News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Tuesday, Nov 15th

NEWS AND NOTES

CLICK HERE for this week’s Hoops HD Report, where we review the opening weekend, as well as go through all of the upcoming in season tournaments

For Chad Sherwood’s Under The Radar Game of the Day between Murray State and Middle Tennessee – CLICK HERE

-An important game from yesterday that I forgot to mention in the lineup (I blame Chad for not catching my mistake) was Princeton at BYU.  We really like Princeton and think they’re going to be hovering around the #12 line, which is very close to being in range of being able to make the NCAA Tournament without the automatic bid.  For the Ivy League, that takes on added importance now that there is a conference tournament, so whereas in previous years you kind of shrug off the loss because all that matters as far as making The Dance is a first place finish, now the game feels differently because they need to play their way into a position to be able to get in if they don’t win the conference tournament.  BYU pretty much led the entire way and picked up a nice win that should go a long ways toward helping them out.

-Villanova picked up a hugely impressive road win at Purdue.  What was just as impressive as the win itself was how they won.  Every time it looked like Purdue was building up momentum and that they would get control of the game, Nova had an answer.  It was a win against a very good team in a hostile environment.  You don’t see may of those.

-UConn has played two home buy games.  UConn has lost them both.  Now would be a good time to panic.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-DAYTON AT ALABAMA.  Both teams come into this game with a 1-0 record.  This is an important early season game for both teams.  A win gives them some early momentum and looks good on their NCAA resume.

-OREGON AT BAYLOR.  Oregon is high in the rankings, and if they want to contend for a #1 seed then this is the kind of game that they need to win.  Baylor is one of my dark horse teams, and a win in this game will help put them on the map this year.

-MONMOUTH AT SOUTH CAROLINA.  Neither team has a loss yet.  Monmouth is arguably better this year than last year’s team that barely missed the tournament, but their chances are limited and they really need to pick up this win if they want to get the committee’s attention.

-MARYLAND AT GEORGETOWN (Gavitt Tip-Off Series).  The Gavitt Games continue!  This is a huge rivalry game that was renewed last year, and both teams put on a show in what was one of the greatest November atmospheres that I have ever seen.  This is for bragging rights, early momentum, and a quality win on the resume.

-KENTUCKY VS MICHIGAN STATE (Champions Classic).  Michigan State is coming off a very exciting and hard fought loss to Arizona and is looking to rebound.  Even if the Spartans drop this one and fall to 0-2 they’re still in good shape because neither loss will hurt them.  Both teams have a lot to gain from a win, but not much to lose from a loss.

-SIENA AT GEORGE WASHINGTON.  We really like this Siena team and believe they’re good enough to possibly end up on the bubble and in the NCAA Tournament even if they fail to win the conference tournament.  If that’s true, then this is the kind of road game that they are expected to win.

-DELAWARE AT LA SALLE.  Delaware can improve to 3-0 if they can pick up a road win aginst a La Salle team that has a ways to go, but is still improved from last year.

-MURRAY STATE AT MIDDLE TENNESSEE.  As noted earlier, this is Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day. Both teams come into this at 1-0, and although they’re a long shot for the NCAA Tournament without the automatic bid, both appear to be good enough to make quite a bit of noise.  Murray won their season opener against a good Illinois State team, and if they can add a road win to that they’ll be off to a great start.

-LONG BEACH STATE AT NORTH CAROLINA.  Long Beach should be a major player in the Big West, but they’re coming off a blowout loss to Wichita State and will likely be swinging way over their heads again tonight.

-WISCONSIN AT CREIGHTON (Gavitt Tip-Off Series).  Wisconsin ended last season with a ton of momentum and are well deserving of their top ten ranking.  Creighton is in the rankings as well after two seasons of not making the NCAA Tournament (although they did advance to the final 8 of the NIT).  A win at home could give them a ton of momentum, as well as validate that they are deserving of the ranking.

-KANSAS VS DUKE (Champions Classic).  Kansas is coming off an overtime thriller against Indiana and now faces the nation’s top ranked team.  A win would be a huge way for them to bounce back, but a loss won’t really hurt them despite the fact that they’ll be 0-2  It’s a 30-plus game season, and it will get easier for them after this.  Wins away from home against highly ranked teams are not easy to come by, and they look great on an NCAA Tournament profile, especially if you’re contending for a #1 seed.  That’s what’s at stake tonight.

-VCU AT LIBERTY.  This is sort of a reverse buy game since VCU is on the road.  Both teams won their opener, and it’s a chance for the Rams to pick up a winnable road game.

-MIAMI OH AT WRIGHT STATE.  We at HoopsHD love fixture rivalry games, and this would fall under the Mythical Miami Valley Conference. The Raiders are coming off of a nice win at Southern Illinois, and Mother Miami plays their first D-I opponent after beating D-3 Muskingum College in their opener.

-PORTLAND AT SAN JOSE STATE.  Both teams 1-0

-WEBER STATE AT PEPPERDINE.  Both teams 1-0

 

BUY GAMES

-Iona @ Florida State
-Holy Cross @ Syracuse
-Saint Francis Brooklyn @ Virginia
-High Point @ Virginia
-North Texas @ Texas Tech.  Both teams 1-0
-Southern Miss @ LSU.  Both teams 1-0
-Omaha @ Kansas State
-McKendree (Non D-I) @ Illinois
-CSU Bakersfield @ Arizona.  Both teams 1-0
-Cal State Northridge @ Stanford

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Murray State at Middle Tennessee

Murray State at Middle Tennessee, 7:30 PM Eastern, campusinsiders.com

For our latest HoopsHD Report including a preview of all in-season tournaments, CLICK HERE.

The Under the Radar Game of the Day returns to Murfreesboro, Tennessee tonight as head coach Kermit Davis’ Blue Raiders welcome in one of the Ohio Valley Conference’s top teams, and an old OVC rival from 1952-2000, Murray State.  Middle Tennessee started the 2016-17 season on Friday afternoon by defeating NAIA member Milligan 102-64.  Reggie Upshaw led the way in that game, scoring 21 points, pulling down 13 rebounds and dishing out 4 assists.  Five other players also scored in double-figures, including another 21 points from Jacorey Williams.  Tonight, Middle Tennessee will have a much tougher test as they take on their first Division I opponent of the year.

Murray State enters tonight’s game with a 1-0 record thanks to a solid home win over one of the Missouri Valley Conference’s top teams, Illinois State.  The Racers trailed Illinois State but were able to make the big comeback and cap the win on a Jonathan Stark 3-pointer with only 2 seconds left to play.  Stark was one of four Racers in double-digits, led by Terrell Miller’s 23 points.  If Murray State can pick up the road win tonight, notice will certainly be sent to the rest of the OVC, especially preseason favorite Belmont, that the Racers are back and ready to challenge for the league title.

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The Hoops HD Report: Nov 14th (Exempt Tournament Madness!!)

The Hoops HD panel reviews all of the action from the opening weekend, including Indiana’s big win over Kansas, and Arizona’s come from behind win against Michigan State, as well as some of the early upsets that we’ve seen so far.  After that they run through all of the upcoming exempt tournaments, as well as the Gavitt Tip-Off Games, in what will be a very busy week of college basketball.  All that, and much more!!

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Nov 14th

NEWS AND NOTES

For our latest and admittedly way too early Bracket Projections – CLICK HERE

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day, and it’s a good one – CLICK HERE

-So, the always shortened and often over abundance of uninteresting games that is Week 1 is now in the books.  We did see some very meaningful results, though, particularly the two games out in Hawai’i where Arizona took down Michigan State in a thriller, and Indiana beat Kansas in overtime.  I haven’t been as high on Indiana as many others have, but that game has made a believer out of me.  It will also end up being one of the biggest wins on their profile if Kansas goes on to be as good as we think they will.  Wins against protected seeds are rarities.  Wins against protected seeds away from home are even more rare.  Props to the Hoosiers for picking up a huge win right out of the gate.

-Chattanooga is a team we have our eyes on, and believe to be good enough to land inside the bubble if they happen to slip up in their conference tournament.  They were blown out at North Carolina on Sunday, but that won’t hurt them too much.  They did pick up a notable road win at Tennessee, which is one they kind of needed, so they’re still in good shape.

-Saint Mary’s was at home, but they still looked VERY good in a decisive win against what we think is a very good Nevada team.

-Wagner got off to a fantastic start with a road win at UConn.  Chances are it was a fluke, but as of now it’s one of the more impressive wins that anyone has managed this season.  Sometimes when you don’t sit at home and eat cupcakes the first week you get rewarded.  Sometimes when you do sit at home and eat cupcakes you choke on them.

-An Under the Radar note, both American and Lehigh put up great fights against ranked teams on opening night.  Unfortunately neither team managed to win, but American was right in there with Maryland, and Lehigh had a chance to beat Xavier.

-Yale picked up a big road win on Sunday at Washington.  At least, it appears to be big at the moment.  Some of us at Hoops HD like Washington more than others, so we’ll see if it ends up helping the Bulldogs.  Remember, the Ivy now has a conference tournament, so there is now added importance for teams to land inside the bubble, and a win like this will go a long way.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-NEW HAMPSHIRE AT TEMPLE.  UNH!!  Your team!!  Our team!!  THE PEOPLE’S TEAM!!  They try to improve to 2-0 with what truly would be a statement road win against a Temple team that, while rebuilding, would still be a win of note for an America East team that’s trying to play their way onto the radar.

-VILLANOVA AT PURDUE.  This game is part of the Gavitt Tip-Off, and it’s one of the reasons we love the Gavitt Tip-Off!  This would be a great resume builder for the winner as it looks like both could end up as protected seeds.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT GONZAGA.  This game will take us into the overnight games of the Tip-Off Marathon.  It’s also a hugely important game, especially since both are NCAA Tournament hopefuls, and neither have an over abundance of chances at quality wins in conference play.  That’s especially true for San Diego State.  We will be highlighting all the rest of the games in tomorrow’s post.

-UMASS AT OLE MISS.  I wouldn’t be surprised if neither team is in the picture come March, but as of now both are 1-0.

-NORTHEASTERN AT UCONN.  This is a buy game, but UConn lost the first one, and they don’t want to drop a second one to a Northeastern team that’s coming off a win.

-BUFFALO AT XAVIER.  Both teams come in 1-0, and Xavier barely escaped their opener against Lehigh.  If they overlook this Buffalo team they could end up getting beat.

-UNC WILMINGTON AT EASTERN KENTUCKY.  I like this UNCW team, and think they’ve got what it takes to make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large team.  If that’s true, then this is the kind of road game they need to be expected to win.

-OLD DOMINION AT RICHMOND.  This is an old Colonial rivalry between two teams that are no longer in the Colonial.  Both come in 1-0.

-VERMONT AT PROVIDENCE.  The preseason favorite from the America East travels to a rebuilding Providence team.

-UT ARLINGTON AT MINNESOTA.  UT Arlington is our favorite to win the Sun Belt.  Don’t be surprised if they take down Minney, and don’t call it an upset if it happens.  Both teams 1-0.

-DETROIT AT EAST TENNESSEE STATE.  Neither is likely to be in the picture, but for now both are 1-0. When will Detroit finally beat a team higher than Division III?

-SAM HOUSTON AT OHIO.  We like both these teams, and feel Ohio could land on the bubble.  This is a great UTR game as both come in 1-0.

-GEORGIA STATE AT AUBURN.  Georgia State is rebuilding, and Auburn is still rebuilding.  Both teams come in 1-0 and could really use some early momentum.

-WAGNER AT UMASS LOWELL.  Can Wagner build off of their huge season opening win at UConn?

-COLOMBIA AT SAINT JOSEPH’S.  We’re not expecting much out of either team, but both come in 1-0.

-WESTERN MICHIGAN AT OAKLAND.  Both teams 1-0.  Should be a fun in-state game.

-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL AT STETSON.  Both teams 1-0

-EASTERN ILLINOIS AT TROY.  Both teams 1-0

-NJIT AT UTAH STATE.  Both teams 1-0

-CHARLOTTE AT ELON.  Both teams 1-0

-WYOMING AT MONTANA.  I really do like this game.  It isn’t likely that either team will be a conference frontrunner, but it’s a chance for them to build some early momentum, especially if Wyoming picks up the road win and improves to 2-0.

 

BUY GAMES

-Bimghamton @ Saint John’s.  Both teams 1-0
-UNC Asheville @ Georgia
-Gardner Webb @ Pittsburgh
-William & Mary @ Louisville.  Both teams 1-0
-Mississippi Valley State @ West Virginia
-North Carolina A&T @ East Carolina.  Both teams 1-0
-Albany @ Cincinnati.  Both teams 1-0.  Based on buy game standards this one may be pretty good
-Marist @ Rhode Island
-Southern Illinois @ Arkansas
-American @ Texas A&M.  American gave Maryland a scare in their opener
-Louisiana Monroe @ Texas.
-Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma State
-Mount Saint Mary’s @ Iowa State
-UTRGV @ Memphis
-Furman @ UAB
-Coppin State @ Valparaiso
-Howard @ Marquette
-Eastern Washington @ Northwestern.  Both teams 1-0
-NC Central @ Ohio State
-Seattle @ Colorado.  Both teams 1-0
-Jacksonville @ Air Force.  Both teams 1-0
-Houston Baptist @ New Mexico

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Bracket Projections: Monday, Nov 14th

So, I like doing these all year long, which is why I’m doing one after the first week even though there is no practical reason to be forecasting anything right now.  From a personal standpoint, it gets me in the habit of evaluating teams right away, so that is the single biggest benefit of it.  The order, or rank, or seed of the teams doesn’t really matter because there is so little to evaluate that they are impossible to rank.  But, merely evaluating them keeps me personally up to speed with what each team has done.

This is a CHECKPOINT of CURRENT MERIT, not a prediction of the future or even how good I think the teams currently are.  If it were, I’d be crazy.  It’s merely ranking what a team has done on the court up to this point.  Wagner and Yale are not likely to end up as #1 seeds.  I know that.  But, they’ve both won on the road against good teams, so they’re currently ahead of everyone who’s done nothing other than win a buy game at home when doing a checkpoint of current merit.  That’s all this is.

In a nutshell, any team that won a game that was not a home buy game moved ahead of all the teams that only won a home buy game.  No teams that lost a game that was not a buy game were punished for it, and no teams that won a buy game was rewarded for it.

I want to emphasize one more time that this is not a prediction of the future, or even a reflection of how good I think the teams currently are.  It is merely a merit ranking up to this point.

  1. INDIANA – Beat Kansas on a neutral floor
  2. ARINONA – beat Michigan State on a neutral floor
  3. WAGNER – won at UConn
  4. YALE – won at Washington
  5. NORTH CAROLINA – won at Tulane and at home against Chattanooga
  6. CLEMSON – won at home against Georgia
  7. MARQUETTE – blowout win against Vanderbilt
  8. SAINT MARY’S – convincing win against a pretty good Nevada team
  9. Virginia – won at UNCG
  10. CHATTANOOGA – road win at Tennessee
  11. Oregon – neutral floor win vs Army
  12. Duke
  13. KENTUCKY
  14. KANSAS – lost to Indiana on a neutral floor, which is not damaging
  15. Villanova
  16. Xavier
  17. Wisconsin
  18. Michigan State – lost to Arizona on a neutral floor, which is not damaging
  19. Louisville
  20. Gonzaga
  21. Purdue
  22. Syracuse
  23. West Virginia
  24. Ucla
  25. RHODE ISLAND
  26. Creighton
  27. Texas
  28. Maryland
  29. Pittsburgh – won a buy game against Eastern Michigan, but they move up some because they’re semi-quality
  30. Stanford – neutral floor win vs Harvard
  31. Ohio State – won at Navy, so they move up some for the road win
  32. CINCINNATI
  33. Dayton
  34. Iowa State
  35. Florida State
  36. California
  37. Miami FL
  38. WICHITA STATE – blew out a pretty good Long Beach State team
  39. Seton Hall
  40. Texas A&M
  41. Butler
  42. Notre Dame
  43. SAN DIEGO STATE
  44. Virginia Tech
  45. Oklahoma
  46. Usc
  47. Florida
  48. Colorado
  49. Michigan
  50. Vcu
  51. NC State
  52. Connecticut
  53. MURRAY STATE – home win against a pretty good Illinois State team
  54. Kansas State
  55. RICE – won at James Madison
  56. Smu – blowout win over what we think is a good Eastern Michigan team
  57. MONMOUTH
  58. KENT STATE – we really like Ohio and Buffalo in this league as well, but Kent won away from home against Cleveland State
  59. NICHOLLS – won at Boston College
  60. WRIGHT STATE – we really like Valpo in this league, but Wright State is the only team that’s won a true road game.
  61. DELAWARE – two div1 wins, but we still like UNC Wilmington
  62. OMAHA – won at UCSB, and a close loss at USC
  63. UC DAVIS – two div1 wins
  64. JACKSONVILLE – won at Denver
  65. ALBANY – beat Penn State, but we still like Vermont and New Hampshire
  66. UT ARLINGTON – preseason favorite that won the opener
  67. WEBER STATE
  68. BUCKNELL – only team in the conference that’s won a div1 game, but American and Lehigh both almost knocked off ranked teams
  69. PRESBYTERIAN – Only Big South team with a div1 win
  70. TEXAS SOUTHERN – only SWAC team to win a div1 game
  71. NEW MEXICO STATE – no WAC team has won a div1 game yet, so we’re sticking with the preseason favorite, who didn’t look bad in their loss to Colorado State
  72. HOWARD – no MEAC team has won a div1 game yet, so we’re sticking with the preseason favorites

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day: Sam Houston State at Ohio

Sam Houston State at Ohio, 7:00 PM Eastern, espn3

The Under the Radar Game of the Day heads to Athens, Ohio tonight as one of the top picks in the MAC this season, Ohio University, hosts one of the Southland’s preseason favorites, Sam Houston State.  Ohio began the season Friday night with a 10 point win over Southern.  Antonio Campbell, the defending MAC Player of the Year, scored 14 points while pulling down 7 rebounds in that win.  Three other players joined him in double-digits, led by 15 points and 4 assists from sophomore Jordan Dartis.  With Jaaron Simmons and Kenny Kaminski also scoring more than 10, the Bobcats had a balanced scoring attack and enough depth to prove that our preseason pick of the Bobcats to win the MAC was certainly justified.

Ohio’s opponent tonight is Sam Houston State.  The Bearkats also won their opener in dominating fashion over non-D1 LeTourneau.  SHSU is our pick to win the Southland as six of their top seven players return from last season.  The team is heavy on senior talent, led by Aurimas Majauskas and Dakarai Henderson.  They also have depth, as shown by three players off the bench reaching double-digits in scoring in their opener, including leading scorer John Dewey (18 points).  Although the long road trip to Ohio, which is historically a very tough place to play, will not be easy, if the Bearkats can steal one on the road tonight they will send a message to the rest of the Southland that they just might be the team to beat.

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