News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Tuesday, Nov 22nd

NEWS AND NOTES

For the latest Hoops HD Report Podcast – CLICK HERE

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-The biggest surprise yesterday by far was a Georgetown team that seemed to resemble an airplane crashing into a mountain. Instead, they pulled off what could be one of the single biggest season altering wins of the year when they knocked off Oregon, and did so rather impressively.  The final score was close, but Georgetown jumped out to a big lead and was able to fight off a furious Oregon comeback to hold on.  They will face Wsiconsin today, and if they get that one Georgetown will have gone from looking like a sub-NIT team to looking like a top 25 team in a period of just over 24 hours.

-Another big surprise was Northwestern.  It wasn’t so much the win over Texas, as it was how convincingly they won it.  That sets up a game today against what looks to be a very good Notre Dame team.  Northwestern has been close, but they’ve never made it all the way to the NCAAs.  We’ve seen one miracle in Chicago this year.  Could this be another one?  This isn’t necessarily a make or break game, but it is the kind of win that would greatly help their cause.

-Winthrop pulled off a rather notable “upset” at Illinois, but I’m really not sure how surprising that even is.  Winthrop is one of the better teams in the Big South, they had looked good (at least for thirty minutes) at Florida State this past Saturday, and Illinois isn’t exactly unbeatable.

-Valparaiso got a much needed neutral floor win against Alabama.  It may not be enough in and of itself if this is their only signature win of the season, but at least it is something.  They improve to 4-1 with the only loss being at Oregon.

-San Diego State improves to 3-1 with a really nice neutral-court win against California in Sacramento.  Cal had to sweat out UC Irvine, so this loss is hardly a huge surprise.  If anything, it means that Cal needs to get it together. As for San Diego State and the Mountain West, this should serve as a signature win that is desperately needed on both fronts.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-TENNESSEE VS OREGON (Maui Invitational).  Oregon is coming off one of the more surprising losses of the season to Georgetown, and is looking to rebound against a Tennessee team that they should beat.  Then again, we Georgetown was a team we thought they should beat, so…

-TEXAS VS COLORADO (Legends Classic).  Both teams are coming off losses.  Colorado losing to Notre Dame isn’t too shocking, and Texas losing to Northwestern in and of itself isn’t the surprise of the year, but losing as handily as they did was rather unexpected.  The fact that this is a third place game is not important.  It’s still a chance for both teams to pick up a notable win on a neutral floor.

-AUBURN VS TEXAS TECH (Cancun Challenge).  Neither team has really been challenged yet, but both come in 3-0.

-SAINT BONAVENTURE VS CENTRAL MICHIGAN (Lone Star Showcase).  Central Michigan hasn’t beaten anyone of note yet, but a win today gets them to 5-0 and definitely places them on our radar.  For now.

-NOTRE DAME VS NORTHWESTERN (Legends Classic).  We say it every year about Northwestern.  Is this the year?  They are off to a fantastic start with their only loss being a close game at Butler.  They blasted Texas yesterday and can add another big win to their profile today.  Notre Dame was a team we had questions about at the beginning of the season, but many of those questions have been answered.  They are good.  This is one of the more intriguing games of the day, especially when you consider the storyline about how not much was expected out of either team, but both have done well and exceeded expectations.

-YALE AT PITTSBURGH.  Yale is coming off a loss at Virginia where they got pounded, but their profile is still solid and this would be another good win for them if they’re able to pull it off.

-TOLEDO AT MIDDLE TENNESSEE.  I’m a little surprised this wasn’t the UTR Game of the Day.  Both teams are off to good starts, and both should be major players in their conferences this year.  If everything falls right, it’s possible one or both of them are contending for an at-large spot.  That would mean being able to win games like this one today.

-GEORGE WASHINGTON VS UAB (Hall of Fame Classic).  GW has looked pretty good this season, but couldn’t get it done against Georgia yesterday.  It’s important that they pick up this neutral floor win today against a decent UAB team.

-SOUTH DAKOTA VS HOUSTON (Gulf Coast Showcase).  Neither team has beaten any solid opponents yet, but both come into this without a loss.

-ARKANSAS AT MINNESOTA.  Both teams are unbeaten, but for the most part untested.  It will be interesting to see what they do against each other.

-WISCONSIN VS GEORGETOWN (Maui Invitational).  Wisky was definitely expected to be here.  Georgetown was not.  Instead of highlighting to top twenty teams, we’re highlighting a Georgetown team that is coming off what could be a season altering win against Oregon.  After a slow start that saw a heartbreaking loss to Maryland and a headscratching loss to Arkansas State, if they can pick up another win in this tournament they are well on pace to building the kind of profile needed to make the NCAAs.

-PURDUE VS UTAH STATE (Cancun Challenge).  Utah State is 3-0, and Purdue, who played well against Villanova, hasn’t won anything other than home buy games so far.  It’s a great early test for both teams.

-LITTLE ROCK VS PEPPERDINE (Lone Star Showcase).  Both teams come in at 3-1 with Little Rock having just knocked off Saint Bonaventure.

-INDIANA AT FORT WAYNE.  This is the kind of road game that is rarely scheduled, but that should be.  Despite it being a “road game” Indiana will have a large contegency of fans.  It’s also a winnable game, which counts for more than double of what a home game counts for in the RPI.  So, the risk/reward for playing games like this actually favors the alpha program.  And, if Indiana does happen to lose, then so what??  It’s embarrassing for a couple of days, but that’s really all it is.  They move on and are still in great shape.

-GEORGIA VS KANSAS (Hall of Fame Classic).  Georgia has won three straight since losing the opener to Clemson.  They’re probably overmatched tonight, but as far as making the NCAAs a win really helps them, but a loss won’t hurt them at all.  And if they pull off the long shot win, it means instant relevance.

-OKLAHOMA STATE VS NORTH CAROLINA (Maui Invitational).  Both teams are 4-0, but North Carolina has looked much better so far.  This may be the toughest test for the Tarheels up to this point, but from what we’ve seen they’re more than capable of passing it.  For Oklahoma State, it’s a longshot win, but if they pull it off they’re instantly nationally relevant.

 

BUY GAMES

-Stony Brook @ Maryland
-South Carolina State @ Syracuse
-Grambling State @ Virginia
-South Carolina Upstate at Charlotte.  Charlotte is 3-0
-Sam Houston State @ Georgia Tech
-IUPUI @ Marquette.  I’m gonna put a slight upset alert on this one.  IUPUI played Michigan tough, then blasted both Howard and Eastern Michigan.
-Robert Morris @ Kansas State
-McNeese State @ Memphis
-New Orleans @ USC
-UC Santa Barbara @ SMU
-Stetson @ Air Force
-San Jose State @ Saint Mary’s
-Long Beach State @ Washington

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: SIU Edwardsville at Arkansas State

SIU Edwardsville at Arkansas State, 8:30 PM Eastern, astateredwolves.com ($4.95 fee)

For our latest HoopsHD Report video podcast, CLICK HERE.

The Under the Radar Game of the Day comes from Jonesboro, Arkansas as the Sun Belt’s Arkansas State Red Wolves welcome in the Ohio Valley’s SIU Edwardsville Cougars for a non-conference matchup.  SIUE enters the game tonight with a record of 2-2 on the young season, having started things off with a 2-1 performance in Hawai’i at the Rainbow Classic, picking up wins over Hawai’i and Florida Atlantic, but falling to Texas State.  They also lost their last time out, at home to in-state rival Southern Illinois.  Sophomore Tre Harris is definitely worth keeping an eye on for the Cougars.  Despite not being a starter, he has led the team in scoring in 3 of their first 4 games and picked up a double-double in the fourth.  He was particularly impressive against Southern Illinois, scoring a career high 24 points including a career high 5 three pointers.  Despite only playing 12 minutes in the team’s opener, he has been close to 30 minutes in each of the last three games and that time may increase even more if he keeps playing this well.

The Cougars will have their work cut out for them tonight in Jonesboro, as Arkansas State appears to be this year’s early season noise-maker out of the Sun Belt (an honor that was shared by Little Rock and Texas-Arlington last season).  Although the Red Wolves did start the season with a loss at North Dakota State, they have won four straight since that time, including a win at Georgetown and a neutral court win over a very good Chattanooga team.  Devin Carter (25 points against Georgetown) and Donte Thomas (a double-double with 18 points and 10 assists against Chattanooga) are both having great seasons so far and will both be worth watching tonight and as the season moves forward.  In fact, it would not be a surprise if Thomas picks up a couple of triple-doubles this season (he did get one last year against South Alabama).  Tonight’s games is the first of a three game homestand for the Red Wolves which will include a home game this weekend against a very good Lehigh team, and a potential second appearance in the UTR Game of the Day.  In fact, if they can keep up their winning ways we may be discussing a lot more about this team all season.  But for now, all their concentration has to be tonight’s game and the SIU Edwardsville Cougars.

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The Hoops HD Report: November 21st

Chad and the panel review some of the big games and surprises from this past week, including UConn’s struggles, Michigan State’s controversial ending against FGCU, Ole Miss and Creighton’s performance in the Paradise Jam, Xavier winning the Tire Pros Invitational, Oregon’s surprising loss to Georgetown, Saint Mary’s big start, and much more.  They also look ahead to some of the big games coming up this week.

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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News, Notes and Higlighted Games: Monday, Nov 21st

NEWS AND NOTES

Happy Feast Week!  Thanksgiving is traditionally synonymous with football, but there are actually more college basketball games this week, and probably more important games that end up impacting how the season shapes out, then any other week of the season.

We will see a lot of exempt tournaments this week.  The one thing I would impress upon everything is that third place games and fifth place games are not weighed any less than if those two teams were playing in a regular OOC neutral floor game.  Games are games.  If a team picks up a quality win in a fifth place game, it’s the same as doing it as if it were on a neutral site in a non-tournament game.

CLICK HERE for our latest and admittedly way too early Bracket Projections

CLICK HERE for Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-WOFFORD VS VERMONT (Gulf Coast Showcase).  A win gets Vermont out to an impressive and attention grabbing 4-1 start.

-TENNESSEE VS WISCONSIN (Maui Invitational).  We think Wisconsin is a top ten caliber team, but up to this point their only wins have been home buy wins.  Doing well in this tournament will give their profile some high quality wins.

-LOYOLA CHICAGO VS WASHINGTON STATE (Paradise Jam – 5th place game).  Both teams come into this game with just one loss, and have a chance to add another neutral floor win to their profiles.

-GREEN BAY VS UMKC.  We didn’t expect much out of UMKC this year, but they come into this game with just one loss, and they’re beginning to grab our attention.

-GEORGETOWN VS OREGON (Maui Invitational).  Oregon is a Final Four caliber team, but as of now their best win is at home against Valpo.  They can really add to their profile if they do well in this tournament.  They face a Georgetown team that sucks appears to be spiraling out of control.

-KENT STATE VS SOUTH DAKOTA (Gulf Coast Showcase).  Both teams are unbeaten, and Kent State is a potential bubble crasher that we have our eyes on.

-ILLINOIS STATE AT TCU.  We like Illinois State this year despite their early loss to Murray State.  They have a chance to pick up what may be turn out to be a decent road win against a 3-0 TCU team.

-SAINT JOSEPH’S VS. NC STATE (Paradise Jam – 3rd place game).  Both teams are coming off losses and looking to add a possible notable neutral floor win to their profiles.

-BELMONT VS FLORIDA (game in Tampa).  Belmont is always tough, but we have some questions about them this year.  If they can pull off a win in this game, our questions will probably be answered.

-GEORGE WASHINGTON VS GEORGIA (Hall of Fame Classic, Kansas City).  After a roller coaster of an offseason, GW is out to a 3-0 start and they have a chance to pick up a notable neutral floor win today against a pretty good Georgia team.  The winner will most likely face Kansas, and the loser will most likely face UAB.

-NOTRE DAME VS COLORADO (Legends Classic).  Both teams are unbeaten and both are fighting for a place on the college basketball map.  Neither team has done much other than win buy games up to this point.

-MONTANA STATE VS RICE (Hardwood Showcase, Houston).  Both teams come in with decent records, so this one is worth keeping an eye on.

-CENTRAL MICHIGAN VS PEPPERDINE (Lone Star Showcase).  Neither team has any notable wins yet, but both come in at 3-0.

-OLE MISS VS CREIGHTON (Paradise Jam – Championship).  Both teams are unbeaten, and Creighton has managed to rack up some pretty good wins already.  Ole Miss is still flying low on the radar, but a win in this one will put them on the national scene.

-OKLAHOMA STATE VS UCONN (Maui Invitational).  Oklahoma State hasn’t knocked off any heavyweights yet, but they do come into this unbeaten.  UConn has played three lightweights, lost to two of them, and barely beaten the other one.  They need some wins in this tournament just to get things turned around.

-TEXAS VS NORTHWESTERN (Legends Classic).  Texas is unbeaten so far, but has only played buy games.  This is their first real test against a Northwestern team who’s only loss was a close one at Butler

-SAINT LOUIS VS BYU (MGM Grand Main Event).  BYU looks to remain unbeaten.

-UAB VS KANSAS (Hall of Fame Classic, Kansas City).  UAB looked pretty good in their last game despite losing a key player for the season to an injury, but they look to be way overmatched in this one.

-UC DAVIS VS SACRAMENTO STATE. Both Sacramento-area teams are playing each other in the inaugural collegiate basketball game in Sacramento’s Golden 1 Center. UC-Davis picked up 2 wins in the Cable Car Classic plus a non-DI win; the Hornets have a pair of losses against Big 12 powers Colorado and Nebraska along with a non-DI win of their own.

-CALIFORNIA VS SAN DIEGO STATE.  This is a good OOC game that both teams could use since neither has done anything other than win buy games yet. This is the second game of a doubleheader that is being played in Sacramento’s brand new Golden 1 Center.

-GEORGE MASON VS HOUSTON (Gulf Coast Showcase). Kind of an oddity that the only two teams from major conferences face each other in the opening round. Then again, it’s easy to see why the puppet thought this was a buy game – George Mason appears to be mismatched against a Houston team that should be favored to win this tournament.

-NORTH CAROLINA VS CHAMINADE (Non D-I – Maui Invitational).  This will likely be the biggest mismatch of the tournament, and perhaps of the entire week.

-VALPARAISO VS ALABAMA (MGM Grand Main Event).  Valpo is good, but they really need a good win on their profile and this is one of the few chances they have to get one.  It’s a winnable game against a decent Alabama team that they really need to win.

 

BUY GAMES 

-Western Carolina @ Ohio State
-Winthrop @ Illinois.  Watch out for Winthrop, who is one of the bettter teams in the Big South
-Norfolk State @ Butler (nonbracketed game – Las Vegas Invitational)
-Bucknell @ Vanderbilt (nonbracketed game – Las Vegas Invitational)
-Northern Colorado @ Arizona (nonbracketed game – Las Vegas Invitational)

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Bracket Projections: Nov 21st

Below is our most recent Bracket Projections, and I know it looks crazy.  This is not a forecast of the future, but rather a CHECKPOINT of CURRENT MERIT.  It is not even a reflection of how good I think the teams currently are, but merely what they’ve done on the court.  Nothing more, nothing less.

I believe teams like Louisville, Wisconsin, Purdue, Michigan State, Wichita State, and Iowa State are much better than where they fall on the seed list, but again, I’m not evaluating how good I think the teams are or will end up being.  I’m only assessing what they have done up to this point, and if a team has done nothing more than win buy games at home, then they will not be high in the rankings.

Conversely, while I’m impressed with what teams like Arkansas State, Ohio U, and Tennessee State have done up to this point, I do not believe they will end up on the #5 line when March gets here.  If you want predictions of what people think things will look like in March then this is not your bracket.  This is merely a checkpoint of current merit.  The reason I do it this way is because, well, I like doing it this way, and because it allows me to better evaluate the teams as the season progresses.

Another oddity that only bracket junkies will pick up on is that we have First Four games on the #15 line.  Well, that’s just how it worked out.  It’s early.  It’s the equivalent of an April batting average.  Things look kind of odd right now.

Below is the seed list and the notes on each team.  Below that is the bracket.

 

1. VILLANOVA. 5-0. Wins @ Purdue and vs UCF
2. INDIANA. 3-0. Neutral win vs Kansas
3. KANSAS. 2-1. Win vs Duke
4. DUKE. 4-1. No bad losses. Win against Rhode Island
5. SAINT MARY’S. 3-0. Road win @ Dayton, home win vs Nevada
6. Michigan. 4-0 with convincing neutral floor wins vs Marquette and SMU
7. KENTUCKY. 4-0. Blowout neutral win vs Michigan State
8. Creighton. 4-0, home win vs Wisconsin, neutral win vs NC State
9. ARIZONA. 3-0. Neutral win vs Michigan State
10. Xavier. 5-0. Neutral floor wins vs Clemson and Northern Iowa
11. RHODE ISLAND. 3-1, neutral win vs Cincinnati
12. Baylor. 3-0. Home win vs Oregon
13. Virginia. 3-0. Blowout home win v Yale, road win @ UNCG
14. North Carolina. 4-0. 2 road wins
15. Usc. 3-0. Win @ Texas A&M
16. DAYTON. 2-1. Win @ Alabama
17. Seton Hall. 3-0, win @ Iowa
18. SMU. 3-1. Neutral win vs Pitt
19. OHIO. 3-0. Win @ Georgia Tech and blowout win against Sam Houston.
20. ARKANSAS STATE. 3-1. All road/neutral wins. @ Georgetown, vs Chattanooga
21. TENNESSEE STATE. 4-0. All wins coming away from home, including @ Middle Tennessee
22. NORTHERN IOWA. 3-1. Neutral wins vs Arizona State and Oklahoma
23. Oklahoma. 3-1. Neutral win vs Clemson
24. Clemson. 2-2. Home win vs Georgia, neutral win vs Davidson
25. YALE. 2-1. Win @ Washington
26. UTAH STATE. 3-0. Win @ UC Irvine
27. Oregon. 2-1. Most notable win is home v Valpo
28. NORTH DAKOTA STATE. 3-1. 2 road/neutral wins
29. UNC WILMINGTON. 2-0. Nice wins at Eastern Kentucky and home vs ETSU
30. Syracuse. 3-0. All home buy games, but a nice win against Monmouth
31. Gonzaga. 3-0, best win is at home vs San Diego State
32. OLD DOMINION. 2-0. Win @ Richmond
33. Florida. 3-0. Best win is at home vs Saint Bonaventure
34. Louisville. 3-0. All home buy games
35. Wisconsin. 2-1 with 2 home buy wins
36. Purdue. 2-1, two home buy wins
37. West Virginia. 3-0, all home buy games
38. Miami FL. 3-0, all home buy games
39. Ucla. 4-0, all home buy wins
40. Cincinnati. 3-1, best win is neutral vs Penn State
41. Butler. 3-0. Best win is at home vs Northwestern
42. Maryland. 4-0. Best win is home vs Georgetown
43. Florida State. 4-0, all home buy games. Best wins vs Iona and Winthrop
44. Michigan State. 2-2. No bad losses, but only has 2 home buy wins
45. Pittsburgh. 3-1. Neutral win vs Marquette
46. Byu. 3-0, home win vs Princeton
47. Marquette. 2-2, best win vs Vanderbilt
48. Wake Forest. 4-1. Road win @ Charleston, neutral win vs UTEP
49. Davidson. 3-1. Neutral wins vs Missouri and Arizona State
50. Mississippi. 4-0. Neutral wins vs Saint Joe’s and Oral Roberts
51. Wichita State. 4-0, but opponents are a combined 1-12
52. CHATTANOOGA. 2-2. Win @ Tennessee, loss vs Arkansas State
53. Iowa State. 3-0, all home buy wins
54. UNC ASHEVILLE. 2-2. Neutral win vs Siena
55. FAIRFIELD. 3-0. 2 road wins, one @ Wagner
56. ALBANY. 2-2. Win at Penn State
57. Ohio State. 3-0, win @ Navy
58. South Carolina. 4-0, home win vs Monmouth
59. Texas A&M. 2-1, both home buy wins
60. Notre Dame. 3-0, all home buy wins
61. Vcu. 3-0, all home buy wins
62. Virginia Tech. 3-0, all home buy wins
63. Texas. 3-0, all home buy wins
64. Colorado. 3-0, all home buy wins
65. Iowa. 3-1, all wins are home buy games
66. Georgia. 2-1, 2 home buy wins
67. Texas Tech. 3-0, all home buy wins
68. Kansas State. 3-0, all home buy wins
69. California. 2-0, all home buy wins
70. Oklahoma State. 3-0. All home buy wins
71. Arkansas. 3-0, all home buy wins
72. UC IRVINE. 2-2 with no bad losses.
73. TEXAS SOUTHERN. 3-1, all road wins
74. JACKSONVILLE. 3 wins away from home
75. NC State. 3-1, best win is neutral vs Montana
76. Illinois. 4-0. All home buy wins
77. Minnesota. 4-0. Best win is home vs Saint John’s
78. Nebraska. 3-0. All home buy wins
79. New Mexico. 3-0. Best win at home vs New Mexico State
80. Utah. 3-0, just one div1 win
81. San Diego State. Just 1 div1 win, and it’s a home buy game
82. UMKC. 3-1. Neutral win vs Murray State
83. Lsu. 3-0. All home buy wins
84. WRIGHT STATE. 2-1. We still like Valpo, but they’ve yet to beat a team that’s won a game
85. BOSTON U. 3-1
86. SAM HOUSTON STATE. 2-1
87. LONG ISLAND. 2-2
88. MONTANA STATE. 2 wins, both against winless teams
89. NC CENTRAL. 2-2

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Texas Southern at James Madison

Texas Southern at James Madison, 7:00 PM Eastern, caa.tv

The Under the Radar Game of the Day heads to Harrisonburg, Virginia this evening for the non-conference matchup between the CAA’s James Madison Dukes and the SWAC’s Texas Southern Tigers.  The Dukes will be looking for their first win of the season tonight, after opening 0-3 with losses at Old Dominion and at Montana State sandwiched around a home loss to Rice.  Shakir Brown has led the way so far this season for JMU, including 15 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals in the Montana State loss last time out.  With a five game road trip starting this weekend, the Dukes really needs tonight’s game and Wednesday’s against Louisiana-Lafayette to begin building some momentum.

Tonight’s opponent for James Madison is Mike Davis’ Texas Southern Tigers.  As is often typical for teams from the SWAC, TSU’s non-conference schedule is loaded with road games.  In fact, Texas Southern will not play at home until January 14 against Grambling State!  That being said the Tigers have looked very good so far this year.  After dropping their opener at Texas-Arlington, they have won three straight — at Delaware State, at Rice and at La Salle.  Dulani Robinson was the star of the La Salle game, as his three-pointer at the buzzer gave the Tigers an thrilling one point win.  A fourth non-conference true road win tonight will be the most by Texas Southern in at least the last 15 years — and one of the best non-conference road performances by any SWAC team since the conference moved up to Division I!

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