SCGD and Under the Radar: February 21

Tonight’s Small Conference Game of the Day comes from the Atlantic Sun conference where the league leading Mercer Bears will be facing their toughest conference test so far, on the road at Florida Gulf Coast (6:00 PM Eastern, ESPNU).  Mercer enters tonight’s game as the clear favorite in the conference, sitting at 12-2 in league and 21-6 overall.  Their RPI is at 68 and KenPom is at 85 — good enough for us to be projecting them as at least a 14 seed in the NCAA tournament.  The defending conference tournament champions, FGCU, enter at 11-3 in conference and 17-10 overall, but with an RPI down at 155 and KenPom of 179, probably placing them into the 16 seed line should they advance to the Big Dance.  A win by Gulf Coast tonight will tie things up at the top of the conference standings with only 3 games left to play, while a Mercer win would give them a 2 game lead and a sweep of the Eagles, all but locking up the #1 seed in the A-Sun tournament.

For even more information on our predictions for where these two teams, and pretty much every other team in contention for a league title in a single bid conference, could end up in the NCAAs, check out this week’s Under the Radar video podcast.  In addition to going over these teams, David and I take an even closer look at the chaos happening in Baton Rouge with Southern University’s postseason eligibility, discuss the causes of madness that would make someone think the Big East will place seven teams into the NCAA tournament, and run down out Under the Radar Top Ten lists, with a particular focus on BYU’s current resume. All that and more!

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Bracket Rundown: Feb 19th

Due to technical difficulties, the camera is on David Griggs for the entire show and you can only hear Chad, which means it is a much better show!!

There are five teams that look like solid #1 seeds, and Chad and David debate which of the five teams should be moved down to the #2. They also look at teams like Louisville and Gonzaga, who are high in the rankings, but who’s profile just doesn’t match up, and they discuss what the committee will likely do with them.

Nebraska is now on the bubble, and since their schedule was back loaded, all of their remaining games appear to be winnable, so it’s not too crazy to think they can crash the dance.

There is disagreement on the bubble, and how much the committee will value teams that scheduled hard and played a lot of road games vs teams that had better wins, but got those wins at home.

All that, and much more!!

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Small Conference Game of the Day – February 20

PORTLAND STATE at SOUTHERN UTAH, 9:00 PM Eastern, No TV

On November 8, 2013, in their very first game of the season, the Southern Utah Thunderbirds defeated non-D1 Southwestern Arizona 85-78.  While they have had a few close games since then, that was the last time that SUU won a game.  They are 1-22 overall, 0-22 against Division 1, and 0-14 in the Big Sky Conference.  With the Big Sky only taking the top seven teams in its regular season standings into the conference tournament, Southern Utah has already been mathematically eliminated from being able to even tie for the #7 seed.  They are one of only four teams that remain winless in conference play (joining TCU, Illinois-Chicago and The Citadel).  And they are one of 14 teams that has been eliminated form contention for the NCAA championship this season (joining the six transitional teams, five teams on APR postseason ban, Cornell and NJIT).

Tonight, Southern Utah hosts the Portland State Vikings.  Portland State enters tonight’s game at 6-8 in the Big Sky and 11-12 overall.  The Vikings are in 10th place in the Big Sky standings but only one game behind a five way tie for the final spots in the Big Sky tournament field.  Tonight’s game is clearly SUU’s best chance for a win this season.  After tonight they have three more home games left and two road games, though KenPom does not give the Thunderbirds a better than 20% chance to win any of those.  Tonight, they have a 26% chance to win.

Even though Southern Utah has been eliminated from postseason play, they do still have a lot left to play for.  As has been mentioned several times, HoopsHD annually awards the Centenary Award to the worst team in Division I.  With Grambling having picked up their second Division I win of the season earlier this week — and a true road win nonetheless — the award is now clearly Southern Utah’s to lose..er win.  However, if they can find a way to win tonight or in any of their remaining games, the award may not head to Cedar City, Utah.  Tonight’s game will go a long way to making that final decision.

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Small Conference Game of the Day – February 19

AMERICAN at BOSTON UNIVERSITY, 7:00 PM Eastern, No TV

The Patriot League regular season title could be decided in Boston tonight as the Boston University Terriers host the American Eagles at Agganis Arena (no, the game will not be played in the cozy confines of Case Gym a/k/a “The Roof”).  Boston U enters tonight’s game at 12-2 in Patriot League play, giving them a one game lead over American.  The Terriers are 19-8 overall and have an RPI of 98, best in the conference.

American is 11-3 in conference and 15-10 overall.  They started conference play 10-0 including a home win over BU on January 22.  However, the Eagles have gone dead cold since then, losing 3 out of 4 including a loss to a Loyola team that was without its best player and a home loss to Colgate.  if the Eagles want any chance of winning this conference they must win tonight.  A two game deficit in the standings, with only three regular season games left after tonight, would be next to impossible to overcome.

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The Sins of the Father – Southern University’s Ineligibility

Damien Goodwin, Trelun Banks, Keith Davis, Michael Harrel, Cameron Monroe, Bryce Clark, Calvin Godfrey, Frank Snow, YonDarius Johnson, Elex Carter, Tre Lynch, Dechriston McKinney, Malcolm Miller, Javan Mitchell and Christopher Hyder.

The roster for the 2013-14 Southern University-Baton Rouge Jaguars.

None of these kids broke any NCAA rules.  Their grades have been sufficiently within NCAA guidelines.  And they are all on the roster of a Division I school with a legitimate chance for an NCAA tournament bid this season.  However, the NCAA may not let them play.

The NCAA’s Academic Progress Rate (APR) rules have been out there for enough time now that most people are aware that failure to meet the guidelines can get a team a postseason ban, most notably last year’s UConn Huskies team.  Typically, in April or May of each year the NCAA announces the penalties for any schools that fail to meet the guidelines.  An appeal process of the penalties is permitted (for example Alabama State filed and won an appeal this year).  After the appeals are exhausted, the penalties kick in.

The NCAA list of teams facing APR bans this season did not include Southern.  The Jaguars were the defending SWAC tournament champions and played the first few months of the season well enough to be considered the favorites to repeat.  Then, in mid-December, the NCAA apparently contacted Southern and advised that there were some discrepancies and/or deficiencies in the school’s academic data from 2003-2009…from a time before any current player had even decided to attend the school!  Last week, the NCAA announced that Southern, due to these discrepancies, would not be allowed to participate in this year’s postseason, not only in Men’s Basketball, but for all winter sports, including their first place women’s basketball team, indoor track and field, and others.  Southern’s AD’s office is still working hard to comply with the NCAA’s requests and the ban could possibly be lifted before ths start of conference tournament play.  But it may not be.

In other words, this season’s Southern U team may not be allowed to play in the NCAA tournament or even the SWAC tournament because someone in the front offices at Southern U messed up transmitting data to the NCAA from 2003-2009.  Is compliance with NCAA rules and transmittal of accurate information important?  YES.  Should we penalize these kids for the “sins of their fathers”?  NO.

When the Connecticut Huskies received their APR probation, every player on the team had a chance to transfer to another school.  They could simply walk out the door, find another college and have a chance at playing in the Big Dance.  The same has applied to every player on every other team to get a postseason ban.  Except for Southern.

Damien Goodwin, Trelun Banks, Keith Davis, Michael Harrel, Cameron Monroe, Bryce Clark, Calvin Godfrey, Frank Snow, YonDarius Johnson, Elex Carter, Tre Lynch, Dechriston McKinney, Malcolm Miller, Javan Mitchell and Christopher Hyder entered this season believing they had a chance to play in the NCAA tournament.  But now that chance may be disappearing, without even giving them the opportunity to play somewhere else.  Five of them are seniors who may never play another meaningful basketball game the rest of their lives.  This was their last chance at the excitement of hearing their name called on Selection Sunday and seeing their team listed on everyone’s brackets.  And now, for something none of them had anything to do with, the NCAA has decided to end their season early.

At this point, whether a fan of the Jaguars or not, all anyone can do is hope the ban is lifted before the SWAC tournament starts on March 11.  If it isn’t, a grand jury should investigate the NCAA for cruel and unusual punishment.  This is a complete disgrace, NCAA.  LET THEM PLAY!

 

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Bracket Racket 02/17/14

HHDpodsOn this week’s edition of the Bracket Racket, the whole crew joins in as we evaluate the furor over Florida and whether they’re now in the favorite’s seat for the NCAA title — and whether a win at Kentucky is really that impressive to begin with at this stage. We also discuss the top of the bracket, chatting about the 1 seed aspirations of Syracuse, Arizona, Wichita State, Kansas, and Villanova. Later on in the show, Galen appalls everyone (but especially Griggs) with the number of Big East teams he has in his field, Kyle fund raises for Nebraska, and Lee recounts his UConn-Memphis experience.

All of that, along with a preview of this week’s important games, on this week’s Bracket Racket!

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