LINKS
-For today’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE
-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE
The following Bracket is JOHN STALICA’S bracket of what he personally thinks the bracket SHOULD look like if today were Selection Sunday. It is not an attempt to guess what the actual Selection Committee will do in March.
COMMENTS FROM JOHN (comments and criticisms from the rest of the staff are posted below)
– Providence was the big mover this weekend. While I was already a big fan of what they’ve accomplished this year, their win at Villanova (albeit at the Wells Fargo Center) may well be the single best win we’ve had this year away from home, maybe a little more so than Texas going into West Virginia and winning. There is no rest for the weary – we are certain to have a Top 10 matchup when Xavier visits Providence tomorrow night.
– With Oregon getting a sweep of the SoCal schools this weekend, I would have them as the auto-bid winner out of the Pac-12 as of this week. With their win at a Utah team that had a great weekend of their own, I think the Ducks are now more worthy of a seed that the metrics would suggest they deserve.
– It was also not a good week in terms of at-large consideration for teams like Monmouth, Valparaiso and Texas-Arlington. I still believe that Monmouth has one more strike that they can absorb in MAAC play before falling below the at-large threshold should they not win their conference tournament. Valpo is right on the cut line, but they cannot lose to anyone else in the Horizon and expect an at-large should they not survive Motor City Madness.
My First 4 teams out: GW, Florida State, Gonzaga, Stanford
COMMENTS FROM DAVID
-Generally there are several things that jump out at me that makes me think the person who posted the bracket must be eating shrooms, but I agree with just about everything John did.
-North Carolina’s paper doesn’t exactly scream #1 seed. They don’t have that monster road win that you normally see from a #1 seed, but they could certainly end up getting it before the year is over. I think their team is better than what their current paper indicates.
-Monmouth on the #9 line might seem high given that they have three rather bad losses, but all those losses were on the road, and they have some wins that are much better than anyone else around them. For instance, no one on the #7 line has the bad losses that Monmouth has, but none of them have as many good wins either, so a strong argument can be made that the #9 line is where they belong.
-I’m not as big on Saint Joseph’s. I just don’t think they have the wins that other the other teams inside the bubble have. They are an impressive 6-0 in true road games, and that includes a very good win at Temple who has just one other home loss, but they still haven’t beaten any teams that are actually inside the bubble yet.
-I haven’t been big on Oregon at all this year, but they went on the road and picked up several big wins, which completely changes the complexion of their profile. I don’t like them quite as much as John does, but they’re definitely much higher up on my seed list now.
-Arizona on the #6 line makes sense as far as their current paper, but like North Carolina, I think Arizona’s team is better than their paper. If I’m right, then they have the rest of the year to prove it.
News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Jan 25th
NEWS AND NOTES
-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day between Lamar and SFA – CLICK HERE
-John Stalica’s latest bracket projections will be posted later this afternoon. Be on the lookout for it.
-If you’re an SMU fan, you’re not going to like this, but I don’t care. People say that Temple ruined SMU’s perfect season. In reality, SMU’s season was rather imperfect before they even played their first game. Not being able to play in the postseason no matter what you do is the exact opposite of perfect. I’m a very big critic of the NCAA, but in this case I find it very hard to believe that this is an unfortunate and unfair misstep. There are two rather ugly variables in play here. SMU with their history, and Larry Brown with his history. For programs that have gotten themselves in trouble and then have had everyone scatter while new people come in and have to clean up the mess, I’m sympathetic and supportive of those individuals. But, that’s not the case with SMU. The people that made the mess are still there, and in my opinion they shouldn’t be going to the postseason, even if they are the best team on the court. Grand Canyon deserves it a lot more than they do.
It was a nice win for Temple, and it’s the kind of win that will get them a look if they win out. I like Temple’s chances of making the NCAA Tournament a lot more than SMU’s. (rimshot)
-Utah needed quality wins, and they needed a road win, and they got both yesterday with their overtime win against Washington. That completely changes the complexion of the Utes’ profile. I must say that I’m surprises they pulled it out. For a second there I thought things were getting a little too intense.
-Providence is inexplicably better on the road than they are at home this year. Their overtime win at Villanova yesterday is the kind of stuff that #1 seeds are made of. The problem is that they have losses at home to teams that, while good, are nowhere close to being protected seeds. Fortunately for Providence, the NCAA Tournament games won’t be home games.
-I was about ready to write off Oregon State, but they absolutely trounced a very good USC team at home yesterday. Granted, they were at home, but it was still a big win. In other news, back in November I never thought I would be saying something along the lines of “what a big win for Oregon State that was!! Over USC!!” If I had I think Chad, John, Joby, and CO. would have wanted to send me back to rehab.
HIGHLIGHTED GAMES
-DUKE AT MIAMI FL (ACC). Miami looks to be better than Duke at this point, but on the court and on paper. Duke can still end up as a protected seed, but they probably need a road win like this on order to be able to secure it. Two ranked ACC teams. Business as usual, I guess.
-KANSAS AT IOWA STATE (Big Twelve). This is another monster road test for the Jayhawks, and I think if they want to end up on the #1 line they need to win at least one of these huge road games (Iowa State, Oklahoma, or Baylor). They’ve already fallen at West Virginia, and they certainly don’t need to win ALL of those, but the teams who end up on the #1 line generally manage to win one game like that. It should be another crazy atmosphere and another fun game.
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