Conference Preview: Mountain West

Posted on October 22, 2018 by Chad

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

For years, the Mountain West was about Steve Fisher’s San Diego State teams and just how deep those squads might go in March.  Steve Fisher is gone, and the balance of power has most certainly switched from San Diego to Reno, Nevada.  Eric Musselman has done an amazing job building a powerhouse program.  The Wolf Pack reached the Sweet Sixteen last season and enter this year as a legitimate Final Four contender.  Nevada’s success should also help the rest of the league, as anyone that knocks them off this year will add a very good win to their resumes.  The Mountain West looks like a multi-bid league, and it would not be a shock to see at least three teams dancing from this conference.

Beyond Nevada, the top two candidates to play after Selection Sunday are New Mexico and San Diego State.  Paul Weir has the Lobos headed in the right direction after a great first season at the helm.  Although he does not return much from last season’s lineup, a couple of key transfers and his ability to meld players together should equal success.  San Diego State will be tough again and look to return to the Big Dance.  Also keep an eye on UNLV, where head coach Marvin Menzies looks like he has finally sorted things out and has the Rebels headed back to being among the conference’s elite.

Predicted Order of Finish

  1. Nevada – This is the Mountain West and we are talking about a team that looks like a legitimate Final Four contender. The Wolf Pack are stacked this season, from twins Caleb (MW Player of the Year) and Cody (MW Defensive Player of the Year) Martin, to Jordan Caroline, to freshman Jordan Brown who could have had a spot on pretty much any team in the nation.  The frontcourt is even deeper with the addition of Old Dominion graduate transfer Trey Porter (over 13 points per game last season).  The only question is the heath of point guard Lindsey Drew, but even if he cannot play, Cody Martin proved last season that he is more than capable of running the point too.
  2. San Diego State – The Aztecs won 22 games and made the NCAA Tournament in Brian Dutcher’s first season at the helm, and similar results could be on tap for this season. The team does need to find a way to replace Trey Kell in the backcourt and Malik Pope down low, but Jeremy Hemsley should slide back into the starting lineup alongside Devin Watson at guard and having Jalen McDaniels pull his name out of the NBA Draft will help a ton down low.
  3. New Mexico – Paul Weir inherited a mess at New Mexico last season and promptly found a way to win 19 games and finish in third place. The Lobos only return one player who averaged more than 10 points a game last season, but one should not bet against Weir’s ability to patch a team together, especially with the additions of two key transfers, Vance Jackson (Connecticut) and Carlton Bragg (Kansas/Arizona State).  Bragg will not be eligible until after the first semester and must stay away from off-court problems that plagued him at his prior two schools.  A third transfer, JaQuan Lyle (Ohio State) is out for the season with an injury, which hurts the team’s chances a lot.
  4. UNLV – The Rebels took a major step forward last season, notching 20 wins after losing 21 games the year before. Two of the top three scorers from last season are gone, but the one that does return, Shakur Juiston, averaged a double-double and should be a force this season as well.  The Rebels may not be able to contend for the league title, but they will not be an easy out anymore either.
  5. Wyoming – Three starters and six other players are all gone from last season’s 20-13 team, making this a bit of a rebuilding year for head coach Allen Edwards. The good news is that Justin James, who tied for the Mountain West scoring lead at 18.9 points per game last season, is back.  The Cowboys also add in redshirt freshman Hunter Thompson who, at 6-10 with the ability to knock down 3’s, has a chance to make some serious noise in this conference.
  6. Boise State – Leon Rice has guided the Broncos to 20 or more wins each of the past six seasons but extending that streak may be difficult this season. Three of the team’s top four scorers are gone including NBA Draft first round pick Chandler Hutchison.  Leading returnee Justinian Jessup will need to get immediate help from former bench players and a couple of Juco transfers for this team to have success.
  7. Fresno State – Rodney Terry somewhat surprisingly left Fresno State for the UTEP job after last season. The Bulldogs now welcome in Justin Hutson, and it looks like a rebuild is ahead with only one double-digit scorer returning.  The good news is that one player is Deshon Taylor, who averaged over 17 points per game on route to an All-Mountain West first team selection.
  8. Colorado State – Last season was a disaster, to say the least, that ended with 12 losses in the final 13 games and head coach Larry Eustachy being placed on administrative leave and eventually stepping down. The Rams need to rebuild almost from the ground up.  They may have found the right man to lead the way in former Tim Miles assistant Niko Medved, who more than doubled Drake’s win total in his one year on the job there.  Medved has another Niko (or at least Nico) – Nico Carvacho – to help with the rebuild effort.  Carvacho is a double-double machine that should cause the Rams’ opponents a ton of headaches.
  9. Utah State – The Aggies have a new coach in former South Dakota head man Craig Smith. Smith has his work cut out for him especially after star point guard Koby McEwen decided to transfer to Marquette.  Keep an eye on guard Sam Merrill this season as he averaged over 16 points per game last year and will be looked on to score even more this season.
  10. Air Force – The Falcons have veteran leadership. The Falcons also finished 12-19 with these same players last season and are undersized compared to the rest of the conference.  In other words, this team may be competitive and pull off an upset or two, but don’t expect them to contend for an upper division finish.
  11. San Jose State – Jean Prioleau took over the San Jose State head coaching job last August and may be wondering why he did so. The Spartans not only finished a horrible 4-26 last year, but they then saw their top three returning players all transfer out.  The cupboard is now empty, so it is time to rebuild from the bottom up.  With a roster filled with underclassmen, this season may be more about kids learning to play and, hopefully, things can start looking up in the next few.
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Conference Preview: Atlantic Ten

Posted on October 21, 2018 by Chad

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

The Atlantic Ten found a way to put three teams into the Big Dance last season, as regular season champion Rhode Island was joined by auto-bid winner Davidson and First Four team St. Bonaventure.  The league has at least four teams with legitimate NCAA Tournament aspirations this season, though the conference as a whole needs to improve in non-conference play if they want to find a way to pick up multiple at-large bids again.

The pick to win the league is George Mason, as the Patriots return all five starters from last year.  Travis Ford’s Saint Louis team should also be in contention, along with Davidson and a (hopefully) healthy St. Joe’s team.  Keep an eye on two teams that are on the rise as well – Duquesne and Massachusetts.  Both teams enter their second seasons under their new head coaches and have already made remarkable strides.

Predicted Order of Finish

  1. George Mason – The Patriots return all five starters from last year’s team, led by the outside duo of Otis Livingston II and Jaire Grayer. They also add several key pieces, most notably Virginia transfer Jarred Reuter, whose size and strength down low should help them get better on defense.
  2. Saint Louis – Travis Ford enters his third season at the helm and has the Billikens ready to break through and earn a ticket to the Big Dance. This team was one of the best defensively both in the A-10 and nationally last year and if a handful of key transfers and a solid recruiting class can help add more scoring, Saint Louis should hear its name called on Selection Sunday.
  3. Davidson – Peyton Aldridge may be gone, but the Wildcats return enough pieces for head coach Bob McKillop to keep them in contention. The trio of Jon Axel Gudmundsson, Kellan Grady and KiShawn Pritchett will still wreak havoc with opponents, and keep an eye on redshirt freshman Luke Frampton who is back healthy after missing last season with a ruptured ACL.
  4. St. Joseph’s – The Hawks finished .500 last season despite not having their two best players, Charlie Brown and Lamarr Kimble, for the majority of the season due to injuries. Both are back and, if they can stay healthy, there is no reason the Hawks won’t contend for the conference title.
  5. Dayton – Even though the top scorer is gone from a team that finished 14-17, the Flyers should be improved with their other four starters returning and Ryan Mikesell, who started two years ago, back from injury. Keep an eye on Josh Cunningham to light up the scoreboard this season for head coach Anthony Grant.
  6. St. Bonaventure – The Bonnies got hot at the right time last season and found a way to not only make the Big Dance but also knock off UCLA in the First Four. That team was led by Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, both of whom are gone now.  However, a very strong recruiting class should have Mark Schmidt’s team contending for the league crown again soon – though probably not this season.
  7. VCU – The Rams struggled (by VCU standards) under Mike Rhoades last season and may do so again with Marcus Evans still trying to recover from a torn Achilles. It is hard to count this program out, however, so don’t be surprised if they finish even higher than this.
  8. Duquesne – The Dukes were vastly improved under new head coach Keith Dambrot last season, finding a way to move from perennial doormats to 16-16 overall and 7-11 in A-10 play. This season will be almost like starting over, however, as five transfers and a seven-man recruiting class join a handful of returnees.  Once the team chemistry develops, there is no reason why Duquesne will not be tough to beat again.
  9. Massachusetts – The Minutemen understandably took a lot of lumps last season, but head coach Matt McCall seems to be the right man to rebuild this program and the fruits of his efforts may begin to show as early as this season. Keep an eye on junior guard Luwane Pipkins, who averaged over 21 points per game last season.
  10. Rhode Island – Expect this team to take a big step back with four starters and head coach Dan Hurley all gone. David Cox takes over the helm, and does have point guard Jeff Dowtin back, but a return to the top of the league standings may be a few years away.
  11. Richmond – The Spiders had five players average in double figures last season yet finished the season 12-20 overall. Three of those five (Jacob Gilyard, Nick Sherod and Grant Golden) do return, but this team needs to find a way to get a lot better defensively, and on the boards, if they want to improve.
  12. La Salle – The Explorers welcome a new head coach in former Villanova assistant Ashley Howard. It may take a few years for Howard to build something here, but Pookie Powell should score a ton of points and cause opponents plenty of headaches this season.
  13. George Washington – It could be another tough season for the Colonials after their top two players, Yuta Watanabe and Jair Bolden, left the program. The team will have to rely on transfers, such as former Illinois top recruit DJ Williams, if they want to have any chance for success.
  14. Fordham – Jeff Neubauer was supposed to be just the right man to figure out how to build Fordham into a competitive contender. Entering his fourth season, he has not done so yet, and the Rams appear to once again be in rebuild mode with a roster full of freshmen and sophomores.  It remains to be seen just how much more time Neubauer has left to get things turned around here.
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Conference Preview: American

Posted on October 21, 2018 by Chad

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

There may not have been a conference in the nation that was more struck by injuries last season than the American.  UCF was devastated by losses of the likes of Aubrey Dawkins and Tacko Fall, while SMU (Shake Milton) and UConn (Alterique Gilbert) were among others that had their season hopes dashed by doctors’ reports.  Of course, not every team’s problem was injuries – just ask Cincinnati, who apparently forgot how to play defense midway through the second half of their NCAA Tournament loss to Nevada.

This season, the American has a large number of teams that appear to be good enough to contend for tournament bids, led by Cincinnati, UCF and Houston.  Expect UConn to make big upwards strides with Danny Hurley taking over at head coach, and it will be tough to count out SMU, Wichita State or Temple, all of whom have excellent coaching as well.  Memphis should be fascinating to watch as Penny Hardaway gets his first-ever college head coaching job.  All in all, there should be a ton of competitive teams in this league, and if they don’t end up just beating each other up too much, it would not be a shock to see four or more NCAA bids come March.

Predicted Order of Finish

  1. Cincinnati – The Bearcats need to put what happened against Nevada last March in the rear-view mirror and find a way to gel without Jacob Evans, Gary Clark and Kyle Washington around anymore. That may not be too difficult for Mick Cronin, especially with Jarron Cumberland poised for a breakout season in the backcourt and some good size down low with the likes of Nysier Brooks and redshirt freshman Mamoudou Diarra.  Getting solid scoring from the likes of Cane Broome and Juco transfer Rashawn Fredericks could be the key to the team’s success.
  2. UCF – The Knights were snake-bitten by injuries last season and need to keep their players on the floor if they want to succeed this year. If they can do that, between the experience gained last season by backups thrown into starting roles, and the returns of stars Aubrey Dawkins, B.J. Taylor and Tacko Fall, this team has enough talent to win the league and even challenge for a protected (top 4) seed in March.  If they stay healthy, that is.
  3. Houston – It will be tough for Kelvin Sampson to make up for the loss of Rob Gray’s 19.3 points per game and Devin Davis’ rebounding skills. Corey Davis, Jr. should score a ton of points for the Cougars, and Fabian White Jr. has a chance to be a force down low, but the rest of the frontcourt is full of question marks and depth could be an issue.
  4. Connecticut – Dan Hurley takes over as head coach and he may not have as big of a rebuild project as some people fear. Despite finishing 14-18 last season, the Huskies return potential conference player of the year Jalen Adams and will hopefully finally have Alterique Gilbert healthy.  There is enough talent here that, if Hurley can pull the team together, it would not be a shock at all to see UConn in the Big Dance in his very first season.
  5. SMU – Much like UCF, the Mustangs were hit hard last season with injuries and will need to find a way to stay healthy this season, especially given that they are still limited to only 11 scholarship players due to NCAA penalties. The key will be the return of Jarrey Foster and how much offense he can add to complement his superb defensive skills and help make up for the loss Shake Milton.  Also keep an eye on Duquesne transfer Isiaha Mike who averaged over 11 points per game as a freshman at his former school.
  6. Temple – Do not be surprised if the Owls find a way to challenge for a Dance Ticket to give Fran Dunphy one last hurrah on his way to retirement at the end of the season. Guards Quinton Rose and Shizz Alston Jr. will lead the way, but there are a lot of holes in the front court with forward Obi Enechionyia now gone.
  7. Tulane – Picking the Green Wave this high may surprise some, but Mike Dunleavy is finally starting to make some noise in New Orleans. The team lost both Melvin Frazier and Cameron Reynolds to the pro ranks but does have three other starters and a lot of depth returning.  Tulane is still a few years away from contending for a tourney bid, but things are definitely looking up.
  8. Wichita State – The Shockers have made 7 straight NCAA Tournament appearances and it is hard to bet against Gregg Marshall. However, the only significant contributor back from last season’s team is Markis McDuffie, making this a rebuilding year in Wichita.
  9. Memphis – Of all programs in the American, the Tigers may be one of the most intriguing to follow this season. Penny Hardaway takes over as head coach after never coaching above the prep level.  If he proves that his coaching skills on the court are as good as his recruiting so far has been, the Tigers could be on their way to the top of the AAC in just a few years.  As for this season, a nice handful of heralded freshmen are joining 2017-18 HoopsHD American Conference Player of the Year Jeremiah Martin (almost 19 points per game last season) and Kyvon Davenport (just over 13 points per game).  Expect the Tigers to struggle early as they attempt to put the pieces together and Hardaway learns the ropes, but this could be a very dangerous team by February and March.
  10. Tulsa – The Golden Hurricane were a big surprise last season, putting together a 12-6 conference record and 4th place finish. With Junior Etou and Corey Henderson gone now, it is difficult to see them finishing anywhere close to that mark, even with one of the conference’s top point guards in Sterling Taplin.
  11. East Carolina – Joe Dooley’s return to the helm, after a great run over the past five years at Florida Gulf Coast, bodes well for the future of East Carolina basketball. Unfortunately, this team lost two of its best players from a team that took an ‘L’ 20 times last season, and making any serious progress will take a few years, even with AAC Rookie of the Year Shawn Williams on the court.
  12. South Florida – If you are going to be on a team that has the sort of season we expect the Bulls to have, at least you can take solace in the fact that you are spending the winter in Tampa. David Collins averaged 10 points per game last season and will likely be the team’s top scorer.
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Conference Preview: WAC

Posted on October 20, 2018 by Chad

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

The Grand Canyon Antelopes finally became eligible for the NCAA Tournament last season after what seemed an impossibly long transitional period up from Division II.  The Lopes made a run to the WAC title game but fell there to New Mexico State.  This season, the Lopes will look to take that final step as NMSU enters a bit of a rebuilding phase (though the Aggies should still be good enough to contend for the conference title).  This season also marks the start of another long four-year transitional period for a program that could make some noise in this conference once they become postseason eligible.  The Cal Baptist Lancers, who have been a force at the D2 level for the past five years, begin their NCAA-imposed time in Purgatory.  The four-year wait is still both too long and too unfair.  #LancerWaiver anyone?

Predicted Order of Finish

  1. Grand Canyon – Despite losing three starters who each averaged 9 or more points per game, including star Joshua Braun, the Lopes should be just fine this season thanks in part to their sophomore standout Alessandro Lever, who led the team in scoring last season. Also keep an eye on the Finke brothers – incoming four-star recruit Tim and older brother/Illinois graduate transfer Michael.
  2. New Mexico State – Chris Jans did a great job guiding the Aggies to the NCAA Tournament in his first year at the helm in Las Cruces. With only one starter returning from that team, New Mexico State is likely to take a step or two back this season.  Utah transfer JoJo Zamora should help pick up some of the lost scoring load, as will former sixth man Eli Chuha.
  3. Seattle – Jim Hayford’s first season as head coach was a successful one as the Redhawks won 20 games. Only one starter returns, but that player is leading scorer Matej Kavas (15.2 points per game).  The team also gets former Patriot League Freshman of the Year Delante Jones (American) eligible this season.  One other thing to watch in Seattle is the home court.  With Key Arena starting to undergo renovations, all home games will be played in the on-campus 999 seat Redhawk Center.
  4. Utah Valley – All five starters for the Wolverines averaged in double figures last season as the team won 23 games and finished second in the conference standings. Three of those five are gone and the team will need to blend several transfers in if they want to try to match that level of success.  There are only two seniors on the roster, and three more transfers sitting out this season, so the WAC better watch out for the team from Orem next season!
  5. Cal State-Bakersfield – Three years ago, the Roadrunners made their first-ever NCAA Tournament appearance. Two years ago, the team made a run all the way to Madison Square Garden and the semifinals of the postseason NIT.  Last year . . . they only won 12 games overall.  Bakersfield does return a pair of double-digit scorers in Rickey Holden and Damiyne Durham so an improvement is likely this season, even if a return to the postseason is not.
  6. Cal Baptist* – The Lancers begin their four-year transition to Division I this season and should be competitive right from the start as the program has been to five consecutive D2 tournaments. Jordan Heading is the leading returning scorer at 14.3 points per game.  However, watching the sidelines and stands may be interesting as well this season as Washington State transfer Milan Acquaah (ineligible to play this season) may be visited by his best friend – Los Angeles Laker Lonzo Ball.
  7. Texas-Rio Grande Valley – The Vaqueros finished 15-18 last season, though they did play postseason basketball in the CBI (don’t get us started on whether or not sub-.500 teams should be invited to postseason events!). Leading scorer Nick Dixon (20.3 points per game) is gone and no other player on the roster averaged double figures last season.  In other words, don’t expect much from UTRGV this season.
  8. UMKC – The Roos only won 10 games last season. Even worse, one of their 22 losses was to William Jewell – a Division II school that even the most die-hard college basketball fans may have never heard of…by 12 points…at home!  The good news is that the team is still young, with only one senior of note on the roster.  The bad news is that, if they do not start turning things around, head coach Kareem Richardson may not still be here this time next year.
  9. Chicago State – The Cougars will (once again) attempt to start over as they welcome in Lance Irvin, who spent the last six years as an assistant coach for high school basketball in Chicago (though he did spend over 20 years as a D1 assistant before that). The team only returns one starter, but a clean slate may be exactly what is needed after the Cougars only managed a single Division I win last season.

*Cal Baptist is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament due to being in the first of a four-year transitional period to Division I.

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Season preview: HoopsHD interviews Utah G Parker Van Dyke

Posted on October 20, 2018 by Jon Teitel

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

We continue our season preview coverage with Utah G Parker Van Dyke. In an era of scandalous recruiting stories involving cars/money/etc., Parker is a breath of fresh air. Coach Larry Krystkowiak just happened to find the right kid in the right place at the right time, as Parker grew up in Salt Lake City and was a 1st-team all-state selection who always wanted to play for the Utes. He began his college career in the fall of 2013, but due to following up that season with a 2-year LDS Church mission in Alabama he still has 1 more year of eligibility left. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel got to chat with Parker about making the NIT title game last March and being a senior leader. We also wish him a belated happy birthday earlier this week!

You grew up in Salt Lake City: what made you choose Utah? I was born/raised here and grew up as a big Utah fan. When they started recruiting me it just felt like the right decision and I have had a great experience here.

You served a 2-year LDS Church mission in Birmingham, AL: what was the best part of the experience? I served all over the state and it was a great experience. The best part was the people I met: the South is very different from Utah so I enjoyed partaking in a different environment. I created some great relationships that I will have for the rest of my life and it taught me to be a better student/player.

You play for Coach Larry Krystkowiak: what makes him such a good coach, and what is the most important thing that you have learned from him? Coach K is extremely passionate about what he does: he loves the game and all of his players. He coaches us both on the floor and in life: to be better players as well as better men. He knows the game but takes it upon himself to be a mentor. We talk about how there are no little things in life and that you should represent something bigger than yourself in who you are and how you do things. He has taught me a lot.

You played in 23 games as a freshman: how were you able to come in and contribute right from the start? Thinking back to that year, we had a great coaching staff who prepared me to play at that level. We balance player development with team development. It was Delon Wright’s junior year and going up against him in practice made me better.

In the 2018 NIT title game you had 2 AST in a loss to Penn State: what did you learn from that game that will help you this year? Just being able to play in a survive-and-advance atmosphere, which will prepare us for the Pac-12 tourney…and hopefully the NCAA tourney. When you have little time to prepare and are at a road/neutral site it is not easy to win but we can build off of that.

The Pac-12 had 3 teams make the NCAA tourney last year (none of whom made it to the 2nd round) and had 3 players taken in the 1st round of the NBA draft (Deandre Ayton/Troy Brown Jr./Aaron Holiday): if the conference has so much talent then why are there not more teams in the tourney? That is a great question that has been on my mind the past couple of years. We have finished top-4 in the conference the past 2 years but have not been able to get a bid. The Pac-12 is viewed as a lesser Power-5 conference even though a team like ASU had a great non-conference schedule last year (including wins over Kansas/Kansas State/Xavier). We have set ourselves up this year with some tough games so if we can win a couple of those then it will make us look pretty good. I think that our conference can compete with anyone in the nation so hopefully that changes.

Your non-conference schedule includes games against Minnesota/Kentucky/Nevada: which of these games do you feel will present your biggest test? Nevada is a great team with a lot of experience but playing against Coach John Calipari at Rupp Arena is a once in a lifetime experience for a person like me. They have talent and I am excited for the atmosphere: it will be a test but also fun.

You are 1 of 3 seniors on the roster: how much pressure is there on you to be a leader this year? I am definitely expected to be a big-time leader because I have been around the block a few times. I have been working on communication so that guys know they can come to me if they have any confusion. They can lean on me and ask me questions because I have been here before and I know what they are going through. We are expected to lead both on and off the floor by executing and living the right way.

You turned 24 earlier this week: what were your plans for the big day? That is old for a college basketball player! It will probably be a normal day of lifting/practicing but the good part of being a local kid is that I have so much family/friends around.

What are your goals for the upcoming season, and what are your expectations for the upcoming season? We want to make the NCAA tourney: when you grow up watching March Madness you envision yourself being a part of the experience someday so that is the ultimate goal for our team. Individually, I do not want to have any regrets. As a leader of this team I want to lead to the best of my ability: defending, helping my teammates be better, etc.

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The Hoops HD Report: Big East Conference Preview

Posted on October 20, 2018 by David Griggs

CLICK HERE for all of Hoops HD’s Preseason Coverage

The Big East has produced two of the last three national champions in Villanova, routinely sends more than half of its teams to the NCAA Tournament, and is coming off a year where they produced two #1 seeds.  While we think Nova is still the best team in the conference, we don’t think they’re quite as good as they were a year ago, and while the league as a whole is still really good, we don’t see them getting six or seven teams in this year.  But…they might.  This is a conference where the teams always seem to finish higher than where they were projected in the preseason.  In addition to Villanova we also really like Marquette.  After that we discuss the other eight teams, but there isn’t a whole lot of consensus other than that we feel that DePaul will once again be the worst team.

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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