Bracketology 2021: March Madness Predictions (Version 5.0)

CLICK HERE for Today’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games

We are only 6 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the 2019 tourney, 63 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 45 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 14th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 7th out of 133 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: Baylor (Big 12)
1: Michigan (Big 10)
1: Villanova (Big East)

2: Houston (AAC)
2: Alabama (SEC)
2: Texas (Big 12)
2: Iowa (Big 10)

3: Ohio State (Big 10)
3: Virginia (ACC)
3: Wisconsin (Big 10)
3: Illinois (Big 10)

4: Tennessee (SEC)
4: West Virginia (Big 12)
4: Missouri (SEC)
4: Texas Tech (Big 12)

5: Oklahoma (Big 12)
5: Kansas (Big 12)
5: Florida State (ACC)
5: Creighton (Big East)

6: UCLA (Pac-12)
6: USC (Pac-12)
6: Colorado (Pac-12)
6: Purdue (Big 10)

7: Minnesota (Big 10)
7: Virginia Tech (ACC)
7: Oklahoma State (Big 12)
7: Florida (SEC)

8: Clemson (ACC)
8: Louisville (ACC)
8: BYU (WCC)
8: Oregon (Pac-12)

9: Xavier (Big East)
9: Boise State (MWC)
9: Connecticut (Big East)
9: Rutgers (Big 10)

10: St. Louis (A-10)
10: LSU (SEC)
10: Drake (MVC)
10: North Carolina (ACC)

11: San Diego State (MWC)
11: Arkansas (SEC)
11: Indiana (Big 10)
11: Stanford (Pac-12)

12: St. Bonaventure (A-10)
12: Colorado State (MWC)
12: Loyola-Chicago (MVC)
12: Seton Hall (Big East)
12: Toledo (MAC)
12: Winthrop (Big South)

13: UAB (C-USA)
13: Belmont (OVC)
13: Colgate (Patriot)
13: Wofford (SoCon)

14: South Dakota State (Summit)
14: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
14: Abilene Christian (Southland)
14: Siena (MAAC)

15: UC Irvine (Big West)
15: Bryant (NEC)
15: Louisiana (Sun Belt)
15: Grand Canyon (WAC)

16: Cleveland State (Horizon)
16: Northeastern (CAA)
16: Vermont (America East)
16: Montana State (Big Sky)
16: Prairie View (SWAC)
16: North Carolina A&T (MEAC)

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 31st

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Virginia appeared to be in control of Virginia Tech for about 30 minutes, but totally came apart down the stretch as VA Tech outscored them 44-22 in the second half for an impressive (and important) 65-51 win.

-Alabama’s streak came to an end as they fell at Oklahoma 66-61.  It isn’t so much an Alabama letdown as it a very impressive run by an Oklahoma team that was kind of near the bubble a week or so ago, and is now suddenly looking like a protected seed.

-LSU appeared to have Texas Tech put away, and was about to pick up a much needed season defining win that would give their resume a huge boost, but Tech clawed back in the final couple of minutes and really didn’t get control of the game until the final seconds.  They held on fo ra 76-71 win once all the freethrow shooting was over.

-The Gators are back!  They got a HUGE win at West Virginia, which totally changes the complexion of their resume and likely puts them solidly in the top half of the bracket (for now).

-TCU appeared to have Missouri put away, but the Tigers came back to force overtime, and even then TCU had a chance to win in the final minute, but Mizzou escaped with a 102-98 win in a thriller.  It would have been a huge win on TCU’s resume had they been able to pull it out.  As of now they still appear to be rather distant from the bubble.

-Not sure what happened to Wisconsin.  Penn State hung around in the first half, and then took control in the second half putting up 50pts in that half against what is normally a really tough Wisky defense.  Penn State ended up with the 81-71 win.

-It’s time to start asking what the hell is wrong with Kansas.  They’ve now lost four of their last five, and it isn’t so much that losing at Tennessee is a bad loss, but they absolutely got their doors blown off.  The Vols, up until yesterday, had been going through a stretch where they looked kind of down.

-Georgia Tech scored an upset win against a Florida State team that, up until yesterday, had been looking as good (and perhaps better) as everyone else in the ACC.  The Yellowjackets can still play their way in.

-Minnesota’s road struggles continue.  When Minnesota plays at home, they don’t just win!  They blow teams out!  When Minnesota plays on the road, they don’t just lose, they get blown out!  Purdue blew them out 81-62.

-Speaking of blowouts, it keeps happening to Clemson.  They did get a win against Louisville earlier in the week, but for the third time in four games they were absolutely blown off the floor. Duke, who hadn’t looked anything like a tournament team for most of the year, got the 79-53 win.

-Colorado fell at home to a Utah team that isn’t bad, but isn’t exactly a tournament caliber team either.  It’s definitely a game that you’d expect Colorado to win.  The 77-74 loss is another setback for the Buffs.

-Oklahoma State really had to sweat, but they held on to beat an Arkansas team that I didn’t think they’d have a problem with.  Some others have been big on Arkansas.  I have not been, but I admit I was impressed with how they played yesterday despite the loss.

-Stanford, a team that I was starting to warm up to, has given me a reason to be highly skeptical.  They fell 79-75 to an Arizona State team that has not looked good at all this season.  Stanford continues to straddle the fence of the bubble.

-A bit of an Under the Radar note, Belmont had to overcome a double digit second half deficit at Murray State to hold on for a 72-71 win after coming up with a big defensive stop on the final possession of the game.  Belmont is now 16-1 on the year, and while they may not make it inside the bubble even if they run the table (unless they can schedule a big OOC game), they should at least be in the discussion and are potentially dangerous if they are the team that wins the auto-bid.

-After falling to Pepperdine earlier in the week, BYU needed double overtime to get past Pacific.  They did get the win, but it’s been a less than stellar week for the Cougars.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SMU AT HOUSTON (American).  SMU is hovering around outside the bubble  A win in a game like this could make the difference of whether or not they make the field.  It’s obviously easier said than done.  Houston is a top ten team that’s playing at home.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Michigan State did not look good at all in their last game against Rutgers, which was their first after being shut down.  They have a long way to go just to land inside the bubble.  Ohio State, on the other hand, is looking more and more like a protected seed.

-ILLINOIS STATE AT DRAKE (Missouri Valley).  Drake continues to win, and if they win this game they may crack the top 25 tomorrow.  Even if they don’t, I think they should be safely inside the bubble at this point.  Now, it’ll only take a couple of losses to knock them outside of it, but this is a legit Drake team.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT MARQUETTE (Big East).  Still not sure of what to make of Marquette, but they need to hold serve in games against sub-tournament caliber teams in order to get on the right side of the bubble.

-NC STATE AT SYRACUSE (ACC).  Both of these teams have work to do, and both should be coming in with a sense of urgency because both could really use this win.

-RUTGERS AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Rutgers still looks to be inside the bubble, but this is the kind of game that an NCAA Tournament team should be expected to win.  It’s not so much that it’d be a big win, but it would be an expected win.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Sunday, January 31

Sam Houston State at Stephen F Austin, 4:00 PM, ESPNU

The best rivalry in the WAC Southland Conference is on tap this afternoon for our Under the Radar Game of the Day as the Sam Houston State Bearkats head to Nacogdoches, Texas to take on the Stephen F Austin Lumberjacks in the Battle of the Piney Woods.  In addition to being the top rivalry in the league, today’s contest will also be for the top spot in the conference, as an SFA win would put them in a three-way first place tie with Sam Houston and Nicholls State.  Sam Houston, on the other hand, can remain undefeated and atop the league with a road victory.  In terms of the all-time rivalry, it could not be much closer between these schools, as SFA holds a 95-94 lead heading into today’s game.

The Bearkats of Sam Houston State are led offensively by Zach Nutall who is averaging 19.9 points per game, and Demarkus Lampley who is scoring 15.9.  SFA is led by Cameron Johnson’s 18.1 points per game followed by 14.1 from Gavin Kensmil.  Both teams are in the top 70 nationally in Tempo, meaning that we should be in line for a fast-paced high energy game between these two long-time rivals.  This will also be one of the final times these two teams meet as Southland rivals, as the Battle of the Piney Woods will be taking its show to the WAC starting next season.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Saturday, January 30

Alabama A&M at Prairie View A&M, 4:00 PM Eastern, pvpanthers.com

And then there were four.  Winthop’s upset loss at UNC-Asheville last night dropped the number of undefeated teams remaining in the nation to just four — Gonzaga, Baylor, Drake . . . and Alabama A&M.  The unlikely Bulldogs from the SWAC enter tonight’s game at 4-0 overall and 2-0 in conference play.  Garret Hicks (20.3 points and 5.3 rebounds per game) and Jalen Johnson (19.8 points and 6.8 rebounds per game) continue to lead the team as they are faced with their toughest test of the season so far — a road trip to conference frontrunner Prairie View.

AAMU may be undefeated, but the Prairie View A&M Panthers are the current favorite to capture the SWAC regular season title thanks to their 4-0 conference start (5-4 overall).  Cam Mack, Jeremiah Gambrell and Jawaun Daniels are all averaging double digits in scoring for the Panthers.  A win today will push Prairie View to 5-0 in conference and put them in even firmer control of the league (though trips to Texas Southern and Jackson State do await over the next 2 weeks).  However, if the Bulldogs can pull off the upset, they will spend at least a few more days among the elite group of undefeateds — a mighty task indeed given that they are not even eligible for the NCAAA tournament this season due to an APR ban.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Jan 30th

As was widely reported yesterday, longtime Temple coach and overall college basketball coaching legend John Chaney passed away yesterday.  Here is an interview that our own Jon Teitel did with him – CLICK HERE

NEWS AND NOTES

-The game of the night was Illinois v Iowa, and it lived up to the billing.  It was close all throughout with momentum swinging back and forth, but Illinois got control late in the second half and held on for the 80-75 win.  It was perhaps the biggest win of the season for Illinois up to this point.  As for Iowa, a road loss to a team like Illinois certainly doesn’t hurt, but they are still lacking a big win of the caliber that this would have been, and they’re going to need to pick up one or two prior to the end of the season if they want to end up as a #1 or #2 seed.

-Winthrop also suffered their first loss of the season.  After barely scraping by UNC Asheville on Thursday night, they weren’t able to get past them on Friday.  Like the game on Thursday it was close all throughout, and Winthrop had a chance to win in the final seconds, but just couldn’t get over the top.  Unless they can schedule some big OOC games between now and the end, I believe this pretty much ends any at-large hopes Winthrop has despite it being their only loss.

-Boise State continues to look strong as they knocked off Colorado State on the road 85-77.  Boise State is now 14-2 overall with some pretty nice wins on their resume.  They definitely look like a tournament caliber team.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-ALABAMA AT OKLAHOMA (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  Alabama is looking like a #2 seed and may be the best overall team in the SEC.  They also seem to be getting better as the year progresses.  Oklahoma’s resume was rather flimsy about a week ago, but with two straight huge wins they are quickly climbing the rankings and the seedlist.  If they can get this one today then we may need to start talking about them as a protected seed.

-PROVIDENCE AT GEORGETOWN (Big East).  Providence has lost a lot of close games and is right on our bubble.  They can’t afford to not hold serve in this one.

-CLEMSON AT DUKE (ACC).  Clemson ended a three game skid with a big win against Louisville their last time out.  This is another winnable game for them against a Duke team that we have outside the bubble and who needs to string together some of wins just to get into the discussion.

-LA SALLE AT VCU (Atlantic Ten).  VCU is on the outside looking in and can’t afford losses in games like this.

-TEXAS TECH AT LSU (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  I really like this Texas Tech team and while their resume still has room to improve it wouldn’t shock me at all if they ended up as a protected seed.  LSU has been a bit of a disappointment this year, but a win today could really help turn things around.  It would be their biggest win of the season on paper so far.

-FLORIDA AT WEST VIRGINIA (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  It’s been a rather tumultuous year for Florida, but they have been looking better lately and could really give their resume a big boost today.  WVU continues to hover right around protected seed range, and will stay there if they can hold serve today.

-TCU AT MISSOURI (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  TCU is looking very NIT-ish, and Mizzou is looking very top 15-ish.  It shouldn’t be too much of a struggle for the Tigers today.

-VILLANOVA AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Villanova continues to stand firm on the #1 line, and Seton Hall is hovering right around the bubble.  The Hall has had a lot of close losses that could have completely turned the tide of their season.  They’re better than their record indicates and if they can get a big win it should make them feel a lot more safe.

-WISCONSIN AT PENN STATE (Big Ten).  Penn State has proven to not be easy to beat, but they’re still the kind of team that a potential protected seed like Wisconsin should beat.

-AUBURN AT BAYLOR (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  Games like this make me wish they wouldn’t pare the teams up before the start of the season.  Baylor playing Alabama or Tennessee would have made more sense.  This probably won’t be much of a “challenge,” although to be fair, Auburn has been playing a little better.

-FLORIDA STATE AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC).  Florida State is looking like one of the better teams in the ACC, and that they could end up repeating as the first place team.  GA Tech has also been better than expected, and if they can string together some wins they could end up making the field, but it won’t be easy.  Still, the Yellowjackets have proven to be a fun team to watch!

-UCF AT WICHITA STATE (American).  Wichita State is on the outside looking, and although the path is narrow, I still think they have at least a chance of ending up inside the bubble if they can hold serve against…well…everyone but Houston.

-ARKANSAS AT OKLAHOMA STATE (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  Arkansas’s paper isn’t up to par yet, but if they could win this one on the road it certainly would be.  I’m really big on this Oklahoma State team and think they should be in the conversation for a protected seed despite their low NET ranking.  They have some fantastic wins.

-OREGON AT USC (Pac 12).   Both these teams are rather safely inside the bubble (for now), but both also have a lot of room to improve and could really benefit from a win today.

-XAVIER AT BUTLER (Big East).  Xavier has been shut down for a couple of weeks and many have kind of forgotten about them, but they are 10-2 and while they might be rusty this is still a winnable conference road game for them.

-VIRGINIA AT VIRGINIA TECH (ACC).  Both teams are in the rankings, and both are potential protected seeds, so this would be a huge statement win to the committee for whoever ends up pulling it out.  Oh yeah, and this is a rather big rivalry game as well!

-KANSAS AT TENNESSEE (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  Both of these teams are having great seasons, but both have also struggled in the past week or so and could use a win in a game like this to pull them out of their tailspin.  I still expect that both will end up as protected seeds, but both are in a bit of a slump right now.

-PACIFIC AT BYU (West Coast).  BYU is coming off a somewhat surprising loss to Pepperdine and will be looking to bounce back tonight.  They’re still in solid shape but can’t afford too many of those.

-OREGON STATE AT UCLA (Pac 12).  UCLA continues to be among the best teams in the Pac 12 and is safely in the top half of the bracket.  The Beavers have improved, but UCLA should still be able to take care of them at home.

-MINNESOTA AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  Minney needs some road wins.  They have a good overall profile, and they’ll be in great shape once they get some road wins, but as of now they don’t have any.  So, a win tonight would check a huge box for them.  It won’t be easy, though.  Purdue has been playing much better, their resume is looking better, and they are good enough to get this win and keep that momentum going.

-GONZAGA AT PEPPERDINE (West Coast).  Like nearly every conference game for the Zags, this will probably end up looking like a buy game by the time it’s over, even though it’s a road game.

-TEXAS AT KENTUCKY (SEC/Big 12 Challenge).  Kentucky has been getting better, and played Alabama tough the last time out, but they need to win about 7 of their next 8 to even be in the conversation for an NCAA Tournament bid, and playing against a Texas team that is good enough to be a #1 seed won’t be easy.

-CREIGHTON AT DEPAUL (Big East).  Creighton continues to look impressive and look like a potential protected seed.  They shouldn’t have too much trouble picking this one up on the road tonight.

-NOTRE DAME AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  Pitt has fallen outside the bubble and needs to hold serve just to get back into it.  That shouldn’t be too tough against a Notre Dame team that has struggled this year.

-BELMONT AT MURRAY STATE (Ohio Valley).  With just one loss on the year, Belmont should at least be in the discussion for being inside the bubble if they are able to win out.

-UTAH AT COLORADO (Pac 12).  Colorado has been up and down this season, but mostly up.  They look to be safely inside the bubble and will remain that way so long as they’re able to hold serve in games like this.

-STANFORD AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac 12).  Stanford picked up a really nice win against Arizona the other night, which really helps out their resume.  This should be another winnable conference road game for them.

-WYOMING AT SAN DIEGO STATE (Mountain West).  San Diego State is straddling the bubble and they need to hold serve in games like this and finish strong down the stretch.

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RIP Coach: HoopsHD remembers Temple legend John Chaney

We have lost so many great college basketball coaches over the past 9 months: Eddie Sutton in May, Lou Henson in July, Lute Olson & John Thompson in August, Billy Tubbs in November, and John Chaney earlier today at age 89. Here is just a small peek at Coach Chaney’s remarkable resume: 1978 D-2 title/national COY at Cheyney State, followed by 23 straight postseason appearances/5 Elite 8s/back-to-back national COY awards at Temple. He was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2001 and the College Basketball Hall of Fame in 2006, and his 741 career wins remains top-50 in NCAA history. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel had the honor of interviewing Coach Chaney several years ago and is proud to present this never-before-published interview below. We send our condolences to all of Coach Chaney’s family/friends on their loss.

NFL All-Pro DB Johnny Sample (who played rec league basketball with you) said you were “the most competitive human being I have ever seen”: how did you become so competitive, and were your players able to match your intensity? Johnny was 1 of the toughest guys I have ever known: no way would I get out onto the football field with him! 1 thing I will never forget was Johnny getting frustrated with Hall of Famer Jim Brown because he would drag tacklers on his back for 5-10 yards. Johnny was as ornery as he could be while still having a smile on his face. When we played against each other he would seek me out and always found a way to guard me.

You ended up going to college at Bethune-Cookman, where you were an All-American and scored 2000+ PTS: why did you choose Bethune-Cookman, and what is the key to being a great scorer? When I got out of high school I was the best player in the Philly public league and Tom Gola was the best player in the Catholic league. Tommy went to La Salle but I could not even get a scholarship to a college in Philly because most of the Big 5 schools did not have any Blacks on their teams. Back then we would only receive a partial scholarship to cover tuition so I could not have afforded to go there anyway. Bethune-Cookman came to Philly to recruit me and I decided to there: if they had not come to Philly then I probably would have gone to Winston-Salem because Coach Clarence “Big House” Gaines tried to come recruit me the very next day!

After college you played briefly with the Harlem Globetrotters but quit after learning that all of their tricks/games were prearranged: what was it like to be a Globetrotter, and where do you draw the line between sports and entertainment? The Globetrotters had a number of teams around the country at that time. We stayed in Chicago alongside the great Woody Sauldsberry. I was a great ball-handler/dribbler, which is why they recruited me. There were only a few NBA teams back then and very few Black players, so when the Globetrotters offered me a plane ticket to Chicago I decided to give it a shot. We were really impressed by the boxers of that era like Joe Louis/Sugar Ray Robinson, and the Globetrotters were also big-time. They beat teams like the Minneapolis Lakers but I had never seen them on TV, so when I saw us play the Washington Generals and how much of a show it was I decided to take a job as a coach/teacher instead.

Your 1st collegiate coaching job was at D-2 Cheyney State (where you won almost 80% of your games, a national title in 1978, and national COY honors): how did you end up there, and what did it mean to you to win a title? I was coaching basketball (and a number of other sports) at Simon Gratz High School after being hired there by Principal Marcus Foster. It is important to know that your boss is compassionate and offers you some dignity. We were not being compensated as high school coaches: that is when I started to hold early-morning practices and bring in the players in the afternoon for tutoring. Marcus later ended up getting killed by the Symbionese Liberation Army in 1973. Dr. Wade Wilson called on me to come to Cheyney State but he did not care if I won a national title: he just wanted me to learn how to spell my name correctly! I stayed there for 6 years before going to Temple.

As the team bus was getting ready to head to the airport for the 1978 Final 4, 1 of your players showed up without a necktie and you sent him home: were you trying to teach your team a lesson about responsibility, or were you just strictly enforcing the rules, or other? I made it clear to our players that we represented more than just ourselves: we represented our families, the alumni, etc. I sat them down on the floor and told them about our dress code: no sneakers, no jeans, and that they must wear a tie. Johnny Blue showed up without his shoes and I told him that he was not getting on the bus. After we won it all I sat down with Blue and talked to him about transferring…but 6 months later he was shot dead in Philly. College can be a safe haven for young people and help them create a future.

In 1982 you became head coach at Temple: how big a deal was it to be the 1st African-American coach in Big 5 history, and what makes the Big 5 so special? I got asked about that a lot: I made it very clear that I never thought about it 1 way or the other. I tried to recruit youngsters regardless of which other coaches were trying to sign them, although it was hard without the same amount of scholarships as schools like St. John’s/St. Joe’s.

Some of your most famous coaching methods include early-morning practices, a match-up zone defense, and a tough non-conference schedule: how did you come up with them, and why were they so successful? All 3 of these were very special for us: we were fighting Prop 48 at the time and many other conferences would not accept kids who did not meet the minimum standards. We were going to make every effort to make sure the players went to class and got a degree. I am proud of guys like Aaron McKie/Eddie Jones who came back to get their degrees after having 15-year careers in the NBA. Now there is a 20 hour/week practice limit but we got started early so that we could get in our practice and still leave time for classes/tutoring.

Take me through the 1991 NCAA tourney:
After Corey Williams’ apparent game-winning 3-PT shot at the end of regulation was ruled a 2-PT shot, Mark Macon scored 8 PTS in OT before fouling out to give you a 9-PT OT win over Oklahoma State: did you think that Williams’ shot was going in, and what did you tell your team before the OT period that helped them regain the momentum? Every year we instructed the team that how you start is how you finish. Regardless of who we played, we presented a lot more energy to meet them head on. We made 5 trips to the Elite 8…and each of the 5 teams who beat us ended up winning the title. We wanted to play as many top-20 teams as we could in non-conference play and did that for 24 straight years.

Macon had 31 PTS/9 REB/0 turnovers but missed a 3-PT shot at the buzzer in a 3-PT loss to UNC in his final collegiate game: how proud were you of his performance, and where does he rank among the best players that you ever coached? I have had a lot of gutsy players during my time, but at the end of a game Mark is the 1 who I would want to shoot the ball.

You were named USBWA national COY in 1987 and 1988: what made you such a great coach? The greatest part about managing/directing men is teaching them discipline, which is 1 of the highest forms of intelligence. You have to be persistent and cannot worry about losses: move on to the next thing facing you. I had almost 20 players make it to the pros and they all knew that there were no shortcuts to success. The reason a team like the Miami Heat wins games is due to their rotation/double-teams, which is based on zone concepts.

In 2001 you were elected to the Basketball Hall of Fame: where does that rank among the highlights of your career? The highest! It was very special: every year that I get to go back and talk with the other Hall of Famers. It is 1 of the best things that ever happened to me.

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