Bracketology 2016: March Madness Predictions (Version 1.0)

Welcome back to another year of NCAA tourney predictions. Last year HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 66 of the 68 teams that made the tourney, including 62 right on the money or within 1 spot of their actual seed. He will spend the next 10 weeks predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday, with new updates each week. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today, and let us know if you agree or disagree in the comments section. To compare how we stack up with other websites, check out: www.bracketmatrix.com.

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SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Oklahoma (Big 12)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: Michigan State (Big 10)
1: Virginia (ACC)

2: Villanova (Big East)
2: Xavier (Big East)
2: North Carolina (ACC)
2: Kentucky (SEC)

3: Duke (ACC)
3: Purdue (Big 10)
3: Maryland (Big 10)
3: Iowa State (Big 12)

4: Arizona (Pac-12)
4: Miami Florida (ACC)
4: Providence (Big East)
4: West Virginia (Big 12)

5: Louisville (ACC)
5: Butler (Big East)
5: Texas A&M (SEC)
5: Pitt (ACC)

6: Iowa (Big 10)
6: Dayton (A-10)
6: Cincinnati (AAC)
6: South Carolina (SEC)

7: George Washington (A-10)
7: Oregon (Pac-12)
7: Utah (Pac-12)
7: Gonzaga (WCC)

8: Vanderbilt (SEC)
8: Baylor (Big 12)
8: Florida (SEC)
8: Connecticut (AAC)

9: Texas Tech (Big 12)
9: Alabama (SEC)
9: UCLA (Pac-12)
9: Indiana (Big 10)

10: Notre Dame (ACC)
10: USC (Pac-12)
10: Colorado (Pac-12)
10: California (Pac-12)

11: Michigan (Big 10)
11: St. Joseph’s (A-10)
11: Wichita State (MVC)
11: Wake Forest (ACC)
11: UNLV (MWC)
11: Seton Hall (Big East)

12: Northern Iowa (MVC)
12: Monmouth (MAAC)
12: Valparaiso (Horizon)
12: Arkansas-Little Rock (Sun Belt)

13: Chattanooga (SoCon)
13: Akron (MAC)
13: South Dakota State (Summit)
13: Louisiana Tech (CUSA)

14: William & Mary (CAA)
14: Hawaii (Big West)
14: Belmont (OVC)
14: Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

15: Yale (Ivy)
15: High Point (Big South)
15: Montana (Big Sky)
15: Army (Patriot)

16: Albany (America East)
16: New Mexico State (WAC)
16: North Florida (Atlantic Sun)
16: Southern (SWAC)
16: Wagner (NEC)
16: Hampton (MEAC)

CONFERENCE: # OF TEAMS
AAC: 2
America East: 1
ACC: 8
Atlantic Sun: 1
A-10: 3
Big East: 5
Big Sky: 1
Big South: 1
Big 10: 6
Big 12: 6
Big West: 1
CAA: 1
CUSA: 1
Horizon: 1
Ivy: 1
MAAC: 1
MAC: 1
MEAC: 1
MVC: 2
MWC: 1
NEC: 1
OVC: 1
Pac-12: 7
Patriot: 1
SEC: 6
SoCon: 1
Southland: 1
SWAC: 1
Summit: 1
Sun Belt: 1
WCC: 1
WAC: 1

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Jan 3rd

-Below is a rundown of today’s action, and a quick look back at yesterday

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day between Middle Tennessee and UAB – CLICK HERE

-Yesterday was a very busy day in the Big East, Big Twelve, Big Ten, and ACC.  Butler is in a bit of a hole after getting blown out at Xavier as they are now 0-2 in Big East play.  North Carolina had a lot more trouble than expected, but held on to beat Georgia Tech.  Florida State followed up their big road win at Florida with a somewhat surprising road loss at Clemson.  Oklahoma trailed for much of the game against Iowa state, but held on to pick up a big win.

-The team that I noticed the most yesterday was Iowa.  Other than a somewhat sluggish showing in their exempt tournament, they’ve been sensational.  They built up (and blew) a 20 point lead at Iowa State, and I just kind of dismissed it as them blowing it.  They then won at home against Michigan State, but against I just kind of dismissed it as them beating a team that wasn’t at full strength.  You cannot simply dismiss winning at Purdue, and when you look at how well they’ve played in their other games, one has to conclude that the Hawkeyes appear to be for real.

-South Carolina had to sweat it out against Memphis, but the Gamecocks remain unbeaten.

-The game of the day was West Virginia at Kansas State.  It went into double overtime, but WVU pulled out the big road win.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-ARIZONA AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac Twelve).  Arizona has played just one true road win, but it was at Gonzaga when the Zags were at full strength, so they’ve proven they can win at hostile environments.  Arizona State hasn’t lost at home since they’re season opener and they’re an impressive 10-3 on the season so far.  To win their conference opener against their rival would give them even more momentum.  This one should be fun.  It’s a conference rivalry game between a protected seeded team who’d playing on the road against an underdog that’s trying to solidify themselves as an NCAA Tournament team.

-WICHITA STATE AT BRADLEY (Missouri Valley).  It’s going to be the same ol’ story for Wichita for at least several weeks.  They’re back at full strength, but they have a ton of catching up to do.  This is a winnable conference road game that they need to pick up.

-USC AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve).  I keep waiting for USC to taper off, but they’re still a very strong 12-2 and are looking very much like an NCAA Tournament team.  They blew past Wazzu in their conference opener and will have a tougher test today, but it’s still a very winnable game.

-ILLINOIS AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Ohio State has won four straight since getting off to a sluggish start to the season, and continues to look better and better each week.  They’ve still got work to do, but they appear to have turned it around.

-WESTERN ILLINOIS AT SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit League).  South Dakota State is good enough to blow through this league, and if they do they should be in the discussion for an at-large bid if they need it.

-FORDHAM AT GEORGE WASHINGTON (Atlantic Ten).  Fordham is having one of their best years in recent memory, but they still have a very long way to go.  I don’t think they’re good enough to where you can expect them to knock off a tournament caliber team in a true road game yet.

-OREGON AT OREGON STATE (Pac Twelve).  This is a rivalry game between two teams that could really use this win.  Oregon is 11-2, but they’ve played just one true road game and didn’t win it.  Most of Oregon State’s wins have been against weaker teams as well.  The Beavers are much improved, but this would be a hugely defining and satisfying moment for them if they’re able to knock off a rival that’s also a likely tournament caliber team.

-UTAH AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  Utah is still looking for their first true road win, and fell at Stanford earlier this week and that’s a part of their resume that could use some improvement.  Cal had a big wig win against Colorado, but their resume could still use some improvement as well.

-WAKE FOREST AT LOUISVILLE (ACC).  Louisville hasn’t beaten an NIT caliber team yet, but they’ve still looked very strong and can finally add a notable win to their resume if they’re able to beat Wake Forest today.

-BETHUNE COOKMAN AT GRAND CANYON.  The Team of the People is looking to improve to 13-2 on the year!  Keep the fight alive!!  #LopesWaiver

-UCLA AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac Twelve).  UCLA lost a close one in their conference opener and really does need to rebound today.

-COLORADO AT STANDFORD (Pac Twelve).  Colorado got absolutely waxed against Cal the other night, and needs to pick up a conference road win.  I still think they’re a good team that will be there in the end, but they don’t have much in the way of notable wins at this point in time.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Sunday, January 3: Middle Tennessee at UAB

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Middle Tennessee at UAB, 3:00 PM Eastern, ASN

The UTR Game of the Day heads to Birmingham, Alabama this afternoon for a matchup between two of the top teams in Conference USA.  The UAB Blazers enter today’s first league game of the season with a record of 10-3 overall.  The Blazers suffered a season-opening loss at Auburn and then had a rough trip a few weeks later to Niceville, Florida for the Emerald Coast Classic, getting blown out by Illinois and losing in overtime to Virginia Tech.  However, they have not lost since that trip, rolling out a perfect 7-0 month of December that ended with a solid ten-point win over Stephen F. Austin.  Chris Cokley has stood out so far this season, topping the 20 point mark five times already.  Senior Robert Brown has topped 20 in two of his last three games as well, while William Lee may be starting to turn his season around, having scored in double-digits in five of his last 6 games, including an 11 point, 10 rebound and 5 assist effort against South Carolina Upstate.  If UAB can continue to build on the momentum the team built last month, there is no reason why they will not be able to return to our preseason expectations and become a serious contender in CUSA.

Today’s opponent for the Blazers is a team that has been playing as well this season as anyone in the conference, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.  The Blue Raiders started the season 7-2 winning the Great Alaska Shootout in the process and picking up a very nice win in Nashville over Auburn as well as a home win over Belmont.  However, things turned sour after that, as Kermit Davis’ squad fell at Georgia State and in Sioux Falls to South Dakota State.  A win over non-D1 Trevecca Nazarene boosted their non-conference record to 8-4.  The talent is certainly here on this team to win the conference, led by Reggie Upshaw and Darnell Harris.  Upshaw scored a career high 32 points against Trevecca Nazarene, while Harris was among the best players on the court in both the Georgia State and South Dakota State losses.  If the two of them can continue to improve, the Blue Raiders could be poised to pull off the road upset today and send notice that they will be a major player in CUSA all season.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Saturday, Jan 2nd

NEWS AND NOTES

-For Chad Sherwood’s Under the Radar Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s All Conference Awards for 2015 – CLICK HERE

-Xavier suffered their first loss of the season two days ago when they were completely curb stomped by Villanova, but they lost more than just the game.  Xavier PG Edmond Sumner needed to be taken off the court on a stretcher about a minute in.  The good news is he was released from the hospital and traveled back with the team, so it is likely that he will be able to return at some point.

-Utah has some good wins on their tournament resume, but one thing that they still don’t have is a true road win.  They fell at Stanford in overtime last night.

-Providence had a big win at Butler two days ago.  They’ve now beaten Arizona on a neutral floor and have a true road win at Butler.  Their only loss was a close game to a top ranked Michigan State team, who was at full strength at the time.  Most people aren’t thinking of them as a #1 seed, and perhaps they won’t be there in the end, but as of now they’ve certainly looked the part.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-DEPAUL AT SETON HALL (Big East).  Seton Hall is an impressive 11-2 on the year and unbeaten at home.  They can improve to 2-0 in league play with a very winnable game today.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT KANSAS STATE (Big Twelve).  WVU is really good, but they have just one true road win and K State has yet to lose at home.  If K State wants to make the dance then they need to pick up wins in games like this.

-JAMES MADISON AT DELAWARE (Colonial).  JMU’s home loss to College of Charleston was a huge surprise.  I do believe that was their last strike.  Having said that, I do believe that it’s possible that they can still run away from the league.

-HOUSTON AT TEMPLE (American).  Houston has just two losses, but they’ll need to blow through league play in order to get noticed because their OOC schedule was so weak.

-PENN STATE AT MICHIGAN (Big Ten).  People have kind of mailed it in on Michigan.  A win in this game gets them to 12-3, which is anything but bad.

-FLORIDA STATE AT CLEMSON (ACC).  Florida State traditionally struggles on the road, but they’re coming off a huge road win against Florida and have a winnable conference road game today against Clemson.

-GEORGIA TECH AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  Georgia Tech is 10-3, but we’re still not sold on them.  That will change if they pull off the upset win today, though.

-RICHMOND AT SAINT JOSEPH’S (Atlantic Ten).  We’ve kind of written off the A10 as just a two bid league, but Richmond has made a little bit of noise this year and Saint Joe’s is a very surprising 10-2, so the door is open for both of them.  Having said that, the margin for error is small.

-CHATTANOOGA AT THE CITADEL (Southern).  The Citadel is much improved, but they’re probably not good enough to knock off an at-large caliber team, which is what Chattanooga appears to be.

-BUTLER AT XAVIER (Big East).  Both are trying to recover from losses in their conference openers and avoid starting out 0-2.  Xavier was clobbered at Villanova, and lost Sumner, whereas Butler fell to Providence at home.  Neither team is in any danger and both could still end up as protected seeds, but it’s a game with a sense of urgency.  It’s also a game with a little bit of heat as this series appears to be a budding rivalry.

-TEXAS AT TEXAS TECH (Big Twelve).  Texas needs road wins.  Texas Tech has some decent wins, but all came at home and not many were of this caliber.  Both teams need conference wins, so this is a big early conference game for both of them.

-NC STATE AT VIRGINIA TECH (ACC).  Many of us have stopped paying attention to NC State, but they’re a very respectable 10-3 and they’ll explode onto the national scene if they’re able to make some noise in ACC play.

-UIC AT VALPARAISO (Horizon League).  Valpo can land inside the bubble, but they’ll need to blow through HL play in order to do it.

-SYRACUSE AT MIAMI FL (ACC).  Syracuse is 0-3 in true road games, so a win in this game would jack up the value of their profile in a very big way.  Miami has multiple impressive wins and has just one loss, which came at the buzzer.

-DAYTON AT DUQUESNE (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton has a solid profile, but they’ve had to sweat out their last two games, both of which were at home against weak teams.  Duquesne probably isn’t a tournament team, but they are 10-3 and are also unbeaten at home.  This will be a tougher game for Dayton to win than the previous two that they’ve had to sweat out.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  Michigan State is looking to rebound from their loss at Iowa.  I still don’t think they’re at full strength, but this is still a game they should be able to win.

-SAINT JOHN’S AT PROVIDENCE (Big East).  With wins away from home against Arizona and Butler, and just one loss on the season, Providence’s case for a #1 seed is currently very strong.  We have a long way to go, though.

-BAYLOR AT KANSAS (Big Twelve).  Baylor’s team is good, but their profile needs lots of work.  If they win this game today, then their profile will no longer need lots of work.  Kansas, like most years, already has some big wins and will contend for the league title and a #1 seed.

-CHARLESTON AT WILLIAM & MARY (Colonial).  CofC picked up a HUGELY impressive win at James Madison the other night, and if they get another road win against another conference favorite, then at this point we have to start thinking of them as the conference favorite.  There is room for an at-large bid for the first place finisher of this league so long as they avoid bad losses.

-TULSA AT CINCINNATI (American).  Cincinnati is coming off a surprising home loss to Temple, who is not a tournament caliber team.  They can’t afford too many more of those.  Tulsa, on the other hand, needs to start blowing through their schedule if they want the committee to notice them.

-INDIANA AT NEBRASKA (Big Ten).  As disappointing as many feel Indiana has been, they’re still 11-3 and can still have a big year if they can get their defense figured out.  Picking up a conference road win would certainly help things.

-EVANSVILLE AT MISSOURI STATE (Missouri Valley).  Evansville is 12-2 and it’s very possible that they’ll land inside the bubble come Selection Sunday.  They need to avoid losses in games like this, though.

-ARKANSAS AT TEXAS A&M (SEC).  TAMU can improve to 11-2 on the season and remain in solid shape.

-DUKE AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC).  This is Duke’s first true road game of the season, but they’ll probably be less tested than they were in many of their neutral floor OOC games.

-NOTRE DAME AT VIRGINIA (ACC).  Notre Dame was a little sluggish at the start, but they are 9-3 and can change the entire complexion of their season if they can pick up a monster road win against a UVA team that will likely end up on one of the top two lines.  That’s much more easily said than done, though.

-LITTLE ROCK AT TROY (Sun Belt).  Little Rock has just one loss on the year and will be good for a bid if they keep winning at that clip.

-MARQUETTE AT GEORGETOWN (Big East).  Marquette was blown out at home in their conference opener, but they still sit at a relatively healthy 10-3 and will be in good shape if they can pick up a conference road win today.

-MEMPHIS AT SOUTH CAROLINA.  South Carolina is trying to remain unbeaten, and Memphis is trying to pick up their best win of the season so far.  This is actually Memphis’s first true road game, so it’s one of their bigger tests so far.

-IOWA AT PURDUE.  Iowa is coming off the win against Michigan State, but it was at home against a short handed Spartan team.  Winning at Purdue will probably be a tougher test.

-NORTHEASTERN AT UNC WILMINGTON (Colonial).  As mentioned earlier, the first place finisher in the Colonial will likely be in the discussion for an at-large bid.

-COLORADO STATE AT BOISE STATE (Mountain West).  Boise State is probably good enough to run through the league and land inside the bubble, but anything short of that likely won’t be enough.

-OLE MISS AT KENTUCKY (SEC).  People haven’t been that excited about Ole Miss, but if they can pull off the huge upset they’ll explode onto the national scene.  They’re 10-2 with four true road wins.  They don’t have anything of this caliber on their profile, though.

-IOWA STATE AT OKLAHOMA (Big Twelve).  Both teams are likely protected seeds, and both are good enough to potentially play their way up to the #1 line.  It’s a huge game that’s as much of a litmus test as it is a chance for a quality win.

-SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AT LOUISIANA TECH (Conference USA).  It’s a long shot, but LA Tech is 11-2 and has a chance of being in the discussion if they blow through conference play.

-CONNECTICUT AT TULANE (American).  UConn will remain safe so long as they don’t lose games to non tournament teams.  This game would certainly qualify.

-SOUTH FLORIDA AT SMU (American).  SMU is still unbeaten.  They are also still ineligible.

-GEORGIA AT FLORIDA (SEC).  Both these teams need this game.  Both are good.  Both are improving, but both also need quality wins on their profile.

-MARYLAND AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Northwestern won their conference opener.  At 13-1, this would be as big of a statement win as any they’ve had this year even though it’s a home game.  It would also be one of Maryland’s more notable wins as well.  In fact, Maryland hasn’t won a true road game yet.

-DAVIDSON AT SAINT BONAVENTURE (Atlantic Ten).  I don’t think either team will be there in the end, but for now both are 8-3 and still have a chance if they can pick up some big wins in league play.

-NORTHERN IOWA AT SOUTHERN ILLINOIS (Missouri Valley).  Southern Illinois has a bloated record, but they haven’t beaten any good teams.  Northern Iowa has beaten some really good teams, but has also lost to teams that are nowhere near the tournament picture.  Both teams have a lot of work to do and it’s an important early conference game.

-GEORGIA SOUTHERN AT UT ARLINGTON (Sun Belt).  Arlington can still land inside the bubble, but they’ll have to blow through the league and avoid bad losses in order to do it.

-LSU AT VANDERBILT (SEC).  Vanderbilt looks like a tournament team that needs to strengthen its profile.  LSU looks nothing like a tournament team and needs to start playing like one before it’s too late.

-SAN DIEGO AT SAINT MARY’S (West Coast).  It’s the same narrative as always.  I’m not a believer in SMC, but we’re still paying attention and entertaining the possibility that they might be good due to them due to their bloated record against weak teams.

-VILLANOVA AT CREIGHTON (Big East).  Nova blew out Xavier in their conference opener, and is now looking for just their second true road win of the season.

-GONZAGA AT SAN FRANCISCO (West Coast).  Gonzaga’s road just got a lot tougher seeing as how they’re now without Karnowski for the rest of the year.  If they blow through the league they’re still likely a first ballot team, but but if they end up dropping several they could be in real trouble.

 

Norfolk State @ Alabama – (buy game)
-UMES @ Pittsburgh – (buy game)

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Saturday, January 2: Howard at Hawai’i

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Howard at Hawai’i, 10:30 PM Eastern, OC Sports/bigwest.tv

If you have not checked out Jon Teitel’s Mid-Season Conference Awards yet, CLICK HERE.

Conference play is beginning to gear up, but for today’s UTR Game of the Day, we slip back into non-conference mode as the Rainbow Warriors of Hawai’i host their final non-conference opponent of the season, the MEAC’s Howard Bison.  The Bows enter today’s game with a record of 10-2, including having taken the championship in the Rainbow Classic to start the season and Third Place in the Diamond Head Classic last week.  Their only losses came in the Diamond Head semifinal to Oklahoma and on their lone road trip of the season so far, at Texas Tech.  Hawai’i, despite only one road game on the season, does enter play with a KenPom rating of 65 — solid enough that there is a chance they could be in the at-large bid discussion if they can dominate Big West play this season (and pick up a win today as well).  They are led by Stefan Jankovic, Roderick Bobbitt and Aaron Valdes.  Bobbitt led the way during the final two games in the Diamond Head Classic, scoring 32 against Oklahoma and 30 against Auburn, leading him to be honored as our colleague Jon Teitel’s Big West Mid-Season Player of the Year.  If the three of them and their teammates can continue to play at the level they have the past few weeks, there is a great chance that this team will finish right at the top of their conference standings this year.

Tonight’s opponent for the Rainbow Warriors is the Howard Bison, visiting the islands for the New Year all the way from Washington, DC.  Howard enters play at 7-7 on the season and 1-1 in early MEAC play.  Although 7-7 is normally not impressive, especially with two of those wins coming over non-D1 competition, the Bison are the only .500 or better team in the MEAC at the moment.  They also hold one of the conference’s best wins on the season so far — a home win back on November 28 against William & Mary.  The Bison are led by Jon Teitel’s MEAC Mid-Season Player of the Year, James Daniel.  Daniel has already topped the 30-point mark six times this season including scoring 39 in the William & Mary game.  He is one of, if not the most exciting player in the MEAC and will be trying to lead his Bison to the Big Dance for the first time since 1992.  A second notable non-conference win today could certainly send a message to the rest of the conference that the Bison are a legitimate contender.

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Friday, January 1, 2016: Western Illinois at Omaha (and Other Highlighted Games)

Under the Radar Game of the Day: Western Illinois at Omaha, 2:00 PM Eastern

For John S.’s latest Throwback Thursday about the Great Midwest Conference, CLICK HERE.

For Jon T.’s Midterm All-Conference Teams, CLICK HERE.

HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!!!

From all of us here at Hoops HD, we want to wish each and every one of you the best in 2016.  Now that the calendars have changed, conference play has taken over the college basketball world.  And today, although the hoops schedule is light, the Summit League does get going in earnest (one Summit League game was played Wednesday when Fort Wayne knocked off Oral Roberts).  For the first UTR Game of the Day of 2016, we are heading to the very first college basketball game of any kind this year — Western Illinois will be at Nebraska-Omaha for a 2:00 PM Eastern tip-off.

Western Illinois started the season off with a bang, scoring one of the first major upsets with their 69-67 win at Wisconsin.  Unfortunately, the Leathernecks ended 2015 on a sour note, suffering back-to-back losses to Chicago State and Loyola-Chicago. They sit at 7-4 on the season right now, but as with most Under the Radar teams, the slate is wiped clean as they enter conference play.  They have a chance to win games now against their conference rivals and contend for a top seed in the Summit League tournament, which would bring with it a better chance at an NCAA Tournament bid.  Although their toughest conference test comes on Sunday (at South Dakota State), WIU should be tested on the road today in Omaha.  The Leathernecks have been led so far this season by Garret Covington who has scored double figures in every game.  Convington has been the team’s top three-point shooter, including having made 5 in each of his last two games.

The Omaha Mavericks enter 2016 with a record of 8-6 that includes the “Visitor’s Bracket” championship at the Global Sports Classic.  Of course, the Mavs best win on the season came back on December 13 when they won at Grand Canyon by four points in overtime.  Omaha is one team that certainly knows about GCU’s current situation of being a transitional team that is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament.  The Mavericks just completed their own transition, and 2015-16 is their first season of full eligibility.  Although they may be a longshot for the Big Dance, they should be competitive in league play due to a fast pace and a tough, balanced scoring attack.  Devin Patterson, Tra-Deon Hollins, Tre’Shawn Thurman and Jake White are all capable of dropping double-digits on any team, any night.  The speed that the team plays at also makes them dangerous, as they enter play today ranked 6th in the nation in tempo by KenPom.

 

OTHER HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-USC AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac Twelve).  Wazzu is improving, but they’ve got a long way to go before they’re relevant again.  USC, on the other hand, is a surprising 11-2 on the year, but has just one true road win on the season.  This is one of the more winnable conference road games that they’ll play so it’s important that they pick it up.

-UTAH AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Utah’s profile is pretty solid, especially with a neutral floor win over Duke.  But, Their next true road win will be their first, so they don’t want to pass up the opportunity to pick up a winnable conference road game.

-UCLA AT WASHINGTON (Pac Twelve).  Washington has a ton of work to do if they want to land inside the bubble.  UCLA is off to a pretty good start and can pick up their second true road win of the season tonight.

-COLORADO AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  I’ve liked this Colorado team since the beginning.  Cal is unbeaten at home, so this would clearly be their biggest win of the year if they pull this one out.

 

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