News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Feb 19th

SURVIVAL BOARD – CLICK HERE to see the entire board

-ORAL ROBERTS (Summit) – Will be eliminated if IUPUI beats Denver.

-Eastern Illinois and Central Connecticut State were mathematically eliminated from qualifying for their conference tournaments yesterday.  Austin Peay survived a shot at elimination, but will be at risk again on Thursday night.

 

NEWS AND NOTES

-For today’s Under the Radar Game of the Day between Bucknell and Boston U, CLICK HERE.

-Gonzaga remains unbeaten after rolling over Pacific, and well on pace to earn a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

-Kansas has had a great season, and today they picked up what is probably their greatest win of the year at Baylor.  It was a very exciting game that seesawed back and forth where Baylor had a chance to either win or tie in the final seconds, but came up short.  The loss isn’t that costly for the Bears, but I can see a team like North Carolina jumping over them and ending up on the #1 line.  Speaking of the Tarheels….

-North Carolina beat a very good Virginia team rather handily yesterday.  Virginia is just 2-5 in their last seven games but because of how strong their schedule is they’re still reasonably safe for a protected seed.  North Carolina looks to be playing their best basketball of the season and they’ve got a very good chance at ending up as a #1 seed.

-SMU picked up one of their more impressive wins of the season at Houston.  Houston’s not a tournament team, but they’re still tough to beat at home so the committee should give SMU quite a bit of credit for picking up the win.

-Marquette jumped out to a 21-2 lead against Xavier and never looked back.  This was a win that Marquette really needed seeing as how they were right on the bubble.

-Clemson lost another close game.  This time at Miami FL.  No one almost wins more often than Clemson!

-South Carolina couldn’t get it done at Vanderbilt, but they’re still in reasonably good shape for a bid.

-Kansas State got a big road win at Texas.  It’s not the beating Texas part that was big.  It was the road win that was big.  They only had one coming into yesterday and desperately needed another one.

-In one of the bigger surprises of the day Florida State couldn’t get it done against Pittsburgh, and although they weren’t blown out it didn’t exactly go down to the wire either.  Pitt won by a rather comfortable margin.

-UCLA absolutely crushed USC to win the bragging rights and keep themselves in good shape to earn a protected seed.

-Louisville survived a scare at home against Virginia Tech, as did Duke against Wake Forest, and Arizona survived a far more surprising scare against Washington, but both got the wins.  Oregon, West Virginia, Villanova, Kentucky, Florida, Cincinnati, and Notre Dame are all teams who are likely to finish in the top half of the bracket that picked up wins.

-Michigan State’s Eron Harris suffered what looked like a very bad knee injury and had to be removed from the game on a stretcher.  We wish nothing but the best to him for a quick recovery.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-MARYLAND AT WISCONSIN (Big Ten).  Both teams have identical conference records, but despite being at the top of the standings neither are currently being projected as protected seeds (at least not by us).  This is a chance for both of them to pick up one of their better wins of the season up to this point.

-DEPAUL AT BUTLER (Big East).  When a Big East team plays DePaul at home it is their most winnable home game.  Butler shouldn’t have too much trouble in this one.

-GEORGETOWN AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Georgetown can still play their way inside the bubble, but they’ll need a really strong finish in order to make that happen.  Creighton is safely in the field, but needs to pick up some big wins in order to strengthen their profile and show they can still win without Mo Watson.

-SYRACUSE AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC).  Syracuse is inside the bubble and will make the field if they hold serve the rest of the way.  Georgia Tech is on the outside looking in and hasn’t looked all that good in their recent games.  They’ll need a strong finish to give themselves a chance.

-MICHIGAN AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  Michigan has some nice wins, but one of the things they’re missing is road wins.  To get a road win of this caliber will go a long way toward punching their ticket.  Minnesota has been hot and cold this season, but they appear to be heading toward the top half of the bracket.

-UTAH AT OREGON STATE (Pac Twelve).  Utah has an outside shot at best.  They’ll probably need to win out or come close to it to land inside the bubble.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Bucknell at Boston University

Bucknell at Boston University, 12:00 PM Eastern, CBS Sports Network

A week and a half ago, the battle for the Patriot League championship appeared to be done and over.  Bucknell looked like they were going to run away with the conference title.  However, this is the Patriot League, a conference that has historically battled it out until the end of the regular season.  The Bucknell Bison have lost 2 of their last 3 games to fall to 20-8 overall and 12-3 in Patriot League play.  Their lead over Boston University (16-11 overall, 10-4 in conference) is down to a single game.  And these top two teams will be battling it out on “The Roof” in Boston this afternoon.  If the Terriers can pull out the home victory, the two teams will enter the final week of the conference regular season in a dead heat for first place and the quest for home court advantage throughout the Patriot League tournament.

Bucknell did pick up the win when these two teams met in Lewisburg, PA earlier this year by a 70-59 score.  Nana Foulland was the star of that game with 23 points for the Bison.  The Terriers were led in that loss by Justin Alston, who scored 20 points.  Alston had another strong game earlier this week at Colgate, getting a double-double with 21 points and 10 rebounds.  All signs point to this being a great game today, and a potential preview of the Patriot league tournament championship game coming up in just a few weeks.  Whose home court that game may end up being played on could very well be decided this afternoon.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Feb 18th

It’s a very busy and exciting day in college basketball!!  Below is a rundown of all the action.

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day between North Dakota and Weber State – CLICK HERE

-Michigan picked up another big win as they knocked off Wisconsin at home.  That definitely helps their case, but the Wolverines still need to pick up one or two more road wins to really help solidify their resume.

-Gonzaga, Arizona, Oregon, and Saint Mary’s all picked up wins on Thursday.

-VCU knocked off Richmond on Friday, which isn’t too shocking, but it was a nice road win in a rivalry game for a team that has a rather small margin for error.

-Akron fell at home to Kent State, and Valparaiso fell on the road to Oakland.  Whatever small hopes those teams had for an at-large is likely gone now.

-Cal also fell at Stanford on the road in a game they really could have used.

 

SURVIVAL BOARD – CLICK HERE to see the entire board

-EASTERN ILLINOIS (OVC) – Mathematically eliminated if they lose OR if both Tennessee State and Southeast Missouri State win

-AUSTIN PEAY (OVC) – Mathematically eliminated if they lose to SIU Edwardsville AND if both Tennessee State and Southeast Missouri State win

-CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (Northeast) –  Mathematically eliminated if they lose to Robert Morris

-ORAL ROBERTS (Summit) – Mathematically eliminated if they lost at South Dakota and IUPUI wins on Sunday at Denver

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-CLEMSON AT MIAMI FL (ACC).  Miami has hit their stride and despite a weak OOC Schedule appears to be on pace to make the NCAA Tournament.  Clemson has a lot of close losses to a lot of good teams and still has work to do, but it is still definitely possible for them to end up on the right side of the bubble and make the field.  This is the kind of game they have to win, though.

-NOTRE DAME AT NC STATE (ACC).  Notre Dame has a solid profile and should easily land in the top half of the bracket, and perhaps with a really good seed if they’re able to finish strong.  This is a winnable road game against an NC State team that’s basically been blown out in six straight games (leading to Mark Gottfried’s eventual dismissal at the end of the season).

-TULSA AT CINCINNATI (American).  Cincinnati is on cruise control and should be able to blow through this one at home and sustain what is currently a good resume.

-NORTHERN IOWA AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley).  Northern Iowa has improved as the season has gone along, but not to the point to where they have much of a chance of beating Wichita State on the road.  Wichita is good enough to win out and if they do they should be safely inside the bubble. (Note from John S – keep in mind that Northern Iowa won at Wichita last year and turned a similarly “meh” season into a run that led to winning the MVC. Shockers beware.)

-VILLANOVA AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Nova is on pace to land on the #1 line, and Seton Hall is just inside the bubble and could really use a big time win like this on their profile.  That’s much easier said than done despite the fact that they are at home. Seton Hall will be opening up the upper deck and is expecting a 16K+ crowd for the afternoon.

-MISSOURI AT TENNESSEE (SEC).  If the Vols want any shot at all at landing inside the bubble then they need a strong finish.  Losing at home to Missouri would be the exact opposite of that.

-WAKE FOREST AT DUKE (ACC).  Wake Forest has been on the fringe of the bubble all year long, but the lack of anything even remotely resembling a quality win has kept them on the wrong side of it.  They need to win a game like this in order to change the complexion of their resume.  Duke just keeps improving, and it’s now to the point to where even a #1 seed is not totally out of the question if they’re able to finish strong.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC).  Virginia Tech looks to be safely inside the bubble, and Louisville looks to be safe for a protected seed.  It’s a chance for Virginia Tech to pick up a quality road win which would be a huge improvement to their resume, and for Louisville to stay within reach of a first place finish.

-KANSAS AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve).  Both teams are potential #1 seeds.  Baylor won the first meeting between these two and currently has the stronger profile, but Baylor has been projected on the #1 line for most of the season and can take another big step toward making that a reality if they’re able to beat the Jayhawks at home.

-HARTFORD AT NEW HAMPSHIRE (America East).  The Team of the People!!  After what has been a frustrating season with multiple close losses, they still have a good chance at finishing in the top half of the conference standings and hosting a tournament game in the quarterfinals.

-FLORIDA AT MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC).  Florida continues to win, but they lost their starting center for the season on Monday which is a really disappointing setback for a team that was having such a good year.  This would be a nice road win if they’re able to pick it up.  Mississippi State is a long way from being a tournament team, but they do play well at home.

-KANSAS STATE AT TEXAS (Big Twelve).  K State is in a bit of a tailspin having lost six of their last seven, and even thought hey are the road team in this one they still need to win it.  Texas is not even an NIT team, so if K State is a tournament team this is the kind of road game they need to be able to win.

-TEXAS TECH AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big Twelve).  Texas Tech has some big wins, but it’s safe to say they are home court heroes.  They need road wins if they want to land inside the bubble.  This wouldn’t just be a road win, but rather a road win on steroids.  Put pulling it off is much easier said than done.  West Virginia is on pace to end up as a protected seed.

-LIBERTY AT WINTHROP (Big South).  This could have been the UTR Game of the Day, but if it’s not just one game separates the top three teams in the Big South Conference, and Liberty and Winthrop are two of the three teams.  The first place finisher gets to host the conference tournament, so there is quite a bit at stake here.

-SAINT BONAVENTURE AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton is an NCAA Tournament team, which means they need to take care of business at home against NIT caliber teams.  The Flyers have been playing well and should land safely inside the bubble if they’re able to hold serve.

-UT ARLINGTON AT GEORGIA STATE (Sun Belt).  UT Arlington does have a very nice win on their profile as well as a healthy RPI.  If they’re able to finish first in the Sun Belt, the selection committee will give them a serious look if they’re unable to win the conference tournament.

-COLORADO AT OREGON (Pac Twelve).  Oregon is on pace to end up as a #2 seed and should be able to hold serve at home today.

-LSU AT ALABAMA (SEC).  It isn’t likely to happen, but I suppose it is possible.  If Alabama absolutely thunders down the stretch they have a chance of playing their way inside the bubble and making the field. Losing to a team BELOW Missouri in the standings will torpedo any such notion of at-large discussion.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  I’m starting to like Purdue’s chances of ending up as a protected seed more and more.  Michigan State should be safe for a bid, but a win like this would go a long way toward making it more of a certainty.

-FLORIDA STATE AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  Pitt put together a pretty good resume out of conference, but has been abysmal in conference play.  This is another winnable game for the Seminoles, who are on pace to end up as a protected seed and depending on how strong they finish they could end up as a #2 seed.

-PACIFIC AT GONZAGA (West Coast).  Gonzaga is the #1 team and shouldn’t have any trouble landing on the #1 line if they win out.  This game is practically a buy game.

-UNC WILMINGTON AT HOFSTRA (Colonial).  UNCW needs to win out in order to have any chance at all of earning an at-large bid.

-OLE MISS AT ARKANSAS (SEC).  Arkansas picked up a huge win earlier this week that, in my opinion, moved them safely inside the bubble.  But they still need to hold serve at home in games like this.

-KENTUCKY AT GEORGIA (SEC).  Kentucky has had a few hiccoughs this year, but is still a solid team that should end up as a protected seed.  Winning at Georgia is not the easiest thing to do, but it’s the kind of game that a protected seed should win more often than not.

-TCU AT IOWA STATE (Big Twelve).  I think Iowa State has improved quite a bit and I’m starting to like their resume more and more.  TCU continues to remain on the fringe of the bubble, and one of the areas where they are lacking is road wins.  This would arguably be their biggest win of the year if they’re able to pick it up.

-SMU AT HOUSTON (American).  In my mind this is a huge game for SMU.  As good as they appear to be, their best win away from home is arguably Memphis, who is tough to beat at home, but is still just an NIT team.  Most of the teams on the #7 line or better will have multiple road wins against NCAA Tournament teams.  So, with that in mind, this is an important game because it would arguably be their best true road win of the year.  If they don’t get it then I could easily see the committee dinging them with their seed. Houston themselves is running out of chances for quality wins if they want to even be included in NCAA bubble discussions.

-MIDDLE TENNESSEE AT MARSHALL (Conference USA).  If Middle Tennessee wins out through the regular season and avoids a loss in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament then I think their chances are reasonably decent to get an at-large.

-ARIZONA AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve).  Arizona has lost just one conference game and is currently being projected as a #2 seed.  Needless to say they are in great shape.

-OKLAHOMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big Twelve).  BEDLAM!!!!!  I love this rivalry!!  Although some years it’s better than others, and this is one of the years where it’s not.  Oklahoma State’s profile keeps getting better and better, they have a lot of momentum built up, and they should be able to pick up this rivalry win at home and add to it.

-XAVIER AT MARQUETTE (Big East).  Xavier is safely inside the bubble, but they certainly have room to improve their resume if they’re somehow able to get hot down the stretch.  Marquette is right on the bubble and could really use this game to help them land on the right side of it.  They have a couple of good wins, but have done little else outside of that.

-VIRGINIA AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  Virginia has lost four of their last six, and are in danger of making it five out of seven as they face a red hot North Carolina team.  As well as UNC is playing, and as heavily backloaded as their schedule is, they actually have a path to a #1 seed if they can finish strong.  Virginia, despite the tailspin, still appears to be in reasonably good shape for a protected seed simply because of how brutal the schedule has been.

-SOUTH CAROLINA AT VANDERBILT (SEC).  South Carolina is coming off a loss, but is still in really good shape.  This would be a decent win for them if they’re able to pull it off.  Vandy has played well at home for most of the year.

-USC AT UCLA (Pac Twelve).  This is a huge rivalry game between a USC team that appears to be on pace to land in the top half of the bracket, and a UCLA team that’s still in good position to get an at-large bid.  On paper it’s a quality win for whoever pulls it off.  Off paper it’s about bragging rights.

-SAINT MARY’S AT BYU (West Coast).  Saint Mary’s doesn’t get many chances at quality wins, but this would be a nice road win on their profile.  Don’t be surprised if BYU steps up and gives them a game.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: North Dakota at Weber State

North Dakota at Weber State, 9:00 PM Eastern, watchbigsky.com

The Dee Events Center in Ogden, Utah is the site of tonight’s first place showdown in the Big Sky as the hometown Weber State Wildcats welcome in the Fighting Hawks of North Dakota.  Entering play today, Weber State has a half game lead over North Dakota with the Wildcats sitting at 11-2  and the Hawks at 11-3 in conference play (both teams are 16-8 overall).  UND won the first matchup of these two teams, 83-77, back on January 19 in Grand Forks, ND.  North Dakota got 31 points from Geno Crandall in that win and 22 from Quinton Hooker.  The two of them have been leading the Fighting Hawks all season, and have a chance to not only move their team into first place tonight, but give them the tiebreaker edge over Weber with the season sweep of the Wildcats.

Weber State has only lost 2 games since December 10, the game at North Dakota and a game last week at Sacramento State.  Jeremy Senglin has been key for them during that stretch, including a very impressive 32 point effort last weekend at Portland State.  The Wildcats also hold the number one three-point shooting percentage in the entire nation, entering play tonight at 42.7%.  Their 49.5% overall field goal percentage is tops in the Big Sky and ninth in the entire nation.  If Senglin and his teammates can continue to rain it in from long range, they have a chance to open up a two game lead in the loss column tonight and move just a few wins away from locking up the top seed in the Big Sky tournament.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Princeton at Yale (and Other Highlighted Games)

Princeton at Yale, 8:00 PM Eastern, espn3

For our latest Bracket Rundown video podcast, CLICK HERE.

Gonzaga.  Vermont.  Princeton.  Entering play tonight, only three Division I teams remain undefeated within their conferences.  The Zags have three games left before the WCC tournament, with the toughest test probably being a home game against BYU.  Vermont has two games left before the conference tournament, both of which are at home, though against the second and third best teams in the America East (Stony Brook and Albany).  Princeton’s road to finishing undefeated is the longest, with six regular season games left plus the Ivy League tournament.  The next four of those are all on the road, and probably the toughest of that group is tonight’s Under the Radar Game of the Day.  Tonight, the Tigers travel to New Haven, Connecticut to take on the Yale Bulldogs.

Princeton enters play today at 8-0 in the Ivy and 15-6 overall.  They Tigers’ win streak is now at 11 straight, one of the longest in the nation.  Steven Cook led the way last weekend in a two point home win over Columbia (a game that Princeton let the Lions charge back into late after building a big lead) with 19 points and 8 rebounds.  Myles Stevens was the star player with 19 points in the Tigers’ earlier home win over Yale.  Also, you can never overlook Spencer Weisz, who had scored 20+ points in 3 of his last 4 games before Columbia held him to a season low 4 last time out.

Yale currently sits at 14-7 overall and 6-2 in the Ivy League, tied with Harvard for second place.  The Bulldogs fell at home to Harvard last time out despite 20 points off the bench for Alex Copeland and a double-double from Sam Downey.  Copeland was also Yale’s leading scorer  in the first matchup with Princeton, scoring 21 points (as a starter in that game).  Yale certainly has the ability to knock off the Tigers tonight, and in fact are predicted by kenpom.com to win the game by 2.  If, however, Princeton is able to secure this win and a win tomorrow at Brown, they will have taken a huge step towards having that perfect conference season.

 

OTHER HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-KENT STATE AT AKRON (MAC).  There are a lot of good rivalries in the MAC, but this is probably the best one.  Akron’s chances of getting into the NCAA Tournament without winning the automatic bid are probably below fifty percent, but they are definitely above zero.  If they win out they’ll get a serious look, and may even get selected.

-VALPARAISO AT OAKLAND (Horizon League).  Valpo probably has even less of a chance of getting an at-large bid without the automatic bid than Akron does, but they do have a chance.  They’re also playing on the home court of one of the few teams that beat them tonight, so if they pick this one up it’ll be one of their better wins of the season on their resume.

-VCU AT RICHMOND (Atlantic Ten).  Richmond is too far outside the bubble to reach it, but they have done well in A10 play, and this is a rivalry game, so it should be fun.  VCU has a challenging stretch of games coming up that will either solidify them as a tournament team, or land them in the NIT.

-CALIFORNIA AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  This is a rivalry game between a Stanford team that’s struggled, but that has shown signs of life at home, and a Cal team that could really use a road win.

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Hoops HD Bracket Rundown: February 16th

Chad is joined by the Hoops HD Staff as they reveal the bracket line by line.  All the members ranked their top fifty team, Chad then tallied up the results, so coming into the results he was the only one that knew what the bracket looked like.  Watch as they discuss, debate, and assess all the teams as they reveal the bracket.

Show was recorded on Thursday, February 16th at 9:15pm, est and the final rankings were turned in before 7pm, est.  None of the games that were played on Thursday were reflected, most notably Michigan’s win over Wisconsin

 

 

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

Posted in Bracketology, News and Notes, Podcasts, Videocasts | 2 Comments