Northern Arizona at Sacramento State, 10:00 PM Eastern, watchcollegeinsider.com
This season has brought up some great turnaround stories as programs that have never even sniffed the postseason have risen up and become contenders. Here at HOOPS HD, we have been chronicling the amazing season that the NJIT Highlanders have had. We also saw UC-Davis put together its best season ever to win the Big West regular season crown and advance to the NIT. North Florida won the Atlantic Sun regular season and conference tournament en route to the Ospreys’ first ever NCAA tournament berth. And in the Big Sky, the Sacramento State Hornets, who had never had a winning season before this one, have already notched 21 victories and just narrowly missed out on winning the regular season title.
Tonight, Sacramento State (21-11) squares off against conference rival Northern Arizona (20-14) in the CIT Second Round. The Hornets and Lumberjacks played once during the regular season, in one of the most heart-breaking losses in Sacramento State history. The game took place on the final day of the regular season, and NAU pulled out a tough, hard-fought 70-68 victory. With a win, the Hornets would have locked up the top seed in the Big Sky and the right to host the conference tournament. Instead, the loss dropped the Hornets to the #3 seed and gave Montana the top spot. While Sac State bounced back to win a quarterfinal over Portland State, the Hornets fell to eventual champions Eastern Washington in the semifinals by 8 points. They did rebound from that loss to win their first round CIT game at Portland and have a chance tonight to advance to the quarterfinal round.
Northern Arizona also fell in the Big Sky semifinal round, losing to Montana in a tough, close game by a final score of 61-59. As with their conference foe, the Lumberjacks were able to bounce back in their first round CIT game, winning by 5 points at Grand Canyon. Tonight, they will be in Sacramento where the Hornets will certainly be looking for payback for the regular season game. Given that Sacramento State has one of the smallest home court venues in the country, the crowd has a chance to be loud and electric — meaning that an NAU win will require one of the Lumberjacks’ best efforts of the season. They certainly have a chance though, as this team did win at St. Mary’s back in December in one of the bigger “Under the Radar” upsets of the season.
NOTE: We will also have a championship decided today — Augustana takes on Wisconsin-Stevens Points (3:00 PM Eastern, CBS Sports Network) for the Division III championship!
NCAA Tournament: Thursday, March 19th
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-All four games of the first round were highly entertaining with Hampton beating Manhattan in an up-tempo, albeit sloppy, game. Ole Miss came from 17 down to beat BYU and move on to face Xavier, North Florida and Robert Morris went back and forth, and Dayton overcame a late deficit to come back and beat Boise State. Hopefully that is a sign of things to come.
-#14 NORTHEASTERN VS #3 NOTRE DAME (Midwest). If this were an out of conference game, it would be one of Notre Dame’s tougher ones. Northeastern is a team that looked good early, but then appeared to struggle in conference a little more than expected. The Irish have one of their best teams in several years and are looking to go deep.
-#14 UAB VS #3 IOWA STATE (South). Iowa State appears to be playing their best basketball right now. UAB was a very strong team at home this year, but not so much on the road. They’ve got a very young team and should be strong next year, but they appear to be way overmatched today.
-#14 GEORGIA STATE VS #3 BAYLOR (West). Georgia State had a good year, but we were expecting them to be even better. Although they finished first and won the conference tournament, we thought they’d be good enough to actually land inside the bubble. Baylor, is certainly battle tested and looked good down the stretch as well, and they appear to be way too much for Georgia State.
-TEXAS SOUTHERN VS ARIZONA (West). Texas Southern surprised us a little bit out of conference, but this is a huge mismatch against an Arizona team that looks almost as good as anyone right now.
-#11 TEXAS VS #6 BUTLER (Midwest). Texas played a very strong schedule this year, but ended up losing most of the games, hence the #11 seed. I actually think Butler is better than a #6 seed, especially when you look at their profile. It should be a good one today.
-#11 UCLA VS #6 SMU (South). This is a match up between a UCLA team that almost no one thinks should be in the field, and an SMU team that many here at Hoops HD feel is overseeded. So, not exactly the best build up for a game.
-OLE MISS VS XAVIER (West). Xavier looked really impressive in the Big East Tournament beating two ranked teams away from home and drastically improving their profile, but they’ve been inconsistent throughout the year. So has Ole Miss. Both teams have shown they can play with good teams and lose to weaker ones, so this is anybody’s guess.
-OHIO STATE VS VCU (West). VCU has struggled with injuries, but still looked good all throughout their conference tournament. Ohio State hasn’t looked all that good away from home at any point, and it’ll be interesting to see how they handle VCU’s pressure.
-#16 LAFAYETTE VS #1 VILLANOVA (East). Nova is good enough to win this whole tournament. Today is kind of a tune up against a Lafayette team that finished in the middle of the Patriot League.
-#9 PURDUE VS #8 CINCINNATI (Midwest). Cincinnati was inconsistent this year, but they did manage some pretty impressive wins. Purdue was really playing well down the stretch so they have some momentum coming into this game. The winner will most likely get Kentucky, which is interesting because Cincinnati and Kentucky are roughly eighty miles apart, but they rarely play.
-#13 HARVARD VS #4 NORTH CAROLINA (West). Harvard was a team we were expecting a lot out of, and although they won the Ivy League in exciting fashion, they still didn’t run away with it like we were expecting. They do have a lot of talent on their roster, though. North Carolina was really playing well down the stretch and could be a very dangerous team in this tournament.
-#12 SFA VS #5 UTAH(South). SFA has a bloated record against a very weak schedule, but that was also the case a year ago and they managed a big win in the round of 64. Utah’s profile isn’t all that strong, but their team is pretty good and they could potentially go pretty far.
-#9 LSU VS #8 NC STATE (East). LSU seems to beat the good teams and struggle against the poor ones, so one never knows who is going to show up. NC State is fairly solid, although they didn’t look it in their last game against Duke. This one is pretty evenly matched and should be fun to watch.
-#16 HAMPTON VS #1 KENTUCKY (Midwest). Kentucky hasn’t lost all year and I don’t expect them to lose today. It could get ugly.
-#12 WOFFORD VS #5 ARKANSAS (West). I really like this Wofford team and certainly think they’re good enough to pull off a win in the round of 64, but Arkansas isn’t the best match up for them. Arkansas looked great this year whenever they weren’t playing Kentucky.
-#13 EASTERN WASHINGTON VS #4 GEORGETOWN (South). Eastern Washington is a tough team that managed a win at Indiana earlier this year, and beat a Montana team on the road to win the conference tournament, so they are potentially dangerous. Georgetown is strong, but they’ve gone out early in the tournament before and I wouldn’t be entirely shocked if it happened again today.