News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, March 4th

INFORMATION CENTRAL!!

March Madness is now OFFICIALLY here!

-For the first installment of our nightly Championship Week Video Notebook – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s latest Bracket Projections, where he is attempting to guess the actual Selection Committee – CLICK HERE

-For the Hoops HD Survival Board, where we have daily updates for all the teams who have not yet been eliminated – CLICK HERE

-For Conference Tournament Brackets and Schedules – CLICK HERE

-For David’s latest bracket projections, where he IS NOT trying to guess the committee – CLICK HERE

 

NEWS, NOTES, AND HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-Michigan picked up a really nice road win at Maryland yesterday.  I don’t think their chances are all that great of jumping up to the #1 line simply because they don’t have the chance to play and beat anyone that’s currently being projected up there, but they should land solidly on the #2 line.

-Marquette had a somewhat surprising home loss to Creighton.  It doesn’t crush them by any means, but it does put a little bit of dirt on their resume.  Losing home games to non-tournament teams will do that.

-Washington barely beat Stanford, and they’re damn lucky that they did.  Following up a loss to a Cal team that isn’t in the top 250 by losing to a Stanford team that isn’t even likely to make the NIT would not have been a good week.

-Saint John’s continues to be incredibly inconsistent.  They have now swept Marquette, and been swept by DePaul.  All you bracketologists out there can have fun trying to assess that one!

-VIRGINIA AT SYRACUSE (ACC).  Virginia appears to be on pace to land on the #1 line and Syracuse looks to be safely in the field.  A loss won’t hurt the Orange so much as a win would help.

-Arizona State got a nice win at Oregon State.  Not a great win.  Just a nice win.  They continue to straddle the cutline and have a virtual zero margin for error.

-TEXAS AT TEXAS TECH (Big 12).  Lot’s of storylines to this game!  It’s got some heat to it, so it’s a bit of a rivalry game.  Texas Tech is trying to lock up a protected seed and holding serve at home would help, and Texas is trying to make the NCAA Tournament and a win tonight would give them a HUGE amount of stability, which they could use given their overall win/loss record.

-KANSAS STATE AT TCU (Big 12).  K State is in first place and trying to win the league, as well as add another solid win to their resume and stay on pace for a protected seed.  TCU is just trying to finish strong to make sure they stay on the right side of the fence.  A loss tonight wouldn’t knock them out other than deny them a much needed opportunity to add a quality win to their resume.

-NORFOLK STATE AT DELAWARE STATE (MEAC).  A win tonight clinches an outright first place finish for Norfolk State.

-PRAIRIE VIEW A&M AT ALABAMA STATE (SWAC).  A win for PVAM clinches at least a share of first place.

-NORTHERN ARIZONA AT MONTANA (Big Sky).  Northern Arizona has just a half game lead with three games to go.

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Bracket Projections (From the Puppet): March 4th

Let me make sure everyone understands what they are looking at.  The bracket below is MY personal selections and seedings based on what I THINK it should look like if the season were to end today.  This is NOT an attempt to guess what the actual selection committee is going to do.  I am not a bracketologist.  I cannot guess what a group of ten strangers is going to do or what their reasons will be for doing it.  If that’s what you’re interested in, then you should check out Jon Teitel’s latest bracket by CLICKING HERE.  He is our Selection Committee Guessing Expert, and he’s better than just about anyone else on the planet at it.

There are comments below the bracket, and then even more comments from some of those on the staff.  They will not agree with everything I do, which means that THEY ARE WRONG!!!

OTHERS CONSIDERED: Arizona State, Xavier, UNC Greensboro, Temple, NC State, Memphis, Murray State, Saint Mary’s, UMES (Centenary Award)

-People will want to say I’m a hypocrite.  That may or may not be true, but I did select Indiana after beating them up for so long.  The reason is that when I looked at their resume and saw all those losses (and there are A TON of them), they don’t have that many losses to teams that are outside the field, and they do have way more wins against the field than anyone else that I left out.  It’s not even close.  I know their record is bad, but their wins are good and their schedule was rough.  Clemson, who I had right behind them, doesn’t have anywhere near the wins at the top of their resume that Indiana has.  No one else does either.

-I’ve been beating up UCF a lot this year too.  Funny what a road win against a protected seed that’s unbeaten at home can do for you!  LSU did not win at Houston.  UCF did.  So, yeah, that one win of that caliber does make the difference between being out and being a single digit seed.

-I’ve been beating up Auburn all year too, and I actually expected to have them a little higher after they finally beat a solid tournament team this weekend, but when I look at them I just can’t get them any higher than that.

-Washington is in my field as the auto-bid winner, but they would have been in my First Four without the auto-bid.  They have no good wins, and the one good thing you could say about them (no bad losses) went out the window when they lost to Cal.

-Every year there are a smattering of schizophrenic teams that are hard to place.  This year, we seem to have more than a smattering.  There’s Syracuse, Seton Hall, Indiana, Minnesota, Arizona State, Saint John’s, Texas, and to an extent Florida.  All of them have very impressive wins (and in some cases even protected seed caliber wins), at the top of their profiles.  But, all have multiple losses to mediocre, and even flat out bad, teams.  I don’t know what the hell the real committee is going to do with those teams because I don’t even know what I think of those teams!

 

COMMENTS FROM THE STAFF

From John Stalica:

-Our resident Puppet has been hard on Kansas all year long, yet I’m starting to wonder what kind of historical territory Iowa State is approaching. They are only two games above .500, but appear to be given a protected seed on the basis of wins at Texas Tech, Kansas State and Ole Miss. On the other hand, they have also been swept by Baylor and TCU – that’s the only reason the Horned Frogs are getting a sniff into the field right now. I wonder where the Puppet would seed them if they lose at West Virginia and at home against Texas Tech and end up 9-9.

-The Buffalo v. Wofford debate could be a crucial one come seeding time. A #1 seed would not want anything to do with playing the Terriers in Columbia, South Carolina, but by the same token Buffalo has been red hot the past few weeks themselves after a couple of slip-ups in a league that isn’t nearly as top-heavy as the SoCon is.

-I think one of the reasons Auburn continues to get flagged by the Puppet is a preseason bias – the Tigers were expected to do much better than what they currently are. Auburn doesn’t have many heavyweight or signature wins, but they’ve been far more consistent in beating teams around the bubble than volatile teams like Ohio State, Minnesota, St. John’s and Seton Hall. To me, I’d rather have the Tigers around 8-9 territory.

-While I do laud the Puppet for trying to think outside the box and throw Indiana a bone, I need to see more consistency from them. Beating Michigan State twice will carry some weight, but losing to the likes of Ohio State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern and Rutgers isn’t good. They can’t lose any more regular season games – games at Illinois and at home against Rutgers aren’t gimmies anymore.

-I may vomit saying this, but I’d rather have a schizo Arizona State team in instead of the aforementioned Hoosiers. We knew wins against Kansas, Washington and Mississippi State would carry some weight, but now their win against Utah State is looking more significant as well. The Sun Devils did put together a decent noncon schedule – even more important because of how awful the Pac-12 is this year.

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Championship Week Video Notebook: Day 0

WELCOME SELECTION COMMITTEE MEMBERS!!  We will be here every night for the next two weeks to help you!!  You don’t need to worry!!  We will tell you what to do!!

CLICK HERE to view our NCAA Tournament Survival Board to see who’s locked, who’s under consideration, and who’s still playing

Tonight we preview tomorrow’s ASun quarterfinal games, as well as spend a few minutes with Jon Teitel and Rocco Miller to discuss how they became so highly skilled at guessing the Selection Committee with their Bracketology picks.

Atlantic Sun Quarterfinals…

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Bracketology 2019: March Madness Predictions (Version 9.0)

For today’s UTR Game of the Day between Manhattan and Quinnipiac – CLICK HERE

For today’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

We are only 2 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, 65 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 42 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming weeks predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 17th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 9th out of 127 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Virginia (ACC)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC)
1: Kentucky (SEC)

2: Michigan State (Big 10)
2: North Carolina (ACC)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Michigan (Big 10)

3: Houston (AAC)
3: Purdue (Big 10)
3: LSU (SEC)
3: Kansas (Big 12)

4: Texas Tech (Big 12)
4: Marquette (Big East)
4: Virginia Tech (ACC)
4: Florida State (ACC)

5: Wisconsin (Big 10)
5: Iowa State (Big 12)
5: Kansas State (Big 12)
5: Nevada (MWC)

6: Maryland (Big 10)
6: Mississippi State (SEC)
6: Villanova (Big East)
6: Buffalo (MAC)

7: Cincinnati (AAC)
7: Iowa (Big 10)
7: Louisville (ACC)
7: Baylor (Big 12)

8: Auburn (SEC)
8: Washington (Pac-12)
8: Mississippi (SEC)
8: Wofford (SoCon)

9: Syracuse (ACC)
9: Ohio State (Big 10)
9: St. John’s (Big East)
9: Florida (SEC)

10: Oklahoma (Big 12)
10: VCU (A-10)
10: NC State (ACC)
10: Texas (Big 12)

11: TCU (Big 12)
11: UCF (AAC)
11: Alabama (SEC)
11: Arizona State (Pac-12)

12: Minnesota (Big 10)
12: Clemson (ACC)
12: Utah State (MWC)
12: Seton Hall (Big East)
12: Murray State (OVC)
12: Lipscomb (Atlantic Sun)

13: New Mexico State (WAC)
13: Yale (Ivy)
13: Old Dominion (C-USA)
13: Hofstra (CAA)

14: Vermont (America East)
14: UC Irvine (Big West)
14: South Dakota State (Summit)
14: Texas State (Sun Belt)

15: Radford (Big South)
15: Montana (Big Sky)
15: Northern Kentucky (Horizon)
15: Loyola-Chicago (MVC)

16: Colgate (Patriot)
16: Sam Houston State (Southland)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)
16: St. Francis PA (NEC)
16: Prairie View (SWAC)
16: Iona (MAAC)

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Under The Radar Game of the Day: Manhattan at Quinnipiac

For today’s News, Notes and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

Manhattan (9-20, 7-10 MAAC) at Quinnipiac (16-12, 11-6 MAAC) – 2:00 PM (ESPN+)

Today’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Hamden, Connecticut where the Quinnipiac Bobcats will play host to the Manhattan Jaspers in the regular season finale for both teams. Quinnipiac will be looking to claim a share of the regular season title with a victory today; the best they can do is a #2 seed in the MAAC Tournament since Iona would win a tiebreaker between both teams. Quinnipiac also won their first meeting 63-59 on the road at Manhattan earlier this season. Cameron Young leads the Bobcats with 23.2 points per game.

Manhattan has been a bit of a spoiler in conference play so far – while they did lose their only game against current conference leader Iona, they did win at Canisius and at home against Rider earlier this season – this denied the Golden Griffins and Broncs a shot at a share of the conference title this season. With one of the slowest offensive tempos in the country (350th out of 353 teams), no Jasper averages in double figures in scoring this season. Their leading scorer (Pauly Paulicap) averages 8.5 PPG and 3.9 RPG this season.

Note: Also be on the lookout for the debut of our Championship Week/Championship Fortnight video notebooks starting tonight; we will be posting those for the remainder of the season instead of the typical UTR Game of the Day articles.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, March 3rd

NEWS AND NOTES

-Just a few weeks ago Tennessee was beaten handily at Kentucky.  Yesterday they returned the favor by blowing out Kentucky at home.  If these two teams meet in the SEC Tournament on a neutral floor, then we may actually see a decent game!  I think this puts the Vols back on the path for a #1 seed, but they pretty much need to win out.

-It wasn’t easy, but North Carolina survived at Clemson 81-79.  This keeps UNC high up on the seed list, and Clemson squarely on the bubble. There was also a scary moment just prior to halftime where UNC head coach Roy Williams had to take a knee because of what was described as vertigo; he did not return to the game. He should be back on the bench for UNC’s next game at Boston College.

-Michigan State lost to Indiana for the second time this year.  Michigan State has the ceiling of a #1 seed when you look at their resume, but with multiple losses to teams that may not even make the field then it makes it seem unlikely that they’re going to get one.  Indiana has a very interesting resume.  Their wins are fantastic.  It’s just that they have so many losses on top of that.

-UCF, who had been a bubble team, may not be anymore after picking up a HUGELY important win at Houston.  That completely changes the complexion of their resume.  Funny how picking up a road win against a protected seed can do that!

-Utah State also picked up a big win over Nevada, which will likely put them on the right side of the fence.  It was a home win, but it’s still a huge quality win, and Utah State has enough decent wins on their resume to get the committee to take them. There were also postgame fireworks from Nevada that resulted in broken glass in a fire extinguisher case (which, miraculously did not result in injury) and allegations of a Utah State coach shouting obscenities to Nevada coaches and/or players as they left the court. They had to leave through Utah State’s hallway to their locker room due to students and fans rushing the court postgame.

-Purdue didn’t just beat Ohio State.  They clobbered them!  Purdue may be the best team in the Big Ten right now. The Buckeyes did not have Kaleb Wesson in the lineup due to a suspension from the coaching staff, although it is not believed that he will be out indefinitely. If he does not return for whatever reason, yesterday’s performance was a major red flag for Ohio State.

-Kansas trailed for much of the game at Oklahoma State, but ended up getting the win, which was huge because coming into that game Kansas had won just two true road games on the season.

-Iowa was without coach Fran McCaffery yesterday, and judging by how they played it was as if no one else on the team bothered showing up either.  They ended up losing handily at home to a sub-par Rutgers team.

-Ole Miss suffered a road loss at Arkansas.  A win would have helped give them some stability, but the loss isn’t crippling. Ole Miss still looks to be in the 7-10 seed range.

-Florida did not do themselves any favors with a home loss to Georgia yesterday. It was the Dawgs’ second win in conference play all year, and it now adds a Quad 3 loss to the Gators’ profile. It doesn’t necessarily imperil them like Washington’s loss at Cal did – they still have games at home against LSU and on the road at Kentucky. Unlike the Huskies, their conference tournament also gives them more chances to improve their resume as well.

-One never knows what Texas is going to do.  Yesterday, they blew out a very good Iowa State team.  There are quite a few things on Texas’s resume that are flimsy, but I do think that they will ultimately end up making the field. Either a win at Texas Tech or even at home against a TCU team that is subpar on the road might solidify a bid for the Longhorns.

-Auburn picked up one of their biggest wins of the year with a home win over Mississippi State.  This is one that I think the Tigers really needed. They finish their regular season with a trip to Alabama and a home game against Tennessee – one or two more wins here may at least vault Auburn up to first-ballot status.

-Seton Hall is in a more perilous position after losing a double-overtime game on the road at Georgetown. Not only do the Pirates need a win at home against either Villanova or Marquette this week to at least stay above the bubble, they might need at least one win just to avoid having to play a first-round game in the Big East Tournament next week.

-And what about Georgetown now? The Hoyas are now tied for third place in the Big East with Xavier and St. John’s (although they would be the #4 seed at the moment) after their Senior Day victory against the Hall. They finish their regular season with road trips to DePaul and Marquette. They would certainly be in the thick of the discussion if they could win at Marquette.

-Butler is now on life support after losing big at Villanova yesterday. They would be seeded ninth in the Big East tournament if the season ended today. They are only one game above .500 and have their final two games at home against a white-hot Xavier team and on the road at Providence. They must win those two games to have any at-large hopes, and they need to have a good Big East tournament run as well.

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SAINT JOHN’S AT DEPAUL (Big East).  The Johnnies are relatively safe, but they’d really be helping themselves out if they avoid a loss to a non-tournament team like DePaul.

-NOTRE DAME AT LOUISVILLE (ACC).  Louisville is in a bit of a tailspin (having lost five out of six games after a win at Virginia Tech to start the month).  This is a winnable game against a non tournament team that they need to win for their mental health as much as anything else.

-TULANE AT TEMPLE (American).  If Temple is going to land inside the bubble then they absolutely have to hold serve in games like this.  A loss would probably mean that they need the auto-bid in order to make it.

-CREIGHTON AT MARQUETTE (Big East). Marquette is on pace to get a protected seed and just needs to hold serve in games like this in order to stay on that pace.

-MICHIGAN AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Both teams are obviously safely in, and Maryland will almost assuredly get a protected seed.  Maryland is looking to bounce back from a rather surprising loss to Penn State.  A home win over a team like Michigan would certainly qualify as a bounce back.

-WASHINGTON AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Washington is coming off a loss to Cal which crushes their resume, but they should still make the field as long as they can win out until the conference tournament.

-ARIZONA STATE AT OREGON STATE (Pac Twelve).  Arizona State is a schizophrenic bubble team.  A road win in a game like this would certainly help them.  At this point it has a ‘must-win’ feel to it for the Sun Devils.

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