Under the Radar Games of the Day: Saturday, February 28, 2015: Lehigh at Colgate and Bucknell at American

Lehigh at Colgate, 12:00 PM Eastern, CBS Sports Network

Bucknell at American, 12:00 PM Eastern, free streaming at patriotleague.org

Twelve Under the Radar conferences play their final regular season games today.*  The regular season title and top seed in the conference tournament for several of them is still up for grabs, as is seeding, byes and double byes, and more. On top of that, there is a whole host of important games among conferences that do not complete their regular seasons until next week.  This makes choosing an Under the Radar Game of the Day extremely difficult, but in the end the battle for the top seed in the Patriot League, which plays its conference tournament at campus sites, is perhaps the most interesting and intriguing of today’s matchups.  Of course, to fully look at this battle, we had to select a pair of games today.

Bucknell enters play today with a record of 12-5 in conference and 17-13 overall.  The Bison hold a one game lead in the standings over Colgate, who sits at 11-4 conference and 14-16 overall.  However, the Red Raiders swept the season series, meaning that if the two end up tied, Colgate will capture the top seed and home court advantage throughout the conference tournament.  Amazingly, Colgate has a chance to be the #1 seed in the Patriot League tournament despite having a losing record overall!!!  Colgate hosts Lehigh (10-7, 16-12) at Noon Eastern today while Bucknell will be traveling to American (8-9, 15-14).  With the parity throughout the Patriot League, both of these games could go either way today, and both Colgate and Bucknell will be busy not only trying to win their own contest, but also keeping one eye on the scoreboard.  Somewhat luckily for both teams, neither of their opponents has nearly as much at stake today.  Lehigh is already locked into the #3 seed no matter what happens.  American is tied for fifth place, but cannot move up any higher than the 5 seed, meaning they will start the conference tournament on the road no matter what.  Despite having less at stake, both Lehigh and American clearly want the victories, and both games should be exciting contests.

 

*While the Summit League is one of these twelve conferences, Omaha (ineligible for the conference tournament) does have a non-conference game left this week at North Dakota.

 

 

Posted in News and Notes, Under the Radar | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Bracket Projections: February 27th

-For the Bracket Rundown Video Podcast where we select the teams and put them into the Seed List – CLICK HERE

 

NOTES ON THE BRACKET

-Once again, the final #1 spot came down to a debate between Villanova and Gonzaga.  Everyone acknowledged that Villanova had the better profile, but David felt Gonzaga had the better team.  Chad, who acted as arbitrator, gave the spot to Villanova.  Nova has looked outstanding 98 percent of the time, and when they play up to their ceiling it looks like they can beat just about anyone, so both teams are really good.  It appears as though we have five #1 seed caliber teams, but as you know there is only room for four.

-Hoops HD continues to love them some Northern Iowa.  They’re currently ranked in the top ten, but their profile is missing some of the high caliber wins that we’re used to seeing from protected seeds.  Having said that, if they win at the Round House on Saturday, I think the real committee will start looking at them for a #3 seed as well.  This is a very good team that is capable of going deep.

-Notre Dame continues to be a team that sparks argument.  On one hand they’ve got some big wins in a tough league and look like they could be a #3 seed.  On the other hand, their out of conference schedule is atrocious, and we’ve seen the selection committee punish teams who have done that in the past, even if they’ve proven themselves to be good once they hit conference play.  My feeling is that teams do themselves no favors by scheduling OOC cupcakes because they deny themselves a chance of making any sort of a case for themselves, which puts more pressure on them in conference play.  However, if they do make a case for themselves in conference play, then that should suffice.  Most disagree with me, including Warren and Chad, and from the looks of the recent past the real selection committee disagrees as well.  So, Notre Dame ended up on the #4 line.

-Arkansas was funny.  We all liked them, but we all came in not thinking anyone else would like them, so we were all surprised that we all liked them.  They check in as the final protected seed, and you have to figure that losing to Kentucky won’t really hurt them in the least.

-Louisville checks in on our #6 line.  We all seemed to agree that they don’t look as good without Chris Jones as they looked with him, and even when they had him they still had some work to do to feel safe as a protected seed.

-SMU and VCU don’t have strong profiles, but we all agreed that we liked their teams more than their paper, so they both check in on the #6 line.  It will be interesting to see how the real committee handles this because they don’t have a lot of high caliber wins, but they have an awful lot of decent wins, and they’re high in the human polls, which indicates NABC Advisors, which is one coach from each conference, will like them as well.

-On the #8, #9 and #10 lines we had a hard time agreeing on anyone.  fortunately with they #8 and #9 lines it’s practically the same seed since they’re playing each other, so it doesn’t look that much different than it had if we had all completely agreed.

-Temple is a team that we feel has done just enough, but hasn’t blown us a way.  They certainly cannot afford to go into the tank and still feel safe.

-Dayton was a team we were pretty far apart on as well.  Warren liked them because of the number of wins they have, and how they’ve avoided bad losses for the most part, but David wasn’t as big on them because they hadn’t really done anything against tournament caliber teams.  The compromise was to put them on the #11 line.

– The only team that moved seed lines was in the First Four where Tulsa dropped down to play Miami while Illinois moved up to play Davidson.  This was because Tulsa could not matchup with SMU in the Round of 64, and Illinois and Miami would have been a regular season rematch, thus two birds were killed with one stone by this switch.

– Once again, while not intentional, we ended up with an amazing piece of bracketing in Louisville in the Midwest Region, with Indiana and Cincinnati scheduled to play in the 8/9 game and the winner to get Kentucky.  The story lines that would happen in these games are too many to even mention.

-THE BUBBLE:  There are more reasons to leave the teams in the First Four out than there are to take them, but we agreed that there were even more reasons to leave out the teams that were not selected.  Next in line were Oregon, Pittsburgh, Boise State, Texas A&M, Stanford, UCLA, Rhode Island, and Minnesota

 

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 11.38.19 PM

 

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 11.38.35 PM

For our latest Under the Radar Podcast where we discuss the teams from the one bid leagues more thoroughly – CLICK HERE

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day for Friday, February 27th (and it’s HUGELY important) – CLICK HERE

 

 

Posted in Bracketology, Commentary, News and Notes, Podcasts, Videocasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Bracket Projections: February 27th

Under the Radar Game of the Day – Friday, February 27, 2015: Valparaiso at Cleveland State

For our latest Bracket Rundown podcast, CLICK HERE.

Valparaiso at Cleveland State, 10:00 PM Eastern, ESPNU

Four days from now, the first conference tournament games will tip-off beginning the longest and most exciting week of the college basketball season, the 13 days known as Championship Week.  Over the next three days, 13 conferences will be concluding their regular seasons and releasing the brackets for their conference tournaments.  In the Horizon League, a conference that in our opinion does things right by giving home court advantage and a double bye to its regular season champion, a ton of questions regarding their bracket will be answered tonight and tomorrow.  This is because three teams still have a shot at the top seed, and a fourth can at least tie for the regular season title and get the double bye that comes with the #2 seed.  Due to the conference schedule falling exactly right, these four teams will be playing each other over these next two days.  Tomorrow afternoon, Oakland is at Green Bay (2:00 PM, espn3) in a game that will give the winner a shot at getting the #2 seed, and for Oakland at least could even lift them to the #1 spot, amazingly enough for a team that has not been in serious title contention in the Horizon until this past week.  Tonight, with a late night tip time in Cleveland, Valpo and Cleveland State will battle to each put their claims in for the #1 seed as well.

The easiest path to the top seed belongs to the Valparaiso Crusaders, who lost a chance to clinch it outright earlier this week when they got upset at Detroit.  Valpo is a full game up on the other three teams in the league standings, sitting at 12-3 in conference and 25-5 overall.  This means that winning tonight’s game will lock the Crusaders into the top spot and give them home court advantage throughout the Horizon League tournament.  To do so, Valpo will need to get Trevonn Walker back on track.  After scoring 20 points against Green Bay and 12 against Milwaukee two weeks ago, the past week has seen him score a total of 5 points in two games, including being held scoreless in a win over Wright State.  Another performance like these past two will not be enough if the Crusaders want to knock off Cleveland State in what should be a raucous, crazy atmosphere at the Wolstein Center tonight.

Cleveland State (11-4 in conference, 17-12 overall) has a excellent chance to be the #1 seed if they win tonight, but it is not guaranteed.  If CSU wins tonight and Green Bay wins tomorrow afternoon, the Vikings will be in the top spot and hosting the conference tournament.  However, if Oakland pulls off the upset in Green Bay tomorrow, the tiebreaker between the two teams would go the their RPI rankings, which are right now only 16 points apart (with Cleveland State leading).  Given that Oakland’s win will be a road win, which receives more credit in the RPI than a home victory, and they would have both defeated top 100 programs, that gap will be narrowed down to almost nothing.  Odds are that Cleveland State will end up ahead of Oakland, but do not be shocked if it turns out that the Golden Grizzlies capture the top spot.  Regardless of the RPI rankings, CSU’s first order of business will be to win tonight, and to do so they will need a much better effort from Trey Lewis than he gave in the first meeting between these teams, when Valpo held him to 5 points and 1 rebound.  For a player that lit up Green Bay for 25 points and 12 boards back in January, a lot more will be needed if the Vikings want to win the conference regular season title.  If he and his teammates come through, this could be one of the most exciting and fun games we have seen all season among the Under the Radar teams, and CSU fans may be able to start making plans for a home semifinal game next Saturday night as well.

 

Posted in News and Notes, Under the Radar | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on Under the Radar Game of the Day – Friday, February 27, 2015: Valparaiso at Cleveland State

Bracket Rundown: February 26th

Chad and David are once again joined by Warren Nolan as the three of them banter back and forth while building the seed list.  They go through each of the teams line by line while debating, discussing and bantering about where they think each team should be.  Check out the video below…

 

To check out the final bracket – CLICK HERE

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show….

Posted in Bracketology, News and Notes, Podcasts, Videocasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Highlighted Games for Thursday, Feb 26th

NEWS AND NOTES

For our most recent, and what will be our final Under the Radar Video Podcast of the season – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-We will be recording our Bracket Rundown Video Podcast tonight, where we go through and banter about all the teams as we hammer out a seed list.  It will be posted either later tonight or early tomorrow morning so be sure to check it out.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-HOUSTON AT TEMPLE (American).  Temple appears to be in relatively good shape, but that will change quickly if they pull a UConn and lose to Houston.

-WOFFORD AT MERCER (Southern).  I don’t think Wofford will have enough to end up inside the bubble if they fall in the conference tournament, but they should at least be in the discussion.  It will require nothing short of winning out, and they’ll likely come up short even then.

-COASTAL CAROLINA AT PRESBYTERIAN (Big South).  Coastal is just one game out of first place and still has a chance to clinch home court advantage in the……..oh, nevermind.  For more on that check out our Under the Radar Podcast.

-MINNESOTA AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  I don’t see Minney as being near the bubble right now, but a strong finish will get them there.  Granted, they’ve shown very little to make us believe they have the ability to finish strong.  Michigan State has had a rough year, but is really playing well lately.

-NEBRASKA AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  It’s a good thing Nebraska is on the road this week because they’re presumably able to use the visiting locker room.  Head Coach Tim Miles locked them out of their locker room at home.  Ohio State has been tough to beat at home and has a solid profile that shouldn’t change so long as they hold serve.

-UTEP AT LOUISIANA TECH (Conference USA).  I am perplexed as to how this is not the UTR Game of the Day.  Chad doesn’t get many things right, but he normally gets the UTR Game of the Day right, but today he didn’t even get that right!!  UTEP has won seven in a row and is finally starting to look like the team we’d thought they’d be.  The question is whether or not they can get their resume to a point to where the committee will consider it because most of those wins have been against weak teams.  LA Tech is unbeaten at home, and this would be the kind of quality win that would jump out at the committee despite LA Tech’s low RPI.

-SMU AT MEMPHIS (American).  This SMU team is rolling and should be a first ballot NCAA Tournament team.  This is a chance for them to polish up the profile even more by getting another notable road win.

-ARIZONA AT COLORADO (Pac Twelve).  Arizona appears to be a solid #2 seed, so this is the kind of road game they’ve been winning and that you’d expect them to continue to win.

-RUTGERS AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  Purdue is really hot right now, and has been playing especially well at home.  Rutgers is dealing with some issues, particularly the issue of not being good, so Purdue cannot afford to slip up against them.

-BYU AT PORTLAND (West Coast).  UTR Game of the Day.  See above.

-ARIZONA STATE AT UTAH (Pac Twelve).  Utah has been outstanding at home this year and should easily end up as a protected seed.  We love watching Arizona State play, but not so much as the road team.  They won’t be bringing the Curtain of Distraction with them.

-SAN DIEGO AT GONZAGA (West Coast).  This, like many Gonzaga conference home games, is a conference game that will likely feel like a buy game.

-OREGON STATE AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Stanford is outside the bubble and basically needs to finish strong if they want to end up in the safe zone.

Posted in Commentary, Daily Rundown, News and Notes, Podcasts, Under the Radar, Videocasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Highlighted Games for Thursday, Feb 26th

Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, February 26, 2015: BYU at Portland

For our latest Under the Radar podcast, CLICK HERE.

BYU at Portland, 10:00 PM Eastern, ROOT Sports/free streaming at thew.tv

Brigham Young University announced yesterday that it is their intent to gain entrance into a “Power Five” conference for football purposes (though presumably as an all sports member).  While that most likely means they are trying to join the Big 12, it is by no means granted that any of the major conferences will invite them.  For now at least, the Cougars are an independent in football and a member of an Under the Radar conference in all other sports.  They enter play tonight in third place in the WCC Standings, at 11-5 in conference and 21-8 overall.  Their RPI is 57, though their KenPom rating is 32 and their BPI is 27, both very healthy numbers.  Unfortunately, BYU is not currently in any serious at-large talks with only three top 100 wins, none of which are away from home or over a team that is currently solidly in the field (the best being a home win over Stanford).  Things are made worse by several slip-ups in conference including two losses to Pepperdine and a loss at San Diego.  The good news for BYU is that after tonight’s game they have a game at Gonzaga on Saturday — a chance to put a solid win on their resume.  If they win these two games, and make  run to the WCC championship game, we do believe the committee will give them a look, especially (at least for you conspiracy theorists out there) with their AD, Tom Holmoe, on the Selection Committee.  Should they lose either of these last two games, their only way in will be via the automatic bid.

BYU’s quest to get the Committee’s attention begins today in Portland.  The Pilots enter tonight’s game at 7-9 in conference and 16-12 overall.  They are tied for fifth place with San Diego.  The final two games will be an important battle for Portland as a fifth place finish will give them a much more winnable quarterfinal game (most likely against Pepperdine) than a 6th place finish (BYU or St. Mary’s will finish in third).  Of course, finishing in fifth place also places them on the same side of the bracket as Gonzaga, but if Portland, or anyone else for that matter, wants to make an improbably WCC tournament run they will have to go through the ‘zags sooner or later anyhow.  In addition to trying to spoil BYU’s slim NCAA at-large chances tonight, they will be looking to avenge a 97-88 loss at BYU back in late December.  If the scoring in tonight’s game is anywhere close to the pace of that prior meeting, it should at least be entertaining to watch.

 

Posted in News and Notes, Under the Radar | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, February 26, 2015: BYU at Portland