Under the Radar: January 15th

On this week’s episode, Chad and David take a quick look back at the notable action in the power conferences over the weekend, as well as discuss the upcoming legislation that is expected to pass this week in regards to the cost of living stipends, and how that could impact the non-power conferences.  Then, they go through each of the UTR conferences and discuss who the frontrunners in each league are.  After that, it is their latest version of the UTR Top Ten, and a look ahead to this week’s upcoming action.

 

And for all you radio fans out there, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, January 14: Hofstra at Northeastern

For today’s Highlighted Game, CLICK HERE.

Hofstra at Northeastern, 7:00 PM Eastern, free streaming at caa.tv

While the biggest game in Boston tonight features the Harvard Crimson taking on the Boston College Eagles, here at HOOPS HD we will also be paying a lot of attention across town to a key game in the CAA as the Northeastern Huskies host the Hoftsra Pride in a battle of arguably the two best teams in the conference.  Hofstra, as we highlighted a few days ago, has been a surprise this season, having quietly coasted out to a 13-4 record including 4-0 in CAA play and enter tonight’s game ranked 72 by KenPom.  The Pride are led by Juan’ya Green and Ameen Tanksley, both of whom have scored in double digits every game this season.

Northeastern (11-5, 3-1 in CAA) was the early season talk of the CAA, especially after having finished a disappointing 11-21 last season.  The Huskies started the year with a huge win over Florida State (whom at the time we thought to be a good team).  Tonight is only the second home game for the Huskies since December 6, though they have been solid on the road, picking up 9 victories on road and neutral courts so far this season, including a win at Richmond on December 31.  Scott Eatherton is the clear leader for Northeatern, with six double-doubles on the year so far, including a 22 point, 13 rebound effort at James Madison last week.  If the Huskies want to keep pace with Hofstra in the race for the league title, a win tonight at home may be imperative.

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Highlighted Games for Wednesday, Jan 14th

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT WYOMING (***SPOTLIGHT GAME***) (Mountain West).  Wyoming is into the rankings, and although they’re not in my personal rankings, I cannot say that I think it is undeserved.  They have a bloated record, though, and they need some muscle on their resume.  This is an underexposed game, but it is HUGELY important.  Wyoming needs a notable win, and SDSU needs to stop losing games to anyone that’s even half-way decent.

-NOTRE DAME AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC).  Notre Dame is having a great year, and will face another challenge tonight.  GA Tech isn’t good overall, but they’re good at home.

-RUTGERS AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Rutgers had a season signature moment over the weekend.  I seriously doubt they’re good enough to build on it, but if they take down a Maryland team that’s looking like they’ll get a protected seed, it adds a ton of momentum toward Rutgers.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT NC STATE (ACC).  Duke v UNC is the biggest rivalry, but I think this is the more bitter rivalry.  They hate each other.  Duke and UNC like to hate each other.  UNC and NC State hate to hate each other.  NC State scored a huge win in their last game.  If they get this one, they have bragging rights, and they’re close to the bubble.  In short, it’s a high stakes bitter rivalry.

-SMU AT TEMPLE (American).  Temple is safely inside the bubble and SMU is trying to get there.  This is big because it’s one of the last few chances SMU has at a quality win away from home against an NCAA Tournament caliber team.

-HARVARD AT BOSTON COLLEGE (Bean Pot).  It’s a very underrated, but as I’ve recently realized very real mythical conference, the Bean Pot.  BC, Harvard, BU, and Northeastern.   This game is only mentioned because if Harvard wins the Ivy, they’ll be seeded inside the bubble.  It’s a rivalry game, but only sort of.  One of these teams have dominated the series, and it’s not the team from a power conference.  Harvard can win the Bean Pot outright with a perfect 3-0 record.  In fact, our Hoops HD Research Team is informing me that Harvard has won their last 17 Bean Pot games.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT PROVIDENCE (Big East).  Both teams are strong and are currently projected as inside the bubble, so it’s a chance for a quality win.  The Johnnies are good, but they need some notable road wins.

-LA SALLE AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton is being grossly ignored.  A win gets them to 14-2 on the year, and they’ve accomplished that despite being ignored, and despite having far more bad luck than good.

-GOOD DAVIDSON AT UMASS (Atlantic Ten).  Despite Chad Sherwood’s insistence on ignoring Davidson, which compelled me to always refer to them as “Good” Davidson, the Wildcats can improve to 12-3 on the year, 3-1 in league play, and take down a UMass team that’s 5-2 at home and probably won’t lose too many more.

-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley).  It’s a conference game that will seem very much like a buy game.  Very disappointed in SIU this year.  They weren’t good last year, but they finished strong and had a lot of key players returning.

-XAVIER AT VILLANOVA (Big East).  Xavier can beat top ten teams at home, but can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road, or at least they haven’t so far.  Going on the road and winning against a potential #1 seed caliber team would reverse that in a hurry, but it isn’t likely.  On the flip side, if Nova wants a #1 seed, they need to win at home against a team that can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road.

-IOWA STATE AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve).  Both teams are ranked, good, and have good profiles.  Having said that, to date this would still be one of the better wins on the profile of whichever team pulls this off.

-NEVADA AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West).  Colorado State has a bloated record, and has looked good in a lot of their games against decent teams.  That means they may be a tournament team.  If we’re measuring them as if they were a tournament team, they cannot afford to lose at home against a non-tournament team.  Nevada is coming off a very feel-good win against rival UNLV, so they should come in rathe loose.

-ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Illinois can’t make up their minds as to whether or not they’re actually any good.

-STANFORD AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  It’s a conference game.  It’s a bitter rivalry.  It’s a game between two teams that are on the bubble and need notable wins.  Nothing else needs to be said.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, January 13, 2015: Stephen F. Austin at Central Arkansas

For the rest of today’s highlighted games, CLICK HERE.

Stephen F. Austin at Central Arkansas, 8:00 PM Eastern, No TV

In 2010-11, the Centenary Gents played their final season as a Division I team — a very un-noteworthy year in which they went 1-29, with only a late season win over Western Illinois keeping them from having one of the worst seasons in Division I history.  In honor of their final season at the D1 level, we here at HOOPS HD kept them on our mock committee “Under Consideration” board, despite the Gents not even qualifying for the Summit League tournament.  We then went one step further the next season, christening the annual “Centenary Award” in honor of the worst team in Division I.

In 2012, Towson won the award, thanks in part to a huge first round America East tournament win by Binghamton.  The win by Towson was not without controversy, but in the end, the Tigers were chosen.  In 2013, an 0-28 Grambling team ran away with the award.  Last season, Southern Utah claimed the crown with a 2-27 performance.  This season, the preseason favorite for the award was Florida A&M.  FAMU is presently 0-16 and appears well on their way to the title.  However, the Central Arkansas Bears are right on their heels, sitting at 0-14 heading into tonight’s game.  And, given who their opponent is tonight, it may be a bigger upset than Texas Southern winning at Michigan State for the Bears to not be 0-15 after tonight.

Central Arkansas will be hosting the clear favorite to represent the Southland Conference again in the NCAA tournament, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks.  SFA enters tonight’s game on an 11 game winning streak, which includes a win at Memphis and a home win over Long Beach State.  Despite the 12-4 record and a legitimate chance to run the table in the Southland (a game January 24 at Sam Houston State may decide if that happens), SFA most likely will need to win the SLC’s automatic bid if they want to return to the NCAAs.  Perhaps the biggest reason is that any loss in conference play, including a loss in the conference tournament, would be a bad loss on their resume.  Given that the Lumberjacks lack any truly noteworthy wins,, it is difficult to imagine an at-large bid coming their way should they falter.  Obviously, a loss tonight to one of the worst teams in D1 would be devastating to any slim chance for an at-large bid that may exist.

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Highlighted Games For Tuesday, Jan 13th

NEWS AND NOTES

-There were three major upsets on Saturday with Duke, Arizona and Wisconsin all losing conference road games to teams that currently don’t appear to be anywhere close to making the NCAA Tournament.  We’ll see how things play out.

-There was no Bracket Racket this week due to other commitments that our staff and panelists had.  We will get back into the regular swing of things later on this week with Under the Radar and the Bracket Rundown.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-VIRGINIA TECH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC).  Louisville is coming off a close loss in what was a very exciting game to UNC.  The loss wasn’t at all damaging, and if anything it proved that Louisville can play on the road against tough teams.  Tonight they’re at home against a team that isn’t really that tough.

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT KANSAS (Big Twelve).  Oklahoma State has a good record and has cracked the rankings.  They’re coming off their first big win of the year against Texas.  Winning this one on the road is a much taller order, though.

-OKLAHOMA AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big Twelve).  These are two top twenty teams who can add a big win to their resume tonight.

-ARKANSAS AT TENNESSEE (SEC).  Arkansas has been a huge surprise this year, and they’ve even shown they can win on the road.  They’re ranked in the top twenty, and deservedly so.

-BUTLER AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Butler is good, but has room to improve and build upon their profile.  Seton Hall has been a huge surprise this year and is still in the rankings.  They’re tough to beat at home.

-PENN STATE AT INDIANA (Big Ten).  Both teams are bubblish, if they’re even that good.  There is a sense of urgency for both teams.

-MICHIGAN AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Ohio State will still be celebrating.  Within 24 hours they can win the national title in football and knock off their hated rivals in basketball.  I’m a little worried because Kyle Lamb was last left unsupervised.

-VCU AT RHODE ISLAND (Atlantic Ten).  Rhody is having a really nice year at 11-3 and they’ve won their first three conference games.  They need a big win like this to get the attention of the committee, though.

-CLEMSON AT VIRGINIA (ACC).  Virginia remains unbeaten.  They’re ranked #2 and they’re not overrated.

-NORTHERN IOWA AT BRADLEY (Missouri Valley).  This is a very good UNI team who shouldn’t have too much trouble picking up this conference road win.

-WAKE FOREST AT SYRACUSE (ACC).  I keep thinking Syracuse is having a down year, but they are a very respective 12-4 and have won their first three ACC games.

-SFA AT CENTRAL ARKANSAS (Southland).  SFA needs to win out just to get into the conversation.

-MISSOURI AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  Kentucky has struggled in their last two games, which was surprising.  They’re at home tonight against a team that is traditionally awful on the road, but is improving.

-MIAMI FL AT DUKE (ACC).  Duke is coming off a surprising loss.  Miami has fallen onto the bubble and their resume could use some work.  An upset win in a game like this would certainly do the trick.

-GEORGETOWN AT DEPAUL (Big East).  This is a winnable road game for Georgetown, and they need to get it.

-IOWA AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  Iowa has some big wins, but their profile is a little inconsistent.  This is the kind of road game that they should be expected to win if they really are a solid tournament team.

-ALABAMA AT SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC).  Alabama has just three losses, and got their first road win in quite some time over the weekend.  South Carolina has lost two straight after their big win against Iowa State, and needs to turn it around if they want to get back inside the bubble.

-UNLV AT BOISE STATE (Mountain West).  Both teams need to turn it around in a hurry if they want to be safely in the field.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, January 12, 2015: Savannah State at North Carolina Central

Savannah State at North Carolina Central, 7:30 PM Eastern, No TV

While most of the world is busy following some fairly significant football game tonight, we here at Hoops HD will instead be tracking the exciting Under the Radar slate of hoops games tonight, including our Game of the Day, the MEAC battle between Savannah State and North Carolina Central.  Savannah State enters tonight’s game at 4-11 on the season, with only 2 of those 4 wins coming over D1 competition.  The Tigers are a sub-300 team in the RPI, BPI and KenPom.  They have not beaten a Division I team since November 22.  Tonight is their second conference game of the season and if they are going to turn the season around, it needs to start right now.  Alante Fenner, Terel Hall and Saadiq Muhammad are the key players for the Tigers.

It is, of course, the Tigers’ opponent tonight that is the main reason this game was elevated to the UTR Game of the Day.  North Carolina Central enters tonight’s game with a solid 11-5 record, including being 3-0 in early MEAC play.  The Eagles hold the best RPI, BPI and KenPom ratings in the conference and are our current pick to represent the MEAC in the NCAA tournament (though it is worth noting that the MEAC tournament has historically been one of the most upset-prone tournaments out there).  NC Central has played tough all season, including only losing by 11 to Maryland and by 9 to Cincinnati.  The Eagles are led by Dante Holmes and Jordan Parks.  Parks has already scored 30 or more points twice this season.  Also keep an eye on Nimrod Hilliard, who dropped 25 points earlier this season against Jackson State.  As long as this team keeps playing the way they have done so far, they should not only win tonight but be in position for the top seed in the MEAC tournament in March and a solid shot at the conference’s NCAA bid.

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