Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Saturday, Dec 6th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Gonzaga jumped out to about a 19-2 lead on Kentucky and at no point was this game close. The Zags beat them down 94-59 in a game that was less competitive than most buy games we see. Kentucky falls to 5-4 and still has no wins other than home buy games on the season.

-East Tennessee State pulled away from a pretty good South Alabama team and beat them handily 91-65. ETSU clearly looks like the best team in the SoCon so far, and I’ve noticed that they have a tendency to blow games open about midway through the second half.

-Quinnipiac got a shockingly dominant win at IONA in the MAAC opener for both teams. They were our preseason pick to win the league, and they looked like the favorites last night winning 89-68 on the road.

-Xavier held on to beat Cincinnati 79-74 in a game that was competitive throughout. After a very slugglish start to the season, Xavier continues to show signs of improvement. Cincinnati is a team that shoots a lot of 3s, which is rather unfortunate for them considering they’re a team that also misses a lot of 3s.

-TCU, who is a team I had been praising, lost at home to Notre Dame, who is a team I had been criticizing. It was a tense and hard fought overtime 87-85 road win for the Irish and while they still have work to do they may be showing signs of getting better.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-IOWA STATE AT PURDUE. Both teams are in the top ten, both are unbeaten, and both have won big games to earn those high rankings. This is a showcase game between two teams that appear to be on pace to end up as protected seeds, and perhaps even contend for #1 seeds.

-DUKE AT MICHIGAN STATE. You can pretty much repeat exactly what is written above. I think I will!! Both teams are in the top ten, both are unbeaten, and both have won big games to earn those high rankings. This is a showcase game between two teams that appear to be on pace to end up as protected seeds, and perhaps even contend for #1 seeds.

-DAYTON VS VIRGINIA (Charlotte NC). Virginia just blew Texas’s doors off. If they play like that the rest of the way they may not lose another game all season. Dayton is off to a solid 7-2 start with some decent wins. This would be their biggest win of the year if they’re able to pull it off, and I think it would make a statement to the committee.

-BOISE STATE AT BUTLER. I’m highlighting this because the more I think about it, the more important I realize this game is. Boise State is 5-3 and still trying to shake off that opening loss to Hawaii Pacific. A big road win in a game like this would give them some much needed equity. Butler is 7-1 with some big wins and the only loss being on the road to SMU. Not many people are talking about them yet, but they look to be a tournament caliber team, or at least a team that could play their way into the discussion. Both teams can really use this win today.

-SAINT BONAVENTURE AT BUFFALO (Big Four). I don’t remember the last time I’ve been this excited for a Big Four game!!! Buffalo is unbeaten. While I admit they’ve been far better than I thought they’d be, I’m still not a full believer. I did say on our last podcast that if they win this one today that I’d start to believe. The Bonnies are 8-1 with the only loss being against North Carolina, and while they don’t have any really good wins they have at least a smattering of decent ones. This would probably be one of their better wins of the season up to this point. And, it’s a Big Four rivalry game!! So this one should be fun! I hope Buffalo’s arena is packed and that it’s a great atmosphere! It may be their biggest home game since Nate Oates was there.

-LOUISVILLE VS INDIANA (Indianapolis IN). This is a big day for the Hoosiers in the city of Indianapolis! While the football game against Ohio State is where most of the attention is, the basketball game against Louisville is also no small thing. Both teams are in the rankings, both are coming off losses, and both could use a notable bounce back win, especially Indiana who’s win against Marquette isn’t looking as good as we thought at the time and who is also coming off a damaging loss to Minnesota.

-GEORGE MASON AT VIRGINIA TECH. George Mason is good. George Mason is unbeaten. But George Mason’s schedule has been nothing short of awful. This is their first test of the season and it’s one that GMU sort of has to win if they want to be taken seriously. VA Tech is a respectable 7-2 and has a few decent wins, but they still have some work to do.

-WILLIAM & MARY AT GEORGE WASHINGTON. This is a strange game to highlight, but if nothing else I just think it’s going to be a really fun game. I still think GW can make a ton of noise in the A10 and perhaps even make a run at the bubble despite some early slipups, but they’ll have to play better than they’ve been playing to do it. Still, they’re a very respectable 7-2 on the year. Bill & Mary comes in at 8-2 and has three true road wins already, and is just a ton of fun to watch. They can shoot and they go deep into their bench. I’m not picking Bill & Mary to win this one, but it wouldn’t shock me at all if it happened.

-ILLINOIS VS TENNESSEE (Nashville TN). Both teams are in the rankings, both have some notable wins, but both have a few missed opportunities as well. Still, both these teams are good enough to end up as protected seeds and this is a chance to really boost up their resumes. It should be a fun one.

-SANTA CLARA AT NEW MEXICO. This is a tough road test for Santa Clara, but like I always say, teams need to win games that are tough to win in order to make the NCAA Tournament. If Santa Clara is as good as I think they are they should be able to win this game. We shall see.

-AUBURN AT ARIZONA. This is a massively tough road test for the Auburn Tigers, and they’re probably in over their heads. Arizona has looked like a Final Four team. One could argue that winning a game like this is harder than winning a game in the Final Four (at least if you take out how hard it is to get to the Final Four). When you’re playing a team in the Final Four, it’s not a true road game! Still, it’s a great game for the Tigers to play. Arizona already has multiple massive wins this season, particularly the win at UConn, and can remain on pace to get a #1 seed.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Rhode Island @ Providence – The Ocean State Rivalry!!! Rhody is off to a solid 7-2 start and so far looks like they are on a path that could lead them to the NCAA Tournament. The key part of that phrase is “so far.” There is a long way to go. Not only is this a rivalry game, but it’s the kind of game a tournament caliber team needs to be able to win on the road.

-Southern Miss @ Miami FL – Miami has looked good so far and can improve to 8-2 with a win today

-Old Dominion @ Richmond – I like this Richmond team and a win today gets them to 9-1

-Utah Valley @ Bowling Green – these are two solid UTR teams and this is a fun matchup. Utah Valley is still looking for their first true road win.

-Ohio State @ Northwestern – Ohio State is off to a solid 6-1 start, but they will be tested today against a solid Northwestern team. Most conference road games are tests

-Marquette @ Wisconsin – it’s a rivalry game, but both teams have underperformed. Marquette has underperformed to the point of not even looking like an NIT team. Still, sometimes a win in a rivalry team can jumpstart a team’s season.

-Missouri State @ Tulsa – Tulsa is having a good year and should be able to improve to 8-1 with a win today

-Rutgers @ Michigan (Big Ten) – Michigan is looking like the best team in the country and will likely continue cruising today

-Fresno State @ Arkansas – Arkansas is coming off a big win against Louisville, and while Fresno State is having a pretty good year that’s a lot better than most thought they’d have, they’re probably overmatched today

-Iowa @ Maryland (Big Ten) – both teams have shown potential, but both still have work to do and both could use this one today

-UNC Wilmington @ Louisiana – this is a very winnable road game for UNCW and they’re worth keeping an eye on. This gets them to 9-1 on the season

-Evansville @ Western Kentucky – I still think WKU could end up having a really big year. A win today gets them to 6-2 and one of those losses was an absolute battle against Vanderbilt

-Akron @ Tulane – I like this Akron team, but they need to win a true road game. Tulane is a solid 6-2 on the year, so it will be a test for the Zips

-Seton Hall @ Kansas State – It’s starting to dawn on me that Seton Hall may not be going away. They’re 8-1, and while they don’t have any great wins they do have some really good ones, and given how bad K State is looked this is a chance for them to pick up their first true road win of the season, which makes them look even better.

-Baylor @ Memphis – Before the season you’d think this would be one to highlight, but given how Memphis has played this is simply a somewhat challenging but winnable road game for Baylor. And, that’s really all there is to say about it.

-Colorado @ Colorado State (Front Range) – Colorado is looking to remain unbeaten on the year and pick up their first road win of the season. Colorado State is a respectable 6-2, but they haven’t looked as good as Colorado throughout those games

-Pacific @ California – Pacific is a respectable 7-2 and Cal is having a much better year than any of us expected, so this is a surprisingly noteworthy game!

-Washington @ USC (Big Ten) – Washington played well against UCLA earlier in the week, but came up short of getting what would have been a big win. They’ve got another tough test today, and it’s on the road. USC is still perfect on the season at 8-0.

-Oregon @ UCLA (Big Ten) – UCLA has struggled a little more this season than what most people probably expected, but it is still early, they did just get a nice win at Washington, and they’re back home for what should be a winnable conference road game today

-Wake Forest vs West Virginia (Charleston WV) – Wake has impressed me a few times this season, but their last game against Oklahoma was not one of those times. They still need a signature win, and while this wouldn’t be a great win it would probably be their best one to date

-California Baptist @ Utah – Cal Baptist has lost two straight and has another tough test today. Utah is a modest 6-3 and better not overlook the Lancers in this one

-Penn vs Villanova (Big Five Classic) – it’s the championship game!! And Nova is looking to improve to a very respectable 7-1 on the year.

-Oklahoma State @ Grand Canyon – GCU hasn’t had a bad year, but they haven’t been as good as we expected either. Still, it’s never an easy place for a team to go and win, and while Oklahoma State is a perfect 8-0 this is their first true road game and it’s not an easy one

-Florida State @ Houston – Florida State has been decent at times. Houston has been good, but not as good as they will likely be by the end of the year. Still, this is one the Cougars should win

-Ole Miss @ Saint John’s – The Johnnies are a modest 4-3 but are still very well positioned and should be able to hold serve in this one against a decent-but-not-great Ole Miss team

-Wichita State @ Northern Iowa – I still really like this UNI team even though their schedule hasn’t been the toughest. This should be (another) winnable home game for them, which would improve them to 8-1 on the year

-Oklahoma @ Arizona State – both teams have shown potential, and Arizona State has looked a lot better than expected so far, but both still have work to do

BUY GAMES/CRAP GAMES:

-Maine @ Miami OH
-UNC Asheville @ NC State
-Coppin State @ Liberty
-Dartmouth @ Wyoming
-Chicago State @ Illinois State
-South Dakota @ Northern Colorado – a win for NOCO gets them to 9-1
-UC San Diego @ Long Beach State (Big West) – UCSD should cruise
-Cal State Fullerton @ Hawaii (Big West) – Hawaii should cruise

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Hoops HD Staff Bracket – Friday, December 5th

This week, we at Hoops HD are basing the weekly Staff Bracket based on the initial NET rankings that were released by the NCAA earlier this week. As you’ll see below, take some of the team selections with a huge grain of salt. That said, here is the bracket below:

First Four Out – UCLA, George Washington, Oklahoma State, Wisconsin

Rounding out the Top 60 in the NET: VCU, California, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Bowling Green, Northwestern

COMMENTS FROM JOHN

– One thing that is certain is that Michigan created a lot of separation from their blowout wins in the Players Era Festival in Las Vegas. They’ve raced out to the top overall seed in this bracket.

– What a difference a year makes in the ACC/SEC Challenge. While the SEC did come back from a 6-3 deficit on the first day, they did win the series 9-7 overall. However, the bracket in its current form shows “only” 9 SEC teams and now has 8 teams from the ACC.

– The Atlantic 10 actually managed to get a pair of teams into the field based on their NET rankings (Saint Louis and George Mason). George Washington was also the second team out, yet Dayton was not mentioned. Also note where the Billikens were placed in the bracket – they CAN be placed in St. Louis since the host is the Missouri Valley Conference, not SLU itself.

– We know that Houston can play in the South Region in Houston since they’re not a host institution, but Villanova can also play in South Philly themselves since Saint Joe’s is hosting the first and second rounds. I’m sure the folks at Hawk Hill are proud of that fact.

– Any questions and complaints about this bracket can be addressed to Grok. I’m sure it’ll say they’re all great questions to ask.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Friday, Dec 5th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Utah State suffered their first loss of the year, and they did not mess around doing it. South Florida sprinted out to a lead early and it was never really close at any point. The 74-61 final score really wasn’t indicative of how dominant South Florida was.

-Hawaii knocked off a fairly solid UC Davis team in their Big West opener 75-69. This game was not over until way too late!! If Hawaii is gonna be good, and we need to keep watching them, then we’re gonna be losing a lot of sleep.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-GONZAGA VS KENTUCKY (Nashville TN). Kentucky is still looking for their first notable win of the season. Right now they sit at 5-3 with all five wins coming in home buy games. Gonzaga already has some big wins and assuming the season plays out like we think it will this would certainly count as another one. It will be a home-ish type of game for Kentucky seeing as how it’s in Nashville, but it’s not a true home game for the Cats.

-SOUTH ALABAMA AT EAST TENNESSEE STATE. South Alabama is turning out to be one of the top UTR teams in the country this year, and while it’s not easy for any UTR team to make a run at the bubble, the chances for them to do it are there. This will be a very tough road test at East Tennessee State, who so far has looked like the best team out of the SoCon.

-Quinnipiac @ Iona – two solid UTR teams. This one is worth turning on

-Cincinnati @ Xavier – It”s the Crosstown Shootout!! Both teams have gotten of to rough starts this season and both could use this win to give them some momentum.

-Notre Dame @ TCU – TCU has been playing really well lately and should be able to hold serve in this one. It’s just the second true road game of the year for the Irish

-Samford @ VCU
-East Texas A&M @ Connecticut
-Northwestern State @ McNeese (Southland)

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Dec 4th

NEWS AND NOTES:

For our latest UNDER THE RADAR Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-Arkansas dominated the first half against Louisville and was up by 18 at the break. Louisville came back and got as close as 5 and definitely made it interesting down the stretch, but the Razorbacks held on for an 89-80 win, which is their first real big win of the season.

-Alabama also jumped out to an early lead against Clemson, and Clemson also battled back, but also could not battle all the way back. They actually tied the game late in the second half, but Bama made the plays they needed to down the stretch to pull out a solid 90-84 win.

-Vanderbilt ran away from SMU 88-69 to stay unbeaten and hand SMU their first loss of the year. No one was all that excited about Vandy coming into the year, but they’re unbeaten, they’ve managed to rack up some really nice wins, they’re ranked 17th, and are certainly deserving of that ranking.

-Indiana, who had looked good against Marquette and who we thought would be really good this year, did not look good last night at Minnesota. The Hoosiers suffered a 73-64 defeat on the road and the perception of them has now completely changed. There is still a long way to go in the season, though.

-High Point may win a lot of games this year, but after last night’s 86-84 loss at home to Southern Illinois I’m now thinking that if they want to make the NCAA Tournament one of those wins better be that last Big South Tournament game. It was Southern Illinois’s first road win of the season and the game winning layup came as time expired after a High Point turnover.

-Richmond got a really nice 84-76 win at Belmont, which is a win that I think they’ll end up getting a lot of credit for. Belmont is not a top 25 team by any means, but they are good and are not easy to beat on the road. It was the first loss of the season for the Bruins, who are still poised to have a good year. As for Richmond, I think it’s a sign that they can compete against a lot of the teams they’ll face in the Atlantic Ten. It’s a lot harder to go to Belmont and win than it is to go to about half the places in the A10 to win.

-UNC Wilmington survived a scare from Marshall and held on to win 70-69 and improve to 8-1 on the season. Marshall had a chance to win on their final possession, but couldn’t get a shot to go down as time expired.

-Virginia went into Texas and absolutely blew the Longhorns off of their own floor. It was stunning to see a Texas team that I thought to be at least someone formidable get atom-bombed like that on their own home court. The Hoos simply looked incredible. The final score was 88-69, but the game wasn’t really even that close.

-I think I am done with San Francisco. At least for now. This was a team that I thought would land inside the bubble. They’re now just 5-4 on the season with no good wins, and lost at home to North Alabama last night 65-63.

-UCLA won their Big Ten opener against a pretty solid Washington team 82-80. It’s a nice conference road win for the Bruins. I still think Washington is good enough to build up their profile by March. Last night was a missed opportunity, but they have an abundance of opportunities remaining. One of the nice things about playing in the Big Ten.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-The Cidatel @ Davidson – Davidson can get to 7-1 on the year

-Utah State @ South Florida – South Florida is just 4-4, but they’ve played a tough schedule and have looked good against it. Utah State is still unbeaten, but this is their first true road game of the year and it’s likely their toughest game so far.

-UC Riverside @ UC Irvine (Big West) – The River Vine Cup!!!!!! Big West play kicks off with one of the greatest rivalries in all of sports!!!

-UC Davis @ Hawaii (Big West) – these are likely two of the better teams in the conference

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Under the Radar – Week 5

Tonight’s feature conference is the Ivy League, where both Yale and Columbia are off to fantastic starts. Yale in particular has several impressive wins, many of which were away from home, and are one of the Under the Radar teams that may actually have a chance to make a run at the bubble.

After that we run through the other 21 UTR conferences and discuss teams like High Point and McNeese suffering surprising losses, Liberty has also struggled out of Conference USA but teams like Western Kentucky have come out strong. Both Buffalo and Miami OH are unbeaten out of the MAC and Akron is another tough team to watch. The MVC, Big West, and Sun Belt appear to be strong from top to bottom. We discuss all that, and more. And, as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Wednesday, Dec 3rd

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Yesterday was eventful, but the biggest surprise (at least to me)was Oklahoma’s 86-68 win at Wake Forest. I had been praising this Wake team for how well they had played against both Michigan and Texas Tech losing one of those games in overtime and another by just 3. I thought for sure they’d beat what appeared to be a so-so Sooners team at home, but they were run out of their own building.

-After a few early stumbles, Florida probably played their best game of the year yesterday at Duke despite the fact that they didn’t actually win the game. They lost 67-66 and fall to just 5-3 on the season, but to play them that close at Cameron is a huge sign of potential for the rest of the year. If the Gators play like that the rest of the way they won’t lose too many more.

-UConn got what is perhaps their biggest win of the year by knocking off Kansas on the road 61-56. They have a couple of other wins that are very good, but considering that this was a true road game at Phog this one is probably their best one.

-North Carolina played and won their first true road game of the year as they knocked off Kentucky at Rupp Arena 67-64. Kentucky is now just 5-3 on the year with all of their wins being home buy games. The Wildcats have a tough stretch coming up and have multiple opportunities to start building their resume, but to date they’ve built absolutely nothing.

-USC remains unbeaten and got a nice 82-77 road win at Oregon in their conference opener last night. It was also the first true road game of the year for the Trojans.

-Iowa, who had been unbeaten, got absolutely pulverized at Michigan State 71-52 in their first real heavyweight test of the year. I still think Iowa is a good team, but I think they’re top-40 good and not top-10 good.

-Miami FL picked up a really nice 75-66 win at Ole Miss for their first true road win of the year. No one was all that excited about the Canes coming into the season, but they’ve been playing well and certainly looked good on the road last night.

-Georgia absolutely blasted Florida State 107-73 in Tallahassee. No one thought the Noles were a great team, but they did appear to at least be formidable so for Georgia to just blow them off of their own floor really says a lot about the Dawgs.

-Syracuse snapped a three game losing streak by knocking off a really good Tennessee team 62-60 in the Carrier Dome. It was Tennessee’s first true road game of the year, and while they’ll need to pick up a few true road wins between now and the end this wasn’t a loss that will damage them too much.

-Marquette needed overtime to get by Valparaiso in a home buy games. This may be the loudest alarm yet that Marquette just isn’t any good this year.

-Missouri suffered their first loss of the year to a somewhat underwhelming Notre Dame team 76-71. Mizzou has a solid record, but they’ve played a not-so-solid schedule and I’m not at all sold on them yet, especially after yesterday.

-UC San Diego kept it close at Nevada and had a chance to win, but couldn’t quite get over the top in the final minute and Nevada held on 76-71 to hand a pretty good UCSD team their first loss. We’ll discuss them on Under the Radar tonight.

-South Alabama handed New Mexico State their first loss of the year in a 77-75 thriller out in Katy, TX. It wasn’t a true road win for the Jaguars, but it was still a really good win pretty far away from home, and it gets them to a very impressive 8-1 on the season.

-California keeps racking up wins. They knocked off Utah (who admittedly isn’t that good) 79-72 yesterday to get to 7-1 on the season.

-Saint Louis is good. Like, perhaps top 25 good. It will take the voters a while to realize it because it always does, but they blew out a pretty good LMU team on their floor 91-70. SLU now has wins away from home against a very good Santa Clara team, and a blowout win against a pretty good LMU team that likely won’t lose any more home games to teams not named Gonzaga.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-LOUISVILLE AT ARKANSAS. Both these teams have been tested and Arkansas has yet to win a game that wasn’t a home buy game. This is big for them because it’s a chance to start building their resume. This is Louisville’s first true road game, so it’s a chance for them to add that piece to their profile. It should be a fun one!

-CLEMSON AT ALABAMA. Clemson is a probable tournament team and Alabama is a probable protected seed, so this is a resume building opportunity for both teams, particularly for Clemson. It will be fun to watch Clemson’s defense take on Alabama’s potent offense.

-RICHMOND AT BELMONT. I highlight this because I think both teams are good and while it’s unlikely that either ends up around the bubble, it’s also not entirely impossible. This would probably be the biggest win of the season for either team up to this point, so it’s a pretty big game. It’s also just a fascinating matchup.

-SMU AT VANDERBILT. This is a really tough test for an SMU team that is really good and is coming in unbeaten, but hasn’t played in a game as tough as this one is likely to be. Vandy is also a perfect 8-0 and just won the Battle 4 Atlantis after blowing out a pretty good Saint Mary’s team in the championship game.

-NC STATE AT AUBURN. Both teams are good, both will likely go on to have big years, but both still need to build up their profiles and today is an opportunity for both of them to start to do that.

-VIRGINIA AT TEXAS. This is the first true road game for the Hoos, and perhaps their biggest test of the year up to this point. Texas has played a couple of tough games, but lost both of them. This would be their first non-buy-game-win if they’re able to pull it off.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Indiana @ Minnesota (Big Ten) – should be a winnable road game for an Indiana team that’s looked really good this year

-Southern Illinois @ High Point – High Point will likely be favored in all of their remaining games and if they win out I can’t imagine them not being inside the bubble

-Marshall @ UNC Wilmington – both teams are off to solid starts, and UNCW in particular is off to a very respectable 7-1 start. They haven’t played much away from home, though

-Austin Peay @ Kent State – a win for Kent State gets them to 8-1 on the year

-Hofstra @ Columbia – for the second year in a row Columbia is having a fantastic OOC season and can improve to 8-1 on the year with a win

-Central Connecticut @ Seton Hall – this is a buy game, but it’s one worth mentioning. CCSU is having a great year and already has wins against Boston College and Rutgers. Seton Hall is surpassing all expectations with a big win over NC State and their only loss being a close one to USC. This will be an interesting one to watch

-LSU @ Boston College – this is LSU’s first true road game and they are looking to remain unbeaten on the season

-Northern Colorado @ Omaha – a win for NOCO would get them to 8-1 on the year and be their 4th true road win, which is rather impressive

-California Baptist @ BYU – it’s a buy game, and Cal Baptist is probably way overmatched, but they are also probably the best team in the WAC and it will be interesting to see what they can do against such a tough opponent

-Northwestern @ Wisconsin (Big Ten) – Northwestern is off to a better start than expected and Wisconsin has been a bit of a disappointment (at least in their last few games). Both teams could really use this one

-Utah Valley @ San Diego State – San Diego State has not just stumbled out of the gate, but has completely fallen over. They need to start stringing together wins. This is a game they should win, but it’s no guarantee.

-UCLA @ Washington (Big Ten) – this is a tough road test for the Bruins. It’s their first true road game of the season, it’s a conference game, and it’s against a Washington team that’s looking for a signature win

BUY GAMES/CRAP GAMES:

-Coppin State @ West Virginia
-Brandeis (nonD1) @ Yale
-Alcorn State @ Iowa State
-UMBC @ Georgetown
-Eastern Kentucky @ Illinois State – we kind of wrote Illinois State off, but they are starting to rebound some
-Utah Tech @ Santa Clara
-North Alabama @ San Francisco

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