The Hoops HD Report: December 7th

Chad and the panel look back on what was a busy week in college basketball focusing primarily on the Big Ten/ACC Challenge.  In looking at the teams that could be protected seeds, they discuss Maryland and whether or not they’re an actual Final Four threat, Michigan State’s early success, and North Carolina, Duke, and Virginia’s big wins.  They also look at how Indiana has struggled, whether or not Wake Forest could make the NCAA Tournament, and go through all the other teams as well.

In the Big East, they talk about the big game coming up between Xavier and Cincinnati.  In the Big Twelve they talk about how there could be as many as five protected seeds.  They review UCLA’s big win over Kentucky and Arizona’s big win at Gonzaga, talk about how the Mountain West has struggled, and focus on Cincinnati and Connecticut as being the top teams in the AAC.  All that, and much more….

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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Bracket Projections: Dec 7th

Below is our latest Bracket Projections, updated by John Stalica (@jstalica78) on Monday, December 7th at 2pm, est

READ THIS FIRST!!

-It is important to understand that these brackets are CHECKPOINTS on CURRENT MERIT.  They are not a forecast of what I think things will look like in March, or for that matter how good I actually think teams currently are.

-For a write up of today’s highlighted games – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

 

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Comments/Remarks by Chad

As a new feature, I have decided to point out my personal reaction to the brackets being released by my colleagues (though as I have previously noted, any bracket before mid-January at the earliest is pure lunacy)

First, Butler just won at Cincinnati, yet John has Butler on the 7 line and Cincinnati on the 5 line.  Oh, and he lives in Cincinnati.  Hmmmmm……

Second, I do not see how Louisville merits a 6 seed.  I believe that they may prove to be 6 seed quality, but to date they have only played one team of note, Michigan State, and lost that game.  Quite frankly, I don’t see much in Louisville’s profile that is any better than Texas Tech’s (not that I feel Texas Tech is a tournament worthy team).

I also feel the Evansville is undervalued greatly as a 14 seed  – I would take what they have done over some of the 12 seeds like Alabama and Colorado.

Finally, I probably would have had Georgetown in my field, but I can understand the argument for leaving them out if this is based on merit to date alone.

 

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Dec 7th

Below is a rundown of today’s college hoops action

NEWS AND NOTES

-We will be recording our Hoops HD Report Video Podcast this evening.  Be on the lookout for it.

-The updated Bracket Projections are complete and will be posted later this afternoon.

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-OKLAHOMA VS VILLANOVA (Pearl Harbor Classic).  These are two teams that will likely end up as protected seeds going at it on a neutral floor.  To date, it’s the biggest test for both teams.

-WESTERN ILLINOIS AT IOWA.  This is technically a buy game, but Western Illinois’s paper is really good right now with a 6-1 record and a road win at Wisconsin.  If they pull off the upset tonight they’ll have quite a bit of money in the bank saved up for getting an at-large bid.

-NORTHEASTERN AT WESTERN MICHIGAN.  Northeastern suffered another damaging loss in their last game and needs to rebound.  They can’t afford too many strikes if they want to land inside the bubble.

-BELMONT AT LIPSCOMB – Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-OREGON VS NAVY (Pearl Harbor Classic).  Oregon comes in with just one loss, but they have yet to win a game away from home.  Navy is a very respectable 7-2 right now, but they haven’t beaten a team anywhere close to the caliber of Oregon, yet.

-IDAHO AT USC.  A win for the Trojans gets them to a surprising 7-2, which is a much better start than what we were expecting.

 

 

BUY GAMES

-IUPUI @ Purdue
-VMI @ Butler
-Brown @ Georgetown
-Buffalo @ Iowa State
-Biola (nondiv1) @ San Diego State

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, December 7: Belmont at Lipscomb

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Belmont at Lipscomb, 7:30 PM Eastern, espn3

The Battle of the Boulevard.  When leaving Belmont University’s campus in Nashville, make a left onto Belmont Boulevard and head south.  Less than three miles down the “Boulevard”, on your left hand side, you will reach Lipscomb University.  There are very few Division I colleges located closer to one another than these two long-time rivals, and tonight, the teams renew their rivalry once again, in Lipscomb’s Allen Arena.  The two teams have been playing since both were NAIA schools, with the first game dating back to December 11, 1953 (a 72-53 Lipscomb victory).  The most famous games in the series were a 124-105 Lipscomb win in 1990, in a game played at Vanderbilt’s Memorial Gymnasium and in 2006, when Belmont pulled out a thrilling overtime win, 74-69, in a matchup in the Atlantic Sun conference tournament championship game.  Since Belmont moved to the Ohio Valley Conference, the two teams have met twice almost every year.  This is the second of their two games this season — Belmont won the first one last week by a score of 105-89.

Belmont is 5-4 on the season so far, almost disappointing for a team that was picked preseason to win the Ohio Valley Conference.  However, none of their losses have been bad ones by any means (at Arizona State, at Evansville, at BYU and at Valparaiso).  Their top win (other than in round 1 of this season’s Battle) was at Marquette to start the season.  Despite a record just barely over .500, Rick Byrd’s squad has looked good enough to run through the OVC, where their biggest competition will probably come from Murray State, a team that lost a lot off of last season’s conference regular season championship squad.

Lipscomb enter tonight’s game at 3-7, with only two of those wins coming over Division I competition.  Despite the Bisons’ struggles so far this season, there have been some bright spots, including the recent play of Josh Williams.  Williams has scored 17, 21, 20 and 13 points his last four times out and is starting to emerge as one of the team’s top scoring threats.  He will be looked upon, along with his teammates, to help lead the Bisons to victory tonight.  And despite the fact that, on paper at least, Belmont appears to be the stronger team this season, never count out the underdog home team in a rivalry as heated as this one is.  We fully expect a tough competitive game that could come right down to the wire.

 

 

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Dec 6th

A rundown of today’s college hoops action

NEWS AND NOTES

For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-On Friday, Monmouth fell to Canisius in their conference opener.  Losses are far more damaging for teams that play in Under the Radar conferences because virtually all of them come to sub-NIT caliber teams, and they won’t have the opportunities to offset those with bigger wins down the road.

-The more I see of Louisville, the more impressed I am.  Despite losing the game at Michigan State, they showed they could play with a top team on their floor.  Yesterday they absolutely obliterated Grand Canyon.  The fact that they won wasn’t surprising, but the fact that they beat them by close to 50pts was.

-UT Arlington added another win of note to their profile with their decisive win over UTEP.  UTEP is far from an at-large caliber team, but they did have a good record and are generally very tough to beat on the road.

-Georgetown and Syracuse renewed their rivalry, and Georgetown absolutely clobbered them.  As we discussed, the Hoya’s early season record was somewhat misleading because other than the head scratcher against Radford in their season opener, they’d all been close losses to really good teams.  I think we’ll see the Hoyas in the rankings before things are all done.

-Arizona and Gonzaga played in another thriller.  In every game Gonzaga has lost, they opened up what appeared to be a comfortable lead early in the game, but then just couldn’t hold on.  Many of us thought they were a Final Four caliber team coming in to the year.  They could still end up there because all of their losses have been close games to good teams that they had mounted leads against before blowing it, but it looks like they’ll need to make some adjustments.

-The new Bracket Projections should be posted either tonight or tomorrow morning.  Believe it or not, we’re to a point to where most teams have played seven or eight games.  It is at this point in the football season when the selection committee begins releasing their weekly polls.  And, as you may recall, LSU was ranked #2 in that first poll.  So, while we’re getting more and more results and data to analyze, our weekly brackets are still to be looked at as checkpoints and not forecasts.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-VCU VS FLORIDA STATE (Atlanta, GA).  Both of these teams appear to be tournament caliber teams, but they could also use some big wins on their profile.  This would be the biggest win for either team up to this point.

-MONMOUTH AT NIAGARA.  Monmouth’s profile is still good enough, but they need to rebound from their opening loss.  If they fail to do so their NCAA resume will take a major hit.

-COLORADO AT COLORADO STATE (Front Range).  Both of these teams have good records, and although they have a smattering of decent wins, neither of them have any really strong wins yet.   A win in a rivalry game like this would look good on paper as well as give them a huge momentum boost off paper.

-SAN DIEGO STATE VS SAN DIEGO.  PLAY BALL!!!  This game will be played at Petco Park.  It’s unfortunate that the storyline isn’t slightly more compelling.  San Diego is just 2-5, so on paper a loss would hurt San Diego State more than a win would help.

-DAVIDSON AT NORTH CAROLINA.  Davidson is unbeaten, and we believe they are a good team, but as of now they haven’t even played a decent team, let along a really good one.  We should learn something about them today when we see how competitive they’re able to be in this game.

-UC IRVINE AT SAINT MARY’S.  Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day.  CLICK HERE

-VANDERBILT AT BAYLOR.  Both teams are in the rankings, and both will contend for protected seeds.  This will be a high quality OOC win for whoever pulls it off.  For Vandy, it’s their first true road game, so we finally get to see what they can do against a good team on their floor.

-LONG BEACH STATE AT UCLA.  UCLA is coming off a huge win against top ranked Kentucky.  Long Beach State isn’t great, but they’re good enough to beat anyone who overlooks them.

-CAL STATE FULLERTON AT WASHINGTON.  Fullerton hasn’t lost since their season opener and has won three true road games, but this is going to be their toughest test of the season.  Washington isn’t a great team, but they’re tough at home and are better than the teams Fullerton has been playing.

 

BUY/OTHER GAMES

-Central Arkansas @ Pittsburgh
-Appalachian State vs Hofstra – This game is the second of a doubleheader (along with St Francis-Brooklyn vs St John’s) being played at Madison Square Garden today.
-Wofford @ Clemson
-Portland State @ Washington State
-Morgan State @ Cincinnati

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Sunday, December 6: UC-Irvine at St Mary’s

Under the Radar Game of the Day: UC-Irvine at St. Mary’s, 7:00 PM Eastern, thew.tv

The UTR Game of the Day heads out to California today for a matchup between the team we are picking to win the Big West championship, UC-Irvine, and the only undefeated team in the West Coast Conference, St. Mary’s.  The UCI Anteaters enter today’s game with a record of 6-2, including a nice road win at Central Florida.  They had been a sleeper pick to make noise in the Wooden Legacy last week, but faltered in the quarterfinals against Boise State and, after easily beating Boston College, lost again in the Fifth Place Game to Evansville.  Of course, when you talk UC-Irvine, you have to talk about the seven and a half foot tall beast in the middle, Mamadou Ndiaye.  Ndiaye scored 19 points and grabbed 15 rebounds in the team’s last game, against Pacific, and is fully capable of posting numbers like that every time he takes the court.

The St. Mary’s Gaels have very quietly gone undefeated on the young season so far, sitting at 5-0.  Perhaps one of the key reasons for that is the fact that they have yet to lave the friendly confines of McKeon Pavillion in Moraga.  They do hold a solid win over Stanford, although we are not expecting much from the Cardinal this season.  Today’s game may prove to be their toughest challenge of the season so far, and with a trip to Cal being their only non-conference road test, one of their toughest of the season before conference play starts (though keep an eye on their final game of the season coming on March 1 when they host the Grand Canyon Antelopes).  The Gaels have a balanced scoring attack, having had five or more players score in double figures three times already this season.  If they can spread things out and negate Ndiaye’s inside presence on defense tonight, stretching the record to 6-0 could happen — and will get us to pay them a lot more attention moving forward.

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