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Bracket Racket 12/30/2012

Posted on January 4, 2013 by David Griggs

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/crimsoncast/2012/12/31/bracket-racket-123012

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Highlighted Games for Saturday, January 5th

Posted on January 4, 2013 by David Griggs

-OHIO STATE AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten). Illinois is actually the more accomplished team in this match up. Ohio State is still looking for their first notable win. Having said that, Ohio State appears to be every bit as good, if not better, than the Illini. A win like this would go a long way in establishing the Buckeyes.

-GONZAGA AT SANTA CLARA (West Coast). Santa Clara is coming off a loss at Duke, but they are a very good team that needs a notable win on their profile. Beating Gonzaga at home would certainly give them that. If they’re able to win a game like this and avoid bad losses the rest of the way, Santa Clara should be in the discussion. Gonzaga has just one loss and is looking like a protected seed, but this won’t be an easy road game for them to win.

-BUCKNELL AT MISSOURI. I think this is a very good Bucknell team that is an at-large caliber team, but they may be in over their heads today. Having said that, a win for Bucknell would not entirely shock me, and it would really boost the quality of their resume. They need a big win because they won’t have any opportunities in conference play to get them.

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT KANSAS STATE (Big Twelve). This is the conference opener between two good teams who will likely be dancing in March. This would be a good win for whoever pulls it off. Okie State has played in only one true road game and lost, so this would really help out their profile.

-LEHIGH AT VCU. These are two good teams that are somewhat under the radar. Lehigh has a good record, but is nearly out of chances of earning a high quality win. VCU has not lost since playing in the Battle for Atlantis tournament over Thanksgiving. Unlike Lehigh, they’ll have plenty of shots at quality wins as they get into conference play, so if Lehigh wants any sort of consideration at all, they’ll need to win this one.

-PITTSBURGH AT RUTGERS (Big East). Pitt is slightly more tested than Rutgers, but this is still their first true road game. Rutgers has not lost at home. Both need good wins on their profile, and both could use this one.

-INDIANA STATE AT CREIGHTON (Missouri Valley). Creighton continues to look like a protected seed when they play, and are coming off a big road win against Illinois State. Indiana State has potential, but in order to get the attention of the committee they’ll need a win in a game like this.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT MARYLAND (ACC). Maryland has won twelve straight since losing their opener to Kentucky. Virginia Tech has some decent wins, but still has a lot of work to do. This is another game between two teams who have big records, but still need to add quality wins to their profile.

-SETON HALL AT NOTRE DAME (Big East). Another game between two teams with good records, but that need good wins on their profile.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT CINCINNATI (Big East). Cincinnati is coming off a big win at Pitt, and with just one loss on the season appears to be in great shape.

-NC STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC). NC State has just two losses, and one was on the road at Michigan. Maybe I was a little too quick to write them off. I still don’t think they’re anywhere close to the sixth best team, which is where they began the season, but perhaps they are the #16th best. I don’t expect them to have a whole lot of trouble today.

-MIAMI, FL AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC). I really like both these teams. Georgia Tech has looked good, but could really use a win of note on their resume. This is a winnable conference home game that a tournament team should be expected to win so we should learn something about them.

-SAINT BONAVENTURE AT COLORADO STATE. Colorado State is off to a 12-2 start and should be able to make the NCAAs with a strong showing in conference play. Saint Bonaventure is good, but not quite NCAA good.

-GEORGETOWN AT MARQUETTE (Big East). Marquette has a good record, but they need a good win.

-PURDUE AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten). Michigan State is off to a good start, and Purdue is…well…not. The Spartans shouldn’t have too much trouble picking up a conference win at home.

-LMU AT SAINT MARY’S (West Coast). Saint Mary’s has a good record, but their lack of quality wins has given them a small margin for error the rest of the way.

-UTAH AT ARIZONA (Pac Twelve). Arizona is coming off an exciting overtime win against Colorado. They’re unbeaten with a smattering of good wins and shouldn’t be challenged too strongly today.

-WAKE FOREST AT DUKE (ACC). Duke isn’t likely to be challenged very often as they go through ACC play, especially not at home against Wake Forest.

-TEXAS AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve). I think Baylor is a good team, but they really need a strong showing in conference and really can’t afford to lose a game like this at home.

-OKLAHOMA AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big Twelve). West Virginia has not been impressive at all this year, but they are unbeaten at home and we should see an electric crowd in this game for their first ever Big Twelve game. Oklahoma has a decent record, but needs some substance on their profile. A road win today would help.

-FLORIDA STATE AT CLEMSON (ACC). Both of these teams are trying to remain relevant.

-NORTHERN IOWA AT ILLINOIS STATE (Missouri Valley). Illinois State is a very dangerous team, but at 9-5 they still don’t have a resume that is up to NCAA Tournament standards. They must avoid losses to non-tournament teams the rest of the way.

-UAB AT DAYTON. Dayton looks very much like a bubble team right now, and cannot afford to lose at home to non-tournament teams.

-BELMONT AT TENNESSEE TECH (Ohio Valley). If Belmont can win out, they should be in the discussion.

-MURRAY STATE AT SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE (Ohio Valley). Murray’s margin for error is practically zero. They will likely be challenged throughout conference play, especially on the road. SEMO is 6-1 at home so far.

-IDAHO AT UTAH STATE. Utah State has just one loss on the year. We’ve seen this movie before. They’ve run up a big record against a weak schedule, and are always in the discussion, but never a certainty.

-BYU AT SAN FRANCISCO (West Coast). BYU looks like a bubble team and has a very small margin for error.

-NORTH DAKOTA STATE AT UMKC (Summit League). With just three losses on the year, NDSU may get a look at the selection committee if they’re able to win out. Chances are they’ll be favored in all but one of their remaining games.

-MIDDLE TENNESSEE AT SOUTH ALABAMA. MTSU has just four losses, but they don’t have any real quality wins. Still, they should be favored in nearly all their remaining games and if they win out they should get a serious look from the committee.

-STANFORD AT UCLA. I was very quick to write off UCLA, but they don’t look all that bad on paper. A win today gets them to 12-3 overall and keeps them unbeaten in conference.

-BETHUNE COOKMAN AT LSU. As bad as the SEC is, LSU should make quite a bit of noise once they get into conference play. They shouldn’t be challenged in this one today.

-SOUTH CAROLINA STATE AT SOUTH CAROLINA. A win for the Gamecocks will get them to 10-3 going into conference play.

-EASTERN MICHIGAN AT UMASS. UMass hasn’t made a whole lot of noise, but a win will get them to 10-3.

-NEW ORLEANS AT BUTLER. Butler appears to be way undermatched in this one.

-CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD AT UNLV. UNLV remains in good shape and likely won’t be challenged today.

-WALLA WALLA (nonvdiv1) AT BOISE STATE. Boise has just two losses and appears to be an NCAA Tournament caliber team. This is a complete throwaway game, though.

Posted in News and Notes | Tagged big east, Bucknell, gonzaga, illinois, Lehigh, missouri, ohio state, Santa Clara | Comments Off

Highlighted Games for Saturday, Dec 29th

Posted on December 29, 2012 by David Griggs

-KENTUCKY AT LOUISVILLE. This is huge and bitter rivalry game. It’s an out of conference game, but it’s as intense as just about any conference rivalry you’ll come across. Louisville is now back at full strength and is aiming at a #1 seed, whereas Kentucky is just looking for a big win on their profile. Their most notable win to date was the season opener against Maryland, and with the SEC being weak, they’re not going to get too many shots at quality wins in conference down the stretch, so they should have a sense of urgency in this one. The last time these two teams met, it was in the Final Four. There’s not quite as much on the line today, but it is still a big game.

-UNLV AT NORTH CAROLINA. North Carolina is 9-3 on the year, but has no big wins to speak of and could be in some trouble as they head into conference play. UNLV has looked solid, but a road win such as this would help build their resume even more.

-SANTA CLARA AT DUKE. At 11-2, Santa Clara appears to be a solid team and if they could pull the upset it would really cement them onto the national scene. As good as they are, they’re probably way overmatched in this one, though.

-AIR FORCE AT FLORIDA. Air Force is 8-2, but has managed that record against an atrociously weak schedule. If they want to be taken seriously, they need a win in a game like this. It’s also a very big game for Florida who has dropped their last couple of games and suddenly doesn’t appear to have any major wins on their profile.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT BYU. Both of these teams have good records along with a decent win or two, but both have also struggled lately and could use another good solid win on their profile as they head into conference play.

-DAVIDSON AT RICHMOND. This looked like it would be a big game coming into the year, but now it just looks like two teams that are grasping at straws and trying to keep their heads above water.

-XAVIER AT TENNESSEE. Xavier has lost two straight, including a boneheaded loss to Wofford in their last game, and just doesn’t seem to have it this year. Tennessee is a modest 7-3 and is looking to build up their profile. This is the kind of game they really can’t afford to lose.

-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE AT NORTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit League). This is perhaps South Dakota State’s biggest remaining challenge on the year, and if they can win this they stand a very good chance at running the table in the Summit and landing close to, or even inside of, the bubble. North Dakota State is unbeaten at home, and isn’t likely to lose too many of their remaining games, so it would be a notable road win for SDSU.

-EVANSVILLE AT CREIGHTON (Missouri Valley). The conference opener for both teams. Creighton is in good shape to not only make the field, but earn a very good seed, if they can take care of business in conference play.

-GEORGE MASON AT SOUTH FLORIDA. These two teams have put up decent resumes so far, but both still have a lot of work to do. This is a big game for George Mason in particular since they will have limited opportunities in conference.

-LOYOLA, IL AT DEPAUL. This is an intriguing match up between two teams who each have just three losses. Neither have any real big wins and both have a ton of work to do to play their way into the NCAA discussion, but a win today would be a nice start.

-BUTLER AT VANDERBILT. Vandy is 5-5, and quite honestly it’s amazing their record is even that good. Butler is on the road, and at this point only has one true road win, but they shouldn’t have too much trouble in this one.

-AUBURN AT ILLINOIS. This is a rather big mismatch and the Illini shouldn’t have too much trouble winning it.

-BELMONT AT UCF. Both teams are 8-3 and Belmont already has a nice road win at Stanford. If they can pick up another win in this one and then blow through conference play they could land near the bubble.

-WASHINGTON AT CONNECTICUT. Washington is a very modest 8-4 and needs a big win to have any chance at all.

-OHIO AT OKLAHOMA. Ohio, a Sweet Sixteen team from a year ago that returned all their starters, doesn’t have a true road win yet, and would essentially have to win out to get any real consideration for an at-large bid. Oklahoma has been somewhat impressive. A win today gets them to 8-3 and puts them in pretty decent position heading into conference play.

-HARVARD AT CALIFORNIA. A win for Cal gets them to a respectable 9-3, and gives them pretty solid footing heading into conference play.

-VALPARAISO AT MURRAY STATE. At 9-4, Valpo could end up in the RPI top 100, which may be one of the few, if not only, RPI top 100 wins Murray State manages. They lost a big one at Dayton last week and must win this week.

-CENTRAL MICHIGAN AT MICHIGAN. Michigan is unbeaten and should roll through this one.

-UMKC AT KANSAS STATE. Kansas State is in the rankings with some decent wins and shouldn’t have too much trouble winning this one today.

-FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON AT VCU. VCU shouldn’t have too much trouble picking up their seventh straight win and improving to 10-3.

-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL AT MIDDLE TENNESSEE (Sun Belt). A win gets MTSU to 10-3 and if they can run through the Sun Belt I think they’ll get a serious look.

-UTAH STATE AT TX SAN ANTONIO. They’ve done it against a weak schedule, but Utah State only has one loss and should get a look if they can avoid stubbing their toes.

-DENVER AT LOUISIANA TECH (WAC). LA Tech enters conference play with a 9-3 record and although they don’t have quality wins, they should be in okay shape if they’re able to blow through the league. That would also mean blowing through Utah State.

-FORDHAM AT GEORGIA TECH. As someone who really dogged Georgia Tech early, I’m actually starting to like this team. A win gets them to 9-2.

-TOWSON AT OREGON STATE. A win for Oregon State improves them to 10-2.

-CHICAGO STATE AT OHIO STATE. Ohio State should sleepwalk and still be able to win this one.

-DELAWARE STATE AT MARYLAND. Maryland hasn’t lost since the season opener against Kentucky and shouldn’t have any trouble winning today.

-WESTERN MICHIGAN AT NC STATE. NC State continues to play well and can improve to 10-2 with a win.

-HARTFORD AT COLORADO. A win gets the Buffs to 10-2.

-ALCORN STATE AT SYRACUSE. The Orange have just one loss on the year and shouldn’t have any trouble today.

-LA SALLE AT SIENA. With just two losses, La Salle could be a dark horse in the Atlantic Ten. People are so used to them being bad that no one has started paying attention to them yet.

-COPPIN STATE AT ARIZONA STATE. Arizona State is largely untested, but a win gets them to 11-2.

-BRYANT AT LEHIGH. A win for the Mountainhawks gets them to 10-2.

-SAMFORD AT WISCONSIN. Wiscy has a lot of work to do. A win in this game gets them to 9-4.

-PRESBYTERIAN AT SOUTH CAROLINA. A win will get SC to 9-3, but they’ve racked up that record against a weak schedule.

-NC CENTRAL AT MARQUETTE. A win for Marquette gets them to 9-3, but they’re struggling when it comes to big wins.

Griggs

Posted in News and Notes | Tagged duke, kentucky, louisville, NCAA Basketball, Santa Clara, South Dakota State | Comments Off

Griggs’s Seed List/S Curve “Rankings” (Thurs, Dec 27th

Posted on December 27, 2012 by David Griggs

-The rankings are very scattershot and very loosely put together. This is more about getting in the habit of evaluating teams than it is giving precise and accurate rankings for this point in time. All of the data is very incomplete, so it is a fool’s errand to be overly concerned about precision at this point in time.

-Duke is by far the most accomplished team. I’m not convinced that they’re the best team, but they are without question the most accomplished team.

-Louisville’s only loss is to Duke, and it was without Deng, who is now back, but they still don’t have nearly as much in the way of quality wins as some of the teams ahead of them.

-Ohio State currently does not have a top 100 win, which is why they are currently much lower than what their national ranking indicates. Obviously, if they’re as good as their ranking, they’ll prove it in conference play and move up the seed list.

-Memphis doesn’t have any quality wins either, and although they will likely coast through Conference USA, they won’t get a chance to really boost their resume. They didn’t like their seed last year, and may not like it again this year, if they get in at all.

-Kentucky, at this moment, has no big wins. Their best win was in the opener against Maryland, and although that is currently Maryland’s only loss, it’s hard to say whether or not that’s a win that indicates they belong on the top three or four lines. With a weakened SEC, they’re running out of chances.

-Florida is a good team, but with losses to Kansas State and to Arizona, suddenly they’re looking a little thin in regards to quality wins.

-The Mountain West is good again. It is currently second in overall conference RPI (albeit it is still early) and has the second overall winning percentage (78.4%) behind the Big East (82.0%). The league sent four teams last year, which was half of its lineup. Expect that many, or more to get in this year. Seven teams have just two losses or fewer, and the only team that isn’t way above .500 is Fresno State, who is 4-7.

-Bucknell has one bad loss, but it is their only loss. They’ve got a smattering of decent wins, but aren’t getting much love. If they run through the Patriot League, you have to consider them as an at-large.

-South Dakota State earns the award for the most scattershot profile of the year, at least at this point. They have four losses, but they were without Nate Wolters for a few of those. However, for their loss against Hofstra, which is probably the worst loss of anyone who is currently on this list as an at-large contender, they had him. They also have a win at New Mexico, which is one of the more impressive road wins anyone has managed this season. So, they have a very good win, a horrific loss, and were without their best player for a spell. Good luck digesting that.

-Murray State is in trouble. Their loss at Dayton was their last best shot at a good win. Winning at Dayton doesn’t completely knock your socks off and scream #1 seed, but it does perhaps scream bubble, and that was Murray’s last chance. Other than Belmont, it doesn’t appear as though they’ll face another top 100 team, and if Western KY drops out of the RPI top 100, which they very easily could, they could end the regular season without an RPI top 100 win.

-Georgia Tech does is low on the list, but they are a good team that I believe is capable of competing with most of the ACC. That’s a commentary on how bad the ACC is just as much as it is on how good Georgia Tech is, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them play their way into the discussion.

Projected conference champions are current first place teams, or teams that appear to be the most deserving among those that are tied for first, and are indicated by ALL CAPS.

1. DUKE
2. MICHIGAN
3. KANSAS
4. Illinois
5. LOUISVILLE
6. BUTLER
7. Syracuse
8. Indiana
9. Arizona
10. CREIGHTON
11. MISSOURI (SEC)
12. GONZAGA
13. Colorado
14. UNLV
15. Oklahoma State
16. Georgetown
17. NC State
18. Florida
19. Temple
20. Wichita State
21. Minnesota
22. Cincinnati
23. Michigan State
24. Miami, FL
25. Ohio State
26. Vcu
27. Baylor
28. Notre Dame
29. Boise State
30. Pittsburgh
31. Oregon
32. Wyoming
33. New Mexico
34. San Diego State
35. Kansas State
36. BUCKNELL
37. North Carolina
38. Tennessee
39. Illinois State
40. Dayton
41. STEPHEN F AUSTIN
42. BELMONT
43. Kentucky
44. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
45. UTAH STATE
46. Iowa
47. Iowa State
48. CANISIUS
49. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
50. Charlotte
51. Byu
52. Maryland
53. ILLINOIS CHICAGO
54. Oklahoma
55. Murray State
56. Xavier
57. Ucla
58. SOUTHERN MISS
59. DAVIDSON
60. KENT STATE
61. GEORGE MASON
62. Louisiana Tech
63. La Salle
64. California
65. Colorado State
66. Lsu
67. ROBERT MORRIS
68. Stanford
69. Saint Mary’s
70. WEBER STATE
71. Lehigh
72. Arizona State
73. Saint Louis
74. Georgia Tech
75. Indiana State
76. North Dakota State
77. UMass
78. Seton Hall
79. STONY BROOK
80. HARVARD
81. CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
82. GARDNER WEBB
83. Nebraska
84. FLORIDA GULF COAST
85. NORFOLK STATE
86. PRARIE VIEW

Posted in News and Notes | Tagged bracketology, duke, kentucky, louisville, memphis, New Mexico, South Dakota State | Comments Off

Automatic Bid Primer

Posted on December 23, 2012 by Chad

As we head into the start of regular season conference play in the next few weeks, it is time to start thinking about the Field of 68 teams for the NCAA Tournament. 31 of those teams are the automatic qualifiers from the 32 conferences (the Great West does not receive an automatic bid). Here is a quick primer on which teams will be competing for these 31 Automatic Bids:

AMERICA EAST: While the conference has 9 teams, Boston University is ineligible for the conference tournament due to their announcement that they are leaving the league at the end of the season, though they are eligible for at-large selection. The other 8 teams will all qualify into the conference tournament.

ACC: All 12 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

ATLANTIC SUN: Northern Kentucky is in its first of four years transitioning to Division I and is ineligible for both the NCAA tournament as well as the conference tournament. Of the remaining 9 eligible teams, the top 8 qualify into the conference tournament field.

ATLANTIC TEN: While the conference has expanded to 16 teams this season, the conference tournament field remains at 12, meaning the bottom 4 teams will be eliminated.

BIG 12: All 10 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

BIG EAST: Connecticut is ineligible due to their postseason ban. The remaining 14 teams all qualify for the conference tournament.

BIG SKY: This conference expanded out to 11 members this season, with the top 7 teams qualifying for the conference tournament. The bottom 4 teams will be eliminated.

BIG SOUTH: All 12 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

BIG TEN: All 12 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

BIG WEST: UC-Riverside is ineligible due to a postseason ban. Of the remaining 9 members, the top 8 qualify into the conference tournament.

COLONIAL: While the conference has 11 members, Towson and UNC-Wilmington are both ineligible due to postseason bans. In addition, Old Dominion and Georgia State have announced their intention to leave the conference after this season and are therefore barred from the conference tournament (though Old Dominion and Georgia state are both eligible for at-large selection into the NCAA tournament). This leaves 7 teams eligible for the automatic bid, all of whom will be in the conference tournament.

CONFERENCE USA: Central Florida is ineligible for postseason play and will not participate. The 11 remaining members all qualify for the conference tournament.

GREAT WEST: All 5 members of this conference qualify for its tournament, though this league does not have an automatic bid (though the 5 members are eligible for at-large bids). 2013 will be the final season for the Great West as all members other than NJIT have already accepted invitations to other conferences starting next season.

HORIZON: All 9 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

IVY: The Ivy League does not have a conference tournament. Its automatic bid is awarded to the regular season champion. In the event of a tie for first place, a single elimination playoff will take place between all teams tied for first to determine the winner of the automatic bid.

METRO ATLANTIC: All 10 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

MID-AMERICAN: Toledo is ineligible due to a postseason ban. The remaining 11 teams all qualify for the conference tournament.

MEAC: All 13 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

MISSOURI VALLEY: All 10 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

MOUNTAIN WEST: All 9 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

NORTHEAST: The top 8 finishers in this 12 team league qualify for the conference tournament, while the bottom 4 teams are eliminated.

OHIO VALLEY: Jacksonville State is ineligible due to a postseason ban. Of the remaining 11 teams, the top 8 finishers qualify for the conference tournament.

PAC TWELVE: All 12 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

PATRIOT: All 8 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

SEC: All 14 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

SOUTHERN: All 12 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

SOUTHLAND: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is ineligible due to a postseason ban. Of the remaining 9 teams, the top 8 qualify for the conference tournament, while the last place team is eliminated.

SWAC: Mississippi Valley State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Texas Southern are all ineligible due to postseason bans. The remaining 7 teams all qualify for the conference tournament.

SUMMIT: Nebraska-Omaha is in its second of four years transitioning up to Division I and as such is ineligible for postseason play and the conference tournament. The remaining 8 teams all qualify for the conference tournament.

SUN BELT: All 11 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

WEST COAST: All 9 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

WAC: All 10 teams qualify for the conference tournament.

INDEPENDENTS: While there is no conference tournament for the 2 independents (Cal State-Bakersfield and New Orleans), they are both technically eligible for at-large selection.

Posted in Bracketology, News and Notes | 2 Comments

Highlighted Games for Saturday, December 22nd

Posted on December 22, 2012 by David Griggs

-KANSAS AT OHIO STATE. This is a showcase game between two teams that could end up as #1 seeds. Kansas has a loss to Michigan State, but they have been absolutely blowing out people lately. They haven’t beaten any heavyweights, but Belmont and Richmond are decent teams, and Kansas just clobbered them. It should be an electric atmosphere in Columbus today as these two go at it.

-ILLINOIS VS MISSOURI (Braggin’ Rights!!). It’s one of the bigger and better out of conference rivalries, and it is seemingly always an exciting game. This year, the only loss between the two teams is Missouri’s loss to Louisville back in November. Both teams are ranked, both are playing for a shot at a good seed, and both are looking for a quality win away from home. Oh yea, and both are looking for the bragging rights.

-FLORIDA VS KANSAS STATE. This game is being played in Kansas City. Florida is looking to rebound from what would have been a big win at Arizona had they not folded in the final minute of each half. K State could use a big win on their profile as well.

-TEMPLE VS SYRACUSE. Temple is coming off a loss to a Canisius team that has been a surprise this year and is looking to rebound from that. The Owls got off to a great start, but they’ve struggled a little lately. Syracuse continues to look like a #1 seed whenever they play.

-MURRAY STATE AT DAYTON. Dayton will be at home, but they will be without Kevin Dillard. It’s one of Murray State’s toughest remaining games, and with so few opportunities to impress the selection committee, their margin for error is small. It’s not a win that will blow the committee away, but it is likely to be one of the better wins on their profile if they pull it off.

-LSU AT MARQUETTE. Both teams have respectable records and are looking to build their resume. This is a chance for us to learn something about both teams. LSU lost badly at Boise State, which up until now has been their only real test of the season. Marquette’s record is good, but they don’t have any huge wins yet and are coming off a somewhat surprising loss to Green Bay.

-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE AT NEW MEXICO. New Mexico is unbeaten and appears to be playing for a protected seed. South Dakota State is back at full strength, and if they want any shot at all at being considered for an at-large bid then they need a win like this on their profile.

-SAINT BONAVENTURE AT NC STATE. Saint Bonaventure has not played well on the road so far, and needs some big road wins if they want to get the committee’s attention. NC State hasn’t looked like the #6 team in the country, which is where they were ranked to start the year, but they do have just two losses and are unbeaten at home.

-BRADLEY AT VIRGINIA TECH. Both teams are 8-2 and could use a good win.

-LOUISVILLE VS WESTERN KENTUCKY. This game is being played down in Nashville. It is somewhat of a rivalry game. WKU has played them tough, and even beaten them in the past when it appeared that Louisville was the superior team, so it will be interesting to see how it goes tonight.

-SOUTHERN MISS AT WICHITA STATE. Southern Miss has a good record, but isn’t nearly as proven as Wichita is. Like a lot of MVC teams, they have a good record with some good wins and are set up nicely to make the NCAAs if they can do well in conference.

-EVANSVILLE AT BUTLER. Butler is having a big year. Evansville has been respectable, and it is somewhat of a rivalry game, but they’re nowhere near as accomplished as Butler is at this point in time.

-TEXAS AT MICHIGAN STATE. Texas has played away from home, but this is their first true road game of the year. They need some big wins at some point if they want to be taken seriously. Right now, the loss to Chaminade is still a very big black mark.

-FLORIDA STATE AT CHARLOTTE. Florida State has talent and should be better, but right now they’re just 6-4 and don’t have much in the way of impressiveness on their profile. Charlotte is off to a good 11-1 start, but still hasn’t had too many tests, so it’s an important game for them as well. They do have some enthusiasm around their program, and beating a team like Florida State at home will help them build on that.

-PRINCETON AT BUCKNELL. I keep insisting that Bucknell is an NCAA Tournament caliber team. A win gets them to 12-1, but almost no one has noticed them or acknowledged them.

-CANISIUS AT UNLV. With just two losses on the year and a win over Temple, Canisius has a chance to really make a name for themselves. UNLV is good, but they haven’t always looked as good as their talent indicates they should be, and perhaps they need to be on upset alert in this one.

-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT UTAH STATE. Another game that is under the radar, but could turn out to be very important. Utah State has just one loss on the year, and Southern Illinois comes in with a decent record.

-OLE MISS AT INDIANA STATE. Both teams have potential, and both have good records, but both need quality wins on their resume.

-MARSHALL AT KENTUCKY. Marshall has been somewhat underwhelming this year. Kentucky has three losses, but has looked solid lately and should be able to get it done at home.

-WRIGHT STATE AT CINCINNATI. Cincinnati can get to 12-0 with a win. Wright State is a modest 8-3, which is much better than what was expected out of them, but they appear to be way overmatched today.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT SAN FRANCISCO. San Francisco is a modest 5-4, but has just lost one game at home, so it won’t be a cakewalk for SDSU.

-EAST CAROLINA AT UMASS. Both teams have respectable records, but neither team appears to have a whole lot of strength on their resumes, and could really use this win today.

-VIRGINIA VS OLD DOMINION. Old Dominion is shockingly bad at 1-10 this year, which makes this in-state match up a lot less appealing than it originally looked like it would be when it was scheduled. A win gets the Cavs to 10-2.

-WOFFORD AT XAVIER. Xavier has a nice win against Butler and no real bad losses other than Vanderbilt. They cannot afford to lose games such as this one if they want to remain in the discussion, though.

-RICHMOND AT GEORGE MASON. After getting stomped by Kansas, it is hard to say whether or not Richmond is good enough to build the resume they need. These are two teams that have looked good at times, but still have a lot of work to do.

-ARIZONA STATE AT TEXAS TECH. Arizona State is 9-2 on the year, but this is their first true road game.

-SAN DIEGO AT OREGON STATE. A win gets the Beavers to 9-2.

-ILLINOIS CHICAGO AT MIAMI, OH. A win gets UIC to 10-2. They should make quite a bit of noise in the Horizon League and are worth paying attention to.

-AMERICAN AT GEORGETOWN. Two DC teams going at it, but Georgetown is clearly superior.

-AUSTIN PEAY AT ILLINOIS STATE. A win for Illinois State gets them to 9-3. A strong showing in conference should get them in a good position.

-TENNESSEE TECH AT OKLAHOMA STATE. Oklahoma State can get to 10-1 with a win.

-MCNEESE STATE AT NORTH CAROLINA. A win gets the Heels to 9-3.

-COPPIN STATE AT IOWA. The Hawkeyes are off to a good start and can get to 11-2 with a win. Their real tests will come during conference play, though.

-ARIZONA VS EAST TENNESSEE STATE (Diamond Head Classic). Arizona could be tested in this tournament, but not today.

-MIAMI, FL AT HAWAII (Diamond Head Classic). Hawaii is tough to beat at home, and Miami has just one loss on the year, along with some pretty good wins, so this game is worth tuning in to.

-UMBC AT DEPAUL. I don’t know how long this will last, but a win will get DePaul to a very respectable 9-3.

-HOUSTON BAPTIST AT OREGON. A win gets the Ducks to 10-2.

-LMU AT SAINT LOUIS. A win gets the Billikins to a respectable 8-3.

-THE CITADEL AT GEORGIA TECH. I wasn’t big on Georgia Tech at all, but a win gets them to 8-2 on the year, and they have looked solid when I’ve watched them play.

-LAFAYETTE AT MINNESOTA. A win gets the Gophers to 12-1.