Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Saturday, Feb 8th

Posted on February 8, 2025 by David Griggs

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Saint John’s keeps winning. They are into the backloaded part of a backloaded schedule, and now that they’ve beaten teams like Marquette and UConn, they are making a strong case that they should be a protected seed and are perhaps the best team in the Big East. They knocked off UConn 68-62 last night on the road.

-Purdue had no trouble with USC and cruised 90-72.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-TENNESSEE AT OKLAHOMA (SEC). Tennessee is coming off a big win against Missouri and can get another nice road win today. Oklahoma is right on the bubble and could really use (and perhaps almost needs) a win like this to help get hem on the right side of it. They’re coming off a blowout loss to Auburn and have another tall order today.

-OREGON AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten). Neither of these teams are in any real trouble, but both could really use this win today. Michigan State, after stringing together a ridiculous winning streak, has now lost two straight and could use a nice home win to bounce back. Oregon has now lost four in a row and has fallen to 5-7 in Big Ten play. They need to get things turned around and a road win today would be huge.

-TEXAS AT VANDERBILT (SEC). This game feels very bubbly as both teams need more wins on their resume in order to feel like they’re safely inside the field. Texas is coming off a home loss to Arkansas, and this would be one of their better true road wins on the season if they can pull it off. Vandy is a bit of a home court hero. Having said that, they need to keep winning games at home to maintain their position.

-THE CITDAEL AT VMI (SoCon). One of my favorite rivalries!!

-MARQUETTE AT CREIGHTON (Big East). This is a huge one. Creighton is arguably one of the hottest teams in the country. The more they win, the more they can boost their metrics and climb the seedlist, and they have another chance to do that today. Marquette still has a very wide path to a protected seed, but they have lost two in a row. If they were to get this win, they’d get a ton of credit for it because of how well Creighton has been playing and how tough they are at home, so it is a big opportunity for both teams.

-KANSAS AT KANSAS STATE (Big 12). This may not seem like a huge game, but K State has suddenly won four in a row and has looked really good. They still have what seems like an impossibly long way to go to reach teh bubble, but the more they win, the more you’ll have to start paying attention to them. Kansas is clearly within range of a protected seed, but they aren’t the best team in true road games, so this would help make their resume look a little better if they can get the win. And, it’s also a rivalry game, so bragging rights are at stake as well.

-UCF AT BAYLOR (Big 12). Both teams really need this win, especially UCF, who is squarely on the bubble. Every game seems to have a pivotal feel for them. A road win against a team like Baylor that is inside the bubble would be a huge and much needed boost to their profile. Baylor is inside the bubble, but not so far inside that they are totally secure, so this is a big game for the Bears as well.

-TEXAS A&M AT MISSOURI (SEC). An old Big 12 matchup that has been rebirthed in the SEC. Both teams are in the top 15, both have a path to earn a protected seed, Texas A&M in particular has an amazing profile and if they can get this win on the road it would make it look even better. This is basically a showcase game where two teams are battling for protected seeds.

-FLORIDA AT AUBURN (SEC). I’m not quite the believer in Florida that many others at Hoops HD (and around the country) are. But I do have to admit, if Florida finds a way to win this one I’ll be the first to admit that I have been completely wrong about them. Hell, if they are even reasonably competitive in this game I’ll admit that. Auburn looks to have the best team in the country, they’re at home, and they have what appears to be a straight path to the overall #1 seed come March.

-PITTSBURGH AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC). Both teams are outside the bubble. Both need nearly perfect finishes in order to be inside of it by the end of the season, so that means to have any real chance both teams pretty much need this one today.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT GEORGIA (SEC). Georgia has lost five out of seven and you get the sense that the are hanging on for dear life and could really use a win today. Mississippi State is still in good shape, but they’ve also lost five of their last seven after a strong start to the year and could use a big road win like this to turn things around.

-DUKE AT CLEMSON (ACC). This should be a great one! This is probably Duke’s toughest remaining game, and if they win this then chances are they’ll end up with a #1 seed. It won’t be easy, though. Duke is the better team, but Clemson will be very tough to beat at home and is looking for a big time win of their own. They did just drop a triple OT game to Georgia Tech, but they’ll still be way up for this one and it should be a great atmosphere.

-ALABAMA AT ARKANSAS (SEC). I’m very excited for this one. Alabama is on pace to get a #1 seed, and with two games remaining against Auburn even has a chance at the overall #1 seed, but they go on the road to face an Arkansas team that in the past week has looked much better than they have at any point in the year and picked up two huge wins. A win today would be yet another huge win, and almost certainly land them inside the bubble when we do our next Bracket Rundown.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West). This is a really tough road game for a San Diego State team that’s, for now, safely inside the bubble, but still has room to build up their resume. Colorado State is 9-2 at home and they should be up for this one.

-UC SAN DIEGO AT UC IRVINE (Big West). Both of these teams still have a chance to land inside the bubble and make the NCAA Tournament without winning the conference tournament, but chances that whoever loses this game won’t be in that position. UC San Diego won the first meeting, but is still a game behind UCI in the standings. This one should be a fun defensive battle. I’m glad it’s on national TV and not behind a paywall. It’s one everyone should watch! (NOTE FROM CHAD: No, Griggs, UC -Irvine won the first time. #StupidPuppet)

-SAINT MARY’S AT OREGON STATE (West Coast). SMC is coming off a tough close loss at San Francsico, but they need to bounce back and be ready to face Oregon State tonight. The Beavers are nowhere near the field, but they are capable of playing very well at home, and it is a game that SMC should get some credit for if they’re able to win it.

-TEXAS TECH AT ARIZONA (Big 12). What a way to end the day! Both teams are ranked in the top 20, and both are among the hottest teams in the nation. Arizona has just one loss since Dec 14th, and Texas Tech has now won seven straight. Both teams have multiple big wins in that stretch, so to see them face off against each other is a great storyline. It’s two really good teams that come into this one red hot.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-TCU @ Iowa State (Big 12) – Iowa State has hit a bit of a slump, but they should be able to bounce back at home today against a so-so TCU team

-South Carolina @ Kentucky (SEC) – Kentucky has dropped a few they probably could have won, but this is some rare low hanging fruit and they should be able to take care of business at home

-Wisconsin @ Iowa (Big Ten) – Iowa is dealing with injuries and this is a winnable road game for Wisky, which is something they can use on their profile.

-Michigan @ Indiana (Big Ten) – this will be a bit of a tough road test for Michigan, but it’s one they should be able to pass. The Wolverines don’t always play up to their ceiling, but when they do they are a very good team

-Miami FL @ Louisville (ACC) – Miami FL is a candidate for the Stallings Award, whereas Louisville, despite a recent setback loss, is still probably easily on pace to land in the top half of the bracket

-Yale @ Cornell (Ivy League) – this game does not impact the bracket, but it’s probably Yale’s most difficult remaining game. If they win it, they will have a two game lead in the standings, they should be on cruise control for a 1st place finish, and would be a very tough team to face in the Round of 64

-Houston @ Colorado (Big 12) – Colorado has shown signs of being tough to beat at home this year. Having said that, Houston should roll through this one and add another conference road win to their profile

-Rhode Island @ George Mason (Atlantic 10) – George Mason is outside the bubble, but they should at least get a look from the committee if they’re able to win out or come close to it

-New Mexico @ Air Force (Mountain West) – AFA can be tough to play against, but New Mexico should be able to pick this one up on the road

-Penn State @ UCLA (Big Ten) – UCLA can build on their winning streak and continue to boost their metrics and climb the seedlist

-Samford @ East Tennessee State (SoCon) – this game doesn’t impact the bracket, but it is perhaps one of Samford’s toughest remaining games

-Utah @ West Virginia (Big 12) – it is very important that West Virginia is able to hold serve in this one

-Wake Forest @ California (ACC) – Wake is outside the bubble and needs to hold serve in games like this in order to stay within reach of it

-Illinois @ Minnesota (Big Ten) – the Illini have been inconsistent this year, but this is one they should be able to get on the road

-BYU @ Cincinnati (Big 12) – BYU is trying to play their way onto the bubble and these are the kinds of road games that they need to win in order to get there

-Indiana State @ Drake (Missouri Valley) – It’s always the same story with Drake. If they can win out then they should be inside the bubble

-UNC Asheville @ High Point (Big South) – a very pivotal game between two of the top teams in the Big South

-Gonzaga @ Pacific (West Coast) – the Zags should be able to blow through this one

-Ole Miss @ LSU (SEC) – Ole Miss has lost four of their last six, but is coming off a nice win against Kentucky and has another winnable road game tonight

-San Francisco @ LMU (West Coast) – San Fran just won a big game against Saint Mary’s, is 19-6 overall, and still has faint hopes of landing inside the bubble and getting selected

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Staff Bracket – February 7, 2025

Posted on February 7, 2025 by Chad

It is Chad’s turn to prepare this week’s HoopsHD Staff Bracket. Below is his prediction of what the NCAA Tournament would look like if today was Selection Sunday. It should be noted that Chad has an absolutely perfect record in Bracketology over the past twenty years . . . unfortunately the official NCAA Tournament Selection Committee has had a very bad record in duplicating Chad’s perfection over that time.

Below the Bracket is Chad’s Notes and Comments from other Staff Members.

Chad’s Notes:

-Although the 1 seed line should not see much in dispute, it may shock some to see me have Purdue at the very top of the 2 line (yet still heading West due to region balance and bracketing rule problems I ran into). However, the Boilermakers have 7 solid Quad 1 wins, four of which are away from home. They are 13-5 against the top 2 quadrants and don’t have any bad losses at all. This team is almost quietly starting to assert themselves and it is about time they were recognized for their success on the court this year.

-I may also get questioned for having UCLA as a 4 seed, but the Bruins have now won six in a row and their neutral court win over Arizona is looking better and better every day. Like Purdue, this team lacks any bad losses. I just really think they are playing some great basketball at the moment, and therefore let them slip into the protected seed range this week.

-I may have a pair of Big East teams seeded higher than most would expect on the 5 and 6 lines. UConn got a defining win last week at Marquette, and I believe this team is ready to start rolling as they become healthy. St. John’s is still lacking in a volume of tournament-caliber wins, but they are looking so good on the court that I cannot deny them. I am not a big fan of the “eye test”, but their defense in the final few minutes of the Marquette game was almost jaw-droppingly amazing. The two teams go head-to-head tonight and I expect a great game!

-Oregon, who was a solid protected seed very recently, barely made my 7 line this week. The Ducks are relying solely on what they did back in November (beating Alabama and Texas A&M) at this point, as they barely even look like a tournament-caliber team on the court.

-St Mary’s had been a team that was trending up and I wanted to make a case for them to be close to a protected seed . . . until last night. The loss at San Francisco did no favors for a resume that was lacking in top-level wins, and I have them back on the 8 line today.

-Texas and Ohio State both made my field (First Four) despite losing records overall against the top 3 quadrants. However, both teams are only 1 game under .500 in that category, so I was able to hold my nose and put them in. Ohio State’s huge come-from-behind win over Maryland last night may have been a season-saver.

-I have 10 Big Ten teams in my field. That is a lot from one conference. But it is nothing compared to the SEC. It is February 7 and I just put 14 SEC teams! FOURTEEN!!! However, Arkansas is suddenly playing as well as almost anyone in the nation and I could not keep them out of my First Four. There is no way that 14 will still be there on Selection Sunday, but 12 teams is very realistic. Texas and Georgia are, in my opinion, the two teams most vulnerable to dropping out.

-My top four teams out, in order, were BYU, UCF, San Francisco and SMU. The Dons’ profile has notably become very interesting with their St. Mary’s win — but they need a few more road wins for me to be ready to put them in the field. Four of their next five are on the road, including a trip to Gonzaga, so the next few weeks will tell us a lot. I also considered Xavier, USC, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Northwestern, Boise State, Oregon State, UC-San Diego, George Mason, Dayton, Stanford and North Texas. None of them obviously made the cut.

Staff Comments:

Notes from John:

– While I have no issue with Purdue as the top team on the #2 line, it’s interesting to note that Chad would have Texas A&M slightly ahead of Florida on this line. The Aggies do have a stronger strength of schedule than the Gators do; I suppose that was his reasoning. Yet if the Gators are able to finally knock off Auburn, then we have to start thinking of them as a #1 seed.

– St. John’s, while close to a protected seed, will need to do one of two things: 1) win the Big East outright or 2) get a win at either Marquette or UConn down the stretch. They’ve already knocked off Marquette at home this week, so the Johnnies are now the team to beat in the Big East. Which begs the question – will the Garden be Storrs South this year with UConn fans or will St. John’s finally have a big home court advantage when the Big East Tournament takes place in a month?

– Are we really still punishing Memphis for the Temple loss last month? Their nonconference wins like Michigan State, UConn, Ole Miss and Missouri are getting better by the day. Even the Arkansas State loss is against the Sun Belt conference leader. I’d make the case they make a slightly better protected seed than UCLA, but I’ll concede that the Bruins have more opportunities to ultimately take that spot from the Tigers.

– Illinois and Clemson are both dropping like stones, and Pittsburgh has basically sunk into the Ohio River after getting blown out on their home court by Virginia. Clemson obviously wouldn’t be punished for losing to a team like Duke at home, but a Georgia Tech loss was a big no-no. The Illini are flirting with double-digit losses and a loss at Minnesota would put them perilously close to the cut line.

– Wake has no margin for error as a First Four team right now. The only games they could afford to drop would be SMU and Duke (both road games). Getting a season sweep of Stanford wasn’t easy, but the Deacons did have to come back late in the 2nd half to win at The Farm.

– Georgia should be the team that should be petrified that Arkansas is suddenly getting hot. Texas and the Dawgs will have plenty of chances to get solidly above the cut line in the SEC, but they better not end up in a situation where they finish 6 games under .500 in conference play. I think 7-11 in the SEC would be passable depending on who they are able to beat. Not 6-12.

Notes From David Griggs:

-I’m not nearly as big on Florida as most of the rest of the world seems to be. They have a home win against Tennessee. After that, their next best wins are against the Texas and Arkansas teams that Chad barely has in his field, and at the time they beat Arkansas they were not the same team they’ve been in these last eight days. I know I am an outlier on this, but I will continue to beat this drum until the Gators do get a few more wins that match the level of the rest of the protected seeds, or everyone else comes around to my genius thinking!!

-I do agree with Drake and UC Irvine both being on the 10 line. If anything I think UC San Diego should have gotten a little bit more love.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Saturday, February 8th

Posted on February 7, 2025 by John Stalica

Troy (15-8, 8-4) at Miami University (17-5, 9-1) – 1:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day heads to scenic Oxford, Ohio for what may be the premier matchup in the second leg of the MAC-Sun Belt Challenge between the Troy Trojans and the Miami Redhawks. Mother Miami is enjoying their best regular season in 20 years; while their last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 2007, it was the 2004-05 season where the Redhawks had a chance to crack the field even without a MAC Tournament championship. The Redhawks have won 11 out of their last 12 games and are led by Peter Suder (14.7 PPG, 4.4 RPG).

Troy comes into today in a 5-way tie for second place in the Sun Belt; how such a tie is broken will have major ramifications down the road. The top 2 seeds in the Sun Belt have byes into the semifinals; the 5th and 6th place teams would have to win 4 games in 4 days given the absurd extended ladder format of the conference tournament (you can click here for all of the conference tournament pages that will populate in a few weeks). Taylor Conerway (13.0 PPG, 5.0 APG) leads the Trojans in scoring and assists.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Friday, Feb 7th

Posted on February 7, 2025 by David Griggs

-Ohio State had to come from behind and beat Maryland, but they got a huge 73-70 win after hitting a game-winning 3 in the final seconds. This game could play a role in making the difference of whether or not the Buckeyes make the NCAAs. Ohio State is now 14-9 overall with some pretty nice wins at the top of their profile, and a respectable 6-6 in Big Ten play.

-Saint Mary’s had a lead at halftime at San Francisco, but could not hold on and ending up falling 65-64. SMC made a late run, but couldn’t quite come all the way back. I wouldn’t call this loss a setback. San Francisco is not an easy team to beat at home, but I would say it was a missed opportunity for SMC to perhaps make a run at a protected seed.

-Some notable UTR results – Montana got a big win at Northern Colorado to pull even in with them in the Big Sky standings. It was pivotal because had NoCo won they would have had a 2 game lead plus the tiebreaker. SEMO blew out Morehead State off the floor to draw even with them atop the OVC, which is now log-jammed. UC San Diego had an impressive blowout win against UC Riverside, setting up a huge showdown Saturday against UC Irvine.

-USC AT PURDUE (Big Ten). USC is coming off a loss, but is still hovering around the bubble and a big win like this could place them inside of it. Having said that, the reason a win like this could place them inside of it is that beating a top ten team on the road is not something that’s commonly done.

-VCU AT DAYTON (Atlantic 10). These are two of the better teams in the A10, but both are long shots to end up inside the bubble. I suppose Dayton has a chance if they can win out considering how strong they were OOC.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT UCONN (Big East). Saint John’s is coming off a really big win against Marquette. Following that up with a road win against UConn would cement them as a protected seed caliber team. UConn is also coming off a win against Marquette and seems to be trending up themselves, so this one should be fun.

-UTAH STATE AT FRESNO STATE (Mountain West). This should be a game where Utah State can hold serve and pick up another conference road win.

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Sharp as a Razor(back): HoopsHD interviews McDonald’s All-American Darius Acuff Jr.

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jon Teitel

If you want to win an NCAA title then you usually need a good coach, a great resume…and a McDonald’s All-American. Only 2 championship teams from 1979-2020 did not have such a player (2002 Maryland/2014 UConn), and while UConn won a title in 2023 without 1 they added McDonald’s All-American Stephon Castle before winning a 2nd title in 2024. The rosters for this year’s McDonald’s All-American Game were announced last Monday after selecting the 24 best players in the nation from a list of several hundred nominees. If you do not think these guys can make an immediate impact in the fall, just ask Coach Jon Scheyer how he likes having 2024 honoree Cooper Flagg at Duke! Unlike most years when 1 school stands out as the big winner with the most All-Americans, there are 2 different programs tied for the lead with 3 each (Duke/UConn) and 3 players who have not yet committed to a college. Earlier today HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel got to chat with Darius Acuff Jr. about being named a McDonald’s All-American and ranking as the best PG in the Class of 2025.

You won a state title as a sophomore at Cass Technical in Detroit: what did it mean to you to win a title? It meant everything. I was born/raised in Detroit and our team had talked about winning a title all year, so it was a big accomplishment for both our team and our school.

After that season you decided to transfer to IMG Academy: why did you make the switch, and how has it worked out so far? I needed a change to get my body right and make sure I had the right focus. Moving to IMG has taken away all the outside noise, and living in a dorm has helped me get used to what life will be like in college.

You played for Team USA at the 2024 FIBA Men’s U18 AmeriCup and were named tournament MVP: what did it mean to you to represent your country, and what did it mean to you to win a gold medal? That meant everything. It had always been a dream of mine to play for Team USA so that was 1 of my biggest accomplishments, as well as a blessing for both me and my family.

You received offers from several great schools including Kansas/Michigan/UConn but signed with Arkansas last July: what was the biggest factor in your decision? Coach Cal. My relationship with him was different than with any other coach. His style of play and his past success with guards meant that it was the best fit for me.

Last month you were named a McDonald’s All-American: what did it mean to you to receive such an outstanding honor? That is my biggest accomplishment for sure: I have watched the McDonald’s Game for as long as I can remember. I was with my parents when they made the announcement, so I was glad to do it for them.

You are part of an incredible recruiting class that includes Isaiah Sealy and fellow McDonald’s All-American Meleek Thomas: how well do you know your 2 future teammates? I met both guys in AAU ball around 10th grade and remember talking to them for the 1st time at the Nike Elite 100 Camp. Isaiah is from Arkansas so it is big for him to play for his state school, and Meleek is 1 of the best players in the country so we will just try to win a lot of games.

Another of your fellow McDonald’s All Americans is Nate Ament, who has not yet committed to a school but has Arkansas on his short list: how hard are you trying to get him to join you in Fayetteville this fall? We are trying very hard, but it is all up to him to make whatever is the best decision for him. He is a great player at 6’10” with guard skills: you do not find that a lot.

The Razorbacks started this season 11-2 in non-conference play but are 3-6 in the SEC so far and just lost Boogie Fland for the year after right thumb surgery: do you think they can get things turned around in time to make the NCAA tourney? I believe in them and tell Coach that every day. They are a good team and need to have those tough games to deal with adversity, which is why they have had success lately. There is a lot of pressure in Coach’s 1st year there, but they have responded well so I think they will be fine. Losing Boogie was tough because he is a great PG who was having a fantastic year…but they will be all right.

You are rated as the best PG in the Class of 2025: what is the secret to being a great PG? Always staying in the gym and staying with the ones who started with you. I have always trained with my family because I am loyal to them. If you take any days off then it will catch up to you.

Your father Darius Sr. and three of your uncles played basketball, and your cousin Tyson is finishing his college career at Rutgers this year: who is the best athlete in the family? Me, for sure! We all do something different: my dad has trained Tyson and I during our whole lives so he must have been pretty good back in the day.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Feb 6th

Posted on February 6, 2025 by David Griggs

NEWS AND NOTES:

–For our latest UNDER THE RADAR Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-Missouri controlled the game for most of the first half at Tennessee, and then initially appeared to widen their lead at the start of the second half, but Tennessee fought back, got control of the game themselves, and held on to win 85-81 despite a late run from the Tigers. I think Mizzou is playing like a protected seed. I know they lost, but most protected seeds would lose on the road to a team like Tennessee that we are currently projecting onto the 1-line.

-Illinois continues to lose games that aren’t easy to win, but that you still feel that they should win. They fell on the road to Rutgers 82-73. Rutgers is super talented, but they are currently nowhere near the field and this is the kind of game you would think Illinois should win even though it was on the road.

-Michigan held off Oregon 80-76 in a win that should help out their resume. Oregon has some really impressive wins on their profile, but they are also just 5-7 in Big Ten play at the moment.

-UCF, who was/is squarely on the bubble, is in a situation to where losing games at home to teams that are nowhere near the bubble would be really bad. Last night they lost at home to Cincinnati 93-83. That’s really bad. UCF has looked so good at times and nearly pulled off some major upsets, but they’ve also had nights like last night where you just look at them and feel they don’t belong in the field.

-Arkansas, who seemed like they were 100 miles outside the bubble a week ago, has now won two huge back-to-back road games and may have actually played their way into our next bracket projected. They were blowing Texas off the court last night. Texas did make a run late in the game, but it was too little too late as Arkansas won 78-70.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MARYLAND AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten). Maryland has come to life lately with six wins in their last seven games, including two on the road. They can keep building their resume and climbing the seed list with another road win today. Ohio State is squarely on the bubble, so this game (and pretty much all their games) has a pivotal feel to it.

-LMU AT GONZAGA (West Coast). Gonzaga has had a bit of a disappointing season and LMU is improving as a program and making progress this year, but the Zags are still safely inside the bubble and should be able to hold serve at home.

-SAINT MARY’S AT SAN FRANCISCO (West Coast). This is another tough road test for an SMC team that’s passed its share of tough tests and can continue to rise up in the metrics and up the seedlist if they can keep winning games in this league. San Francisco is outside the bubble but they’re still tough to beat at home.

UNDER THE RADAR GAMES TO WATCH:

–Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State (Conference USA) – Middle looked like the best team in the league a few weeks ago, but Jax State has now climbed into 1st place and has a one game lead

–SEMO @ Morehead State (Ohio Valley) – Morehead State has just a one game lead over SEMO in the conference standings

–Montana @ Northern Colorado (Big Sky) – If NoCo wins they’ll have a two game lead for 1st place, if Montana wins the two are tied

–Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut (Northeast) – CCSU has a one game lead over FDU, and if they win today and widen that to two games I don’t think anyone else in the league will catch them

–UC Riverside @ UC San Diego (Big West) – these are two of the better teams in the Big West, and UCSD still has an outside shot at landing on the bubble if they can win out

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