The Hoops HD Report: January 8th

The panel begins this week by looking at just how good the Big Twelve is.  it appears as though there are five different teams who could all end up as protected seeds.  We look at the big match-up over the weekend between Oklahoma and West Virginia and discuss whether one or both of them could end up as a #1 seed.  In looking at the SEC we discuss how there are as many as ten teams who have looked like they could be NCAA Tournament teams up to this point.  We also look at the Big East and the big game coming up between Xavier and Villanova.  Colorado had a big week this past week, but will it be enough to land them on the committee’s radar?  Saint Bonaventure suffered back to back losses after a very strong star to the season, and it may be hard for them to recover because of how few top 100 teams they have remaining on their schedule.  All that, and much more!

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

Posted in Hoops HD Report, Podcasts, Videocasts | 1 Comment

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Florida A&M at Coppin State

Florida A&M at Coppin State, 7:30 PM Eastern, coppinstatesports.com

For my Bracket Projection through yesterday’s games, CLICK HERE.

On a day when most of the college sports world will be focused on football, we here at HoopsHD are focusing on the battle for another title — our annual Centenary Award.  This is the Award given by the HoopsHD staff every year to the team that finishes, in our opinions, 351st out of the 351 Division I teams.  Entering tonight’s game, Coppin State is one of only two winless teams in D1 and therefore among the early favorites to claim this title for 2017-18.  The Eagles are 0-17 including four losses against teams ranked outside the top 250 in RPI.  However, playing at home tonight against the team currently ranked 333 in RPI, they have a chance to pick up that first win.

Florida A&M enters tonight’s game at 2-16 overall, but only 1-16 against D1 foes.  Their sole win against Division I came last time out when they knocked off Howard at home 84-76.  A loss by FAMU tonight could vault them back down into contention for the Centenary despite the two victories, while a win may all but secure that they will not take the very non-prestigious title this season.  In other words, with all eyes on football tonight, there is very little to watch in college hoops, and following the battle for who will be the worst may just be one of the few games worth tuning in to.

Posted in Under the Radar | Tagged , , | Comments Off on Under the Radar Game of the Day: Florida A&M at Coppin State

Chad’s Bracket Projection: January 9, 2018

Below is my first Bracket of the season, as of the completion of all games of January 8, 2018.  I also have a few notes and the HoopsHD staff may comment below it:

  1. The new #1 overall is… West Virginia.  With Villanova, Oklahoma and Michigan State among teams with recent losses, Coach Huggins team is looking better and better.
  2. Also cracking the #1 line, much to my initial surprise, is the Virginia Cavaliers.  The Hoos only have one loss on the season . . . and that loss was to my #1 overall team on the road!
  3. Yes, that is Auburn sitting there on the 4 line as a Protected Seed.  The Tigers are 14-1, with four wins away from home that count as top or second tier wins under the new team sheets.  That is as impressive as anyone else below them in my opinion.
  4. I do have two SEC teams playing each other in a First Four game (Mississippi State and Georgia).  Given that I have three SEC teams in the First Four, that became unavoidable, and I at least created a matchup of two teams that only play once during the regular season.  Which leads me to . . .
  5. My last team in.  You saw it here.  Yes, I am serious.  LSU.  In the field as of today.  Again, yes, I am serious.
  6. With those three First Four teams, there are 10 SEC teams in this field and one more (Alabama) among my top 8 out.  I don’t expect 10 or even 9 to hold, but 8 is very realistic right now.
  7. Top four teams out: Maryland, Utah, Minnesota, Boise State.  Next four out: Providence, UCF, Alabama, Oklahoma State

COMMENTS FROM HOOPS HD STAFF:

COMMENTS FROM JOHN:

– Duke is an interesting team to place. Their 3 best wins are away from home – namely Michigan State, Florida and Texas. While not necessarily true road wins, we have a harder time trying to seed them when they’re losing games at Boston College and NC State. The new tier system wouldn’t punish these losses as severely as we would have done in the past.

– Oklahoma v. Purdue is also a fun debate for the #1 seed. The Boilers have the edge as far as better wins, but the Sooners’ losses haven’t been as bad as what Purdue had back in Atlantis. The current ratings favor Oklahoma, but the predictive ratings favor Purdue since they’ll more likely than not dominate a conference that is a mess outside of them and Michigan State.

– I am with Chad on the Auburn protected seed bandwagon, but not TCU. Auburn has won 12 games in a row that include Middle Tennessee on a neutral court, Tennessee on the road and Arkansas at home over the weekend. Look for Auburn to hit the polls for the first time since about 2001 later today.

– TCU I would have just outside of a protected seed right now. They have 4 decent wins (SMU, St. Bonaventure and Nevada on neutral floors and at Baylor), but none of those wins are against a sure-fire first ballot team at the moment. They are 0-2 against protected seed caliber teams (Oklahoma and Kansas) right now, and those games were played at home.

– Contrast that to a team like Clemson who really is playing like a Top-4 seed right now. Like Duke, they have a win on a neutral court against Florida. Unlike Duke, they actually won at Boston College. Oh, and they also won decisively at Ohio State back in November. Their only toe stub was against Temple during exempt tournament season (as was Auburn).

– I think Chad is secretly hoping that I’ll crucify the LSU pick, but I would take more exception to his Mississippi State pick right now. While both teams did pile up on the pastry cart with a number of OOC wins, LSU at least has mixed in wins against Michigan (in Maui) along with the dagger at Texas A&M over the weekend. As for the Bulldogs? They failed their lone OOC test at Cincinnati and just lost to in-state rival Ole Miss over the weekend. GET THEM OUT (as Chad likes to say). Personally, I’d favor a team like Boise State over a team like Mississippi State, but the Broncos better not have too many toe stubs like they had over the weekend.

– I would also be curious to see if New Mexico State was above the First Four on Chad’s seed list, or were they just bumped up because of bracketing rules that Chad follows to the letter (unlike the Puppet)?

CHAD’S RESPONSE

– Clemson vs TCU is an interesting debate for that protected seed spot.  I went with TCU because there is zero shame whatsoever in their two losses and they have three wins away from home against teams in the at-large discussion (St Bonaventure, Nevada, Baylor).  Clemson only has two such wins (Ohio State and Florida) while their loss is to a team not under consideration (Temple).

– I wanted to put Boise State in this field.  I just ran out of room for them.  I understand that John thinks Mississippi State should be the team left out; however, Mississippi State at least has the win over Arkansas.  Boise has zero wins against teams in or even close to being in this field and two losses (Iowa State and Wyoming) to teams not even Under Consideration.  I just don’t see the resume from Boise at this time.

– Finally, yes, I had New Mexico State ranked right where they are seeded, just barely inside the First Four.  They had better not lose again if they want an at-large bid though.  Better yet, they better just make sure they win the WAC Tournament.  The only minor seed line swap I made was within the First Four, as Baylor should have been one of the 11 seed teams and Georgia a 12, but bracketing rules only gave me one spot on the 11 line for an SEC team (due to Florida, Tennessee and Kentucky all being 6 seeds), and that spot was invalid for Baylor (due to Texas Tech being a 3 seed in that region).  The easiest thing to do was place the SEC vs SEC First Four game in the Midwest and drop Baylor into the 12 seed game against LSU.

COMMENTS FROM DAVID

-When Chad said that he wanted to do this week’s bracket, I knew that he’s screw it up.  And low and behold, he screwed it up!!

-Actually, there isn’t a whole lot on there I take issue with.  I do like Florida State more than Chad, but the consensus is with Chad.  This Florida State team has just three losses, and some pretty good wins in their pocket including at Florida.  Their losses were all close calls against the likes of Duke and Miami FL away from home.  When two of a team’s three losses were close games in true road games to ranked teams, then it’s a sign they are pretty good.  Chances are that FSU will have the wins they need by the end of the year to warrant a better seed.

-Now, with LSU in and Boise State out he’s lost his mind.  He needs his house checked for lead!  LSU!!??  I mean, I know they beat Houston and needed a miracle to beat a slumping Texas A&M team that’s a bunch of its roster, but WOW!!!  I count just one win against a likely tournament team that was at full strength.

-I’m really not all that big on SMU either.

Posted in News and Notes | 1 Comment

Bracketology 2018: March Madness Predictions (Version 2)

We are only 9 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we begin to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked every single 1 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, 63 of which were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 43 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 11th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 4th out of 113 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Villanova (Big East)
1: Michigan State (Big 10)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: West Virginia (Big 12)

2: Xavier (Big East)
2: Purdue (Big 10)
2: Arizona State (Pac-12)
2: Oklahoma (Big 12)

3: Virginia (ACC)
3: Kansas (Big 12)
3: North Carolina (ACC)
3: Texas Tech (Big 12)

4: Arizona (Pac-12)
4: Wichita State (AAC)
4: TCU (Big 12)
4: Seton Hall (Big East)

5: Clemson (ACC)
5: Texas A&M (SEC)
5: Kentucky (SEC)
5: Arkansas (SEC)

6: Gonzaga (WCC)
6: Cincinnati (AAC)
6: Florida State (ACC)
6: Tennessee (SEC)

7: Miami FL (ACC)
7: Auburn (SEC)
7: Creighton (Big East)
7: Butler (Big East)

8: Florida (SEC)
8: Notre Dame (ACC)
8: Nevada (MWC)
8: Michigan (Big 10)

9: Missouri (SEC)
9: Rhode Island (A-10)
9: SMU (AAC)
9: Texas (Big 12)

10: St. Mary’s (WCC)
10: Alabama (SEC)
10: Minnesota (Big 10)
10: Syracuse (ACC)

11: UCLA (Pac-12)
11: St. Bonaventure (A-10)
11: Louisville (ACC)
11: Ohio State (Big 10)
11: Maryland (Big 10)
11: Boise State (MWC)

12: Middle Tennessee (CUSA)
12: New Mexico State (WAC)
12: Missouri State (MVC)
12: Vermont (America East)

13: Belmont (OVC)
13: East Tennessee State (SoCon)
13: South Dakota (Summit)
13: Buffalo (MAC)

14: Charleston (CAA)
14: Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt)
14: Lipscomb (Atlantic Sun)
14: Northern Kentucky (Horizon)

15: UC Santa Barbara (Big West)
15: Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
15: Montana (Big Sky)
15: Bucknell (Patriot)

16: Iona (MAAC)
16: Radford (Big South)
16: Penn (Ivy)
16: Robert Morris (NEC)
16: Texas Southern (SWAC)
16: North Carolina A&T (MEAC)

Posted in Bracketology | Comments Off on Bracketology 2018: March Madness Predictions (Version 2)

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 7th

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day between College of Charleston and Towson – CLICK HERE

-Yesterday was another crazy busy Saturday in college hoops!

-NC State pulled off a big home upset against Duke, which was great for the fans, their resume, and their momentum.  It was NC State’s first ACC win and it came at a time that they desperately needed it.  As for Duke, it was their second true road loss to a team that isn’t just unranked, but looks to be more of an NIT team than an NCAA team.  This does not bode well for the top line.  Their only true road win came at Indiana, who is hardly an NCAA caliber team, and they had to sweat that one out.  They’ve got a really good team and have had some huge wins on neutral floors, but their lack of production in true road games is worth pointing out.

-Xavier was another top five team that lost on the road to an unranked opponent yesterday.  Providence sprinted out to an early lead and managed to hold it for the entire game in what was a huge win for them. For Xavier, it was a missed opportunity to vault themselves into the #1 line. They can still do so when they go to Villanova Wednesday night.

-St. John’s is starting to resemble more of the team that struggled mightily in the Big East two seasons ago. They were clobbered at home against DePaul and have shown very little life since conference play started.

-Seton Hall picked up the best win of the short Big East season with a comeback win at Butler yesterday. The Pirates are looking more and more like a protected-seed caliber team, but they are now in a BRUTAL stretch where 8 of their next 13 games will be played away from home.

-Oklahoma played well at West Virignia, but not well enough to get the win.  The Mountaineers have not lost since their opening game against Texas A&M and have beaten some really good teams along the way.

-Virginia wasn’t sweating much in their game against North Carolina.  By no means did they blow out the Tar Heels, but it wasn’t exactly down to the wire either.

-Kansas, who oddly enough has struggled in home and quasi-home games, won a huge one at TCU last night.  They led for most of the way, but TCU was certainly making it exciting down the stretch.

-Texas A&M lost their third straight game at home to LSU, and they did so in the most spectacular fashion possible.  They blew a five point lead in the final seconds as LSU, in Reggie Miller vs the Knicks style, hit a three, stole the ball, and hit another three.

-Colorado had quite a week as they knocked off Arizona yesterday.  It was the Wildcats’ first loss since the Battle 4 Atlantis.  Granted, the wins came at home for the Buffs and they’ll need to win some games on the road, but it was a HUGE turnaround for Colorado.

-Tennessee held of Kentucky at home for the second straight year and gave the Wildcats their first conference loss.  The Vols have the second-toughest schedule in the country to date, but it was nice to finally get a W to add to their profile. Still, the loss isn’t all that damaging for Kentucky, and I still think their team is continuing to improve so it isn’t all that discouraging either.

-Auburn continues to impress.  They blew open a huge lead against Arkansas and won that game comfortably.  There is a bigger buzz around Auburn basketball than there has been in almost fifteen years.

-Florida got a really big road win against Missouri in a game that was decided in the final seconds.  It was a game the Tigers really could have used, and lost in heartbreaking fashion.

-Georgia won the appetizer in the Georgia-Alabama weekend that will be highlighted by the National Championship game for football tomorrow night. Alabama may have a resemblance to the Vandy team that had a killer schedule last season, but they’re going to need to start racking up Ws in a conference that will be unforgiving this winter.

-Notre Dame got a big road win that also came in the final seconds as they knocked off Syracuse at the Dome.  The Irish have actually done a great job of rallying the troops since Bonzie Colson went down with an injury.

-UMass, who is nowhere close to an NCAA Tournament team, has to be the most volatile team in the country. This is a team that has lost at Quinnipiac and at home to George Mason and Georgia State, yet has wins against Georgia and Providence at home and won at Dayton yesterday.

-Boise State missed a lot of key (and to be fair contested) layups in the final seconds of regulation and in overtime and failed to pick up what would have been a nice road win against Wyoming.  It doesn’t sink them by any means, but the chances at decent wins are few and far between, so what was already a rather small margin for error for the Broncos certainly didn’t get any larger.

-BYU fell at Pacific.  Their margin for error may have just gone away entirely. Saint Mary’s won at home against a scrappy San Diego team that is trying to crash the Big 3 of the WCC.

-UNLV lost at home to Utah State.  That is a rather crippling loss for a much improved Runnin’ Rebel team, but also a team that needs to improve a little bit more before they’re a solid and consistent tournament caliber team.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-TEMPLE AT UCF (American).  Temple is off to an 0-3 start in league play, and they’ll need to put together a long string of wins just to get anywhere close to the bubble.  UCF, at 11-4, still has quite a bit of work to do themselves.

-SOUTH FLORIDA AT WICHITA STATE (American).  Wichita is clearly the superior team and should have no trouble rolling at home in this one.

-LOYOLA CHICAGO AT NORTHERN IOWA (Missouri Valley).  After both teams put together some fantastic wins OOC, they have both been atrocious in league play.  Both are pretty much out of strikes outside of winning out, and neither of them have looked anything close to capable of doing that in the past couple of weeks.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  This is probably the biggest game of the day as an improving Ohio State team with a growing amount of buzz around it hosts the top team in the nation.  If Ohio State can pull off the upset, it certainly helps their tournament chances even though they are at home.

-FLORIDA STATE AT MIAMI FL (ACC).  Simply put, this is a conference rivalry game between two ranked teams who are in good shape, but who still both have room for improvement, and a win today would certainly look good on either team’s resume.

-SMU AT CINCINNATI (American).  We thought there were three solid NCAA teams in the American, and that SMU was one of them, but that’s looking to be less and less the case.  SMU needs a big win in a game like this in order to get them back on the right side of the bubble.

-ARIZONA STATE AT UTAH (Pac Twelve).  Both teams are coming off close losses in tough games and are looking to rebound.  Arizona State’s loss at Colorado was certainly the more surprising of the two.  They appear to be a solid protected seed, and Utah is still looking for wins to solidify themselves as an NCAA Tournament team.

-IOWA AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Maryland is right on the fringe and needs to hold serve in games like this, which amount to home games against non-tournament teams.

-USC AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Stanford is coming off a big home win against UCLA and will be on an emotional high.  USC really needs to put together a long string of wins if they want to consider themselves to be safely inside the bubble.

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 7th

Under the Radar Game of the Day: College of Charleston at Towson

College of Charleston at Towson, 2:00 PM Eastern, caa.tv

The Under the Radar Game of the Day turns this afternoon to the second matchup of the season between two of the conference’s top teams as College of Charleston heads up I-95 to take on Towson.  Head coach Earl Grant’s visiting Cougars enter today’s game at 11-4 overall and 2-1 in conference play.  Despite this only being the fourth CAA game of the year, it is already their second game against Towson, a team they beat back on December 30 by a score of 73-62.  Joe Chealey and Jarrell Brantley both scored over 20 points in that win.  The Cougars did not fare as well their last time out, however, suffering an upset loss at Drexel in overtime.  They need to bounce back today and get the season sweep of Towson if they want to establish themselves as one of the top Under the Radar programs in the nation.

Pat Skerry’s Towson Tigers are also in need of a huge win today.  They enter play at 11-5 overall but only 1-2 in CAA action.  After starting the season 10-1, the Tigers lost four straight, including games at Charleston and at Elon.  The good news is that those may be their toughest road games of the conference season, and they did bounce back last time out with a home win over UNC-Wilmington.  Six players scored in double figures in the Wilmington win, including a double-double off the bench for Justin Gorham.  If Towson can get another balanced attack today, they can place themselves right back in the thick of the race in the Colonial.

Posted in Under the Radar | Tagged , , | 1 Comment