Bracketology 2017: March Madness Predictions (Version 10.6)

We are only 1 day away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 65 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, each of which was within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 37 right on the money. He will send out a final update tomorrow predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and let us know if you agree or disagree in the comments section. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 3rd out of 88 entries over the past 3 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Villanova (Big East)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: North Carolina (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC): AUTO-BID

2: Kentucky (SEC)
2: Oregon (Pac-12)
2: Baylor (Big 12)
2: Louisville (ACC)

3: UCLA (Pac-12)
3: Arizona (Pac-12)
3: Florida State (ACC)
3: Duke (ACC)

4: Florida (SEC)
4: Butler (Big East)
4: Purdue (Big 10)
4: West Virginia (Big 12)

5: Virginia (ACC)
5: Notre Dame (ACC)
5: Cincinnati (AAC)
5: SMU (AAC)

6: Minnesota (Big 10)
6: Iowa State (Big 12)
6: Maryland (Big 10)
6: St. Mary’s (WCC)

7: Wisconsin (Big 10)
7: Creighton (Big East)
7: Dayton (A-10)
7: South Carolina (SEC)

8: Miami FL (ACC)
8: Oklahoma State (Big 12)
8: Virginia Tech (ACC)
8: Wichita State (MVC): AUTO-BID

9: Michigan (Big 10)
9: Arkansas (SEC)
9: VCU (A-10)
9: Northwestern (Big 10)

10: Seton Hall (Big East)
10: Michigan State (Big 10)
10: Marquette (Big East)
10: Xavier (Big East)

11: Providence (Big East)
11: Vanderbilt (SEC)
11: Wake Forest (ACC)
11: Middle Tennessee (CUSA)
11: USC (Pac-12)
11: Kansas State (Big 12)

12: Rhode Island (A-10)
12: Nevada (MWC)
12: UNC-Wilmington (CAA): AUTO-BID
12: Texas-Arlington (Sun Belt)

13: Vermont (America East)
13: Princeton (Ivy)
13: East Tennessee State (SoCon): AUTO-BID
13: Akron (MAC)

14: Bucknell (Patriot): AUTO-BID
14: Winthrop (Big South): AUTO-BID
14: Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun): AUTO-BID
14: Cal State Bakersfield (WAC)

15: Iona (MAAC): AUTO-BID
15: Northern Kentucky (Horizon): AUTO-BID
15: UC Irvine (Big West)
15: Texas Southern (SWAC): AUTO-BID

16: North Dakota (Big Sky)
16: South Dakota State (Summit): AUTO-BID
16: Jacksonville State (OVC): AUTO-BID
16: NC Central (MEAC)
16: New Orleans (Southland)
16: Mount St. Mary’s (NEC): AUTO-BID

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Championship Week Video Notebook: Day 12

WELCOME SELECTION COMMITTEE MEMBERS!!  It’s the day before Selection Sunday!!  We are here to tell you what to do so you don’t get it wrong!!  CLICK HERE to view our Survival Board

For John Stalica’s Hoops HD Committee Report – CLICK HERE

It was another very busy and exciting day as we saw two great games in the Big East, a quadruple overtime game in the WAC, a big win by Vanderbilt over Florida, a comeback win by Duke as they knocked off rival North Carolina, a big upset in the Atlantic Ten as Davidson knocked off Dayton, and much much more.  We review all of the action, as well as preview all of tomorrow’s games, which include 14 conference championships.

 

SATURDAY’S CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK ACTION

ACC
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
9:00 PM – (3) Notre Dame vs (5) Duke, ESPN

PAC-12
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
11:00 PM – (1) Oregon vs (2) Arizona, ESPN

BIG 12
Format: Standard
Location: Kansas City, MO
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
6:00 PM – (2) West Virginia vs (4) Iowa State, ESPN

BIG EAST
Format: Standard
Location: New York City
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
5:30 PM – (1) Villanova vs (6) Creighton, FOX

MID-AMERICAN
Format: Standard
Location: Campus sites (first round); Cleveland, OH (second round through championship)
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
7:30 PM – (1) Akron vs (6) Kent State, ESPN2

MOUNTAIN WEST
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
6:00 PM – (1) Nevada vs (2) Colorado State, CBS

CONFERENCE USA
Format: Standard
Location: Birmingham, AL
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
8:30 PM – (1) Middle Tennessee vs (6) Marshall, CBS Sports Network

AMERICA EAST
Format: Standard with Re-Seed for semifinals
Location: Campus site of higher seeded team
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
11:00 AM – (3) Albany at (1) Vermont, ESPN2

BIG WEST
Format: Standard with Re-seed for Semifinals
Location: Anaheim, CA
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
11:30 PM – (1) UC-Irvine vs (2) UC-Davis, ESPN2

WAC
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
11:00 PM – (1) Cal State-Bakersfield vs (2) New Mexico State, ESPNU

BIG SKY
Format: Standard
Location: Reno, NV
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
8:30 PM – (1) North Dakota vs (3) Weber State, ESPNU

SOUTHLAND
Format: Ladder (top two seeds bye into semifinals)
Location: Katy, TX
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
9:30 PM – (1) New Orleans vs (2) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, ESPN2

MEAC
Format: Standard
Location: Norfolk, VA
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
1:00 PM – (1) North Carolina Central vs (2) Norfolk State, ESPN2

SWAC
Format: Standard
Location: Campus Sites (Quarterfinals); Houston, TX (Semifinals and Championship)
Note: Alcorn State is ineligible for the automatic bid due to an APR postseason ban but will be allowed to participate in the SWAC tournament. If Alcorn State wins the tournament, the team they defeat in the championship game will receive the automatic bid.  Only the top 8 of the 10 SWAC teams qualify for the conference tournament.
Saturday, March 11 – Championship
6:15 PM – (1) Texas Southern vs (2) Alcorn State, ESPNU

BIG TEN
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Washington, DC
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
1:00 PM – (4) Minnesota vs (8) Michigan, CBS
3:30 PM – (2) Wisconsin vs (6) Northwestern, CBS

SEC
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Nashville, TN
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
1:00 PM – (1) Kentucky vs (5) Alabama, ESPN
3:30 PM – (3) Arkansas vs (7) Vanderbilt, ESPN

AMERICAN
Format: Standard
Location: Hartford, CT
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
3:00 PM – (1) SMU vs (4) UCF, ESPN2
5:30 PM – (2) Cincinnati vs (6) Connecticut, ESPN2

ATLANTIC TEN
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
1:00 PM – (4) Rhode Island vs (9) Davidson, CBS Sports Network
3:30 PM – (2) VCU vs (3) Richmond, CBS Sports Network

SUN BELT
Format: Standard
Location: New Orleans, LA
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
12:30 PM – (1) Texas-Arlington vs (4) Texas State, espn3
3:00 PM – (2) Georgia State vs (6) Troy, espn3

IVY LEAGUE
Format: Standard
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Note: Only the top 4 of the Ivy League’s 8 teams qualify for the conference tournament.
Saturday, March 11 – Semifinals
1:30 PM – (1) Princeton vs (4) Pennsylvania, ESPNU
4:00 PM- (2) Harvard vs (3) Yale, ESPNU

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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The Hoops HD Committee Report: Friday, March 10

For Jon Teitel’s recap of Day 2 of the Big Ten Tournament – CLICK HERE

For Jon Teitel’s latest Bracket Projection – CLICK HERE

For Warren Nolan’s RPI and Statistical Analysis – CLICK HERE

For Andy Bottoms’ award-winning Bracketology – CLICK HERE

For Galen Clavio – CLICK HERE for his Bracket Projection with CrimsonCast and CLICK HERE for his SportPolitik podcasts

For the latest Buffet from Scott Schwartz – CLICK HERE

Friday marked the 2nd night of the Hoops HD Selection Committee meetings – tonight was largely devoted to two major tasks: building the top 8 seed lines and also adding 4 more at-large teams to the field. 3 more spots opened up tonight thanks to results in the Big 10, Big 12 and Pac 12 conferences.

However, since those results came in later in the night, our first order of business was to discuss the teams that would be on the top seed lines. While the NCAA Selection Committee usually goes one seed line at a time (requiring votes to add 8 teams at a time and rank them 1 through 8), our committee went 2 seed lines at a time which required votes to add 12 teams and rank them 1 through 12. After the first 2 lines were seeded and ranked, there would be 4 carryover teams and individual members would then add 8 further teams to discuss and rank. We repeated the process 2 more times until we had the top 6 seed lines established.

It was at this point that we discussed which teams should be selected for the next 4 at-large spots that were guaranteed to open up. Those four teams were Vanderbilt, Wake Forest, Providence and VCU. Middle Tennessee was considered as an at-large, but they did not make it in during this round of balloting. If they beat Marshall tomorrow, it will be a moot point since they will be an automatic-bid winner. If they lose to Marshall, then they are still under consideration (for now) along with 11 other teams on the board. It is possible for 3 more spots to open up from the SEC, American and Atlantic 10 conferences. However, since Dayton lost today, we will have a contingency A-10 team (either Rhode Island or Davidson) on our Master Seed List tomorrow night along with teams from the Ivy and Sun Belt conferences that play their championships on Sunday. If Kentucky loses to Alabama and either SMU or Cincinnati lose tomorrow, we will also consider contingency teams like Alabama, UConn and Central Florida as well. If VCU loses tomorrow and both SMU and Cincy lose in the American, we will have bid thieves out of those 2 conferences.

Our last order of business tonight was building the 7th and 8th seed lines in the Master Seed List. You can see the complete board below:

Tomorrow night, we will add the remaining at-large sports that open up (if any), plan for any contingencies and seed the remaining teams into the Master Seed List. We will also do an initial scrub of the seed list based on results from tomorrow’s conference championship games.

Posted in News and Notes | 1 Comment

HoopsHD at the Big 10 Tourney: Photo essay (Day 2)

HoopsHD is always hovering around the edge of legitimacy (see Puppet, The), but thanks to the good folks at the Big 10 we are kicking it up a notch this week with a media credential to the Big 10 Tourney in DC. From his prime perch in the 2nd row Jon Teitel will be bringing you daily updates of all the action from the Verizon Center via a series of photo essays. Day 2 saw a quartet of games without any of the top-4 seeds, plus a scheduling conflict with the all-important Arizona-Colorado Pac-12 quarterfinal on TV, so the only report from Thursday is #7-seed Iowa vs. #10-seed Indiana.

Bad news: twice as many games today = twice as many reporters = I got pushed all the way down past the baseline:

Good news: MUCH better view of Molly McGrath:

The Hawkeyes were out in full force with their mascot/band:

With both teams squarely  on the bubble it certainly  had the  feel  of a play-in game, and the intensity both on the court and in the stands was noticeably greater than the previous day.  Iowa was able to keep it close for the 1st 20 minutes and only trailed by 3 at the half despite leading scorer Peter Jok not even scoring a single point for the 1st 15 minutes of the game.  FR PG Jordan Bohannon was the hero for Iowa with his 1st career double-double: 24 PTS, 10 AST, and 6-11 from behind the arc.  However, Indiana’s offense was outstanding in the 2nd half, scoring 52 PTS in the 2nd stanza en route to a 95-73 win that was not as close as the score indicated.  The Hoosiers shot  almost 68% from the field in the 2nd half and shot 60.3 FG% for the entire game, so even a double-double off the bench from Iowa FR PF Cordell Pemsl was not enough to stem the tide.

At the postgame press conference I asked Iowa coach (and Penn alum!) Fran McCaffery if he thought that Bohannon was going to end up rewriting the school record book after such a fantastic rookie season, and he said that his PG has already begun to do so:

When you see Coach standing in the hallway you can see that he is even taller in person:

I also asked Indiana coach Tom Crean about his feisty fist-pump with 5 minutes left as he watched his players diving for loose balls even while they had a 25-PT lead, and he said that toughness is a skill just like everything else a basketball player can do:

I did not stick around for Rutgers-Northwestern, which turned out to be a wise move as the Wildcats did their best  Indiana impression by winning a Big 10 game by 22. The highlight of the night was watching my own Wildcats beat Colorado, but the over-under on how late I can stay up to watch their Pac-12 semifinal contest with UCLA on Friday is midnight.  Check back tomorrow for my Day 3 photo essay about all 4 quarterfinal games!

Posted in CBB | 1 Comment

Bracketology 2017: March Madness Predictions (Version 10.5)

CLICK HERE for our most recent Championship Week Video Notebook

We are only 2 days away from Selection Sunday as we continue to make our NCAA tourney predictions. Last March HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 65 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, each of which was within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 37 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming days predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and let us know if you agree or disagree in the comments section. To see how we stack up with other websites (ranked 3rd out of 88 entries over the past 3 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Villanova (Big East)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: North Carolina (ACC)
1: Gonzaga (WCC): AUTO-BID

2: Kentucky (SEC)
2: Oregon (Pac-12)
2: Baylor (Big 12)
2: Louisville (ACC)

3: UCLA (Pac-12)
3: Arizona (Pac-12)
3: Florida State (ACC)
3: Florida (SEC)

4: Duke (ACC)
4: Butler (Big East)
4: Purdue (Big 10)
4: West Virginia (Big 12)

5: Virginia (ACC)
5: Cincinnati (AAC)
5: Notre Dame (ACC)
5: SMU (AAC)

6: Minnesota (Big 10)
6: Iowa State (Big 12)
6: St. Mary’s (WCC)
6: Maryland (Big 10)

7: Wisconsin (Big 10)
7: Creighton (Big East)
7: Dayton (A-10)
7: Miami FL (ACC)

8: Oklahoma State (Big 12)
8: South Carolina (SEC)
8: Virginia Tech (ACC)
8: Wichita State (MVC): AUTO-BID

9: Arkansas (SEC)
9: Michigan (Big 10)
9: VCU (A-10)
9: Northwestern (Big 10)

10: Marquette (Big East)
10: Seton Hall (Big East)
10: Michigan State (Big 10)
10: Providence (Big East)

11: Xavier (Big East)
11: Wake Forest (ACC)
11: USC (Pac-12)
11: Middle Tennessee (CUSA)
11: Vanderbilt (SEC)
11: Syracuse (ACC)

12: Rhode Island (A-10)
12: Nevada (MWC)
12: UNC-Wilmington (CAA): AUTO-BID
12: Texas-Arlington (Sun Belt)

13: Vermont (America East)
13: Princeton (Ivy)
13: East Tennessee State (SoCon): AUTO-BID
13: Akron (MAC)

14: Bucknell (Patriot): AUTO-BID
14: Winthrop (Big South): AUTO-BID
14: Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun): AUTO-BID
14: Cal State Bakersfield (WAC)

15: Iona (MAAC): AUTO-BID
15: Northern Kentucky (Horizon): AUTO-BID
15: Texas Southern (SWAC)
15: UC Irvine (Big West)

16: North Dakota (Big Sky)
16: Jacksonville State (OVC): AUTO-BID
16: South Dakota State (Summit): AUTO-BID
16: NC Central (MEAC)
16: New Orleans (Southland)
16: Mount St. Mary’s (NEC): AUTO-BID

Posted in Bracketology | Comments Off on Bracketology 2017: March Madness Predictions (Version 10.5)

Championship Week Video Notebook: Day 11

WELCOME SELECTION COMMITTEE MEMBERS!!  We have dissected all of today’s action for you, and have outlined what teams you need to be putting into the field!!  CLICK HERE to view our Survival Board

CLICK HERE for our Hoops HD Selection Committee Report

Thursday of Championship Week.  It’s the busiest day in all of March.   We review all of the action as 50 teams were eliminated from our Survival Board.  Highlights include Xavier’s big win against Butler which should put them safely inside the bubble, TCU’s surprising upset over Kansas, a huge quarterfinal day in the ACC, and much much much more.

 

FRIDAY’S CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK ACTION

ACC

Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
7:00 PM – (1) North Carolina vs (5) Duke, ESPN
9:30 PM – (2) Florida State vs (3) Notre Dame, ESPN

BIG 12
Format: Standard
Location: Kansas City, MO
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
7:00 PM – (4) Iowa State vs (8) TCU, ESPN2
9:30 PM – (2) West Virginia vs (6) Kansas State, ESPN2

BIG EAST
Format: Standard
Location: New York City
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
6:30 PM – (1) Villanova vs (5) Seton Hall, FS1
9:00 PM – (6) Creighton vs (7) Xavier, FS1

PAC-12
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
9:00 PM – (1) Oregon vs (5) California, Pac-12 Network
11:30 PM – (2) Arizona vs (3) UCLA, ESPN

MOUNTAIN WEST
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
10:00 PM – (1) Nevada vs (4) Fresno State, CBS Sports Network
12:30 AM – (2) Colorado State vs (6) San Diego State, CBS Sports Network

CONFERENCE USA
Format: Standard
Location: Birmingham, AL
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
12:30 PM – (1) Middle Tennessee vs (4) UTEP, CBS Sports Network
3:00 PM – (2) Louisiana Tech vs (6) Marshall, CBS Sports Network
Saturday, March 11 – Championship

MID-AMERICAN
Format: Standard
Location: Campus sites (first round); Cleveland, OH (second round through championship)
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
5:30 PM – (1) Akron vs (4) Ball State, CBS Sports Network
8:00 PM – (2) Ohio University vs (6) Kent State, CBS Sports Network

WAC
Format: Standard
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
9:00 PM – (1) Cal State-Bakersfield vs (4) Utah Valley, espn3
11:30 PM – (2) New Mexico State vs (3) UMKC, espn3

BIG SKY
Format: Standard
Location: Reno, NV
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
8:30 PM – (1) North Dakota vs (4) Idaho, watchbigsky.com
11:00 PM – (2) Eastern Washington vs (3) Weber State, watchbigsky.com

SOUTHLAND
Format: Ladder (top two seeds bye into semifinals)
Location: Katy, TX
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
6:00 PM – (1) New Orleans vs (5) Sam Houston State, espn3
8:30 PM – (2) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs (3) Stephen F. Austin, espn3

BIG WEST
Format: Standard with Re-seed for Semifinals
Location: Anaheim, CA
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
9:30 PM – (1) UC-Irvine vs (4) Long Beach State, espn3
12:00 AM – (2) UC-Davis vs (3) Cal State-Fullerton, ESPNU

MEAC
Format: Standard
Location: Norfolk, VA
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
6:00 PM – (1) North Carolina Central vs (5) Maryland-Eastern Shore, espn3
8:30 PM – (2) Norfolk State vs (11) Howard, espn3

SWAC
Format: Standard
Location: Campus Sites (Quarterfinals); Houston, TX (Semifinals and Championship)
Friday, March 10 – Semifinals
3:30 PM – (1) Texas Southern vs (5) Grambling State, TBA
9:30 PM – (2) Alcorn State vs (3) Southern, TBA
Saturday, March 11 – Championship

BIG TEN
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Washington, DC
Friday, March 10 – Quarterfinals
12:00 PM – (1) Purdue vs (8) Michigan, ESPN
2:30 PM – (4) Minnesota vs (5) Michigan State, ESPN
6:30 PM – (2) Wisconsin vs (10) Indiana, BTN
9:00 PM – (3) Maryland vs (6) Northwestern, BTN

SEC
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Nashville, TN
Friday, March 10 – Quarterfinals
1:00 PM – (1) Kentucky vs (8) Georgia, SEC Network
3:30 PM – (4) South Carolina vs (5) Alabama, SEC Network
7:00 PM – (2) Florida vs (7) Vanderbilt, SEC Network
9:30 PM – (3) Arkansas vs (6) Ole Miss, SEC Network

ATLANTIC TEN
Format: Ladder (top four seeds bye into quarterfinals)
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Friday, March 10 – Quarterfinals
12:00 PM – (1) Dayton vs (9) Davidson, NBC Sports Network
2:30 PM – (4) Rhode Island vs (5) St. Bonaventure, NBC Sports Network
6:30 PM – (2) VCU  vs (7) George Mason, NBC Sports Network
9:00 PM – (3) Richmond vs (6) George Washington, NBC Sports Network

AMERICAN
Format: Standard
Location: Hartford, CT
Friday, March 10 – Quarterfinals
12:00 PM – (1) SMU vs (9) East Carolina, ESPN2
2:30 PM – (4) UCF vs (5) Memphis, ESPN2
7:00 PM – (2) Cincinnati vs (7) Tulsa, ESPNU
9:30 PM – (3) Houston vs (6) Connecticut, ESPNU

SUN BELT
Format: Standard
Location: New Orleans, LA
Friday, March 10 – Quarterfinals
12:30 PM – (1) Texas-Arlington vs (8) Coastal Carolina, espn3
3:00 PM – (4) Texas State vs (12) Louisiana-Monroe, espn3
6:00 PM – (2) Georgia State vs (7) Louisiana-Lafayette, espn3
8:30 PM – (3) Georgia Southern vs (6) Troy, espn3

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

Posted in Bracketology, Championship Week Video Notebook, Commentary, Podcasts, Videocasts | 1 Comment