Highlighted Games for Saturday, Feb 15th

-FLORIDA AT KENTUCKY (SEC). Florida is playing like a #1 seed, but they need a win like this on the road if they want to end up on the #1 line. Kentucky is solid, but still doesn’t look like a Final Four contender. This would probably be their best win of the season up to this point, though. It should be a good one. On paper, both are fine, but it’s more of a litmus test to see if Florida can win a tough road game and if Kentucky can beat a Final Four caliber team.

-MEMPHIS AT UCONN (American). These are two first ballot teams who could add another big win to their profile.

-SAINT JOSEPH’S AT LA SALLE (Atlantic Ten, Big Five). Saint Joe’s is outside the bubble and needs to put together a string of wins to get themselves into the field. Winning a rivalry game on the road would be a good start. This game has a pivotal feel because a win is a good conference road win, and a loss is another loss to a non-tournament team.

-VIRGINIA AT CLEMSON (ACC). Virginia is playing like they could end up on the #3 line if they can finish 2nd overall in the league. Clemson is still outside the bubble and needs a big push down the stretch.

-IOWA AT PENN STATE (Big Ten). This isn’t the easiest road win in the world, but Iowa is in good shape either way.

-PITTSBURGH AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC). UNC has strung together some wins and appears to be on the right track. This would be another notable win for their profile. Pitt still doesn’t have a win against a team that’s safely inside the bubble.

-TEXAS TECH AT IOWA STATE (Big Twelve). Texas Tech has become one of the more exciting teams in the country, and as far away as they are from making the NCAA Tournament, they can take another big step forward with a win today. Iowa State should be a protected seed so long as they old serve, which means avoiding losses to what appear to be non-tournament teams.

-VCU AT SAINT LOUIS (Atlantic Ten). This is a match-up between what is perhaps the two best teams in the A10. Both are safely in the field, and this would be a quality win for either team.

-OKLAHOMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big Twelve). BEDLAM!!!!!! Oklahoma State is not showing any signs of coming out of their tailspin, and I’m sure Oklahoma has no sympathy for them. This is a high stakes rivalry game for both teams, but especially for Okie State.

-SOUTHERN MISS AT MIDDLE TENNESSEE (Conference USA). There is as four way tie for first place in CUSA, and these are two of the four teams. Southern Miss suffered a bad loss earlier in the week, so if they want any chance at all at landing inside the bubble. they need to finish first and pick up notable road wins such as this one.

-DEPAUL AT PROVIDENCE (Big East). Providence is a bubble team that cannot afford to lose this game.

-UMASS AT GEORGE WASHINGTON (Atlantic Ten). Both these teams are inside the bubble, but UMass is falling fans and GW could use another notable win, so the game does have a pivotal feel to it.

-TOLEDO AT EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC). The more I think about it, the more I believe Toledo will be safely in the field if they win out. Anything less than that and they’re in trouble, though.

-NC STATE AT SYRACUSE (ACC). Syracuse will likely remain unbeaten and continue to be projected as the overall #1 seed.

-HOUSTON AT CINCINNATI (American). Cincinnati shouldn’t have any trouble in this one.

-CALIFORNIA AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve). Cal has become very schizophrenic lately and really needs this road win to help stabilize their profile.

-TCU AT KANSAS (Big Twelve). Kansas shouldn’t have too much trouble rebounding from their loss to K State from earlier in the week.

-XAVIER AT MARQUETTE (Big East). This would be Xavier’s best road win of the season, and really do a lot to increase the value of their NCAA Tournament profile.

-TENNESSEE AT MISSOURI (SEC). Both teams are outside the bubble and really can’t afford to lose this one.

-GREEN BAY AT CLEVELAND STATE (Horizon League). Green Bay cannot afford another loss, and even winning out may not be enough.

-INDIANA AT PURDUE (Big Ten). Indiana is now outside the bubble and needs a few wins just to get back in the conversation. Beating their rival on the road would be a good start.

-SFA AT SAM HOUSTON (Southland). SFA will be on the board if they win out.  See Chad Sherwood’s SCGD here:  https://hoopshd.com/2014/02/15/small-conference-game-of-the-day-february-15-2/

-UTAH AT UCLA (Pac Twelve). UCLA is solid and should be able to hold serve in this one. Utah has just one road win on the season.

-MARYLAND AT DUKE (ACC). This has been a great rivalry in recent years, and this is the last year we’re going to see it. Unfortunately, it appears to be a huge mismatch, so it isn’t likely to go out with a bang. Duke’s team and profile are continuing to improve.

-PRINCETON AT YALE (Ivy League). Yale now controls their own destiny in the Ivy League, and will win the automatic bid if they win out.

-HARVARD AT CORNELL (Ivy League). Harvard is the other team that controls their own destiny. They’re in a first place tie with Yale.

-FORDHAM AT RICHMOND (Atlantic Ten). I thought Richmond was done due to injuries, but they haven’t gone away, and likely won’t have too much trouble winning this one at home.

-NEVADA AT NEW MEXICO (Mountain West). New Mexico will be in good shape so long as they hold serve in games like this.

-STANFORD AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac Twelve). Stanford is on the bubble and really cannot afford to lose to a team as weak as Wazzu.

-KANSAS STATE AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve). Kansas State appears to be safely in the field, but they have been terrible on the road this year. Baylor’s conference record is really hurting their profile and they need to string together some wins just to secure their inclusion.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT TEXAS (Big Twelve). West Virginia is playing really well right now, and can probably end up inside the bubble if they pull off this win. Texas is still safely in the field, but needs to hold serve if they ‘re going to end up as a protected seed.

-OHIO STATE AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten). It’s a road game for Ohio State against a team that won’t make the field.

-BYU AT SAINT MARY’S (West Coast). Both teams are outside the bubble, and need to win out to have any chance at all of getting in.

-LMU AT GONZAGA (West Coast). Gonzaga needs to win out in order to feel safe.

-AIR FORCE AT SAN DIEGO STATE (Mountain West). San Diego State pretty much has not shot at a #1 seed, but should do no worse than the #3 line so long as they hold serve.

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Small Conference Game of the Day – February 15

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN at SAM HOUSTON STATE, 4:45 PM Eastern, espn3

Stephen F. Austin has begun making some noise nationally recently with a gaudy overall record.  Entering play today, the Lumberjacks are 23-2 overall and 12-0 in Southland Conference play.  They are one of seven teams that remain undefeated within their conference.  While a gaudy record like this would normally have a team sniffing at a Top 25 ranking and in contention for an at-large bid should they slip in their conference tournament, SFA’s wins have come against pretty much the weakest competition out there.  In fact, the only top 150 wins that SFA has to date came over Towson and Sam Houston State both at home.  The only real challenge they have had all season was a game back in November at Texas…which they lost 72-62.

Given the weakness of their schedule, today’s trip to Sam Houston State (18-6 overall, 10-2 in conference) is actually SFA’s toughest game of the season to date (and the toughest they will have before postseason play).  The Bearkats are not by any means a great team this year, sitting with a 186 KenPom and a 113 RPI heading into the day.  However, they have opened up a two game lead over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi for second place in the Southland and are the most likely team to knock Stephen F. Austin off.  they will certainly have a chance to do just that today, as well as put themselves back in contention for a regular season title.

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Under the Radar and SCGD – February 14

Tonight’s SCGD is Harvard at Columbia, 7:00 PM Eastern (no TV).  For more discussion about both teams, check out this week’s Under the Radar podcast.  In addition, David and I spend time discussing all of the single-bid conferences, reviewing who we feel will win the league, where they will be seeded, and just how dangerous each team will be in March.  We end with a discussion of the at-large chances for Toledo and for a couple of teams from Conference USA.  All of that plus our Under the Radar Top Ten list and a special preview of the David Griggs Valentine’s Day Special.

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Bracket Roundown: Feb 12th

On this episode, Chad is joined by David and Kyle as they talk about the new rules for building the bracket, particularly how conference match-ups no longer have to be avoided until the Elite Eight.

Instead of ranking the teams as he felt they should be, David and Chad changed things up this week as he tried to guess what he felt the committee would do if the season ended today. Topics that were discussed was whether or not Wichita State would get a #1 seed despite a weak schedule, whether or not Kansas would get a #1 seed despite six losses, where a team like Louisville would land who is high in the rankings, but doesn’t have much of a profile, and whether or not there is room in the field for teams with poor records in conference play, but good profiles other than that.

All that, and more…

Here is Chad Sherwood’s SCGD:  https://hoopshd.com/2014/02/13/small-conference-game-of-the-day-february-13-2/

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Small Conference Game of the Day – February 13

SOUTHERN MISS at UAB, 9:00 PM Eastern, CSS

Assuming that Birmingham melts enough after yesterday’s snowstorm, tonight’s SCGD will be heading there for one of Southern Mississippi’s toughest remaining tests in Conference USA regular season play tonight.  The Golden Eagles enter tonight’s game at 21-3 overall and 8-1 in conference, tied with UTEP for first place.  Our latest bracket projections (check out this week’s Bracket Rundown show which David Griggs will be posting later today) have them at a seed high enough to be in serious at-large consideration should they fail to win the automatic bid.  However, if they want to stay in at-large range they cannot afford any bad losses.  Given their remaining C-USA schedule, pretty much any loss would be arguably a bad one.

On the other side of things, the UAB Blazers at one point this season looked like a serious at-large bid contender.  They had solid wins over Nebraska and North Carolina and a heart-breaking double overtime loss to New Mexico.  Then the calendar flipped to 2014 and the bottom fell out.  Since January 1, UAB has suffered losses to Florida Atlantic, Florida International, North Texas and East Carolina, among others.  Bad loss upon bad loss has destroyed any NCAA tournament chances other than a championship in the C-USA tournament.  The Blazers sit at 14-9 overall but are only 3-6 in conference, all the way down in 11th place.  Finishing below 9th in the conference regular season standings would require UAB to win 5 games in 5 days in the C-USA tournament, a daunting feat that they do not want to be facing.  That makes tonight’s game and every game after it even more important as we head towards March.

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Highlighted Games For Wednesday, Feb 12th

-SYRACUSE AT PITTSBURGH (ACC). Pitt has not beaten a team that appears to be solidly in the field, and has had to sweat out some games against weaker teams. Syracuse is unbeaten, but this would still be one of their better road wins.

-SOUTH FLORIDA AT UCONN (American). UConn should be able to finish the season strong and hold serve on their profile.

-RICHMOND AT DUQUESNE (Atlantic Ten). I don’t think Richmond can overcome the injury and make the dance, but if they do it will mean being able to win games like this.

-GEORGE MASON AT UMASS (Atlantic Ten). UMass’s stock has gone down some, but they’re still a strong team and should be able to win at home tonight.

-GEORGE WASHINGTON AT VCU (Atlantic Ten). This is a great match up between two regional opponents that are both solidly in the field, but who can also still improve their profile. It means something both on and off paper.

BAYLOR AT TCU (Big Twelve). Baylor is just 2-8 in league play. If they can’t finish 8-10 in conference play I think they’re in real trouble.

-OHIO AT TOLEDO (MAC). Chad Sherwood’s SCGD.  See here:  https://hoopshd.com/2014/02/12/small-conference-game-of-the-day-february-12-2/

-PENN STATE AT INDIANA (Big Ten). Indiana simply cannot afford to lose this one.

-VILLANOVA AT DEPAUL (Big East). Nova shouldn’t have any trouble picking up another big conference road win.

-KENTUCKY AT AUBURN (SEC). Kentucky shouldn’t have too much trouble.

-TEXAS TECH AT OKLAHOMA (Big Twelve). Texas Tech has been playing great lately, but they still have a long way to go to even be close to the bubble. Oklahoma has been very tough to beat at home this season and should pick up another conference win tonight.

-DUKE AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC). This is the biggest rivalry in college basketball, but it means something on paper as well. North Carolina seems to have pulled out of their tailspin and the could make a huge statement with a win tonight.

-UCF AT MEMPHIS (American). Memphis is in great shape and should hold serve tonight.

-LSU AT TEXAS A&M (SEC). LSU needs a solid finish if they want to be considered. They have some bad losses on their profile, and have a very small margin for error.

-STANFORD AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve). Stanford could use a solid road win, and a conference win. So, it’s a big game for them.

-NEW MEXICO AT BOISE STATE (Mountain West). New Mexico has been somewhat of a disappointment this year, but they’re still in good shape, and this would be a notable road win on their profile.

-CALIFORNIA AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac Twelve). Cal simply cannot afford to lose this one

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