Hoops HD Bracket Rundown – Feb 29th

NOTE:  This broadcast was recorded at 10pm, est on Thursday, February 29th.  No games that went final after that, particularly Gonzaga vs San Francisco, were considered when creating this bracket

Chad and the panel build a seedlist line by line and debate, discuss, and assess, and sometimes strongly argue about each team as they go.  Find out who they have on the #1 lines so far, who is safely in, who still has work to do, and who on the bubble just made it in and just missed it.

Below is a final copy of The Bracket, but don’t look at it until you’ve watched the show!!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Feb 29th

HOOPS HD SURVIVAL BOARD WATCH (CLICK HERE to see the whole board):

– AMERICA EAST: NJIT will be eliminated with a loss at home to UMBC or wins by both Albany (vs New Hampshire) and Binghamton (vs Maine)

– OHIO VALLEY: Southeast Missouri is eliminated with a loss at Morehead State, or a Southern Indiana win (vs Lindenwood), or a Tennessee Tech win (at Tennessee-Martin)

CONFERENCE TITLE CLINCHING SCENARIOS:

– AMERICA EAST: Vermont has already clinched a share of the title, the will win outright with a UMASS-Lowell loss tonight

– WEST COAST: St. Mary’s has already clinched a share of the WCC title and wins it outright with a win tonight or a Gonzaga loss

– NORTHEAST: Merrimack clinches with a win and a Central Conn. State Loss

– COASTAL ATHLETIC : Charleston has already clinched a share and wins it outright with a win tonight

– BIG SKY: Eastern Washington clinches with a win and a Northern Colorado Loss

– SUMMIT: South Dakota State clinches with a win tonight 

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For the season finale of our UNDER THE RADAR Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Tennessee and Auburn battled it out in Knoxville last night with Tennessee pulling out the big 92-84 win. Both teams are likely protected seeds and Tennessee is possibly within reach of a #1 seed. They also remain atop the SEC standings in a tie with Alabama. Speaking of the Tide…

-Alabama bounced back from their loss at Kentucky with a relly nice 103-88 win at Ole Miss. They look to be heading toward a protected seed if they can continue to hold serve.

-Providence is squarely on the bubble, and a win a Marquette could have skyrocketed them up the seedlist. They did not win at Marquette. Oh, no they did not. They were down 27-4 early and were never in the game at any point losing 91-69.

-South Carolina got a battle on the road against a Texas A&M team that desperately needed the win, but held on to win 70-68. South Carolina is knocking on the door of a protected seed whereas TAMU is falling further and further out of the picture.

-Northwestern picked up another true road win, which is their 4th of the year, as they knocked off Maryland 68-61. Their tournament profile is looking very solid right now.

-Butler has had a much better season than expected, and as recently as a week ago I was liking their chances to make the NCAA Tournament, but they were blown off their own court by a less than stellar Saint John’s team last night 82-59, and I just don’t think the Bulldogs are an NCAA team just yet. As a program they are definitely going in the right direction, and Thad Matta has done an outstanding job overall since taking over.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-NEBRASAKA AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten). Nebraska is just 2-7 in true road games, and they could really use another one to help strengthen their tournament profile. Ohio State has had an unspectacular year, but they’ve come to life lately with wins over Purdue and Michigan State, so it’s not a gimme game at all for the Huskers.

-GONZAGA AT SAN FRANCISCO (West Coast). This is actually a big game for the Zags. If they win this they are pretty solidly in the field, but if they don’t a case could be made to leave them out. They still don’t have very many good wins on their resume, and to date this would arguably (and perhaps not even arguably) be their second best overall win of the season. San Fran is a very impressive 14-1 at home, and they’ll be jacked way up for this one.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

Campbell @ Charleston (Coastal Athletic) – Charleston can clinch 1st place outright with a win

SEMO @ Morehead State (Ohio Valley) – Morehead State is still in the three way tie for first place with Little Rock and UT Martin and needs a win to keep pace

Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin (Ohio Valley) – see above ^^^^

Tennessee State @ Little Rock (Ohio Valley) – see above and above again ^^^^^

South Dakota State @ North Dakota (Summit League) – first place implications between the top two teams. South Dakota State can clinch it outright if they can pull off the win on the road

UTRGV @ Grand Canyon (WAC) – after two straight losses, the Lopes will now probably need the auto-bid to make the NCAA Tournament. They are tied with Tarleton State in the conference standings with just 3 games to go, so they need this one

Montana @ Eastern Washington (Big Sky) – Eastern Washington can clinch a share of 1st place with a win tonight

UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge (Big West) – UC Irvine is in a 1st place tie with UCSD with just four games to go. They should be able to pick this one up on the road

USC @ Washington State (Pac 12) – Wazzu is in great shape and just needs to hold serve in this one. They should easily go into the field on the first ballot

Saint Mary’s @ Pepperdine (West Coast) – SMC remains unbeaten in league play and will likely land well inside the top half of the bracket if they continue to hold serve

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, February 29th

Bryant (17-11, 9-4) at UMass-Lowell (19-7, 10-3) – 6:30 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day heads to Lowell, Massachusetts for a matchup between the Bryant Bulldogs and the UMass-Lowell River Hawks. While Vermont has all but wrapped up the regular season title in the America East, Lowell is fighting to hold on to second place in the conference and subsequent home-court advantage for the first two rounds of the America East conference tournament. The River Hawks will also have a quick turnaround and travel to Vermont in their next game on Saturday afternoon. Ayinde Hikim leads the River Hawks with 15.3 points a game and 5.3 assists per game.

Likewise, a win tonight for Bryant will help to put them back in a tie for second place in the conference; should they lose tonight they would lose the tiebreaker to the River Hawks by virtue of being swept in the regular season. They also host NJIT and Albany to finish the year – at first glance it would appear to be an easy schedule, but they did lose at NJIT earlier this month. Sherif Gross-Bullock averages 18.7 points a game for the Bulldogs.

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Under the Radar (Feb 28th)

It’s the season finale of Under the Radar! Our Championship Week Video Notebooks begin this Sunday, so we aren’t going away, but this is the last UTR Video Podcast in this format. Tonight’s featured conference is the Metro Atlantic, which is one of the biggest logjams of any league with the top five teams all within one game of each other. Quinnipiac was seemingly running away with it, but they’ve hit a bit of a skid and teams like Fairfield, Marist, and Niagara are now coming on strong.

From there we move on to the other 21 UTR conferences and look at all the standings as we go into the final two weeks (and in some cases the final two days) of the regular season. Teams like Vermont, McNeese, High Point, and Samford have already clinched the top seeds. Grand Canyon, who seemed to be cruising through the WAC and was in position to get an at-large, had a rough week with two straight losses and is now looking like they’ll need the auto-bid. The Ivy League still has three really strong teams in Cornell, Yale, and Princeton, and we discuss Princeton’s chances of getting an at-large. We discuss all that, and more! And, as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Wednesday, Feb 28th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Okay, so last night we had…(checks notes)…a fire alarm in Bloomington, a tornado at the Northwestern women’s game, a total of 33 points scored in the final two minutes of the Kentucky @ Mississippi State game, the top 3 teams in the MAC all lose, water bottles thrown on the court at Texas Tech, and probably some other stuff that I’m forgetting. But, so far as I know, we didn’t have any court stormings!!!

-BYU, who had struggled on the road all year long, went into one of the toughest road environments in the nation at Kansas, and somehow pulled off a very impressive and utterly jaw-dropping 76-68 win against the Jayhawks. This TOTALLY changes the look of BYU’s profile and should catapult them into the top half of the bracket.

-Kentucky, who looked fantastic in their home win against Alabama over the weekend, went on the road and after trailing for much of the game against a Mississippi State team that’s very tough to beat at home, came back, and after a flurry of scoring in the final couple of minutes, which included what appeared to be a game tying 3pt shot by Mississipp State to force overtime, hit a game winning shot at the buzzer for a 91-89 road win.

-San Diego State and Utah State sweated a little more than you would expect against weaker MWC opponents, but both held on to win.

-Pittsburgh had a lead at Clemson for much of the game, and it was one they really needed to win to make a case for themselves belonging inside the bubble, but Clemson got control late and held on for a 69-62 win.

-After a delay caused by fire alarms going off at Assembly Hall, Indiana managed to beat Wisconsin 74-70. Wisky is in no danger of missing the NCAA Tournament and Indiana has no real shot at making it, but Wisky just hasn’t looked the same for the past couple of weeks. This is a BAD loss, and I think it makes getting a protected seed very unlikely.

-Wake Forest, who had a big win against Duke over the weekend (in case you had forgotten), went on the road and lost to Notre Dame. It’s a huge step backward that almost completely offsets the huge step forward that they just took. They remain right no the bubble, and are perhaps outside of it.

-Texas pretty much dominated Texas Tech. It was very impressive to see them just blow the Red Raiders out of their own building. The final score was 81-69, but the actual game was a much more dominant performance. We also had a flagrant 2 called on Texas, to which the fans responded to by throwing plastic bottles onto the court, and that all but offset the flagrant foul with the technical fouls, but it had no impact on the final outcome.

-Nevada got another big road win as they held off Colorado State in another late night Mountain West thriller 77-74. The MWC seems to be leading the nation in exciting games this year.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-AUBURN AT TENNESSEE (SEC). Auburn is a team that has been good all year and who can add a massive season defining type of win to their resume tonight and put them on solid ground for a protected seed if they can somehow pull it off. Tennessee is still within reach of the #1 line, and in order to get there they pretty much need to win all their home games no matter how strong the opponent is.

-PROVIDENCE AT MARQUETTE (Big East). We all have Providence inside the bubble for now, but not entirely safe. A road win at Marquette, as improbable as that may be, would certainly make them a whole lot safer. Marquette looks to be a solid protected seed who could end up as high as the #2 line.

-NORTHWESTERN AT MARYLAND (Big Ten). Northwestern seems to be on their way to the NCAA Tournament so long as they can hold serve between now and the end of the regular season. A conference road win like this would strengthen their resume even more.

-OKLAHOMA AT IOWA STATE (Big 12). Oklahoma’s resume is a little flimsy, but they still seem to be in relatively good shape for a bid. If they could somehow pull off this upset they’d be in far better shape. Iowa State looks like a solid protected seed that continues to climb the seedlist.

-SOUTH CAROLINA AT TEXAS A&M (SEC). TAMU has crashed into a mountain with four straight losses, and while two of those were against really strong opponents, the other two were certainly not. They’re outside the bubble and will need a strong finish just to get back into the field. South Carolina looks like they could end up as a protected seed. It’s never easy to win on the road, but they’ve shown they can do it.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT BUTLER (Big East). Both teams are outside the bubble both have work to do on top of winning this game, but having said that I think they both need this win to have any sort of a real chance.

-SETON HALL AT CREIGHTON (Big East). Both teams are inside the bubble, but Creighton is pushing a protected seed whereas Seton Hall is probably in the bottom half of the bracket for now, but they have some really nice wins and can certainly play their way up if they can pick this one up tonight.

-MINNESOTA AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten). Minnesota has been playing better lately, and a win like this could change the entire complexion of their resume, but even though they’ve improved they’re probably still swinging way over their heads in this one. Illinois is within reach of a protected seed.

-ALABAMA AT OLE MISS (SEC). It’s not the easiest game for Bama to win, but it is certainly within their abilities to do it. They were beaten rather handily by Kentucky over the weekend, but a win tonight on the road against a respectable NIT-ish Ole Miss team should bounce them back.

-ARIZONA AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac 12). It appears to be a mismatch, but sometimes in these rivalry games the underdog can really play up, especially if they’re at home. Arizona is still within reach of a #1 seed, and if they win out (which they are good enough to do) they should get it.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

Missouri @ Florida (SEC) – this almost feels like a buy game. The Gators seem to be getting better and better as the season progresses and they should be able to hold serve at home in this one

Old Dominion @ Appalachian State (Sun Belt) – App State has a one game lead on James Madison and can clinch at least a share of 1st place with a win tonight

Louisville @ Duke (ACC) – It’s technically a conference game, but it’s practically a home buy game for Duke

Samford @ Wofford (SoCon) – Samford has already clinched 1st place and is now playing for a chance to land on the bubble and/or get a favorable seed from the committee if they win the conference tournament

James Madison @ Georgia State (Sun Belt) – James Madison is a game behind App State, and we feel they are going to be on the bubble if they win out until the conference championship game

California @ Colorado (Pac 12) – Colorado is now outside of our bubble and needs to hold serve tonight against a Cal team that’s actually been playing fairly decently. A loss in this one would certainly move them even further outside the bubble

Indiana State @ Evansville (Missouri Valley) – Indiana State can still get inside the bubble if they win out through the regular season and avoid an early loss in the MVC Tournament. They can also clinch at least a share of 1st place if they win tonight

Richmond @ Saint Louis (Atlantic 10) – Richmond isn’t inside the bubble, but they will be the 1st place team in the A10 with a full game lead over Dayton if they can win this one

Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky (Conference USA) – LA Tech is in a first place tie with Sam Houston State, and the two will face each other next week

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POTENTIAL UTR CLINCHERS (Thanks to David Dorman for compiling this):

SUN BELT – Appalachian State clinches with a win and a James Madison loss

BIG SOUTH – High Point clinches the outright title with a win tonight , they have already clinched a share

HORIZON – Oakland clinches the outright title with a  Youngstown St loss, Green Bay loss and Wright State loss , Oakland has already clinched a share 

MISSOURI VALLEY – Indiana State clinches with a win tonight and a Drake loss tonight

ATLANTIC SUN – Eastern Kentucky clinches with a win tonight OR a Stetson loss tonight , Eastern Kentucky has already clinched a share 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, February 28th

Louisiana Tech (20-8, 10-3) at Western Kentucky (19-8, 8-5) – 8:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Bowling Green, Kentucky for a potential Conference USA championship preview between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Louisiana Tech has won 10 out of their last 12 games to jump into a first-place tie in the conference standings with Sam Houston. In their last game, Isaiah Collier had 20 points in the Bulldogs’ 67-58 road win at New Mexico State.

Western Kentucky had a 5-game winning streak in conference play at the beginning of February; they won at Louisiana Tech 81-76 during this winning streak. Don McHenry led the Toppers with 20 points in that win. However, a loss at rival Middle Tennessee (the 100 Miles of Hate rivalry) knocked WKU two games behind both Louisiana Tech and Sam Houston in the conference standings.

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