Hoops HD Merit Rankings and Bracket Projections (from the Puppet) – Friday, Nov 22nd

CLICK HERE for today’s HOOPS HD DAILY RUNDOWN

-So, before we go any further, I want to make sure everyone knows what they are looking at. This IS NOT a ranking of how good I think the teams actually are. Not even close. Full disclosure, I still feel Houston is the best team in the country, and they aren’t even on the list.

This is merely an attempt to assess how hard it was for teams to win the games that they’ve won so far and ranking them based on that. Nothing more. You’ll notice that there are highly ranked teams that aren’t even on the list. That is because up until now, the only games they’ve won have been home buy games, and those should not even really count.

The NCAA Tournament will not look like this in March, nor will any of the metrics. If the March metrics look like this, then there is something horribly wrong with those metrics. This is a CHECKPOINT of CURRENT MERIT. It is not a ranking of how good the teams actually are.

RANKINGS AND BRACKET REFLECT ALL GAMES PLAYED BEFORE FRIDAY, NOV 22ND

  1. AUBURN – win @ Houston
  2. GONZAGA – home win vs Baylor, win @ San Diego State
  3. MARQUETTE – wins @ Maryland and home vs Purdue
  4. BAYLOR – neutral wins vs Arkansas and Saint John’s
  5. Kentucky – neutral win vs Duke
  6. Kansas – wins vs North Carolina and Michigan State
  7. OHIO STATE – neutral win vs Texas, road loss @ Texas A&M
  8. Purdue – home win vs Alabama
  9. Wisconsin – home win vs Arizona
  10. MEMPHIS – win @ UNLV, win @ San Francisco
  11. NEW MEXICO – win @ UCLA, loss @ Saint John’s
  12. Arizona State – neutral wins vs Grant Canyon and Santa Clara
  13. Tennessee – win @ Louisville, neutral win vs Virginia
  14. Alabama – neutral win vs Illinois, home win vs McNeese
  15. DRAKE – neutral win vs Miami FL
  16. UC IRVINE – road wins @ LMU and Northern Iowa
  17. Ucf – home win vs Texas A&M
  18. LIBERTY – 4 wins away from home, including @ Charleston and vs FAU
  19. Florida Atlantic – losses @ UCF and Charleston, wins vs Liberty and Oklahoma State
  20. UC Davis – losses @ Washington and Stanford, wins @ Idaho and Grand Canyon
  21. Saint John’s – home win vs New Mexico
  22. Texas A&M – home win vs Ohio State
  23. WAKE FOREST – win vs Michigan
  24. LOYOLA CHICAGO– won @ Princeton
  25. Wichita State – win @ Western Kentucky
  26. Lsu – win @ Kanwas State
  27. Florida – win @ Florida State
  28. Oregon – won @ Oregon State
  29. Vanderbilt – neutral win vs Nevada
  30. WRIGHT STATE – wins @ Miami OH, neutral win vs Princeton
  31. NORTHERN COLORADO – neutral win vs South Dakota State, win @ Cal Baptist
  32. FURMAN – win @ Belmont
  33. COLUMBIA – 3 true road wins, including @ Villanova
  34. HOFSTRA – neutral win vs Seton Hall, win @ UMass
  35. CENTRAL MICHIGAN – wins @ South Alabama and @ George Mason
  36. Louisiana Tech – wins @UT Arlington and @ UMass
  37. Iowa – neutral win vs Washington State
  38. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE – neutral win vs McNeese
  39. Saint Bonaventure – 2 road wins at Canisius and FGCU
  40. BRYANT – 2 true road wins
  41. Virginia – win vs Villanova
  42. Notre Dame – won @ Georgetown
  43. Vermont – won @ UAB
  44. Saint Mary’s – neutral win vs Nebraska
  45. La Salle – won @ Drexel
  46. Dayton – home win vs Northwestern
  47. North Texas – won @ Minnesota, lost @ McNeese
  48. Davidson – won @ Bowling Green
  49. Georgia – win @ Georgia Tech
  50. NORTH FLORIDA – 2 road buy game wins
  51. Belmont – wins @ Lipscomb and @ Air Force
  52. Murray State – win @ Middle Tennessee
  53. Middle Tennessee – win @ Abilene Christian, neutral win vs Ohio U
  54. Jacksonville State – win @ Coastal Carolina, neutral win vs East Carolina
  55. San Francisco – home win vs Boise State
  56. Ole Miss – neutral win vs Colorado State
  57. Boise State – home win vs Clemson
  58. Xavier – home win vs Wake Forest
  59. UNC ASHEVILLE – win @ North Florida
  60. Nevada – home wins vs Washington and Santa Clara
  61. Michigan – home win vs TCU
  62. High Point – home win vs UAB
  63. Austin Peay – won @ Butler, lost @ Morehead State
  64. LITTLE ROCK – 2-2, wins @ Tulsa and @ UTSA
  65. Toledo – wins @ Marshall, @ Detroit, neutral vs Stetson
  66. RIDER – 3 true road wins
  67. BUCKNELL – 2 road wins
  68. Eastern Kentucky – 2 road wins
  69. Penn State – win @ Virginia Tech
  70. Jacksonville – won @ Virginia Tech
  71. Charleston – win @ The Citadel, home win vs FAU
  72. Santa Clara – neutral win vs Saint Louis
  73. Vcu – neutral win vs Boston College
  74. Northeastern – loss to Princeton, win @Boston U and neutral vs Central Conn
  75. CENTRAL CONNECTICUT – win @ Saint Joe’s, two bad losses
  76. UC Santa Barbara – road wins @ Portland and San Jose State, home loss v UTEP
  77. Cal State Northridge – road wins vs LeMoyne and Sac State, home loss v Saint Bona
  78. NORFOLK STATE – home win vs James Madison, win @ Hampton
  79. Illinois State – win @ North Dakota State
  80. Siue – wins @ Indiana State, @ Western Michigan
  81. Mississippi State – neutral win vs Utah
  82. Holy Cross – neutral wins vs Sacred Heart and New Hampshire, win @ Brown
  83. GEORGIA SOUTHERN – win @ Winthrop
  84. GRAND CANYON – home win vs Western Kentucky
  85. North Alabama – won @ Air Force
  86. Cincinnati – win @ Northern Kentucky
  87. Portland State – win @ San Diego
  88. Marist – win @ Richmond
  89. Siena – win @ Bryant
  90. Kent State – win @ Louisiana
  91. Rice – won @ Louisiana
  92. Radford – win @ Evansville
  93. Troy – wins @ New Orleans and @ West Georgia
  94. Northern Arizona – win @ Pacific
  95. Longwood – win @ Binghamton
  96. UTRGV – neutral wins vs Charleston Southern and Tennessee Tech
  97. BETHUNE COOKMAN
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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Friday, Nov 22nd

NEWS AND NOTES:

-There is A LOT to recap and a lot to preview!!

-To keep up with all of the In-Season Tournaments – CLICK HERE

-Baylor hit a last second 3 in double OT to knock off Saint John’s 99-98 in a highly entertaining, well played, back and forth game. It’s Baylor’s biggest win of the season so far, and while it was a missed opportunity for the Johnnies, I’d say their team is still in a very good spot.

-In one of the more surprising results of the day (at least to me) Drake knocked off Miami Fl 80-69 in the Charleston Classic, and at no point did it really ever feel that Drake was not in control. I didn’t think Drake would have much at all this year after the roster overhaul from a year ago, and I thought Miami FL would end up being a solid top 25 team. This is why I don’t bet on sports.

-Memphis, who I have been beating up on for a while for underperforming, is NOT underperforming this year!! They got a very nice win against a good San Francisco team on the road yesterday 68-64, and had to come back after a sluggish first half to do it. The Tigers are for real! They’re not in the top 25 yet, but they definitely should be.

-In that same Charleston Classic, Florida Atlantic got a nice win against Oklahoma State. FAU had played well this year, but had come up just short of picking up some really nice wins, so it would really help them if they can do well in this event.

-Also in the Charleston Classic, Seton Hall was in another rock fight where neither team could score, but they held off VCU 69-66 in overtime to advance to the winner’s side of the event. VCU won’t have quite as many opportunities as signature wins for the rest of the year, so picking up some wins in this event, even if it’s on the losers side of the bracket, is important.

-Syracuse, who had not looked good at all against bad opponents, nearly upset Texas yesterday, but came up just short 70-66. Texas moves on to the winning side of the Legends Classic, but my takeaway from this one is that Syracuse may be better than we thought whereas Texas may not be as good.

-Saint Joseph’s, who we liked coming into the year, then wrote off after a really bad early season loss to Central Connecticut, is now a team we are starting to like again! They picked up a really nice 78-77 win against Texas Tech in the Legends Classic yesterday to improve to 4-1 and will face Texas tonight.

-Princeton, a team that I was very big on coming into the season, struggled early on against weaker opponents, and was blown into the sun yesterday by Wright State 80-62. Princeton will likely get better as the season progresses, but they aren’t there yet.

-Vanderbilt picked up a very nice 73-71 win against Nevada in the Charleston Classic. They weren’t a team we had a close eye on coming into the year, but it’s looking like they may be able to make some noise in the SEC this year.

-Oregon went on the road to beat rival Oregon State 78-75. Both teams came in unbeaten, but both were also untested, so it was a notable win for the Ducks both on and off paper.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-DRAKE VS FLORIDA ATLANTIC (Charleston Classic). Both teams are coming off of really nice wins, both really needed those, and both could really use this win today. FAU has looked good this season and just missed putting some really nice wins on their resume in the previous week, but they got a nice one yesterday against Oklahoma State. Drake remains unbeaten after getting a nice win against Miami FL yesterday. Both appear to be good teams, but both also have limited chances at notable wins, which is what makes the games in this event so important.

-MIAMI FL VS OKLAHOMA STATE (Charleston Classic). Both teams lost yesterday, but at the end of the day this still goes on the team sheet just the same as any other neutral floor game would. Both teams still have potential this year, and this could end up being a win that looks reasonably good on either team’s resume come March.

-PITTSBURGH VS LSU (Greenbrier Tip-Off). Both teams are unbeaten, and both have semi-notable wins on the season already, but this is the first time either has been tested away from home, so we should learn something about both of them.

-ILLINOIS STATE VS MCNEESE (Paradise Jam). If McNeese is going to build up their resume at all, they need to do well in this event. It’s pretty much as simple as that.

-WISCONSIN VS UCF (Greenbrier Tip-Off). Wisconsin has a really nice win against Arizona on the year, but they followed that up with a near upset loss to UTRGV, and this is their first really big test away from home. UCF has already made some noise with wins over FAU and Texas A&M, but like Wisky this is their first really big test away from home.

-SETON HALL VS VANDERBILT (Charleston Classic). Every Seton Hall game seems to turn into a rock fight, but after a sluggish start they had a really nice win against VCU yesterday and have another shot against an unbeaten Vandy team today who comes in after a close win against Nevada.

-SAINT JOHN’S VS VIRGINIA (Bahamas Championship). It’s a third place game, but like we always say it’s the same as any other neutral floor game. Saint John’s lost to Baylor in a double overtime thriller and has the chance to bounce back against a Virginia team that was beaten handily by Tennessee, but who should still end up having a good year.

-SYRACUSE VS TEXAS TECH (Legends Classic). After not looking good at all for most of the season, Cuse nearly upset Texas yesterday, which was easily their best and most inspiring performance of the season despite the loss. They get Texas Tech today, who’s coming off a loss to Saint Joseph’s and who also needs a quality win.

-VCU VS NEVADA (Charleston Classic). Both teams have a bit of a sense of urgency coming into this one. Both are coming off losses, and both need to pick up notable wins in this event. While they’ll get some other opportunities throughout the year, they won’t get quite as many as the teams in the P4 leagues will.

-HOFSTRA AT HOUSTON. This is a buy game, and it is admittedly probably a huge mismatch, but it is still worth highlighting simply because Hofstra has shown out a little bit this season. It will be interesting to see how competitive they can be tonight.

-NEBRASKA AT CREIGHTON. Nebraska has looked okay this season, but doesn’t have a win anywhere near the caliber that this one would be if they could somehow pull it off. The Huskers played really well against Saint Mary’s in their last game despite the loss. This is also Creighton’s first non-buy game of the year, so while I think the Bluejays will win, I wouldn’t pencil it in just yet.

-UTAH STATE VS IOWA STATE (Hall of Fame Classic). Both teams come in unbeaten, and both have expectations of being good this year, but this is also the first real test for both of them.

-GEORGE WASHINGTON VS KANSAS STATE (Paradise Jam). GW is 4-0, but has not been tested at all. K State is 3-1, but has only been tested once and lost that game. This event is a chance to add some decent wins onto their resumes because right now all they’ve won is buy games.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT SMU. This is a really interesting match-up between two teams that didn’t get a lot of love in the preseason, but who I think have potential. This would be a really nice road win for a Mississippi State team that just beat Utah their last time out, and it would be SMU’s first real win of note.

-TEXAS VS SAINT JOSEPH’S (Legends Classic). Saint Joe’s was a team that I liked coming into the year, and I know a lot of people (including me) kind of wrote them off after they lost to Central Connecticut. While that loss does make you hold your nose, It’s their only loss of the year, and they just beat a pretty good Texas Tech team yesterday. If they can somehow beat Texas tonight, who got here after having to really sweat out Syracuse, we have to once again start paying a lot of attention to Saint Joe’s.

-BAYLOR VS TENNESSEE (Bahamas Championship). Baylor won a double OT thriller yesterday against Saint John’s, and gets a shot at Tennessee who has blown through their schedule. This is probably the toughest test of the year so far for the Vols, but they’ve had no problems with anyone they’ve faced so far, so it will be interesting to see how they do tonight. In short, it’s a chance for both teams to pick up what will almost assuredly be a high caliber win for their tournament resumes.

-DUKE AT ARIZONA. Both teams have already faced big tests with Arizona going to Wisconsin and Duke facing Kentucky. While both teams are very good, and both will almost assuredly end the season very high in the metrics, neither has a really big win of note yet, so that’s what’s at stake tonight.

-SAINT LOUIS VS WICHITA STATE (Hall of Fame Classic). Saint Louis was a team we had high expectations for this year, but they’re off to a bit of a slow start. This would be a really nice win for them if they can knock off Wichita State, who comes in without a loss, but who’s also looking to pick up a win of note for their resume.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT HAWAII. Hawaii is unbeaten, but they haven’t faced a test like this yet, so even though they’re at home they are probably way overmatched.

BUY GAMES (and other games of note):

-UIC vs La Salle (Boardwalk Battle) – it’s still a chance for La Salle to pick up some wins away from home
-Longwood vs UAB (Paradise Jam) – Longwood is unbeaten, but this is their first real test. UAB has been a bit of a disappointment so far.
-Middle Tennessee vs South Florida (Myrtle Beach Invitaitonal) – both teams had nice wins yesterday and are off to pretty decent starts this season
-James Madison vs UC San Diego (Boardwalk Battle) – both teams won their games yesterday
-Bradley vs Wright State (Myrtle Beach Invitational) – Wright State pulverized Princeton yesterday, and Bradley has made some noise early, so it’s a good match-up and opportunity for both
-Temple vs Florida State (Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off) – both teams have just one loss, but neither has what appears to be a quality win yet
-Jacksonville State vs Toledo (Boardwalk Battle) – both teams come in 4-1
-Louisiana vs Liberty (Paradise Jam) – Liberty has looked really good early on and has a chance to build up their resume in this event
-Utah Tech @ Utah
-Campbell @ Ohio State
-Jackson State @ Kentucky
-Southern Illinios @ Florida
-William & Mary @ NC State
-VMI @ Davidson – Davidson is unbeaten
-Merrimack @ Butler
-Winthrop @ Louisville
-Texas State vs Princeton (Myrtle Beach Invitational) – both are UTR teams that have shown promise, but both are coming off losses and Princeton has been a little disappointing so far
-New Orleans @ Tulane – Tulane can get to 5-1
-Elon @ Notre Dame – ND can stay unbeaten
-Pacific @ Missouri
-Utah Valley @ Murray State – Murray State can get to 4-1
-Rice @ Houston Christian – Rice can get to 5-1 and pick up their 2nd road win
-Pepperdine @ Northwestern
-Little Rock @ Arkansas
-Norfolk State @ Grand Canyon – two good UTR teams, and it’s a game GCU cannot afford to lose
-UC Riverside @ Colorado State
-UC Irive @ Weber State – we really like this UC Irvine team, and they can pick up their 3rd true road win tonight
-Alcorn State @ Washington
-Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | 1 Comment

Under the Radar Game of the Day – Friday, November 22nd

Illinois State (3-1, 2-1 D1) vs. McNeese (2-2, 1-2 D1) – 3:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

There are a lot of exempt games to choose from today, but the UTR Game of the Day goes to the US Virgin Islands for the opening round of the Paradise Jam that features the Illinois State Redbirds and the McNeese Cowboys. McNeese has been a slight disappointment coming out of the gate – they missed chances at solid wins against South Dakota State (albeit on a neutral floor in name only) and Alabama. Nonetheless, they are a potential favorite to win the Paradise Jam. Former Providence guard Alyn Breed leads the Cowboys with 17.5 points a game through their first four games.

Illinois State’s season got off to a bad start with a 2-point loss at home against UT-Martin, but the Redbirds have rebounded with 3 straight wins, notably a 9-point win at North Dakota State and a double-digit win against preseason MAC favorite Ohio. Dalton Banks led the Redbirds with 23 points in their win against OU.

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Hoops HD Daily Rundown – Thursday, Nov 21st

NEWS AND NOTES:

CLICK HERE for our latest UNDER THE RADAR Video Podcast

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-The In-Season Tournaments get rolling today!!!

-Alabama basically kept Illinois at arms length for the entire game. It never really felt like the Tide were not in control and they cruised to a 100-87 win that perhaps wasn’t even as close as the score indicated.

-Grand Canyon continues to struggle out of the gate as they fell at home to UC Davis 75-68. The loss to Arizona State was a missed opportunity, but the loss to UC Davis is a big setback. We had thought this was a top 40 team, and they still may end up being that, but they haven’t shown it so far, and they don’t get many strikes if they want to end up inside the bubble. I know they are still down a key player, and that UC Davis isn’t bad, but this is the kind of game you would expect a solid NCAA Tournament team to be able to win at home.

-Arizona State BARELY escaped Cal Poly last night 93-89. They’re 5-1 on the year with the only loss being a very close game against Gonzaga, but they dodged a bullet last night.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MIAMI FL VS DRAKE (Charleston Classic). Both teams are unbeaten and Miami has blown through their buy games. I wouldn’t call this a huge test, but Drake probably is better than the teams the Canes have been blowing out. I still think Miami can have a big year and make the NCAA Tournament. This event is a chance for them to get some notable wins away from home that aren’t just home buy games.

-OKLAHOMA STATE VS FLORIDA ATLANTIC (Charleston Classic). FAU doesn’t have any notable wins yet other than perhaps Liberty, but I do really like how they’ve played. They hung in with both UCF and Charleston and nearly beat both of them. This event is a chance for them to pick up some notable wins that will look good on their tournament resume. Oklahoma State is 3-0, but they’ve only played in home buy games and they didn’t exactly blow out their opponents, so this will be their toughest test of the year so far.

-SETON HALL VS VCU (Charleston Classic). Seton Hall has been underwhelming so far. While VCU hasn’t lost, they haven’t been tested yet like they will in this event. This is a chance for them to pick up some notable neutral floor wins.

-BAYLOR VS SAINT JOHN’S (Bahamas Championship). The Johnnies come into this one 4-0 and just had a really nice win against New Mexico, but this is their first game away from home and it comes against a Baylor team that is super talented and already has a nice win against Arkansas. In short, this is a resume building opportunity for both teams.

-SYRACUSE VS TEXAS (Legends Classic). I’m not sure what’s so legendary about this match-up. Syracuse is unbeaten, but they barely won each of their three buy games. Today, they’re not playing a buy game. They’re playing Texas, who to be fair has no wins yet that weren’t home buy games, and for that matter has no wins against a team that has a D1 win yet, but still at least looks the part. Both these teams could use this to make their resume not look like doodoo.

-VANDERBILT VS NEVADA (Charleston Classic). Both teams are unbeaten, and each has what is at least a semi-notable win so far, but this is the first time either team will have played away from home yet, so we should learn a little more about them tonight.

-TEXAS TECH VS SAINT JOSEPH’S (Legends Classic). This is the first test for Texas Tech, and while many people wrote Saint Joe’s off after their loss to Central Connecticut, I still think Joe’s could have a good year this year. They’ve beaten rivals Villanova and Penn in their last two games, and have a chance to pick up a quality win tonight as well as take a step into the national spotlight.

-VIRGINIA VS TENNESSEE (Bahamas Championship). Tennessee has just looked awesome. They haven’t beaten any really good teams, but they’ve absolutely dump-trucked a few decent ones. Virginia comes in 3-0, and they did beat Villanova, but Tennessee is on a whole other level compared to anyone they’ve played so far.

-EASTERN WASHINGTON AT WASHINGTON STATE. On paper, Wazzu can get to a respectable 5-1 with a win, but what makes this game so interesting is how many players and coaches for Wazzu were a part of Eastern Washington’s program a year ago.

-MEMPHIS AT SAN FRANCISCO. I’ve been very critical of Memphis for the past…ohhh…six years or so, but they may actually be starting to win me over. They come in unbeaten and have a nice win at UNLV. This is probably their toughest test of the season so far. San Francisco is 4-0 and the Sobrato Center is not an easy place to play. The Dons already have a win against a good (we think) Boise State team, and if Memphis can get this one on the road, they’ll REALLY have my attention!

-OREGON AT OREGON STATE. It’s a rivalry game between two unbeaten teams!! Whether or not either team is any good still remains to be seen. Oregon did beat Troy pretty badly their last time out, and while that was a buy game, Troy is a pretty good UTR team. This is the first road game for the Ducks and probably their biggest test. Oregon State really hasn’t been tested either as they’ve just blown through four buy games.

BUY GAMES (and other somewhat notable games):

-Ohio U vs Middle Tennessee (Myrtle Beach Invitaitonal) – MTSU is 3-1 and a good showing in this event will put some sparkle on their resume
-LaSalle vs UC San Diego (Boardwalk Battle) – La Salle can get to 5-0 and pick up their 2nd win away from home
-East Carolina vs Jacksonville State (Boardwalk Battle) – ECU is unbeaten but doesn’t yet have a win away from home
-UNC Greensboro @ Indiana
-Radford @ Clemson
-ETAMU @ Oklahoma
-Princeton vs Wright State (Myrtle Beach Invitaitonal) – Princeton hasn’t looked all that strong so far this season, but they could still have a big year and this event is an opportunity for them
-Oral Roberts @ Ole Miss – Ole Miss can get to 5-0
-Tarleton State @ Michigan
-Grambling @ New Mexico

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, November 21st

Princeton (4-1) vs. Wright State (3-2, 1-2 D1) – 8:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes place in the Myrtle Beach Invitational – an opening round game between the Princeton Tigers and the Wright State Raiders. Princeton is no stranger to close games this year – despite a home loss to Loyola-Chicago last week, the Tigers do have road wins against Northeastern and Merrimack to soften the blow a bit. The three-headed monster of Dalen Davis, Xaivian Lee and Caden Pierce lead the way for Princeton.

Wright State is going through a bit of a transition under new head coach Clint Sargent, but he was the associate head coach under Scott Nagy the past few seasons. The Raiders have played on the road for all three of their D1 games; they have losses to Kentucky and Toledo but did beat the Miami Redhawks last week. Brandon Neal is averaging over 21 points a game for Wright State.

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Under the Radar – Nov 20th

We have a jam packed and somewhat extended addition of Under the Radar as we are about to head into several in-season tournaments. Rocco Miller is actually joining us from Daytona Beach as he is on location at the Boardwalk Battle that begins tomorrow. Our feature conference is the Ivy League, and the story of the season so far is Columbia, who is off to a 6-0 start. Princeton is also a team to keep an eye on in that league.

After that we go through the other 22 UTR conferences and discuss how UTRGV nearly pulled off a big upset at Wisconsin and is worth keeping an eye on for the rest of the year, how some multiple ASun teams have won road buy games, the overall strength of the Big West, and more! And, as we do every week, we close with this week’s UTR Top Ten.

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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