Merit Rankings (and Bracket Projections) From The Puppet, Nov 15th

For today’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

For Jon Teitel’s coverage of this weekend’s DC Area games – CLICK HERE

Okay, so before we go any further I want to make sure everyone knows what they are looking at.  This IS NOT a ranking of how good I believe the teams actually are, or how good I think they will be at the end of the year.  It is simply a ranking with one central question in mind “How hard was it to win the games that the teams have won?”  Nothing more.  I think Villanova is clearly better than Oakland, but Villanova hasn’t (yet) won a game that’s as difficult to win as Oakland’s win at Oklahoma State.  Very few teams have.  That’s why Oakland is ranked so far ahead of so many teams that are likely better than they are.  I also feel that going on the road and winning, even if it is against an under the radar team that isn’t all that good, is still harder to do than winning a home buy game.  When it comes to merit, winning home buy games pretty much get you none.

Right now, I go out of my way to avoid trying to speculate how good teams actually are.  I’m merely trying to measure them on merit.  It is a weird way to do it.  So far as I know, no one else does it this way.  But…it’s the way that I personally like to do it.  It gets me in the habit of evaluating teams based on how I think they should be evaluated with no bias or prejudice or assumption in play.  And, it does allow me to identify teams that are better than what I would assume a little sooner than normal each year.  So, without further ado, here are the admitted unpractical, unreliable, and inaccurate rankings after Week 1.  And…sure…why not just take a few more minutes to bracket them??

  1. DUKE – 3-0, win vs Kentucky
  2. KANSAS – 2-0, neutral win vs Michigan State
  3. UCLA – 2-0, home buy win, home win vs Villanova
  4. GONZAGA – 2-0, blowout home win vs Texas
  5. OAKLAND – 1-1, loss @ West Virginia, win @ Oklahoma State
  6. FURMAN – 1-0 in D1 games, win @ Louisville
  7. Virginia Tech – 2-0, win @ Navy
  8. UCF – 2-0, win @ Miami FL
  9. UC DAVIS – 2-0, win @ Utah State
  10. WAGNER – 2-0, home win vs Hartford, win @ VCU
  11. VERMONT – 1-1, win @ Northern Iowa, loss @ Maryland
  12. OHIO U – 2-0, home win vs Belmont, win @ Cleveland State
  13. UMass Lowell – 2-0, win @ Dayton
  14. NAVY – 1-1, home loss to VA Tech, win @ Virginia
  15. Miami OH – 2-0, wins @ Georgia Tech, vs Lamar
  16. Oregon – 2-0, home buy win, home win vs SMU
  17. Usc – 2-0, home buy win, win @ Temple
  18. FLORIDA – 2-0, home win vs Florida State
  19. NICHOLLS – 1-0, win @ Northern Iowa
  20. Northern Illinois – 1-1, win @ Washington, loss @ Indiana
  21. The Citadel – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Pitt
  22. West Virginia – 2-0 at home, win vs Pitt
  23. NORTHERN COLORADO – 3-0, 2 D1 wins, neutral vs Pacific, @ Hawaii
  24. Byu – 2-0, home by win, home win vs San Diego State
  25. MICHIGAN – 2-0, buy win vs PV A&M, home win vs Buffalo
  26. Iowa State – 2-0, home buy win, home win vs Oregon State
  27. Boston College – 2-0 in buy games, home win vs Dartmouth
  28. DARTMOUTH – 1-1, win @ Georgetown, loss @ Boston College
  29. GEORGIA SOUTHERN – 2-0, win @ South Florida
  30. Colorado – 2-0, home wins vs Montana State and New Mexico
  31. Cincinnati – 2-0 at home, wins vs Evansville and Georgia
  32. EASTERN KENTUCKY – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Milwaukee
  33. Toledo – 2-0, win @ Valpo, home win vs Detroit
  34. Princeton – 1-1 vs D1, neutral win vs South Carolina, loss vs Minnesota
  35. Cornell – 2-0, road wins @ Binghamton and Lafayette
  36. HOFSTRA – 1-1, win @ Duquesne, loss @ Houston
  37. Delaware – 1-1, win @ Siena, loss @ Davidson
  38. Louisiana – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Southern Miss
  39. Binghamton – 1-1, home loss to Cornell, win @ Sacred Heart
  40. Njit – 1-1, home loss to Merrimack, win @ Lehigh
  41. Alabama – 2-0, home wins vs LA Tech and South Dakota State
  42. Maryland – 3-0, 2 buy game wins, 1 win vs Vermont
  43. Youngstown State – 1-1, loss @ Penn State, win @ SEMO
  44. SEMO – 1-1, win @ Missouri State, home loss vs Youngstown State
  45. UNC Greensboro – 2-0, win @ Northern Kentucky
  46. WESTERN ILLINOIS – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Nebraska
  47. South Dakota State – 2-1, home win vs Bradley, win @ SFA
  48. Chattanooga – 2-0, win @ LMU
  49. Uic – 1-1, loss @ Dayton, win @ Valpo
  50. MONMOUTH – 1-1, loss @ Charlote, win @ Towson
  51. HOWARD – 1-0 in D1 games, win @ Bradley
  52. North Dakota State – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Cal Poly
  53. Long Beach State – 1-0, road win @ Idaho
  54. Marist – 1-1. Loss @ American, win @ Columbia
  55. CAMPBELL – 1-1, neutral win vs Hartford, loss @ Duke
  56. SOUTHERN – 1-1, loss @ Louisville, win @ Tulane
  57. Texas – 1-1, home buy win, loss @ Gonzaga
  58. SETON HALL – 2-0, both buy games, but one was against Yale
  59. South Carolina – 2-1, home buy win, neutral win vs WKU, loss vs Princeton
  60. South Dakota – 1-1, neutral win vs Air Force, road loss @ Drake
  61. San Francisco – 3-0, all home wins, Davidson is the best win
  62. Villanova – 1-1, buy game win, loss @ UCLA
  63. Baylor – 1-0 in buy games
  64. Kentucky – 1-1, home buy win, neutral loss vs Duke
  65. Ohio State – 2-0 in buy games
  66. Illinois – 2-0 in buy games
  67. Houston – 2-0 in buy games
  68. Purdue – 2-0 in buy games
  69. North Carolina – 2-0 in buy games
  70. Florida State – 1-1, buy win vs Penn, loss at Florida
  71. NEW MEXICO STATE – 2-0, home wins vs UCI and UTEP
  72. Memphis – 2-0 in buy games
  73. Auburn – 2-0 in buy games
  74. Texas Tech – 2-0 in buy games
  75. SAINT BONAVENTURE – 2-0 in buy games
  76. UConn – 2-0 in buy games
  77. COLORADO STATE – 2-0 in buy games
  78. Oklahoma – 2-0 in buy games
  79. Wisconsin – 2-0 in buy games
  80. Clemson – 2-0 in buy games
  81. LOYOLA CHICAGO – 2-0 in buy games
  82. NC State – 2-0 in buy games
  83. Smu – 2-0 in buy games
  84. Drake – 1-0 in buy games
  85. Mississippi State – 2-0 in buy games
  86. Iowa – 2-0 in buy games
  87. Creighton – 2-0 in buy games
  88. Wake Forest – 2-0 in buy games
  89. Notre Dame – 1-0 in buy games
  90. Saint Louis – 2-0 in D1 buy games
  91. Marquette – 2-0 in buy games
  92. Wichita State – 2-0 in buy games
  93. UAB – 2-0 in buy games
  94. Rhode Island – 2-0 in buy games
  95. Providence – 2-0 in buy games
  96. Richmond – 1-1 – home buy win, neutral loss vs Utah State
  97. San Diego State – 1-1, buy game win, loss @ BYU
  98. Little Rock – 1-0 vs D1, home win vs Southern Illinois
  99. Butler – 3-0 in buy games
  100. Tcu – 1-0 in buy games
  101. Kansas State – 1-0 in buy games
  102. Xavier – 2-0 in buy games
  103. Saint John’s – 2-0 in buy games
  104. Indiana – 2-0 in buy games
  105. Arizona – 2-0 in buy games
  106. Rutgers – 2-0 in buy games
  107. George Mason – 2-0 in buy games
  108. Northwestern – 2-0 in buy games
  109. DePaul – 2-0 in buy games
  110. Penn State – 1-0 in buy games
  111. Towson – 1-1, road win @ Albany, home loss vs Monmouth
  112. Colgate – 1-1, home win vs Northeastern, loss @ NC State
  113. Virginia – 1-1 in buy games, lost to Navy
  114. Tennessee – 2-0 in buy games
  115. Texas A&M – 3-0 in buy games
  116. Arkansas – 2-0 in buy games
  117. Utah – 2-0 in buy games
  118. Lsu – 2-0 in buy games
  119. Saint Mary’s – 2-0 in buy games
  120. Missouri – 1-0 in buy games
  121. Louisville – 1-1 in buy games, lost to Furman
  122. Sacred Heat – 1-2, win @ La Salle, losses @ Providence, vs Binghamton
  123. Washington State – 2-0 in buy games
  124. Ole Miss – 2-0 in buy games
  125. Vanderbilt – 2-0 in buy games
  126. Santa Clara – 2-0 in buy games

-So, this is always amusing to look at.  A First Four game between Villanova and Baylor on the #16 line with the winner taking on Duke is probably something that you will not see at the end of the year as things play out more.  You probably (well…most definitely) won’t see so many Under the Radar teams with protected seeds either.  But, as of now, after Week 1, those teams have played and won on the road, and many of the bigger programs have not.  So, if you’re trying to go strictly off of merit, then this is how it looks.

Posted in Bracketology, News and Notes | Tagged | Comments Off on Merit Rankings (and Bracket Projections) From The Puppet, Nov 15th

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Nov 15th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-And just like that…Week 1 is over.  The season really does fly by.  On to week 2!!

-I plan on having a way too early (but still fun) Merit Rankings, seedlist, and bracket posted later on today.  I say I PLAN on having that done.  Sometimes it’s hard to find time to do everything, so if it’s a little late, that’s why.

-The biggest game yesterday was between Florida State and Florida.  I still think the Noles have the talent to finish as a protected seed, but they will need to improve as the season goes on.  It was back and forth for the first 30ish minutes of the game, but Florida pulled away and got control down the stretch for the 71-55 win.  The Gators get a nice win on paper, and they win the bragging rights!

-After blowing out UMass, Yale was blown out by Seton Hall last night 80-44.

-Drake absolutely blasted South Dakota into the sun.  South Dakota isn’t a top 50ish caliber team, but they aren’t terrible either.  Drake is DAMN good.  They aren’t ranked right now, but they probably will be before the season is over.

-Minnesota, who we thought would be one of the worst P5 teams this year, is now 3-0 with a few decent wins.  They’re not great wins, but they’re far better than just winning buy games.  They knocked off Princeton in overtime last night 87-80 to win the Asheville Championship MTE.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-FURMAN AT BELMONT (***Spotlight Game***).  This is a hugely important UTR game for both teams.  Furman is unbeaten and already has a win at Louisville, which is the kind of win that can result in the selection committee taking a team even if they don’t win their conference tournament.  Belmont is another really good team that we also think might be good enough to play their way inside the bubble, so the stakes are high tonight.

-ILLINOIS AT MARQUETTE (Gavitt Tipoff Games).  Illinois clearly looks to be the superior team, but they are on the road, and teams who play early season showcase games at home often come in with a lot of energy.  Tonight will be an interesting test for the Illini and an interesting opportunity for Marquette.

-LIBERTY AT LSU.  Liberty is always one of the top UTR teams each year, and this year probably isn’t any different.  They’ve got a huge opportunity to get a quality road win that would really impress the committee if they can knock off LSU tonight.

-BUFFALO AT NORTH TEXAS.  Buffalo lost their season opener at Michigan, but this is still an outstanding team that’ looking for their first win.  Winning at North Texas certainly isn’t easy, but Buffalo is good enough to win games that aren’t easy to win.

-NAVY AT LOUISVILLE.  Navy did win at Virginia, and Louisville has an early season loss to Furman to make up for, so this one is worth keeping a bit of an eye on.

-WISCONSIN AT PROVIDENCE (Gavitt Tipoff Games).  Both teams come in at 2-0, and both are looking for an early signature win.  It’s the first real test for either team.

-OREGON STATE AT TULSA.  I still think Oregon State has some potential this year, but in order to meet it they have to be able to win road games like this.

-NORTH DAKOTA STATE AT UNLV.  Both teams come in 2-0, and it’s probably the toughest test for either of them up to this point.

-UC SANTA BARBARA AT WASHINGTON STATE.  Many are picking Wazzu as a dark horse in the Pac 12, and many (myself included) think UC Santa Barbara is one of the better UTR teams in the country this year, so this is a really interesting early season match-up.

BUY GAMES AND OTHER GAMES OF NOTE:

-Nicholls @ Baylor – both teams unbeaten
-Bowling Green @ Ohio State
-The Citadel @ Presbyterian – The Citadel is 2-0 with a win at Pitt.  If they can get to 3-0 with two true road wins, that’s a hell of a start for a team that’s normally among the worst in D1!
-Radford @ Virginia Tech
-Bryant @ Clemson
-Penn State @ UMass – a chance for Penn State to pick up a road win and remain unbeaten
-Robert Morris @ Ohio U
-Lamar @ Georgia Tech
-Prairie View A&M @ Texas Tech
-Southern Miss @ TCU
-Kansas City @ Missouri
-Northwestern State @ SMU
-Maine @ Colorado
-Alcorn State @ Gonzaga
-San Diego @ California – San Diego can pick up a road win and improve to 3-0
-Samford @ San Francisco – both teams unbeaten
-North Florida @ Arizona State
-Bethune Cookman @ Utah
-Southern Utah @ Saint Mary’s – the preseason Big Sky favorite against a really solid SMC team
-Long Beach State @ UCLA – both teams unbeaten
-San Jose State @ Stanford

Posted in News and Notes | 1 Comment

Tripleheader: HoopsHD does 3 games in 3 arenas in 25 hours!

It has been a long lonely life of not attending any college basketball games in person over the past 18 months during the pandemic. Thankfully, this weekend HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel was able to break the streak in a big way by attending 3 games (Penn-George Mason, Dartmouth-Georgetown, and Michigan-Prairie View) in 3 arenas (EagleBank Arena, Capital One Arena, and Entertainment & Sports Arena) in a glorious 25-hour span from Friday night to Saturday night. He presents the following photo essay of his return to a sense of normalcy.

Penn-George Mason: After a LONG subway ride from DC to Virginia on Friday my friend Patrick picked me up and we headed to Fairfax to see my Quakers for their 1st trip to the DMV since they beat Howard back in 2019. There were not a lot of fans in attendance so we got to sit up high and be quite socially distant:

It actually seemed like a normal fan experience with the only difference being that everyone was wearing masks. The most interesting part of the game was during the national anthem: most of the Penn players/staff remained seated while Coach Steve Donahue and a couple of others stood. I have not found any news about it online (so perhaps it is a non-issue) but it certainly caught my attention:

The game itself did not go well for the good guys. Penn made 11 threes and actually had more AST than GMU…but the Patriots had a balanced scoring effort with 5 guys who each had 12+ PTS and a great interior defense that only allowed 37.1 FG% inside the arc as they cruised to an 87-66 win. Hopefully my alma mater can get back on track in the weeks ahead before beginning a brutal set of back-to-back games vs. Arkansas & Villanova 2 weeks from today.

Dartmouth-Georgetown: After sleeping off the loss it was back to work on Saturday afternoon with another Ivy League team as the Big Green were in DC to face the Hoyas. My 1st media meal of the season was a Potbelly wreck/jalapeno chips/sugar cookie: hit the spot! Dartmouth’s pregame warmup featured the team wearing “8 Against Hate” t-shirts to showcase the league’s commitment to fighting all forms of hatred:

Georgetown showed its own commitment by performing the Black national anthem while PG Dante Harris and his team stood on the court:

There was big ovation for Preseason Big East ROY Aminu Mohammed when he was introduced as part of the starting lineup. Lights are on, ball is tipped, and away we go!

1 of the other newcomers is 7’2” FR C Ryan Mutombo, son of 7’2” Georgetown legend Dikembe Mutombo, whose last game in a Georgetown uniform was more than 30 years ago when he had 16 PTS/9 REB/3 BLK in an 8-PT loss to an undefeated UNLV squad in the 1991 NCAA tourney (in Tucson!). If you thought there was a chance he would miss his son’s debut 3 decades later…think again:

The good news is that Ryan had a decent debut with his famous father in attendance, scoring 6 PTS in 11 minutes off the bench via a pair of old-fashioned 3-PT plays:

The bad news is that after he committed his 1st foul he got called over to the bench for some…individual instruction by Coach Patrick Ewing:

Apparently the mask policy is for humans only and does not apply to Jack the Bulldog:

…or the other Bulldog for that matter:

A late arrival who sat down right in front of me was former Hoya Rodney Pryor (and his newborn baby!), who finished 4th in the Big East with 18 PPG back in 2017:

Dartmouth opened up a huge lead early and was actually up by 22 PTS late in the 1st half before taking a 37-21 lead into the locker room. As you might expect in a mid-November game it was the seniors taking charge as Brendan Barry/Taurus Samuels each knocked down a pair of threes before halftime (p.s. How long do we have to wait for Ford to do an NIL with a guy named Taurus?!). However, the surprise star was FR SG Ryan Cornish (from Potomac, MD): he looks like he is 14 years old but played like a crafty veteran by making a layup/&1, a pull-up jumper, a pair of threes, and even took a charge against Kaiden Rice, proving once again the power of redheads:

After losing 4 starters from last year (Jahvon Blair/Qudus Wahab/Chudier Bile/Jamorko Pickett) it seemed like there would be no way for Georgetown to close such a large gap with such a young team, but Ewing relied heavily on his incoming freshmen by playing 5 of them (Mohammed/Mutombo/Jordan Riley/Jalin Billingsley/Tyler Beard) as part of his 9-man rotation. Mohammed got to the basket over and over including a dunk to tie it at 48-all, then Riley followed that up with a breakaway dunk to take a 50-48 lead as the crowd roared its approval. The 2 Hoya seniors (Rice/Donald Carey) each made a trio of threes, so it seemed like they had overcome some early obstacles and were ready to finish strong, but Dartmouth simply refused to throw in the towel. The final 10 minutes belonged to their 2 seniors, as Barry had a 4-PT play as part of an 18-3 run to help seal the deal, and Samuels made 4 more threes in the 2nd half to finish with a career-high 23 PTS en route to a 69-60 road upset:

The postgame interview rules do not allow as many media members this year due to social distancing so I went home/took a nap/headed to Game #3…instead of heading into the Caesars By William Hill Sportsbook that last spring became the 1st sportsbook to open inside a pro basketball arena:

Michigan-Prairie View: Continuing the “Against Hate” theme, for those of you wondering what these 2 teams were doing in DC: they were participating in the inaugural “Coaches vs. Racism” event. The purpose is to bring an end to systemic racism in sports by helping Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) in a couple of ways: highlighting players who are traditionally overlooked by scouts and raising money for college tuition. I had a seriously inauspicious start to the final game of my tripleheader: no media food/drinks, my computer cord was not long enough to reach the nearest power strip in the limited media seating, and there was no electricity at all in the overflow media seating across the court. Fortunately, it was not personal and there were creative solutions available. There was no line at the concession stand for chicken tenders/fries/soda (note to the HoopsHD higher-ups: my expense report is in the mail!) and a nice guy from the IT department installed another power strip right before tip-off so all of my crises were averted. Even though DC is more than 500 miles away from Ann Arbor it appeared that around 95% of the crowd was wearing maize and blue:

You might think that Michigan is becoming a basketball school after last year’s trip to the Elite 8, but the most popular jerseys in the building were of basketball legend…Tom Brady:

Tip-off was 7’1” Hunter Dickinson vs. 6’8” Jerroda Briscoe: care to guess who won it?

The Wolverines dominated from start to finish: with a small gym that was half-full of fans who had little to boo about it was fun to clearly hear Coach Juwan Howard calling out plays from the sideline:

The loudest cheers were reserved for Dickinson, who grew up a short distance away in Alexandria, VA. He had a personal 7-0 run to start the game with a REB/tip-in, a 3 from the top of key, and a dunk. Much like Georgetown, Michigan also lost several starters from last year (Franz Wagner/Mike Smith/Isaiah Livers), but their freshman replacements looked fabulous. Caleb Houstan (3-8 3PM) almost made more threes then the entire Panther team (4-18 3PM), Moussa Diabate did a little of everything (6 PTS/8 REB/1 BLK/1 STL in 15 minutes off the bench), and Kobe Bufkin chipped in with 8 PTS/2 STL of his own. Prairie View trailed 42-23 at halftime: while they played much better in the 2nd half (including an alley-oop dunk by Jawaun Daniels) and finished with 10 STL but it did not make any difference as they ended up losing 77-49. Dickinson finished with a double-double (11 PTS/10 REB in 23 minutes), helping his team enjoy a 52-32 REB advantage, but for the 2nd straight game Michigan was mediocre from the FT line (18-30 vs. Buffalo and 17-32 vs. Prairie View). It has not cost them yet…but you will not win games in March by missing FTs.

The postgame press conference was the most interesting part of the night. 1st of all, instead of the usual practice of having 1 team go 1st and another team go 2nd, the event organizers decided to promote the unifying theme of the event by having 2 players from each team sitting at the same table:

The Wolverines are a big draw so it was a bit of a tight squeeze with a bunch of people in a tiny room, but at least everyone from the media was masked up. I got to ask Dickinson about his homecoming: he said that he had a lot of family/friends in attendance, was excited but not nervous, and that it was fun to be back in the area:

After the players finished it was time for the combo coach conference:

Since I was at an event called “Coaches vs. Racism” that was taking place just 48 hours after Seattle head coach Jim Hayford resigning for allegedly using the N-word, I was curious to get each coach’s reaction was to the recent news. Coach Howard was unaware of the incident so he was stunned when I broke the news to him and called it “heartbreaking”:

Prairie View coach Byron Smith actually faced Hayford when their 2 teams played back in 2018. He called it a “tragedy” because basketball is a unique sport that breaks down all racial barriers. He said that sometimes coaches can go too far in an attempt to make a point and that there is no place in our world for that type of language:

That is a wrap from my exciting 25 hours in DC, but check back next weekend as HoopsHD will be LIVE at the Roman Main Event to see the Wolverines yet again when they headline a 4-team field that includes Arizona/UNLV/Wichita State.

Posted in CBB | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off on Tripleheader: HoopsHD does 3 games in 3 arenas in 25 hours!

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Nov 14

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Gonzaga jumped out to an early lead against Texas, and while The Longhorns did make an occasional run, it was never out of the Zag’s control.  It was a very impressive 86-74 win, and Gonzaga once again looks to be the clear #1 team, at least for now.

-Maryland got a bit of a scare from what is shaping up to be a really good Vermont team, but pulled away in the final minutes for a 68-57 win.  The win would have been huge for Vermont, but they’ve already managed what should turn out to be a good road win at Northern Iowa, and they’ve got a few more opportunities to rack up big OOC wins, so they have the chance to put together a really good NCAA Tournament resume.

There were more upsets yesterday!  At least in terms of Under the Radar teams winning on the road…

-Darmouth basically held a lead against Georgetown the entire way and ended up with a 69-60 win.  It is going to be a very long year for the Hoyas.

-UMass Lowell, who we thought would finish in the middle of the America East, went on the road and got a win at Dayton 59-58.  They certainly have our attention now.

-Wagner went into VCU and pulled out a surprising 58-44 win.  It’s been a bit of a rough start for the Atlantic Ten with UMass getting blown out by Yale, and with VCU and Dayton losing home buy games.

Duquesne also lost at home to Hofstra and Fordham fell to Manhattan, but neither of those results are particularly surprising.

-NC State avoided a near loss to Colgate, but held on to win 77-74 in a game that came down to the final couple of possessions

-USC blew it open early against Temple, but somehow the Owls came back and made it a game.  USC still held on to win 76-71, but it’s tough to say if Temple is better than we thought, or if USC just totally blew it once they had control.  Perhaps it’s a combination of both.

-UCF is off to a 2-0 start after picking up a notable road win against in-state foe Miami FL.

-Ohio U got a nice road win at Cleveland State to remain unbeaten.  Cleveland State is now 0-2, but we still think they are a good team that will make quite a bit of noise as they get a little further into their schedule.

-Shout out to Saint Thomas who picked up their first D1 win as a D1 team!  They knocked off Saint Francis Brooklyn on the road 91-73

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-YALE AT SETON HALL.  Neither team has lost, and Yale has a blowout win over UMass.  They are probably overmatched today, but it could still be a fun game.

-FLORIDA STATE AT FLORIDA.  It’s a rivalry game between two likely NCAA Tournament teams.  We actually think both teams are a little underrated and undervalued right now.  This is a chance for both of them to likely pick up a resume boosting win as well as a bragging rights win.

-MINNESOTA VS PRINCETON (Asheville Championship).  Both teams come into this one unbeaten, and are coming off of wins that were somewhat surprising from the first game in this event.  We weren’t all that excited about either team coming in to the season, but one of them will leave here today 3-0 with some (at least) semi-decent wins away from home on their resume.

OTHER GAMES WORTH MENTIONING:

-EAST TENNESSEE STATE AT TENNESSEE.  This is a buy game, and it may end up looking that way by the time it’s over, but since ETSU looks like they may be able to finish near the top of the SoCon it is worth keeping somewhat of an eye on.

-SOUTH DAKOTA AT DRAKE.  Both teams come into this one after having won their opener, and Drake Is a really good team that we think can finish inside the bubble.  They may get a bit of a test from the Yotes today, though.

-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE AT STEPHEN F AUSTIN.  South Dakota State is coming off a loss to Alabama where they played really well.  It’s early, but they are one of the UTR teams that we think could make a push to land inside the bubble.  If they’re an NCAA Tournament caliber team, then this is the kind of road game that they need to be able  to win.

-WESTERN KENTUCKY VS SOUTH CAROLINA (Asheville Championship).  Both teams are coming off losses In the first round of this event that were somewhat surprising.  WKU fell to Minnesota and South Carolina lost to Princeton.  This is more of a sense of urgency game early on than it is a chance for either of them to pick up a quality win.

-MORGAN STATE AT GEORGE MASON – Both teams come in at 2-0

BUY GAMES:

-Arkansas Baptist (nonD1) @ Little Rock – Little Rock can get to 3-0
-Rhodes College (nonD1) @ UAB – UAB can get to 3-0
-TAMUCC @ Texas A&M – both teams unbeaten
-Fairfield @ Boston College – BC can get to 3-0
-Canisius @ Saint Bonaventure – Bonnies can get to 2-0
-La Sierra (nonD1) @ UC Riverside
-Drexel @ Syracuse – both teams 1-0
-Peru State (nonD1) @ Colorado State
-Texas State @ Vanderbilt

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Nov 14

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Nov 13

NEWS AND NOTES

-The game of the night, and perhaps the season so far, was one that you may have had to stay up past your bedtime to watch.  UCLA knocked off Villanova in overtime last night 86-77.  Both teams were ranked in the top five, both are legit Final Four contenders, and both played really well last night.  Villanova built up a 10pt lead, but UCLA came back and hit a shot in the final minute of regulation to tie it.  Nova had a chance to win on their final possession, but couldn’t convert, and UCLA managed to pull away in the extra period in front of their home fans to pick up the massive win.  As for Nova, it would have been a great, #1 seed caliber win had they pulled it off, but the fact that they didn’t barely even qualifies as a setback.  It does nothing to hurt them.  Their chances of getting a #1 seed have not been hurt at all by the loss.

On top of that, it was a crazy day with some unexpected results and some games that were much closer than expected…

-Furman went into Louisville and pulled off a huge upset win in overtime.  Furman is picked toward the top of the SoCon, and the SoCon is usually a really good league, so while we thought they’d be good we didn’t have them pegged as a team that we thought had a chance to land inside the bubble.  Well…after this…we now have them pegged as that.  They may not sustain this throughout the entire season, but this is a MASSIVE early season win for Furman!.  As for Louisville, they didn’t look all that good in either game.  They actually struggled a little big against Southern in their opener.

-North Carolina got a battle from Brown, and actually trailed for much of the game, but finally got control in the final minutes of play to escape with the 94-87 win.

-Clemson struggled with Wofford last night, and for about 39 minutes it looked like Wofford may actually win.  They finally got control late and avoided the upset, though.  Not the most impressive night for the ACC!

-Ohio State had to sweat out Niagara, but escaped with an 84-74 win.  Niagara was picked to finish near the bottom of the Metro Atlantic, but in their first two games they’ve really stepped up on Xavier and Ohio State.  This is the second game Ohio State had to kind of sweat out as they needed a last second shot to get by Kent State in their opener.

-Texas A&M needed overtime to get past Abilene Christian, and got a little bit lucky at the end of the game.  ACU was up 2 when TAMU missed a freethrow with just five seconds to go in OT.  ACU could not collect the rebound, and it went out of bounds to TAMU, which gave them another shot.  After that, they drained a 3 at the buzzer for the 81-80 win, and avoided what would have been an upset.  This Abilene Christian program has had some big moments in recent years.  Last year they knocked off Texas in the NCAA Tournament, they’ve moved to the WAC which is a bit of an upgrade in terms of basketball competitiveness, and they damn near upset Texas A&M last night!

-Oregon blasted a pretty good SMU team last night.  It was actually a very impressive performance.  Watch out for the Ducks this year!  Not everyone in the Pac 12 is off to a great start, but Oregon and UCLA sure seem to be firing on all cylinders.

-Alabama got a battle from a really good South Dakota State team (that you’re going to want to keep an eye on all season), but pulled away in the end for a 104-88 win.  Alabama opened against two really good Under the Radar teams, and looked good in both games.

-Utah State got a big win against Richmond 85-74 on a neutral floor in Annapolis MD.  Richmond is a team that we thought would be a solid NCAA Tournament team, and that could still easily end up happening, so this is no small early season win for Utah State!

-BYU got a tough home win against a good San Diego State team last night 66-60.  Neither team is in the rankings (at least not currently), but I believe that both are good enough to make the NCAA Tournament, so it was a good early season game.

-Western Kentucky is an under the radar team we thought would be good, and Minnesota was a Big Ten team that we thought would be terrible.  Last night proved for about the millionth time that not everything we say in the preseason ends up being correct.  The Gophers pretty much led throughout the whole game, and although they final margin was  just 73-69, they were pretty much in control the whole way as well, so a nice early season win for a Minnesota team we may have underestimated.

-Yale blew UMass out of the gym last night to improve to 2-0.  Blowing out UMass in and of itself is hardly noteworthy, but it does seem to confirm that this Yale team will be one of the stronger teams in the Ivy League and that we may be seeing them in The Dance come March.

-Princeton pulled off a road win at South Carolina, so the Ivy is shaping up to be interesting this season after not getting to play any games a season ago.

-Chicago State is 2-0!  And they’ve beaten two D1 teams!  I can’t remember the last time t hat happened!

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-TEXAS AT GONZAGA (***Spotlight Game***).  This is the second game in a 24 hour period to feature two top five teams!!  It is also the second game in a 24 hour period featuring top five teams that will undoubtedly in way past midnight in the east!  It’s worth staying up for, though!  Both teams are being forecasted as being Final Four caliber teams. When the committee is looking at who should get #1 seeds, wins against top five teams look very good! (that was perhaps the most obvious statement of the day).  It’s two fun styles between two good teams that could end up having an impact on who gets a #1 seed!  What’s not to like??

-UCF AT MIAMI FL.  Both teams come into this one 1-0, and this is a good early season regional match-up for both teams.  It’d be a decent win on paper (at least for now), but it’d be a nice momentum boost off paper as well.

-VERMONT AT MARYLAND.  Vermont is coming off a really impressive win against Northern Iowa in their opener.  They managed this without their best player.  I don’t know what his status is for this one, but they could end up giving Maryland a much bigger challenge than what they’re expecting if Maryland overlooks them.  If Vermont does somehow pull this off, this is the kind of win that can make the selection committee take a UTR team even if they don’t win their conference tournament.

-OLD DOMINION AT JAMES MADISON – these are former Colonial rivals and it’s always fun to see these two play each other.  Both come into this 1-0, and while neither team received a ton of preseason praise, I think both are potential dark horses in their respective conferences.

-NEW MEXICO AT COLORADO.  Both teams come in 1-0 and both seem to have a lot of potential, but also a lot of questions as to just how good they’ll end up being this year.  This is a good early season test for both of them.

-USC AT TEMPLE.  We are expecting much bigger things out of USC than out of Temple, and although Temple did win their first game, it wasn’t exactly the type of performance that made you go “WOW!”  But, a win is a win, and they did win it, and if they are able to win today it would totally change my perception of them.

-MONTANA AT MISSISSIPPI STATE.  This is a buy game, but we’ll go ahead and highlight it.  Both teams won their season openers, and it’s a chance for Montana to really put a high quality early season win on their resume.  It’s much easier said than done, but I wouldn’t go so far to say that it’s impossible.

-GEORGIA AT CINCINNATI.  The expectations for these two teams are very low this year.  Now if they were to play in football (which they did in a bowl game last year), then that’d be a game to watch!!  But, as for this basketball game, both do come in 1-0, and the winner will have some much needed early season momentum and will continue to hold our attention until they give us a reason to not pay attention anymore, but I don’t think either team makes the NCAAs this year.

-OHIO U AT CLEVELAND STATE.  Ohio U beat a really good Belmont team in their season opener, but this will be a really tough road test against a Cleveland State team that is picked to finish atop the Horizon League, and who gave BYU a hell of a game in their season opener.

-DAVIDSON AT SAN FRANCISCO.  I like this San Francisco team this year, and I think Davidson may end up being a little better than expected.  This is a good early season test for both of these teams to see where each of them are.  Both are also coming in without a loss.

-UTEP AT NEW MEXICO STATE.  It’s a rivalry game, and it will soon be a conference rivalry game, and both teams come in 1-0.  I think New Mexico State’s ceiling and expectations are much higher, but rivalry games between unbeaten teams, even in the first week, will get highlighted!

OTHERS WORTH MENTIONING (sort of)

Georgia Southern  @ South Florida – both teams 1-0
Mount Saint Mary’s @ Saint Joseph’s – not expecting much out of Joe’s this year, but a win gets them to 2-0
Harvard @ Iona – both are 1-0 and both could end up making noise in their conference this year
Mercer @ Winthrop – Winthrop can improve to 2-0, and Mercer is worth keeping an eye on this year after they played Arkansas tough in their opener.
Lamar @ Miami OH – both teams 1-0
-FGCU @ Loyola Chicago – both teams are 1-0.  We really like this Loyola team and believe they are once again good enough to end up inside the bubble
-South Alabama @ Wichita State – both teams 1-0
Evansville @ Belmont – we really like this Belmont team, but their margin for error is very thin the rest of the way.  They dropped their opener at Ohio U.
-Youngstown State @ SEMO – SEMO had a surprising win in their opener at Missouri State.  They can get to 2-0 with a win today.
-Eastern Kentucky @ Milwaukee – both teams are unbeaten, and both have the potential to be good this year.
Hofstra @ Duquesne – Hofstra battled Houston in their season opener, and despite the loss they showed they could play at a higher caliber than what we expected.  They should be able to pick up this one on the road tonight.  Duquesne did win their opener against Rider, though
California @ UNLV – it’s hard to be excited about this game, and perhaps if it weren’t for the brand names we wouldn’t even be mentioning it, but…you know what? That’s all I got!
Boise State @ UC Irvine – UCI is a Big West frontrunner who could end up being very dangerous.  They are looking for their first win after falling to a good New Mexico State team in their opener
George Washington @ UC San Diego – both teams are 1-0, and although GW isn’t expected to be good this year and UC San Diego is still transitioning, UCSD did beat Cal in their first game, so if GW were to win this we would sit up and take notice.

BUY GAMES

-Coppin State @ UConn
-Cal State Northridge @ Notre Dame
-Dartmouth @ Georgetown
-Colgate @ NC State – both teams 1-0, and while Colgate may be overmatched today, they should be a frontrunner in the Patriot League
-Gardner Webb @ Arkansas
-Saint Peter’s @ Saint John’s
-UMass Lowell @ Dayton – both teams 1-0
-Central Michigan @ DePaul
-NC Central @ Memphis
-Wagner @ VCU – both teams 1-0
-Prairie View A&M @ Michigan
-Campbell @ Duke – both teams 2-0
-Alabama State @ Missouri State – Missouri State looking for their first win
-Sacramento State @ Utah – both teams 1-0

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Nov 13

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Friday, Nov 12

NEWS AND NOTES

-So the game of the night was not the game that anyone would have ever guessed would have been the game of the night.  UC Riverside stayed with Arizona State for the entire game, and the lead seesawed back and forth.  After Arizona State hit what appeared to be a game winning shot with less than 2 seconds to go, All UCR could do was throw up one last prayer from beyond mid court.  The thing is…IT WENT IN!!  They pull off the huge upset win 66-65.  This is a program that has made huge improvements in the last year or two, and they perhaps took another big step forward today.

-I thought Maryland was going to absolutely maul George Washington, but GW hung in for the entire game and with just a few minutes to play they were actually still in a position to win it.  It was a really sloppy game, and I suppose both teams are still working off the rust that comes with the early part of the season, but even with that it was a bit of a surprise that GW stayed with them.  They may be poised to have a better season than what I thought.

-Northern Iowa is poised to have a much worse season than what we thought.  Two years ago they won 26 games, and after several key players missed last season due to injuries, they are now pretty much all back.  But, they are not back to the form they were two years ago.  They’re now 0-2 after falling at home to Vermont.  We really like this Vermont team as well.  This is a nice win for them, and they got it despite not having their best player.  The problem is that if you’re an Under the Radar team, you just don’t get that many strikes, and Northern Iowa already has two nasty ones.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-VILLANOVA AT UCLA (***Spotlight Game***).  It’s a late tip, but it will be worth staying up for!!  Both teams are ranked in the top five, both are potentially Final Four caliber teams, both have a shot at ending up as #1 seeds, and a win today for either team would be a huge resume building win.  It’s not a stretch to say that it may end up being the best win that either team has all season.  It should be fun!!

-UTAH STATE AT RICHMOND.  We think both these teams have potential this year.  Utah State is lookin to bounce back from their opening loss, but it won’t be easy.  Richmond won their season opener and we think they’re good enough to land inside the bubble.  If that’s true, then they need to be able to take care of business at home in games like this.

-WESTERN KENTUCKY VS MINNESOTA.  Both teams come into this one 1-0.  This one is being played in Asheville NC, so it’s a chance for both to pick up a notable (at least for now) win away from home.

-NORTHEASTERN AT GEORGIA STATE.  A fairly good game between two decent UTR teams.  Georgia State is looking to improve to 2-0.

-MOREHEAD STATE AT UAB.  This is most likely a buy game, but Morehead State is a fairly decent UTR team, and UAB is good enough to possibly land inside the bubble, so we will go ahead and highlight it.

-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE AT ALABAMA.  Really interesting game here between a good UTR team in South Dakota State, and a team who we think can win the SEC in Alabama.  South Dakota State is likely overmatched, but this is a tremendous opportunity for them.  Winning a game like this would go a long way toward them not needing to win the conference tournament to make the NCAA Tournament.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT NAVY.  This game has a storyline that at this time last week we were not expecting it to have.  Navy opened the season with a win at Virginia.  They now get to come home and play a very good Virginia Tech team in front of what should be a very enthusiastic collection of Midshipmen!  VA Tech also won their opener and is looking for a road win, and perhaps looking a little more difficult than they initially thought.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT BYU.  We think both teams are likely solid tournament teams, and it wouldn’t shock me if they both ended up in the top 25 before the season is over.  This was also a pretty good rivalry when they were both in the Mountain West, so it’s kind of fun to see them squaring off again.

-SMU AT OREGON.  Oregon is ranked in the top 15 and we think they’re good enough to contend for a protected seed.  We think SMU is a potential tournament team.  Now if they can win on the road against Oregon, we will suddenly look at them as a lot more than just being a POTENTIAL tournament team.

-PITTSBURGH AT WEST VIRGINIA.  Backyard Brawl!!!  This game used to never disappoint!!  It could disappoint tonight, though.  Pitt lost their opener to The Citadel.  West Virginia is much better, and they’re at home, and they’re a hated rival.  It could be a rough night for Pitt.

-WOFFORD AT CLEMSON.  It’s a buy game, but it’s kinda fun to see these two teams play.  Both come into this one at 1-0, and it’s a chance for Wofford to really surprise some people if they can pull off the upset.   That’s MUCH easier said than done, though.

-NORTH DAKOTA STATE AT CAL POLY – both teams 1-0

-UNC GREENSBORO AT NORTHERN KENTUCKY – both teams 1-0, and we think both are pretty good UTR teams this year.

-FORDHAM AT MANHATTAN.  We aren’t expecting to hear from either of these teams in March, but for now both are 1-0 and it is a bit of a rivalry game, so it should be fun.

-NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT INDIANA.  It’s a buy game, but both teams are 1-0, and Northern Illinois actually had the more impressive win in the opener.  They won on the road at Washington.

-RICE AT HOUSTON.  This will likely be a big mismatch, but it is a (sort of) rivalry game, and both teams are 1-0, and Houston did struggle to win their opener in a buy game the other night.

-AUSTIN PEAY AT SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.  This is a buy game, but we highlight it because Southern Illinois simply cannot afford to lose it.  Even though it’s early, it would be a very damaging blow.  They did not look good in their opener the other night.

-LOUISIANA AT SOUTHERN MISS.  Both teams 1-0

-TEXAS STATE AT LSU.  It’s a buy game, but both teams come in 1-0, and while Texas State may be overmatched tonight we think they can make some noise in the Sun Belt, so we’ll go ahead and highlight it.

-UMASS AT YALE.  We aren’t expecting much out of either team, but as for now both are 1-0

-SAN DIEGO AT NEVADA.  Both teams come into this one after having won their season opener.  It could still end up being a long season for San Diego, but we’ll keep paying attention to them until they give us a reason not to.  Nevada is expected to have a rough year as well, but one of these teams is gonna leave this game 2-0.

-STANFORD AT SANTA CLARA.  It’s a Bay Area match-up!  Both teams come into this one 1-0, and it should be a fun one.

 

BUY GAMES

-Morris College (nonD1) @ The Citadel – Citadel can get to 2-0
-Bryant @ Rhode Island – both teams 1-0
-Kent State @ Xavier
-Central Arkansas @ Butler
-Western Michigan @ Michigan State
-Army @ Duke – both teams 1-0
-Robert Morris @ Kentucky
-Niagara @ Ohio State
-Radford @ Virginia – UVA lookin to bounce back after an upset loss to Navy in their season opener
-Charleston Southern @ Ole Miss – both teams 1-0
-Furman @ Louisville – both teams 1-0
-Holy Cross @ Boston College – both teams 1-0
-Jackson State @ Louisiana Tech
-Western Carolina @ Wake Forest – both teams 1-0
-Tarlton @ Kansas
-UL Monroe @ Auburn
-Carver (nonD1) @ Nicholls – Nicholls won their opener against Northern Iowa
-Grambling @ Texas Tech
-UTSA @ Oklahoma – both teams 1-0
-Green Bay @ Wisconsin
-High Point @ Northwestern – both teams 1-0
-Kansas City @ Iowa
-Eastern Illinois @ Saint Louis
-Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M
-Indiana State @ Purdue – both teams 1-0
-Incarnate Word @ Baylor
-New Hampshire @ Marquette – both teams 1-0
-Arkansas State @ Illinois – both teams 1-0
-Brown @ North Carolina – both teams 1-0
-UTRGV @ Arizona – both teams 1-0
-Princeton @ South Carolina – both teams 1-0
-Seattle @ Washington State – both teams 1-0
-Arkansas Pine Bluff @ Colorado State
-Texas Southern @ Saint Mary’s

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Friday, Nov 12