Northern Colorado-2.324276926BSKY2193
192Davidson-2.3248981A10-7185
193Bowling Green-2.351303849MAC1194
194Austin Peay-2.353764464ASUN2196
195Lamar-2.358855562SLC-4191
196Harvard-2.418697461IVY1197
197Eastern Kentucky-2.442401979ASUN1198
198Marist-2.52374124MAAC1199
199UTEP-2.582155146CUSA-4195
200Vanderbilt-2.634594336SEC3203
201Saint Louis-2.639121835A10-1200
202Cal State-Northridge-2.653311781BW-1201
203Gardner-Webb-2.653962552BSo1204
204North Dakota-2.724755581SUM1205
205Illinois State-2.747406997MVC1206
206Utah Valley-2.79664435WAC2208
207Temple-2.83652805AAC18225
208Tulane-2.88531891AAC1209
209North Carolina Central-2.891818372MEAC-2207
210Evansville-2.916597002MVC210
211Tulsa-2.922208288AAC211
212New Hampshire-3.017633075AmE212
213Kent State-3.02135278MAC-11202
214Wichita State-3.074536351AAC-1213
215Tennessee State-3.130206285OVC-1214
216La Salle-3.130798038A10-1215
217UC-Santa Barbara-3.156699658BW-1216
218Howard-3.302953917MEAC14232
219Portland State-3.30721608BSKY-1218
220Missouri-3.347530825SEC220
221George Washington-3.349178912A10-2219
222East Carolina-3.411512033AAC-1221
223Fresno State-3.465780207MWC-1222
224Texas State-3.545683476SunB-1223
225Georgetown-3.58117291BE-1224
226Texas Southern-3.593726344SWAC-9217
227Southern Miss-3.620836552SunB-1226
228Murray State-3.623107174MVC-1227
229Brown-3.671049108IVY22251
230Mercer-3.698208591SoCON-1229
231Loyola Marymount-3.702660496WCC-3228
232Montana State-3.703731993BSKY-2230
233South Alabama-3.717080053SunB-2231
234Pepperdine-3.752331696WCC-1233
235Kansas City-3.756653062WAC-1234
236Rhode Island-3.76408222A101237
237North Florida-3.772438757ASUN-1236
238Radford-3.77539294BSo-3235
239Fordham-3.781431381A10-1238
240Binghamton-3.802093648AmE-1239
241UC-Riverside-3.814449403BW-1240
242Rider-3.835431777MAAC242
243Florida Gulf Coast-3.854364796ASUN-2241
244California Baptist-3.861431985WAC2246
245Wagner-3.873618735NEC-1244
246Denver-3.876724335SUM-3243
247Columbia-3.887085546IVY1248
248SIU Edwardsville-3.889102998OVC-1247
249Iona-3.895106425MAAC1250
250Abilene Christian-3.898629419WAC2252
251Bethune-Cookman-3.911186266SWAC-2249
252Georgia State-3.926070988SunB1253
253Pennsylvania-3.944259319IVY1254
254Cal State-Fullerton-3.953175757BW-9245
255Illinois-Chicago-3.969401636MVC255
256Northern Illinois-4.047594257MAC1257
257Louisville-4.065266237ACC-1256
258Maine-4.121343913CAA2260
259Air Force-4.145667027MWC-1258
260Niagara-4.157046991MAAC-1259
261Rice-4.198707146AAC3264
262North Alabama-4.204749513ASUN-1261
263American-4.228323317PAT263
264Miami-Ohio-4.234011055MAC1265
265Jacksonville-4.248271224ASUN-3262
266North Dakota State-4.26132777SUM266
267Sacred Heart-4.262546689NEC267
268Alcorn State-4.309317612SWAC268
269Marshall-4.324200137SunB269
270Southeastern Louisiana-4.4136241SLC1271
271Chicago State-4.467069694IND1272
272San Jose State-4.46818555MWC-2270
273Jacksonville State-4.479668542CUSA273
274Queens-4.49548967ASUN274
275Ball State-4.517270236MAC275
276Lehigh-4.549210747PAT276
277Portland-4.557403445WCC2279
278Jackson State-4.557769802SWAC-1277
279Omaha-4.559352201SUM1280
280Canisius-4.560752271MAAC-2278
281Kennesaw State-4.622077913CUSA1282
282Albany-4.653142942AmE2284
283New Mexico State-4.689557519CUSA283
284Bakersfield-4.699628407BW-3281
285Northeastern-4.708411296CAA285
286South Carolina State-4.708667348MEAC286
287Bucknell-4.765673379PAT287
288Eastern Illinois-4.794109029OVC288
289Middle Tennessee-4.820304654CUSA289
290Delaware State-4.893626569MEAC290
291Northern Arizona-4.906487081BSKY291
292Utah Tech-4.935325131WAC1293
293Oral Roberts-4.940191814SUM-1292
294Texas A&M-Commerce-4.97035905SLC294
295Boston University-4.994755064PAT295
296Idaho State-5.002851372BSKY2298
297Le Moyne-5.008089619NEC-1296
298Mount St. Mary’s-5.021749449MAAC-1297
299Alabama State-5.13130392SWAC4303
300Presbyterian-5.136177106BSo300
301Elon-5.137140932CAA-2299
302Texas-San Antonio-5.150415855AAC-1301
303Fairleigh Dickinson-5.156461168NEC-1302
304Arkansas-Pine Bluff-5.201377042SWAC1305
305Western Michigan-5.234336057MAC-1304
306Citadel-5.246672868SoCON306
307Eastern Michigan-5.256508092MAC307
308Southern Utah-5.290006725WAC308
309Campbell-5.294024011CAA309
310Louisiana-Monroe-5.30136019SunB310
311DePaul-5.442038569BE311
312Charleston Southern-5.446184437BSo312
313Navy-5.627436373PAT313
314Georgia Southern-5.691804132SunB1315
315Florida International-5.70526056CUSA-1314
316USC-Upstate-5.75781663BSo316
317Lafayette-5.783235319PAT1318
318UMBC-5.784321062AmE1319
319Morgan State-5.784435363MEAC-2317
320Valparaiso-5.820006287MVC320
321Alabama A&M-5.88561539SWAC321
322Prairie View-5.950807598SWAC322
323South Dakota-5.987591758SUM323
324Idaho-6.02719041BSKY324
325Robert Morris-6.038386453HZN325
326Old Dominion-6.169927502SunB326
327Bellarmine-6.207196253ASUN327
328Coastal Carolina-6.229335871SunB328
329Tennessee Tech-6.29639036OVC329
330Sacramento State-6.313638481BSKY330
331New Orleans-6.340422696SLC331
332Florida A&M-6.396081674SWAC332
333Southern Indiana-6.47482447OVC333
334William & Mary-6.488150162CAA334
335NJIT-6.520963633WAC335
336Holy Cross-6.626210354PAT1337
337Dartmouth-6.636864128IVY-1336
338Maryland-Eastern Shore-6.638540992MEAC338
339Texas-Rio Grande Valley-6.669246123WAC339
340Manhattan-6.710805283MAAC1341
341Houston Baptist-6.737626829SLC1342
342North Carolina A&T-6.738660646CAA-2340
343Central Arkansas-6.748451742ASUN343
344Southeast Missouri State-6.762007337OVC344
345Lindenwood-6.765114239OVC345
346Army West Point-6.824178909PAT346
347Northwestern State-6.860887359SLC347
348St. Francis (PA)-6.874308665NEC348
349Pacific-6.888314265WCC349
350Incarnate Word-7.070011955SLC350
351Loyola-7.075842077PAT351
352Hampton-7.138498804CAA352
353Long Island-7.247141052NEC353
354IUPUI-7.368570423HZN354
355Buffalo-7.39246741MAC355
356Siena-7.7317829MAAC356
357Stonehill-7.918603141NEC357
358Cal Poly-8.100172767BW358
359VMI-8.232840548SoCON359
360Coppin State-8.704939557MEAC360
361Mississippi Valley-8.871639902SWAC361
362Detroit Mercy-9.109414326HZN362

JNG Once Again at the TOP in 2023!

Accuracy of guessing the Committee (among the dozen final published rating systems on the bracketmatrix.com, 62 published on www.Massey.com on March 12, 2023 or used by the section committee itself, i.e. the KPI and RPI)

TOP TEN

1. JNG – 359 – 67 of 68 teams correct, 46 correct seed, 20 within a seed. (missed Nevada)

2. HaslamMetrics – 356– 66 of 68, 46 seeds correct, 20 w/n a seed (missed NC State & Nevada)

3. Bart Torvik T-Rank – 354 –67 of 68, 45 seeds correct, 18 w/n a seed (missed Nevada)

4. Logan 348 – 66 of 68 teams correct, 45 seed correct, 15 w/n a seed (missed Pitt & Arizona State)

5. Team Rankings 339 – 66 of 68, 41 seed correct, 18 w/n a seed (missed Illinois & Pitt)

6. INCC Stats – 331 – 66 of 68, 38 seeds correct, 19 w/n a seed (missed NC State & Pitt)

7. ESPN SOR – 329 – 65 of 68, 39 seeds correct, 17 w/n a seed (missed Utah St, Penn St, & Pitt)

8. Rothman – 323 – 65 of 68, 37 seeds correct, 17 w/n a seed (missed Pitt, Arizona St, & Nevada)

9. Wayward Trends Automative System Bracketology – 321 – 67 of 68, 31 seeds correct 27 w/n a seed (missed Pitt)

10. RAMS – 320 – 65 of 68, 37 seeds correct, 14 w/n a seed (missed Pitt, Arizona St, & Nevada))

Other Ratings of Note

14(tie). Massey – 308 – (missed Mississippi State, Pitt, Arizona St, & Pitt)

33(tie). Donchess Inference (DRatings) – 294 – Uses formula as a baseline for human influenced picks that calculated an impressive 372 on backetmatrix but the strict mathematical basketball formula was lower. (missed Mississippi St, Pitt, Arizona State, & Nevada)

39(tie). Sagarin – 292 – (missed Missouri, Boise St, Mississippi State, Pitt, Arizona St, & Nevada)

47(tie). KenPon – 287 – (missed Missouri, Northwestern, Penn State, NC State, Pitt, & Arizona St)

50(tie). NCAA NET – 285 –(missed Southern California, Penn State, Providence, Mississippi State, Pitt, & Arizona State)

58(tie). BPI – 280 – (missed Missouri, Southern California, Penn State, Utah State, Pitt, Nevada)

63. KPI – 272 – (missed Providence, Mississippi State, Pitt, and Arizona State)

70. Real Time RPI  – 260 – (missed Missouri, Northwestern, Southern California, Penn State, Pitt, & Arizona State)

AP Poll Top 25 – 14 teams exact seed, 9 within 1

Coaches Poll Top 25 – 11 teams exact seed, 11 within 1

JNG CALCULATION METHODOLOGY

The baseline for strength used to be the RPI.  The Committee, rightfully or wrongfully, has now switched to the “NET” formula as the primary baseline to determine what a “good win” or a “bad loss” is.  To determine this distinction the JNG feeds off a weighted matrix that incorporates the “quadrant” system, influenced by fellow HoopsHD contributor Kyle Lamb, and adopted by the Committee in 2018.

Other factors such as high level wins away from home, wins against “the field,” conference leaders, overall records, out of conference SOS, and “recency bias” are all components that comprise the ratings.   The JNG is “advanced” as it recalculates until stabilized.  This is a crucial trait as one of the key criteria, “wins against the ‘at large’ field,” is reliant on the rating system repeatedly recalculating upon itself until the exact number that fits an “at large” field that matches up with potential conference champion spots to create a cut line.  As mentioned earlier, one can see this critical junction in the ratings listed below with a gap in the list, usually in a spot between 45th and 50th in the ratings.  One can use this cut line to easily eyeball a “last 4 in” (above) and “first 4 out” (below) the gap.   A similar gap exists on the chart below for the NIT and CBI cutoffs, typically around 85-95 and 105-115 respectively.

HISTORY:

2015: First year of the JNG and showed immediate promise. When nobody thought UCLA should even get close to a bid, the ratings revealed that they actually were in the thick of the discussion (further proof the ratings are meant to mimic the Committee, NOT evaluate merit in a manner that should be adopted).

2016: JNG claims the top spot among ratings.  The big surprise by the committee was the inclusion of the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and, once again, the JNG called it.

2017: The JNG was perfect and the #1 most accurate rating with a score that rivaled the top human bracketologists. It got all 68 teams correct and 59 of 68 teams within 4 spots of the official seed list released by the Committee. The biggest surprise was not an inclusion but the seeding of Vanderbilt.  Many did not even have the Commodores in the field, but the Committee gave them a 9 seed and 33rd overall mimicking the JNG’s 9 seed and 34th overall.

2018: Second only to the KPI among the published ratings with 66 of 68 teams and 60 teams within 4 spots of the official seed list.  The JNG not only had the slumping Sooners in the field but nailed their 10 seed on the nose.

2019: JNG reclaimed its top spot. 66 of 68 and 59 within 4 of the seed list (58 within 3 and 52 within 2!). St. John’s was such a surprise, only 2 ratings had them even in the field.  The JNG was one of them.  Likewise, Arizona St was only in 6 computer fields, and the JNG was one of them.  Temple was only in the field in 9 ratings, and the JNG once again caught the outlier.  It gets even better considering that Ohio St was one of the 2 “misses” and barely missed the JNG field to UNC-Greensboro.  The Committee said UNC-G was one of the first teams out and nobody else human or computer had UNC-G in or near the field.

2020: Most similar to top bracketologists. As we all know there was no NCAA Tournament in 2020 so there was no absolute measuring stick.  As a general guide though, the JNG was compared to the top human baracketologists on bracketmatrix.com (of a note, the JNG is one of the only a dozen formulas accepted as an entrant on the bracketmatrix.com).  The JNG was easily the closest to the mean.

2021: JNG still in the top spot.  The JNG tied for the top spot with well-respected stat guru Bart Torvik’s T-Rank.  While most bracketologists on the bracketmatrix.com missed the inclusion of Wichita St, the JNG nailed the selection and seed perfectly.  The only miss was the JNG’s 2nd team out (Utah St).

2022: JNG makes giant leap in score. Not only did the JNG keep its spot as top of class among computer projections, but it also beat the majority of human bracketologists on bracketmatrix.com commanding an impressive 352 score.  It was the only computer in the entire world to have Rutgers in its field.  Only 40% of all professional human bracketologists had the Scarlet Knights but the JNG had them in.

2023: JNG on top with highest all time score. The JNG made it 7 out of 8 years as the top computer ratings guessing the Committee.  The JNG’s improvement led to a score of 359.  While most human bracketologists did a simple swap for Princeton’s upset of Yale in the Ivy, the JNG recognized that the Tigers were actually a 15 seed and the Committee agreed.  Compared to other computer programs, the JNG did not punish the ACC at the expense of the MWC, correctly identifying the true traits the Committee sees in a resume, not just efficiency ratings, which can be gamed by preseason scheduling.  As a result, correctly placed every ACC school and every MWC school for seeding purposes.

We will try to update the ratings daily in the morning during the season so you can see the ebb and flow of where teams land.