Bracketology 2022: March Madness Predictions (Version 1.0)

Some teams have not even started conference play…yet we are only 10 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we begin to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the 2021 tourney, 62 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 47 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 13th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 19th out of 135 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Baylor (Big 12)
1: Purdue (Big 10)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)

2: Arizona (Pac-12)
2: Kansas (Big 12)
2: Auburn (SEC)
2: UCLA (Pac-12)

3: Michigan State (Big 10)
3: LSU (SEC)
3: Houston (AAC)
3: Ohio State (Big 10)

4: USC (Pac-12)
4: Alabama (SEC)
4: Villanova (Big East)
4: Tennessee (SEC)

5: Iowa State (Big 12)
5: Xavier (Big East)
5: Kentucky (SEC)
5: Seton Hall (Big East)

6: Providence (Big East)
6: Illinois (Big 10)
6: Connecticut (Big East)
6: Wisconsin (Big 10)

7: Colorado State (MWC)
7: Texas (Big 12)
7: Texas Tech (Big 12)
7: West Virginia (Big 12)

8: Oklahoma (Big 12)
8: Loyola-Chicago (MVC)
8: Iowa (Big 10)
8: BYU (WCC)

9: Michigan (Big 10)
9: San Francisco (WCC)
9: Minnesota (Big 10)
9: North Carolina (ACC)

10: Creighton (Big East)
10: Indiana (Big 10)
10: Florida (SEC)
10: Virginia Tech (ACC)

11: St. Mary’s (WCC)
11: Mississippi State (SEC)
11: UCF (AAC)
11: Wake Forest (ACC)
11: Belmont (OVC)
11: Davidson (A-10)

12: San Diego State (MWC)
12: Murray State (OVC)
12: Iona (MAAC)
12: UAB (C-USA)

13: Chattanooga (SoCon)
13: Ohio (MAC)
13: New Mexico State (WAC)
13: South Dakota State (Summit)

14: Oakland (Horizon)
14: Wagner (NEC)
14: Towson (CAA)
14: Vermont (America East)

15: UC Irvine (Big West)
15: Navy (Patriot)
15: Louisiana (Sun Belt)
15: Princeton (Ivy)

16: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
16: Weber State (Big Sky)
16: Campbell (Big South)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)
16: Nicholls State (Southland)
16: Texas Southern (SWAC)

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 2

NEWS AND NOTES:

-I’m beginning to wonder if Baylor will ever lose again.  Iowa State was unbeaten, had some wins against some really good teams, ranked in the top ten, and at home.  That’s the kind of game that’s arguably tougher to win than a Final Four game.  Beating a top ten team in their building is harder to do than beating them on a neutral floor.  Baylor basically led tip to buzzer.  Iowa State played well enough to stay in it, and made some big plays down the stretch to make it closer, but Baylor was never not in control of this game.

-Villanova picked up what was arguably their biggest win of the season as they knocked off Seton Hall on the road.  Again, beating a top 15 team that is in the hunt for a protected seed on the road is not easy to do.  This was a very physical game and it was close throughout, but Nova was able to get the win.

-Texas picked up their biggest win of the season (so far) as they took care of West Virginia at home.  A home win against WVU isn’t anything to get too excited about, but up until this point Texas didn’t have any wins against anyone that’s likely to even make the NIT, so it was one that the Longhorns needed.

-Providence had no trouble winning at DePaul 70-53.  At 13-1 with a lot of big wins and some really good road wins, Providence really does deserve more respect.  Their ranked in the 20s, and based on their schedule and what they’ve done against it, they probably belong in the top ten right now.

-Memphis continues their schizophrenic season.  Some nights they’re incredible and other nights they’re awful.  I suppose that’s better than just being consistently bad.  Yesterday at the Round House against Wichita State, they were incredible.  They won handily on the road against a good team.

-Creighton’s double overtime win at Marquette was perhaps the game of the day.  Creighton built up what appeared to be a commanding lead, but Marquette battled back, got the lead, and then seemed to have control themselves until Creighton drained some 3s to force a second overtime and then finally pulled away.

-A few bubblicious results – Maimi FL got the win over Wake Forest 92-84, Florida State got a nice road win at NC State after some early season struggles, and Oregon got a win against Utah that they really needed.

-Louisiana Tech hung on to beat Western Kentucky.  This is an exciting team to watch, and while their path to land inside the bubble is extremely narrow, if they can blow through CUSA they should at least get a look.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-At the time I’m writing this, 18 games have been cancelled or postponed.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC).  This should be a winnable road game for the Tarheels.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Northwestern has an impressive 8-2 record and they have built up some momentum from their OOC games, but this is a really big challenge.  It won’t be a cakewalk for Michigan State, though.  It’ not easy to go on the road and beat a team that has a lot of momentum built up.

-MARIST AT IONA (Metro Atlantic).  If Iona can hold serve the rest of the way they they should end up inside the bubble.

-UCF AT SMU (American).  Both teams are good, both have good records, but both still have work to do and could use some more notable wins.  That makes this an important game for both teams.

-RICHMOND AT SAINT LOUIS (Atlantic Ten).  Both teams are outside the bubble, but both have potential.  Richmond looked like they had been playing better until their last game, where they were totally blown out by a weak opponent, so they’ve used up a lot of strikes and need a win today.

-SAINT XAVIER (nond1) AT LOYOLA CHICAGO.  Buy game

-INDIANA AT PENN STATE.  Indiana is a very respectable 10-2, but there isn’t much meat on their resume, which means they need to win some big games in conference play, and pick up some road wins.  To put it simply, this is the kind of road game Indiana needs to be able to win.

-HOUSTON AT TEMPLE (American).  Houston has been rocked with injuries and will need some guys to step up into bigger roles for the rest of the season.  They should still be able to pick this one up at Temple, though.

-LOUISVILLE AT GEORGIA TECH.  Louisville is showing signs that they might actually be turning things around.  This is a winnable conference road game for them, which would get them to 3-0 in ACC play, and be another small step forward.

-OHIO STATE AT NEBRASKA (Big Ten).  This is a winnable road game for the Buckeyes, which should keep them on pace to end up as a protected seed.

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 2

In Memoriam: HoopsHD interviews Paul Motley and Jack Adams about Paul McBrayer

The Adolph Rupp coaching tree features several notable names including Gale Catlett/Joe B. Hall/Pat Riley. 1 of the tree branches you might not be aware of is Paul McBrayer, who was an All-American player at Kentucky before spending almost a decade at his alma mater as an assistant to Rupp. He later became head coach at Eastern Kentucky, where he set a school record with 214 victories and won 3 OVC regular season titles from 1953-1961. He was later inducted into the Kentucky Athletic Hall of Fame and the OVC Hall of Fame. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel got to chat with 1 of Coach McBrayer’s former trainers (Paul Motley) and 1 of his former players (Jack Adams) about their old boss. Today marks the 23rd anniversary of Coach McBrayer’s passing on January 1, 1999, so we take this time to remember his life/legacy.

Coach McBrayer played at Kentucky from 1927-1930: what made him choose the Wildcats? Paul Motley: He was a young man growing up in Kentucky and at that time a lot of such boys dreamed of playing for the Wildcats. Jack Adams: I suppose it was because of Coach John Mauer, who later coached at Tennessee.

In 1930 he was named All-American: what did it mean to him to win such an outstanding honor? PM: He was very proud of that. He told me that he played on 1 of the 1st teams that used the back-screen to allow someone to roll to the basket, which remains a great play even today. JA: He was a pretty good player back in the day.

In 1934 he became an assistant coach at Kentucky under Coach Adolph Rupp: how did he like working for Rupp? PM: I think that he enjoyed working for him initially. JA: I think that he liked it okay to start but not as much after the war started.

In 1943 he entered the Army: why did he leave Kentucky, and what impact did WWII have on him either on or off the court? PM: He had a very strong discipline but I am unsure if that was a result of the Army. We called him “the old man”. When we would go over to visit him he would hug us…then push us back a couple of feet and say, “Where the hell have you been?!” JA: I think that he was drafted into the Army, which made him appreciate this country even more.

He became head coach at Eastern Kentucky in 1946 after Rupp decided not to rehire him once he was discharged from the service: how unhappy was he with Rupp’s decision, and what made him choose the Colonels? PM: Rupp replaced McBrayer with Harry Lancaster and from that point on McBrayer did not think that highly of Coach Rupp: he refused to even refer to him by name. We had a reunion for Coach McBrayer a while ago and he gave a very eloquent speech where he stated that he had no ill will toward Coach Rupp because nothing in the future would have been possible. He ended up owning a hotel in Lexington after his 1st wife died: he would drive back and forth from his home there to Eastern Kentucky. There was a job opening and it was in close proximity. JA: He had been promised a job after he got out of the Army but was later told that the job was unavailable.

What are your memories of the 1959 NCAA tourney (Don Goldstein had 25 PTS/13 REB in win by Louisville)? PM: I was a freshman at the time. We beat Louisville handily a couple of years later: they did not want to play us anymore after that! They were always 1 of our biggest rivals: we had a few tough losses to the Cardinals due to some tough calls by the refs.

He remains the winningest basketball coach in Eastern Kentucky history: what made him such a good coach, and do you think that anyone will ever break his record? PM: I think it is just a matter of time before someone catches him. Back then we only played 22-24 games/year: now they play 30+ games/year. Coach McBrayer did not always recruit the best players but was great at stressing the fundamentals like man-to-man defense and fast-break basketball. His teaching skills made him more successful than the talent he had. JA: I suppose that someone will catch him sometime soon but it is a very different era now. He had a style similar to Coach Mauer: they used a semi-fast break with a focus on fundamental basketball.

In the late 1980s Eastern Kentucky named its arena after him: what did it mean to him to receive such a great honor? PM: It meant a great deal to him. His eyesight was failing him back then so he did not make it to a lot of games, but he and his wife Katie came to the game where they named the gym for him and everyone was very gracious. JA: I think that it meant a lot to him. He appreciated the people responsible for making that happen. Several of us signed a petition to get him inducted into the Kentucky Sports Hall of Fame but they refused to retire his jersey due to the makeup of that committee. If anyone should have their jersey retired it should be him due to all of his contributions. All of the credit for the Wildcats’ success back then was given to Coach Rupp.

He died on January 1, 1999: when people look back on his career, how do you think that he should be remembered the most? PM: I think that he needs to be remembered as more than just a coach. He had a great interest in his players: he would sit down with their academic transcript and help them figure out what classes to take and what subject to major in. He was a strong academic person even before teams had study halls: when his players had midterms they would come over to the “basketball house” to have study hall with him. 1 of his proudest records was that he had almost every single 1 of his players graduate. When he passed away he left $600,000 to Eastern Kentucky…but not to the athletic department: he was adamant that it would be used for the honors academic program. He kept a file on every player that he ever had so that he would know what they were doing: he had strong ties to his past players. What sticks out in my mind is that he had excellent players who became lawyers and dentists, and 1 who even joined NASA. JA: I will remember him as an honest and fair person whose principles helped form our society.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Jan 1

HAPPY NEW YEAR EVERYONE!!!  Hopefully it’s less crappy than the year we just had!!  That being said, at the time I’m writing this (late morning on Dec 31), we’ve had 31 games cancelled or postponed.  Many of those would have had tournament implications and would have been listed below.  By the time you read this that number will undoubtedly be higher.

CLICK HERE for the Puppet’s End of 2021 Bracket!!  

-BAYLOR AT IOWA STATE (Big 12) (***Spotlight Game***).  I can’t wait for this one!  Baylor is the top ranked team, and Iowa State is the surprise team of the year who has played their way into the top ten.  This one potentially has #1 seed implications, both teams are highly ranked, both teams are undefeated, and if Iowa State does somehow get this win even though it’s at home, do they have a claim that they should be ranked #1??

-WEST VIRGINIA AT TEXAS (Big 12).  Texas is a good team that currently has nothing on their resume.  They’ll get plenty of chances in conference play, but a win today would objectively be their biggest of the year so far.

-MEMPHIS AT WICHITA STATE (American).  This game has a bubblicious feel to it.  Both teams have work to do and both could really use this one.

-CREIGHTON AT MARQUETTE (Big East).  This looks to be a resume building opportunity for both these teams.  Both appear to be inside the bubble (for now), but both also have a lot of room to improve.

-VILLANOVA AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Both teams are in the rankings, both have looked like protected seed caliber teams, and this is a resume building opportunity for both teams, especially for Villanova since this would be a huge road win for them if they could pull it off.

-WESTERN KENTUCKY AT LOUISIANA TECH (Conference USA).  LA Tech’s path to landing inside the bubble is extremely narrow, but if they can blow through CUSA they should at least get themselves on the board.

-PROVIDENCE AT DEPAUL (Big East).  Providence is having a hell of a season and has some big road wins already.  DePaul is having a much better year than expected, but is also coming off a loss to Butler, which is the kind of game tournament caliber teams need to be able to win.  This is a big test for them at home against a Friars team that is getting some national respect, but probably deserves a lot more.

-UTSA AT UAB (Conference USA).  Similar to what was said about LA Tech, if UAB runs the table in CUSA they will at least be on the board and could end up inside the bubble.

-FLORIDA STATE AT NC STATE (ACC).  Both teams have a ceiling that’s higher than what their current credentials show, which means both teams have a ton of work to do and could really use this one today.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT UNLV (Mountain West).  San Diego State is currently hovering around my bubble and needs to hold serve in games like this in order to keep the inside of it within reach.

-BOISE STATE AT WYOMING (Mountain West).  We have both teams outside the bubble right now, which means both have work to do and that both could really use this win.

-AIR FORCE AT FRESNO STATE (Mountain West).  Fresno needs to put together a long string of wins, which they may be good enough to do.  That string would have to include winning at home against non-tournament teams in games like this one today.

-GEORGE MASON AT KANSAS.  George Mason’s win at Maryland seemed big at the time, but seems much less big now.  A win today would be big, but that’s far easier said than done.

-CHICAGO STATE AT NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC).  New Mexico State is good enough to run the table in the WAC, and if they do they should get a serious look from the committee if they slip up in the conference tournament.

-WAKE FOREST AT MIAMI FL (ACC).  Miami FL has a strong record, but not much meet on the bone yet, so they need to pick up some notable wins in conference play.  Wake is coming off a loss to Louisville and is looking to rebound from that.

-TULANE AT CINCINNATI (American).  This is a buy game caliber game, and Cincinnati needs to hold serve.

-SAN FRANCISCO AT SAINT MARY’S.  This is going to be a fun one!!  Both are bay area teams, both have had good runs in the OOC, both have decent resumes, and both can improve those resumes with a win today.

-KANSAS STATE AT OKLAHOMA (Big 12).  Both teams are in relatively decent shape, but both still have a lot of work to do, especially K State.  A road win in a game like this would be big for them.

-UTAH AT OREGON (Pac 12).  Both these teams have so much work to do that I almost didn’t even highlight this game.

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Handing out the Hardware: All-conference players of 2021 (Part 2 of 2)

The end of the calendar year means that it is time to recognize the best players in college basketball during 2021. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel has reviewed all of the numbers and is ready to announce his picks for the 5 best players from each conference based on their all-around stats. Players are listed in a traditional 5-position lineup (G-G-F-F-C) whenever possible with several exceptions, plus special awards for Player of the Year So Far (POYSF). If you think that he has overlooked anyone then feel free to tweet us your comments, and if you missed Part 1 you can find it at:
https://hoopshd.com/2021/12/30/handing-out-the-hardware-all-conference-players-of-2021-part-1-of-2

MAAC
G: George Papas (Monmouth)
G: Tyson Jolly (Iona)
F: Nelly Junior Joseph (Iona)
F: Malek Green (Canisius)
F: Walker Miller (Monmouth)
POYSF: George Papas (Monmouth)

MAC
G: Mark Sears (Ohio)
G: Ryan Rollins (Toledo)
G: Dae Dae Grant (Miami Ohio)
F: Jeenathan Williams (Buffalo)
F: Daeqwon Plowden (Bowling Green)
POYSF: Ryan Rollins (Toledo)

MEAC
G: Elijah Hawkins (Howard)
G: Myles Carter (Delaware State)
G: Jesse Zarzuela (Coppin State)
F: Kris Bankston (Norfolk State)
F: Tyree Corbett (Coppin State)
POYSF: Jesse Zarzuela (Coppin State)

MVC
G: Cameron Henry (Indiana State)
G: Terry Roberts (Bradley)
G: Shamar Givance (Evansville)
F: Marcus Domask (Southern Illinois)
F: Gaige Prim (Missouri State)
POYSF: Terry Roberts (Bradley)

MWC
G: Grant Sherfield (Nevada)
G: David Roddy (Colorado State)
F: Justin Bean (Utah State)
F: Orlando Robinson (Fresno State)
F: Graham Ike (Wyoming)
POYSF: Justin Bean (Utah State)

NEC
G: Peter Kiss (Bryant)
G: Alex Morales (Wagner)
F: Eral Penn (Long Island)
F: Ty Flowers (Long Island)
F: Jordan Minor (Merrimack)
POYSF: Peter Kiss (Bryant)

OVC
G: KJ Simon (Tennessee-Martin)
G: Tevin Brown (Murray State)
F: Johni Broome (Morehead State)
F: KJ Williams (Murray State)
C: Nick Muszynski (Belmont)
POYSF: Tevin Brown (Murray State)

Pac-12
G: Terrell Brown Jr. (Washington)
G: Bennedict Mathurin (Arizona)
F: Isaiah Mobley (USC)
F: Azuolas Tubelis (Arizona)
C: Christian Koloko (Arizona)
POYSF: Terrell Brown Jr. (Washington)

Patriot
G: Cam Spencer (Loyola Maryland)
G: Nelly Cummings (Colgate)
F: Neal Quinn (Lafayette)
F: Sukhmail Mathon (Boston University)
C: Alex Timmerman (Bucknell)
POYSF: Cam Spencer (Loyola Maryland)

SEC
G: JD Notae (Arkansas)
G: Iverson Molinar (Mississippi State)
F: Jabari Smith (Auburn)
F: Oscar Tshiebwe (Kentucky)
C: Wildens Leveque (South Carolina)
POYSF: JD Notae (Arkansas)

SoCon
G: Malachi Smith (Chattanooga)
G: Ques Glover (Samford)
F: Jalen Slawson (Furman)
F: Hayden Brown (Citadel)
C: Jake Stephens (VMI)
POYSF: Malachi Smith (Chattanooga)

Southland
G: Troy Green (New Orleans)
G: Ty Gordon (Nicholls State)
F: Isaac Mushila (Texas A&M CC)
F: Darius Lee (Houston Baptist)
C: Kendal Coleman (Northwestern State)
POYSF: Ty Gordon (Nicholls State)

SWAC
G: MJ Randolph (Florida A&M)
G: Shawn Williams (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
F: John Walker III (Texas Southern)
F: Jalen Johnson (Alabama A&M)
C: Jayveous McKinnnis (Jackson State)
POYSF: MJ Randolph (Florida A&M)

Summit
G: Max Abmas (Oral Roberts)
G: KJ Hunt (Denver)
G: Trenton Massner (Western Illinois)
F: Douglas Wilson (South Dakota State)
F: Rocky Kreuser (North Dakota State)
POYSF: Max Abmas (Oral Roberts)

Sun Belt
G: Charles Manning Jr. (South Alabama)
G: Rudi Williams (Coastal Carolina)
F: Jordan Brown (Louisiana)
F: Norchad Omier (Arkansas State)
C: Essam Mostafa (Coastal Carolina)
POYSF: Essam Mostafa (Coastal Carolina)

WCC
G: Jalen Williams (Santa Clara)
G: Jamaree Bouyea (San Francisco)
F: Tyler Robertson (Portland)
F: Drew Timme (Gonzaga)
C: Chet Holmgren (Gonzaga)
POYSF: Jamaree Bouyea (San Francisco)

WAC
G: Teddy Allen (New Mexico State)
G: Savion Flagg (Sam Houston)
F: Gavin Kensmil (Stephen F. Austin)
F: Justin Johnson (UTRGV)
C: Fardaws Aimaq (Utah Valley)
POYSF: Fardaws Aimaq (Utah Valley)

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Year End Bracket Projections (from the Puppet) – Dec 31st

I want to make sure everyone knows what they are looking at.  Each week throughout November and December myself and David Doorman take turns doing a bracket.  This is my turn.  It is not a Hoops HD Staff Bracket.  It does not reflect what anyone else who contributes to the site thinks.  It is 100% mine.  So, if you notice drastic differences between the bracket you see below and the bracket you saw last week, that’s why.  I different person did it.  Beginning next week, Jon Teitel will do his weekly bracket, AND there will be a weekly podcast where we build a staff bracket, AND Doorman, myself, and Chad (and I suppose anyone else who wants to) will continue to take turns each week doing our own individual brackets.

What you see below IS NOT an attempt to guess what I think the committee will do in March.  It also isn’t even really an attempt by me to select and seed teams based on how good I think they actually are.  Some others here may do it that way.  I do not.  I’m strictly a CURRENT MERIT guy.  I’m really asking myself just one question.  “How hard  (or easy) was it for a team to win and lose the games that they have so far?”  That’s it.  That’s how I select and seed the teams.  If you want forecasts and predictions, then this isn’t for you…

OTHERS CONSIDERED: TCU, Vanderbilt, Utah State, Louisville, Saint Louis, Boise State, Clemson, UAB, DePaul, Texas, Virginia Tech, Kansas State, Wichita State, Wyoming, Mississippi State, Michigan, Indiana, Fresno State, Northwestern, Texas A&M, Washington State

 

NOTES ON THE BRACKET:

-Texas is perhaps the most glaring omission.  But the reason they aren’t in is because they haven’t won any games that are hard to win.  They’ve beaten a Stanford team on a neutral floor that probably wouldn’t be in the NIT right now, and a bunch of buy games.  That simply isn’t enough.

-Providence on the #1 line is bound to shock some people, but their resume tops out with wins at UConn and at Wisconsin who are both really good and a combined 12-2 at home.  Those two losses are to Providence.  That’s pretty damn good!  Home wins over Texas Tech and Seton Hall aren’t too shabby either.

I still like Iona.  Their win over Alabama has them not just in my bracket, but wearing the home uniforms in the Round of 64.  It’s really unfortunate that their game against Seton Hall was cancelled.  It’s really unfortunate that a lot of games have been cancelled.

-A team I feel like I should mention is Hofstra.  I love the top of their resume with wins at Monmouth and against Arkansas in what may as well have been a road game.  Road losses to teams like Houston and Iona, both of which were good games, are hardly alarming.  But what is utterly stupefying was their loss to William & Mary the other night.  Had it not been for that, I’d probably have the Pride inside my bubble.

-Kentucky doesn’t have a whole lot on their resume, but they do have a nice win against North Carolina (in a game that wasn’t even the originally scheduled game).  And, one decent win is infinitely better than zero.  If it weren’t for that, they wouldn’t be in my field at all.

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