The HoopsHD panel is back to debate and decide what teams are in, what teams are out, and where they are all seeded heading into Sunday, February 8! Check out our latest Bracket Rundown, but don’t look at the bracket, below, until after you watch the show!
Here is the bracket:
Audio only:
EDITOR’S NOTE – The podcast was recorded at 1:30 PM EST on Sunday; a few notable games went final (i.e. Michigan over OSU and Texas Tech over West Virginia) after we went off the air. The only change we would have made would have been on UCF; they had a bad loss at Cincinnati that would have absolutely changed their spot on the seed list. We will discuss this further on tomorrow night’s Hoops HD Report.
We are 5 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the 2025 tourney: 62 of his 66 were within 1 spot of their actual seed and 52 were right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 15th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how he stacks up with other websites (ranked 7th out of 186 bracket veterans over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com
SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE) 1: Arizona (Big 12) 1: Michigan (Big 10) 1: Duke (ACC) 1: Connecticut (Big East)
-I say that Duke and North Carolina do not always deliver, but the ALMOST always deliver, and they delivered yesterday! Duke took control early against a really good UNC team on the road, and every time the Tarheels made a run at them and the crowd got into it the Blue Devils had an answer. Every time, that is, except for the last time. UNC ended the game on a 9-0 run, which included a game winning 3pt shot with less than a second to go. The fans stormed the court thinking the game was over, and after they cleared the floor for the last 0.4 they stormed the court again after a massive 71-68 win. Lots of things in college sports don’t feel the same due to NIL, the heightened number of transfers, and conference realignment killing off a lot of traditional rivalries and series, but this rivalry has thankfully survived it all! At least so far.
-Michigan State held on to beat Illinois in Overtime 85-82 in another thrilling game. Illinois hit two freethrows to force OT at the end of regulation, and almost overcame a 6pt deficit in the final seconds over OT after making a 3, stealing the inbounds pass, and getting another 3 up at the buzzer, but it didn’t go down. It was a massive win for Michigan State against an Illinois team that had been playing as well as anyone in the country.
-Houston got a battle from BYU, but got another big road win as they held on 77-66. Houston is just a great defensive team and a great rebounding team. BYU has now lost five of their last six. They’re still in good shape overall, but they are in a bit of a tailspin.
-Vanderbilt was getting absolutely blown out at home by Oklahoma, but cut a 21pt second half lead down to just 1, but couldn’t complete the comeback and fell 92-91.
-Florida absolutely mauled Texas A&M on the road 86-67 (and don’t be deceived by the final score, the game was much less competitive than the score would suggest). TAMU just could not hit any shots and the Gators picked up another impressive road win. TAMU has now dropped two straight after blowing through a schedule that is largely backloaded. It will be much more challenging between now and the end.
-Miami OH appeared to be facing a tough challenge yesterday, but they had no problems handling Marshall on the road and picking up the 90-74 win. It was one of their more impressive showings of the year. The Redhawks are still undefeated.
-Kentucky once again overcame a double-digit-deficit and came back to win 84-81, this time against a really good Tennessee team. The Vols are a good team, but they haven’t been the best road team and a win yesterday would have really boosted up their resume. Now Kentucky has a sweep over the Vols in their back pocket.
-Indiana had a lead for most of the game against Wisconsin, but the Badgers came back and forced OT. Indiana held on for a really big 78-77 win, which certainly helps their tournament profile. Wisconsin may also be looking closer to a one-trick pony.
-Alabama knocked off Auburn on the road 96-92 in a rivalry game that had a pivotal feel to it for both teams. Auburn still has work to do to safely make the field and Alabama needs wins like this in order to end up as a protected seed. (And if you’re keeping score, the Tide are 3-1 since the return of a pro player who shall go unnamed.)
-Seton Hall kind of blew it at Creighton. They appeared to be in control, but fell apart at the very end and Creighton won 69-68. This pretty much torpedoes Seton Hall’s chances at earning an at-large as the Pirates have now lost six of their last eight.
-And if Butler wasn’t already dead, a loss at Marquette pretty much sealed their fate.
-Utah State got a battle at Wyoming, but managed to escape 85-83 with another road win. It wasn’t their most impressive win of the season, but it was a win on the road against a team that can be hard to beat.
-New Mexico, who was right on the bubble, did something that no bubble team should do and that’s lose at home to a team that’s nowhere near the bubble. Boise State went into The Pit and knocked off the Lobos 91-90. Boise State has been good at times, but they’re still the kind of team a tournament caliber team needs to beat at home. And worse yet, Boise State now has a sweep of the Lobos which makes their at-large case nearly impossible to make.
-Saint Mary’s and Santa Clara both had to sweat out games against San Francisco and Washington State but ultimately did win their games to remain in the at-large hunt.
HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:
-MICHIGAN AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten). It’s a rivalry game between two teams that are standing in very different places. Michigan is trying to play their way into a #1 seed and Ohio State needs to string together several big wins just to make the field at all. Winning this one on the road could be a challenge, but Michigan has been challenged many times this year and come up big almost every time.
-TEXAS TECH AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big 12). Texas Tech is solidly in the field and likely a solid protected seed, but they have just two true road wins and could use a few more. This should be a winnable road game for them. West Virginia can still reach the bubble, but they’ll need to win a few games like this in order to do it.
-Tulsa @ South Florida (American) – these are two of the better teams in the American and it’s perhaps Tulsa’s toughest remaining game. If they have any hopes at all of getting inside the bubble they need this one
-USC @ Penn State (Big Ten) – this is a winnable road game for a USC team that’s hovering around the bubble.
-UCF @ Cincinnati (Big 12) – UCF is inside the bubble and needs to hold serve in games like this in order to remain safely there. They’ve had a good year, but a few more road wins certainly wouldn’t hurt. Also keep in mind that the Knights barely survived at home against UC in their first meeting.
-Northwestern @ Iowa (Big Ten) – Iowa is on a rampage right now and should be able to hold serve at home in this one. Northwestern is on what you would call the opposite of a rampage.
UTR WATCH:
-Liberty got a bigger scare from Missouri State than many of us were expecting, but they held on to win 79-76 at home and remain unbeaten in the conference.
-Central Arkansas continues to be a big story in the Atlantic Sun. They beat Lipscomb on the road 86-78, which is one of their toughest conference games to win, and are now just a game behind Austin Peay.
-Portland State got a huge scare at Sacramento State in an emotionally charged game, but held on to win 74-73.
-UC Irvine fell at UC Santa Barbara in the Gauch Eater Cup in a game that was also emotionally charged with several technical fouls and a few ejections. The 84-79 loss for UC Irvine now puts Hawaii in first place in the Big West after their 72-67 win over UC San Diego.
-Yesterday was a great day for the Sun Belt as they went 10-3 against the MAC to win the MAC-Sun Belt Challenge 14-12. Troy over Akron also killed whatever at-large NCAA hopes the Zips may have been harboring.
-For Jon Teitel’s interview with Big Sky Commissioner and Selection Committee Member Tom Wistcrill – CLICK HERE
-For David Dorman’s latest Hoops HD Staff Bracket Projections – CLICK HERE
-Saint John’s continues to roll and they picked up a massive win over Connecticut last night 81-72 to pull even with them in the Big East standings (at least in the loss column). The Johnnies always seem to start off going slower than where they finish. They started off ranked really high, then dropped some games causing people to think they weren’t that good, but they’re now looking like a top ten caliber team on the court.
-Other than that it was a chalky night with VCU, Yale, and Belmont all winning as expected.
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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:
-WISCONSIN AT INDIANA (Big Ten). Indiana is hovering around our bubble and while Wisky is in our field, they aren’t so far inside of it that they can afford to just cruise to the finish. Both teams could really use this game.
-VIRGINIA TECH AT NC STATE (ACC). NC State is on a roll and is continuing to climb our seedlist as they string together wins. VA Tech is right on the bubble and a win like this would be huge for them.
-MIAMI OH AT MARSHALL (MAC-SBC Challenge). Marshall is a solid 11-2 at home, so this will not be an easy game for Miami to win. This is also an old MAC rivalry, although that probably doesn’t mean a whole lot to the current players and coaches. Miami’s schedule has been weak and while Marshall is nowhere near the bubble, they are still very tough to beat at home and this will be one of the biggest tests of the year for the Redhawks.
-ALABAMA AT AUBURN (SEC). This isn’t quite the storyline we had a year ago when both teams were ranked #1, but it’s still a very important game. Auburn is trying to play their way safely inside the bubble and Alabama is trying to battle for a protected seed. And it’s a rivalry game. And it has a lot of off the court issues surrounding it as well.
-AKRON AT TROY (MAC-SBC Challenge). Neither team is likely to reach the bubble, but we are highlighting it because these are two of the better and more compelling Under the Radar teams and it should just be a really fun game. I think Akron may actually be better than Miami OH, although before the day is over my mind may be changed.
-DUKE AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC). Duke is solidly on our #1 line and this is the kind of win that can keep them that high on the seedlist. UNC has gotten better as the season has gone on and this would be a really nice win for their profile as well even though they are at home. And in case you have been living abroad for the last fifty years, this is also one of the premier rivalries in all of college sports. So…there’s that.
-ILLINOIS AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten). Illinois is playing as well as anyone in the country and as tough as this game is to win on the road they are certainly good enough to do it. Michigan State is very good, but they’ve also lost their last two, including a somewhat surprising loss at Minnesota, and even though they are at home this is not exactly what you would call an easy bounce-back game.
-CLEMSON AT CALIFORNIA (ACC) – Clemson won a battle at Stanford the other night and could be in for an even bigger battle tonight against a Cal team that could really use this win to help get them on the right side of the bubble.
-FLORIDA AT TEXAS A&M (SEC). TAMU is coming off a close and hard fought loss at Alabama from earlier in the week and they’ll have another big test at home tonight against a Florida team that’s looking as strong as anyone in the country. This would be another big road win for the Gators and continue to strengthen their case for a protected seed.
-TENNESSEE AT KENTUCKY (SEC). While Kentucky fans are frustrated with the season so far, Kentucky has actually been playing really well. A win tonight would be their eighth win in their last nine games and they’ve beaten some really good teams during that stretch. Tennessee is a solid tournament team, but they have just two true road wins and a big road win like this would suddenly make their resume look a ton better.
-HOUSTON AT BYU (Big 12). BYU has hit a bit of a skid and while they are still really good and still very safe as far as landing in the top half of the bracket, they may be losing their grip on a protected seed. Houston is, of course, very good and may still be able to end up with a #1 seed depending on how things play out. This would be a massive road win for them, and perhaps their best of the season so far, if they’re able to pull it off.
OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:
-Nebraska @ Rutgers (Big Ten) – Nebraska has dropped two straight and is now looking to get things turned back around. This should be a winnable road game for them
-Syracuse @ Virginia (ACC) – Virginia is still within reach of a protected seed and should be able to hold serve in this one
-Arkansas @ Mississippi State (SEC) – Arkansas could use a few more road wins on their profile and while this will be a bit of a challenge it’s a road game they should be able to win
-Louisville @ Wake Forest (ACC) – Louisville could use a few more road wins on their profile and while this will be a bit of a challenge it’s a road game they should be able to win
-Villanova @ Georgetown (Big East) – Nova is having a very solid year and has won five of their last seven with the only losses being to Saint John’s and to UConn in OT. They should be able to get this one on the road, which would be their 6th true road win
-Oregon @ Purdue (Big Ten) – Purdue should have little trouble holding serve int his one
-Missouri @ South Carolina (SEC) – Mizzou is very bubblicious, which means every game has a pivotal feel to it. If they win it’s a conference road win. If they lose it’s a loss to a team that is not even in the same timezone as the bubble.
-Baylor @ Iowa State (Big 12) – Iowa State should be able to hold serve in this one and stay planted on the top two lines
-SMU @ Pittsburgh (ACC0 – SMU is inside the bubble, but can’t put it on cruise control yet. They could use this win on the road
-Miami FL @ Boston College (ACC) – Miami still has work to do in order to feel safe and they need to hold serve in this one
-Ole Miss @ Texas (SEC) – Texas needs to string together wins and hold serve in games like this in order to land safely inside the bubble
-Utah @ Kansas (Big 12) – Kansas is playing better than they have at any point of the season and shouldn’t have too much trouble today
La Salle @ Saint Louis (Atlantic 10) – this might as well be a buy game
-Oklahoma @ Vanderbilt (SEC) – Vandy is on pace to get a protected seed and should be able to hold serve at home today
-Oklahoma State @ Arizona (Big 12) – Oklahoma State is still outside our bubble. A win today would probably change that, but then again it is HIGHLY unlikely to happen
-Gonzaga @ Oregon State (West Coast) – the Zags suffered a shocking loss to Portland earlier in the week and will be looking to bounce back today in what could be another tricky road game
-Santa Clara @ Washington State (West Coast) – Santa Clara is now on top of the West Coast standings and still has a pretty solid path to make the NCAA Tournament. They need to keep winning, though
-Seton Hall @ Creighton (Big East) – Seton Hall is right on the bubble and every game has a pivotal feel to it. They really need to get this one on the road
-Georgia @ LSU (SEC) – Georgia is sitll inside our bubble, but they are starting to skid. They could really use this win at LSU. LSU needs to start stringing together wins to have any chance at all of making the field
-Utah State @ Wyoming (Mountain West) – Utah State is coming off their biggest win of the year and while it’s not easy to go to Wyoming and win they are certainly good enough to do it
-San Diego State @ Air Force (Mountain West) – this would be an incredibly damaging loss for San Diego State and probably end their at-large hopes
-Washington @ UCLA (Big Ten) – UCLA is right on the bubble and needs to hold serve at home
-Boise State @ New Mexico (Mountain West) – New Mexico is right on the bubble and needs to hold serve at home
-San Francisco @ Saint Mary’s (West Coast) – it’s a rivalry game and it’s one Saint Mary’s kind of needs in order to remain safely inside the bubble
UTR WATCH:
-East Tennessee State @ VMI (SoCon) – ETSU is looking to rebound from a loss earlier in the week and to stay on top of the SoCon standings
-New Hampshire @ Vermont (America East) – Vermont may still be the best team in the America East even if they don’t always play like it. They need this one at home
-Longwood @ Winthrop (Big South) – Winthrop is in a race with High Point for the top of the Big South
-Omaha @ North Dakota State (Summit League) – North Dakota State needs to bounce back from their loss to Denver earlier in the week
-Missouri State @ Liberty (Conference USA) – Liberty is cruising through CUSA and shouldn’t have too much trouble at home today
-American @ Navy (Patriot League) – Navy is cruising through the PL and should be able to cruise through this one at home
-Stonehill @ Long Island (Northeast Conference) – LIU is continuing to cruise through the NEC and should get it done at home today
-Binghamton @ NJIT (American) – NJIT is actually on top of the AEast standings right now and has a winnable home game this afternoon
-Morehead State @ UT Martin (Ohio Valley) – UT Martin can continue to distance themselves from the rest of the OVC
-UT Arlington @ Utah Valley (WAC) – keeping the focus on the court, UVU is still in a battle for 1st place in the WAC
-North Alabama @ Austin Peay (Atlantic Sun) – Austin Peay is still on top of the ASun after a big win against Lipscomb earlier in the week
-South Carolina State @ Howard (MEAC) – Howard is probably still the strongest team in the MEAC despite 3 conference losses and may be good enough to win out
-Prairie View A&M @ Bethune Cookman (SWAC) – Cookman is atop the SWAC standings and should keep that momentum going today
-Lamar @ Stephen F Austin (Southland) – SFA is all alone in first place in the SLC standings and is running down hill between now and the end of the season
-Radford @ High Point (Big South) – High Point is in a race with Winthrop for the top spot
-Merrimack @ Rider (MAAC) – Merrimack should be able to hold on to the top spot in the MAAC
-PFW @ Wright State (Horizon League) – the HL is eating itself somewhat, but Wright State is still on top of the standings and should be able to hold serve at home
-Abilene Christian @ California Baptist (WAC) – Cal Bapist is tide with Utah Valley at the top of the WAC and needs to hold serve tonight
-UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara (Big West) – UC Irvine is probably the best team in the Big West, but UCSB is really good too and this will be a tough road test
-Portland State @ Sacramento State (Big Sky) – Portland State has looked like the best team in the Big Sky and has another road test tonight
-UC San Diego @ Hawaii (Big West) – Hawaii is in a race with UC Irvine for the top of the Big West standings and needs to take care of business at home tonight
For those of you who cannot wait until Selection Sunday to find out what the Selection Committee is thinking, the top-16 teams will be revealed in a sneak preview later this month. This is not a crystal ball showing exactly which schools will become protected seeds on March 15th…although 3 of the #1 seeds from last year’s preview DID end up as #1 seeds last Selection Sunday (Auburn/Duke/Florida). Rather, it served as a peek behind the curtain at what the committee was thinking and what criteria they were using in their analysis of everyone’s body of work. Earlier today HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel got to chat with Selection Committee member Tom Wistrcill about NET, NIL, WAB, etc.
You were captain of your D-3 college basketball team at St. Mary’s University, and 1 summer you played against a guy who scored 34 PTS against you…in the 2nd half: could you tell at the time that Tony Bennett understood the game well enough to eventually win the 2019 NCAA title as coach at Virginia?! Tony was held in high regard in the Wisconsin high school ranks in the 1980s so the expectations were very high for him. We were roughly the same height and build and in the 1st half he did not do much scoring, but in the 2nd half he acted like I was not even there. I remember coming to the bench during timeouts and asking if anyone else wanted to guard him…but every one of my teammates said no! Every athlete realizes at some point that they are not at the top of the food chain, and that was my point.
From 2002-2006, you were General Manager in charge of Badger Sports Properties representing the Wisconsin athletics department, where you advocated for the NCAA to allow student-athletes to get NIL money: what was your reaction when NIL became a reality, and do you like where things are at or do you think things are a bit out of control? NIL is something that was always coming: it just took a long time to get there because the can kept getting kicked down the road. Instead of doing it on our own, we were forced to do it by the courts, which is why we now have a tough situation. I am glad that student-athletes are getting the money that they deserve, but right now there do not seem to be any rules enforceable around it. You cannot legislate ethics, which also makes it hard due to some bad actors.
It was reported this week that the SEC will distribute more than $1 billion to its 16 universities for the 2024-25 fiscal year: as the commissioner of a non-power-conference (Big Sky), are you concerned that the gap between the haves and the have-nots has grown too large? Not yet. The gap has always been so big: when you are underwater it does not matter whether you are 2” from the surface or 10’ from the surface. Commissioner Greg Sankey has done a great job in the SEC, and we are all trying to provide more resources for our schools/athletes. I am just happy being on the ship…even if I am not the biggest captain on the deck!
How many hours/day will you work on selection stuff this month, and do you have any advice on how to keep your fellow committee members from losing their sanity on Selection Sunday? This is my 4th year on the committee, and it has been an incredible experience. Now that I know what I am looking for I have become more efficient. I spend a lot of time watching the bubble teams: there are probably 16-18 right now and I want to see their top-end play. We only have 1 new committee member this year in John Wildhack from Syracuse, who has been a great addition. We have a great group that cares deeply about athletics and challenges each other at the right times.
What kind of games have the biggest impact on a team’s seed (big road win/bad home loss/other), and why are they more important than other games? Every game from November to March matters and every committee member looks at things through their own lens. I feel that your game must be able to travel because there are no home games in the NCAA tourney, so I want to see how you did against good competition in road/neutral games. Home games are also important, but I am always interested in seeing if you can defend at a high level on the road in an angry environment.
Committee members get to see many modern rankings on the official team sheets (such as BPI/KPI/KenPom) in addition to the traditional ones: how have you made use of these advanced metrics, and do you have a favorite 1? NET is very important and the 1 we talk about the most and spend the most time on. WAB (Wins Above Bubble) has helped us separate teams from a selection perspective, so we spend a lot of time talking about that as well and it keeps percolating to the top. We think WAB is a good differentiator that helps us dig into a team sheet. You need the complete resume to try to separate Team A from Team B, in terms of both which 1 is getting in and what kind of seed they will get.
You mentioned WAB, which quantifies how many wins a team has compared to a bubble team’s projected record against the same opponents: if Gonzaga was an 8 seed last year with a NET of 8 and a WAB of 35, then is it safe to assume that WAB is a much better indicator of a team’s seed then NET is? No: individually you can come up with narratives that fit a lot of different metrics. NET can get compressed at the “bubble line” (in the high-40s/low-50s range), while WAB gives us a greater separator among the bubble teams. That is the 1st very important decision that we will agonize over on Saturday night, so we need as much data/discussion as possible. Seeding discussions on Sunday morning are also important because matchups matter in the NCAA tourney. Every year is different: I cannot predict right now which metrics will matter the most, and I will not know until I am in the committee room spending 3 hours discussing 5 teams for 3 spots or 8 teams for 4 spots or however it gets sorted out. You simply cannot predict how the rest of the season will go.
I know that injuries can play a role on the inclusion/seeding of a team, but how do you treat the addition of a player in the middle of a season (for example, if Alabama added Charles Bediako to its roster in mid-January, then do you put an asterisk next to the 5 games that it lost before he arrived)? We have talked about mid-season additions and will treat them a little like injuries. As a team moves into the conference tourney, we will see whether their new player is available. We will not penalize/reward anyone for that: just see how the team played with/without him. We feel it is the best way to do it with this unique roster movement situation.
While you try to split up teams from the same conference into different regions, what happens if the Big 10 and/or Big 12 end up with 6 of the top-20 teams in the nation? We have a set of parameters that we must follow as best we can. There might be some unique circumstances, but we will try to follow those principles to try to make it work. We almost had 2 teams from the same conference play in the 2nd round last March, but 1 of them ended up losing in the 1st round so it did not happen. We will follow our bracketing procedures as closely as we can…but a lot of the procedures were not originally set up for a world with large conferences that have 10 teams get in.
Do you think that 68 is the right # of teams, or would you prefer to have a larger or smaller field? It is an ongoing discussion at every meeting and there are pros/cons to moving up or down. We are being very deliberate about it because this is the crown jewel of college athletics and we take our roles very seriously. I do not have a strong feeling 1 way or the other, but (luckily) we do not need to make that decision today.
-The calendar has turned to February and the bracket is starting to take shape. Most teams are in their final quarter of chances to improve their resume.
-Last week I had Gonzaga in the last spot on the 3 line, the loss to Portland made them my top team on the five line this week. The Zags still have opportunities to move back up a seed line or two with road games at Santa Clara, St. Mary’s and San Francisco. A 3 seed is definitely still in play for the Zags if they can win those 3 road games and win the WCC Tourney, which will be their final time playing in the West Coast Conference Tournament. I believe Gonzaga will want to leave the conference on a high note and win the tournament one last time.
-Santa Clara snuck in as my last team in which I believe my colleagues might have a problem with but I love the way Coach Sendek has this team playing this year. The Broncos could really help their cause with a home win against Gonzaga or a road win at St. Mary’s.
-Teams that just missed my bracket this week:
Texas Ohio State Virginia Tech San Diego State
-Fortunately for this group of 4, they will have plenty of opportunities this month to get themselves back into my bracket.
-The Billikens almost landed on my 4 seed line but ended up as my top 5 seed. If this St. Louis team keeps playing this well a top 4 protected seed is attainable. The computers love this team and so do i. Coach Josh Schertz has his team playing at an extremely high level in the A-10.
-Teams in under the radar conferences that I believe we will hear from before the year is over:
UNC-Wilmington Hawaii Belmont Tulsa Liberty
-We have a fantastic slate of games this weekend that will keep my bracket moving around daily.
COMMENTS FROM THE STAFF …
From Chad:
We have been doing this format where one staff members posts their bracket and the rest of us try to tip it apart for years now. I have to honestly say that Dorman’s bracket this week is as close to where I would have the field as I have ever seen in all that time. I beleive that he is withing 2 seed lines of being correct on pretty much every single team he selected.
I would not have had Miami(FL) in as of today, but it is a close call. I personally would give the edge to one of two SEC teams: Texas or Missouri. I do not want Texas in the field because their volume of losses is so high, but it is hard to overlook the Quad 1 wins on their profile. The Miami Hurricanes have not beaten a single team that is at-large worthy, and that is a huge stroke atgainst them. The good news is that they certainly have chances ahead to makeup for that hole in their resume.
I wish I had more I could tear into here, and I guess I could argue that Saint Louis and Michigan State may be slightly overseeded, but it is splittnig hairs at this point in the season. In all, I give Dorman a solid A+ for this bracket! Great work!
From David Griggs:
-I think Dorman, and the rest of the planet, is undervaluing Texas A&M by about three lines. I know their schedule is backloaded, but they are still atop the SEC standings and barely lost at Alabama in their last game, which is one of the toughest remaining games on their schedule. I believe in Bucky Ball!!
-I still think Belmont belongs inside the bubble!!
From Stalica:
-I’m starting to believe that Michigan State may also start to be fading a bit from protected seed status. While they still have neutral court wins against North Carolina and Kentucky to prop up their profile, they were getting the benefit of the doubt for high quality losses to teams like Duke, Nebraska and Michigan. Losing at Minnesota suddenly adds a hole to their profile that probably screams 4 seed right about now.
-Gonzaga had a similar profile going into Thursday night with neutral court wins against Alabama and Kentucky; even the blowout loss against Michigan could be countered by their blowout win against UK down in Nashville. While the loss at Portland is even uglier than the one against Minnesota by Sparty, I wouldn’t have supported knocking them down below a protected seed.
-As for SLU being a five, I think the question there is whether or not that’s the Billikens’ ceiling or where that’s where they should be seeded right now. If you were to ask me right now, a 6 or 7 is more appropriate, but if they were to win out then you could make the case they’d be a 5 or even a 4.
-We also touched on this during last week’s Bracket Rundown; Saint Mary’s isn’t as safe as we thought they were a couple of weeks ago. I’d also agree that Santa Clara can crack the field as long as they don’t do anything stupid in the WCC play, but they really need to pick up at least one more win against either Gonzaga or Saint Mary’s.
-I’d give Dorman a B+ for the bracket; there were a few outliers compared to where our aggregate committee has been seeding teams of late. I give Griggs an F for throwing spitballs at the whole class while giving us slop on Texas A&M and Belmont.
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