Hoops HD Bracket Rundown: February 4th

Note: the seedlists were prior to 7pm, est on Thursday, February 4th.  No games that went final after that were considered when building the bracket.  This is also not an attempt to guess the actual selection committee, but rather what the panel personally feels the field should be if the season ended today.

The five panel members all submitted seedlists ranking teams 1 thru 55, and Chad cross country ranked all of the results to build the overall seedlist.  It is revealed on the air line by line with the rest of the panel seeing the results as the teams are placed in the bracket in a Selection Sunday-ish format, and they debate, discuss, and assess the teams as they go.  See whether Baylor or Gonzaga is the overall #1 seed, who the other #1 seeds are, which teams are protected seeds, and which bubble teams end up being in or out.

Below is the final version of the bracket, but don’t look at it until you’ve watched the show!!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Thursday, Feb 4th

NEWS AND NOTES

-For last Nights Under the Radar Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day between Montana State and Weber State – CLICK HERE

-Last night was crazy!  We saw five ranked teams lose to teams that aren’t just outside the rankings, but in some cases aren’t really anywhere near the bubble, and a Saint Louis team go down to La Salle.

-Houston went into East Carolina thinking it would be an easy win (and rightfully so) but ended up in a first half battle, then they were behind for most of the second half, and then ECU was actually in control in the latter part of the game.  This certainly doesn’t knock Houston out of being a protected seed, but any hopes for a #1 seed are likely gone.

-Villanova was ranked 3rd and was pretty much a unanimous #1 seed in everyone’s brackets, but they fell to Saint John’s last night 70-59.  The Johnnies pretty much led from tip to buzzer, and had a lead as big as 17 in the second half.  I laughed at this earlier in the week, but the Johnnies really are getting close to the bubble.

-Creighton, who hadn’t looked lights out in their last few games but was still managing to win most of them, didn’t win last night.  They lost at home to a Georgetown team that has been awful all year.  Creighton seems to have a history of limping in the latter part of the season.  Could it be happening again?

-Pittsburgh can’t decide if they want to be good or not.  Whenever I get excited about them they seem to drop several winnable games.  Whenever I get up on them, they knock off a really good team.  Last night they knocked off Virginia Tech 83-72 and looked as good as they have all year.

-Florida, who had seemingly snapped out of whatever funk they were in, went down at home to a South Carolina team that hasn’t shown all that much this year.

-Alabama and Missouri played against unranked teams and won.  That’s normally not notable, but it happened so rarely last night that I felt the need to mention it.

-Saint Louis looked to have a good team coming into the year, but has been hit hard by shutdowns, and after last night’s 82-75 loss to La Salle I’m not all that confident that they are going to pull themselves out of it.

-Seton Hall got a much needed  60-43 win on the road against Providence, and definitely passed the eye test while doing it.

-VCU, who really couldn’t afford a loss, got a huge scare from Rhode Island, and committed a really stupid foul about 50ft from the basket in the final seconds while up by one, but fortunately (for them) Rhody missed the front end of a one-and-one, VCU got the rebound, and time ran out.

-Oklahoma State, who isn’t in the rankings but likely would be if not for the NCAA Tournament ban (which is under appeal) also suffered an upset last night as they fell to TCU 81-78.  TCU’s resume isn’t impressive, but they have played a lot of teams close this year and were finally able to pick up the win.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-OHIO STATE AT IOWA.  I’ve been knocking Iowa for a while about how they don’t have a protected seed caliber win.  Well, this is another chance for them to get one.  Ohio State does have several big wins on their resume and can also pick up another one today and make a case that they belong as high as the #2 line.

-BELMONT AT EASTERN ILLINOIS (Ohio Valley).  It’s possible that there will be room for Belmont inside the bubble if they win out, but anything short of that and they’ll need the auto-bid.

-GONZAGA AT PACIFIC (West Coast).  Gonzaga continues to bowl over everyone they face, and will remain in one of the top two spots so long as they continue to do so.

-STANFORD AT CALIFORNIA (Pac 12).  It’s a rivalry game, and it’s also a game that has as very pivotal feel for Stanford right now.  They’re squarely on the bubble and can’t seem to get safely inside of it.  A loss in a game like this will set them back even more.

-MINNESOTA AT RUTGERS (Big Ten).  Both teams are inside the bubble, but both also have holes in their resumes.  Minnesota needs a road win, and Rutgers just needs to start stringing together wins after hitting a bit of a slump.

-COLORADO STATE AT WYOMING (Mountain West) (Front Range).  We at Hoops HD Love the Front Range!!!  This game is particularly important because Colorado State is straddling the bubble and a road win in a game like this will really help them out.

-WASHINGTON STATE AT OREGON (Pac 12).  Oregon has had a lot of stop and go this season with COVID, and it’s definitely had an effect on them.  They need to hold serve tonight against an improving (but still not NCAA caliber) Wazzu team.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, February 4

Montana State at Weber State, 9:00 PM Eastern, pluto.tv

A huge battle at the top of the Big Sky standings is the focus for tonight’s Under the Radar Game of the Day as perennial powerhouse Weber State welcome undefeated Montana State to Ogden.  Weber State currently sits at 4-2 in Big Sky play and 8-4 overall.  The Wildcats’ 2 losses place them in a three way tie in the loss column with Southern Utah and Eastern Washington (though both those schools have more wins so far).  Isiah Brown leads the way for Weber State, averaging 18.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game.  Thee other double-digit scorers help make Weber one of the most fun teams in this league to watch play, as evidenced by their top-40 rated Tempo according to KenPom and #4 national three-point shooting percentage.

Montana State enters play tonight at a surprising 6-0 in conference and 9-3 overall.  Xavier Bishop (15.6 points per game) and Amin Adamu (15.4 points per game) have led the way so far this season.  With the Bobcats’ six wins having come against three of the bottom five teams so far in the league, it can be argued that they have not yet truly been tested.  That will all change tonight and Saturday at Weber, as Montana State has a chance to make it clear that they are contenders and not pretenders.

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Under The Radar: February 3rd

Tonight’s featured conference is the WAC, and in particular the additions that the league will be getting over the next two years in SFA, Sam Houston State, Lamar, Abilene Christian, and Southern Utah.  We discuss how the Lopes are starting to run away from everyone this year, and how New Mexico State continues to struggle to get onto the court, and how they’ve suffered from so much rust in the few games that they have managed to play.

From there we run through the other 21 UTR leagues and discuss how UMBC and Vermont are neck and neck in the America East, how Southern Utah still manages to impress in the Big Sky along with Eastern Washington who’s improving and Montana State who remains unbeaten, the tight race in the Ohio Valley between Belmont, Eastern Kentucky, and Morehead State, how teams like Loyola Chicago and Toledo have a chance of landing inside the bubble and perhaps even cracking the rankings, how tight the ASun and NEC conferences are, and more.  And as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Wednesday, Feb 3rd

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Baylor pretty much led Texas the whole game.  the Longhorns made some good runs in the second half, and even had the lead for a while, but Baylor turned it on down the stretch and ended up pulling away in the final couple of minutes for an 83-69 win.  The debate between Baylor and Gonzaga is an interesting one.  Both have beaten protected seeded caliber teams rather handily, but Baylor’s wins have been true road wins whereas Gonzaga’s have been neutral site wins.  That, and while Gonzaga’s wins against Kansas and Iowa were hugely impressive, it’s now starting to look like Kansas and Iowa aren’t quite as good as Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Texas.  Baylor has the better resume.  I don’t know if they have the better team, but I do think Baylor’s current resume is better.  Of course had they played each other as it had been scheduled there would be nothing to debate.

-Iowa held on to beat Michigan State, but they really had to sweat, and they had to come from behind to do it.  Nevertheless, the Hawkeyes did get the win, but they continue to not look like a protected seed to me.  Speaking of not looking like a protected seed…

-Tennessee was upset by Ole Miss 52-50 last night in a rather unimpressive showing for the Vols.  They haven’t looked good in their last several games.  They’ve been blown out by Florida, suffered another loss to Missouri, barely beat Mississippi State, and have lost to Ole Miss.  Well, they did blow out Kansas in that stretch, but other than that Tennessee hasn’t looked good lately.

-Illinois needed overtime, and it was a sloppy finish to regulation and through most of the overtime, but they got the 75-71 win at Indiana.

-West Virginia had all kinds of problems at Iowa State, which was a bit of a surprise, but they held on for the 76-72 win.

-Purdue, who had really been on a roll, fell at Maryland in a 61-60 thriller.  It wasn’t the best played game you’ve ever seen, but it was exciting, and it was a very important win for a Maryland team that has a good tournament resume, but who also probably needs to inflate their overall record a little bit.

-North Carolina had been on a roll and Clemson had been in a funk, but it was Clemson who got the win last night 63-50, which was a game they kind of needed considering how much they’d been struggling lately.

-Toledo knocked off a pretty good Akron team 91-76 last night and is continuing to roll.  Drake has gotten some much deserved love, and so has Loyola Chicago, but Toledo should be in that conversation as well.  This is a really good team that seems to be getting better as the season goes along.

-USC held on to beat a Stanford team that continues to straddle the bubble.  This was a big opportunity missed for the Cardinal.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-HOUSTON AT EAST CAROLINA (American).  Houston is ranked in the top five, and may even have an outside shot at a #1 seed if everything falls right.  They are certainly good enough to win out.

-SOUTH CAROLINA AT FLORIDA (SEC).  The Gators are really on a roll and are looking better and better each time out.  They should be able to hold serve in this one and keep the momentum going.

-LSU AT ALABAMA (SEC).  This is a golden opportunity for an LSU team that we all thought would be good, but hasn’t produced yet.  Winning on the road against top ten Alabama will certainly qualify as “producing.”

-VIRGINIA TECH AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  After a brief stint where it looked like Pitt was starting to improve, they’ve kind of come back down to Earth.  VA Tech, on the other hand, continues to look impressive.  They’re coming off a nice win against rival Virginia and have won five of their last six.  This is another winnable game for the Hokies.

-KENTUCKY AT MISSOURI (SEC).  Mizzou continues to impress and Kentucky, while showing some signs of improvement and having a ton of talent, continues to look like a sub-NIT team.  Mizzou should be able to hold on at home.

-SETON HALL AT PROVIDENCE (Big East).  Both teams are either right on or outside the bubble, and both need to start stringing together wins.  Both are good, or they’ve at least looked that way at times, but both still have a lot of work to do.

-VCU AT RHODE ISLAND (Atlantic Ten).  We still have VCU outside the bubble, but in the discussion.  They need to keep stinging together wins and holding serve in games like this.

-VILLANOVA AT SAINT JOHN’S (Big East).  The Johnnies have won four straight and are starting to sneak up on people.  Today’s game is a very tall order, but if they can get it done then you have to start thinking of them as a team that could make the Tournament.

-VIRGINIA AT NC STATE (ACC).  NC State has dealt with a lot this year, and it doesn’t get any easier tonight as Virginia comes in looking to bounce back from a loss to rival Virginia Tech.  A conference road win is always a good way to do that.

-GEORGETOWN AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Creighton continues to look like a team that could end up as a protected seed.  They shouldn’t have too much trouble holding serve tonight in what is one of the more winnable conference games they’ll play.

-SMU AT TULSA (American).  SMU is running out of chances.  They basically need to win out against everyone except Houston in order to be solidly in the discussion.  Of course if they end up facing Houston again and beating them that changes everything.

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT TCU (Big 12).  I really like how this Pokes team is playing and if they can win their waiver, they will be in the NCAA Tournament and perhaps even be a protected seed.  TCU has looked good at times and it’s not the easiest place to win, but it is certainly within the Pokes’ capabilities.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, February 3

UNC-Greensboro at The Citadel, 7:00 PM Eastern, espn+

The Under the Radar Game of  the Day turns its focus to the Southern Conference tonight as the UNC-Greensboro Spartans head to Charleston to take on The Citadel Bulldogs.  UNCG enters tonight’s game at 12-5 overall, 7-2 in SoCon play and on an impressive 6 game winning streak that includes a win at Chattanooga, a win over Mercer and an 87-73 victory over The Citadel two weeks ago.  This streak has turned the Spartans from an afterthought in the SoCon to a team tied for first place in the loss column with a real shot at capturing the league regular season crown (though two games against Furman do await next week).  Isaiah Miller leads the way for UNCG with 18.8 points and 6.7 rebounds per game this year.

The Citadel has been quietly putting together one of their best seasons in years, sitting at 9-6 overall, though only 2-6 in SoCon play.  The Bulldogs shocked the conference a week ago with a 77-69 win over Wofford, one of the teams in the battle with Greenboro for the conference crown.  Hayden Brown is averaging a double-double for the Bulldogs with 20.6 points and 10.6 rebounds per game, while Kaiden Rice is scoring over 18 points per game to complement Brown.  The Citadel is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation (#2 in Tempo according to KenPom) and will need an offensive onslaught against UNCG’s tough defense if they want to end Greensboro’s win streak and send the Spartans back to North Carolina with only their second road loss of the season.

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