News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Wednesday, Jan 9

NEWS AND NOTES

-It was a really exciting night of games.  Michigan State and Texas Tech took care of business at home against pretty strong competition.  I keep wanting to tell myself that Purdue is a good team, but they’re just 9-6 on the year, and while they played better than the 18pt loss at Michigan State may indicate, they’re still just 9-6 on the year, and they still lost by 18 on the road.

-The most energetic and electric game of the evening was North Carolina at NC State.  The crowd was beyond bonkers, and UNC just sprinted out to an early double digit lead in the first couple minutes of that game, and while NC State did tie it a few times, the Tarheels were in control the entire time, and they picked up a huge win.  How good was this win??  Well, consider this.  It is the only home loss for any team that’s currently ranked in the top 15 so far.  Of all the teams currently ranked in the top 25, the only other home losses are Ohio State’s two losses at home to Syracuse and Michigan State, and TCU’s home loss to Lipscomb.  So a VERY nice resume win, and rivalry win, and conference win, for UNC.

-Mississippi State went into South Carolina for what appeared to be a very winnable road game, and didn’t win it.  After an atrocious OOC stretch, Angry Frank’s Gamecocks are now 2-0 in SEC play.

-Iowa State also lost on the road to Baylor in a game that was somewhat surprising, but not as surprising as Mississippi State’s loss at South Carolina.  Iowa State could use a few more road wins before it’s all over

-Buffalo blew out a Toledo team that had looked great up until this past weekend.  The Bulls will likely remain in the top 25 for the rest of the season.

-Saint John’s led Villanova at Nova for most of the game, but could not hold on in the final minutes.  They actually had a chance at the end after playing great defense and forcing a shot that missed the rim.  The only problem was Nova got the rebound and the Johnnies players didn’t realize it had missed the rim, so they purposefully fouled before the shotclock expired.  Still, it was  a great effort by the Johnnies.  Two of their three toughest conference games are already behind them, so don’t be surprised if they finish really strong.

-Maryland picked up a very nice and decisive road win at Minnesota, which is something they really needed.

-Texas went on the road and lost at Oklahoma State, which was something they really did not need.

-Last, and definitely not least, a big congratulations to North Alabama, who defeated Florida Gulf Coast last night for their first ever div1 win as a div1 program!

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-VANDERBILT AT GEORGIA (SEC).  Vandy seems to still have the NCAA Tournament, and this is the kid of road game that tournament teams are expected to win, so we’ll see if they’re up to it.

-GEORGETOWN AT XAVIER (Big East).  Georgetown seems to still have the NCAA Tournament within their reach, and this is the kind of road game that tournament teams are expected to win, so we’ll see if they’re up to it.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC).  A very winnable road game for VA Tech.  They have looked like a protected seed so far.

-AUBURN AT OLE MISS (SEC).  This is a road test for an Auburn team that’s trying to cement itself as a protected seed, and an Ole Miss team that has surpassed a lot of our expectations so far, and is continuing to build on what has been a great start.  If they win this, it will increase their momentum even more.

-OHIO STATE AT RUTGERS (Big Ten).  This is probably the most winnable road game that Ohio State has remaining on their schedule.  They just need to hold serve.

-HOUSTON AT TEMPLE (American).  Houston is unbeaten and has passed several big tests, but they haven’t been tested like this in a true road game, so we should learn something for them tonight.  It’s a big game for Temple as well who has a smattering of decent stuff on their resume, but nothing as good as this yet.

-MARQUETTE AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  It’s been a great season for Marquette so far, but they don’t have a true road win yet, so this would certainly add something to their resume if they’re able to pick it up.  Creighton has fallen behind the pack and they’ll need to string together several wins in order to get caught back up.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT KANSAS STATE (Big 12).  In our last bracket projections we didn’t have either team in, so based on our current checkpoint both have a lot of work to do.

-LA SALLE AT VCU (Atlantic Ten).  VCU is one of those teams that can end up inside the bubble if they dominate the league.  That would mean not losing at home to an awful La Salle team.

-TULANE AT SOUTH FLORIDA (American).  South Florida’s schedule has been incredibly weak, but they are 11-3 on the year with a conference win over UConn.  they should win tonight and we’ll continue to keep an eye on them.

-LOUISVILLE AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  Louisville has a pretty nice resume at the moment, but another road win will always make it look even nicer.  Pitt still has a ways to go, but they are improving and they have played well at home this year.

-CLEMSON AT SYRACUSE (ACC).  This is a win that both of these teams could really use.  Both have shown signs of being good, and Clemson has been playing a little better lately, but both still have work to do.

-FLORIDA AT ARKANSAS (SEC).  This is a win that both these teams could really use.  Both have shown sings of being good, but both still have work to do, particularly Florida if they’re going to catch back up to the pack.

-BUTLER AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Seton Hall’s resume is pretty solid, but they are coming off a somewhat surprising loss to DePaul and certainly don’t want to follow that up with a home loss to Butler.  Butler had been in a bit of a tailspin themselves and still has a lot of work to do between now and the end if they want to land on the right side of the bubble.

-VIRGINIA AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC).  Virginia is undefeated and looking like a #1 seed.  They should be able to hold serve and pick up this road win.

-TCU AT KANSAS (Big 12).  There are a lot of question marks about this game.  TCU has just one loss, but they’ve played a rather weak schedule.  Tonight will be a true test.  Kansas has been hit hard with the injury bug, and it will be interesting to see how they play now that they’re so shorthanded.

-MIAMI FL AT FLORIDA STATE (ACC).  Florida State has a very bloated record, but if they’re really as good as their ranking then they shouldn’t have too much trouble against an unranked team at home.  Miami needs to put together a long string of wins just to catch back up to the pack.

-FRESNO STATE AT UTAH STATE (Mountain West).  If there are two teams in the MWC outside of Nevada that can make the NCAA Tournament, it appears to be these two, but neither have a large margin for error and both need quality wins on their resume, which makes this seem like a very bubblicious type of game even though it’s January.

-IOWA AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Both teams have looked good at times, but both have struggled in conference play and both really need more good wins on their resume.

-UMASS AT SAINT LOUIS (Atlantic Ten).  SLU needs to dominate this league if they want to have a chance, and they can’t lose at home to teams that aren’t likely to make the NIT.

-ARIZONA STATE AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  Arizona State has not been playing well lately (the home win against Kansas aside), and they cannot afford to slip up in this one.

-SAN JOSE STATE AT NEVADA (Mountain West).  Nevada shouldn’t have too much trouble bouncing back and picking up the win.

-ARIZONA AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Arizona has won their first two conference games, and while their margin for error is small, it’s not too outrageous to think they can land inside the bubble if they do well in the league and avoid losses to non-tournament teams, which pretty much means avoiding losses to anyone.

UNDER THE RADAR

-BINGHAMTON AT STONY BROOK (America East).  Stony Brook can improve to 14-3 on the year.

-LIBERTY AT STETSON (Atlantic Sun).  Liberty is trying to keep pace with Lipscomb and (maybe) NJIT

-NORTH FLORIDA AT LIPSCOMB (Atlantic Sun).  See above

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Tuesday, Jan 8th

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-DUKE AT WAKE FOREST (ACC).  Duke is on pace to get a #1 seed and although they haven’t played a true road game yet, they’ve still been tested away from home.

-TENNESSEE AT MISSOURI (SEC).  If you use your imagination, Mizzou has some talent and could play their way into the NCAA Tournament picture if they’re able to pick up a few wins in games like this, but that is far easier said than done.  Tennessee is a #1 seed caliber team and this is the kind of road game you would expect them to win.

-TEXAS A&M AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  Kentucky suffered a somewhat surprising loss at Alabama over the weekend, but should be able to bounce back in a big way tonight against a TAMU team that just isn’t all that strong this year.

-TOLEDO AT BUFFALO (MAC).  Toledo looks to be one of the better teams in the conference, but they were smashed at home in their most recent conference game.  Buffalo should not only land inside the bubble, but land in the top half of the bracket if they hold serve the rest of the year.

-IOWA STATE AT BAYLOR (Big 12).  Iowa State smashed Kansas over the weekend, but we already knew that they were home court heroes.  The question is whether or not they can follow that up against what appears to be an NIT team on the road.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT VILLANOVA.  The Johnnies are ranked in the top 25 for the first time since I can remember, and have certainly earned it.  They have another big road test tonight against a Villanova team that’s had their issues, but that also seems to be getting better.  It’s two probable tournament teams looking for a quality win.

-MARYLAND AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  These are two probable tournament teams that have room for improvement, and a win tonight would certainly help either team.

-TEXAS AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big 12).  Texas has been inconsistent for most of the season and while they have some big wins, they’ve also tripped over themselves a couple of times.  It’s important that they hold serve tonight and pick up what should be a winnable road game.

-PURDUE AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Michigan State has really flexed their muscles this season and is coming off what may be their singular biggest win of the year so far, which was on the road at Ohio State.  They face a Purdue team that appears to be really good, but who’s profile could really use some updating.  If the Boilers are able to win tonight, it completely changes the complexion of their resume, and catapults it through the roof.

-OKLAHOMA AT TEXAS TECH (Big 12).  Both teams are good, and both have been tested in the sense that Oklahoma played really well in a losing effort at Kansas, and Texas Tech played really well in a losing effort against Duke, but neither team really has a huge win on their resume yet, and it could be argued that this would be the biggest win of the season for either team up to this point for whoever ends up winning it.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT NC STATE (ACC).  This one should be fun!!  These two teams hate each other, and with NC State being at home and having a ton of momentum it should be a really intense atmosphere.  Both teams are likely tournament teams, and this would certainly be a quality win both on and off paper for whoever pulls it off.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC).  Mississippi State should cruise through this one and improve to 13-1 on the year.

-ALABAMA AT LSU (SEC).  Both teams are good, and Alabama is coming off a feel good win against Kentucky, but both also have room to grow their resume and tonight is a chance for them to do that.

-AIR FORCE AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West, Front Range).  We at Hoops HD Love the Front Range!!!!!  Oh…forget it!!!  The Front Range SUCKS this year!!!  Watch another game!!

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The Hoops HD Report: January 7th

Chad and the panel are back to recap a busy week of college basketball where conference play got into a full blown swing.  We look at Kansas’s big loss at Iowa State, and discuss how good they’re going to be now that they’re dealing with injuries.  Nevada was another highly ranked team that went down in a blowout, and we discuss what that means for the Wolfpack.  The Big Ten has ten teams that are ranked in the top 40 of the NET, and we discuss how many teams the league can get into the NCAA Tournament, and which ones still need to prove themselves.  The ACC is also very strong with as many as six teams that now look to be in the hunt for protected seeds, and we look at how strong the top of that league is.  The Big East doesn’t have anyone that currently looks like a protected seed, but they still have about five teams that look like probable tournament teams.  We discuss all that, and more…

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Hanging with the Hoyas: Part 7

HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel will spend the upcoming months covering several Georgetown basketball home games, with a very special reward coming in March. 6 down, 2 to go:
Part 1: Central Connecticut State (https://hoopshd.com/2018/11/11/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-1)
Part 2: Richmond (https://hoopshd.com/2018/11/30/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-2)
Part 3: Liberty (https://hoopshd.com/2018/12/04/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-3)
Part 4: SMU (https://hoopshd.com/2018/12/15/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-4)
Part 5: Appalachian State (https://hoopshd.com/2018/12/19/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-5)
Part 6: Little Rock (https://hoopshd.com/2018/12/24/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-6)
Part 7 was Saturday afternoon when St. John’s visited DC for the schools’ 112th meeting dating back to 1909.

I rang in the New Year with yet another delicious pregame meal: make-your-own-burritos from Chipotle (I lived to tell about it) and M&M cookies. I thought Walton in a Tempe restroom was going to be my best Bill sighting of the season…until I got to see Raftery in the DC media room (who was there as the CBS color analyst)! There were a decent amount of fans wearing red in the stands to support the 13-1 Red Storm’s best start to a season since they won 14 out of 15 to begin the 1985-86 season. I am also in favor of supporting Coaches vs. Cancer Week…but the sight of Georgetown in teal uniforms/pink sneakers was not that easy on the eyes:

And away we go (they moved me from right behind the basket to about 25 rows up in the corner behind the Georgetown bench so this 1 will be a little more essay and a little less photo):

The Hoyas entered the day on a 4-game winning streak but appeared hard-pressed to extend it due to missing a pair of starters in Mac McClung (sprained left ankle) and Trey Mourning (concussion protocol). I spent the 1st 2 months of the season pushing for Jessie Govan (who grew up just a few miles away from Carnesecca Arena in Queens and used an array of low-post moves against his hometown team to score 11 1st half PTS) as Big East POY, but after watching Shamorie Ponds put on a show I am throwing my support his way. The 6’1” JR PG owned the 1st half: he made a layup, a baseline jumper, and 4 shots from behind the arc for a total of 16 PTS, while even making several behind-the-back passes that were right on the money en route to 3 AST. Assistance on the defensive end of the floor came in the form of FR LJ Figueroa, who had 6 defensive REB/4 STL/1 BLK in only 15 minutes of action. Georgetown G Jahvon Blair was instant offense off the bench with a 3-PT shot and a 4-PT play to make it 28-17, but St. John’s used an 8-0 advantage in fast-break PTS to take a 42-39 halftime lead.

2 sightings during halftime:
A kid in the bathroom line who was wearing a Zion Williamson high school jersey (I know he is great but can we please turn off the hype machine?!):

And HoopsHD’s favorite sideline reporter…Jon Rothstein!

Ponds continued to do damage in the 2nd half with 18 PTS (including 8-10 FT) but got some more help on the offensive end from Mustapha Heron: he only had 1 basket in the 1st half but made shots from all over the court in the 2nd half (a dunk, a 3, and a pair of pretty layups) before fouling out with 18.6 seconds left in regulation. Another player who had a tale of 2 halves was Georgetown SR SG Greg Malinowski: coming off of a career-high 26-PT effort in a win over Butler last Wednesday, he only scored 1 PT in the 1st half vs. St. John’s before making a trio of threes in the 2nd half and also accumulating a career-high 7 AST. The Hoyas have relied on their freshman backcourt all season but it is FR F Josh LeBlanc who is becoming the model of consistency: he remains a bundle of energy in the paint on both ends of the court and finished with 12 PTS/13 REB to give him 3 double-doubles in his past 5 games.

The final minute of regulation was rather wild. Coach Patrick Ewing called a timeout with 34.3 seconds left and an 84-81 lead:

His team came back onto the court just needing to hold onto the ball…but ended up getting whistled for a backcourt violation…which the refs later reversed after going to the monitor and giving the ball back to the Hoyas due to an inadvertent whistle. Jamorko Pickett was fouled and made 1-2 FTs to give his team a 4-PT lead with 18 seconds left, but the game was far from over. Ponds was fouled with 15 seconds left and knocked down both FTs to make it 85-83. Blair took the inbounds pass but the SR lost the ball against a double-team: Figueroa set a career-high by picking up his 6th STL of the night, was fouled by Blair, and somehow made a pair of FTs with 11.3 seconds left to tie it at 85-all (despite only going 1-4 from the FT line during his previous 5 games!). The Hoyas missed a shot at the buzzer and went to OT for the 3rd time in their past 11 games as the crowd kept buzzing:

St. John’s used a total team effort as they finished their 2nd straight game with 5 guys in double-figures: Figueroa made an alleyoop dunk, Justin Simon made a dunk before fouling out with 14 PTS, and Marvin Clark made a 3 before fouling out with 11 PTS of his own. Govan must have been inspired by Blair’s 1st half 4-PT play since he made 1 of his own to cut the deficit to 94-90 halfway through the extra period. Ponds finished with 37 PTS/6 AST but he made the play of the game on defense: he snagged an alleyoop pass from James Akinjo and then Simon took it the other way for a breakaway alleyoop dunk to make it 96-90. After Akinjo/Blair each missed jump shots in the final 5 seconds, St. John’s was able to hang on for a 97-94 victory while increasing their record to an amazing 14-1 (with only a 2-PT loss at Seton Hall the previous Saturday standing in their way of perfection).

In the postgame press conference Ponds had to field a ton of questions so I gave him a well-deserved break:

I asked Coach Mullin to describe what the mood was like back on campus and how special it was to give his former coach Lou Carnesecca a win on his 94th birthday. The Hall of Famer said that he had talked to Coach Carnesecca earlier that day and that “a win was all that he wanted!” As far as life in NYC, he admitted that the fanbase has spent several years watching the team struggle/grow, but that it was all the sweeter because instead of a quick fix he had gone about the “genuine authentic way of building a program.”

Coach Ewing had answered someone else’s question by stating that his team just needed to get better at closing out games, so I followed up by wondering if that was an impossible task without a healthy lineup. After confirming that McClung/Mourning were both day-to-day, the other Hall of Famer mentioned that his team “is deep enough that we should be able to withstand the loss of 2 injured starters” and that they possess a “next-man-up mentality where they just need to find a way to close out games.”

That’s all for now, check back in the weeks ahead for Part 8.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day: Southern Illinois at Drake

For Chad Sherwood’s initial bracket projection (in his own view) for the season – CLICK HERE

For Jon Teitel’s initial bracket projection (in an attempt to forecast the Selection Committee) for the season – CLICK HERE

Southern Illinois (9-6, 2-0 MVC) at Drake (11-4, 0-2 MVC) – 8:00 PM EST (ESPN+)

EDITOR’S NOTE: Today’s Toledo-Buffalo matchup would have been the UTR Game of the Day, but Buffalo’s Top 25 ranking disqualifies them from these matchups for now.

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes place in Des Moines, Iowa where the Salukis of Southern Illinois pay a visit to play the Drake Bulldogs. Southern Illinois was expected to be one of the top UTR teams going into the season, but have hit a snag this year with losses at Kentucky, Murray State, twice to Buffalo, and ugly losses against UMass and Winthrop. Their only noncon win of note was at home against A-10 favorite Saint Louis. Nonetheless, they are off to a better start in conference play with back-to-back wins against Missouri State at home and at Northern Iowa. Kavion Pippen had 18 points in the Salukis’ win against Northern Iowa over the weekend.

Drake came into conference play suddenly looking like a potential favorite to win the Missouri Valley after an 11-2 start. A double-overtime loss at Evansville was tough enough to endure, but the crushing blow from that game was the loss of star player Nick Norton to an ACL tear – he is done for the season for the Bulldogs. In their first game without Norton, Drake lost to Loyola-Chicago after surrendering 12 3-point shots to the Ramblers during that contest.

In the meantime, don’t forget that Barry Hinson’s BBQ Sauce is still available for purchase:

 

COMMENTS FROM DAVID:  Gee, great game!!  TOO BAD IT’S TOMORROW NIGHT!!!  Stalica doesn’t know what day it is!!!  #StalicaDoesNotKnowWhatDayItIs   Let’s get this trending on Twitter!!!

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Bracket Projection (Chad) 1-6-2019

Every year, I do the HoopsHD Preseason Bracket and thereafter swear off bracket projections until at least the middle of January.  Quite simply, until every team has 3-5 conference games under their belts, I simply do not think enough data exists to project a field of 68.  I have broken my rule this year, however, by about 2 weeks and present below my first regular season projection.  please note that this projection is based solely on what teams have done to date, and does not make any prediction about how things will play out in the future.  Also note that I have selected the teams that I feel are the best in each conference as the auto-bid winners, even if they are not currently in first place.

BRACKET NOTES

  1. I have six ACC teams on the top four seed lines, resulting in two regions (South and East) with multiple protected seeds from the same league.
  2. The ACC and SEC both put 8 teams in the field, but were blown away by the Big Ten with 10 teams!  The Big Twelve has six entrants and the Big East has 5.
  3. The only other multi-big leagues were the American (3 teams), WCC (2) and SoCon (2).  The later two got their second teams in the First Four.  The Atlantic Ten, Mountain West and Pac Twleve are all single-bid conferences.
  4. Although the above statements seem to indicate that I am favoring the power conferences, I would note that I had both Georgia State and Lipscomb rated higher than the last of my First Four teams.  Lipscomb unfortunately had to be bounced from the 12 line down to the 13 line (with the First Four game between Wofford and Florida moving up) because there were a ton of problems properly placing the First Four games due to San Jose being the only Friday/Sunday site on the 12 or 13 lines.
  5. I also had two more non-power conference schools among my top four teams out.  Those four, in order, were Clemson, Furman, Murray State and Arizona.  The next four out were Butler, VCU, Kansas State and Temple.  Also considered were Georgetown, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Providence, Northwestern, Tulsa, Utah State, Ball State, Dayton, Toledo and Washington.
  6. Because I only look at results to date, I did not penalize Kansas despite the news today that Azubuike is out for the season.  I don’t expect them to stay this high on the seed list though unless they learn how to play a lot better without him very fast.
  7. I don’t look at matchups that I created until I have already built the bracket, but the South Region looks amazing to me in terms of the number of great teams and name-brand schools.

COMMENTS FROM HOOPSHD STAFF

COMMENTS FROM DAVID: 

-I hate to say this, but I agree with a lot of what Chad has done.  I really like Belmont, and have been seeding them high all year, but it’s kind of hard to keep a team safely inside the bubble that lost at home to Jacksonville State.  That was a conference game, but for all practical purposes it was the equivalent of losing a home buy game, so as much as I like them, Chad is being kinda generous to have them in at all.

-Arizona State on the #8 line is interesting.  They got their crap together over the weekend and buried Colorado, but prior to that they were in the midst of a seven game stretch where they either lost (Nevada, Vandy, Princeton, Utah) or looked pathetic (Georgia, Texas Southern) in six of those games, and then beat a full strength Kansas team at home in one of those games.  I guess when you average all that out it comes out to about a #8 seed, but I question whether or not they’re good enough to even finish that high once it’s over.

-I really don’t agree at all with Gonzaga on the #3 line.  I understand the reasoning behind putting them there.  I just think that the reasoning is wrong, and I KNOW that Chad is wrong!!  Gonzaga has two losses away from home, one was by 3pts to Tennessee, and the other was on the road against North Carolina.  Both of those teams are protected seeds, and at neither game was Gonzaga at full strength.  They also beat Duke away from home.  I don’t know how you seed them below Duke, but Chad has found a way to do it.  Chad = WRONG!!!

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