Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, February 27th

Akron (20-7, 12-2) at Ohio (15-12, 9-5) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Athens, Ohio (aka the Harvard-On-The-Hocking) for a matchup between the hometown Ohio Bobcats and the Akron Zips. Akron completed the season sweep of the Wagon Wheel last week against Kent State with an 83-70 victory. They were led by 24 points from Enrique Freeman. With a one-game lead against Toledo in the MAC standings, tonight is the hardest regular season game Akron has remaining.

Ohio is one game ahead of Bowling Green for fourth place in the conference standings – however this merely guarantees they’ll wear white in the opening round of the MAC Tournament this season since only the top 8 teams in the conference will advance to Cleveland for the conference tournament. After a four-game winning streak was halted by a two-game losing streak, OU is coming off of back-to-back victories against Kent State and Northern Illinois. Miles Brown had 17 points in the Bobcats’ 21-point victory against Northern Illinois.

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The Hoops HD Report (Feb 26th)

We start off the show discussing the issue that seems to have dominated the headlines for the last couple of days, and that’s court storming. We like court storming, but we do not like seeing players get hurt and seeing it happen as often as it does, so we discuss some different happy mediums that may be able to be reached.

From there, we recap a very busy week of college basketball and discuss Washington State’s monster win at Arizona and upset loss at Arizona State, Kentucky’s crazy week where they lost at LSU but then blew out Alabama, tons of tight games in the ACC and Big 12, the multiple bubble teams in the Big East, the tight race in the Mountain West, and more.

And, for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Bracketology – Staff Bracket (Monday, February 26th)

This week, it is our colleague John Stalica’s turn to put together the weekly bracket for Hoops HD. This is NOT to be confused with the bracket that Jon Teitel puts up every week where he attempts to guess the Selection Committee; rather this is who John feels should be in the bracket this week.

Note from John: Now before you look at the bracket below, I will offer a word of caution: I am envisioning a scenario where multiple teams end up winning their conference tournaments that are either on the bubble or outside of the bubble. So without further ado:

First Four Out: Butler, St. John’s, Pittsburgh, Villanova

Others considered: Richmond (at-large should it be needed), Michigan State, Ole Miss, Utah, Colorado, Memphis, Texas A&M, Oregon, Drake, SMU, James Madison

COMMENTS FROM JOHN:

– In this fictional scenario, I am envisioning the following teams winning their conference tournaments: Gonzaga (WCC), Richmond (A-10), UNLV (Mountain West) and South Florida (American). If I did a strictly traditional bracket. my last four IN would be Wake Forest, Butler, St. John’s and Pittsburgh. Gonzaga would be my last team above the First Four and my First Four Out would then be Villanova, Richmond/At-Large, Michigan State and Ole Miss.

– Last week, we talked about South Florida as a team that’s below the at-large cut line that’s been white hot and a team that is very capable of winning their league’s auto bid. I believe that one more win would clinch the outright regular-season title in the American and they will garner automatic consideration should that occur. We now have another major developing story in UNLV – the Runnin’ Rebels are currently in fifth place in the Mountain West and are 5-4 against Quad 1 foes. The reason they haven’t been mentioned as an at-large candidate this year is because they have 3 Quad 4 losses at home (including a home loss to Air Force in conference play). As an auto bid winner, they would be below the First Four but above auto bid teams like Indiana State, Samford, Grand Canyon, etc.

– Pittsburgh now has road wins against Duke, Virginia and NC State on their profile and are a respectable 11-9 against the Top 3 tiers. Their major strike against them is a nonconference SOS of 343 that would rival that of other teams on the Under Consideration board. They also have a pair of Tier 3 losses at home against Syracuse and Missouri (that may eventually be a Tier 4 loss). As bad as that is, I can stomach potentially putting them in a field over a team like Michigan State that is melting down at the wrong time. They just lost at home to an Ohio State team that hasn’t won a true road game in over a calendar year – I know that statistic alone would drive Griggs batshit crazy.

– Somewhere out there, Joby will be tearing his hair out when he sees seven (yes, seven) Mountain West teams in this field. This is with the presumption that UNLV wins the auto bid and a very clear possibility given that the conference tournament will be played in UNLV’s home arena, but not necessarily their home court.

– I could have easily had Washington State a seed line or two higher following their season sweep of Arizona, but they lost at Arizona State and fell out of a first-place tie in the Pac-12. The good news for the Cougars is they finish up Pac-12 play at home with their final 3 games against USC, UCLA and Washington. Arizona has to play 3 of their final 4 on the road (Arizona State, USC and UCLA) with only a home game against Oregon remaining.

COMMENTS FROM THE HOOPS HD STAFF

From Chad:

– I am fine with John’s top 16 teams — the protected seeds. Although my personal order would be slightly different, and I may have had Auburn up there too, I can live with his choices. It is on the 5 line that I did a double take — Utah State is WAY overseeded here. The Aggies only have one win away from home against a tournament-caliber team, and that team (Boise State) is not even in the top half of the bracket. Utah State is more of an 8 seed than a 5.

– I understand that Washington State just lost at Arizona State. However, it was a true road game coming off their biggest win of the year (at Arizona). I honestly do not punish Wazzu much if at all for the loss to the Sun Devils. As a result, I think this team should be several seed lines higher than the 7 line.

– How can John love the Mountain West enough to have Utah State over-seeded and then have Colorado State under-seeded on the 10 line? Especially given that Colorado State does have a win away from home against a very good team (neutral court vs Creighton). The Rams may be struggling a bit lately, but this team deserves to be in the top half of the bracket.

– The bottom of any at-large list is looking so rough these days, that I have no major issue with John assuming a few bid thieves. Gonzaga doesn’t really even count as one, because I feel they are in with or without the auto bid. Neither South Florida nor Richmond are a stretch to steal bids either. But Assuming a UNLV bid steal in a deep Mountain West is a bit ridiculous to me. The Rebels are playing well, but, even in their home building, I don’t see them beating 3 tournament teams on three consecutive days to take the bid. This s why Michigan State, a team that despite faltering lately still has a better profile than any othr team that John even considered, should have been in his field.

– Finally, shame on John for putting Southern in as his SWAC champion and not Grambling. The Tigers are one game ahead of their rivals in the standings and swept the season series.

From David Griggs:

-I still think Dayton is being way overvalued, but Stalica is not overvaluing by quite as much as many others, so I guess I’ll have to accept that.

-I think I would still have Arizona on the #1 line, but I get it. North Carolina has also had an incredible year and the case for them is very strong.

-I’m also a big fan of Clemson on the #4 line. I know that they’ve had some losses that protected seeds should not lose, but they have enough really good wins to warrant a protected seed.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Monday Feb 26th

HOOPS HD SURVIVAL BOARD WATCH (CLICK HERE to view the whole board):

-ALABAMA A&M AT FLORIDA A&M (SWAC). FAMU will be eliminated if they lose or if Alabama State wins at Bethune Cookman

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NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Saint John’s still has a lot of work to do, but they did have a little life breathed back into them yesterday with their 80-66 win over Creighton. They’ve now won two straight, and their last three regular season games are all winnable, so if they can survive that run they may end up back on the bubble.

-Florida Atlantic, who always seems to play with their food, was not able to get the win at Memphis yesterday as they fell 78-74. I don’t think it knocks FAU outside the bubble by any stretch of the imagination, nor do I think it suddenly puts Memphis back into the picture. It’s just a case of a tournament-caliber team falling on the road to a team that’s still nowhere near the field.

-Michigan State fell at home to Ohio State yesterday 60-57. The last thing the Spartans needed right now was a home loss to a team that’s still pretty far away from making the field. They are pretty much squarely on the bubble when you look at their paper, and when you look at them on the court they don’t look like a team that will last for very long if they do end up getting selected. As for Ohio State, they’ve been on a bit of a roll since firing Chris Holtmann.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MIAMI FL AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC). UNC is still in play for the #1 line depending on how things play out, and should be able to hold serve at home against a team that isn’t in the field.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT KANSAS STATE (Big 12). K State’s NCAA hopes are dwindling, but they are coming off a win against BYU and they should be able to pick this one up as well.

-BAYLOR AT TCU (Big 12). This is a chance for another really big road win for Baylor. They are coming off a tough loss to Houston, but are still in great shape. TCU is solidly in the field and a win today will make their resume look a little stronger.

-MCNEESE AT LAMAR (Southland). McNeese continues to roll through the Southland and can clinch at least a share of 1st place with a win today and with three games to go after today.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, February 26th

Drexel (17-11, 10-5) at Delaware (17-11, 9-6) – 6:30 PM ET (CBS Sports Network)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Newark, Delaware for a matchup in the CAA between the Drexel Dragons and the Delaware Blue Hens. Drexel has lost five out of their last eight games to fall out of first place in the conference and now finds itself in fourth place behind Charleston, UNC-Wilmington and Hofstra. Amari Williams averages 12.1 points a game and 7.8 rebounds a game for the Dragons.

Delaware is coming off of a bruising 90-71 loss at home to Charleston, but the Blue Hens had won five out of their last six games prior to that contest. A win here would put Delaware back into contention for a Top 4 spot in the CAA Tournament; they are currently one game back of Drexel for the final such spot. Jyare Davis averages 17.7 points a game and 7.5 rebounds per game for the Blue Hens.

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Bracketology 2024: March Madness Predictions (Version 8.0)

For a recap of all of yesterday’s action and a preview of all of of today’s games, check out our HOOPS HD DAILY RUNDOWN by CLICKING HERE

We are only 3 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the 2023 tourney with 65 of his 67 within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 53 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming weeks predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 17th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how he stacks up with other websites (ranked 11th out of 174 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Purdue (Big 10)
1: Connecticut (Big East)
1: Houston (Big 12)
1: Arizona (Pac-12)

2: North Carolina (ACC)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Kansas (Big 12)
2: Marquette (Big East)

3: Iowa State (Big 12)
3: Alabama (SEC)
3: Duke (ACC)
3: Baylor (Big 12)

4: Creighton (Big East)
4: Auburn (SEC)
4: San Diego State (MWC)
4: Illinois (Big 10)

5: Clemson (ACC)
5: Wisconsin (Big 10)
5: Dayton (A-10)
5: Kentucky (SEC)

6: BYU (Big 12)
6: St. Mary’s (WCC)
6: Texas Tech (Big 12)
6: Washington State (Pac-12)

7: Utah State (MWC)
7: Colorado State (MWC)
7: Florida (SEC)
7: South Carolina (SEC)

8: Michigan State (Big 10)
8: Oklahoma (Big 12)
8: TCU (Big 12)
8: FAU (AAC)

9: Texas (Big 12)
9: New Mexico (MWC)
9: Northwestern (Big 10)
9: Boise State (MWC)

10: Mississippi State (SEC)
10: Virginia (ACC)
10: Nebraska (Big 10)
10: Nevada (MWC)

11: Providence (Big East)
11: Gonzaga (WCC)
11: Seton Hall (Big East)
11: Wake Forest (ACC)
11: Colorado (Pac-12)
11: Grand Canyon (WAC)

12: Indiana State (MVC)
12: McNeese (Southland)
12: South Florida (AAC)
12: Appalachian State (Sun Belt)

13: Samford (SoCon)
13: Princeton (Ivy)
13: UC-Irvine (Big West)
13: Akron (MAC)

14: Louisiana Tech (C-USA)
14: Vermont (America East)
14: Charleston (CAA)
14: High Point (Big South)

15: Oakland (Horizon)
15: Morehead State (OVC)
15: Eastern Washington (Big Sky)
15: Colgate (Patriot)

16: Quinnipiac (MAAC)
16: South Dakota State (Summit)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)
16: Merrimack (NEC)
16: Eastern Kentucky (Atlantic Sun)
16: Grambling (SWAC)

1ST 4 OUT
Butler (Big East)
Mississippi (SEC)
Texas A&M (SEC)
Utah (Pac-12)

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