Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, January 19: Houston Baptist at Central Arkansas

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Houston Baptist at Central Arkansas, 8:00 PM Eastern, free streaming at ucasports.com

For our latest HoopsHD Report video podcast, CLICK HERE.

The UTR Game of the Day has only made a few trips to the Southland Conference all season, so after a trip to Jonesboro, Arkansas for what proved to be  major upset in the Sun Belt last night, today’s game is coming from a few hours away in Conway, Arkansas as the Central Arkansas Bears host the Houston Baptist Huskies.  Central Arkansas has had a rough couple of years.  Last season, the Bears were ineligible for postseason play due to their APR score, but a 2-27 overall record made that a moot point.  Unfortunately, the score did not improve enough heading into this season, and they are on their second straight postseason ban list.  On the court, the team has struggled mightily again, entering play tonight at 2-12 overall, 1-3 in Southland play.  Jordan Howard and Derreck Brooks have led the team offensively this season.  Howard scored 36 points earlier this season in a loss to Texas A&M-Corpus Christi while Brooks is coming off a double-double last week at Stephen F. Austin.  Although Brooks is a senior, Jordan Howard is only a sophomore, and hopefully can turn into a team leader the next couple of seasons to improve things in Conway.

While the struggles and APR problems at UCA are noteworthy, the real reason this game was chosen for the UTR Game of the Day has been the play so far this season of Houston Baptist.  HBU was only 5-7 during the non-conference portion of the season, though they did pick up a win over a CUSA team (Rice) and a UC-Riverside team that is much improved over its recent seasons.  The Huskies also picked up a win early this season over one of our favorite non-D1 schools, Crowley’s Ridge.  Most notably, however, Houston Baptist is out to a 5-0 start in Southland play, tied with SFA and Corpus Christi as the only three undefeated teams in the league.  HBU is led by Anthony Odunsi, who scored 28 points in a win this weekend at New Orleans, and Josh Ibarra, who has four double-doubles on the season.  Although the overall record and power rating numbers are not nearly as strong for the Huskies as the other two schools on top of the conference standings (an RPI of 261 is the lowest in the nation of any team currently undefeated in its league), if they keep winning conference games, those numbers won’t matter.  What will matter is where they finish in the regular season, where they get seeded in the Southland Tournament, and whether or not they can win the automatic bid.  The way the Huskies have played the last 5 games, there is no reason to they will not be a contender for that bid all season long.

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The Hoops HD Report: January 18th

After Colorado’s win against Oregon, David is this week’s host!!  Well, for at least a few minutes.  After not discussing any relevant topics, the panel mutinies and Chad takes back over.  They start off talking about what happened in both the Monmouth v Iona and Oregon State v Utah games, and then run through all of the multi-bid conferences.  They talk about how teams like Kentucky, Duke, and Virginia, who we all thought would be strong this year, have struggled.  They debate whether or not Iowa deserves a #1 seed, and how Xavier and Villanova can also contend for a spot on the top line.  They also talk about who has done the best coaching job in each league up to this point.  All that, and more….

 

And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show….

 

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Hoops HD Bracket Projections (David Griggs): January 18th

Below is what I personally think the bracket should look like if the season ended today.  This is not an attempt to guess what the committee will do in March.  Below the bracket John and Chad will have some comments.  They will agree with some of what I’ve done, and they will be correct.  They will disagree with other things, and when they do so they will be incorrect.

-I cannot seem to get Iowa off my top line.  They have two wins over Michigan State, and a win at Purdue.  They also have a close loss to a very good Iowa State team, which isn’t the same as winning, but it’s hardly the kind of loss you penalize them for.  They’re also currently unbeaten in Big Ten play.

-I know some may think I have Valpo overseeded on the #7 line, and I know their paper isn’t the best, but I do believe them to be that good.  They won at Oregon State, which is something Oregon was unable to do, and are positioned to absolutely blow through the rest of their schedule.

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NEXT IN LINE: Cincinnati, Saint Joseph’s, UCLA, Ohio State, UC Irvine, Kansas State, Texas Tech, Stanford, Oregon State, Saint Mary’s, Davidson

 

COMMENTS FROM JOHN
– As good as Iowa has played in the Big Ten so far, that alone isn’t enough to merit a #1 seed just yet. Their entire body of work is just a notch below Xavier. But I at least understand the puppet’s motivation to have Xavier and Dayton play each other one more time.

– I don’t have too many problems with the protected seeds that David listed, but I would also submit that the leader of the Pac-12 (USC) has done more to earn a protected seed than Arizona has. And yes, the Men of Troy do have the head-to-head advantage for the time being.

– I agree that Valpo and Monmouth are both in the field as at-large if the situation warrants it, but I think that Valpo is not head and shoulders above the First Four just yet. They will be if they run the table in the Horizon. If Gonzaga had the profile of a team like Monmouth, the pundits would probably argue that Gonzaga would be worthy of a protected seed.

– As far as the bubble goes, I agree that Cincinnati doesn’t belong in the field, but why no love for Saint Joe’s? Personally, I would have the Hawks on the 8/9 line playing Villanova in the East Region. That would be the best installment yet of the Holy War – a trip to play in the Sweet 16 in Philly would be at stake.

 

COMMENTS FROM CHAD

– As John mentions, I like USC’s profile better than Arizona’s as of now and would have those teams flipped in the bracket.

– I am not sure South Carolina doesn’t deserve to be a lot lower, now that they are no longer undefeated.  Their resume does have a serious lack of any meat to it.

– I would actually take Monmouth’s profile over Valpo’s right now.  The USC and Notre Dame wins are suddenly looking so much better after what has happened the past week.

– Little Rock is grossly overseeded on the 8 line.  They should probably be on the 11 line where Arlington is due to their sub-300 SOS.  Arlington does not belong in this bracket after their second bad loss of the season.  The Ohio State and Memphis wins just don’t carry much weight for me anymore.

– David expects me to attack his Colorado pick but his Buffs actually did impress me last night over what I felt was a very good Oregon team.  My Pac-12 attack has to do with Washington.  I just don’t think their resume warrants anything close to the 10 line — they should probably be in the First Four if they are going to be included at all.  Also, Arizona State’s resume is not good enough to make up for the Sacramento State loss and they should not be in this bracket.  I feel that Stanford deserves a lot more attention than anyone is giving them, though at least David considered the Cardinal.

– Finally, I agree with John that St Joe’s belongs in this field.  Perhaps in Arizona State’s spot or in Evansville’s.  While I am a huge fun of this Aces team, they just don’t have the quality wins and really only have one more chance to get one (home vs Wichita State).  If they lost that one, I think the only way in will be through the auto bid.

 

LINKS

-For Tonight’s News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s Bracket (Posted Sunday, January 17th) where he guesses what he thinks the actual committee would do if the season ended today – CLICK HERE

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Jan 18th

NEWS AND NOTES

-We will be recording our Hoops HD Report tonight, so be on the lookout for it.  We will also be updating our bracket projections later in the day.

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR GOTD – CLICK HERE

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SIENA AT MONMOUTH (Metro Atlantic).  Monmouth will land inside the bubble so long as they run away from the league.  Siena is one of the better teams in the conference, but Monmouth needs to be able to beat them at home.

-TEXAS TECH AT TCU (Big Twelve).  Texas Tech badly needs road wins on their profile.

-SYRACUSE AT DUKE (ACC). Despite the brand names, Duke is a fringe protected seed right now, and Syracuse isn’t anywhere close to making the field, although they did blow out Wake over the weekend.

-PURDUE AT RUTGERS (Big Ten).  This is a rare conference road game that is extremely winnable for the Boilers.

-VALPARAISO AT YOUNGSTOWN STATE (Horizon League).  Valpo should land safely inside the bubble if they win out.

-OKLAHOMA AT IOWA STATE (Big Twelve).  Iowa State has slipped down the rankings somewhat, but they’re still tough to beat at home.  This is the caliber of road win that indicates a team is a #1 seed caliber team, so it’s another big test for Oklahoma.

 

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, January 18: Arkansas-Little Rock at Arkansas State

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Arkansas-Little Rock at Arkansas State, 8:30 PM Eastern, espn3

Most bracket projections, including almost all of ours here at HoopsHD, have had two Sun Belt teams in them since early December.  Texas-Arlington made headlines with wins at Ohio State and Memphis, and only 2 overall losses heading into Sun Belt play.  UALR won games at San Diego State, Tulsa and DePaul, while only falling once.  Arlington had their first conference stumble over the weekend, losing a game at South Alabama that put the Mavericks squarely on the bubble for any postseason tournament discussions.  UALR is still continuing to win, though tonight they will certainly be challenged in Jonesboro by the Arkansas State Red Wolves.

UALR currently sits at 15-1 overall, 5-0 in Sun Belt play.  The Trojans have a decent RPI (66) and KenPom rating (42).  Those numbers would both be stronger if they were not also sitting there with the 301 Strength of Schedule in the nation.  That being said, their win over San Diego State may be growing in value as the Aztecs have begun to turn their season around.  We are still predicting Little Rock to land inside the bubble, but they need to avoid any bad losses (which may mean a loss to any team not named Texas-Arlington).  The Trojans have a balanced scoring attack, featuring Josh Hagins, Marcus Johnson, Roger Woods, Lis Soshi, Jalen Jackson, and a fairly deep bench.  Head coach Chris Beard’s team is made up almost entirely of juniors and seniors, giving them the veteran leadership and experience they need to keep winning games and advance to the NCAA Tournament.

Tonight, Little Rock will be heading to in-state rival Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves are out to a solid 4-1 start in league play, but only 8-8 overall with an RPI of 255.  Although Arkansas State only won two games against D1 opponents during the non-conference part of their schedule, the slate did get wiped clean when they entered conference play.  Donte Thomas is worth keeping an eye on for this team.  He has scored in double figured in his last eight games and most notably picked up a triple-double in a win over South Alabama, scoring 14 points while grabbing 10 rebounds and dishing out 11 assists.  If he and his teammates play like that again, UALR could be in for a tough battle tonight.

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Bracketology 2016: March Madness Predictions (Version 3.0)

Welcome back to another year of NCAA tourney predictions. Last year HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, including 62 right on the money or within 1 spot of their actual seed. He will spend the next 8 weeks predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday, with new updates each week. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today, and let us know if you agree or disagree in the comments section. To compare how we stack up with other websites, check out: www.bracketmatrix.com.

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SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: Oklahoma (Big 12)
1: Michigan State (Big 10)
1: Villanova (Big East)

2: Xavier (Big East)
2: North Carolina (ACC)
2: Virginia (ACC)
2: West Virginia (Big 12)

3: Maryland (Big 10)
3: Miami Florida (ACC)
3: Duke (ACC)
3: Iowa (Big 10)

4: Kentucky (SEC)
4: Texas A&M (SEC)
4: Providence (Big East)
4: Arizona (Pac-12)

5: Iowa State (Big 12)
5: Purdue (Big 10)
5: Oregon (Pac-12)
5: Louisville (ACC)

6: Pitt (ACC)
6: USC (Pac-12)
6: Dayton (A-10)
6: South Carolina (SEC)

7: Butler (Big East)
7: Utah (Pac-12)
7: Baylor (Big 12)
7: Texas Tech (Big 12)

8: Michigan (Big 10)
8: Gonzaga (WCC)
8: Indiana (Big 10)
8: Florida (SEC)

9: Oregon State (Pac-12)
9: California (Pac-12)
9: George Washington (A-10)
9: Texas (Big 12)

10: Connecticut (AAC)
10: Colorado (Pac-12)
10: St. Mary’s (WCC)
10: Wichita State (MVC)

11: UCLA (Pac-12)
11: St. Joseph’s (A-10)
11: Notre Dame (ACC)
11: Seton Hall (Big East)
11: Clemson (ACC)
11: Valparaiso (Horizon)

12: Monmouth (MAAC)
12: Boise State (MWC)
12: Arkansas Little-Rock (Sun Belt)
12: Texas-Arlington (Sun Belt)

13: William & Mary (CAA)
13: Akron (MAC)
13: Chattanooga (SoCon)
13: South Dakota State (Summit)

14: Hawaii (Big West)
14: UAB (CUSA)
14: Stony Brook (America East)
14: Princeton (Ivy)

15: Belmont (OVC)
15: Texas A&M Corpus-Christi (Southland)
15: North Florida (Atlantic Sun)
15: High Point (Big South)

16: Cal State Bakersfield (WAC)
16: Montana (Big Sky)
16: Bucknell (Patriot)
16: Hampton (MEAC)
16: Wagner (NEC)
16: Texas Southern (SWAC)

CONFERENCE: # OF TEAMS
AAC: 1
America East: 1
ACC: 8
Atlantic Sun: 1
A-10: 3
Big East: 5
Big Sky: 1
Big South: 1
Big 10: 6
Big 12: 7
Big West: 1
CAA: 1
CUSA: 1
Horizon: 1
Ivy: 1
MAAC: 1
MAC: 1
MEAC: 1
MVC: 1
MWC: 1
NEC: 1
OVC: 1
Pac-12: 8
Patriot: 1
SEC: 4
SoCon: 1
Southland: 1
SWAC: 1
Summit: 1
Sun Belt: 2
WCC: 2
WAC: 1

 

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