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In last night’s opening round games, there were 2 very good matchups in Dayton. The first one involved a back-and-forth game between North Carolina Central and UC-Davis in which the Aggies won 67-63 to earn a trip to play Tulsa in the 1st round on Friday. The game of the night was USC’s comeback over Providence – the Trojans erased a 17-point deficit and avenged their loss last season to the Friars. Amazingly, this was USC’s 12th comeback this year of at least 10 points in a game!
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TODAY’S FIRST ROUND GAMES
-#12 PRINCETON VS #5 NOTRE DAME (12:15 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Princeton was a bit underwhelming during the OOC portion of the season, at least when compared to what some of us were expecting, but they definitely got it done in Ivy League play by running the table and winning the tournament. Notre Dame has certainly been battle tested, and they’ve certainly passed the tests. If they don’t overlook Princeton then they should be able to pick up the win.
-#12 UNC WILMINGTON VS #5 VIRGINIA (12:40 PM, Orlando, FL – TruTV). UNC Wilmington is a very good team. There are a lot of teams on the #4, #5, and #6 lines that I would expect them to be able to beat. It wouldn’t shock me at all if they won this game, but having said that Virginia is potentially a bad match-up for them, especially when you consider how strong the Hoos defense is. I like this Wilmington team, and because of that I wish they’d been given a different match-up.
-#13 WINTHROP VS #4 BUTLER (1:30 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TNT). The top of Butler’s profile is amazing, but as high as their ceiling is they didn’t always play up to it. Winthrop isn’t as good as Butler, but they are good enough to beat Butler if the Bulldogs overlook them. They do have a really nice win at Illinois under their belt, and were impressive (pretty much) all throughout conference play.
-#16 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE VS #1 GONZAGA (2:00 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). The Zags pretty much blew through the season as well as their conference tournament, and have all the signs of being able to go deep into the NCAA Tournament. South Dakota State struggled for much of the year and ended up finishing fourth in their conference, but won two close games in the semifinals against rival South Dakota and in the championship against Omaha to make it to The Dance.
-#13 BUCKNELL VS #4 WEST VIRGINIA (2:45 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Bucknell was very impressive throughout conference play and was clearly the dominant team in the Patriot League. The problem is that they aren’t playing Patriot teams anymore. West Virginia had some huge wins this season, but there were times where they showed that they could be beaten. I don’t expect them to struggle today, but stranger things have happened.
-#13 EAST TENNESSEE STATE VS #4 FLORIDA (3:10 PM, Orlando, FL – TruTV). East Tennessee State came out on top of what was a very competitive SoCon this year and could squeeze Florida a little bit, but even when they’re not at full strength the Gators have looked very impressive.
-#12 MIDDLE TENNESSEE VS #5 MINNESOTA (4:00 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TNT). This is a popular upset pick and it makes sense as to why. Minnesota lost a contributing player late in the year and Middle Tennessee blew through their season which included blowout wins against Vanderbilt and Ole Miss. I for one feel that Middle Tennessee is underseeded. If I’m right then they have the chance to prove it today.
-#9 VANDERBILT VS #8 NORTHWESTERN (4:30 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Northwestern is in their first ever NCAA Tournament and they’re coming off a pretty decent showing (minus their last game) in the Big Ten Tournament. Had Vandy played the first half of their season as well as they played the second half of their season, there is no way they’d be on the #9 line. In fact they’d probably be flirting with a protected seed. They did beat Florida (who is a protected seed) three times in the latter part of the season and nearly beat Kentucky on the road. So watch out for this Vandy team!
-#11 XAVIER VS #6 MARYLAND (6:50 PM, Orlando, FL – TNT). Xavier was rather pitiful for the last several weeks of the season, but they were rather impressive in the Big East Tournament. They reached the semis and had a chance to tie the game at the buzzer against Creighton. Maryland has been pretty consistent all year and won a fair number of close games. It’s hard to know what to expect in this one.
-#16 MOUNT SAINT MARY’S VS #1 VILLANOVA (7:10 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Villanova is the overall #1 seed and it was well earned. Mount Saint Mary’s is coming off a First Four win against New Orleans, which followed a first place finish and tournament championship in NEC play. They’re swinging way over their heads today, though.
-#10 VCU VS #7 SAINT MARY’S (7:20 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Both of these teams pretty much beat the teams they were supposed to beat (NIT or worse), but at the same time had a limited number of wins against solid tournament teams. In fact outside of both of them beating Dayton, there isn’t much else there. One of them will end up winning a big game today, though.
-#13 VERMONT VS #4 PURDUE (7:27 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TruTV). I really like this Vermont team. They blew through the America East by pretty much running away in the league standings and then winning the tournament championship. They’re not as good as Purdue, but they’re definitely good enough to compete with Purdue and even beat them if the Boilermakers overlook them.
-#14 FLORIDA GULF COAST VS #3 FLORIDA STATE (9:20 PM, Orlando, FL – TNT). FGCU had a great year in the A-Sun and it’s exciting to get an NCAA Tournament game in their home state against a power program from their home state. Having said that, I know they’ve excited us in the past but I don’t think they have much of a chance today. This is a very good and talented Florida State team with a very strong post play that FGCU probably won’t be able to match up against.
-#9 VIRGINIA TECH VS #8 WISCONSIN (9:40 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Throughout most of Big Ten play I always had the feeling that this Wisconsin team wasn’t hitting their ceiling, and I went from thinking that they were equivalent to to the #8 team overall, to now thinking they legitimately belong on the #8 seed line. They did look good in the Big Ten Tournament, so they do come into this with some momentum. Buzz Williams has turned Virginia Tech around rather quickly, and a tournament win for them today would be huge.
-#15 NORTH DAKOTA VS #2 ARIZONA (9:50 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Arizona looked amazing in the Pac-12 Tournament and looks as good as some of the #1 seeds. North Dakota had a fantastic year in the Big Sky, which was probably their best season ever since moving up to D-1, but they are way overmatched in this game.
-#12 NEVADA VS #5 IOWA STATE (9:57 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TruTV). Nevada has really good power rankings, and although the Mountain West was not on par with the other multi-bid leagues this year, it was still a step above pretty much all of the rest of the UTR leagues and they won some pretty impressive games this season. If they weren’t matched up against Iowa State, I’d like their chances of making the Round of 32 a lot more. This Iowa State team started off a little slow, but finished incredibly strong. They just got through winning the Big Twelve Tournament, and appear to be on pace to go deep into the NCAA Tournament.
Under The Radar Postseason News, Notes and Highlighted Games – Thursday, March 16
There were a couple of noteworthy items in the annual 2017 Coaching Carousel yesterday. Cuonzo Martin was announced as the new head coach at Missouri less than 24 hours after California’s season ended with a loss to Cal State-Bakersfield. Lorenzo Romar was dismissed as the head coach at Washington after an up-and-down career in Seattle. At the peak of his career, the Huskies won the Pac-12 in 2005 and were the #1 seed in the West. While recruiting resulted in some blue-chip recruits, the Huskies have trended downwards on the court in the last 6 seasons.
– In the NIT last night, 1 was a lucky number but 2 and 3 were not. Both Syracuse and Illinois State held serve at home and won their openers, but Georgia and Houston ended up losing to Belmont and Akron, respectively. The Akron-Houston game was actually played at Texas Southern’s on-campus arena since Hofheinz Pavilion was not available. BYU also ended up losing at home to Texas-Arlington thanks to a 28-point performance from Drew Charles. TCU and UCF also won their openers at home against Fresno State and Colorado, respectively.
– In the CBI, 5 out of the 7 home teams won their openers. The biggest margin of victory actually came with Utah Valley blasting Georgia Southern 74-49 on the road. The Loyola Greyhounds also made the short trip down I-95 to George Mason and also got a 15-point win on the road. Coastal Carolina, GW, Rice, Wyoming and UMKC all won at home.
– In the CIT, Fort Wayne defeated Ball State in the Lou Henson Classic last night. Rashawn Thomas led the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders over Georgia State 80-64 with a 31-point performance. Chad Sherwood had 17 points in Idaho’s 73-50 win over SFA at home (at Memorial Gym). UMBC also got in on the fun with an 88-83 win against Fairfield at home.
CBI
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO at STONY BROOK (8:00 PM). This is the last of the opening round CBI matchups involving an improving UIC team and a Stony Brook team that managed to get a postseason bid a year after making their first NCAA Tournament appearance.
CIT
SAINT PETER’S at ALBANY (7:00 PM, Facebook Live). Saint Peter’s is coming off of a 2nd place finish in the MAAC regular season behind the Monmouth Hawks. Albany came within a minute of spoiling Vermont’s NCAA Tournament hopes in the America East championship, but will get to host at least postseason game at home against the Peacocks tonight.
FURMAN at USC-UPSTATE (7:00 PM, Facebook Live). Furman was an unexpected contender in the SoCon this year, but they lost early in their conference tournament. USC-Upstate is also coming off of a quarterfinal loss in the Atlantic Sun tournament at home against Kennesaw State. Will both teams be rusty after a 2-week layoff, or will they be well rested?
UNC-ASHEVILLE at TENNESSEE-MARTIN (8:00 PM, Facebook Live). While UT-Martin has been much improved in the last 5 seasons, they have been unable to get over the hump in the Ohio Valley conference championship game. Their reward is a home game against a UNC-Asheville team that was upset in their Big South tournament opener against Campbell.
LAMAR at TEXAS STATE (8:30 PM, Facebook Live). While Lamar is more rested after an early exit in the Southland tournament, Texas State is coming off a loss in the Sun Belt championship game to Troy.
WEBER STATE at CAL STATE FULLERTON (10:00 PM, Facebook Live). The final trophy game of the CIT first round is the Riley Wallace Classic. While Weber State tailed off in February, Fullerton was improved in the Big West and ended up finishing 3rd in the standing behind UC-Davis and UC-Irvine.