Conference Preview: Atlantic Ten

Make sure you check out our first Bracket Racket of the season: https://hoopshd.com/2014/11/10/hoops-hd-bracket-racket-11092014/

Dayton’s magical run to the Elite Eight last season certainly captured the attention of the nation and once again put the Atlantic Ten in the spotlight as a top level college basketball conference.  This is even more accentuated by the often-forgotten fact that Dayton finished the regular season all the way down in a tie for fifth place in the conference regular season standings.  The Atlantic Ten had a very solid six entrants into the 2014 Big Dance with VCU, George Washington, Massachusetts, St. Joseph’s and Saint Louis all joining the Flyers, though noone else made it beyond the Round of 32.

This season, four of last year’s NCAA participants will be among the contenders for the league title — namely VCU, Dayton, George Washington and Massachusetts.  Joining these teams in the battle for the league’s top spot and at-large consideration should be an up and coming Rhode Island team and one of our dark horse teams in the entire country, perennial A10 doormat Fordham.  St. Joe’s and Saint Louis both look like they will slide back into the pack this year.  The newest A10 member, Davidson, looks like they will struggle as well despite having gone 15-1 in the SoCon last season and playing in the NIT.  In the end, it will be very difficult for the Atlantic Ten to match last season’s six bids, with three or four appearing much more likely this year.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.  VCU: The Rams are our pick to win the regular season title with Treveon Graham, Briante Weber and Melvin Johnson, plus some key frontcourt recruits including Terry Larrier and Mike Gilmore.
2.  Dayton: The Flyers should be even better than last year (in the regular season at least) with the returns of Dyshawn Pierre and Jordan Sibert as well as having Scoochie Smith take over as the starting point guard.
3.  George Washington: The Colonials will need a healthy Kethan Savage and Joe McDonald to contend for the league crown.
4.  Rhode Island: Dan Hurley is on the verge of turning the Rams into an NCAA tournament team.  With Xavier Munford gone, they will rely on E.C. Matthews to lead the scoring.  If Matthews gets help from the rest of the roster, this could be a fun season.
5.  Massachusetts: It could be tough for the Minutemen to replace Chaz Williams, but if they do there is no reason they will not be in the hunt for another bid.  Derrick Gordon will be a key player on the roster, and we can only hope there is no negative feedback against him after he came out during the offseason as the first openly gay player in Division I.
6.  Fordham: One of our picks as a surprise team this year, Tom Pecora’s squad may finally be ready to turn things around in the Bronx.  Jon Severe, Mandell Thomas, Serbian import Nemanja Zarkovic and freshman Eric Paschall could all be key pieces for the Rams.
7.  La Salle: The Explorers have a solid frontcourt with Steve Zack and Jerrell Wright.  If Auburn transfer Jordan Price and Georgia Southern transfer Cleon Roberts can step in and play, they may end up even better than this pick.
8.  Richmond: Kendall Anthony and Terry Allen should both have very good years, but there may not be enough other pieces here to challenge for an at-large bid.
9.  St. Joseph’s: DeAndre’ Bembry will be the star of this team, but losing three of their top four scorers from last season probably pushes an NCAA tournament bid beyond their grasp.
10.  Saint Louis: Jim Crews has had a ton of success in his first two seasons leading the Billikens, but all five starters are gone and this will be a rebuilding year.  The good news is that there is some very strong talent coming into the program and it won’t be long before they are back near the top.
11.  St. Bonaventure: The Bonnies could pull off a few upsets with Youssou Ndoye anchoring a solid frontcourt and a pair of players with the same name in the backcourt (Jalen Adams and Jaylen Adams).
12.  Davidson: Brian Sullivan is a solid player that can shoot the three, but with three starters gone from last season and a major step up in class from the Southern to the A10, this could be a tough season.
13.  Duquesne: Micah Mason led the nation in 3 point percentage last season — but there just does not seem to be enough other pieces around him for the Dukes to avoid finishing near the bottom of the league.
14.  George Mason: Jalen Jenkins and Patrick Holloway will need to become legitimate stars for this team to have any success, but right now it looks like this may be Paul Hewitt’s final season as head coach for the struggling Patriots.

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Conference Preview: ACC

If you have not done so yet, make sure you check out the season’s first Bracket Racket here: https://hoopshd.com/2014/11/10/hoops-hd-bracket-racket-11092014/

Last March was not a good one for the ACC.  Despite putting six teams into the NCAA tournament, including #1 seed Virginia, #3 seed Syracuse and #5 seed Duke (in addition to North  Carolina, Pittsburgh and North Carolina State), only Virginia survived the first weekend of the tournament, and the Cavaliers fell in the regional semifinal round to Michigan State.  In fact, arguably the most successful teams from the ACC in postseason play were Clemson and Florida State, both of whom lost in the semifinals of the NIT.  Regardless, if the ACC truly wants to claim the mantle as the best conference in college basketball, its teams will need to perform a lot better in the NCAA tournament this year.

The ACC has upgraded its roster of schools this season by saying farewell to Maryland (off to the Big Ten) and welcoming in former Big East (and for one season American Athletic Conference) member Louisville.  The Cardinals won the NCAA championship two seasons ago and head coach Rick Pitino is among the elite coaches in the entire nation.  Louisville did follow-up their 2013 national championship with a run to the Sweet 16 last season, but fell there to eventual national runner-up Kentucky.

As far as this season goes, the clear favorite to win the ACC is the Duke Blue Devils.  Coach K’s team returns three starters and adds one of the most talented recruiting classes in the nation, headlined by Jahlil Okafor, rated by many as the #1 recruit in the entire country.  The North Carolina Tar Heels, if they can avoid off-court distractions including an ongoing NCAA inquiry, do appear to have the talent to contend for the conference title as well.  Virginia, Florida State, Louisville, Miami, Syracuse and Pittsburgh could all be in the running for at-large bids also.  Finally, be certain to keep an eye on Virginia Tech, where Buzz Williams takes over as head coach and should have this Hokies vastly improved from last season’s 9-22 record.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.  Duke: With Quinn Cook, Rasheed Sulaimon, Amile Jefferson, and top recruits such as Okafor and Tyus Jones, the sky is the limit for the Blue Devils.  Perhaps the only question is whether or not they are too young — but we seem to ask that of the top teams in the nation at this time every season.
2.  North Carolina: Assuming the off-court issues stay off the court, the talent is here for a vast improvement on last season (which was a very solid 24-10 and 13-5 in the ACC).  Marcus Paige, Brice Johnson, J.P. Tokoto and Kennedy Meeks should all excel.
3.  Virginia: While Joe Harris may be gone, there is no reason the Cavaliers will not be right up among the league leaders again this season.  Malcolm Brogdon, London Perrantes and Justin Anderson should lead the way.
4.  Florida State: The Seminoles have three seven-footers on their roster this season — Kiel Turpin, Boris Bojanovsky and Michael Ojo.  They also have a solid backcourt with Devon Bookert, Montay Brandon and Aaron Thomas.  All the tools appear to be there for the ‘noles to not only be an NCAA tournament team but to potentially be in the race for the ACC title as well.
5.  Louisville: Montrezl Harrell passed on the NBA draft and Wayne Blackshear may finally be ready to become a top-level scorer.  All that being said, the losses of Russ Smith and Luke Hancock off of last season’s squad will make contending for the ACC title in their first trip through the conference difficult.
6.  Miami: A pair of transfers, Sheldon McClellan from Texas and Angel Rodriguez from Kansas State, could make the Hurricanes a surprise upper division finisher this year.  Nigerian big man Tonye Jekiri’s ability to improve his game could be the key to the season.
7.  Syracuse: The Orange are dealing with off-court issues and lost their top four scorers from last season’s team, meaning a step back in the standings is likely.  Trevor Cooney and Rakeem Christmas are still around, but freshman Kaleb Joseph will need to run the show from the point.  ACC title contention seems unlikely, but it is tough to imagine Jim Boeheim not finding a way to put this team into the NCAA tournament.
8.  Pittsburgh: The Panthers have been known for years as a team that wins with its defense, but seemed to go away from that trait fairly successfully last year. With their top two scorers gone, Pitt will need to return to reliance on D to succeed this year, led by Cameron Wright and Durand Johnson who is trying to return from a torn ACL.
9.  Virginia Tech: While an NCAA bid would be a shock in Buzz Williams’ first year in Blacksburg, the Hokies should have a solid backcourt with Adam Smith, Devin Wilson and Ben Emelogu.  The frontcourt is going to be a different story altogether.
10.  Notre Dame: Jerian Grant and Pat Connaughton should both be lighting up the scoreboard and filling out the stat sheets this season.  Unfortunately for the Irish, the game is not played two-on-two.
11.  North Carolina State: Mark Gottfried’s team will take a step back this season with the loss of T.J. Warren.  Look for Trevor Lacey and Ralston Turner to try to pick up the scoring slack.
12.  Clemson: K.J. McDaniels is gone and the pieces do not to appear to be here to replace him.  The health of Jarod Blossongame could be the key if the Tigers want to be back in postseason play again this year.
13.  Georgia Tech: Brian Gregory is definitely on the hot seat this year, and will need Marcus Georges-Hunt, Robert Sampson (Ralph’s son), and freshman Tedric Jackson to all excel if he wants the Yellow Jackets to move up in the standings — and if he wants to keep his job.
14.  Wake Forest: Danny Manning takes over as head coach and does have a few pieces here with Codi Miller-McIntyre, Devin Thomas and Darius Leonard.  It may not be this year, but with Leonard being the only senior, it would not be a shock to see the Demon Deacons rise in the standings soon.
15.  Boston College: Olivier Hanlan may arguably be the best wing in the ACC.  Unfortunately for new head coach Jim Christian, there is not much else on the roster beyond him.

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Conference Preview: American

Don’t miss our first Bracket Racket of the season: https://hoopshd.com/2014/11/10/hoops-hd-bracket-racket-11092014/

The “power conferences” are allegedly defined as the ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac 12 and SEC.  But don’t tell that to the American Athletic Conference.  After all, as the AAC enters its second season, it is for the second time the home of the defending national champions.  Of course, last year’s defending champion Louisville is now a member of the ACC . . . but no other conference out there can claim anything near the ratio of defending national champions to seasons of existence that the American can.

The AAC underwent a shift in membership this offseason with both Louisville’s exit as well as Rutgers heading off to join the Big Ten.  The conference welcomes in three new members from Conference USA: East Carolina, Tulane and Tulsa.  While none of those three names conjure up ideas of top flight college programs, all three newcomers did play in the postseason last year, with East Carolina and Tulane both getting CBI bids while Tulsa won CUSA’s automatic bid into the NCAA tournament.  Of the eight returning AAC schools, half were in the postseason as well, with Memphis and Cincinnati joining UConn in the Big Dance (Louisville was an NCAA team out of this conference as well last year) and SMU playing in the NIT where the Mustangs lost to Minnesota in the championship game.

This season, the American will definitely be a multiple bid conference, though we are currently predicting it to probably only have three teams, and no more than four, in the Dance.  The top two teams appear, on paper, to be locks — SMU and Connecticut — while Tulsa, Memphis and Cincinnati all should at least be in the conversation for bids.  The pick to win the conference title is Larry Brown’s SMU Mustangs.  The Mustangs were mentioned at the start of the offseason as a potential Final Four pick when they landed star point guard recruit Emmanuel Mudiay.  Mudiay then changed his mind and chose to spend the year playing pro basketball overseas, and everyone seemed to forget about this team.  The fact is that Mudiay would have been a luxury on this squad, not a necessity.  After all, Nic Moore was one of the top point guards in the conference last season and returns for his junior year.  He is joined on the team by Markus Kennedy, Yanick Moreira, Justin Martin (from Xavier) and Jordan Tolbert (from Texas Tech) to make this still one of the deepest and most talented teams in the country, easily capable of winning the conference title this season.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.  SMU: Moore, Kennedy, Moreira, Martin, Tolbert and more make the Mustangs not only the best in the conference but good enough to make a deep run in March.
2.  Connecticut: The Huskies look to reload in the post-Shabazz Napier era, though Ryan Boatright is still here.  He will be joined in the backcourt by Rodney Purvis, while Amida Brimah and freshman Daniel Hamilton will both be solid players as well.
3.  Tulsa: Frank Haith takes over for Danny Manning and will benefit from having most of last year’s NCAA tournament team back including Rashad Smith, James Woodard and D’Andre Wright.  The Golden Hurricane should be in the mix for an an-large bid in their first AAC season.
4.  Memphis: Shaq Goodwin and Austin Nichols give the Tigers a strong frontcourt, but there are some questions in the backcourt that need to be answered if Memphis wants to return to the NCAA tournament in March.
5.  Cincinnati: With their top three scorers gone from last season, this could be a rebuilding year for the Bearcats.  Shaquille Thomas will need to step up his game for any chance at success.
6.  Tulane: With virtually all of their key players back from last season, the Green Wave have a chance to improve off of last season’s .500 record despite the move up to a tougher conference.
7.  Houston: Jherrod Stiggers should be a solid player, but there is not much else here for Kelvin Sampson in his return to college coaching.
8.  South Florida: Orlando Antigua takes over as head coach after Steve Masiello was hired . . . and then unhired.  A rebuild project appears to be ahead, though both Chris Perry and Anthony Collins should put up good numbers.
9.  Temple: Will Cummings and Quenton DeCosey combine for one of the conference’s top backcourts, but there are too many holes down low.
10.  East Carolina: The move to the American and the loss of top scorer Akeem Richmond could make this a rough season for the Pirates.
11.  Central Florida: The Knights have a solid, young core of players that could be dangerous as they develop and mesh together — just not this year.

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Hoops HD Bracket Racket: 11/09/2014

The regular season officially gets underway this week, and this is the first of our regular weekly shows.  Kyle, David and Lee take a look at the exhibition games, and discuss whether or not teams should be allowed to have open exhibition against other div1 teams, or against non college teams the way that they used to.   We also discuss the 30 second shot clock as an experimental rule, and the potential effect it could have on the game if it is ultimately shortened at some point down the road.  We preview this week’s games, and talk about whether or not it is a good thing that so many coaches of major programs like to ease into their season instead of playing a challenging opponent right off the bat.  We also talk about North Carolina, the scandal they’re facing, and what impact that could have on their season.  All of that, and much more!!

 

 

And for all you radio lovers out there, below is an mp3 of just the audio…..

 

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Under the Radar: Preseason Podcast 2014-2015

In the first Under the Radar episode of the season, Chad and David each go through their UTR Top Ten.  The rules are they cannot be in the current rankings, and they cannot be a member of the A10, ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big Twelve, Pac Twelve, Big East, Mountain West or American Athletic.  They also run through all of the remaining conferences and select who they think the major players will be.

 

As you can see, David Griggs is excited and ready for the season!!

 

 

And for all of you radio lovers, below is a link to the audio only podcast

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Independent Preview: NJIT

A preview of the 2014-15 college basketball season would not be complete, in our opinion, without a look at the sole independent, the NJIT Highlanders.  NJIT had hoped to be in a conference this season, and word was that there were at least some talks with several different leagues, but in the end, NJIT has ended up once again on its own.  The Highlanders are technically eligible for the NCAA tournament, but their only way in would be via an at-large bid, which would probably require them to go very close to undefeated on the season (which includes games at St. John’s on November 14, at Marquette on November 24, at Michigan on December 6 and at Villanova on December 23).

While the NCAA Selection Committee is not likely to come calling, a postseason appearance in one of the lesser tournaments, such as the CIT, is a very realistic goal this year.  NJIT finished a respectable 13-16 last season and returns the team’s top two players, sophomore Damon Lynn and junior Terrence Smith.  Lynn was the team’s star player last season, averaging 17.2 points per game.  Smith contributed 12.2 points and 6.0 rebounds as well.  Ky Howard, who added 9.1 per game returns as a junior as well.  As these players keep getting better, and head coach Jim Engles adds more pieces to support them, there is no reason why the Highlanders will not finish with a solid record and a strong case to both play in the postseason.  Perhaps that will be enough to finally get that elusive invitation to join a conference.

NOTE: We will be back starting Monday with previews of the top 9 conferences!

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