Highlighted Games For Thursday, Jan 15th

-For our latest Under the Radar Podcast – CLICK HERE

-For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day, which is a surprising selection, and an explanation as to why it’s NOT Belmont v Murray State – CLICK HERE

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-WOFFORD AT THE CITADEL (SoCon).  It’s an outside shot, but if Wofford wins out they may be on the bubble.

-CINCINNATI AT MEMPHIS (American).  Cincinnati has some work to do, and Memphis has more than just some work to do.

-RICE AT OLD DOMINION (Conference USA).  ODU is coming off a loss, but should be able to rebound at home against a weak Rice team.

-AUBURN AT FLORIDA (SEC).  Florida needs to go on a run just to get back onto the bubble.

-GREEN BAY AT OAKLAND (Horizon League).  We say the same thing every game.  If Green Bay wins out, they’re in regardless of the conference tournament.

-UAB AT LOUISIANA TECH (Conference USA).  We believe if LA Tech wins out, they may be in the discussion, but their margin for error is at best minimal, and has perhaps already passed.

-NEBRASKA AT WISCONSIN (Big Ten).  Nebraska has not looked like an NCAA Tournament team at any point this season.  Wisky, on the other hand, has looked like a #1 seed for most of the season.

-COLORADO AT ARIZONA (Pac Twelve).  Arizona is one of the country’s elite teams this year who could still end up as high as the #1 line, and Colorado has been one of the more disappointing teams this year that doesn’t appear to be anywhere close to the field.

-OREGON STATE AT WSHINGTON (Pac Twelve).  With both teams coming in at 11-4 and Oregon State coming off the big win against Arizona, I’m going to be willing to entertain the idea that they’re a potential tournament team if they can pull this one off on the road.

-UTAH AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac Twelve).  Utah is playing like a top ten team and shouldn’t have too much trouble picking up this road win.

-GONZAGA AT PEPPERDINE (West Coast).  I think Gonzaga is a #1 seed caliber team.  Now having said that, this is one of their tougher remaining games.  Now having said THAT, they’re still undermatched.

-BYU AT PACIFIC (West Coast).  BYU is running out of strikes.

-SAN DIEGO AT SAINT MARY’S (West Coast).  At 13-3 with several opportunities at notable wins, SMC has our attention.

-OREGON AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac Twelve).  Oregon has a lot of work to do and cannot lose to an improving, but still not good, Wazzu team.

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Thursday, January 15, 2015 – Louisiana-Lafayette at Georgia Southern

For our latest Under the Radar podcast, CLICK HERE.

Louisiana-Lafayette at Georgia Southern, 7:30 PM Eastern, No TV

Looking at this evening’s schedule, the UTR Game of the Day pick at first seemed obvious.  Arguably the two best teams in the OVC are playing each other at 9:00 PM on ESPNU as Belmont travels to Murray State.  However, looking closer at the standings, both of those teams are only in second place in their respective divisions.  The two division leaders, Eastern Kentucky and Eastern Illinois, are also playing tonight (7:30 PM Eastern, live streaming at ovcsports.com).  However, instead of either of those games, we have chosen to send our UTR crew to Statesboro, Georgia, to take a look at an UTR team that even the UTR guys have ignored so far this year — the Georgia Southern Eagles.

The 11 team Sun Belt Conference runs a full double round-robin schedule, meaning that each teams gets a home-and-home with every other team in the conference.  While this is, in our opinion, the best way to produce a true regular season champion, it does have a significant disadvantage for a league with more than 10 teams in it.  The SBC conference season is 20 games long, resulting in two fewer chances for a non-conference game.  Georgia Southern made matters even worse this year by scheduling three of their nine non-conference games against non-D1 competition.  In other words, prior to conference play, we only had six games to evaluate the Eagles with.  They went 4-2 in those games, with close losses at Illinois and at UCF, and the best win coming at South Florida.  The Eagles at currently 10-3 overall after sweeping their non-D1 games and starting 3-1 in league play, the loss coming by one point at Texas-Arlington.  The start is good enough to have Georgia Southern sitting at second place in the conference and to hold a 130 RPI, second best in the league.  It is also good enough to have them on our radar.

Tonight, Georgia Southern welcomes in the best team so far in conference play, and we are not talking about Georgia State.  With the preseason favorites appearing to be imploding in early Sun Belt play, the defending conference tournament champions from Louisiana-Lafayette are 4-0 and in first place (10-5 overall).  The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off of a home win over Georgia State and also have a home win over one of the top teams in Conference USA, Louisiana Tech, to their credit.  If they can pick up the road victory in Statesboro tonight, Louisiana-Lafayette will have asserted itself as the early favorite to take the regular season crown, something we did not think possible about a month and a half ago when Georgia State was blowing out Green Bay and taking Old Dominion to overtime on the road.  With the conference tournament being held practically in Lafayette’s backyard in New Orleans, and the top two teams in the Sun Belt tournament receiving byes into the semifinals, the Ragin’ Cajuns appear to be well on their way to setting themselves up for another shot at the NCAA tournament.

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Under the Radar: January 15th

On this week’s episode, Chad and David take a quick look back at the notable action in the power conferences over the weekend, as well as discuss the upcoming legislation that is expected to pass this week in regards to the cost of living stipends, and how that could impact the non-power conferences.  Then, they go through each of the UTR conferences and discuss who the frontrunners in each league are.  After that, it is their latest version of the UTR Top Ten, and a look ahead to this week’s upcoming action.

 

And for all you radio fans out there, below is an mp3 version of the show…

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Wednesday, January 14: Hofstra at Northeastern

For today’s Highlighted Game, CLICK HERE.

Hofstra at Northeastern, 7:00 PM Eastern, free streaming at caa.tv

While the biggest game in Boston tonight features the Harvard Crimson taking on the Boston College Eagles, here at HOOPS HD we will also be paying a lot of attention across town to a key game in the CAA as the Northeastern Huskies host the Hoftsra Pride in a battle of arguably the two best teams in the conference.  Hofstra, as we highlighted a few days ago, has been a surprise this season, having quietly coasted out to a 13-4 record including 4-0 in CAA play and enter tonight’s game ranked 72 by KenPom.  The Pride are led by Juan’ya Green and Ameen Tanksley, both of whom have scored in double digits every game this season.

Northeastern (11-5, 3-1 in CAA) was the early season talk of the CAA, especially after having finished a disappointing 11-21 last season.  The Huskies started the year with a huge win over Florida State (whom at the time we thought to be a good team).  Tonight is only the second home game for the Huskies since December 6, though they have been solid on the road, picking up 9 victories on road and neutral courts so far this season, including a win at Richmond on December 31.  Scott Eatherton is the clear leader for Northeatern, with six double-doubles on the year so far, including a 22 point, 13 rebound effort at James Madison last week.  If the Huskies want to keep pace with Hofstra in the race for the league title, a win tonight at home may be imperative.

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Highlighted Games for Wednesday, Jan 14th

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT WYOMING (***SPOTLIGHT GAME***) (Mountain West).  Wyoming is into the rankings, and although they’re not in my personal rankings, I cannot say that I think it is undeserved.  They have a bloated record, though, and they need some muscle on their resume.  This is an underexposed game, but it is HUGELY important.  Wyoming needs a notable win, and SDSU needs to stop losing games to anyone that’s even half-way decent.

-NOTRE DAME AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC).  Notre Dame is having a great year, and will face another challenge tonight.  GA Tech isn’t good overall, but they’re good at home.

-RUTGERS AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Rutgers had a season signature moment over the weekend.  I seriously doubt they’re good enough to build on it, but if they take down a Maryland team that’s looking like they’ll get a protected seed, it adds a ton of momentum toward Rutgers.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT NC STATE (ACC).  Duke v UNC is the biggest rivalry, but I think this is the more bitter rivalry.  They hate each other.  Duke and UNC like to hate each other.  UNC and NC State hate to hate each other.  NC State scored a huge win in their last game.  If they get this one, they have bragging rights, and they’re close to the bubble.  In short, it’s a high stakes bitter rivalry.

-SMU AT TEMPLE (American).  Temple is safely inside the bubble and SMU is trying to get there.  This is big because it’s one of the last few chances SMU has at a quality win away from home against an NCAA Tournament caliber team.

-HARVARD AT BOSTON COLLEGE (Bean Pot).  It’s a very underrated, but as I’ve recently realized very real mythical conference, the Bean Pot.  BC, Harvard, BU, and Northeastern.   This game is only mentioned because if Harvard wins the Ivy, they’ll be seeded inside the bubble.  It’s a rivalry game, but only sort of.  One of these teams have dominated the series, and it’s not the team from a power conference.  Harvard can win the Bean Pot outright with a perfect 3-0 record.  In fact, our Hoops HD Research Team is informing me that Harvard has won their last 17 Bean Pot games.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT PROVIDENCE (Big East).  Both teams are strong and are currently projected as inside the bubble, so it’s a chance for a quality win.  The Johnnies are good, but they need some notable road wins.

-LA SALLE AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton is being grossly ignored.  A win gets them to 14-2 on the year, and they’ve accomplished that despite being ignored, and despite having far more bad luck than good.

-GOOD DAVIDSON AT UMASS (Atlantic Ten).  Despite Chad Sherwood’s insistence on ignoring Davidson, which compelled me to always refer to them as “Good” Davidson, the Wildcats can improve to 12-3 on the year, 3-1 in league play, and take down a UMass team that’s 5-2 at home and probably won’t lose too many more.

-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley).  It’s a conference game that will seem very much like a buy game.  Very disappointed in SIU this year.  They weren’t good last year, but they finished strong and had a lot of key players returning.

-XAVIER AT VILLANOVA (Big East).  Xavier can beat top ten teams at home, but can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road, or at least they haven’t so far.  Going on the road and winning against a potential #1 seed caliber team would reverse that in a hurry, but it isn’t likely.  On the flip side, if Nova wants a #1 seed, they need to win at home against a team that can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road.

-IOWA STATE AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve).  Both teams are ranked, good, and have good profiles.  Having said that, to date this would still be one of the better wins on the profile of whichever team pulls this off.

-NEVADA AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West).  Colorado State has a bloated record, and has looked good in a lot of their games against decent teams.  That means they may be a tournament team.  If we’re measuring them as if they were a tournament team, they cannot afford to lose at home against a non-tournament team.  Nevada is coming off a very feel-good win against rival UNLV, so they should come in rathe loose.

-ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Illinois can’t make up their minds as to whether or not they’re actually any good.

-STANFORD AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  It’s a conference game.  It’s a bitter rivalry.  It’s a game between two teams that are on the bubble and need notable wins.  Nothing else needs to be said.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, January 13, 2015: Stephen F. Austin at Central Arkansas

For the rest of today’s highlighted games, CLICK HERE.

Stephen F. Austin at Central Arkansas, 8:00 PM Eastern, No TV

In 2010-11, the Centenary Gents played their final season as a Division I team — a very un-noteworthy year in which they went 1-29, with only a late season win over Western Illinois keeping them from having one of the worst seasons in Division I history.  In honor of their final season at the D1 level, we here at HOOPS HD kept them on our mock committee “Under Consideration” board, despite the Gents not even qualifying for the Summit League tournament.  We then went one step further the next season, christening the annual “Centenary Award” in honor of the worst team in Division I.

In 2012, Towson won the award, thanks in part to a huge first round America East tournament win by Binghamton.  The win by Towson was not without controversy, but in the end, the Tigers were chosen.  In 2013, an 0-28 Grambling team ran away with the award.  Last season, Southern Utah claimed the crown with a 2-27 performance.  This season, the preseason favorite for the award was Florida A&M.  FAMU is presently 0-16 and appears well on their way to the title.  However, the Central Arkansas Bears are right on their heels, sitting at 0-14 heading into tonight’s game.  And, given who their opponent is tonight, it may be a bigger upset than Texas Southern winning at Michigan State for the Bears to not be 0-15 after tonight.

Central Arkansas will be hosting the clear favorite to represent the Southland Conference again in the NCAA tournament, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks.  SFA enters tonight’s game on an 11 game winning streak, which includes a win at Memphis and a home win over Long Beach State.  Despite the 12-4 record and a legitimate chance to run the table in the Southland (a game January 24 at Sam Houston State may decide if that happens), SFA most likely will need to win the SLC’s automatic bid if they want to return to the NCAAs.  Perhaps the biggest reason is that any loss in conference play, including a loss in the conference tournament, would be a bad loss on their resume.  Given that the Lumberjacks lack any truly noteworthy wins,, it is difficult to imagine an at-large bid coming their way should they falter.  Obviously, a loss tonight to one of the worst teams in D1 would be devastating to any slim chance for an at-large bid that may exist.

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