Under The Radar Game of the Day: Monday, January 6th (and other News, Notes, and Highlighted Games)

For Jon Teitel’s inaugural Bracketology column this season forecasting the Selection Committee – CLICK HERE

For Chad Sherwood’s turn at the Hoops HD Staff Bracket – CLICK HERE

Georgia Southern (9-6, 3-1) at Little Rock (10-5, 4-0) – 7:30 PM EST (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Little Rock, Arkansas where the Trojans will host the Eagles of Georgia Southern in a matchup of two of the top teams in the Sun Belt conference. Little Rock began conference play with a road sweep at Louisiana and Louisiana-Monroe prior to Christmas Break and then began the new year with wins at home against UT-Arlington and Texas State. All 4 wins have come by a combined total of 11 points. Markquis Nowell leads Little Rock with a 19.6 points per game average.

The Eagles of Georgia Southern have also had all four of their league games decided by a total of 11 points thus far. They already posted a road sweep of UT-Arlington and Texas State prior to Christmas, but managed only a split of their season-opening road trip in the Carolinas. They won at Coastal Carolina last Thursday, but a potential game-winning shot was missed on Saturday en route to a two-point loss at Appalachian State. Ike Smith leads Georgia Southern with 15.5 points a game and 6.1 rebounds a game.

 

OTHER NEWS, NOTES, AND GAMES

-Michigan went into Michigan State yesterday with an impressive resume, but was also still searching for their first true road win.  The game is over, and Michigan is still searching for their first true road win.  Michigan State pretty much kept them at arms length the whole time, and is now starting to look more and more like that top 5 caliber team that we thought they were at the beginning of the season.

-Xavier fell behind early to Saint John’s, but quickly got control of the game and basically kept control of it.  It was a home win, and X certainly has some more work to do, but they have played better in their last two games than they did pretty much all throughout OOC play.

-Coming into yesterday, Oregon State looked like a team with a bloated record against a weak schedule.  But after the upset win at Colorado, you have to start liking them a lot more.

-Purdue has looked good at times.  Yesterday was not one of those times.  Illinois just ran them over, and Purdue played in such a way that it makes you wonder if they’ll even be inside the bubble come March.

-Washington bounced back from a shocking loss to what looks like a soft UCLA team with a blowout win over what looks like a pretty good USC team.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big 12).  West Virginia is coming off a loss at Kansas, but they are still playing really well and appear to be on a path (albeit an early one) to end up as a protected seed.  That being said, they should really be tested tonight by an Oklahoma State team that could really use this win.

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HoopsHD Staff Bracket Jan 5, 2020

For our Selection Committee Guessing Expert Jon Teitel’s current bracket prediction, CLICK HERE.

Below is Chad’s Bracket Prediction through games of Sunday, January 5.  Unlike Mr. Teitel’s expert predictions of the actual committee, this is what we feel the bracket should be based on all results to date.  It is followed by Chad’s notes on the bracket and potential responses from the rest of the staff here at HoopsHD.

CHAD’S NOTES

– I believe this is the earliest I have done a non-preseason bracket in ages, and I really felt that the lack of volume of information on some teams made it very difficult to pick a field.  I will not be publishing a personal bracket for three more weeks, and know I will feel a lot better about my prediction then than I do today.

– I did enjoy seeing teams from the west coast generally filling out the West Region and taking the spots in Spokane and Sacramento.  It seems to have been years since we had this volume of quality teams out west, with 5 Pac-12 teams, 3 WCC teams, and a very strong San Diego State team all in the field, and three of them on the top three seed lines.

– Speaking of 5 Pac-12 teams, that is the same number of teams I had in from the ACC, SEC and Big 12.  I really think the Pac-12 did enough non-conference that they should be on par in number of bids as the other power conferences.  In fact, they could beat a few of them out as my top two teams out were Utah and Washington.  The ACC on the other hand is starting to look like it may have one of its smallest group of tournament entrants in a long time, especially with the train wreck that has been going on in Chapel Hill.

– The two most dominant conferences were the Big 10 with 10 teams (that’s the entire conference right?) and the Big East with 8.  An 11th Big Ten team (Illinois) and a 9th Big East team (Georgetown) also got serious looks.

– My top 4 teams out, in order, were Utah, Washington, Oklahoma State, and LSU.  My next 4 out were Houston, Georgetown, Illinois and Miami.  I also considered Pittsburgh, East Tennessee State, Richmond and UNC-Greensboro.

– Sunday’s results were factored in here.  I know USC lost bad at Washington, but I don’t knock them too bad for that loss, and still like their overall profile.  Washington, on the other hand, still has huge holes on the quality win side of their resume and just missed making my field.  I also that know Purdue got destroyed at Illinois, and with an overall record of only 9-6 now, I dinged the Boilermakers hard, having them barely in the field on the 11 line.

– Finally, I did something in this bracket that I have never done in my life before.  Rutgers has not seriously been in bracket talk since before I attended school there — so for the first time in my recollection, I have placed by alma mater in a bracket projection.  Unfortunately, given the gauntlet that the Big 10 will be this season, I am only writing their name in pencil.

STAFF COMMENTS

COMMENTS FROM JOHN

-There can be no doubt that San Diego State has had their best season since Steve Fisher retired as head coach. They have yet to lose a game all season, and already got their hardest conference win out of the way with a decisive win at Utah State. That said, it’s going to be difficult for them to remain higher at least relative to Auburn – the Tigers will have more opportunities and a little more room for error if and when they are knocked from the ranks of the unbeaten.

-Memphis had been a team that the Puppet and I had been high on earlier this year, but losing at home to Georgia was bound to penalize the Tigers at some point. I didn’t think it would be this steep of a drop, although it hasn’t helped that their biggest win so far this year (at Tennessee) is fading more and more by the day. Likewise, I do think Wichita State has been the most consistent team in the American, although I wouldn’t think of them as a protected seed just yet.

-Wisconsin is another team that’s risen sharply the past couple of weeks – they went from a homecourt hero that hadn’t done jack away from home to a team that won at Tennessee (who hasn’t?) and a team that won at Ohio State against a team that had been ranked as high as #2 overall. Also keep in mind that this was a conference where the home team won the first thirteen OVERALL games in conference play.

-Normally I would ask why teams like Liberty and Stephen F. Austin are above the First Four right now, but I suppose it’s not completely unfair when those teams are VCU, DePaul, Oklahoma and NC State. I would ask what VCU has done to even get in this field at all when Utah and Washington aren’t in the field, period.

 

COMMENTS FROM DAVID

-Chad has Stephen F Austin on the #11 line.  I think that’s about where the committee will have them because the committee just has a hard time valuing a team like them.  SFA has just two losses, one is to Rutgers who is unbeaten at home, another is to Alabama who has just one loss at home AND who has been playing really well in the last few weeks.  Oh yeah, they also have a win at Duke, who is his overall #1 team.  This SFA team is a team that, quite frankly, should be valued more not just by Chad, but by everyone.  I don’t know how you win at Duke, and then are suddenly forgotten about after losing just one game to a team that is playing like a solid tournament team right now (Alabama), but that’s kind of what’s happened.

-Saint John’s on the #12 line seems a little low.  I’m mean, they did beat West Virginia and Arizona.

-And lastly, Chad is just wrong a lot.  I mean…I really don’t have time to get to everything!

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Bracketology 2020: March Madness Predictions (Version 1.0)

CLICK HERE for Sunday’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games

We are only 10 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we begin to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, 63 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 45 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 15th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 7th out of 133 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: Butler (Big East)

2: Ohio State (Big 10)
2: Baylor (Big 12)
2: Auburn (SEC)
2: San Diego State (MWC)

3: Oregon (Pac-12)
3: Louisville (ACC)
3: Maryland (Big 10)
3: West Virginia (Big 12)

4: Michigan (Big 10)
4: Michigan State (Big 10)
4: Villanova (Big East)
4: Florida State (ACC)

5: Memphis (AAC)
5: Dayton (A-10)
5: Arizona (Pac-12)
5: Penn State (Big 10)

6: Wichita State (AAC)
6: Iowa (Big 10)
6: Kentucky (SEC)
6: Colorado (Pac-12)

7: Virginia (ACC)
7: Seton Hall (Big East)
7: Marquette (Big East)
7: Creighton (Big East)

8: Texas Tech (Big 12)
8: Arkansas (SEC)
8: Indiana (Big 10)
8: Xavier (Big East)

9: St. Mary’s (WCC)
9: Washington (Pac-12)
9: Utah State (MWC)
9: Stanford (Pac-12)

10: BYU (WCC)
10: Purdue (Big 10)
10: Houston (AAC)
10: Florida (SEC)

11: Oklahoma State (Big 12)
11: Georgetown (Big East)
11: DePaul (Big East)
11: Tennessee (SEC)
11: NC State (ACC)
11: Oklahoma (Big 12)

12: Northern Iowa (MVC)
12: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
12: East Tennessee State (SoCon)
12: Yale (Ivy)

13: Louisiana Tech (C-USA)
13: Vermont (America East)
13: Akron (MAC)
13: Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

14: Belmont (OVC)
14: Georgia State (Sun Belt)
14: New Mexico State (WAC)
14: Wright State (Horizon)

15: Delaware (CAA)
15: Eastern Washington (Big Sky)
15: UC Irvine (Big West)
15: Colgate (Patriot)

16: Rider (MAAC)
16: Oral Roberts (Summit)
16: Radford (Big South)
16: St. Francis PA (NEC)
16: Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)
16: Prairie View A&M (SWAC)

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 5th

NEWS AND NOTES

-Gonzaga held on to win against Pepperdine, but it was a close, back-and-forth type of game.  Against…PEPPERDINE!  At home.  This would have been a bigger upset than Stephen F Austin’s win at Duke or Evansville’s win at Kentucky because I think both SFA and Evansville are quite a bit better than Pepperdine.  But, the Zags held on to win.

-WE HAD A QUADRUPLER!!  Last night’s Saint Mary’s v Pacific game was the first quadruple overtime game in almost two years!!  And it was glorious.  It saw wild 3-point bank shots, I don’t know how many lead changes, and a somewhat controversial ) no-call on a goal tend that would have won the game for Saint Mary’s at the end of the third overtime before Pacific held on to win.  For SMC, their resume is looking a little flimsy.  I’m not going to go so far to say that they are in trouble, but they have a very small margin for error the rest of the way.

-Florida State picked up their biggest win of the year as they knocked off Louisville on the road. As great as a win as it is for Florida State, it kind of makes you question Louisville and whether or not they have a resume that even warrants being a protected seed right now.

-It’s time to start looking at Georgia now, who is 10-3 on the season, and who picked up a HUGE road win at Memphis yesterday.  Their resume is suddenly looking VERY good, and when you look at the rest of the SEC you have to wonder how much noise they’ll be able to make in that league.

-Villanova was the third top ten team to lose yesterday as they fell on the road to Marquette.  We had a lot of question marks about this Marquette team, but They certainly looked good yesterday and have pretty much good overall throughout the whole season.

-I’m sold on Auburn.  Mississippi State isn’t great, but it was a true road game and Auburn won it rather safely.

-San Diego State went on the road to Utah State and won without even having to sweat.  They are unbeaten, and they’ve already played their toughest games.  I’m not ready to predict that they will run the table just yet, but they will likely be favored in all their remaining games.

-Penn State and Iowa was a thriller with Penn State pulling off yet another big win and improving to 12-2 on the season.  You rarely say this when talking hoops, but Penn State is for real!

-LSU got a much needed road win as they knocked off Tennessee yesterday.  Tennessee is in a tailspin, and given their injuries I don’t think they’re going to be able to pull themselves out of it.

-NC State dropped a rather headscratching game to Clemson yesterday.  NC State had looked good and appeared to be putting together a fairly decent profile, and Clemson hadn’t really looked good at all at any point, so it was somewhat of a surprise that the Tigers ended up getting the win.

-Providence has now won three straight, and all three games were notable wins as they blew out Texas and Georgetown, and then managed a road win at DePaul.  After sleepwalking through the first two months of the season, has Providence finally woken up?

-After going 5-1 in their last six games, Alabama lost a double overtime thriller on the road at Florida.  The Gators actually had to come back to win this one as the Tide led by close to 20pts in the second half.

-North Carolina continues to struggle.  They fell behind by more than 20 at home to Georgia Tech very shortly after the game tipped off, and were then never able to catch up.  I figured that they’d eventually turn it around, but now I’m wondering if they’ll even make the NCAA Tournament at all.

-Every time I think Cincinnati is turning the corner, they end up slamming into the curb.  They fell on the road to Tulane last night, and are once again looking like they’re 100 miles from the NCAA Tournament.  Tulane, on the other hand, continues to exceed all expectations.

-East Tennessee State lost a big road game to Furman, which was a chance for them to pick up a road win that would have looked really strong on their resume.

-UNC Greensboro also lost a tough road game to Wofford.  Of the three SoCon teams that we thought could land inside the bubble if they dominated the conference, two of them lost on the road yesterday.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-RICHMOND AT RHODE ISLAND (Atlantic Ten).  Richmond showed us that they’ve got the ability to play like a tournament team, but they have a somewhat small margin for error and need to show that more often than not they can win games like this on the road.

-VCU AT GEORGE MASON (Atlantic Ten).  George Mason has a bloated record, but still doesn’t have any notable wins.  VCU is 11-3, but also has a rather small margin for error because their best current win is probably against LSU at home, and as of now LSU has a losing record away from home.  Both teams could REALLY use this one.

-DAYTON AT SAINT JOSEPH’S (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton looks to be the best team in the A10 by far, and should blow past this Saint Joseph’s team.

-MICHIGAN AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Michigan State has had their struggles (at least by #1 seed standards), but they have won six straight (albeit against weaker competition) and you get the feeling that they are just a breakout game away from breaking back into the top ten.  Michigan is just 3-3 in their last six games, they have no true road wins, and two of those wins were home buy games, so as big as the win against Gonzaga was back in November, this would arguably be an even bigger win since it’s a rivalry game and a true road game.

-UMASS AT SAINT LOUIS (Atlantic Ten).  SLU is coming off of a loss to Duquesne, but they’re still 10-3 overall and still have a path to the NCAA Tournament if they can put up a really big record in conference play and stubbing their toes in games like this.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT XAVIER (Big East).  It’s just the second conference game for both teams, but you get the sense that it is HUGELY important because neither team wants to start off 0-2.  The Johnnies actually look better on paper because their OOC wins are more impressive.  Xavier also didn’t look all that good even though they were winning their games, but they did play pretty well in their loss at Nova in their last game.  Both teams could really use this one.

-OREGON STATE AT COLORADO (Pac 12).  Oregon State has a bloated record, but doesn’t really have any notable wins.  That would change in a big way if they’re able to pull off this upset today, but that’s easier said than done.  Colorado is coming off a big win against Oregon and has really been playing well lately.

-NORTHWESTERN AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  Minney still has a lot of work to do, but they also need to hold serve in games like this.

-PURDUE AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten).  Both teams are 9-5, both have played well at times, but neither has played like a tournament level team on a consistent basis yet.

-USC AT WASHINGTON (Pac 12).  This should be a really big game between a Washington team that’s coming off a somewhat inexplicable loss to UCLA and really needs to bounce back, and a USC team that’s having a good year, but that’s been somewhat ignored.  If they can pull off the upset on the road and improve to 13-2 then people will probably begin to pay more attention to them.

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Under The Radar: Sunday, January 5th

Siena (6-5, 2-0) at Rider (7-4, 1-0) – 2:00 PM EST (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Matinee takes us to Lawrenceville, New Jersey where the hometown Rider Broncs will host the Siena Saints in a MAAC matchup. Rider has emerged as a serious candidate to dethrone Iona as the defending conference champion – their best win was back in November against Vermont to win the undercard portion of the Air Force Reserve Tip-Off Tournament at the Mohegan Sun Arena. The Broncs have beaten everyone they’ve played so far from one-bid leagues; their only losses were at Arizona State, UMass, Temple and Wisconsin. Tyere Marshall (14.4 PPG/10.3 RPG) and Frederick Scott (14.2 PPG/6.6 RPG) lead the way for Rider.

Siena has been the ultimate home court hero so far this season – all six of their wins came at home, whereas all five losses came on the road. Hence their four-game losing streak prior to final exams, but they are now on a four-game winning streak that includes league wins against Canisius and Monmouth. Jalen Pickett (16.4 PPG, 36.5% 3PT) and Donald Carey (14.4 PPG, 39.3% 3PT) are both deep outside shooting threats for the Saints.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day: Saturday, January 4th

For today’s News, Notes and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

William & Mary (10-5, 2-0) at Northeastern (9-6, 3-0) – 4:00 PM EST (FloHoops)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Boston for a Colonial matchup between the Tribe of William & Mary and the Northeastern Huskies. Bill & Mary didn’t look they were playing their best basketball going into conference play – they had a pair of road losses at Saint Joseph’s and at St. Francis-PA prior to Christmas Break. But they opened conference play with a one-point win at Elon and blasted Hofstra by 25 points on the road in their last game. Nathan Knight averages close to a spectacular double-double; 19.9 points a game and 9.8 rebounds a game!

Northeastern comes into today’s game with an overall four-game winning streak. After a noncon tuneup victory against Detroit, they beat both Towson and James Madison on the road before a 9-point victory against Elon in their conference home opener. Prior to that, the Huskies had been up and down – they won both their BeanPot games against BU and Harvard before struggling to a seventh place finish in the Gulf Showcase (losses to South Alabama and Drake and a win against Weber State). Jordan Roland averages over 22 points a game overall for the Huskies, but Tyson Walker has also averaged 21 points a game in conference play.

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