Bracketology 2019: March Madness Predictions (Version 10.0)

CLICK HERE for our latest Championship Week Video Notebook

We are only 7 days away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, 65 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 42 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming week predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 17th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 9th out of 127 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Virginia (ACC)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: North Carolina (ACC)

2: Kentucky (SEC)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Michigan State (Big 10)
2: Michigan (Big 10)

3: LSU (SEC)
3: Texas Tech (Big 12)
3: Houston (AAC)
3: Purdue (Big 10)

4: Kansas (Big 12)
4: Florida State (ACC)
4: Wisconsin (Big 10)
4: Kansas State (Big 12)

5: Virginia Tech (ACC)
5: Maryland (Big 10)
5: Mississippi State (SEC)
5: Marquette (Big East)

6: Nevada (MWC)
6: Buffalo (MAC)
6: Villanova (Big East)
6: Iowa State (Big 12)

7: Auburn (SEC)
7: Cincinnati (AAC)
7: Louisville (ACC)
7: Wofford (SoCon)

8: UCF (AAC)
8: Washington (Pac-12)
8: Iowa (Big 10)
8: Oklahoma (Big 12)

9: Baylor (Big 12)
9: VCU (A-10)
9: Syracuse (ACC)
9: Mississippi (SEC)

10: Texas (Big 12)
10: Utah State (MWC)
10: Minnesota (Big 10)
10: Seton Hall (Big East)

11: St. John’s (Big East)
11: Florida (SEC)
11: Ohio State (Big 10)
11: NC State (ACC)

12: Clemson (ACC)
12: Arizona State (Pac-12)
12: TCU (Big 12)
12: Temple (AAC)
12: Murray State (OVC): AUTO-BID
12: Lipscomb (Atlantic Sun)

13: New Mexico State (WAC)
13: Hofstra (CAA)
13: Vermont (America East)
13: UC Irvine (Big West)

14: Old Dominion (C-USA)
14: Yale (Ivy)
14: Omaha (Summit)
14: Texas State (Sun Belt)

15: Northern Kentucky (Horizon)
15: Northern Iowa (MVC)
15: Radford (Big South)
15: Montana (Big Sky)

16: Colgate (Patriot)
16: Sam Houston State (Southland)
16: Iona (MAAC)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)
16: Prairie View (SWAC)
16: St. Francis PA (NEC)

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Championship Week Video Notebook: Day 6

CLICK HERE to view our Survival Board, which is one of the most useful tools that we at Hoops HD make available to the selection committee

CLICK HERE for all the conference tournament brackets

We begin with about a ten minute Hoops HD Report to cover all of the action from Saturday including North Carolina’s second win over Duke, Texas Tech’s big win over Texas, Alabama’s bad loss, Auburn’s big win over Tennessee, and Washington’s crash landing at the end of the season.

We then move on to the conference tournaments and look at Murray State’s big win over Belmont in an exciting Ohio Valley Championship Game, and we discuss why we think Belmont should be in and what their chances are (DO NOT DEFY US SELECTION COMMITTEE!!).  We also look at two crazy upsets with South Dakota State falling to Western Illinois in the Summit League, and Stony Brook going down to Binghamton in the America East.  We also look at the semifinals in the NEC, opening round in the CAA, and quarterfinals in the MAAC.

and for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

ATLANTIC SUN CHAMPIONSHIP

MISSOURI VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

BIG SOUTH CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

SOCON SEMIFINALS

PATRIOT LEAGUE SEMIFINALS

METRO ATLANTIC SEMIFINALS

COLONIAL QUARTERFINALS

SUMMIT LEAGUE QUARTERFINALS

OTHER GAMES OF NOTE

-HOUSTON AT CINCINNATI (American).  Both teams are in the NCAA Tournament.  Houston is a probable protected seed and Cincinnati will most likely land in the top half of the bracket.  They’re both just playing for seeding at this point, but it’s big in the sense that both have had limited opportunities at wins like this, and this would be one of the bigger wins of the season for whichever team pulls it off.

-RUTGERS AT INDIANA (Big Ten).  Indiana is squarely on the bubble and needs to hold serve today.

-IOWA AT NEBRASKA (Big Ten).  Iowa is in a tailspin and a road win like this would really help them get the ship turned around.

-WISCONSIN AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Wisconsin is just playing for seeding  at this point, and still has a path to being a protected seed if they can finish strong.  Ohio State has really looked back in their last couple of games, and needs a win like this to stabilize their resume.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, March 9th

CLICK HERE for our latest Championship Week Video Notebook

-TENNESSEE AT AUBURN (SEC).  Both teams are playing for seeding at this point, albeit very different seedings.  Tennessee is still in the hunt for a #1 seed, whereas Auburn is trying to get another nice win on their resume and move up to the top half of the bracket.

-FLORIDA STATE AT WAKE FOREST (ACC).  Wake Forest almost pulled off one of the most shocking upsets of the year, but missed a tip in at the buzzer that would have beaten Duke.  With our without the loss, they’d need tow in the conference tournament.  I think Florida State is on pace to end up as a protected seed and will get it so long as they hold serve.

-VILLANOVA AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Villanova is just playing for seeding at this point, but between this game and the Big East Tournament their seedline could move quite a bit.  Seton Hall is playing to stabilize their position inside the bubble.

-SYRACUSE AT CLEMSON (ACC).  Syracuse needs this one, but Clemson needs it infinitely more.  The Tigers are right on the bubble and literally every game has a pivotal feel to it.  If they win this and win their first ACC Tournament game I think they’re in.

-TCU AT TEXAS (Big 12).  This is one of the more bubblicious games of the day.  Both teams desperately need it.  It’s possible that only one makes it in.  It’s possible that neither make it in.  It’s possible that both make it in.  But, this is about as important as a regular season game can be for both teams.

-FLORIDA AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  We have Florida on the bubble, but in right now.  Who knows what the actual committee has, but either way I bet they have them on the bubble.  If Florida can somehow win this game, they are no longer on the bubble.  Kentucky still has a shot at a #1 seed.

-TEXAS TECH AT IOWA STATE (Big 12).  Iowa State has been on a downward spiral, and even though they are safely in the the tournament, they could still use a win in a game like this if for no other reason than to help out their confidence.  Texas Tech is most likely a protected seed and they can add another nice win to their resume this afternoon.  As good as their profile is, this would still be one of their better road wins of the year.

-BAYLOR AT KANSAS (Big 12).  I think both teams are in and are just playing for Seeding.  Baylor is hovering around that 7-10 seed range, but has the opportunities to pull themselves up higher by winning this game and winning some games in the Big 12 Tournament.

-NC STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC).  People, including Hoops HD apparently, keep putting NC State in the field.  So, I guess we gotta highlight this game.  They were efficient against weak teams out of conference, and I guess those unweighted efficiency rankings are inflating their NET, and as a result people are giving them credit for being better than they actually are.  They shouldn’t be in the field, but they might make it anyway.

-TEXAS A&M AT MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC).  I think Mississippi State is a lock and is just playing for seeding the rest of the way.

-PURDUE AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Purdue is the first place team in the Big Ten and still has a path to the #2 line with the upcoming conference tournament.  They need to hold serve today, though.

-GEORGETOWN AT MARQUETTE (Big East).  Marquette isn’t exactly finishing the season with a big head of steam, but they’re still in really good shape and are just playing for seeding at this point.  If they win this game and win the conference tournament they are all but assured a protected seed.

-OLE MISS AT MISSOURI (SEC).  Ole Miss is a virtual lock for the NCAA Tournament and is just looking to hold serve and protect their seed today.

-LOUISVILLE AT VIRGINIA (ACC).  Both teams are tournament teams.  Louisville is playing to improve their seed, which a win today would definitely do.  Virginia is playing to wrap up a first place finish in the ACC, and likely wrap up a spot on the #1 line today as well.

-UCF AT TEMPLE (American).  This is a hugely important game between a UCF team that has been playing extremely well, and a Temple team that is straddling the fence of the bubble and desperately needs a win.

-ARIZONA STATE AT ARIZONA (Pac Twelve).  It’s a rivalry game that is of huge importance to an Arizona State team that is sitting right on the bubble.  They need to win this and they need a strong showing in the conference tournament.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT XAVIER (Big East).  Xavier just had a five game winning streak snapped, but are still proving to be a dangerous team down the stretch.  The Johnnies have a bit of a schizophrenic profile, and a win on the road against a Xavier team that’s been playing well could really help out their profile.

-DUKE AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  Both teams are in the top five.  Both are still in the hunt for a #1 seed.  It’s a huge rivalry game.  The two schools are eight miles apart.  The two schools have never met in the NCAA Tournament!

-OKLAHOMA AT KANSAS STATE (Big 12).  I think both teams are in the field.  A win for Oklahoma would pretty much lock them in.  Kansas State is still in the hunt for a first place finish as well as a protected seed, so there is quite a bit for them to play for as well.

-YALE AT PRINCETON (Ivy League).  I believe both have clinched spots in the Ivy League Tournament, and Yale is in the hunt for a first place finish

-ALABAMA AT ARKANSAS (SEC).  Alabama is squarely on the bubble and really needs this game.

-MICHIGAN AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Both teams are in the top ten and will likely end up on the #2 line.  Either way they’re just playing for seeding and are almost assured to be protected seeds no matter what happens the rest of the way.  It should be a raucous atmosphere!

-DEPAUL AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Some are saying that Creighton is on the bubble, which I’m really not seeing, but they are playing well down the stretch and if they can hold serve today and make some noise in the Big East Tournament then they should get a serious look from the committee.

-VANDERBILT AT LSU (SEC).  LSU has cracked the top ten and still has a shot to end up as high as the #2 line.  Off the court they’ve had better weeks.

-CAL BAPTIST AT NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC).  New Mexico State will be on the board by virtue of their first place finish.  I don’t think the committee will take them, so hopefully they’ll win the WAC Tournament and won’t need an at-large bid.  This is a VERY good Aggies team.

-OREGON AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve).  Its’ a rivalry game, which is fun!  It’s also a game that I think Washington absolutely has to win.  When our mock committee put Washington on the #9 line the other night, I almost ran off the road.  They absolutely do not belong that far inside the bubble.  I don’t think the real committee would put them there (although, with them, who knows?), and if they lose this one I think they may end up needing the auto-bid.

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Championship Week Video Notebook: Day 5

WELCOME SELECTION COMMITTEE MEMBERS!!  We are here to tell you what to do!!  Just sit back and we will do the work for you!!

CLICK HERE to view the Survival Board

CLICK HERE to view the Conference Tournament Brackets

Tonight we discuss what was a hugely exciting night in the Ohio Valley with two fantastic semifinal games, and how Murray State and Belmont will meet for the championship tomorrow.  It was also semifinal night in the Big South with Gardner Webb pulling off the huge upset and ending Campbell’s season.  We look at the games from the MAAC, SoCon, West Coast, and the Missouri Valley.  We also look ahead to all the action tomorrow.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

OHIO VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP

MISSOURI VALLEY SEMIFINALS

NORTHEAST CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS

SOCON QUARTERFINALS

WEST COAST QUARTERFINALS

SUMMIT LEAGUE QUARTERFINALS

AMERICA EAST QUARTERFINALS

METRO ATLANTIC QUARTERFINALS

COLONIAL ATHLETIC OPENING ROUND

-PENN AT BROWN (Ivy League Elimination Game).  The winner qualifies for the Ivy League Tournament.  The loser is eliminated.

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2018-19 Championship Week Video Notebook – Day 4

Tonight, we focus on the Atlantic Sun conference who was the first conference to reach the semifinal stage. We preview the long-awaited Liberty-Lipscomb matchup. We also review the conference tournaments that were at the quarterfinal stage – the Big South, Ohio Valley and Patriot League tournaments. Also getting underway were the Metro Atlantic, Missouri Valley and West Coast Conference tournaments.

We also preview two conferences that will be reaching the semifinal stage on Friday night – the Big South and the Ohio Valley Conference tournaments. The Metro Atlantic begins its first day of quarterfinal games and the Missouri Valley has their full slate of quarterfinal games. The West Coast Conference reaches the second round of its five-step ladder tournament, and the long-awaited Southern Conference tournament begins, albeit with a couple of appetizers before the main course begins Saturday in Asheville.

We finish by updating our Survival Board and once again calling on a person who can get things done to help solve one of college basketball’s biggest problems!

And for all of you who are radio/MP3 lovers and/or on the go, here is the audio-only link:

And here are the games on tap for Friday, March 8:


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Hoops HD Bracket Rundown: Thursday, March 7th

Note: This was recorded on Thursday, March 7th at 10 PM EST.  Since ballots were submitted before 7 PM EST, games like Iowa-Wisconsin and Central Florida-Cincinnati were NOT reflected in the voting. None of the games that went final after that time are reflected in the show, the seedlist, or the bracket.

Tonight, everyone on the Hoops HD Panel submitted a seed list of teams rated 1 through 55 to Chad Sherwood; Chad cross-country scored the teams and made a seedlist of the top 49 teams into the tournament bracket.  The way the scoring was reflected, NC State ended up being the last at-large team voted into the field, for example. The panel also made it clear on the podcast that the Wolfpack would likely be motioned out of our field if they were anywhere among the last four teams in.

And without further ado, here is the video link to the podcast:

With the exception of the NC State spoiler, here is the completed bracket – do not look at it in full until watching the show!

And finally, for those of you who are radio/MP3 lovers and/or like to listen to Hoops HD on the go, here is the audio link:

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