Staff Bracket – January 17, 2025

It is Chad’s turn again to post the HoopsHD Staff — the weekly bracket posted by a rotating member of the HoopsHD Staff in which we set forth where we field the NCAA Tournament should be if today was Selection Sunday. Below the Bracket are Chad’s comments followed by reactions from other members of our staff. Enjoy!!

CHAD’S COMMENTS:

  • Despite Tennessee’s loss having been by 30 points, they have moved up to #3 overall for me, passing Duke. Tennessee has four Tier 1A wins away from home and only one overall loss. Duke has two Tier 1A wins away from home and 2 overall losses.
  • Houston does not have the wins yet to really merit a 3 seed, but this is a damn good team that, by quirks of the order of their Big 12 conference games this season, just has not had a chance to prove themselves in league play yet. But this is a great team and I was tempted to seed them even higher.
  • Ole Miss also made my 3 line. What they did this week at Alabama speaks for itself. There is a real chance that Chris Beard’s team may prove to be the second best team in the SEC behind Auburn.
  • Another team that is rising fast is Missouri, The Tigers turned a profile with nothing but a home win over Kansas into something truly special this week by throwing in a road win at Florida — and remember, Tennessee lost by 30 at Florida! I may have Mizzou still under-seeded on my 6 line.
  • Gonzaga may have blown any real chance at a protected seed last night when they lost at Oregon State. No matter how good this team is on paper, they just will not have the chances for marquee wins the rest of the way to make any significant move towards the top 4 seed lines.
  • UC-Irvine is solidly in my field as a 9 seed, while conference-mate UC-San Diego was my very last team in. If both teams can continue to steamroll the rest of the Big West the way they did in last night’s wins, this will be a 2-bid conference.
  • My last four in, in order, were St John’s, Vanderbilt, Iowa and UCSD. My top four out, in order, were Wake Forest, Texas, BYU and Ohio State. Also considered were Arizona State, Indiana, Cincinnati, Nebraska, Penn State, Northwestern, LSU, USC, Oregon State, Boise State, Villanova, SMU, North Texas, Bradley, Florida State and Santa Clara.
  • Buckeye fans may not like my decision to leave Ohio State out. Their wins over Kentucky and Texas are both good wins. They do not have any bad losses. However, at the end of the day this team is 4-7 against the top three Tiers and 3-7 against the top two. That pretty much categorically leaves a team out.

STAFF COMMENTS:

From John Stalica:

– Memphis stepped on their first Lego with a loss at Temple last night. They might be able to absorb one more loss to remain in the Top 4 lines, but this better not be habit-forming. Lest they become the Dayton of the American and fall completely off the board.

– Illinois would probably be the beneficiary of a Memphis falling out of protected seed territory. Their win against Mizzou now looks better with the rise of the Tigers, and although they did get a pair of West Coast road wins against Oregon and Washington, the USC loss at home shows they’re capable of almost anything in conference play.

– St. John’s as a First Four team is a bit mistifying; they’re actually off to their best overall start since the 1998-99 season in which they would reach the Elite 8. Hopefully they don’t sleep through their alarms very often like they did against Georgetown earlier this week.

– UCLA is another team headed in the wrong direction after four straight losses (including against two teams not in Chad’s field). They finally get some much needed home cooking this week, but they too could find themselves out of the field soon if they don’t get out of their current slump.

– With Mother Miami as a 15 seed, is that a testament to how good the Redhawks have been or is that an indictment of the MAC in general this year? I thought they’d at least get a better matchup than Troy in the MAC/Sun Belt Challenge.

From David Griggs:

-Let me first say that THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE MY WEEK!!! Chad just came along and took it from me!! My bracket would have been MUCH better!!!!!

-Having said that, I find myself agreeing with much more than I disagree with. Gonzaga as a 7 seed may seem low to a lot of people, but their profile suggests that they belong in that 6-7 seed range, and quite frankly so does their play on the court. They have a few good wins, but they also have more missed opportunities. The Zags are good. They belong in the top half of the bracket. But, they don’t belong on the top 4 lines.

-UC Irvine on the 9 line is also properly placed. They do have a bad loss at Duquesne, but when you look at their overall resume and season this is a top 40 team.

-Utah State’s loss to UNLV really set them back, but I think it set them back from being on the fringe of a protected seed to the 6-7 seed range.

-I do like UConn and Michigan a little more than Chad does. Like I said, my bracket would have been better!

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Friday, Jan 17th

NEWS AND NOTES:

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-We knew Gonzaga would be tested last night, but we also felt that if they really are a top 15 caliber team they should be able to beat Oregon State on the road. Instead they fell in overtime 97-89. Oregon State is a good team and is not easy to beat at home, but it’s still a setback for the Zags and an indication that they aren’t quite in the same class as Auburn, and Tennessee, and Iowa State, and the top half of the SEC, and those types of teams.

-Michigan, who had been red hot, also suffered an overtime loss as they fell to Minnesota 84-81, which ends a five game winning streak for them.

-Memphis, who we had been praising all year and felt was good enough to run the table in the American, lost at Temple last night 88-81. Because the rest of Memphis’s schedule is so weak they may be out of strikes in terms of getting a protected seed. They’re still very safely inside the bubble, but another loss could knock them out of the top four lines.

-Northwestern, who really needed something to go right for them, managed to beat a pretty solid Maryland team at home last night, and for once they won a game on a last second shot! The Wildcats got it done against the Terps 76-74.

-Nebraska dropped one at home to Rutgers 85-82 in a loss that wasn’t too terrible, but was the kind of game they needed to hold serve in if they wanted to show that they should be safely inside the bubble.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

PROVIDENCE AT VILLANOVA (Big East). Nova has lost their last two games and is once again on the outside with a ways to go to get back inside the bubble. They need to hold serve and win this one at home.

-INDIANA AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten). Indiana has been blown out in two consecutive games and has all the signs of heading in the wrong direction and missing the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State has lost three out of their last four, but all three were close games against tough opponents. This is a winnable game for the Buckeyes, and one they sort of need to win.

-IOWA AT UCLA (Big Ten). UCLA’s losing streak is now at four and this feels like a game they really need to win. Iowa has not won a true road game all season, so it’s a big game for them as well. Both teams have reasons for needing this one.

-BOISE STATE AT NEW MEXICO (Mountain West). New Mexico had been rolling, but then suffered a big setback with a loss to San Jose State that will leave a mark on their resume. They need to bounce back at home against Boise State tonight. This game has a really bubblicious feel to it.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Friday, January 17th

Ohio (10-6, 4-0) at Akron (11-5, 4-0) – 6:00 PM ET (CBS Sports Network)

Tonigiht’s UTR Game of the Day matches up a pair of leaders in the MAC as OU travels north up Interstate 77 to take on the Akron Zips. The Bobcats blew out Northern Illinois and Ball State on their last homestand, but this will be the first of their games against the top half of the conference. AJ Clayton averages 16.8 points a game and 6.3 rebounds a game for Ohio.

Akron has beaten a pair of MAC foes from Ohio thus far – they opened up MAC play with a 3-point win at Bowling Green and defeated Toledo 85-78 in their last contest. Akron also learned today that they will play South Alabama in the upcoming MAC-Sun Belt Challenge (Ohio U will host Appalachian State in the same series). Tavari Johnson averages 11.8 points a game and 4.2 assists a game for the Zips.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, January 16th

Merrimack (8-8, 5-0) at Quinnipiac (9-8, 5-1) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

A pair of leaders in the Metro Atlantic square off tonight as the Merrimack Warriors travel south to visit the Quinnipiac Bobcats. Merrimack is tied with Marist for first place and is currently on a 3-game winning streak overall; their last game was a 69-62 win against Manhattan. Bryan Etumnu led Merrimack with 21 points in the win against the Jaspers.

Only a loss to Marist on the road is keeping Quinnipiac behind the co-leaders at the moment; the Bobcats have won their past two games since that contest. They defeated Siena 72-53 at home and then won a 63-62 thriller on the road at Iona. In that game, the Gaels nearly erased a 5-point deficit in the final minute but were unable to come up with the game winning shot as the clock expired.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Jan 16th

NEWS AND NOTES:

For the latest Under the Radar Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-Iowa State ran away from Kansas last night 74-57. The game was closer than that for most of it, but Iowa State was in control the whole time and then blew it open down the stretch. The Cyclones are now 15-1 on the year with the only loss being to Auburn, by 2, on a last second tip-in, in a game where they led by as much as 18. This is a team that can win it all.

-The surprise of the evening was Utah State, who was looking as good as anyone and who had just picked up a big win against Boise State, who was on the road to face a so-so UNLV team and ended up losing 65-62. It’s just the second loss of the season for Utah State, and they are still in very good shape, but it is a setback for a team that looked as though they could end up as a protected seed.

-Tennessee ran away from Georgia in the second half for a 74-56 win and is once again looking like a solid top five team.

-Wake Forest keeps stringing together wins despite struggling from the outside. They beat Stanford 80-67 yesterday and have improved to 13-4.

-Dayton is an absolute train wreck. They’ve gone from looking like a team that could end up with a protected seed to now losing four out of five. None of those losses came to solid tournament teams, and most of them were by decisive margins. Dayton went on a late run against George Mason to make the final score look respectable at 67-59, but they trailed by as much as 19 in the final few minutes. Dayton is perhaps the biggest collapse in college basketball this year after such an impressive start to the season.

-Pittsburgh, who was/is having a solid year, fell on the road to Florida State 82-70 in a game that was a bit of a surprise. Florida State is nowhere near the bubble, but they don’t have any really bad losses on their resume either. There may still be time for them to pull it together and make a run at the NCAA Tournament.

-Texas held off rival Oklahoma on the road 77-73. Oklahoma had a comeback in the second half, but couldn’t come all the way back. The Sooners are now 0-4 in SEC play and are suddenly in a huge tailspin.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MEMPHIS AT TEMPLE (American). Memphis is good enough to blow through the rest of their schedule, and if they do they should be lined up for a protected seed.

-MICHIGAN AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten). Michigan is a perfect 5-0 in Big Ten play and this should be another winnable road game for them, which would be six straight for the Wolverines and their 4th true road win this season.

-MARYLAND AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten). Northwestern is just 1-4 in Big Ten play and is currently outside the bubble, but considering how they lost a couple of those games they’re only a few plays away (literally) from having a much more solid profile and they are far from the easiest team to beat on the road. Maryland is a solid 13-4, but they’re still looking for their first true road win, so there is something at stake for them tonight.

-RUTGERS AT NEBRASKA (Big Ten). Nebraska is hovering around the bubble and needs to hold serve in this one.

-UTEP AT LIBERTY (Conference USA). Liberty can still land inside the bubble, but they basically need to win out to do it. UTEP is one of the better teams in the league, but they still should be able to hold serve at home.

-CAL STATE FULLERTON AT UC IRVINE (Big West). UC Irvine should be inside the bubble right now, and will remain there so long as they can keep blowing through the Big West (which is easier said than done).

-GONZAGA AT OREGON STATE (West Coast). This will be a bit of a road test for the Zags against a decent (but not great) Oregon State team that’s played well at home and that should be up for this one. Having said that, it’s far from the first big test for Gonzaga this season.

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Under the Radar – Jan 15th

Tonight’s feature conference is the Summit League, and we focus in the unbelievable year that Saint Thomas is having. Despite being a transitional team that is having to go through a five year transition they are outperforming the rest of the Summit League. Omaha is also off to a really good start in conference after struggling through OOC play.

From there Chad and David run through the other 21 UTR Conferences and discuss the big game between UC Irvine and UC San Diego in the Big West, and how we feel they could both end up being NCAA Tournament teams, a crazy week in the SoCon with Furman losing big at home to rivals Wofford, New Mexico State looking very impressive out in CUSA and with a big week coming up, Utah Valley’s big win over Grand Canyon in the WAC, and more! And, as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

For those that prefer audio only:

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