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In last night’s opening round games, there were 2 very good matchups in Dayton. The first one involved a back-and-forth game between North Carolina Central and UC-Davis in which the Aggies won 67-63 to earn a trip to play Tulsa in the 1st round on Friday. The game of the night was USC’s comeback over Providence – the Trojans erased a 17-point deficit and avenged their loss last season to the Friars. Amazingly, this was USC’s 12th comeback this year of at least 10 points in a game!
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TODAY’S FIRST ROUND GAMES
-#12 PRINCETON VS #5 NOTRE DAME (12:15 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Princeton was a bit underwhelming during the OOC portion of the season, at least when compared to what some of us were expecting, but they definitely got it done in Ivy League play by running the table and winning the tournament. Notre Dame has certainly been battle tested, and they’ve certainly passed the tests. If they don’t overlook Princeton then they should be able to pick up the win.
-#12 UNC WILMINGTON VS #5 VIRGINIA (12:40 PM, Orlando, FL – TruTV). UNC Wilmington is a very good team. There are a lot of teams on the #4, #5, and #6 lines that I would expect them to be able to beat. It wouldn’t shock me at all if they won this game, but having said that Virginia is potentially a bad match-up for them, especially when you consider how strong the Hoos defense is. I like this Wilmington team, and because of that I wish they’d been given a different match-up.
-#13 WINTHROP VS #4 BUTLER (1:30 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TNT). The top of Butler’s profile is amazing, but as high as their ceiling is they didn’t always play up to it. Winthrop isn’t as good as Butler, but they are good enough to beat Butler if the Bulldogs overlook them. They do have a really nice win at Illinois under their belt, and were impressive (pretty much) all throughout conference play.
-#16 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE VS #1 GONZAGA (2:00 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). The Zags pretty much blew through the season as well as their conference tournament, and have all the signs of being able to go deep into the NCAA Tournament. South Dakota State struggled for much of the year and ended up finishing fourth in their conference, but won two close games in the semifinals against rival South Dakota and in the championship against Omaha to make it to The Dance.
-#13 BUCKNELL VS #4 WEST VIRGINIA (2:45 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Bucknell was very impressive throughout conference play and was clearly the dominant team in the Patriot League. The problem is that they aren’t playing Patriot teams anymore. West Virginia had some huge wins this season, but there were times where they showed that they could be beaten. I don’t expect them to struggle today, but stranger things have happened.
-#13 EAST TENNESSEE STATE VS #4 FLORIDA (3:10 PM, Orlando, FL – TruTV). East Tennessee State came out on top of what was a very competitive SoCon this year and could squeeze Florida a little bit, but even when they’re not at full strength the Gators have looked very impressive.
-#12 MIDDLE TENNESSEE VS #5 MINNESOTA (4:00 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TNT). This is a popular upset pick and it makes sense as to why. Minnesota lost a contributing player late in the year and Middle Tennessee blew through their season which included blowout wins against Vanderbilt and Ole Miss. I for one feel that Middle Tennessee is underseeded. If I’m right then they have the chance to prove it today.
-#9 VANDERBILT VS #8 NORTHWESTERN (4:30 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Northwestern is in their first ever NCAA Tournament and they’re coming off a pretty decent showing (minus their last game) in the Big Ten Tournament. Had Vandy played the first half of their season as well as they played the second half of their season, there is no way they’d be on the #9 line. In fact they’d probably be flirting with a protected seed. They did beat Florida (who is a protected seed) three times in the latter part of the season and nearly beat Kentucky on the road. So watch out for this Vandy team!
-#11 XAVIER VS #6 MARYLAND (6:50 PM, Orlando, FL – TNT). Xavier was rather pitiful for the last several weeks of the season, but they were rather impressive in the Big East Tournament. They reached the semis and had a chance to tie the game at the buzzer against Creighton. Maryland has been pretty consistent all year and won a fair number of close games. It’s hard to know what to expect in this one.
-#16 MOUNT SAINT MARY’S VS #1 VILLANOVA (7:10 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Villanova is the overall #1 seed and it was well earned. Mount Saint Mary’s is coming off a First Four win against New Orleans, which followed a first place finish and tournament championship in NEC play. They’re swinging way over their heads today, though.
-#10 VCU VS #7 SAINT MARY’S (7:20 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Both of these teams pretty much beat the teams they were supposed to beat (NIT or worse), but at the same time had a limited number of wins against solid tournament teams. In fact outside of both of them beating Dayton, there isn’t much else there. One of them will end up winning a big game today, though.
-#13 VERMONT VS #4 PURDUE (7:27 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TruTV). I really like this Vermont team. They blew through the America East by pretty much running away in the league standings and then winning the tournament championship. They’re not as good as Purdue, but they’re definitely good enough to compete with Purdue and even beat them if the Boilermakers overlook them.
-#14 FLORIDA GULF COAST VS #3 FLORIDA STATE (9:20 PM, Orlando, FL – TNT). FGCU had a great year in the A-Sun and it’s exciting to get an NCAA Tournament game in their home state against a power program from their home state. Having said that, I know they’ve excited us in the past but I don’t think they have much of a chance today. This is a very good and talented Florida State team with a very strong post play that FGCU probably won’t be able to match up against.
-#9 VIRGINIA TECH VS #8 WISCONSIN (9:40 PM, Buffalo, NY – CBS). Throughout most of Big Ten play I always had the feeling that this Wisconsin team wasn’t hitting their ceiling, and I went from thinking that they were equivalent to to the #8 team overall, to now thinking they legitimately belong on the #8 seed line. They did look good in the Big Ten Tournament, so they do come into this with some momentum. Buzz Williams has turned Virginia Tech around rather quickly, and a tournament win for them today would be huge.
-#15 NORTH DAKOTA VS #2 ARIZONA (9:50 PM, Salt Lake City, UT – TBS). Arizona looked amazing in the Pac-12 Tournament and looks as good as some of the #1 seeds. North Dakota had a fantastic year in the Big Sky, which was probably their best season ever since moving up to D-1, but they are way overmatched in this game.
-#12 NEVADA VS #5 IOWA STATE (9:57 PM, Milwaukee, WI – TruTV). Nevada has really good power rankings, and although the Mountain West was not on par with the other multi-bid leagues this year, it was still a step above pretty much all of the rest of the UTR leagues and they won some pretty impressive games this season. If they weren’t matched up against Iowa State, I’d like their chances of making the Round of 32 a lot more. This Iowa State team started off a little slow, but finished incredibly strong. They just got through winning the Big Twelve Tournament, and appear to be on pace to go deep into the NCAA Tournament.






Postseason News, Notes and Highlighted Games – Wednesday, March 15
Last night marked the beginning of the 2017 NCAA Tournament – both games were competitive and literally involved fighting teammates in the case of New Orleans. The Privateers ended up losing to Mount St. Mary’s 67-66 after their in-bounds pass was intercepted with 2 seconds to play in their game. Their reward is a trip to Buffalo to play top-seeded Villanova on Thursday. Kansas State led most of the way against Wake Forest, but were never able to completely pull away until the final minute. They won 95-88 to mark their first NCAA Tournament victory since 2011 and will now fly cross-country to play Cincinnati at the Sacramento sub-regional site on Friday.
In the NIT, the first round was filled with upsets. Teams like Clemson (beaten at home by Oakland) and Indiana (losing at Georgia Tech) were put out of their misery after what can colloquially be described as hard-luck seasons. Monmouth, Utah, California and Alabama all lost their openers to Ole Miss, Boise State, Cal-State Bakersfield and Richmond, respectively. The only home teams to win last night were Illinois (against Valparaiso) and Colorado State (beating Charleston).
As for the CIT, there was one team that won away from home and that was the surging St. Francis Red Flash thanks to their 78-76 win at Jacksonville. This game was billed as the Hugh Durham Classic (the 2nd of 4 1st-round trophy games in the CIT). Campbell and Samford also advanced to the 2nd round with home wins against Houston Baptist and Canisius, respectively.
On the coaching front, Brian Gregory made it official that he will be the head coach at South Florida after serving as a consultant for Tom Izzo for one season. Maurice Joseph is also expected to be named the full-time head coach at GW after serving as interim head coach following the departure of Mike Lonergan.
NCAA TOURNAMENT
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL vs. UC-DAVIS (6:40 PM, TruTV). Our committee was a little surprised that NC Central was assigned a play-in game after winning both the regular season and conference tournament in the MEAC, but I suppose it was inevitable with a 2-game slide at the end of the regular season. The Aggies are a first-time entrant to the Division I NCAA Tournament thanks to their thrilling win over UC-Irvine in the Big West championship last Saturday. The winner advances to the Tulsa sub-regional to play Kansas on Friday.
PROVIDENCE vs. USC (9:10 PM, TruTV). The Trojans are the first team to play a second time in the First Four in a game that doesn’t involve 16th-seeded teams. While the Trojans faded badly at the end of the regular season and eked out an at-large bid over teams like Syracuse and Illinois State, the Friars come into the NCAA Tournament having won 6 out of their last 7 games. This is actually a rematch of the 1st round from last year where Rodney Bullock defeated the Trojans with a game-winning layup in the closing seconds. The winner also goes to Tulsa on Friday – they will play SMU in the first round.
NIT
(8) UNC-GREENSBORO at (1) SYRACUSE (7:00 PM, ESPN2). This game was initially scheduled to be played last night, but was postponed due to a blizzard that struck the Northeast yesterday. This game is expected to go forward tonight.
(7) BELMONT at (2) GEORGIA (7:00 PM, ESPN3/WatchESPN). Belmont received an auto-bid to the NIT after losing in the semifinals of the Ohio Valley conference tournament against eventual champion Jacksonville State. Georgia had an up-and-down year in the SEC, and it is possible that they might be playing for Mark Fox’s job tonight and throughout the NIT.
(5) COLORADO at (4) CENTRAL FLORIDA (7:00 PM, ESPN3/WatchESPN). While Colorado had a tough season in the Pac-12 by recent standards, UCF was a pleasant surprise in the American under Johnny Dawkins’ first season as head coach for the Knights. UCF’s best win at home came against Cincinnati and are more than capable of winning their NIT opener tonight.
(7) AKRON at (2) HOUSTON (7:30 PM, ESPNU). Houston racked up a quantity of wins this year in the American, but failed to get any quality wins of note outside of Vermont and Rhode Island. They are still playing better basketball at the moment than an Akron team that has been in a slump since February.
(5) FRESNO STATE at (4) TCU (8:00 PM, ESPN3/WatchESPN). The Jamie Dixon reclamation project at TCU is ahead of schedule – the Big 12’s perennial doormat advanced to the NIT in a season where they were actually a threat to be considered for the NCAA Tournament until a February swoon. Fresno State was unable to defend their Mountain West title from last year, but they have shown they are capable of winning in hostile environments after a regular-season sweep of Nevada (excluding the Mountain West tournament where Nevada finally beat the Bulldogs).
(8) SOUTH DAKOTA at (1) IOWA (9:00 PM, ESPN2). The Coyotes were the surprise winner of the Summit League regular-season title but were unable to get beyond the semifinals of their conference tournament thanks to a loss to in-state rival South Dakota State. Iowa has star power in Peter Jok and actually has some late-season momentum in a year where they were expected to rebuild and not make any postseason tournament that didn’t require an entry fee (cough)CBI(cough).
(8) UC IRVINE at (1) ILLINOIS STATE (9:30 PM, ESPNU). While head coach Dan Muller was busy on Twitter on Monday trying to encourage people to schedule a home-and-home with his team, they were still getting ready for a postseason game tonight. Will they be motivated to take on a UC-Irvine team that had a potential game-tying shot blocked at the end of regulation against UC-Davis in the Big West championship?
(6) TEXAS-ARLINGTON at (3) BYU (11:00 PM, ESPN2). Injuries took their toll on the Mavs during the Sun Belt tournament and are likely looking at a one-and-done against a BYU team that was the only team all year to defeat Gonzaga.
CBI
UTAH VALLEY at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (7:00 PM). This should be an exciting matchup between a Utah Valley that is one of the top teams of the country in terms of pace of play and a Georgia Southern team that was a contender for the Sun Belt title throughout the regular season.
LOYOLA-MD at GEORGE MASON (7:00 PM). George Mason has been much improved this season under 2nd-year head coach Dave Paulsen. They’re looking to gain some momentum going into next season in the A-10. Loyola also had a few nice wins of their own in the Patriot League this season, so a road upset is not out of the question for tonight.
HAMPTON at COASTAL CAROLINA (7:00 PM). It just wouldn’t be a postseason without Conway, SC playing host to at least one game, now would it? Their guests are the Hampton Pirates – they lost in the semifinals of the MEAC tournament last weekend.
TOLEDO at GEORGE WASHINGTON (7:00 PM). As alluded to earlier, GW should have some momentum going into this game with Maurice Joseph expected to become the permanent head coach for the Colonials. Their biggest win of the season was their regular-season finale at home against Dayton where our esteemed colleague Jon Teitel was in attendance to cover the game.
GREEN BAY at UMKC (8:00 PM). Finally, the Municipal Auditorium will once again host a postseason game for the first time since 1964. They used to actually hold the record for most tournament games hosted until they were surpassed by UD Arena. And then there’s a matchup between Green Bay and the UMKC Roos.
SAN FRANCISCO at RICE (8:00 PM). The Dons have been more of an under-the-radar team that should have gotten love from our panel this year, but the promotion of the WCC up to the big boys really pushed them back in terms of coverage this year. Rice has also been much improved compared to this time last season.
EASTERN WASHINGTON at WYOMING (9:00 PM). Tonight marks a battle of the Front Range versus the Cascade Range at the NCAA’s highest point at 7,220 feet at Wyoming.
CIT
BALL STATE at FORT WAYNE (7:00 PM, Facebook Live). Tonight marks the 3rd of 4 trophy games in the CIT First Round – the Cardinals and Mastodons will be competing in the Lou Henson Classic. It’s unknown as to whether or not the winner gets a custom Lou Henson orange blazer as their trophy.
FAIRFIELD at UMBC (7:00 PM, Facebook Live). UMBC is another great turnaround story from last year – despite losing to the Team of the People in the 1st round of the America East tournament, they are showing that they will be a future force in the America East under Ryan Odom’s leadership. Fairfield had a win at Boston College earlier in the season but not much else beyond that.
GEORGIA STATE at TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI (8:00 PM, Facebook Live). Both teams came off of stunning losses in their respective conference tournaments – Georgia State was upset by Texas State in the Sun Belt semis and Corpus Christi lost a heartbreaker in OT in the Southland championship to New Orleans.
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN at IDAHO (11:00 PM, Facebook Live). The Lumberjacks are not in their customary spot in the NCAA Tournament that they enjoyed under Brad Underwood, but nonetheless will be playing at a solid Idaho team tonight. Can they stop Victor Sanders and the Sherwood brothers?