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Stephen F. Austin at Central Arkansas, 8:00 PM Eastern, No TV
In 2010-11, the Centenary Gents played their final season as a Division I team — a very un-noteworthy year in which they went 1-29, with only a late season win over Western Illinois keeping them from having one of the worst seasons in Division I history. In honor of their final season at the D1 level, we here at HOOPS HD kept them on our mock committee “Under Consideration” board, despite the Gents not even qualifying for the Summit League tournament. We then went one step further the next season, christening the annual “Centenary Award” in honor of the worst team in Division I.
In 2012, Towson won the award, thanks in part to a huge first round America East tournament win by Binghamton. The win by Towson was not without controversy, but in the end, the Tigers were chosen. In 2013, an 0-28 Grambling team ran away with the award. Last season, Southern Utah claimed the crown with a 2-27 performance. This season, the preseason favorite for the award was Florida A&M. FAMU is presently 0-16 and appears well on their way to the title. However, the Central Arkansas Bears are right on their heels, sitting at 0-14 heading into tonight’s game. And, given who their opponent is tonight, it may be a bigger upset than Texas Southern winning at Michigan State for the Bears to not be 0-15 after tonight.
Central Arkansas will be hosting the clear favorite to represent the Southland Conference again in the NCAA tournament, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. SFA enters tonight’s game on an 11 game winning streak, which includes a win at Memphis and a home win over Long Beach State. Despite the 12-4 record and a legitimate chance to run the table in the Southland (a game January 24 at Sam Houston State may decide if that happens), SFA most likely will need to win the SLC’s automatic bid if they want to return to the NCAAs. Perhaps the biggest reason is that any loss in conference play, including a loss in the conference tournament, would be a bad loss on their resume. Given that the Lumberjacks lack any truly noteworthy wins,, it is difficult to imagine an at-large bid coming their way should they falter. Obviously, a loss tonight to one of the worst teams in D1 would be devastating to any slim chance for an at-large bid that may exist.
Highlighted Games for Wednesday, Jan 14th
-SAN DIEGO STATE AT WYOMING (***SPOTLIGHT GAME***) (Mountain West). Wyoming is into the rankings, and although they’re not in my personal rankings, I cannot say that I think it is undeserved. They have a bloated record, though, and they need some muscle on their resume. This is an underexposed game, but it is HUGELY important. Wyoming needs a notable win, and SDSU needs to stop losing games to anyone that’s even half-way decent.
-NOTRE DAME AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC). Notre Dame is having a great year, and will face another challenge tonight. GA Tech isn’t good overall, but they’re good at home.
-RUTGERS AT MARYLAND (Big Ten). Rutgers had a season signature moment over the weekend. I seriously doubt they’re good enough to build on it, but if they take down a Maryland team that’s looking like they’ll get a protected seed, it adds a ton of momentum toward Rutgers.
-NORTH CAROLINA AT NC STATE (ACC). Duke v UNC is the biggest rivalry, but I think this is the more bitter rivalry. They hate each other. Duke and UNC like to hate each other. UNC and NC State hate to hate each other. NC State scored a huge win in their last game. If they get this one, they have bragging rights, and they’re close to the bubble. In short, it’s a high stakes bitter rivalry.
-SMU AT TEMPLE (American). Temple is safely inside the bubble and SMU is trying to get there. This is big because it’s one of the last few chances SMU has at a quality win away from home against an NCAA Tournament caliber team.
-HARVARD AT BOSTON COLLEGE (Bean Pot). It’s a very underrated, but as I’ve recently realized very real mythical conference, the Bean Pot. BC, Harvard, BU, and Northeastern. This game is only mentioned because if Harvard wins the Ivy, they’ll be seeded inside the bubble. It’s a rivalry game, but only sort of. One of these teams have dominated the series, and it’s not the team from a power conference. Harvard can win the Bean Pot outright with a perfect 3-0 record. In fact, our Hoops HD Research Team is informing me that Harvard has won their last 17 Bean Pot games.
-SAINT JOHN’S AT PROVIDENCE (Big East). Both teams are strong and are currently projected as inside the bubble, so it’s a chance for a quality win. The Johnnies are good, but they need some notable road wins.
-LA SALLE AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten). Dayton is being grossly ignored. A win gets them to 14-2 on the year, and they’ve accomplished that despite being ignored, and despite having far more bad luck than good.
-GOOD DAVIDSON AT UMASS (Atlantic Ten). Despite Chad Sherwood’s insistence on ignoring Davidson, which compelled me to always refer to them as “Good” Davidson, the Wildcats can improve to 12-3 on the year, 3-1 in league play, and take down a UMass team that’s 5-2 at home and probably won’t lose too many more.
-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley). It’s a conference game that will seem very much like a buy game. Very disappointed in SIU this year. They weren’t good last year, but they finished strong and had a lot of key players returning.
-XAVIER AT VILLANOVA (Big East). Xavier can beat top ten teams at home, but can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road, or at least they haven’t so far. Going on the road and winning against a potential #1 seed caliber team would reverse that in a hurry, but it isn’t likely. On the flip side, if Nova wants a #1 seed, they need to win at home against a team that can’t beat the Boy Scouts on the road.
-IOWA STATE AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve). Both teams are ranked, good, and have good profiles. Having said that, to date this would still be one of the better wins on the profile of whichever team pulls this off.
-NEVADA AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West). Colorado State has a bloated record, and has looked good in a lot of their games against decent teams. That means they may be a tournament team. If we’re measuring them as if they were a tournament team, they cannot afford to lose at home against a non-tournament team. Nevada is coming off a very feel-good win against rival UNLV, so they should come in rathe loose.
-ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten). Illinois can’t make up their minds as to whether or not they’re actually any good.
-STANFORD AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve). It’s a conference game. It’s a bitter rivalry. It’s a game between two teams that are on the bubble and need notable wins. Nothing else needs to be said.