Merit Rankings/Bracket Projections: Monday, Nov 13

Throughout the early part of the season, I will be posting what I call Merit Rankings at the end of each week.  There is no attempt to rank how good the teams actually are, but rather provide a CHECKPOINT of CURRENT MERIT.  If you’re looking for a ranking that reflects how good the teams actually are, then this is not for you.  I feel that it accomplishes two things.  It is interesting to look at, and it gets me into the habit of evaluating teams objectively.  I’m sure they may appear to be impractical, but I like doing it anyway.  I also know that half the teams that are currently ranked in the AP and Coaches’ Poll aren’t likely to be ranked at the end of the year, so this is as good of a way of ranking the teams as any other.

I also figured that if I’m going to put together these rankings, then…why not bracket them??  So, below is the list that ranks the teams by current merit along with the notes on what each of them has accomplished, and below that is a bracket.

Any team that opened up with a home buy game received no credit for winning it.  Likewise, a team from a UTR conference that lost a road buy game received no demerit for losing it.  The teams at the top of the rankings are those that won non-buy games (or if it was a buy game then it had to be against a team that was somewhat decent), and those who won them away from home were awarded more.  The reason so many highly ranked teams from power conferences are lower than where many feel they should be is because so many of them have only played buy games up to this point.

1. TEXAS A&M – 1-0, neutral floor win vs West Virginia
2. NIAGARA – 1-0, win @ Saint Bonaventure
3. INDIANA STATE – 1-0, win @ Indiana
4. GEORGIA SOUTHERN – 1-0, win @ Wake Forest
5. NOTRE DAME – 1-0. Won @ DePaul
6. UCLA – 1-0, neutral floor win vs Georgia Tech
7. Kentucky – 2-0, home win vs Vermont
8. Arkansas – 2-0, home win vs Bucknell
9. DELAWARE – 1-0, won @ Richmond
10. LAMAR – 1-0, win @ Tulsa
11. Missouri – 1-0, neutral floor win vs Iowa State
12. Alabama – 1-0, neutral floor win vs Memphis
13. Seton Hall – 2-0, home win vs Monmouth
14. Monmouth – 1-1, home win vs Bucknell
15. TOLEDO – home win vs Saint Joe’s
16. Louisville – 1-0, home win vs George Mason
17. Missouri State – 1-0, win @ Western Kentucky
18. UC RIVERSIDE – 1-0, won @ Cal (which is only slightly better than buy game)
19. Southern Illinois – 1-0, won @ Winthrop
20. South Carolina – 1-0, road win @ Wofford
21. Creighton – 2-0, home win vs Yale
22. WISCONSIN – 2-0, win vs Yale
23. Butler – 2-0. Home win against Princeton
24. HARVARD – 1-0, home win vs UMass
25. Michigan State – 1-0 in buy games
26. Duke – 2-0 in buy games
27. KANSAS – 1-0 in buy games
28. VILLANOVA – 1-0 in buy games
29. Arizona – 2-0 in buy games
30. Miami FL – 2-0 in buy games
31. WICHITA STATE – 1-0 in buy games
32. Florida – 1-0 in buy games
33. Usc – 1-0 in buy games
34. North Carolina – 1-0 in buy games
35. Cincinnati – 1-0 in buy games
36. GONZAGA – 1-0 in buy games
37. Saint Mary’s – 1-0 in buy games
38. Virginia – 1-0 in buy games
39. West Virginia – 0-1. Lost neutral floor game to Texas A&M
40. Xavier – 1-0 in buy games
41. Purdue – 2-0 in buy games
42. Northwestern – 1-0 in buy games
43. Virginia Tech – 1-0 in buy games
44. RHODE ISLAND – 1-0 in buy games
45. Baylor – 1-0 in buy games
46. Texas – 1-0 in buy games
47. Providence – 1-0 in buy games
48. Michigan 1-0 in buy games
49. Minnesota – 1-0 in buy games
50. FLORIDA GULF COAST – 1-0 with home win vs Illinois State
51. NAVY – 1-1, home win vs Pittsburgh, loss @ Miami FL
52. Smu – 2-0 in buy games
53. Tcu – 1-0 in buy games
54. Oklahoma – 1-0 in buy games
55. Oregon – 1-0 in buy games
56. UConn – 1-0 in buy games
57. Ohio State – 2-0 in buy games
58. NEVADA – 1-0 in buy games
59. Florida State – 0-0
60. Ucf – 1-0 in buy games
61. Kansas State – 1-0 in buy games
62. Maryland – 1-0 in buy games
63. NC State – 1-0 in buy games
64. VERMONT – 0-1. Lost at Kentucky
65. Georgia – 1-0 in buy games
66. Vanderbilt – 1-0 in buy games
67. Ole Miss – 1-0 in buy games
68. Wyoming – 1-0 in buy games
69. BELMONT – 0-1, close loss @ Washington
70. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE – 1-0
71. WEBER STATE – 1-0, home win vs Utah State
72. Marquette – 1-0 in buy games
73. Syracuse – 1-0 in buy games
74. Davidson – 1-0 in buy games
75. OAKLAND – 1-0
76. Byu – 1-0 in buy games
77. Saint Louis – 1-0 in buy games
78. Penn State – 2-0 in buy games
79. Washington – 2-0 in buy games
80. Dayton – 1-0 in buy games
81. Vcu – 1-0 in buy games
82. Utah – 1-0 in buy games
83. Saint John’s – 1-0 in buy games
84. Iowa – 2-0 in buy games
85. Mississippi State – 1-0 in buy games
86. Arizona State – 1-0 in buy games
87. Illinois – 2-0 in buy games
88. Colorado – 1-0 in buy games
89. UAB – 1-0
90. Tennessee – 1-0 in buy games
91. Auburn – 1-0 in buy games
92. Iowa State – 0-1. Lost @ Missouri
93. Saint Bonaventure – 0-1. Lost at home to Niagara
94. GRAND CANYON – 1-0, only WAC team with a div1 win
95. MERCER – 0-1, loss @ UCF
96. WAGNER – 1-0 with a road win
97. HIGH POINT – only Big South team with a div1 win
98. TEXAS SOUTHERN – no div1 wins
99. NCCU – no div1 wins

 

COMMENTS FROM HOOPS HD STAFF

-From Chad: This is why we don’t do Brackets in November.

-From David:  But we just DID a bracket in November, Chad!!  IT’S POSTED DIRECTLY ABOVE!!!!  Chad is wrong again!!

Posted in Bracketology, News and Notes | Comments Off on Merit Rankings/Bracket Projections: Monday, Nov 13

News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Nov 12th

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Notre Dame picked up a nice road win at DePaul.  It’s not that beating DePaul is some fantastic feat, but it was a true road game against a team that is at least formidable, and they went in and won without really having to sweat.

-Another note from Friday that I didn’t mention yesterday was that Bill Walton issued what had to have been the greatest and most epic apology in human history!!  It occurred right as UCLA v Georgia Tech was tipping off, and I admittedly missed it live.  He spent the first thirty seconds apologizing ON BEHALF OF THE HUMAN RACE because of the shoplifting incident that involved three UCLA players.  YES!!!  YES!!!  Bill Walton may be the most Hoops HD person out there who isn’t actually on Hoops HD.  He’ll spontaneously begin talking about Grateful Dead concerts while he’s broadcasting games, he wears a t-shirt to work, he periodically gets confused or talks as if he doesn’t have the exact information of what he’s talking about at his fingertips but keeps talking anyway, and every now and then he apologizes on behalf of the human race! What a glorious response to such a stupid act!!  I LOVE THIS GUY!!!  Granted there are times I can’t stand to listen to him, but I love everything he stands for and everything about his spirit.  If nothing else the guy is a huge dose of fun in a game that’s supposed to be fun, but is covered by people who forget that because they’re so obsessed with ‘being professional.’

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-MONMOUTH AT SETON HALL.  This is a buy game, but both teams come in 1-0 and despite the fact that Monmouth lost most of their production from the last two years, they still may be good enough to make this interesting.

-GEORGE MASON AT LOUISVILLE.  It’s Louisville’s first official game since the sanctions were handed down by the NCAA, the FBI came calling, and Rick Pitino and Tom Jurich were fired.

-UMASS AT HARVARD.  Both teams come into this one 1-0, but Harvard’s win came against MIT.  We think the Crimson could end up inside the bubble come March, but in order for that to happen they can’t afford to lose games like this.

-VERMONT AT KENTUCKY.  We think Vermont can land inside the bubble, but the reason we think that is largely due to us thinking they can win this game today.  Kentucky is talented, but young.  Vermont blew through their conference last year, was right in there with Purdue in the NCAA Tournament, and has everyone back.  If they can somehow win this game, then it’s the kind of game that can land them in the NCAA Tournament even if they trip up in the conference tournament (and avoid tripping up during the regular season as well). Kentucky didn’t exactly blow out Utah Valley on Friday, so this is definitely a game worth watching today.

-YALE AT WISCONSIN.  Yale is probably overmatched, but Wiscy has a young team so it wouldn’t be surprised if the Bulldogs were able to compete.

-BUCKNELL AT ARKANSAS.  We still really like this Bucknell team despite the fact that they lost their opener at Winthrop.  The problem is that their margin for error is almost down to zero and we aren’t even 48 hours into the season.  Opening with back to back road games is no easy way to start the season, but making the NCAA Tournament and landing inside the bubble isn’t easy either, and these are the kinds of games they need to win in order to make that happen.  They face what we think is a pretty good Arkansas team today and can pick up a win that will look good on their profile.

-PRINCETON AT BUTLER.  Princeton should be reasonably strong this year, and they could compete with Butler today.  We’re still learning about Butler since their coaching change.  We should learn a little more about them today.

-EASTERN WASHINGTON AT WASHINGTON.  Both teams won their first game, and although both are kind of rebuilding, continuing to pick up early wins could help build momentum and speed up the rebuilding process.

NORTH DAKOTA AT HAWAI’I.  Highlighted simply because both teams are 1-0. This is also Chad’s UTR Game of the Day.

 

BUY GAMES

-Jacksonville @ Georgetown – Patrick Ewing’s head coaching debut!
-SC State @ Boston College – win gets BC to 2-0
-NC A&T @ Clemson  – both teams 1-0
-Radford @ Ohio State – both teams 1-0
-Central Connecticut @ Rutgers
-Omaha @ Oklahoma
-Navy @ Miami FL – both teams 1-0
-Chicago State @ Purdue
-Charleston Southern @ NC State
-Louisiana Monroe @ SMU
-Southern Utah @ Boise State
-Alabama State @ Iowa
-Fairleigh Dickinson @ Penn State
-UMBC @ Arizona
-UT Martin @ Illinois
-UMES @ Maryland – both teams 1-0, and UMES is an intriguing story given how much their program has improved in recent years
-The Citadel @ Virginia Tech – both teams 1-0
-Alcorn State @ Creighton
-Howard @ Indiana
-Pacific @ Stanford

Posted in Daily Rundown, News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Nov 12th

Under the Radar Game of the Day: North Dakota at Hawai’i

North Dakota at Hawai’i, 10:00 PM Eastern, Spectrum Sports-Hawai’i/bigwest.tv

The Under the Radar Game of the Day heads to Honolulu tonight for the nightcap on Day Two of the annual Rainbow Classic.  On Friday evening, the Rainbow Warriors knocked off Arkansas-Pine Bluff 82-70 while North Dakota defeated Troy 83-80.  The two teams meet tonight with the winner having the edge for the Classic’s championship heading into the third and final day of the round-robin event tomorrow.

Friday night’s win saw three Hawai’i players leading the way, as Mike Thomas and Gibson Johnson each scored 19 points while teammate Jack Purchase scored 18.  Johnson also pulled down 9 rebounds while Purchase dished out 8 assists.  If the Bows’ three-headed monster continues to dominate games this way all season, they will be very difficult to defeat, and will prove that picking them to win the Big West was not a mistake by any means.

Tonight’s opponent for Hawai’i is the Big Sky’s North Dakota Fighting Hawks.  While Hawai’i may have a three-pronged attack, UND is all about how many points Geno Crandall will score.  Against Troy on Friday night, the answer was an impressive 41 to go with 6 boards and 5 assists.  If Crandall can put up numbers close to those again, he has a great chance to lead his team to the road victory.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Nov 11th

CLICK HERE for Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day, which for the first time ever features this year’s Team of the People!!  #LanceUP

NEWS AND NOTES

-The biggest surprises from last night were Lamar’s win at Tulsa (although how surprising was that really?), UC Riverside’s win at Cal, and of course Indiana State’s blowout win at Indiana.  It’s a great win for the Trees!  It’s also a reminder that Indiana is rebuilding.  None of those teams were anyone we were projecting into the postseason, so as surprising as they were I do not think they qualify as bombshells quite like Wagner’s win over UConn last year.

-Bucknell started off with a tough road win at Monmouth and came up just short in a thriller.  This is noteworthy because Bucknell’s margin for error to make the NCAA Tournament without the automatic bid is incredibly small, and even though it was opening night it still took a bit of a hit.

-Texas A&M fell behind early against West Virginia, but proceeded to dominate the game for about the last thirty minutes in what is probably the single most impressive showing of any team so far.  That’s a nice neutral floor win for the Aggies that will certainly sweeten their NCAA Tournament profile if WVU goes on to be as good as we think they will

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-CANISIUS AT BUFFALO (Big 4).  It’s the season opener!  The winner will be tops in the RPI (with about 180 other teams).  But, our love for mythical conferences like the Big 4 is why we highlight this game.  No other reason.

-NOTRE DAME AT DEPAUL.  DePaul is opening a new arena, and the students get to enjoy the “elevated view” from the second level in what is still the lamest excuse I’ve ever heard for not putting the students down on the floor behind the basket.  Notre Dame looks to be an NCAA Tournament caliber team,and DePaul is DePaul, but this isn’t the easiest road game in the world to open the season with.

-UTAH VALLEY AT DUKE.  This is a buy game, but Utah Valley is liked by many at Hoops HD (not necessarily myself) to do well in the WAC.  This is also their second top five team in a 24 hour period.  If they can beat both Kentucky and Duke, then I will like them.

-NORTH FLORIDA AT MICHIGAN.  Buy Game

-SAINT FRANCIS UNIVERSITY AT SAINT MARY’S.  This is a buy game, but the fact that St. Francis U (or STFU as Stalica likes to call them) is a likely NEC frontrunner makes it mildly intriguing.

-EASTERN ILLINOIS AT NEBRASKA.  Buy game, but Nebraska better watch out.  EIU waxed Illinois in a charity game, and many believe Illinois to be better than Nebraska.

-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE AT BYU.  Buy Game

-FLORIDA A&M AT UNLV.  Buy Game

Posted in News and Notes | Comments Off on News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Nov 11th

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Cal State Los Angeles at Cal Baptist

Cal State Los Angeles at Cal Baptist, 5:00 PM Eastern, cbulancers.com

Last night, one of the most notable upsets on the opening day of Division I play was UC-Riverside’s 74-66 road win in Berkeley over the Cal Bears.  However, at least in our opinions here at HoopsHD, that was NOT the most important win by a team in Riverside, California.  That honor instead goes to Cal Baptist, as the Lancers opened their brand new 5,050 seat Events Center with an 83-79 victory over the Toros of Cal State Dominguez Hills.  Kalidou Diouf led the Lancers with 24 points, and was joined by three others with double-figures in scoring.  The game was perhaps decided on the boards, where CBU out-rebounded Dominguez Hills 42 to 27.

The reason this game was so important, even more so than being Opening Night at a new arena, was that the Lancers of Cal Baptist were recently declared the 2017-18 HoopsHD Team of the People!  This honor goes only to a team in a unique situation, and earns them the honor of being championed by our staff all season long!  CBU is in its final season of Division II play before beginning a four year transition to Division I next season, meaning that this will be the final season that they will be eligible for a national championship until 2022-23.  And this Lancers team, nationally ranked in the top 20 in D2 preseason, is good enough to contend for the crown this year.  We will be rooting them on throughout the non-conference slate, then through PacWest play, the PacWest tournament (which they will host) and eventually the NCAA D2 Tournament, and the championship in Sioux Falls!

This afternoon is Game Two on the season and in the new arena as the Lancers complete their Tip-Off Challenge against Cal State Los Angeles.  The Golden Eagles defeated Holy Names yesterday 60-49 behind Jalyn Pennie’s 10 points and 12 rebounds.  However, winning against the host Lancers today, especially if their crowd is even close to the same raucous level it was at last night, will be a lot more difficult task.  The Lancers should be ready for this win, and claiming the championship in their Tip-Off Challenge series, as they move towards the eventual start of PacWest play at the end of this month.

#LanceUp #SiouxFallsOrBust

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Season Preview: HoopsHD interviews Kansas State head coach Bruce Weber

Last season Gonzaga coach Mark Few became the 6th different D-1 coach to ever win at least 37 games in a season. To win that many games you have to go pretty far in the NCAA tourney, so it should come as no surprise that 4 of the other 5 have won NCAA titles: John Calipari/Mike Krzyzewski/Bill Self/Jerry Tarkanian. Joining Few in the “made the title game but has not won it yet” club is Kansas State coach Bruce Weber, who went 37-2 with Illinois in 2005 but had a 5-PT loss in the title game to North Carolina. Last year he won his 400th career game and made the postseason for the 12th time in the past 16 years. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel got to chat with Coach Weber about being named national COY and having a young roster this year.  This marks our final season preview interview of 2017: let the real games begin!

You were an assistant to Gene Keady at Western Kentucky/Purdue for almost 20 years: what made him such a great coach, and what is the most important thing that you ever learned from him? His competitive spirit/toughness. He could yell at the players and then hug them a few minutes later so they really respected him and he got the most out of them. The biggest thing I learned is to live/coach with passion every single day.

In the 1996 NCAA tourney as an assistant at Purdue, #16-seed Western Carolina missed a pair of shots in the final seconds of a 2-PT loss: how nervous were you at the end of the game, and do you think that we will ever see a #16-seed win a game in March? We were very nervous because we were a team that had overachieved quite a bit after losing national POY Glenn Robinson. They took us to the wire and had a chance to beat us. The little guys have gotten better so I think that it is bound to happen someday…but not in the near future.

In the 2002 NCAA tourney as head coach at Southern Illinois, Jermaine Dearman scored 25 PTS in a 2-PT win over #3-seed Georgia: how much of a home-court advantage did you have while playing at the United Center, and how were you able to overcome a 19-PT 1st-half deficit? We had played so well in the 1st round against Texas Tech/Coach Bob Knight so we were relaxed and just played loose against Georgia. We made a nice push at the end of the 1st half and continued moving forward in the 2nd half. We were very battle-tested that season so our toughness helped us win that game. There is no doubt that we had a home-court advantage: I think it was an underdog scenario and we were a local school so everyone in the crowd just jumped on board.

Take me though the magical 2005 season as head coach at Illinois:
In the Elite 8 you trailed Arizona by 15 PTS with less than 4 minutes left in regulation: how on earth did you beat them?! I think that it was a little bit of a similar thing. As a coach I was dying because we probably got a little tight and Arizona was playing unbelievable, but we just had a belief that we could come back. We became confident and Arizona became a little uptight.

You started 29-0 and ended up 37-2, which tied the then-NCAA record for most wins in a season: how close did you come to going undefeated, and how close did you come to winning the title? We were only 2 possessions from possible perfection: we were 29-0 until Ohio State made a big 3 to give us our 1st loss, but that helped us regather our focus heading into the Big 10 tourney. It gave us a good perspective and helped us make a run. We had a shot to beat UNC but tourney MOP Sean May had the best game of his career. I wish that James Augustine would not have fouled out: he might have been a difference-maker at the end. The amazing thing is how our guys stayed focused: there were media/autograph seekers around us every single day but despite all of the attention they never flinched.

You finished the season by being named national COY: what did it mean to you to receive such an outstanding honor? At the time my mom had just passed away so I probably did not appreciate it at the time, but when you go into your office and see the trophy with the names of everyone else who has won it you realize what a special accomplishment it was. We did everything except win the title.

You have won conference championships and a conference COY award at each of the 3 schools where you have been a head coach: how have you been able to have so much success at so many different places? A lot of it is just what I learned from Coach Keady, who gives credit to Coach Eddie Sutton. The coaching trees have been pretty successful for those 2 guys! You have to defend and share the basketball, which usually gives you a chance to win.

In the 2017 NCAA tourney you had a 7-PT win over Wake Forest in the 1st 4 before losing to Cincinnati: what do you think your team learned from those games that you think will help you this year? It was a great accomplishment for our seniors who had fought through some tough years/injuries. It was also good for our young guys to get a taste for it, and they want to be part of that again so our sophomores are working very hard and have become the foundation of our program.

Your non-conference schedule includes games against ASU/Vanderbilt/Washington State/Georgia: which of these games do you feel will present your biggest test? All coaches will say that you just need to focus on going 1-0 but those will all be early tests for us. We have not won an exempt tourney championship so doing that would help build our confidence.

1 of your assistants is Chris Lowery, who also worked for you at Southern Illinois/Illinois: how reassuring is it to have a guy on the bench with 3 NCAA tourney appearances on his resume when he was a head coach at SIU? When you build a staff you need to figure out everyone’s role, just like you do with your team on the court. You need young guys, experienced guys, and people who know the ups and downs of being a head coach. When I go out on a recruiting trip I know that things will be okay back in the office. It is great to have him: most of my staff has worked with/played for me in the past so they know what is supposed to get done.

You only have 1 grad student and 1 senior on the roster: do you feel that you have enough experience to contend this year or are you 1 year away from being a serious contender? We have 3 good juniors but to be a contender we need some young guys to develop and figure our their roles. I do not want to ruin their spirit but we have some road games that we have to win. The league will be good again this year but I do not know how good: every year I do not think the Big 12 can get any better…but every year it does! We could be really good a year from now but just need to worry about this year.

What are your goals for the upcoming season, and what are your expectations for the upcoming season? I have high expectations and we should be an NCAA tourney team that is competitive in the league. Now that we have had a taste of success we want to take another step, but we are just worried about today’s practice and getting better every day.

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