Under the Radar Game of the Day (and Highlighted Games) – Friday January 15: Monmouth at Iona

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Monmouth at Iona, 9:00 PM Eastern, ESPNU

It may be the Game of the Year in the Metro Atlantic tonight.  Heading into the season, the Iona Gaels were the pick to win the conference.  By the time non-conference play ended, the Monmouth Hawks, with their always-entertaining bench, became the clear favorite.  Tonight, the two teams meet in New Rochelle, New York, for a game that could have major implications on the MAAC regular season championship — and on Monmouth’s chances for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.

Monmouth enters tonight’s game with a record of 12-4 overall and 4-1 in conference play.  They have won a very impressive 7 true road games and 9 times overall away from home.  Their wins include UCLA, USC, Notre Dame and Georgetown.  Unfortunately, their resume is tarnished by a pair of road losses — at Canisius and at Army.  If the Hawks had been able to win those two games, they would be looking like a lock, at this point at least, to make the Big Dance.  They would probably even be flirting with the Top 25 nationally.  Here at HOOPS HD, we are still projecting Monmouth as a tournament team, regardless of whether or not they win their league’s automatic bid.  However, they probably will need to find a way to win the MAAC regular season title, and falling two games behind Iona with a loss tonight would not help that cause at all.

Iona currently sits at 9-6 overall, but in first place in the MAAC at 6-0.  The Gaels struggled during the non-conference portion of their schedule, losing disappointing games to UC-Santa Babara and Akron during a trip to Las Vegas.  However, they were also without their star player for those two games.  A.J. English is back healthy now, and proving he can dominate a game.  He scored 24 points in each of his team’s last two games, and came close to a double-double both times with 7 assists against Rider and 8 against Marist.  If the Hawks do not find a way to contain him tonight, they may not be heading back to New Jersey with a win, and will have very little margin for error left the rest of the season.

 

Other Highlighted Games

– George Washington at Dayton: This may be one of the top games this season in the A-10.  Both teams looked like solid tournament locks about a month ago, but some questionable road losses have made things more dicey.  GW lost at DePaul and at Saint Louis while Dayton has a bad loss at La Salle.  The winner of tonight’s game will have another nice feather in their cap as we move towards the end of January.

– Evansville at Illinois State: The Aces are still on the radar for an at-large bid, but cannot afford any missteps the rest of the way.  That makes wining the game tonight, on the road against a solid Illinois State team, almost a must-win.

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Throwback Thursday: A March To Madness (Part 1)

Click here for David Griggs’ News and Notes for January 14, 2016

Click here for Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day between Fort Wayne (IPFW) and South Dakota State; also click here for Chad and David’s weekly UTR Podcast

Finally, click here for Joby Fortson’s latest installment of the Nitty Gritty Rankings

Last month, I had reviewed John Feinstein’s The Last Amateurs documenting the 1999-2000 season in the Patriot League; today we take a look at his earlier book A March To Madness which detailed the ACC in the 1996-97 season. The Atlantic Coast Conference has historically been the most consistently strong conference from top to bottom; this season was no exception. This was a season in which Tim Duncan took an expected victory lap for his senior season at Wake Forest; Dean Smith would coach North Carolina for the final time (although this wasn’t known until his retirement just before the beginning of the next season), and Mike Krzyzewski in essence rebuilt Duke’s storied program for the 2nd time.

While North Carolina got off to a slow start in ACC play (they were 3-5 in the first part of the season with home losses to Maryland and road losses at Wake Forest, Virginia, Florida State and Duke), they got red-hot in the 2nd half of conference play and would not lose again until they reached the Final 4 in Indianapolis. This also represented a time when Dean Smith would pass Adolph Rupp on the all-time victories list after beating Colorado in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament in Winston-Salem. With a star cast that included Vince Carter, Antwain Jamison, Ademola Okulaja, Ed Cota and Shammond Williams, the Tar Heels would win 15 straight games en route to a #1 seed in the East Region and East Region championship before losing to Arizona.

Clemson was in Year 3 of the Rick Barnes era, and began their season with a flourish with a win on a neutral floor against Kentucky in their season opener. Their other signature wins included a win at home over Duke and a regular-season sweep over Maryland (although the Terps got the last laugh in the ACC Tournament). While Clemson did falter down the stretch in the regular season, they got a new lease on life when they were assigned to the Midwest Region as a #4 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They defeated Miami-Ohio and Tulsa in the Kansas City subregional before losing a double-overtime thriller to Minnesota in the Sweet 16 in San Antonio – click here to watch this classic.

Duke was 2 years removed from a disastrous season in which Mike Krzyzewski was sidelined with a back injury and would miss the bulk of ACC play from the bench for the Blue Devils. They got a signature win at Villanova (at what was then the debut of the First Union Center) before entering ACC play. After seething over a close loss at Maryland in which he felt his team had settled for a moral victory, Coach K figuratively and literally drew the line in what was an intense week of practices leading up to their annual rivalry with North Carolina. He debuted a smaller lineup featuring Chris Carrawell, Steve Wojciechowski, Trajan Langdon, and Jeff Capel; the Blue Devils would win a thriller at home en route to a regular season championship in the ACC. The Blue Devils would be upset by Providence in the 2nd round in Charlotte (Southeast Region), but reinforcements were on the way to Durham for the following season.

Wake Forest had the highest expectations in the preseason, and early on the Demon Deacons were looking like a sure bet to advance to the Final 4. They beat #1 Kansas AND #2 Missouri at separate points in the nonconference schedule, and also had decisive wins over UNC and at Duke (the only home loss for Duke all year) in the first half of ACC play. After losing a pair of heartbreakers at home to Maryland and NC State (click here for the NC State game – note the ending of this particular game), the Deacons seemed to lose their mojo in the 2nd half of ACC play. Duke, North Carolina and even Florida State would avenge earlier losses to Wake. While they ended up with a #3 seed in the West, they would be upset by the Stanford Cardinal in the 2nd round in Tuscon. (And yes, the Pac-10 incidentally had all 4 teams who qualified for the NCAAs advance to the Sweet 16, to say nothing about eventual national champion Arizona).

Maryland was another reclamation project in the ACC; when Gary Williams took the job for the 1989-90 season, he inherited a program that would be NIT bound in his debut season before getting hammered with a ban on NCAA Tournament play AND TV coverage for 2 seasons for transgressions committed in the Bob Wade regime. Keith Booth was the star for the Terrapins; they began the season unranked and would climb into the Top 10 in January. Only Wake Forest was able to beat the Terps in the 1st half of ACC play; they would limp to 5th place in the conference at the end of the regular season. They beat Clemson in the opening round of the ACC Tournament but failed to take advantage of Duke being upset by NC State the previous day. They would lose to the Wolfpack and ultimately were upset by College of Charleston in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament.

The only team in the ACC that had to sweat out Selection Sunday were the Virginia Cavaliers; they were a team that advanced to the Elite 8 under Jeff Jones only 2 seasons earlier. However, going through the turmoil of off-season arrests and Jones’ own divorce would take an emotional toll on the Cavaliers. They did beat North Carolina and Maryland at home; they fell short at home against Duke in a very controversial ending (click here for game highlights) involving a clock malfunction and a failure by officials to allow a substitution by Virginia after a made free throw late in the game. While the Cavs were shipped west in the NCAA Tournament, they were blown out by Iowa in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament.

The Cinderella story in the conference this season was the North Carolina State Wolfpack. In Herb Sendek’s first season as head coach, the Wolfpack began conference play 0-8 while losing one heartbreaker after another. In the 2nd half of conference play, they would actually finish 4-4 with home wins against Clemson, Florida State and Georgia Tech and at Wake Forest. Their 4-4 record was better than Maryland and Clemson and equal to that of Wake Forest. In the ACC Tournament, they beat Georgia Tech in the 1st round (aka the Les Robinson Game) before upsetting Duke in the quarterfinals and Maryland in the semifinals. Even North Carolina struggled to finish State in the ACC Championship; it would represent the first time since 1979 that the ACC runner-up would be relegated to the NIT. Even that was a huge step up for State fans given their decline after the late Jim Valvano resigned earlier in the decade (and may be the only time a program’s own fans would chant “NIT” after their first 3 wins in the ACC Tournament).

Florida State was another program that had been in a decline after their first 2 seasons in the ACC yielded a Sweet 16 appearance in 1992 and an Elite 8 run in 1993. There were whispers about the fate of Pat Kennedy after he had interviewed for other jobs in the offseason the year before; they grew louder as Florida State slumped to a 6-10 record in ACC play. They did beat Wake Forest and North Carolina at home, but their only notable road win was at Clemson. Still, they did advance to the finals of the NIT before losing to Michigan in the championship game at Madison Square Garden.

Only Georgia Tech would not qualify for any postseason in 1996-97. It was the first time at Tech that Bobby Cremins would finish last in the ACC since his first season in 1981-82 when he inherited a program in ruin. What really hurt the Yellow Jackets was Cremins’ inability to have a point guard ready to play when Stephon Marbury had declared for the NBA Draft last season. This was a program that went from Lethal Weapon III in 1990 (Kenny Anderson, Dennis Scott and Brian Oliver) to Travis Best to Stephon Marbury. Tech still had a star player in Matt Harpring (or “Hopping”, as Feinstein noted on Cremins’ pronounciation) but not nearly enough complimentary pieces to hope to compete in the ACC that season.

Next week, we focus more on the coaches of the ACC and some of their back stories (i.e. Which coach had to agree to coach women’s soccer as a condition of becoming a top assistant coach in men’s basketball). Stay tuned!

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Thursday, Jan 14th

NEWS AND NOTES

-For our most recent Under the Radar Video Podcast – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-Joby’s Nitty Gritty Rankings have been updated.  To check them out – CLICK HERE

-The story last night was Clemson, who won their third straight ACC game, and their second game in a row against a ranked team.  It doesn’t get any easier for them, but in a way that’s good because if they keep knocking off tournament caliber teams then they’ll become a tournament team themselves.

-USC became just the second team this season to win at UCLA, and they did so decisively.  The Trojans are now looking like they could be wearing white in the Round of 64.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-WESTERN CAROLINA AT CHATTANOOGA (SoCon).  Every game from here on out will have a do or die feel to it for Chattanooga, but if they are a legitimate tournament team then they should be able to win out.

-JAMES MADISON AT NORTHEASTERN (Colonial).  These are two of the better teams in the Colonial, but unless one of them can run away from the league (which is possible but not very likely), then they’ll end up needing the automatic bid.

-CONNECTICUT AT TULSA (American).  This is a road win that UConn really needs to pick up.  Tulsa is an average team that should be better, but isn’t.

-IOWA AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Iowa won the first meeting, but they were at home and Michigan State was not at full strength.  If Iowa can pull off the upset in this one, then it definitely demonstrates that they are worthy of a protected seed.  If Michigan State can avenge the loss, then it definitely demonstrates that they are a #1 seed caliber team when they are at full strength.

-UAB AT OLD DOMINION (Conference USA).  Old Dominion has been a pretty big disappointment this year, but they are still unbeaten at home.  If UAB, who has won nine straight, can pick up this one then it would probably end up being their best win of the year.  It probably still won’t be enough, but if they run the table then they should at least get a look for an at-large.

-WILLIAM & MARY AT CHARLESTON (Colonial).  William & Mary probably has the best shot at an at-large if they can run away from the Colonial.  They’ll be tested tonight against  a Charleston team that has just one home loss.

-WASHINGTON STATE AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac Twelve).  Arizona State still has some work to do and can’t afford to lose to sub tournament caliber teams at home.

-MILWAUKEE AT VALPARAISO (Horizon League).  If Valpo wins out, which they are definitely good enough to do, then they should be safely inside the bubble.

-APPALACHIAN STATE AT LITTLE ROCK (Sun Belt).  This is one of many conference games that Little Rock will play where they need to avoid a bad loss.  If they do that they should be fine.

-UT ARLINGTON AT TROY (Sun Belt).  Same comment as above.  UT Arlington needs to avoid bad losses.

-BYU AT GONZAGA (West Coast).  If BYU wants any hope at landing inside the bubble then I think they need to win this game.  They won’t have an opportunity at another win this good for the rest of the year.  Gonzaga doesn’t have too much meat on their schedule and needs to avoid losses to sub tournament teams if they want to be wearing white in the Round of 64.

-PITTSBURGH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC).  Right now, I’d say these are two good teams who’s profiles aren’t quite so good.  The pressure is on both of them to win games like this if they want to end up safely in the field with a good seed.

-WASHINGTON AT ARIZONA (Pac Twelve).  Arizona is reeling somewhat and needs to rebound.  Washington is kind of bubblish and a win in a game like this would do wonders for them.

-OREGON AT UTAH (Pac Twelve).  Oregon has yet to win a true road game, so this would improve their resume a ton if they’re able to pull it off.  Having said that, Utah hasn’t lost a home game.

-CALIFORNIA AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  California is looking better and better, and a road win against a conference rival would help them a ton both on and off paper.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, January 14: Fort Wayne at South Dakota State

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Fort Wayne at South Dakota State, 8:00 PM Eastern

For our latest Under the Radar video podcast, CLICK HERE.

The UTR Game of the Day returns to the state of South Dakota tonight for an intriguing matchup between two of the Summit League’s best teams as the South Dakota State Jackrabbits host the IP-Fort Wayne Mastodons.  South Dakota State enters play tonight with a 13-4 overall record, 2-1 in conference and the league’s best RPI at 62.  Although the Jackrabbits have played at times this season like a team capable of getting at-large bid consideration, a few head-scratching losses, including one at UMKC back in November and a loss last time out at IUPUI, have left the Jackrabbits in a position where making the Big Dance may require the automatic bid.  With the conference tournament being played in Sioux Falls again this season, they will certainly have a great chance to win it.  However, taking a top seed in the tournament will be a huge help — and to do that they cannot afford very many more slip-ups.

Tonight, South Dakota States welcomes in the the IPFW Mastodons.  Fort Wayne is 14-4 overall and 3-0 in Summit League play, with an RPI of 82.  They won a thriller, 65-64, at Denver over the weekend.  A win tonight, over the team that has appeared to be the conference favorites, will certainly send a message that the Mastodons intend to contend for the regular season title and automatic bid this year.  Fort Wayne is led by Mo Evans and Max Landis.  Landis is a three-point specialist who sank an impressive 9 three-pointers in a home win over Austin Peay earlier this year.  If he comes anywhere close to playing that well tonight, the Mastodons will have a great chance to pick up the win.

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Under the Radar: January 13th

Chad and David begin by looking at the MAC Conference, and talking about how despite several teams having pretty solid records, the overall lack of schedule strength out of conference is what will make it so difficult for any of these teams to land inside the bubble.  They focus particularly on Northern Illinois and how much their program has improved in recent years.  They then run through all 23 Under the Radar conferences, and discuss how strong they both think Valparaiso is, debate the merits of Monmouth’s profile and whether or not they deserve to be solidly in the field, discuss Chattanooga’s big loss to Furman over the weekend and debate whether or not they can still get an at-large, talk about the continued success of Little Rock and Arlington out of the Sun Belt, reveal this week’s UTR Top Ten, and preview all the big upcoming games.

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show….

 

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Wednesday, Jan 13th

Below is a rundown of tonight’s action and a quick look back at last night.

NEWS AND NOTES

-Both Kansas and Maryland lost on the road last night.  The Kansas loss at West Virginia was far less surprising and far less damaging.  WVU hasn’t lost at home all year.  The fans showed up late due to hazardous weather.  I must apologize for attacking their fans on twitter when the game started and the arena was empty.  I didn’t realize the trouble people were having getting to the game.

-Michigan picked up a big home win.  Maryland is definitely a protected seed, but I don’t think they belong on the top two lines, or deserve the #3 ranking.  I didn’t feel that way before the game either because they look good, but at no point have they looked #1 seed good.

-Virginia picked up a big home win against Miami FL.  Virginia is clearly a top five caliber team when they’re at home.  I still think they’ll end up as a protected seed, but thing is that to land on the top two lines the way they have the past two years is that you have to beat top twenty teams ON THE ROAD, and in Virginia’s last two road games they went down to teams that aren’t even likely to make the tournament.  As for Miami, it was close, and it would have been their biggest win of the year up to this point, but they’re still in very good shape.

-Iowa State went down at Texas, which is a big win for Texas but they still have some work to do.

-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SMU AT EAST CAROLINA (American).  SMU is a top twenty caliber team that is still unbeaten and still ineligible.

-RUTGERS AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Ohio State still has a long way to go, and a loss at home tonight would increase that distance by quite a bit.

-HOUSTON AT CINCINNATI (American).  Some at Hoops HD like this Houston team.  I’m not a believer, but if they can pick up this win on the road then I’d have to at least sit up and take notice.  Cincinnati is about six points and twelve seconds away from having three wins against the top twenty and easily being in the top twenty themselves.  As it stands, they have a slim margin for error, and any loss to a non tournament caliber team narrows that margin.

-BOSTON COLLEGE AT SYRACUSE. (ACC).  Right now I’d say Syracuse is out.  If they lose this game, there won’t be any doubt about it.

-DUKE AT CLEMSON (ACC).  Clemson has so far to go that you can’t even begin talking about them realistically getting there yet, but they do have three conference wins, including at Syracuse and at home against Louisville in their last two games.  Duke is looking to improve to 3-0 in true road games and remain a contender for a #1 seed.

-FORDHAM AT VCU (Atlantic Ten).  VCU had a somewhat sluggish December, but they’re really on a roll now and are looking like one of the best teams in the Atlantic Ten.  They shouldn’t have too much trouble getting past Fordham tonight.

-RHODE ISLAND AT SAINT BONAVENTURE (Atlantic Ten).  A win gets the Bonnies to an impressive 12-3.  I also think it’s time for us to start looking at them a lot more closely.

-TEMPLE AT MEMPHIS (American).  Despite not having anywhere close to the paper they need (at least not yet) Temple does seem like they’re good enough to ruin a lot of people’s days.  Memphis seems to be inching toward the bubble, but they still have a long way to go and really can’t afford a loss tonight.

-TCU AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve).  Baylor is coming off their huge win at Iowa State, and is looking to follow that up with a win against their in-state rival tonight.

-MARQUETTE AT VILLANOVA (Big East).  After a sluggish start to the season, Marquette’s paper is looking better and better.  They already have a monster road win at Providence, and if they pick this one up they’re probably looking at catapulting themselves into our next projections.  Nova still looks to be the best in the Big East and can still end up as high as the #1 line.

-PENN STATE AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  This is as winnable as conference games get for the Boilers.  They shouldn’t have too much trouble especially at home.

-OLE MISS AT LSU (SEC).  Right now, I think both teams are on the outside looking in and still have a lot of work to do, which makes this a big game for both of them.

-SOUTH CAROLINA AT ALABAMA (SEC).  South Carolina looks to remain among the unbeaten while adding another quality road win to an already pretty good profile, and Bama is looking to pick up a home win against a ranked team and boost their resume as well.  The Tide seem to be hovering around the bubble and could really use this one.

-OKLAHOMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big Twelve).  BEDLAM!!!!  I love this rivalry, and the way things are going in college basketball it may be cancelled soon, but lets hope not.  On paper, and even on the court, it appears to be a mismatch, but it’s still a rivalry game on the underdog’s home court, so there’s a good chance it will be closer than you would think.

-WAKE FOREST AT VIRGINIA TECH (ACC).  Wake is looking for their fourth true road win, as well as another big and much needed conference win against a very much improved (but still with a long way to go) Virginia Tech team.  Wake should make the field if they take care of business in their winnable games.  This game isn’t easy, but it is winnable.

-GEORGIA TECH AT NOTRE DAME (ACC).  Right now we have Notre Dame on the bubble and Georgia Tech pretty far outside of it.  The best way to fall outside the bubble is to lose at home to teams that are outside the bubble, so the Irish can’t afford to drop this one.

-FLORIDA STATE AT NC STATE (ACC).  Both teams have somewhat of a shot at making the field, and in the case of Florida State the talent is certainly there, but both also have a long way to go.

-WICHITA STATE AT MISSOURI STATE (Missouri Valley).  The Shockers continue to look like a very solid program since getting healthy, and if they continue to rampage through the conference they should be okay for a bid.

-BOISE STATE AT NEVADA (Mountain West).  I believe Boise State is the only team in this league who can play their way into a position to be safe for an at-large, but they’ll have to run over the league to be in that situation.

-OREGON STATE AT COLORADO (Pac Twelve).  These teams are looking very bubblish right now, and when a team is in that situation every game has a sense of urgency to it, and this one is no different.

-USC AT UCLA (Pac Twelve).  USC is having an amazing year.  They’re much better than I think any of us expected them to be (and now we know why Pac-12 coaches said USC was a darkhorse team), and whether they make it into the dance or not you have to commend the job Coach Andy Enfield has done with this team.  If they pick up a win at UCLA, who has just one home loss this season, I think they go from inside the bubble to safely inside the bubble.  UCLA is a home court hero that needs to get some wins away from home, but until they do they need to hold serve at home.  There’s a lot on the line for both teams in this one.

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