Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, February 9

James Madison at Elon, 6:00 PM Eastern, flohoops.com

Elon, North Carolina is the site for today’s Under the Radar Game of the Day as the Elon Phoenix host the surprising James Madison Dukes in an important Colonial Athletic Association contest.  James Madison has very quietly (due in part to not having played as many game due to COVID) snuck up on the rest of the league and sits at 5-1 in CAA play (10-5 overall) and tied in the loss column for first place with 7-1 Northeastern.  The Duke, led my Matt Lewis’ 20.5 points per game, have won four in a row.  In fact, their only conference loss came during a split of two game at Northeastern a couple weeks ago.  Being able to win games against the rest of the league, such as today’s contest, will therefore be key to them trying to claim the conference regular season crown.

Elon has struggled so far this season, and the Phoenix enter play today at 0-5 in conference and 3-6 overall.  Hunter McIntosh (18.1 points per game) is the key offensively for Elon.  He did score 19 against the Dukes in their matchup last week, but will need a lot more help tonight, as James Madison cruised in that game by a score of 78-57.  However, if the Phoenix can find a way to slow JMU down and get some more offense from the rest of the team, they could make a serious impact on the race for this season’s conference championship.

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The Hoops HD Report: February 8th

Chad and the panel look back at another busy week in college basketball.  Kansas is out of the top 25 for the first time since…well…we can’t even remember.  The rest of the Big 12 has as many as six teams that could end up as protected seeds.  The Big Ten is really strong as well with both Michigan and Ohio State in the top four, and others like Indiana and Maryland right on the bubble.  Several teams in the ACC are being hit hard by COVID, and we discuss that and how it could impact the rest of the season.  We also discuss USC’s big week in the Pac 12, Boise State’s rough week in the Mountain West, The Atlantic Ten having four teams on the bubble, and more!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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HoopsHD Staff Bracket – February 8

For today’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

It is Chad’s turn to post this week’s HoopsHD Staff Bracket.  Below are his picks for how he sees teams through games of Sunday, February 7.  Please note that this is not an attempt to guess what the Selection Committee will do on Selection Sunday, but rather his personal picks on where the bracket stands as of right now.  Below the picks are Chad’s Notes and reactions to the bracket from other staff members.

CHAD’S NOTES

– The 1 seeds were fairly easy this week as Ohio State has moved solidly into the #4 (and maybe even #3) overall spot.  It is the 2 line where I may get the most disagreement by placing Missouri there over Alabama — but the Tigers beat the Crimson Tide this weekend and have a very impressive overall resume.  I also may get called out by some here for placing Illinois on the 3 line, but I can no longer overlook *7* Tier 1 wins, with three of them being in true road games.  Besides, when you look at the potential second and third round matchups I set up for Missouri (and Illinois) in the South Region, David at least will need to be singing my praises as a Bracketing Deity instead of criticizing me.

– I have Tennessee on the 5 line, and that may have been generous to the Vols.  Their profile is solid without any really bad losses, but the team has simply not passed the “eye test” for me for several weeks now.  They at least got a win against Kentucky to bounce back from the Ole Miss loss, but I would like to see them dominate inferior competition and win games against tournament caliber teams if they want back onto the top 4 seed lines.

– Iowa is falling fast as more and more teams seem to be taking advantage of their defensive issues.  I have dropped the Hawkeyes all the way down to the 6 line, which is very far removed from their flirtation with a 1 seed less than a month ago.

– Creighton, despite being a Top 25 team heading into this week, has dropped all the way to the 8 line.  9 wins against the top two tiers is solid, but none of those wins are “Tier 1A” and I simply cannot excuse three home losses to Tier 3 teams.  I am sure most people have this team rated a lot higher than I do, but they don’t pass either my resume test or, quite frankly, my eye test in recent weeks.

– Maryland was my very last team in, and I actually ranked them below a pair of auto-bid 12 seeds in Western Kentucky and Belmont.  Their wins at Illinois, Purdue and Minnesota just pop off the page to me, but the team is only 9-9 against D1 competition, which may be a disqualifier in and of itself.  I compromised and gave them the very last spot in my field, a spot that would probably be stolen by a “bid thief” if this was the real committee’s rankings.

– My top four teams out, in order, were Oregon, Richmond, LSU and Saint Louis.  Oregon has played so few games compared to others that it is tough to evaluate the Ducks, but they picked up another bad loss this week (to Washington State at home) and need to find a way to pick up a few more quality wins if they really want to make the field.  Saint Louis had almost dropped off my board entirely until this weekend’s home win over the Bonnies, but the Billikens have a lot of work to do as well.

– Other teams I considered were: Penn State, St Mary’s, Georgia Tech, TCU, Wichita State, Georgia, Ole Miss, Utah State, Syracuse and Memphis.  TCU now owns a sweep of Oklahoma State and quite a few close losses to good teams.  A few more upset wins are all the Horned Frogs need, with the strength of the Big 12 conference behind them, to move up into serious at-large bid contention.

– Finally, I feel that every single team on my 13 and 14 lines is capable of winning a game in the Round of 64.  At the end of the day, a few of them will get upset in conference tournaments and not even make the field, but there are some very good teams here that very few people (other than us) are talking about.

Staff Comments

FROM DAVID.  This is easily the best bracket I have ever seen Chad put together!!  HE’S GOT KANSAS V MISSOURI IN THE SECOND ROUND!!!  The only complaint is that it may be necessary to give Kansas a more beatable opponent than Saint Bonaventure.  We want to do everything we can to assure that second round matchup happens!

-I also like that, at long last, he has moved Iowa down to where they belong, and that’s on the #6 line.  Their resume is a #6 seed resume.  Not a protected seed, and certainly not a #1 or #2 seed like where everyone else seems to think they belong.

-He likes Illinois a little more than I do, but the Illini had a hell of a week and their resume is starting to look a lot better, so I can live with them where he has them.

-The top of Tennessee’s resume has me liking them more than Chad does, but then when I watch them actually play I like them a little less than what Chad does.  So, with that in mind, I think the #5 line is okay.

-I still don’t get Arkansas.  I know they are his last team in, but why are they even that close??

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Feb 8th

NEWS AND NOTES

-Iowa continues to struggle to make a case that they are a protected seed.  After leading for most of the game at Indiana it slipped away in the final few minutes and the Hoosiers picked up a hugely important 67-65 win.

-After struggling against a rather weak Valpo team on Saturday but pulling out the win, Drake was basically run off the court yesterday.  Valpo won 74-57 in what was a really unimpressive showing for the Bulldogs.  I still think they are inside the bubble, but due to playing a weak overall schedule (through no real fault of their own) their margin for error is somewhat small.

-Loyola Chicago is right behind them. They managed to hold off Evansville and remain in the hunt for an at-large bid.

-Boise State lost again to Nevada.  It was a disaster of a weekend for the Broncos and it has certainly set them back.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SMU AT EAST CAROLINA (American).  I’ve almost given up on SMU, but not quite yet.  This should be an easy road win, but having said that ECU did manage to beat Houston last week, so…

-OREGON STATE AT COLORADO (Pac 12).  Colorado is slipping a little bit, but they are still inside the bubble.  They need to hold serve today.  A win doesn’t help so much as a loss would be another setback.

-MIAMI FL AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  North Carolina is playing better than they have all season and as a result their resume is getting better.  They should be able to hold serve today.

-NEBRASKA AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  We sound like a broken record when saying this, but Minnesota is amazingly good at home and awful on the road.  They should win, but it won’t really help them much.

-OHIO STATE AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Ohio State has cracked our #1 line, and will stay up there if they can pick this one up on the road.  It won’t be easy, though.  Maryland has been playing better and their resume has been getting better, and this is a chance for them to give it another nudge.

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT KANSAS (Big 12).  Kansas is in a bit of a tailspin whereas Oklahoma State has been playing really well.  They’ve been playing well all season, really.  A win would look good on either team’s resume, so it should be another fun one.

-GONZAGA AT BYU (West Coast).  It is perhaps Gonzaga’s most difficult remaining game, and I still don’t expect them to have too much trouble winning it.  BYU is safely inside the bubble and a loss won’t change that.  A win will jump them up a few seed lines, though!

-SAN JOSE STATE AT SAN DIEGO STATE (Mountain West).  San Diego State is still in relatively good shape despite a few setbacks, and will remain that way so long as they continue to hold serve.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, February 8

UNC-Greensboro at Furman, 5:00 PM, ESPNU

The Under the Radar Game of the Day turns its attention to Greenville, South Carolina tonight for a huge matchup between two of the top teams in the Southern Conference, UNC-Greensboro and Furman.  The host Furman Paladins (11-6, 5-3) were the preseason pick to win the SoCon this year, and looked strong in a pair of close non-conference losses at Alabama and Cincinnati early.  However, they have faltered a few times in conference play, including losses to Wofford and VMI.  Mike Bothwell has paced the team offensively with over 71 points per game, while Clay Mounts (15.5), Noah Gurley (14.1) and Alex Hunter (10.4) are all double-digit scorers for the conference’s top-rated offense.

The Spartans of UNC-Greensboro (13-5, 8-2) have used the best defense in the SoCon to bounce back from a 1-3 season start to win 12 of 14 games and move into first place in the league standings.  The offense runs through Isaiah Miller who is averaging 18.6 points, 6.7 boards and 3.7 assists per game.  The Southern Conference regular season title could be all but decided this week, as tonight’s trip to Furman will be followed on Wednesday evening with the two teams meeting again in Greensboro.

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Bracketology 2021: March Madness Predictions (Version 6.0)

We are only 5 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the 2019 tourney, 63 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 45 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 14th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 7th out of 133 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: Baylor (Big 12)
1: Michigan (Big 10)
1: Ohio State (Big 10)

2: Villanova (Big East)
2: Illinois (Big 10)
2: Houston (AAC)
2: Alabama (SEC)

3: Virginia (ACC)
3: Texas (Big 12)
3: Iowa (Big 10)
3: Missouri (SEC)

4: Wisconsin (Big 10)
4: Tennessee (SEC)
4: Texas Tech (Big 12)
4: Oklahoma (Big 12)

5: West Virginia (Big 12)
5: Florida State (ACC)
5: Creighton (Big East)
5: USC (Pac-12)

6: Kansas (Big 12)
6: Virginia Tech (ACC)
6: Purdue (Big 10)
6: UCLA (Pac-12)

7: Colorado (Pac-12)
7: Florida (SEC)
7: Rutgers (Big 10)
7: Xavier (Big East)

8: Oklahoma State (Big 12)
8: Louisville (ACC)
8: Clemson (ACC)
8: BYU (WCC)

9: Drake (MVC)
9: Minnesota (Big 10)
9: Boise State (MWC)
9: San Diego State (MWC)

10: Connecticut (Big East)
10: Oregon (Pac-12)
10: Arkansas (SEC)
10: St. Bonaventure (A-10)

11: Loyola-Chicago (MVC)
11: North Carolina (ACC)
11: LSU (SEC)
11: Indiana (Big 10)

12: Colorado State (MWC)
12: Stanford (Pac-12)
12: Seton Hall (Big East)
12: Maryland (Big 10)
12: Winthrop (Big South)
12: Toledo (MAC)

13: UAB (C-USA)
13: Belmont (OVC)
13: Colgate (Patriot)
13: Wofford (SoCon)

14: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
14: South Dakota State (Summit)
14: Abilene Christian (Southland)
14: UC Santa Barbara (Big West)

15: Vermont (America East)
15: Grand Canyon (WAC)
15: Siena (MAAC)
15: Cleveland State (Horizon)

16: Texas State (Sun Belt)
16: Northeastern (CAA)
16: Bryant (NEC)
16: Eastern Washington (Big Sky)
16: Prairie View (SWAC)
16: North Carolina A&T (MEAC)

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