Bracketology 2016: March Madness Predictions (Version 5.0)

Welcome back to another year of NCAA tourney predictions. Last year HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, including 62 right on the money or within 1 spot of their actual seed. He will spend the next 6 weeks predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday, with new updates each week. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today, and let us know if you agree or disagree in the comments section. To compare how we stack up with other websites, check out: www.bracketmatrix.com.

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Oklahoma (Big 12)
1: North Carolina (ACC)
1: Villanova (Big East)
1: Xavier (Big East)

2: Iowa (Big 10)
2: Kansas (Big 12)
2: Virginia (ACC)
2: Texas A&M (SEC)

3: Iowa State (Big 12)
3: Maryland (Big 10)
3: Oregon (Pac-12)
3: Michigan State (Big 10)

4: West Virginia (Big 12)
4: Miami Florida (ACC)
4: Louisville (ACC)
4: Providence (Big East)

5: Kentucky (SEC)
5: Purdue (Big 10)
5: Dayton (A-10)
5: Baylor (Big 12)

6: Utah (Pac-12)
6: Arizona (Pac-12)
6: USC (Pac-12)
6: Duke (ACC)

7: Texas (Big 12)
7: Indiana (Big 10)
7: Michigan (Big 10)
7: Pitt (ACC)

8: Colorado (Pac-12)
8: Notre Dame (ACC)
8: South Carolina (SEC)
8: Florida (SEC)

9: Wichita State (MVC)
9: California (Pac-12)
9: St. Mary’s (WCC)
9: VCU (A-10)

10: Butler (Big East)
10: St. Joseph’s (A-10)
10: Connecticut (AAC)
10: George Washington (A-10)

11: Texas Tech (Big 12)
11: Syracuse (ACC)
11: Cincinnati (AAC)
11: Washington (Pac-12)
11: Seton Hall (Big East)
11: Florida State (ACC)

12: Valparaiso (Horizon)
12: Monmouth (MAAC)
12: San Diego State (MWC)
12: Arkansas Little-Rock (Sun Belt)

13: Chattanooga (SoCon)
13: UC Irvine (Big West)
13: South Dakota State (Summit)
13: Stony Brook (America East)

14: Hofstra (CAA)
14: Akron (MAC)
14: UAB (CUSA)
14: Yale (Ivy)

15: Belmont (OVC)
15: Texas A&M Corpus-Christi (Southland)
15: North Florida (Atlantic Sun)
15: New Mexico State (WAC)

16: UNC Asheville (Big South)
16: Montana (Big Sky)
16: Bucknell (Patriot)
16: Texas Southern (SWAC)
16: Hampton (MEAC)
16: Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)

CONFERENCE: # OF TEAMS
AAC: 2
America East: 1
ACC: 9
Atlantic Sun: 1
A-10: 4
Big East: 5
Big Sky: 1
Big South: 1
Big 10: 6
Big 12: 7
Big West: 1
CAA: 1
CUSA: 1
Horizon: 1
Ivy: 1
MAAC: 1
MAC: 1
MEAC: 1
MVC: 1
MWC: 1
NEC: 1
OVC: 1
Pac-12: 7
Patriot: 1
SEC: 4
SoCon: 1
Southland: 1
SWAC: 1
Summit: 1
Sun Belt: 1
WCC: 1
WAC: 1

COMMENTS FROM DAVID

Just to reiterate, Jon Teitel is trying to GUESS THE COMMITTEE, and he’s very good at it having guessed 62 out of 68 within one of the actual seed a year ago, which makes him among the most accurate in the nation.

That’s why when I look at this, I’m somewhat horrified….

I don’t understand what Louisville has done to earn a spot on the #4 line.  Compare them to Baylor, who has multiple big wins away from home.  Baylor’s road wins are against better teams than teams Louisville has beaten at home.

I’m not getting Saint Mary’s on the #9 line either for generally the same reasons.  Saint Mary’s has proven that they can beat decent teams at home.  That’s really all they’ve done.  Until they win a road game against either BYU or Gonzaga, I don’t think the committee can consider putting them there.

-I don’t understand George Washington.  Louisville and Saint Mary’s have bloated records, so I can see how a superficial and dimwitted committee could take them.  GW has done….what exactly?

I like seeing Dayton where they are.  I think their paper and their play certainly merits it.  I could make a case that Saint Joseph’s could be a little higher, but can understand why one would guess that the committee would have them on the #10 line.  They have a lot of decent but not great wins.

Indiana hasn’t done all that much more than Saint Joseph’s, but they are in the rankings, and that seems to impress the committee, so I can understand that guess.

And again, why would Texas Tech be anywhere close to the field right now??

Again, I understand he is just guessing the committee, but I’d be very disappointed with some of these selections and seedings if the real committee were to do this.  And, it wouldn’t be the first time I would question their decisions.