Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Saturday, Feb 11th

NEWS AND NOTES:

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Xavier went on the road for what should have been a winnable game at Butler, but ended up coming up short 69-67.  They trailed for pretty much the entire game, and by as many as 15 in the second half, but came back to tie it before Butler went ahead on a goaltending call in the final seconds.

-New Mexico, who was inside our bubble but close to it, did themselves absolutely no favors last night when they were beaten rather handily on the road at Air Force 89-77.

– And yet that was not even the most notable thing that happened yesterday. Not by a longshot. New Mexico State’s off-court woes took an even more bizarre turn yesterday with the entire coaching staff being put on paid administrative leave and their season now being suspended. Their game against California Baptist has been cancelled (NOT postponed). This was completely separate from the incident in Albuquerque that led to the cancellation of the New Mexico-New Mexico State games; Jeff Goodman (via Stadium) reported last night that there are hazing allegations within the NMSU program that led to the program now in complete limbo. California Baptist was able to scramble and get an emergency game with West Coast Baptist added to their schedule for today.

– Also some sad news out of East Carolina; their broadcaster Jeff Charles passed away unexpectedly while on the road with the team; their game at Tulane scheduled for today has been postponed and no makeup date as of yet has been scheduled. Charles was the voice of the Pirates for 30 years and was named the North Carolina Sportscaster of the Year in 2000. Our condolences go out to his family and the ECU community.

SURVIVAL BOARD UPDATE (Click Here to View the Board):

-COLUMBIA AT YALE (Ivy League).  If Columbia loses this game, and Penn beats Harvard, then Columbia will be the first team (outside of Chicago State and Hartford) to be eliminated from the Survival Board.  It will be mathematically impossible for them to finish in the top 4 and make the Ivy League Tournament.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-WEST VIRGINIA AT TEXAS (Big 12).  Texas is in the hunt for a #1 seed, and West Virginia is just trying to end up on inside the bubble.  A win today for WVU, while a VERY tall order, would skyrocket them up the seedlist.

-ALABAMA AT AUBURN (SEC).  Alabama has been on our #1 for pretty much the entire calendar year of 2023, whereas Auburn, while (presumably) good, can’t seem to get any big wins on their resume.  Well, if they can pull off the upset in this one it would fix a lot of that.  It’s a huge rivalry game, it means a ton on paper, the place is always bonkers and should be EXCEPTIONALLY bonkers for this one, and…well…truthfully I can’t wait!!

-CONNECTICUT AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Both teams are suddenly playing really well, both are in the rankings, and both went through stretches during the season where they went into an absolute tailspin, but both have come out of it and appear to be solidifying their resumes and climbing up the seedlist.

-RUTGERS AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten).  I really like how Illinois has been playing, but still think they have room to improve their resume.  As for Rutgers, as good as they’ve been this year, they also have room to move up.  In short, this is a game between two good teams who can make their resumes look even better with a win today.

-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT DRAKE (Missouri Valley).  Neither team has much of a chance at getting into the field without the auto-bid, but they are two of the better teams in the MVC, and both could be very dangerous in the Round of 64.

-CLEMSON AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  Clemson doesn’t have many wins in Chapel Hill in the last…oh…century or so, but they’ve got a chance to get one this year.  This is a HUGELY important game for both teams as we have both of them straddling our bubble right now, and both really need this win.

-DUKE AT VIRGINIA (ACC).  As much as I’ve criticized Duke this year for being overvalued and not being good on the road, if they are somehow able to win this one I will concede that they have addressed all of my concerns, and that they belong well inside the top half of the bracket.  But…that’s much easier said than done.  I think Virginia is 2-seed-ish good and should roll at home.

-BAYLOR AT TCU (Big 12).  It’s yet another Big 12 game between two teams that are battling it out for protected seeds.  Baylor actually has a path (albeit a steep one) to a #1 seed if they can keep winning at the rate that they are.  They’re 9-1 in their last ten games, and given the difficulty of their schedule that is utterly remarkable.  Winning at TCU, who is another team that could end up as a protected seed and who has some high caliber wins of their own, won’t be easy, though.

-MISSOURI AT TENNESSEE (SEC).  Missouri continues to land in that area of the seedlist that’s between the 9 line and the bubble.  A win in a game like this would give them a lot more stability.  Tennessee is coming off a somewhat surprising (and rather stupid) loss at Vanderbilt, but they’re still a solid protected seed and even have a path to a #1 seed if they can really finish strong.

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT IOWA STATE (Big 12).  Oklahoma State has put together an impressive string of wins after a rather sluggish start to the season, and is definitely playing like an NCAA Tournament caliber team, but they need to keep it up in order to make the field.  Iowa State has had an excellent season, but they’ve lost three of their last four, and some of those were rather surprising like a loss at Texas Tech (where they blew a huge lead) and to West Virginia.  Still, they’ve been solid at home and should be way up for this one.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT ARKANSAS (SEC).  After an entire season of coming up short in games against tournament-caliber opponents, Arkansas finally seems to have their motor going.  This should be a winnable game for them.  We actually selected Mississippi State in our field last night, and while they could end up making it I think they’ve got a ton of work to do.  They have won four straight, and prior to this winning streak they had lost eight of nine, but they need to keep it up in order to be safely in.  A road win in a game like this would certainly go a long way.

-UMASS LOWELL AT VERMONT (America East) – If Vermont wins, they’ll have a 3 game lead over UMass Lowell with just five games remaining and if Lowell can win they’ll just be a game back.  Lowell has been one of the stories in college basketball this year, but a first place finish could be out of reach if they can’t get this one.

-UCLA AT OREGON (Pac 12).  Some feel UCLA could still end up as a #1 seed, and if they win out perhaps they can, but that’s easier said than done.  This will be a very tough road test for the Bruins.  It took Oregon a while to get rolling, and it perhaps took them a little too long because in order to get inside the bubble they’ll pretty much need to win out, but they are suddenly playing really well and will be jacked way up for this one.  They’ve won six of their last eight and are very tough to beat at home.  And if they can keep stringing together wins all the way until the end, they may have a shot at a bid.

UC RIVERSIDE AT UC IRVINE (Big West).  THE RIVER-VINE CUP!!!!  One of our favorite made up rivalries!!!

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Marquette @ Georgetown (Big East) – should be a winnable game for Marquette and keep them in the race for 1st in the Big East
-Providence @ Saint John’s (Big East) – Providence is in a position to go in on the first ballot, and should be able to hold serve in this one
-NC State @ Boston College (ACC) – this should be some low hanging fruit for NC State and enable them to pick up a winnable road game
-Pittsburgh @ Florida State – Pitt appears to be safely inside the bubble and will remain there so long as they continue to hold serve
-Penn State @ Maryland (Big Ten) – I personally think Maryland is being a little overvalued, but I do believe they are inside the bubble and expect they’ll be able to hold serve in this one
-Kentucky @ Georgia (SEC) – Kentucky is right on our bubble and needs to hold serve in this game in order to stay there
-Kansas @ Oklahoma (Big 12) – Kansas is still very much in the hunt for a 1 seed and for 1st place in the Big 12, but they need to hold serve in games like this in order to stay there
-Vanderbilt @ Florida (SEC) – Florida is outside the bubble, but can reach it with a strong finish to the season.  They can’t afford to drop a home game to a team that’s nowhere near the bubble
-UL Monroe @ Southern Miss (Sun Belt) – Southern Miss is playing really well right now, and should get a look from the committee if they’re able to win out
-UNLV @ San Diego State (Mountain West) – I’ve been critical of San Diego State, but they have absolutely put together a string of wins that is both long and impressive.  They should be able to continue that at home today, and will safely land inside the bubble and probably go into the field on the first ballot if they keep holding serve
-Wisconsin @ Nebraska (Big Ten) – Wisconsin is right on our bubble.  I think they’re good enough to make the field, but they need to hold serve in games like this
-Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest (ACC) – Wake needs to string together wins between now and the end in order to make the field
-Saint Mary’s @ Portland (West Coast) – SMC is coming off a somewhat surprising road loss to LMU, which was their first in conference play, but is still in great shape and should be able to get this one on the road
-Indiana @ Michigan (Big Ten) – I really like how the Hoosiers are playing and believe they have a path to a protected seed.  They should be able to hold serve in this one
-USC @ Oregon State (Pac 12) – USC is coming off a blowout loss to Oregon and continues to hover around the bubble.  This is a road win that they have to get
-Kansas State @ Texas Tech (Big 12) – there aren’t many ‘gimme games’ in the Big 12, and even this isn’t an easy game to win, but it’s easier than most of the rest of the games in the league.  K State is on pace to get a protected seed, and may even still have a path to a #1 seed
-Louisville @ Miami FL (ACC) – Miami is rolling and could end up as a protected seed.  They should have no trouble holding serve in this one
-Arizona @ Stanford (Pac 12) – many think Arizona has a shot at the #1 line.  I don’t think their resume tops out quite that high, but I could see the committee giving it to them, especially if they’re able to win out
-Arizona State @ California (Pac 12) – Arizona State is outside the bubble and needs a strong finish to get back in.  A loss in a game like this could all but kill them
-Seton Hall @ Villanova (Big East) – Seton Hall is coming off a loss, but they are still definitely trending in the right direction and could easily end up inside the bubble if they keep it up.  It’s never easy to go on the road and win, but this is the kind of game that an NCAA Tournament caliber team is expected to be able to win.
-Wyoming @ Boise State (Mountain West) – We’ve got Boise in our field, but close to the bubble.  They need to hold serve in this one
-Texas A&M @ LSU (SEC) – TAMU is trending in the right direction after a very unimpressive start to the year, but they still have a lot of work to do and all their games have a pivotal feel to them.  They need this one on the road tonight
-BYU @ Gonzaga (West Coast) – The first meeting between these two was a thriller, but the Zags are at home for this one and should roll
-Utah State @ San Jose State (Mountain West) – If Utah State has any shot at all of landing inside the bubble they basically need to win out

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Saturday, February 11th

Morehead State (16-10, 9-4) at Southeast Missouri State (13-13, 8-5) – 5:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day heads to the Bootheel of Missouri for a matchup of OVC heavyweights (or flyweights when you consider the conference winner is likely headed to Dayton for the First Four) between the Morehead State Eagles and the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks. The Eagles recently had a 6-game winning streak and looked like they were starting to gain separation from a 6-way tie for first place a few weeks ago. However, they stumbled at Little Rock 72-68 to fall to 1 game above 3 teams for second place in the OVC. Mark Freeman leads Morehead with 16.1 points a game and 3.7 assists a game.

SEMO is another team that looked like they were starting to get momentum with a 4-game winning streak that included wins against Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State at home. However, thanks to back-to-back losses on the road against both of the above-mentioned Tennessee schools, the Redhawks are now a game back of Morehead in the standings. Phillip Russell averages 19.0 points a game and 5.7 assists a game for SEMO.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day (and the Hoops HD Daily Rundown) – Friday, February 10th

For the latest HOOPS HD BRACKET RUNDOWN, where we build a seedlist on the air and discuss all the teams as we go – CLICK HERE

Saint Louis (16-8, 8-3) at Dayton (16-9, 8-4) – 8:00 PM ET (ESPN2)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day is a sacred day on the Hoops HD Calendar as the first leg of the Arch Baron Cup takes place with the Dayton Flyers hosting the Saint Louis Billikens. Saint Louis snapped a 2-game losing streak at home with a 76-71 victory against Rhode Island. Prior to that game, the Billikens lost a pair of games against A-10 contenders Fordham on the road and at home against VCU despite a “Billiken Blizzard” promotion for the fans. Yuri Collins averages 11.7 points a game and 10.1 assists a game for SLU.

Dayton began the year ravaged with injuries and got off to a slow start thanks to losses at UNLV and an 0-3 trip to Atlantis during Thanksgiving. In their last game, the Flyers snapped a 3-game road losing streak with a 62-58 win at VCU in which Toumani Camara had 26 points and 15 boards. This game moved the Flyers to 1 game behind VCU in the standings and a half-game behind Saint Louis. DaRon Holmes is another potential candidate to win the Harewood Horse trophy as game MVP; he leads the Flyers with 17.6 points a game this season.

 

HOOPS HD DAILY RUNDOWN (From the Puppet):

-LMU is nowhere near the bubble, but they’ve pulled off two of the biggest upsets of the season this year.  First with a 68-67 thriller on the road against Gonzaga back in January, and last night they defeated Saint Mary’s in overtime 78-74.  SMC had a lead for most of regulation, but it was close all throughout, and they just couldn’t put the Lions away.

-USC had been playing really well, but they ran into a brick wall last night as Oregon just blew them off the floor 78-60.  Oregon still has a lot of work to do, but they’ve now won six of their last eight and while their profile is still very questionable due to a subpar start to the season, they now are at least looking like an NCAA Tournament caliber team.  They still have a ton of work to do to get their resume up to the level it needs to be at, though.

-KENT STATE AT BUFFALO (MAC).  If Kent State win out and be the outright first place team in the MAC they could get a serious look from the committee, but even that may not be enough to get them in without the auto-bid.

-XAVIER AT BUTLER (Big East).  Xavier has a very wide path to a protected seed and just needs to hold serve in games like this.

-SAINT LOUIS AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten).  There are three teams in the Atlantic Ten that could potentially be dangerous in the Round of 64 and these are two of them, but the real reason we are highlighting this game is because IT IS THE ARCH BARON CUP!!!!!!  The Greatest and Most Intense Rivalry in Human History!!!!

-NEW MEXICO AT AIR FORCE (Mountain West).  This should be a winnable conference road game for a New Mexico team that is inside the bubble and needs to hold serve in order to stay there.

-FRESNO STATE AT NEVADA (Mountain West).  This should be a winnable conference home game for a Nevada team that is inside the bubble and needs to hold serve in order to stay there.

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Hoops HD Bracket Rundown (and a Special Bonus Bracket Build!) – Feb 9th

NOTE:  This broadcast was recorded at 10pm, est on Thursday, February 9th.  No games that went final after that, particularly Saint Mary’s vs LMU or Oregon vs USC, were considered when creating this bracket.

Chad and the panel build a seedlist line by line and debate, discuss, and assess each team as they go.  Find out who they have on the #1 lines so far, who is safely in, who still has work to do, and who on the bubble just made it in and just missed it.

And below is our special Bracket Build Podcast, where we show you exactly how the seedlist is converted into a bracket and how all of the different bracketing rules come into play

Below is a final copy of the bracket, but don’t look at it until you’ve watched the show!!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the Bracket Rundown Show…

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Feb 9th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For the latest UNDER THE RADAR Video Podcast, where we run through all of the non-major conferences – CLICK HERE

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day, which is a BIG one between Louisiana and Southern Miss and may not just be the Under the Radar Game of the Day, but the Game of the Day PERIOD – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s interview with Charles McClelland, who is the SWAC Commissioner and the Deputy Commissioner of this year’s NCAA Men’s Basketball Selection Committee – CLICK HERE

-Tennessee struggled throughout the entire game at Vanderbilt, but appeared to have it won in the final seconds…until they didn’t.  Up 65-63 and with the ball, the Vols passed up what would have been a wide open dunk, which would have given them a 4pt lead, in order to force Vandy to foul.  This is simply NOT thinking through how a 4pt lead is a two possession lead.  I think by now you all know how this one ended.  A couple fouls later, Tennessee misses the freethrow and Vandy hits a game winning 3 to pull off the huge 66-65 upset.

-I had been saying for over a week I like how Florida has been playing, and I was half expecting them to be very competitive at Alabama last night.  They were not.  WOW!!  Bama blew them off the floor 97-69, and that score probably understates just how dominant Bama was.

-West Virginia desperately needs wins, and given the strength of their remaining schedule they are going to be extremely hard to come by, but they got a BIG one last night knocking off Iowa State 76-71.  Iowa State now in a bit of a slump having lost three of their last four, but are in absolutely no danger at all.  The one game they did win in that stretch was a blowout win over Kansas.

-Creighton went on the road and got a huge 75-62 win against a Seton Hall team that had been playing really well.  This is actually probably a better win than what it looks like on paper because Seton Hall is in the middle of a stretch where they’ve been looking really good, and for Creighton to go on the road and win in the fashion that they did is really impressive.

-San Diego State held on for a nice 63-61 road win at Utah State.  They had a commanding lead at the half, but almost gave it up.  The game was exceptionally heated, and in the first half exceptionally poorly played and overly officiated.  Several technicals and even ejections were issued, and after what seemed to be a 15 minute pause for replay the game finally resumed, but the flow was completely gone.  Nevertheless, it is a nice road win for the Aztecs and they remain safely inside the bubble.

-Wisconsin and Penn State both really needed the win last night when the two faced each other, and Wisconsin got it.  A 79-74 road win will hopefully (for their sake) help the Badgers start to turn things around.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-IOWA AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  Purdue is still the top overall #1 seed in most peoples’ fields, including our own, and they will remain there if they can hold serve tonight.  Iowa is relatively safe despite having some holes in their resume, but they could REALLY boost the value of their profile if they could somehow pull off the upset tonight.  That is much easier said than done, though.

-RICE AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (Conference USA).  FAU is safely inside the bubble and will likely go into the field on the first ballot if they can win out through the regular season, which they are good enough to do.

-NORTHWESTERN AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Northwestern continues to hover around the bubble, but right now I think they are inside of it.  They need this win on the road in order to stay inside it.  It’s not easy winning on the road, but this is still the kind of game that a tournament caliber team should be expected to win.

-UCLA AT OREGON STATE (Pac 12).  UCLA is will within the range of a protected seed and should be able to hold serve tonight.

-SAN FRANCISCO AT GONZAGA (West Coast).  Gonzaga is hovering around the 4/5 seed range in our brackets and should stay there so long as they hold serve the rest of the way

-SAINT MARY’S AT LMU (West Coast).  Saint Mary’s is now in sole possession of first place in the WCC and could even end up with a protected seed if they can finish running the table.

-ARIZONA STATE AT STANFORD (Pac 12).  Arizona State is outside the bubble and needs to string together some wins down the stretch just to reach the field.

-ARIZONA AT CALIFORNIA (Pac 12).  Even though this is a road game it should still be a cakewalk for Arizona, who still has an outside shot at a #1 seed if they can win out.

-USC AT OREGON (Pac 12).  This could be a tough road game for a USC team that has been playing better and who has also played their way inside our bubble, but who would also be much more safer if they’re able to pick up a win like this one.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, February 9th

Louisiana (20-4, 10-2) at Southern Miss (21-4, 10-2) – 8:30 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day goes to Hattiesburg, Mississippi for a matchup of the top 2 teams in the Sun Belt; the Southern Miss Golden Eagles host the Louisiana Rajun’ Cajuns. The Cajuns are in the midst of a 10-game winning streak and includes a 75-61 home win against Southern Miss earlier in the season. More recently, Jordan Brown had 26 points in Louisiana’s 77-67 win at home against fellow league contender Marshall.

Southern Miss started off the season 8-0 before losing against co-Southland leader Northwestern State on the road. The Golden Eagles did get off to a relatively slow 3-2 start in the Sun Belt, but the two losses were on the road against Louisiana and Marshall. Since then, Southern Miss has won seven straight games in conference play. Felipe Haase had 26 points in the Golden Eagles’ last outing – a 79-71 victory on the road at Georgia State.

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