Conference Preview: American

Don’t miss our first Bracket Racket of the season: https://hoopshd.com/2014/11/10/hoops-hd-bracket-racket-11092014/

The “power conferences” are allegedly defined as the ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac 12 and SEC.  But don’t tell that to the American Athletic Conference.  After all, as the AAC enters its second season, it is for the second time the home of the defending national champions.  Of course, last year’s defending champion Louisville is now a member of the ACC . . . but no other conference out there can claim anything near the ratio of defending national champions to seasons of existence that the American can.

The AAC underwent a shift in membership this offseason with both Louisville’s exit as well as Rutgers heading off to join the Big Ten.  The conference welcomes in three new members from Conference USA: East Carolina, Tulane and Tulsa.  While none of those three names conjure up ideas of top flight college programs, all three newcomers did play in the postseason last year, with East Carolina and Tulane both getting CBI bids while Tulsa won CUSA’s automatic bid into the NCAA tournament.  Of the eight returning AAC schools, half were in the postseason as well, with Memphis and Cincinnati joining UConn in the Big Dance (Louisville was an NCAA team out of this conference as well last year) and SMU playing in the NIT where the Mustangs lost to Minnesota in the championship game.

This season, the American will definitely be a multiple bid conference, though we are currently predicting it to probably only have three teams, and no more than four, in the Dance.  The top two teams appear, on paper, to be locks — SMU and Connecticut — while Tulsa, Memphis and Cincinnati all should at least be in the conversation for bids.  The pick to win the conference title is Larry Brown’s SMU Mustangs.  The Mustangs were mentioned at the start of the offseason as a potential Final Four pick when they landed star point guard recruit Emmanuel Mudiay.  Mudiay then changed his mind and chose to spend the year playing pro basketball overseas, and everyone seemed to forget about this team.  The fact is that Mudiay would have been a luxury on this squad, not a necessity.  After all, Nic Moore was one of the top point guards in the conference last season and returns for his junior year.  He is joined on the team by Markus Kennedy, Yanick Moreira, Justin Martin (from Xavier) and Jordan Tolbert (from Texas Tech) to make this still one of the deepest and most talented teams in the country, easily capable of winning the conference title this season.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.  SMU: Moore, Kennedy, Moreira, Martin, Tolbert and more make the Mustangs not only the best in the conference but good enough to make a deep run in March.
2.  Connecticut: The Huskies look to reload in the post-Shabazz Napier era, though Ryan Boatright is still here.  He will be joined in the backcourt by Rodney Purvis, while Amida Brimah and freshman Daniel Hamilton will both be solid players as well.
3.  Tulsa: Frank Haith takes over for Danny Manning and will benefit from having most of last year’s NCAA tournament team back including Rashad Smith, James Woodard and D’Andre Wright.  The Golden Hurricane should be in the mix for an an-large bid in their first AAC season.
4.  Memphis: Shaq Goodwin and Austin Nichols give the Tigers a strong frontcourt, but there are some questions in the backcourt that need to be answered if Memphis wants to return to the NCAA tournament in March.
5.  Cincinnati: With their top three scorers gone from last season, this could be a rebuilding year for the Bearcats.  Shaquille Thomas will need to step up his game for any chance at success.
6.  Tulane: With virtually all of their key players back from last season, the Green Wave have a chance to improve off of last season’s .500 record despite the move up to a tougher conference.
7.  Houston: Jherrod Stiggers should be a solid player, but there is not much else here for Kelvin Sampson in his return to college coaching.
8.  South Florida: Orlando Antigua takes over as head coach after Steve Masiello was hired . . . and then unhired.  A rebuild project appears to be ahead, though both Chris Perry and Anthony Collins should put up good numbers.
9.  Temple: Will Cummings and Quenton DeCosey combine for one of the conference’s top backcourts, but there are too many holes down low.
10.  East Carolina: The move to the American and the loss of top scorer Akeem Richmond could make this a rough season for the Pirates.
11.  Central Florida: The Knights have a solid, young core of players that could be dangerous as they develop and mesh together — just not this year.

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Hoops HD Bracket Racket: 11/09/2014

The regular season officially gets underway this week, and this is the first of our regular weekly shows.  Kyle, David and Lee take a look at the exhibition games, and discuss whether or not teams should be allowed to have open exhibition against other div1 teams, or against non college teams the way that they used to.   We also discuss the 30 second shot clock as an experimental rule, and the potential effect it could have on the game if it is ultimately shortened at some point down the road.  We preview this week’s games, and talk about whether or not it is a good thing that so many coaches of major programs like to ease into their season instead of playing a challenging opponent right off the bat.  We also talk about North Carolina, the scandal they’re facing, and what impact that could have on their season.  All of that, and much more!!

 

 

And for all you radio lovers out there, below is an mp3 of just the audio…..

 

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Under the Radar: Preseason Podcast 2014-2015

In the first Under the Radar episode of the season, Chad and David each go through their UTR Top Ten.  The rules are they cannot be in the current rankings, and they cannot be a member of the A10, ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big Twelve, Pac Twelve, Big East, Mountain West or American Athletic.  They also run through all of the remaining conferences and select who they think the major players will be.

 

As you can see, David Griggs is excited and ready for the season!!

 

 

And for all of you radio lovers, below is a link to the audio only podcast

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Independent Preview: NJIT

A preview of the 2014-15 college basketball season would not be complete, in our opinion, without a look at the sole independent, the NJIT Highlanders.  NJIT had hoped to be in a conference this season, and word was that there were at least some talks with several different leagues, but in the end, NJIT has ended up once again on its own.  The Highlanders are technically eligible for the NCAA tournament, but their only way in would be via an at-large bid, which would probably require them to go very close to undefeated on the season (which includes games at St. John’s on November 14, at Marquette on November 24, at Michigan on December 6 and at Villanova on December 23).

While the NCAA Selection Committee is not likely to come calling, a postseason appearance in one of the lesser tournaments, such as the CIT, is a very realistic goal this year.  NJIT finished a respectable 13-16 last season and returns the team’s top two players, sophomore Damon Lynn and junior Terrence Smith.  Lynn was the team’s star player last season, averaging 17.2 points per game.  Smith contributed 12.2 points and 6.0 rebounds as well.  Ky Howard, who added 9.1 per game returns as a junior as well.  As these players keep getting better, and head coach Jim Engles adds more pieces to support them, there is no reason why the Highlanders will not finish with a solid record and a strong case to both play in the postseason.  Perhaps that will be enough to finally get that elusive invitation to join a conference.

NOTE: We will be back starting Monday with previews of the top 9 conferences!

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Conference Preview: WAC

Utah Valley captured the WAC regular season championship last season, but got upset in the conference tournament semifinals by Idaho and ended up playing in the NIT.  New Mexico State was able to knock off Idaho in the championship game and took the automatic bid, losing by four to San Diego State in the Round of 64.  The Idaho upset of UVU accomplished two things last season — it gave the Vandals their last WAC win before moving back to the Big Sky conference this year, and it denied us the opportunity to see a rematch between UVU and New Mexico State in the finals.  Utah Valley had defeated the Aggies in overtime on February 27, in a game that was most notable for a nasty post-game brawl involving both players and fans that started when K.C. Ross-Miller (now playing for Auburn) threw the basketball at Holton Hunsaker (who has since graduated) as the Wolverines fans were storming the court to celebrate the victory.  The nastiness of that brawl, however, may be the start of an actual rivalry in the WAC — a conference that has been completely torn apart and rebuilt as a non-football entity following the latest wave of conference realignment and now needs to build an identity.

New Mexico State and Utah Valley should again be the two teams battling for the top seed in the conference tournament and a shot at winning the automatic bid, though the Seattle Redhawks could also factor into the race this season.  One team that will not be in contention for the automatic bid is “Thunder” Dan Majerle’s Grand Canyon Antelopes.  The ‘Lopes are in only their second year of their four year transition to the D1 level and are ineligible for the WAC or NCAA tournaments (they are eligible for other postseason tournaments and did receive a bid into the CIT last year).  Despite being ineligible to play in the NCAAs, the ‘Lopes are our pick for the conference’s regular season championship.  Not only does Grand Canyon have one of the strongest looking rosters in the WAC (on paper at least) but with a combination of seven true and redshirt freshmen, it is clear that Thunder Dan is already targeting that 2017-18 season when Grand Canyon becomes eligible for the Big Dance.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.  Grand Canyon*: Transfers Royce Woolridge (Washington State) and DeWayne Russell (Northern Arizona) could have major impacts this season, especially when added to returnees Daniel Alexander and Jerome Garrison.  While they cannot play in the NCAA tournament, a postseason bid for the ‘Lopes seems very likely.
2.  New Mexico State: Daniel Mullings, Tshilidzi Nephawe and DK Eldridge all return from last season’s NCAA tournament team.  While 7-5, 360 pound Sim Bhullar is now gone, his 7-3, 335 pound brother Tanveer has taken his place and could be just as effective.
3.  Utah Valley: The Wolverines have lost their top two scorers, but they should remain tough to beat with the returns of starters Mitch Bruneel and Zach Nelson.  Hayes Garrity should move into the starting lineup and score points as well.
4.  Seattle: Isiah Umipig averaged just under 20 points per game last season, and should vie for conference Player of the Year honors this season.  If the Redhawks can get production down low, they could be a dangerous team.
5.  Missouri-Kansas City: Martez Harrison will score a lot of points for the ‘Roos, but there are not enough pieces on this team beyond him.
6.  Texas-Pan American: The Broncs have a pair of Shaqs — Shaquille Boga and Shaquille Hines.  They will need to be the leaders on a team filled with freshmen and junior college transfers if UTPA is going to have any success this season.
7.  Chicago State: The Cougars barely avoided 20 losses last season (13-19 overall), but with only one returning starter, they may not be able to avoid that mark this year.
8.  Bakersfield: The best chance to avoid the conference basement will be if Aly Ahmed can become a legitimate double-double threat every night.

* Grand Canyon is ineligible for the WAC and NCAA tournaments as a second year transitional team.

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Conference Preview: West Coast

Mark Few has been the head coach of the Gonzaga Bulldogs for 15 seasons now, and every single one of them has ended in the NCAA tournament.  Four of those sixteen appearances have even led to Sweet 16 berths.  Yet, despite having one of the most consistently successful programs in the NCAA over this time period, Few has never gotten a team beyond the Sweet 16 (Gonzaga did reach the Elite Eight in 1999, but Dan Monson was head coach at the time).  It has seemed recently that the Zags are simply a team we can ink into the tournament field, and then pretty much lock in for a loss in one of their first two games once there.  That could all change this year.

Kevin Pangos is back to lead the Zags this season.  Also returning is Gary Bell, Jr., a great defensive player.  Przemek Karnowski is a 7-1 beast down low who averaged double digits in scoring last season.  Byron Wesley joins the team after transferring from USC where he averaged 17.8 points per game.  Kyle Wiltjer transfers in from Kentucky where he averaged 10.2 points per game in 2013 and was named the SEC’s Sixth Man of the Year.  Oh, and by the way Mark Few brought in another solid recruiting class headlined by Domantas Sabonis, son of NBA Hall of Famer Arvydas Sabonis.  Sabonis was overlooked by many teams that did not realize he would be eligible to enroll in college this season after playing high school ball in France.  To make a long story short, not only may this be Mark Few’s deepest and most talented Gonzaga team yet, but the tools appear to be here to actually make a serious run come March, beyond even the Sweet 16.

Of course, Gonzaga is not the only team in the West Coast Conference.  BYU returns a solid squad led by Tyler Haws with legitimate NCAA tournament hopes after securing a 10 seed last season.  St. Mary’s could also cause trouble this season as they add several key pieces to last year’s NIT squad.  Portland may be the fourth best team, as last season’s other three postseason participants (San Francisco made the NIT; Pacific and San Diego both played in the CIT) may fall back in the standings.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1. Gonzaga: The Bulldogs are not only the best team in the WCC, but they may prove to be one of the best in the entire country.
2.  BYU: Haws and Kyle Collinsworth (who is back from knee surgery) are strong enough to lead the Cougars to a lot of victories and should have them back in the Big Dance.
3.  St. Mary’s: Randy Bennett should have this team near the top of the conference standings again with Brad Waldow and Kerry Carter, plus the addition of transfers Joe Coleman (Minnesota), Desmond Simmons (Washington) and Aaron Bright (Stanford).  If the chips fall right, the Gaels could be in the at-large discussion as well.
4.  Portland: The combination of Kevin Bailey in the backcourt and Thomas van der Mars in the front will make the Pilots a dangerous team, though they probably lack the depth to compete with the top three teams.
5.  San Diego: Johnny Dee and Duda Sanadze give the Toreros a potent backcourt, but there are question marks down low.
6.  San Francisco: Rex Walters has strong forwards with Kruize Perkins and Mark Tollefsen, but the Dons lost their top two scorers and may take a step back this season.
7.  Santa Clara: The Broncos should be fun to watch with the combination of Brandon Clark and Jared Brownridge, but there just do not appear to be enough other pieces here to contend.
8.  Pepperdine: The Waves need to find the players to help out Stacy Davis.  Freshman Shawn Olden could be one such answer.
9.  Loyola Marymount: Mike Dunlap takes over head coaching duties and needs to begin rebuilding the Lions.  Evan Payton should star for LMU at least, and he is only a sophomore.
10.  Pacific: The Tigers look like they will fall pretty far this season.  Last year’s CIT semifinalists lose their entire starting lineup and could face a long season.

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