Under the Radar – Jan 4th

This week’s feature conference is the MAC.  We talk about Kent State’s chances of making the bubble if they can dominate the league, but also discuss just how hard it will be for them to dominate it because of all the rivalries and tough road games that exist in this league.

From there we run through the other 22 UTR leagues and discuss how much better Dayton has been playing and how dangerous they could be if they can win the Atlantic Ten and make the NCAA Tournament, the strength of conferences like Conference USA, the Sun Belt, and the WAC and how we could see multiple teams from all of those leagues making runs at the bubble, how disappointing some of the conferences like the Horizon League, the SoCon, and Missouri Valley have been, and more.  And, as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

Audio Only version:

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Wednesday, Jan 4th

Instead of calling this “News, Notes, and Highlighted Games” I’ve decided to rebrand this as the “Hoops HD Daily Rundown.”  When you’re a puppet, you have that kind of administrative authority!!

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-There simply aren’t very many nights that aren’t crazy.  Even when you’re expecting a normal night, you almost never get it.

-Kansas held a lead at Texas Tech for most of the game, but the Red Raiders kept chipping away and chipping away, and appeared to have a chance to win it with the shot clock off, but a big defensive play by Kansas gave them a breakaway dunk to seal up the 75-72 road win, which looks really nice on the resume of a team that’s fighting for a #1 seed.

-Kansas State’s defense was AWFUL last night at Texas!  But the offense was out of their minds.  If you’d have told me Texas was going to score 103 points AT HOME against K State, I would have wondered just how much they blew them out by, but K State held a lead for pretty much the entire game, diced up the Texas defense (which is really good), and seemingly scored on every possession in their 116-103 road win.  This will look fantastic on K State’s resume and probably vault them into the rankings.

-Pitt was down double digits to Virginia about midway through the second half, and then Virginia’s offense went through a stretch where it looked a lot like the offense of a team that was playing against Virginia.  Pitt pulled even, then went ahead, and then it was close the rest of the way with Pitt making some big plays in the final minute to pick up the 68-65 win.  It’s a huge win for the Panthers despite it being a home game, and it follows up another big win against North Carolina (also a home game).  One thing we can say for certain is that Pitt is VERY tough to beat at home!

-New Mexico suffered their first loss of the season in a 71-67 game to a Fresno State team that is just 6-8 on the year.  It was a road game, but it’s the kind of road game that a legit top 25 team should be able to win.  I like New Mexico’s team and think they can finish inside the bubble, but I also wonder how much of their 14-0 record was due to their strength of schedule being in the 280s rather than them being a legit top 25 team.  With teams like San Diego State, Nevada, and UNLV in their league they will be tested multiple times between now and the end.

-Marquette picked up a decent road win at Saint John’s 96-85 and improves to 4-1 in conference play and appears to be moving further and further inside the bubble.

-Kentucky had to sweat at home against LSU, but held on for the 74-71 win.  It’s not a win that screams “protected seed!!” but it is arguably (and perhaps not even arguably) Kentucky’s best win of the season so far.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-AUBURN AT GEORGIA (SEC).  This is a game that a protected seed should be able to win on the road, but it’s still not an easy game to win.  Georgia is 10-3 and looking for some notable wins of their own, so Auburn will definitely be tested.

-DUKE AT NC STATE (ACC).  Like the game previously mentioned, this is a road game that a protected seed should be able to win, but it will be a tough test against an NC State team that should be fired up for this one and who needs some notable wins of their own.

-PENN STATE AT MICHIGAN (Big Ten).  Michigan has been very schizophrenic this year.  One week they look like they don’t even belong in the NIT, and then they’ll go out and absolutely blitz a pretty good Maryland team.  Penn State is having a good year and this would be a very good conference road win for them to get on their resume, so there is something at stake for both teams.

-UCONN AT PROVIDENCE (Big East).  I really like how Providence has been playing, but if you look at their resume it’s a little light when it comes to big time wins.  Tonight is a chance for them to get a big time win.  Even though it’s a home game, it would still look really good.  UConn is coming off a tough loss to Xavier and will be tested in a big way again tonight.  They are still a solid protected seeded caliber team, and they could still even end up as a #1 seed, but to get there they need to win these types of games.

-MISSOURI AT ARKANSAS (SEC).  No one expected much out of Missouri, then they racked up a big record but people questioned their strength of schedule, and then they started beating some quality opponents and now people are wondering if they can do it on the road.  They keep making themselves look better and better, but this will be a HUGE test tonight against a very good Arkansas team.  Both teams are in the rankings, and this win would look really good on both teams’ resumes.

-TCU AT BAYLOR (Big 12).  This is a showcase game between two top 20 teams, both of whom may be better than what they’ve shown us so far this season.  As good as Baylor is, they did lose their conference opener and some may even say they’ve underperformed this year.  A win tonight would certainly be big for either team.

-CLEMSON AT VIRGINIA TECH (ACC).  Both teams are 11-3, both appear to be within reach of the bubble, but neither team seems to be making that big of a splash on the national radar, and both could really use this game tonight.

-ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  I think this Northwestern team has a lot of potential, but when they have a bad game, they certainly go all out!!  they were absolutely clobbered by Ohio State a few nights ago.  They’re at home tonight against a rival and this would be a great way to bounce back, but it would also be a really nice road win for Illinois.  In short, it’s a rivalry game that could help out both teams’ resumes, so it should be fun.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Charleston @ NC A&T (Colonial) – Charleston should land inside the bubble so long as they hold serve the rest of the way in games like this
-Villanova @ Georgetown (Big East) – This is a winnable road game for Nova that they kind of need to not lose
-Miami FL @ Georgia Tech (ACC) – Miami appears to be good enough to earn a protected seed and should be able to get this one on the road
-UCF @ East Carolina (American) – I still think UCF is a Tournament caliber team, but their margin for error the rest of the way is incredibly small
-Texas A&M @ Florida (SEC) – both teams need to start stringing together wins to get back into the picture
-Drake @ Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley) – Drake can be good, and they’ll need to be for the rest of the year.  Anything short of winning out may not be enough to get them inside the bubble

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, January 4th

VCU (10-4, 1-0) at Duquesne (11-4, 1-1) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

For the first time since the Atlantic 10 was relegated to Under The Radar, the conference will be featured tonight as the Duquesne Dukes host the VCU Rams in an early-season conference matchup. The Rams just finished a 6-game homestand going 5-1; they concluded with an 80-67 win against La Salle to open up league play. Ace Baldwin had 19 points, 6 assists and 4 steals in their win against La Salle.

Duquesne opened A-10 play with a loss against preseason favorite Dayton, but quickly rebounded with a win at home against Rhode Island. In nonconference play, the Dukes got off to a 7-1 start that included a win against UC-Santa Barbara and a buzzer-beater against Ball State. They did come back to earth a little bit with home losses against New Mexico State and Marshall. Dae Dae Grant leads the Dukes with 17 points a game.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – Tuesday, Jan 3rd

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For the latest HOOPS HD REPORT – CLICK HERE

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s All Conference Midseason Awards – CLICK HERE for Pt.1  and CLICK HERE for Pt.2

-The biggest news on the court last night was Rutgers’s huge upset win on the road against top ranked Purdue.  It’s one of the better singular wins that any team has managed this season, and it suddenly makes their resume look tons better than what it did before yesterday.  Rutgers had played really well against some really good teams, but came up just short.  Yesterday they played really well against the #1 ranked team, and got the win, so I’m glad for them that they finally picked one up.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MARQUETTE AT SAINT JOHN’S (Big East).  Both teams are well within reach of the inside of the bubble, but both still have some work to do in order to actually reach it.  The Johnnies have lost three straight and need a win like this in order to bounce back.  Marquette has actually won five out of their last six with the only loss being a double overtime thriller against Providence and is coming off  really nice win at Villanova, so for them to pick up another road win would really have them on a good path.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT TENNESSEE (SEC).  Mississippi State has lost two straight games since building up a big 11-0 record against what was mostly a pastry cart.  They do have a couple of good wins, but they still have a lot of work to do.  Tennessee has lifted some pretty heavy weight and appears to be on pace toward a protected seed.  But to stay on that pace they need to be able to hold serve in games like this.

-NEBRASKA AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Michigan State appears to be outside the bubble right now and needs to string together some wins just to get back in the picture.  This is a winnable conference home game and they need to take care of business.

-WESTERN MICHIGAN AT KENT STATE (MAC).  I still think there will be room for Kent State inside the bubble if they can blow through the MAC.  I know that’s easier said than done, but I do think they’re good en0ugh to do it.

-LSU AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  Kentucky doesn’t have any notable wins yet, and a win today may actually be their best of the season so far, but they don’t have any damaging losses either and are talented enough to where they should safely reach the field so long as they hold serve.  LSU has built up a big record, but mostly done so by going to the bakery and ordering cupcakes.  They will certainly be tested tonight, though, and they are coming off a really nice win against Arkansas, so we can’t just brush off this LSU team.

-SETON HALL AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Both teams have to make up some ground, and both could really use this one tonight.  Creighton just hasn’t looked good at all since their 6-0 start and needs to get things turned around.  This is a winnable home game for them and they need to take advantage.

-KANSAS AT TEXAS TECH (Big 12).  Kansas survived a battle at home against Oklahoma State, and like every conference road game they play they’re going to be in for another battle tonight.  Texas Tech can really help out their resume with a win tonight even though they are at home.

-KANSAS STATE AT TEXAS (Big 12).  K State has just one loss on the season, but they didn’t amass that record by playing in games that will test them as much as this one will.  Texas is 12-1, ranked really high, has some high caliber wins, and has been really good at home this year.

-OLE MISS AT ALABAMA (SEC).  Alabama has some of the best wins of any team in the country, and depending on how well they do between now and the end I don’t think a #1 seed is out of the question.  They do need to hold serve in games like this, which I expect they’ll be able to.

-VIRGINIA AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  Pitt has won nine of their last ten and, as crazy as this is to say, they’re playing really well with some decent wins on their resume.  If they can get this one tonight, they’ll REALLY get the attention of the committee.  Virginia is one of the teams that appears to be contending for a #1 seed, and for teams like that road wins in games like this come with the territory, but Pitt has reason to be optimistic.

-MINNESOTA AT WISCONSIN (Big Ten).  Wisconsin is up to 14th in the rankings, and they are well deserving of it and in contention for a protected seed.  They should be able to hold serve in the basketball version of Paul Bunyan’s Axe tonight

-UTAH STATE AT AIR FORCE (Mountain West).  I really like this Utah State team and feel they can land inside the bubble.  Air Force can be a tricky team to play against, especially on the road, but it’s still a winnable conference road game that they can add to their resume.

-SAN JOSE STATE AT BOISE STATE (Mountain West).  I think this is a good Boise State team, but I also realize they still have a ton of work to do if they want to reach the NCAA Tournament and can’t afford to drop games like this at home.

-NEW MEXICO AT FRESNO STATE (Mountain West).  New Mexico is the last unbeaten and this should be another winnable road game for them.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, January 3rd

Ball State (9-4, 0-0) at Toledo (9-4, 0-0) – 7:00 PM ET (CBS Sports Network)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day kicks off MAC play in the Glass City between Ball State and the hometown Toledo Rockets. Ball State comes into tonight’s game on a five-game winning streak; their last game was a 70-63 win against Chicago State. Payton Sparks averages 13.5 points a game and 8 rebounds a game for the Cardinals.

Toledo started off the season with a 93-85 neutral-court victory against UAB and was looking like one of the better UTR teams going into the season. Expectations were tempered after back-to-back losses against Kansas City and East Carolina in the Gulf Coast Showcase, but they did rebound with a 12-point win at Vermont during nonconference play. Both RayJ Dennis and JT Shumate are tied for 4th place in the MAC with a 19.1 PPG average.

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The Hoops HD Report – Jan 2nd

Conference play is underway in all of the major conferences and we look back at what was a busy week over the Holidays.  We begin by talking about Rutgers’ huge upset win at Purdue, and how it will likely end up being one of the bigger singular wins that any team manages this season considering it was on the road against a potential #1 seed.  Xavier also picked up a huge win against UConn, and Houston had a close call at home against UCF, so the teams at the top of the polls were tested.  We talk about that, how Pitt and LSU have bloated records, but still need some big wins to prove themselves, how strong the Big 12 is from top to bottom, and much more!  And, at the end we also discuss Charleston, who finally cracked the Top 25 this week.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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