Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Wednesday, Feb 8th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Marquette, who had been looking like the best team in the Big East, did not look like it last night.  Winning on the road at UConn is tough, but they were absolutely blown off the floor.  UConn played what was probably their most impressive game since before Christmas and picked up the 87-72 win in a game that wasn’t even as close as that score indicates.

-Kansas State blew out a TCU team that’s good, but that’s also still dealing with injuries 82-61.  The Wildcats are one of several teams that are still in the hunt for a #1 seed, and yesterday’s win certainly helps.

-Indiana kept Rutgers at arms length for pretty much the entire game, and while Rutgers did make it close in the last couple of minutes, they couldn’t quite pull off the upset on the road.  The Hoosiers continue to cruise with the solid 66-60 win.

-North Carolina trailed by as many as 25 (I believe) in the second half at Wake Forest, but actually did go on a run late to make the final score look respectable.  Still, they lost 92-85 and their resume continues to be void of any wins that indicate that they are a tournament caliber team.

-Auburn’s resume was flimsy going in to last night, and despite playing a good game at Texas A&M, they didn’t get the win and their resume still looks flimsy.  TAMU, on the other hand, is sprinting toward the bubble, and may actually be inside of it by now.  If not, then they are certainly getting close.  After a somewhat so-so start to the season, they’ve now won 11 of their last 13 with much of that coming in SEC play.

-Arkansas, who I’ve been beating up on for weeks for not having a road win and lacking any real quality wins at the top of their resume, got a very impressive quality win on the road at Kentucky last night 88-73.  I now have to do a complete 180 and start to give Arkansas some props.  They played very well at Baylor just over a week ago, and while they didn’t win it was still an impressive showing on the road against a very good team, and was an indication that they had it in them to play at a high level.  Last night at Rupp Arena, they finally did it.

-One of the biggest games of the night happened very late at night as Nevada, who was squarely on the bubble, picked up a hugely important road win against a very good New Mexico team 77-76.  This was just a great game.  Both teams are good, both played well, and both could have really used this win so there was a lot at stake.  It was close the entire way, and Nevada won the game 77-76 on a last second shot.

-Last, and perhaps least, the race in the Atlantic Ten would actually be really exciting if it only meant something.  For the first time in the last 30 years or so, it doesn’t.  Five teams are logjammed at the top of the league and separated by just one game, and one of those teams is Fordham!  Dayton’s 62-58 win at VCU last night tightened up the race even more.  While both Dayton, VCU, and Saint Louis, have all shown they can play at the level of an NCAA Tournament team at times, the key words there are “AT TIMES.”  More often than not, they haven’t played at that level and none of those three (along with the rest of the A10) have done enough to make the field without winning the auto-bid.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-CREIGHTON AT SETON HALL.  Both teams have really been playing well lately.  Creighton has won six straight, and Seton Hall has won seven of their last eight.  Creighton is much further up the seedlist, but Seton Hall has the opportunity to get waaaay inside the bubble if they keep playing the way that they have been.  It’s a game between two teams that are red hot and that can improve their resumes even more with a win.

-IOWA STATE AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big 12).  Iowa State is one of six Big 12 teams that is within reach of a protected seed, so every game has a pivotal feel to it for them if they want to end up getting one.  West Virginia is simply trying to get inside the bubble, and we think needs five more wins in order to make it happen, so every game they play from here on out will have a pivotal feel to it.

-WISCONSIN AT PENN STATE (Big Ten).  Penn State is in a complete and total free fall and they need to string together some wins just to pull themselves out of it.  Wisconsin isn’t doing well either having lost seven of their last nine.  Both of these teams need this win just to get the process started of getting turned back around.

-FLORIDA AT ALABAMA (SEC).  I like how the Gators have been playing and think they can end up in the field if they keep it up….but I don’t think they can beat what is probably one of the two best teams in the country on the road.  If they do, then of course the value of their resume will skyrocket, but that’s a very big if.

-OKLAHOMA AT BAYLOR (Big 12).  Baylor is continuing to look like a solid protected seed and even has an outside shot at making a run at the #1 line, whereas Oklahoma is looking more and more like an NIT team despite their big win against Alabama a little while back.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT UTAH STATE (Mountain West).  San Diego State is coming off an impressive blowout win against a pretty good Boise State team, but that was at home.  Going on the road is always tough in this league.  Having said that, this is a game that they should be able to win.  Utah State has a good record and a good net, but they don’t have any wins that really jump off the page and they’ll need to win out or come close to it in order to be seriously considered.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Tennessee @ Vanderbilt (SEC) – should be a winnable road game for a team that’s solidly been within the range of a protected seed all year long
-Memphis @ South Florida (American) – Memphis is coming off a loss and really can’t afford any more to any teams that aren’t Houston
-Boston College @ Virginia Tech (ACC) – Some feel that VA Tech can make a run at the bubble.  If they want to do that then they better start doing it now
-Tulsa @ Houston (American) – it’s a conference game, but it could end up looking very much like a buy game
-Georgetown @ Providence (Big East) – it’s a conference game, but it could end up looking very much like a buy game
-Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State (Big 12) – Oklahoma State is red hot and has played their way onto the bubble.  If they keep stringing together wins they’ll be very safely inside it
-LSU @ Mississippi State (SEC) – Mississippi State has a ton of work to do, but if they can finish the season strong then they can still make the field

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, February 8th

UNC-Wilmington (19-6, 9-3) at Charleston (22-3, 10-2) – 7:00 PM ET (FloHoops)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day heads to the Low Country where the Charleston Cougars return to Under The Radar and host the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks in a pivotal CAA matchup. Charleston beat the Seahawks 71-69 in the first game in Wilmington and cracked the Top 25 shortly afterwards. However, back-to-back losses to Hofstra and Drexel dropped the Cougars into a first-place tie with Hofstra and back down to a 1-game lead over UNC-W. Dalton Bolon had 18 points in the Cougars’ last game – an 84-67 win at Delaware.

UNC-W also had a bit of a hangover after the Charleston loss – the Seahawks had a surprising loss at William & Mary before losing on the road to Hofstra shortly thereafter. The Seahawks have since won four straight games, including a revenge win at William & Mary. Trazerian White averages 13.4 points a game and 5.6 rebounds a game for the Seahawks.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Tuesday, Feb 7th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For the latest HOOPS HD REPORT Video Podcast, where we recap and assess all of the major conferences – CLICK HERE

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-It wasn’t a busy night, and the games of note ended up kind of chalky.  Miami FL jumped out to a double digit lead against Duke within minutes of the tip and at no point after that was the game even close.  Texas trailed Kansas for most of the game, but did make a few runs at them before falling 88-80.

-The most exciting game of the night was one that was so far under the radar that it was practically off the radar.  Jackson State knocked off Arkansas Pine Bluff 88-84 in double overtime, and the reason the game was actually meaningful is because only eight teams make the SWAC Tournament, and just one game separates 4th place from 10th place, so every game involving teams within that logjam has a pivotal feel to it.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MARQUETTE AT UCONN (Big East).  Marquette is looking like the best team in the Big East right now, and is up to 10th in the polls.  They’re 10-1 in their last 11, which is remarkable when you consider the bulk of that stretch has been in Big East play, and the only loss was a close on at Xavier.  They’ll be tested on the road tonight against a UConn team that has a strong resume, and that had been in a slump but has now won three of their last four.  This one should be a good one.

-RUTGERS AT INDIANA (Big Ten).  It’s a showdown between the two teams that have beaten Purdue!!  Both teams are in the rankings, and have a chance to buildup their resumes even more.  Indiana is coming off a huge win over rival Purdue, and Rutgers could pick up what would probably be their biggest win of the season other than their win against Purdue on the road.

-CHICAGO STATE AT DELAWARE STATE.  Every time Chicago State plays in what looks like could be a winnable game I want to highlight it  This could by their 9th overall win of the season, and their 4th true road win if they’re able to pull it off!

-NORTH CAROLINA AT WAKE FOREST (ACC).  Both of these teams, especially North Carolina, need to string together wins and add some quality wins to their profile in order to make the NCAA Tournament.  This would be UNC’s best win of the season considering that it’s against a semi-decent team and since it’s on the road.  Wake is outside the bubble, but could get back inside it if they’re able to string together some wins.  It’s a bubblicious game on Tobacco Road!

-AUBURN AT TEXAS A&M (SEC).  We have TAMU just outside our bubble, but given how well they’ve been playing after a somewhat sluggish start to the season, they can definitely play their way safely into the field.  Auburn needs a big win just to shore up their resume, and even though TAMU is just on the bubble right now, this would still be one of their biggest wins of the season if they’re able to pull it off.

-NC STATE AT VIRGINIA (ACC).  NC State has really come to life and has actually won eight of their last nine and is suddenly one of the hotter teams in the ACC right now.  They’re not quite to the level that Virginia is, though, who is looking like a solid protected seed despite a loss in their last game at Virginia Tech.  If NC State wins this, it’s a chance for them to shoot WAAAAY up the seedlist.

-TCU AT KANSAS STATE (Big 12).  Both teams are in the rankings and both are within reach of a protected seed.  Both have managed two road wins against teams that are also in the hunt for a protected seed, so both teams have very strong resumes.  TCU has lost two of their last three, and has dealt with injuries, so this could be a really rough test for them tonight seeing as how they’re the road team, but as a whole they’re still having an incredible season.

-MARYLAND AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Both teams are close to making the field, but both still have work to do, especially Maryland who could really give their resume a boost with a win like this on the road.  Chances are both will be dancing come March, but both have room to improve and this one is a big resume building opportunity.

-ARKANSAS AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  Kentucky has played much better over the span of their last seven games and has almost assuredly put themselves inside the bubble (for now).  If they keep winning they’ll keep climbing the seedlist.  Arkansas is getting beaten up by the criticus (including myself) for not having any road wins and for not having that many quality wins.  A win tonight can address both of those deficiencies in a big way, so this is a HUGE opportunity for the Hogs.

-NEVADA AT NEW MEXICO (Mountain West).  Nevada is hovering around the bubble and New Mexico is fighting to stay inside the bubble.  That makes this a hugely important game for both these teams.

OTHER HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-Louisville @ Pittsburgh (ACC) – Pitt has been playing really well and should be able to win what is basically a buy game at home tonight
-Dayton @ VCU (Atlantic Ten) – If VCU wants to even be looked at by the committee for a bid they basically need to win out

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, February 7th

Toledo (17-6, 8-2) at Akron (17-6, 9-1) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day returns to the Rubber Capital of the World as Akron hosts the Toledo Rockets in yet another battle of top teams in the MAC. Akron is coming off of a 67-55 win against Kent State in which Xavier Casteneda led the Zips with 24 points in front of a nationally televised audience. Tonight’s game will be pivotal for Akron in that they will be playing three of their next four games on the road, including an eventual rematch with Toledo in a couple weeks.

Whereas Akron comes into tonight with an 8-game winning streak, Toledo comes in almost as equally hot with a 7-game winning streak. Even a 43-point performance from Emoni Bates was not enough for Eastern Michigan to knock off the Rockets a couple of weeks ago. More recently, both RayJ Dennis and JT Shumate scored 18 points apiece to lead Toledo over Central Michigan.

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The Hoops HD Report – Feb 6th

We take a look back at another busy week in college basketball, and discuss Saint Mary’s big win over Gonzaga and which team belongs higher on the seedlist, Purdue picking up their second loss of the season at Indiana, and Duke’s win over North Carolina.  We take an extensive look at the Tarheels and discuss whether or not they belong in at all.  The Big 12 continues to be very strong with as many as six teams within reach of a protected seed, and as many as three who are within reach of a #1 seed.  It’s a big week in the SEC with Texas A&M, Florida, and Arkansas all being on the bubble and all needing to string together wins.  We discuss all that, and more!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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HoopsHD Staff Bracket – February 6, 2023

It is Chad’s turn this week to take a shot at the Staff Bracket — a projection of what he feels the NCAA Tournament should look like if it was selected after all games of Sunday, February 5 were complete.  Please note that this is simply his projection, and not an attempt to guess where the actual committee will be on Selection Sunday — rather it is where they SHOULD be if today was Selection Sunday!  Also note that Chad presumes that his personal pick for “best team in the conference” for each league is its auto-bid winner, which may not necessarily be the current first place team.

Below is the Bracket followed by Chad’s notes.  After those are comments and reactions from other HoopsHD panelists.

CHAD’s NOTES:

– Despite the loss at Indiana, I still have Purdue ranked #1 overall.  Their body of work is simply still the best, although the gap has certainly closed a bit.  Alabama, Houston and Texas round out the 1 seeds, with Texas moving to the top line after a huge win this weekend at Kansas State.

– Baylor is now up to the 2 line, even though they split their two games this week.  The first of those games was a close loss at Texas (1 seed), which they cannot be faulted for.  In addition, having Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua back this weekend is huge for this team, and they should now be considered a serious national championship contender.

– I ended up with St. Mary’s and Gonzaga back-to-back at 16 and 17 on my seed list.  Given that the Gaels just beat Gonzaga Saturday night, the choice was simple.  St. Mary’s is now a protected seed, just barely cracking the 4 line!

– Arkansas somehow found a way to finally get a road win, albeit against the worst team in the SEC (South Carolina) and only by 2 points.  That is enough to keep the Razorbacks in the field — for now.

– My last two teams in were West Virginia and Mississippi State.  I get that there are 4 teams above Mississippi State in the SEC standings that did not get in, that the Bulldogs are only 3-7 in conference, and that I left out a team (Texas A&M) that is 8-2 in that same league.  The fact is that Miss State has no bad losses and has two huge non-conference wins over teams that are protected seeds (Marquette and TCU).  I just like that better than anyone that I left out — although honestly I am seriously holding my nose when I look at their profile.

– My top four teams out, in order, were Wisconsin (I love the wins, but they have too many losses), Seton Hall (this team is rising fast and may make my field by next week), Texas A&M (plenty of chances ahead to jump into the field) and North Carolina (I hate to admit that David Griggs was correct, but I just think their profile…well…sucks; however, 6 of their last 8 regular season games are against top 100 teams and that can quickly change with some wins).  Also considered were Virginia Tech, Penn State, Arizona State, Florida, Oregon, Utah State, Wake Forest, Michigan, Loyola Marymount, Utah, Tulane and Kent State.

– Among the “Under the Radar” leagues, Florida Atlantic remained inside the bubble, on the 10 line, despite the loss at UAB.  VCU and College of Charleston have profiles that are not too far behind the last teams in, despite CofC losing another game this past week.  I also greatly appreciate a complete lack of Tier 4 losses for Maryland-Eastern Shore — a fact that has a real good chance to get them above the First Four and out of Dayton.

– Finally, if you look at the matchups, you will see a few possible conference games in the second round  with Virginia-Duke and Alabama-Kentucky.  These teams only play once in the regular season.  Therefore, unless they meet in their conference tournament, this is perfectly acceptable and the committee would not move either team to a different region to avoid this rematch.

COMMENTS FROM JOHN:

– While I must congratulate Saint Mary’s on taking a commanding lead in the WCC, one home win does not make them a protected seed by itself. Their only other win against a solid NCAA Tournament was against San Diego State on a neutral court, but they are a #7 seed per Chad. Gonzaga still has neutral court wins against Alabama (1), Xavier (4) and Michigan State (9) along with a “neutral” home win against Kentucky.

– We are really in a parallel universe this year when it comes to Northwestern. They have a resume that includes wins at Michigan State, at Indiana and at Wisconsin. And yet they have three losses combined against Ohio State and Michigan that are not sniffing an NCAA bid unless they get the auto bid on Selection Sunday. Yet they are 6-3 away from home, so this is one of the more difficult teams to place.

– If we’re talking about two teams that seem to load up on Tier 2-type wins, Boise State and North Carolina seem to lead that list. Yet Chad has Boise State on his 9-line and apparently has allowed the Puppet to compromise his bracket to the point where North Carolina is not included. I would really be curious to hear what Joby says about Carolina, yet I’m not seeing any wins by the Heels against NCAA teams outside of NC State and Charleston at home.

– Virginia Tech is another compelling team to look at when it comes to injuries; 4 of the Hokies’ losses came when Hunter Cattoor was injured. When healthy, they have a win against bubble buddy Penn State on a neutral court. I should also add that North Carolina, Duke and Virginia failed to storm the Cassell this season. And I should also add that their record right now is very similar to last season when they ended up getting the auto bid out of the ACC.

– We all owe a debt of gratitude to Richmond for their win yesterday; I am convinced that Chad would have found a way to get Fordham in his field had the Rams won yesterday.

COMMENTS FROM DAVID GRIGGS:

-It seems like every year there are one or two teams that in the preseason the consensus of the people is that they will be good.  Then the team isn’t good, but the people just can’t let go of them.  One of those teams this year is North Carolina, who Chad did not select (THANK GOD!!).  The other is Arkansas.  Arkansas has done a few things, and I suppose if this were debate class and my assignment was to make a case for Arkansas it wouldn’t be a complete impossibility.  In addition to having a flimsy profile (at best), they just aren’t that good on the court.  They did look good in their game at Baylor.  That may be the most impressed I’ve been with them all season despite the loss.  But they did not look good AT ALL against South Carolina, and barely beat a team that is so far from the bubble that they couldn’t see it with a high powered telescope.  I think by the end of the year, teams like Florida (who wasn’t selected but was apparently looked at) will clearly be ahead of the Razorbacks in most seedlists.

-I don’t know about Texas on the #1 line, but they Horns are definitely in the debate.  They have a very strong case.  If they win at Kansas tonight it is no longer a debate.  In fact they should probably be the close to the #1 overall seed if they can pull that off.

-Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga is also interesting.  In looking at the WCC, SMC is clearly better.  They are two games ahead of the Zags in the standings, they’ve won their games more convincingly, and..oh yeah…they won the first head to head game.  But Gonzaga’s overall resume tops out way ahead of SMC’s.  I personally still have Gonzaga ahead of them, but I understand the case that Saint Mary’s is better.

-But, I still have A LOT of problems with this bracket!!  Mostly because CHAD IS WHO MADE IT!!!

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