The Hoops HD Report – American/A10/MWC/WCC Conference Preview

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It’s our annual four part special!! We’ve got four conference previews in one post. In the American we discuss how good Memphis is (or isn’t, depending on who you ask), and whether or not a team like North Texas, UAB, or Tulane can overtake them. The Atlantic Ten looks to be slightly improved this year, and many teams have improved their OOC schedules, which should help their metrics. VCU is the favorite, but we also like Dayton, and even think George Washington might be able to sneak into the field. The Mountain West has several good teams in San Diego State, Utah State, and Boise State who all seem to be built for possible NCAA Tournament runs despite major roster turnovers. Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s will once again be strong in the WCC, but we also like this San Francisco team and think they could be dancing. We discuss all that, and more!

AMERICAN PREVIEW:

ATLANTIC TEN PREVIEW:

MOUNTAIN WEST PREVIEW:

WEST COAST PREVIEW:

And for all you radio lovers, below are audio only links to all the shows:

American:

Atlantic Ten:

Mountain West:

West Coast:

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Southland Media Day Recap and Response

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SOUTHLAND MEDIA DAY PRESEASON POLL AS DONE BY @GROK SINCE THE CONFERENCE DID NOT RELEASE ONE:

  1. McNeese
  2. Lamar
  3. Nicholls
  4. SELA
  5. TAMU-CC
  6. Stephen F. Austin
  7. Northwestern State
  8. Incarnate Word
  9. New Orleans
  10. TAMU-Commerce (this school no longer exists, but Grok picked them anyway!!)
  11. Houston Christian
  12. East Texas A&M

-Grok did NOT rank UTRGV!!!!!! That is HARSH!!!!

GROK’S PRESEASON AWARD FOR BEST MASCOT: Edgy (Northwestern State). Our sincere congrats to the FIRST-EVER mascot to receive a preseason award from an AI Generator!!!

COMMENTS FROM DAVID:

-McNeese has dominated the conference for the last two seasons with a combined record of 36-2 in SLC play, and that does not include the back-to-back tournament championships. Last year they won a game in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament, so they have been one of the top Under the Radar programs in the country. It makes complete sense that they would be Grok’s pick to win the league this year!! There is one VERY notable change, and that is that Coach Will Wade, who was largely responsible for building up the program, has left for NC State. They do have two key starters returning in Javohn Garcia and DJ Richards, who were both double-digit scorers a year ago, and Tyshawn Archie comes in after a fairly impressive year at Tulsa. I do like this team. They are my pick to win the SLC. But, I do not think they will blow through the league like they have the last two years.

-I agree with Grok about Lamar! They had some sluggish stretches to their season last year, but played well down the stretch winning 7 of their last 9 before losing to McNeese in the championship game. Three starters are back from a team that won 20 games and they have added some pretty impressive JUCO players to the roster as well.

-Nicholls is another team that won 20 games last season and returns three of its starters, so I agree with Grok again! I think they will be in the mix for the top of the standings this year. They did lose a lot of their scoring and appear to be turning to some standout players from JUCO and NAIA to fill out the roster, so I do not like them quite as much as Lamar or McNeese, but I do expect them to be closer to the top of the standings than to the bottom.

-SELA is also dealing with the loss of several top scorers. Jalen Forrest from Chicago State was a nice pickup and he should be able to help them out some, but they just do not seem to have much proven D-1 experience at the moment. I have actually got them finishing in the bottom half of the league, so I do not quite agree with Grok on this one.

-TAMU-CC has had four straight 20+ win seasons and had it not been for the overwhelming success of McNeese they would have probably received a lot more credit and attention. Jim Shaw has done a great job in each of his two seasons there as head coach. This year may be tough, though. Just one starter is back. They are looking to fill out their roster with some standout players from the D-2 level and those guys should be able to help right away, but the competition is going to be a lot higher than what they faced in D-2.

-Matt Braeuer takes over as coach at Stephen F. Austin and the days of SFA being a top Under the Radar program now seem like they were a long time ago. Only two players are back from last year’s team and with so much turnover it is really hard to gauge what they will be like this year. They do appear to have a handful of really good outside shooters, so that will be something to watch for.

-Northwestern State has three starters back from a team that was 12-8 in SLC play and looked pretty good in the second half of conference play. I actually like this team a little more than Grok does, although Grok did name their mascot Edgy to be the best in the conference!! As far as how good they are on the court, they return three of their top-five scorers including Micah Thomas (who is a fantastic outside shooter) and Willie Williams (who is a solid rebounder). Izzy Miles transfers in after having a solid year at Tarleton State last year. I like this Northwestern State team and expect them to finish higher in the standings than this.

-Incarnate Word!!! They have struggled ever since transitioning up to D-1, but last year they had a really solid season considering how recently they transitioned. They won 19 games and advanced to the semis of the CBI. Our good friend @TonyPatelis is a CBI Bracketology Expert and he LOVES this team!! In all seriousness, four starters are back on a team that was starting to click toward the end of last year. I think they can finish in the top half of the league this year. Davion Bailey may be one of the better players in the conference, and with Amani Drummond transferring in from Cleveland State, I am legitimately big on Incarnate Word this year! I gotta disagree with Grok on this one! I think they will be quite a bit higher in the standings!!

-If New Orleans can finish 9th it will actually be a notable improvement. After winning just 4 total games last year (and only 2 in conference) it is hard to expect much. MJ Thomas was a decent scorer and rebounder who is returning, and they have some decent transfers in Jakevion Buckley (SELA) and Coleton Benson (Texas State) who were double-digit scorers last year, so perhaps UNO will be a little better.

-Grok has selected TAMU-Commerce to finish 10th. This is a very bold pick. It is a pick I cannot quite agree with. The biggest reason I do not agree is because TAMU-Commerce NO LONGER EXISTS AS AN INSTITUTION! Not existing will likely be problematic when it comes to success on the basketball court. They are now East Texas A&M, who Grok has picked to finish last. They could very well be the worst team in the league. They won just 5 total games last season and while three starters are back and that experience should help them some, I do not see them finishing high in the standings. One notable transfer is Kollin Tolbert, who played at D-2 Concord last year. He averaged over 21ppg and shot an amazing 47% from beyond the arc: that is ridiculous!!

-I do not think Houston Christian is a good team, but I also do not think they are quite this bad. They were 9-11 in conference play a year ago and they have three starters back from that team. I think they will manage to finish ahead of at least a few teams.

-Let’s finish up with UTRGV, who Grok completely left out of his poll. There was a time last season where it looked like they would be one of the better teams in the league. They went to Wisconsin and nearly won the game. They were 10-4 at one point with three of those losses being road buy games that they competed in and they damn near won one of them. Then things sort of fell apart in SLC play. Just one starter is back from that team and they are sort of starting over. Jalen Ricks was a solid player and outside shooter for them a year ago. He will be joined by Marvin McGhee III (who averaged double-figures at Cal State Bakersfield last year) and Zae Blake (who was a fantastic outside shooter at Wagner). So, they have some pieces. They are good enough to where Grok should have at least included them in the poll!! I mean…SHEESH!!

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Missouri Valley Media Day Recap and Response

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MISSOURI VALLEY MEDIA DAY PRESEASON POLL AS PER @GROK:

  1. Illinois State
  2. Northern Iowa
  3. Murray State
  4. Bradley
  5. Belmont
  6. Drake
  7. UIC
  8. Southern Illinois
  9. Indiana State
  10. Valparaiso
  11. Evansville

COMMENTS FROM DAVID:

There was no Preseason MVC Poll at Media Day this year, so our thanks to GROK for doing a poll for us!!

-Illinois State, who is Grok’s pick to win the league, is not a bad pick. They were a modest 10-10 in MVC play a year ago, but they return four starters, which makes them far more experienced than most teams. Chase Walker averaged over 15ppg last year and is a solid rebounder. Johnny Kinziger was also a double-digit scorer. I do question their depth, but I like their experience and think they will at least be a lot better than .500 in conference play this year, but they are not MY pick to win it.

-I am always big on Northern Iowa. I like Ben Jacobson as a coach and this year I think the Panthers can win the league. Three starters are back including Trey Campbell, who is a good all-around player and a fantastic outside shooter. Ben Schwieger is another guy who can defend, rebound, and hit from range. They do have to replace their two leading scorers, and their depth is questionable, but I still like this team a lot.

-Murray State has not had anywhere close to the success they had in the Ohio Valley since switching Valleys and joining the Missouri Valley. They have had two straight sub-.500 seasons and have lost all five starters from a year ago. Ryan Miller takes over as coach and he has his work cut out for him. Ten players have transferred in, and many played limited roles (and that is being friendly) at some power schools a year ago. Layne Taylor was a big get from Central Arkansas, but almost no one else has really produced at the D-1 level. I am not so sure I agree with Grok on this one!

-Bradley is coming off a phenomenal year where they won 28 total games and finished in 2nd place in the conference. The problem is very little from last year’s team is being carried over to this year. They do return some guys who were role players last year, and many of them appear to be very good shooters. While they did not play a whole lot of minutes, they did contribute quality minutes when they did play, so I think they can step into bigger roles this year. AJ Smith comes in from James Madison and Alex Huibregtse comes in from Wright State. This is a team that can shoot the ball very well. I do not think they will be quite as good as they were a year ago, but I still like them quite a bit.

-Belmont, like Murray State, has not experienced the success in the Missouri Valley that they did in the Ohio Valley. Having said that, they do appear to be getting better. They have managed 20+ win seasons every year since joining the league and were a very respectable 13-7 in conference play a year ago. Tyler Lundblade was the best 3-pt shooter in the nation last year and he returns to the lineup this year. Three players who redshirted as freshmen last year join the roster and should be able to contribute right away as well, and Nic McClain is a solid grad transfer from Eastern Washington. I like this Bruins team. I am not going to pick them to win the league, but I definitely think they can be in contention.

-Drake was the biggest surprise in the nation last year. They had no D-1 experience (either playing or coaching) but proved that they were a top-40 team in the nation with 31 total wins and a trip to the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. The problem is most of that team is now at Iowa, and Drake is having to start completely over. Again. Can they do it again!!?? Probably not. But, who knows?? It is a transfer-heavy team with a lot of solid role players with D-1 experience. Can those guys step up and be more than role players this year?

-UIC win 17 games last season, which was their best overall season in quite some time. Just one starter returns, though, so it is doubtful that they will be able to build upon that improvement this year. Ante Beljan transfers in after averaging double-figures at Little Rock last year, and Chris Walker was a solid player and excellent outside shooter at Binghamton, so they do have a few pieces to work with.

-The Salukis of Southern Illinois struggled last year under first-year coach Scott Nagy and completely limped down the stretch last season. They do not have much in the way of experience and could be in for a very tough season again this year. I agree with where Grok has them.

-Indiana State won just 14 games last year after winning 32 the year before and missing the NCAA Tournament even though they should have been selected. I like the Trees a little bit this year, though. Three starters are back including Camp Wagner, who averaged double-figures last year and was a very good outside shooter. Sterling Young transfers in from Florida A&M, and he was a great player for them a year ago. Ian Scott, who was an NAIA All-American last year, also joins the roster. I do not know what Grok was smoking when it picked this team to finish 9th!! I really like them!! I think they can compete in this league and possibly even win it (although I am still sticking with Northern Iowa)!!

-Valparaiso has not had a winning season in quite some time, and their 15 wins last year were the best they have done in recent memory, but most came out of conference. They were just 6-14 in league play and finished 11th in the standings. All five starters are gone, and the expectations are not high this year. The roster seems to be noticeably lacking in D-1 experience.

-I do not think Evansville is going to be very good, but I do not think they will be the worst team in the league either. I cannot quite agree with Grok that they are dead last. Two starters return in Connor Turnbull and Joshua Hughes, and both help make up what should be an at least decent frontcourt. Keishon Porter transfers in from NC Central after being a solid player for them. They have a few pieces. I do not think they win the league, or for that matter even finish in the top half, but I think they will do a little better than dead last.

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WAC Media Day Recap and Response

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WAC MEDIA DAY PRESEASON COACHES POLL:

  1. California Baptist
  2. Utah Valley
  3. Abilene Christian
  4. UT Arlington
  5. Tarleton State
  6. Utah Tech
  7. Southern Utah

COMMENTS FROM DAVID:

This is the last year of the WAC as we know it. It is being rebranded/merged into the United Athletic Conference next year. I have always liked this conference and am genuinely sad to see it go. The Mountain West, which we do not consider to even be an Under the Radar conference (well, Joby Fortson might) came from the WAC once upon a time when the then 16 full members decided they were too bloated and wanted to form two conferences of 8 teams instead. My GOODNESS things were different back then!

And, for the WAC finale, the league will be playing a TRIPLE-Round-Robin format!!!

-California Baptist was a modest 9-7 in WAC play a year, but with the return of Dominique Daniels, who is one of the best players in the league, as well as the additions of some standout players from lower divisions, the expectations are high for the Lancers and we may see them make their first ever NCAA Tournament as a D-1 team this year.

-For all the hype that Grand Canyon got last year, it was actually Utah Valley that dominated the league. Unfortunately they did not win the conference tournament and therefore did not receive a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Just one starter returns from a team that won 25 total games a year ago and lost just one conference game in regular season play. They do not have much in the way of proven D-1 experience, so it will be interesting to see if this roster can come together and continue their winning ways.

-Abilene Christian was a .500 team both in league play and overall for the season. They were playing much better down the stretch as they won 7 of their last 9 before losing in the conference tournament. Bradyn Hubbard, who was a double-digit scorer and the team’s leading rebounder, returns to the roster this year. He will be joined by Charlie Yoder, who was a standout player in NAIA last year and who I think can compete and contribute right away in the WAC. They have some other transfers who can probably step in right away and contribute as well. I really like this Abilene Christian team this year and think they have as good of a chance at winning the league as anyone.

-UT Arlington has just one starter back from a team that won just 13 games a year ago. Raysean Seamster was a solid all around player who had some great performances, but he cannot do it by himself. They do have a smattering of transfers with D-1 experience who will need to step up this year.

-Tarleton State coach Billy Gillispie has been in the news this offseason. After winning 25 games two years ago, the Mavericks won just 12 last year. Gillispie is a proven coach, but he does not always get along with his players. Dantwan Grimes, who was a double-scorer for Baylor last year, comes in and will be a huge piece right away. They have some other D-2 and JUCO transfers who can probably play in the WAC right away. They will almost assuredly be a tough defensive team, and I think we will see noticeable improvement this year. I certainly like them m0re than the preseason voters seem to.

-Utah Tech won just 2 WAC games last year and the expectations are not high this year. Just one starter is back, and while you never want to underestimate a member of the mythical Bee Hive Conference I do not see them being very good this year. Speaking of the Bee Hive…

-Southern Utah is picked dead last. While I do not like them quite as much as the teams that I think will finish near the top, I do not expect them to finish dead last either. I think they have enough proven D-1 experience to at least be better than mythical (and actual) conference rival Utah Tech.

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The Hoops HD Report – ACC Conference Preview

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Chad and the panel take a look at all 18 teams in the ACC. While the conference does appear to be better from top to bottom, we still think there are only a limited number of teams that will end up dancing this March. Duke and Louisville look to be as good as anyone in the country, NC State is loaded with talent from the transfer portal, and Virginia has a fascinating roster. We discuss all that, and more!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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The Hoops HD Report – Big 12 Conference Preview

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Chad and the panel take a look at this year’s Big 12. Houston was last year’s runner up and is looking like another Final Four caliber team this year. Texas Tech and BYU are two other teams that have huge expectations this year. We run through all 16 teams and discuss who we think the conference contenders are, who will make the NCAA Tournament, and who will be on the outside looking in.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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