Under the Radar Game of the Day: Marshall at Chattanooga

Marshall at Chattanooga, 7:00 PM Eastern, socondigitalnetwork.com

For our latest HoopsHD Report Video Podcast, CLICK HERE.

There are days when picking the Under the Radar Game of the Day feels likes pulling teeth, with a pile of games on the schedule that all seem to stink to high heaven.  And then there are days like today where it seems that at least half a dozen games could easily qualify.  Part 2 of this year’s Battle of the Boulevard between Belmont and Lipscomb is being played.  Northeastern and Harvard are meeting in a battle between the best two teams in the city of Boston (yes, I am looking at you Boston College).  Monmouth is visiting Wagner.  The #TeamOfThePeople New Hampshire Wildcats are on the road at American.  But, in the end, the choice for today’s game had to be Marshall, off to a solid start out of Conference USA, taking a trip down to Chattanooga, Tennessee to get some of the best fried chicken you will ever eat, at Champy’s (make that to play a game against the hometown Mocs).

Marshall enters tonight’s game at 5-2 on the season.  After a 4-0 start, they lost at Ohio State, but then rebounded at home with a very impressive 10 point victory over an Ohio University team that we believe could end up in the at-large bid discussions.  Unfortunately for the Thundering Herd, they gave back a lot of what they had gained in that win by following it up with a road loss at Eastern Kentucky.  Head coach Dan D’Antoni’s team had all five starters in double figures in the Ohio win, led by Jon Elmore’s 28 points.  Elmore had 19 more in the EKU loss, along with 7 assists, but only two other starters had double digits in that game.  The Herd will need Elmore and his teammates to play better than that if they want to get the road win tonight.  They will also need Elmore to fix his assist-to-turnover ratio, which has been very close to 1:1 over the team’s last four games.  If the turnovers can be cut back, and the offense can be spread out a bit more, the Thundering Herd could win tonight and prove that they will be a factor in Conference USA this season.

Chattanooga enters tonight’s game at 6-2, and in need of quite a few more solid wins if they want to have a shot at an at-large bid this season.  The Mocs have already won at Tennessee, and certainly were not disgraced in any way by losing at North Carolina.  However, a disappointing loss on a neutral court to Arkansas State is a minor blemish on their resume and does not give them very many more strikes the rest of the way.  Wins tonight against Marshall and on December 17 when they go visit Vanderbilt have almost become necessities if this team does not want to be in a position of having to win the SoCon’s automatic bid in March.  The Mocs are a solid team, led by Greg Pryor, Tre’ McLean, Justin Tuoyo and Casey Jones.  Each of those players, other than Jones who is still working his way back from a season-ending injury last year, has had at least one game with 20 or more points so far this season.  The Mocs have enough talent and depth to win their league, and picking up a victory against a solid Marshall team tonight will help send the message that the Arkansas State game (played without Jones) was an just an aberration.

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The Hoops HD Report: December 5th

We start things off this week with a little early season Bracketology.  David Griggs posted his weekly bracket projections earlier in the day, and Chad along with the rest of the panel start things off by talking about how ridiculous some of the seedings were, including an oversight that placed TCU into the field twice.

After that, they review what was a very busy week in college basketball, including some of the big games from the ACC/Big Ten Challenge, and three top fifteen match-ups from this past weekend as Baylor and Gonzaga picked up big wins, and UCLA picked up what will most likely turn out to be the biggest road win of the season at Kentucky.  West Virginia also picked up a big road win at Virginia.

They also run through all of the major conferences and profile all the teams that are off to good starts, and discuss whether or not they are for real, or if their good starts merely reflect playing an easy schedule.  They also discuss the Mountain West and how it’s struggling, and preview this week’s big upcoming games.  All that, and much more!!

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Bracket Projections: December 5th

For today’s Under the Radar Game of the Day and Other Highlighted Games, CLICK HERE.

NOTES ON THE BRACKET

Just to reiterate, this is a CHECKPOINT based on CURRENT MERIT, not a prediction of how I think things will look in March, or for that matter it’s not even a reflection of how good I think the teams actually are.  I look at what teams have done so far, I measure how much I think they have done up to this point will help them in March, and I rank them/seed them on that basis.  If a team that I believe is a solid top ten team has done nothing up to this point other than win home buy games, then they’re going to be seeded further down the bracket.

-Baylor’s profile is awesome.  They’ve beaten Louisville on a neutral floor, and have other notable wins against the likes of Xavier, Oregon, VCU, and Michigan State.  That’s pretty damn good.

-Indiana stays on the #1 line despite the loss at Fort Wayne.  In the grand scheme of things, that loss was a setback, but it was far less of a setback than it was beating Kansas and North Carolina was a boost.  I know the UNC win came at home, but it’s still a huge win.

-Winning on the road against other #1 or #2 caliber seeds is the kind of thing that makes a team a #1 or #2 caliber seed themselves.  Welcome to the #1 line UCLA!!

-Xavier, Duke, Virginia, Wisconsin, Oregon, Purdue, and Iowa State are all among teams that I think will end up seeded much better than where they currently are.  They’re capable of picking up the kinds of wins they need to earn good seeds.  They really just haven’t done it yet, and if they have, they don’t have quite as many as the teams in front of them.

-***IMPORTANT***  Chad made a mistake when he was editing this, and…well…I’ll spare you the details, but it was definitely not my fault!  TCU is in the bracket twice.  Oklahoma should be the other team that was left out.  At least I think it was them.  I’ll have to go back and check my notes.  I was moving the bracket around in order to make the First Four work, and when I moved TCU from one spot to another I forgot to delete them from the spot where they actually were.  But, it’s still not my fault  This is a professional site!!  We’re supposed to have people here who take the blame whenever there is a screwup.  That’s what our interns are for!!!

 

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OTHERS CONSIDERED: Oklahoma, Clemson, Colorado State, Syracuse, California, NC State, Nevada, Providence, Colorado, UT Arlington, Wake Forest, Davidson, VCU, Texas Tech, Ole Miss, San Diego State, Georgia, LSU, UMass, Houston, Georgia State, Rutgers

 

COMMENTS FROM CHAD

David considered Rutgers!  David considered Rutgers!  David considered Rutgers!  I don;t care what else is in this bracket because: DAVID CONSIDERED RUTGERS!!!!

But on a serious note . . . DAVID CONSIDERED RUTGERS!!!!!!!

Ok, now seriously on a serious note:

– Duke on the 5 line with only 1 loss, and that loss coming to Kansas makes no sense to me.  North Carolina got a 2 seed with a fairly equivalent loss (at Indiana).  I think the Blue Devils should at least be a 3 seed.

– If this is based on merit, then I would like an explanation of what Oregon is doing on the 6 line.  They may belong in a 6/11 game, but as the 11 seed.  This team has been a huge disappointment and has not proven themselves on the court yet.

– I would like a similar explanation for Pittsburgh.  The Panthers have not looked good and lost to Duquesne for the first time since color TV was invented (or maybe longer?).  They also lost to an SMU team that has shown me absolutely nothing so far this year.

– Arizona on the 10 line I agree with if this is based on merit.  But can someone please tell me what Oregon and Pittsburgh have on their resumes that Arizona does not?

– I know David is high on this TCU team, but having them in twice (West Region and Midwest Region) is a bit too much.  They are undefeated though, so I cannot argue with one of their inclusions.

– Syracuse belongs in this field.  I will just assume David meant to give them one of TCU’s spots.

– It is a minor point, but why is Iona in this bracket?  They lost yesterday and are just not that good of a team this year.  Monmouth should clearly be the MAAC representative.

– Finally, and most importantly: DAVID CONSIDERED RUTGERS!!!!!

COMMENTS FROM JOHN

– I believe the puppet is not a master when it comes to baiting people, but putting Cincinnati ahead of teams like Duke, Xavier and Virginia is insane with a loss against Rhode Island.

– Umm, never mind, they actually won a close game at Iowa State for a change. I’m going to start looking at cyanide pills.

– Now, I will attempt to add to Chad’s question and ask what Pitt is doing higher than a team like Virginia Tech. If the puppet is so wowed by road wins, why don’t they get more credit for winning at Michigan? I know USC got points for winning at Texas A&M, but exactly what puts them head and shoulders above Virginia Tech? As for Oregon, he must really be “high” on the win over Valpo.

– My initial thought on seeing UCF on the 10 line was to ask where the puppet is getting his medicinal marijuana. After looking at what they’ve been able to accomplish, now I have to ask not why they’re in the field, but why he would have Dayton above the Knights. I’m very underwhelmed at how the Atlantic 10 as a whole has looked this year and pleasantly surprised how teams in the American (read: Cincinnati, Temple and Central Florida) have fared.

– I also feel bad for Oklahoma State (not that I seriously expected them to be in this field) when you consider the manner in how they lost at Maryland over the weekend. One of their players tried to rebound a missed Maryland shot and inadvertently tipped it in the Terps’ bucket. The Cowboys ended up losing that game by a single point.

– Last and sure as hell not least, props to the puppet for looking out for the Team of the People on the 13 line!

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Siena at Rider (And Other Highlighted Games, Monday Dec 5)

Siena at Rider, 7:00 PM Eastern, maac.tv (subscription required)

The Metro Atlantic’s December toe-dip into conference play comes to a conclusion tonight as the Siena Saints travel to New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncs.  Siena entered the season as our favorite to win the MAAC and possibly even contend for an at-large bid.  Although they are still easily capable of winning the conference (1-0 in league play so far with a win over Fairfield on Saturday), any serious talk of at-large bids is probably gone with a 3-5 overall record that includes losses to George Washington, UNC-Asheville and Albany.  Javion Ogunyemi has been solid so far for the Saints and Brett Bisping, who was a bit disappointing in the first few games this season, may have put it all together.  He has pulled down 25 rebounds combined over the last two games.  Also, keep an eye on Nico Clareth who put up a very impressive 33 points, the best of his career, last time out.

Rider enters the game tonight at 3-3 overall including a road win over Wagner (one of the teams that has beaten UConn already this season).  They also played Fairfield in their conference opener last Thursday night, losing at home by a 76-67 score.  Jimmie Taylor scored 23 points for the Broncs in the loss, while Khalil Thomas had a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds.  Thomas already has three double-doubles in just six games and is clearly the player that opposing teams will need to key in on.  The Broncs are only playing their second home game of the season tonight, and looking for their first home win.  If they can get that victory over what still may prove to be a strong Siena team, they will definitely send a message that they intend to be a factor in the MAAC race this year.

 

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES

-SYRACUSE VS UCONN.  This used to be a huge Big East rivalry, and when it was added back onto the schedule we were all excited to see it back!  UConn’s struggles and only being 3-4 does take some of the air out of this, though.

-TAMUCC AT TEXAS A&M.  TAMUCC has just one loss on the season, but they have not really been tested at all.  This is a buy game where they are likely extremely overmatched.

-OMAHA AT IOWA STATE.  Buy game.

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Puppet Ramblings, News and Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Dec 4th

A look back on a hugely eventful Saturday in college basketball, as well as a rant against how many of the power programs schedule.

PUPPET RAMBLINGS

-We’ve seen at least two games this year that we really don’t see all that often because they’re the kinds of games that power programs would rather not play.  The other week Indiana went on the road to Fort Wayne and lost, and last night Louisville played at Grand Canyon in front of a crowd that was absolutely bonkers, and didn’t really get control of the game until the final ten minutes or so.  Both games were certainly great for the fans and players of Grand Canyon and Fort Wayne, but I would argue that the games were great for the players and coaches of both Indiana and Louisville as well.  I’ve been saying for years that these games aren’t just good for college basketball, but are even good for the power programs on the rare occasions when they do schedule them.

Many who are associated with the power programs, be it fans, coaches, administrators, or whoever, will say they don’t play these types of games because they have everything to lose and nothing to gain.  Oh really??  This kind of thinking is dumb, illogical, and easily debunked.

Indiana lost at Fort Wayne.  No sane person can argue that losing that game meant losing everything.  They’re still highly ranked.  Hell, with wins over Kansas and North Carolina, they can still end up as high as a #1 seed.  Not only did they not lose everything, they really didn’t lose much of ANYTHING!!  If anything you could argue that it made their team better.  Taking an early lump like that on the road in front an an enthusiastic crowd gets teams used to playing on the road in front of enthusiastic crowds once conference play starts.  I’d say the Hoosiers took something from that and actually ended up better off.  Another example of a game like this was last night’s Louisville vs Grand Canyong game.  In the post game presser, Louisville coach Rick Pitino said that he felt the crowd was amazing, and that playing in that environment did a lot to make them a better team.  Louisville has a tendency to like to schedule a lot of home buy games.  Hopefully he’s serious and they’ll continue to seak out games like this.

There are a few teams out there who do play games like this, and we need to mention them.  Virginia typically plays an early season road game, oftentimes an opener, against what we at Hoops HD would call an Under the Radar team.  They went to UNC Greensboro this year.  In recent years they’ve gone to Old Dominion, James Madison, Green Bay, and some other tough local teams such as VCU and George Washington.  They’ve won a lot of those games, but you know what??  They haven’t won all of them.  Yet, in the last three years they’ve yet to be seeded worse than the #2 line.  So, they’re not “losing everything and gaining nothing” either.  Like Indiana, they’re not really losing ANYTHING even when they don’t win the games, and they gain more than they would from a home buy game when they do win the games.

North Carolina was the national runner up last year.  They played and lost at Northern Iowa.  They didn’t gain nothing and lose everything.  In fact North Carolina is considered among the top college basketball programs in the country, and they’ve played in many of these games.  They’ve gone to UAB, Tulane, UNC Asheville, Long Beach State, and Evansville to name a few in recent years.  I think their program is doing just fine.

Villanova was the national champion last year.  They still play all the Big Five teams, including the UTR Big Five teams, on equal terms.  They didn’t gain nothing and lose everything.  In fact, last year, they won everything.

We’ve seen Wisconsin do it, and they seem to be doing just fine.  They’re one of the most successful programs in the Big Ten.  They have not lost everything and gained nothing.

There is not a single example of a program who played in a game like this and then had it go on to be the defining moment of what wrecked their season after they lost it.  Not one.  Anyone who argues that there is everything to lose and nothing to gain for a power conference team who schedules a game or two like this doesn’t know what they’re talking about.  If you encounter this, know that you’re listening to a misinformed idiot.

Chad made this point and asked this question in an email discussion group that we have here at Hoops HD.  I will repeat it here.  WHY THE F*** DON’T MORE TEAMS SCHEDULE THESE KINDS OF GAMES??

 

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Like all Saturdays, yesterday was a crazy busy day in college basketball that featured three top sixteen match-ups!  If you like match-ups between top sixteen teams, then this was the day for you!  If you like exciting games, well, then maybe you should have changed the station if you were watching the two that we highlighted.  Gonzaga jumped out to a huge early lead against Arizona and although the Wildcats did close it up down the stretch, you never felt that the game was close.  Xavier played well against Baylor for a half, but it was the wrong half.  The Bears opened it up about midway through the second half and were comfortably ahead by the end of the game.  For Baylor, it’s their third top ten win of the season, and they have one of the best looking profiles so far.

-West Virginia picked up a very nice win at Virginia.  I love this UVA team, and for West Virginia to get the win there may turn out to be one of the biggest road wins on anyone’s NCAA Tournament profile come Selection Sunday.  Just very impressive and perhaps season defining win!  Well, it turns out that it wasn’t even the most impressive road win of the day….

-UCLA went into Rupp Arena and got the win after leading for pretty much the entire second half.  I had my concerns about UCLA before the season.  I had my concerns about UCLA even after they started 7-0.  At halftime, I had my concerns as to whether or not UCLA would hold on.  I no longer have any concerns about UCLA.  Just a HUGELY impressive and very rare type of road win that they picked up yesterday.

(***TRIVIA***  Last year’s #1 and #2 seeds, which included Virginia, were a combined 122-6 at home.  So, to see two teams that we believe could easiliy/likely end up as #1 or #2 seeds both lose at home in the same day is rather rare.  A #1 or #2 seed losing at home to anyone happens about the same percent of time that a #15 seed wins in the Round of 64)

-The Providence vs Rhode Island game has been hugely exicting for the past three or four years.  It has also been won by Providence for the last seven years, and that streak continued yesterday as the Friars upset nationally ranked Rhody at home.  For a Providence team that we were expecting to be in a rebuilding mode, they’ve looked very good this season and now have a big win both on and off paper to fuel their season.

-One of the more exciting games of the day was Texas Tech, who took down Rice after getting fouled while shooting a three pointer in the final seconds and then hitting all three freethrows.  Both teams came into the game with just one loss, and both teams looked good, so they may be someone you want to keep an eye on if you’re looking for a darkhorse.

-VCU lost to Illinois in Miami, and they did not mess around when it came to losing this game!!  They did so thoroughly and decisively and left no doubt about it!!  I still like VCU, but it was a shockingly poor and uninspired performance against an Illinois team that they really should have beaten.

-Wichita State led the entire second half at Colorado State, who was unbeaten and on an emotional high after winning at Colorado.  It is probably the best that I’ve seen the Shockers look this year, and I know this game wasn’t high on the radars of most college basketball fans, but it is a game that I think they’ll get a lot of credit for winning.

-USC defeated BYU to remain unbeaten on the year.  When are people finally going to notice how good USC is??  Even their own fans seem to be in the dark about how good they are.

-TCU improved to 8-0 after absolutely clobbering what I think is a good Arkansas State team.  I mean, TCU beat them all over the place.  This sounds weird to say, but they are no longer a doormat.

-Beating DePaul is no feat, but Northwestern certainly passed the so called ‘eye test’ while doing it.  Honestly, Northwestern has been passing the ‘eye test’ all year.  They had close and disappointing losses to very good Butler and Notre Dame teams, but they’ve won all their other games and have looked good doing it.  And unlike USC, their fans do seem to be aware of it!  They’re packing their building and their home atmosphere is quite electric.

-Middle Tennessee is an Under the Radar team that perhaps needs to be on your radar.  They won on the road at South Alabama (who had just one loss) to improve to 8-1 on the year.

-Auburn picked up a big win at UAB.  Winning at UAB in and of itself isn’t a huge feat, but Auburn is off to a 6-1 start and looks to have their best team since Bruce Pearl took over.  Well, to be more accurate, they appear to have their best team since long before Bruce Pearl took over.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-MARQUETTE AT GEORGIA.  Both teams come into this game at 5-2 and needing to continue to build their tournament resumes during out of conference play.

-CANISIUS AT MONMOUTH (Metro Atlantic).  The window for Monmouth is still open, but barely.  They basically need to run the table if they want to land inside the bubble.

-FLORIDA STATE VS GEORGE WASHINGON (BB&T Classic).  GW has struggled this year, but they’re good enough to where this would be a nice OOC win away from home if the Florida State is able to pick it up.  If they’re a top 25 caliber team then they should be able to win games like this.

-DAVIDSON AT CHARLESTON.  This isn’t the easiest road game to win, but it would get Davidson out to a rather noticeable 6-1 and give them their second true road win of the season.

 

BUY GAMES

-Florida International @ South Carolina
-Coppin State @ Clemson
-Radford @ North Carolina
-Delaware State @ SMU
-SEMO @ Indiana
-Georgia State @ Mississippi State
-North Carolina A&T @ Notre Dame
-Bowling Green @ Cincinnati

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Eastern Washington at Seattle

Eastern Washington at Seattle, 4:00 PM Eastern, goseattleu.com

The Under the Radar Game of the Day heads to the Pacific Northwest this afternoon for a rematch of a double overtime thriller from just last week between the Eastern Washington Eagles and the Seattle Redhawks.  The visiting Eagles enter today’s game with a record of 5-2 on the season.  All five wins have come on their home court in Cheney, though the last four have all been by six points or less, including an overtime win over Denver and their double overtime 80-76 win on November 22 over Seattle.  Jacob Wiley was the star of the game for the Eagles in that win, scoring 20 points and adding 9 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 blocked shots.  Also keep a real close on on Bogdan Bliznyuk.  Although he was held to only 7 points in the teams’ first meeting, he has topped the 30 point mark twice already this season and came one rebound shy of a triple-double against Denver.

Seattle U enters tonight’s game at 3-4 on the season; however, only one of those wins has come against Division I competition.  The losses have all been very respectable, as in addition to the Seattle game, they have lost at Colorado, Notre Dame and UCF.  Brendan Westendorf was the team’s top scorer in the first meeting with EWU, dropping 24 points.  Aaron Menzies is also capable of some great numbers.  He already has a pair of double-doubles this season, including a very impressive 36 point, 11 rebound effort in the team’s win over Louisiana-Monroe.  The Redhawks will need Westendorf, Menzies and the rest of their teammates to step up today if they want to defeat Eastern Washington and get their record back to the .500 mark.

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