Bracket Projection (Staff Bracket) – Monday, January 20th

This week, it is our colleague John Stalica’s turn to do the Hoops HD Staff Bracket – this is not the bracket like Jon Teitel does where he attempts to forecast the Selection Committee, but this is how he would personally select and seed the field at the checkpoint of games played through Sunday the 19th. Here is the field below:

 

COMMENTS FROM JOHN:

– This week, the first surprise comes not so much on the top line of the bracket, but on the second line of the bracket where Florida State now is #5 overall on the seed list and the top-ranked ACC team ahead of Duke. There is a slight recency bias on this pick, but one thing that hurts Duke this week is that they now have two losses against teams that are not guaranteed to make this field (meaning that if SFA were to lose in their conference tournament, they’d miss the NCAAs). Also keep in mind that a win at Louisville does help out FSU as well.

– Seton Hall is rapidly shooting up the seed list, and winning at Butler also helps to put them above the Bulldogs for the time being. Butler took a brief slide with this loss and the loss at DePaul.

– Louisville and Kentucky have played much better of late, and are winning big games both home and away as teams like Maryland, Penn State, Michigan and Ohio State are stumbling as they are reverting to homecourt heroes (and even less where the free-falling Buckeyes are concerned).

– USC was getting a peek into the field during our first two episodes of the Bracket Rundown, but if I was going to be high on Stanford for their performance earlier this season, I owe the same courtesy to the Trojans (especially with a head-to-head win against Stanford along with wins against LSU and TCU away from home). They will have their biggest test of the year with the Oregon/Oregon State roadie awaiting this week.

– Two blowout losses on the road have turned Auburn into a profile eerily similar to that of Arkansas. I’m now wondering if both Chad and the Puppet will skewer me for having them ahead of the Hogs at this stage.

– I’m ready to put a team like Northern Iowa above the First Four based on their overall body of work compared to the bubble muck, but I’m not quite ready to do the same for Liberty. Their metrics are okay, but the words “intent to schedule” are going to haunt the Flames come March.

COMMENTS FROM DAVID: 

– I normally say that in order to land on the #1 line that a team needs to beat a protected seed away from home, which is something that San Diego State has not done and will not do, but ‘normally’ saying that isn’t the same as ‘always’ saying that.  I’ve not yet moved the Aztecs up to my #1 line, but they are getting close.  And even though they haven’t beaten a protected seed away from home (or at all), they have won at BYU (which is currently their only home loss) and blew past a really good Creighton team on a neutral floor.  So, a case can be made that they belong up there.  Oh yeah, and they are undefeated, but a case can be made beyond just that.

-All and all, John did a pretty good job.  I hate to say that, but he did.  I totally disagree on Indiana.  They do have a nice win against Florida State, and they do have a bloated record, but it came against a weak schedule and most of their wins are against teams with overall losing records, or they’re home wins against teams with losing road records.  I think they belong in the field, but not quite on the #6 line.

-Auburn on the #8 line seems about right.

-Houston on the #6 seems a little high, but they did just pick up a big win.  I now don’t feel so bad about having them in my 7-8 line range.

 

COMMENTS FROM CHAD:

– I think a strong case can be made the Louisville belongs even higher than the 4 line.  The Cardinals picked up a absolutely HUGE road win this week and now have three Tier 1 road victories and no losses below Tier 1A (the top half of Tier 1).

– I also do not understand how Colorado is a 4 seed, even if they were the very last 4 seed.  The Buffs best true road win is at Arizona State, who is not in the field.  Their entire resume is propped up by a neutral court win over Dayton.  Meanwhile, they have lost twice at home to teams that are one or below the bubble (UNI and Oregon State).  I just don’t think that is a protected seed resume.  Quite frankly, I would have them 3 or 4 seed lines lower than a 4 seed.

– Houston and Indiana are both overseeded, but David already addressed them.  Memphis on the 6 line seems way too high to me as well.  Wins over NC State, Tennessee and Cincinnati are the entirety of the Tigers Tier 1 AND Tier 2 resume.  That’s not 6 seed caliber in my opinion.

– Oklahoma in the First Four on the 11 line is an under-seeding as well.  The Sooners have been quietly putting together a solid resume.  They have 5 wins away fro hoe against the top two tiers and only one loss outside of Tier 1A.  I think that is at least 9 line good, if not better.

– I think Colgate is a couple lines better than a 15 seed.  They won at Cincinnati and have avoided most of the bad losses.  John’s 14 seed teams all have a lot more warts on their resumes than the Raiders do.

– All in all, I think John did a fairly good job.  I almost completely agree with his choice of teams, though I think a case can be made that Georgetown belongs in above a Tennessee or NC State.  It is a close call there, so I will let that issue slide for now.  I do, however, completely agree with his 1 seed line.

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Super coach: HoopsHD interviews Lyvonne LeFlore about Dr. Harrison B. Wilson Jr.

Dr. Harrison B. Wilson Jr. is most well known for serving as president of Norfolk State from 1975-1997 but his athletic roots run deep within his family tree. A student-athlete at Kentucky State who played many different sports (including basketball/football//baseball/track), he later became head basketball coach at Jackson State where he won more than 80% of his games during his 17 years on the sideline. Dr. Wilson’s son Harrison III played both football/baseball at Dartmouth and his grandson Russell was the winning QB of the Seahawks in Super Bowl 48. As we are only 2 weeks away from Super Bowl 54, HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel is proud to share this never-before-published interview from several years ago with Lyvonne “Hoss” LeFlore (who passed away in 2017) about his former coach Dr. Wilson (who passed away last July).

Coach Wilson served in the Navy from 1945-1947: what impact did that have on him either on or off the court? He was a very disciplined person, which I assume came from being in the Navy.

After the war he was denied admission to the University of Kentucky because the school did not accept African-American students: how did that make him feel? He felt both frustrated and angry and later talked about it with his players. During those days there were a lot of states that were segregated so when we played against integrated schools he was happy that we made history (even if we lost). He always saw hope in the future and said that 1 day we would be able to do a lot of things that we could not do at the present.

He later became a star athlete in basketball, football, baseball, and track at Kentucky State: which sport was he the best at, and which sport did he enjoy the most? He was a very good athlete but I think that he enjoyed basketball the most.

In 1951 he became head coach at Jackson State: why did he take the job? He made himself known throughout the community (including the local high schools) so he could become a better recruiter. At that time we were not recruited by White colleges in Mississippi so he was able to get a lot of good athletes. He was accepted by both the school/community and was a tremendous success.

In 1957 his team went 24-1: how close did they come to perfection? He had a great player in Cleveland Buckner who was an All-American center. I think it was Grambling who ruined their perfect season.

In 1964 he won the SWAC title: how big a deal was it at the time? It was big. I played on that team: the school had been crying for a basketball champion after the football team had done so well. We had some great athletes and a great assistant in Lucas Mitchell: he had a lot of good people around him and it was very exciting. That was our 1st championship and I was glad to be a part of it. Our players worked together and sacrificed enough to be pretty good.

He never had a losing season in 17 years on the sideline and remains the winningest coach in school history: how was he able to stay so successful over such a long stretch of time, and do you think that anyone will ever break his record? He was able to keep getting good recruits, a lot of whom ended up playing in the NBA like Ed Manning. I was drafted by the Baltimore Bullets but as a 6’6” center I was not a good fit for the NBA compared to bigger guys like Walt Bellamy. He helped build a great reputation at the school so that people wanted to come to Jackson State to play sports. He looked out for his athletes both on and off the court and people were crazy about him: he was a father figure to us. If it were not for Coach Wilson and all the things that he taught us then I would not be the man I am today. They finally inducted him into our school’s Hall of Fame a few years ago.

In 1975 he was named president of Norfolk State: how did he make the transition from coach to president, and what was he able to accomplish at Norfolk State? He did not want to remain a coach for the rest of his life: he wanted to do other things, which is 1 of the reasons that he left Jackson State. He was working on his doctorate at Indiana to prepare to move into an administrative role and be able to touch more lives. I remember visiting him and he drove me around the Norfolk campus to show me the sights: he even showed me a building that was named after him!

His grandson Russell Wilson won the 2014 Super Bowl as QB of the Seattle Seahawks: what kind of relationship did they have, and who is the best athlete in the family? According to him the best athlete was Russell’s father, who also played football. I know that he loved his family.

When people look back on his career, how do you think that he should be remembered the most? We should try to pattern our lives after him because he has accomplished so many things that few other people have done. He helped get people off the farms in Mississippi and showed us that we were good enough to be in the NBA/NFL. His cousin was the football coach and they worked closely together on the recruiting trail. They both used a lot of psychology and the school would not have been the same without him.

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Bracketology 2020: March Madness Predictions (Version 3.0)

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

For today’s College Basketball News, Notes, and Highlighted Match-ups – CLICK HERE

We are only 8 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, 63 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 45 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 15th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 7th out of 133 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

 

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Baylor (Big 12)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: San Diego State (MWC)

2: Duke (ACC)
2: Butler (Big East)
2: West Virginia (Big 12)
2: Florida State (ACC)

3: Auburn (SEC)
3: Michigan State (Big 10)
3: Oregon (Pac-12)
3: Dayton (A-10)

4: Louisville (ACC)
4: Seton Hall (Big East)
4: Maryland (Big 10)
4: Villanova (Big East)

5: Wichita State (AAC)
5: Ohio State (Big 10)
5: Colorado (Pac-12)
5: Michigan (Big 10)

6: Kentucky (SEC)
6: Arizona (Pac-12)
6: Iowa (Big 10)
6: Wisconsin (Big 10)

7: Arkansas (SEC)
7: Penn State (Big 10)
7: LSU (SEC)
7: Creighton (Big East)

8: Stanford (Pac-12)
8: Memphis (AAC)
8: Rutgers (Big East)
8: Indiana (Big 10)

9: Marquette (Big East)
9: Illinois (Big 10)
9: Texas Tech (Big 12)
9: Houston (AAC)

10: BYU (WCC)
10: Oklahoma (Big 12)
10: Purdue (Big 10)
10: St. Mary’s (WCC)

11: Florida (SEC)
11: Virginia Tech (ACC)
11: Xavier (Big East)
11: Minnesota (Big 10)
11: Georgetown (Big East)
11: NC State (ACC)

12: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
12: Northern Iowa (MVC)
12: East Tennessee State (SoCon)
12: Akron (MAC)

13: Yale (Ivy)
13: Louisiana Tech (C-USA)
13: Vermont (America East)
13: Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

14: Georgia State (Sun Belt)
14: New Mexico State (WAC)
14: William & Mary (CAA)
14: Wright State (Horizon)

15: Belmont (OVC)
15: Colgate (Patriot)
15: Northern Colorado (Big Sky)
15: UC Irvine (Big West)

16: South Dakota State (Summit)
16: Winthrop (Big South)
16: Quinnipiac (MAAC)
16: St. Francis PA (NEC)
16: Grambling (SWAC)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)

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Under The Radar Game of the Day: Sunday, January 19th

For today’s News, Notes and a single solitary Highlighted Game – CLICK HERE

For Jon Teitel’s latest version of Bracketology where he attempts to forecast the Committee – CLICK HERE

South Dakota State (14-7, 5-1) at South Dakota (11-8, 2-3) – 4:30 PM EST (ESPN3)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day features the first round of the South Dakota Showdown Series between the Jackrabbits and the host Coyotes. The Jackrabbits started slowly in going 7-6 against D1 competition and opened the Summit League with a loss at Omaha. Since that time, they have reeled off five straight wins to take sole possession of first place. Douglas Wilson is averaging 17.7 points a game for the Jackrabbits (and also averaging 20 points a game in Summit League competition).

While South Dakota started off the season with three wins in the Rainbow Classic in Hawaii, they are only 8-8 overall since that game (6-8 when you take out a pair of non-D1 wins). The ‘Yotes are 2-0 at home in league play with wins against Denver and Omaha but have lost all three road games against Western Illinois, Purdue-Fort Wayne and North Dakota State. Tyler Hagedorn leads South Dakota with 18.4 points a game and 7.1 rebounds a game.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 19th

NEWS AND NOTES

-A lot is being made about all the upsets we’ve been seeing in college basketball.  While there have been some big ones, not everything that gets tagged as an upset is really an upset.  In any given season, even ranked teams that aren’t ranked in the top 7 or 8 end up with losing records on the road and multiple road losses to unranked teams.  It’s hard to win on the road in college basketball because there are two things that strongly favor the home team; the atmosphere at the game, and more importantly the familiarity of the intricacies of the venue, the floor, the rims, etc.  So, when Auburn goes out and gets creamed by Florida, I wouldn’t call that an upset, especially when you consider that Auburn really hasn’t beaten anyone who looks like they’re solidly in the top 40 yet.  Same with Butler losing at DePaul, Kansas struggling (but winning at Texas), Oregon struggling (but winning) at Washington, Florida State struggling (but winning at Miami), Colorado losing at Arizona, and Ohio State losing at Penn State.  Those really aren’t surprising outcomes.  I’ve said this before, but it’s oftentimes harder to beat an NIT team on the road than it is to beat a team that’s ranked in the teens at home.  Just look at the results of any given season.

Now, there were a few surprises, like Louisville’s HUGE road win at Duke.  It was one of the most impressive showings by the Cardinals in years.  They jumped out to an early lead in a hostile environment against a good team that was up for the game, and every time Duke started punching their way back into it, Louisville would make big plays and regain control of the game.  This adds so much to Louisville’s profile because it was a road win against a potential #1 seed, plus it’s a sign that this team is finally playing like the top five team we thought they were coming into the season.

-DePaul had lost their first four Big East games, all to good teams and all in close games.  That has to be frustrating.  Well, all that frustration was worked out yesterday as they ran Butler off the court.  The lead was as much as 20 in the second half.  DePaul still needs more wins, but I think they’ve shown they are good enough to get the wins that they need.

-Oregon trailed for most of the game, but came back in the final minutes to force overtime against Washington and then picked up the nice 64-61 road wins over their rivals.  For Washington, that is a loss that’s going to haunt them.  It would have been a great resume win, especially now that that they are shorthanded and must reprove themselves.

-Kentucky followed up their loss to South Carolina with a huge road win at Arkansas.  The Razorbacks were playing well and were jacked up for this one.  Kentucky had led for most of the game, but it was close.  Then John Calipari got ejected, and all the momentum seemed to be shifting toward Arkansas.  But, it didn’t.  It was actually at that point that Kentucky got control of the game and finished off really strong.  This has happened before when Calipari has been ejected.  Perhaps it’s all part of his master plan!

-West Virginia was blown off the court at K State.  It was probably their worst showing of the year.  They’re still in good shape, but it was rather surprising to see them play so poorly, even if it was a road game.

-Houston needed a big win, and got it.  They went into Wichita State and just dominated the Shockers, which is something that is rarely done.  It adds a much needed conference road win against a ranked team to Houston’s resume, which is important because their resume had been looking rather flimsy prior to this game.

-Arizona’s resume is still looking a little flimsy, but their team is not.  Since losing a very close one at Oregon, they have just been blowing teams off the court, and they blew a pretty good Colorado team off the court yesterday.  They still need some road wins, but if they keep playing at this caliber they will certainly get them.

-Creighton and Providence seesawed back and forth, but Creighton got the win at home.  Providence still has a lot of catching up to do after a slow start to the season, and yesterday’s win would have certainly helped had they been able to pull it off.

-Virginia Tech kind of stubbed their toes yesterday with a home loss to Syracuse.  The Hokies still have a reasonably good profile and certainly still have a path to the NCAA Tournament, but yesterday was the kind of game where you were expecting them to hold serve.

-Marquette picked up a really nice road win at Georgetown.  Their resume is looking better and better as the season plays out.

-Stanford had a 20pt lead on USC at the half, and appeared to be putting the Trojans away in what would have been a really nice road win and a really nice statement win for the Cardinal, but USC chipped away in the second half.  Still, the Cardinal appeared to be in control in the final minutes, but blew the lead with some costly turnovers and USC got the game to overtime.  USC then won in overtime.  What looked like a nice road win for Stanford is now a nice win for USC, and you start to look at Stanford’s resume and realize there aren’t a whole lot of big wins on it yet.

 

THE ONE HIGHLIGHTED GAME

-MINNESOTA AT RUTGERS (Big Ten).  Minney is floating around our bubble, but is still looking for their first road win of the season, so a win today helps them out a ton.  Rutgers is floating around our #8 line and is looking to hold serve.

 

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Under The Radar Game of the Day: Saturday, January 18th

For today’s News, Notes and Highlighted Games of a full slate – CLICK HERE

For installment #7 of Jon Teitel’s coverage of the Georgetown Hoyas – CLICK HERE

Charlotte (10-5, 4-0) at Western Kentucky (11-6, 4-1) – 5:00 PM EST (ESPN3)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day could go to a number of places (Lipscomb/Liberty, Hartford/Vermont, ETSU/Western Carolina are a few examples), but we choose to highlight Conference USA and the race for the regular season championship between Charlotte and Western Kentucky. The 49ers are a pleasant surprise with their 4-0 start in league play; their streak started with home wins against UAB, Middle Tennessee and Old Dominion before starting their current 3-game road trip with a win at Marshall earlier this week. Head Coach Ron Sanchez (former associate head coach under Tony Bennett at Virginia) has brought a big defensive improvement to the Queen City; they allowed 12 fewer points a game collectively in his first season than the previous 2016-17 season. This season, the 49ers have improved another 7 points – allowing just over 61 points a game thus far.

Life without Charles Bassey did get off to a bumpy start for the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky, but they are only a half game back of Charlotte in the conference standings. They are a perfect 3-0 at home with wins against North Texas, Rice and Old Dominion and split their first road trip with a loss at UAB and a win against Middle Tennessee. Taevion Hollingsworth has averaged 14.0 points a game for the Tops this season in 17 games. Something will have to give today – while we mentioned that Charlotte has a stingy defense, WKU averages 77 points a game themselves.

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