Small Conference Game of the Day – January 29, 2014

Last season, the SCGD brought us a Civil War history lesson as the Crowley’s Ridge Pioneers from Paragould, Arkansas — a school with an enrollment right around 300 — took on Eastern Kentucky.  On May 1-2, 1863, Union Brigadier General Vandever was repulsed in his attempt to prevent Confederate General Marmaduke from crossing the St. Francis River, though Marmaduke’s forces suffered considerable losses.  This battle, called the Battle of Chalf Bluff, took place right near Paragould.

Tonight, we revisit our friends at Crowley’s Ridge College (“the college that feels like home” according to their website), as this National Christian College Athletic Association member travels to Edwardsville, Illinois to take on another OVC opponent, the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (8:00 PM Eastern, live streaming at ovcsports.com).  Crowley’s Ridge enters tonight’s game at 9-9 on the season.  However, they are coming off an 86-84 loss to Champion Baptist…the same Champion Baptist team that lost to Southern University 116-12 earlier this season.

SIU-E is 7-14 on the season so far, but 4-4 in OVC play, good enough for second place in the conference’s West Division (of course the two best teams, Belmont and Eastern Kentucky, both play in the East).  SIU-E’s ratings are not very good at all, with sub-300 RPI and BPI numbers, and a KenPom rating that barely breaks into the top 300.  They did, however, hand West Division leader Murray State their lone OVC loss on the season on January 18.

The Cougars do need to be ready for Crowley’s Ridge’s big men tonight.  The Pioneers had a huge presence down low last season against EKU in 7’0″ 320 pound Skylor Guess.  This season they have added 6’11” 319 pound freshman Richard Forshee to the mix, giving them a pair of monster-sized players in the middle.

By the way, if you want to attend Crowley’s Ridge and play hoops for them, you can still sign up for the team on their website.  Just follow this link:  http://www.crc.edu/index.php/athletics-at-crc/basketball-mens/basketball-signup-form

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Small Conference Game of the Day – January 28

Small Conference Game of the Day

What is a “Small Conference Team”?  Typically, that has meant a team from one of the 20+ conferences that only put a single team into the NCAA tournament.  However, through the years, the SCGD has made exceptions — has taken teams that otherwise claim to be “Major Conference Teams” and graduated them down.

Tonight’s SCGD is between two teams that have, over the past 5 years, averaged barely two true road wins per season.  A team that cannot win on the road should not receive any serious consideration for the NCAA tournament.  And a team that gets 2 or less true road wins per season clearly has some serious problems.  This is why both teams in tonight’s SCGD clearly belong here.  Tonight’s game, of course, is Missouri at Arkansas, 7:00 PM Eastern, ESPNU.

Missouri enters tonight’s game having already scored two road victories on the season.  Other than 2012, when Mizzou had 6 true road wins, the Tigers could equal their highest total of road victories since 2010 with a road win tonight.  Arkansas has been even worse on the road than Missouri, without a single true road win yet this year and only having picked up one such win each of the last two seasons.  Of course, when trying to figure out this history of road struggles, it becomes necessary to look for a common denominator between the two teams.  And there is one.  Mike Anderson, head coach of Arkansas since 2011-12, when he came over form Missouri.  Mike Anderson, who since leaving UAB eight years ago, has only had one season where he won more than 3 road games.  Mike Anderson…who the SCGD is officially crowning as college basketball’s #1 home court hero.

By the way…don’t bother watching the game tonight.  Without stepping on the court, Arkansas has already won.

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Bracket Racket 01/27/14

HHDpodsOn this episode of the Bracket Racket, we delve into the status of the Big Ten, and poke around to see whether the emerging “group of six” will be the only source of NCAA Tournament teams for the conference, or whether one of the trailing six squads can make a comeback. We also evaluate the Big East now that Providence has emerged as a legitimate selection candidate, the ACC’s sub-Florida State muck, the Pac 12’s general confusion, and the lack of “bid stealers” in the other conferences which might end up saving the bacon of some major conference teams. Finally, we preview the week to come, including Pitt-Duke, Michigan State-Iowa, Iowa State-Kansas, and Arkansas-Mizzou.

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Small Conference Game of the Day – January 27

Check out my Monday Morning Bracketology here:

https://hoopshd.com/2014/01/27/chads-monday-morning-bracketology-january-27/

MORGAN STATE at NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL, 7:30 PM Eastern, no TV

The SCGD heads to Durham, North Carolina tonight for a MEAC battle between Todd Bozeman’s(not to be confused with Todd Bearzman) Morgan State Bears and the North Carolina Central Eagles.  Both teams enter tonight’s game at 4-1 in conference play, only half a game behind Savannah State.  Morgan State struggled in non-conference play this season and as such enters tonight’s game only 6-11 overall.  However, they did play one of the top 50 non-conference schedules and should be a factor in the MEAC race all season long.

NC Central was by far the most impressive MEAC team before conference play started.  They scored road wins at North Carolina State and Old Dominion, and they were competitive in losses to Cincinnati and Wichita State.  Of course, they then turned around and began conference play by losing to a Florida A&M team that is not expected to be anywhere near the top of the standings.  The Eagles have bounced back and won five straight since that loss (including a non-conference win over NJIT), and look to re-establish themselves as the team to beat in the MEAC with a win tonight.

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Chad’s Monday Morning Bracketology – January 27

It is time for some Monday Morning Bracketology.  Here is my draft bracket through games of January 26, followed by some notes on the field.  Note that I project the best team in one-bid conferences as the winner, not necessarily the team currently in first place:

WEST REGION
San Diego
(1) Arizona vs (16) Northern Colorado
(8) George Washington vs (9) Gonzaga

Orlando
(5) Louisville vs (12) Baylor/Stanford
(4) Michigan vs (13) Toledo

San Antonio
(6) Ohio State vs (11) Southern Miss
(3) Oklahoma St vs (14) New Mexico State

Spokane
(7) UCLA vs (10) Green Bay
(2) San Diego State vs (15) Hawai’i

MIDWEST REGION
St. Louis
(1) Wichita State vs (16) Winthrop/Southern
(8) Oklahoma vs (9) Memphis

San Antonio
(5) Kentucky vs (12) North Dakota State
(4) Iowa State vs (13) Tennessee/Colorado

Milwaukee
(6) Saint Louis vs (11) North Carolina
(3) Creighton vs (14) Manhattan

Milwaukee
(7) Xavier vs (10) Minnesota
(2) Michigan State vs (15) Belmont

EAST REGION
Buffalo
(1) Syracuse vs (16) Stony Brook
(8) Kansas State vs (9) Oregon

Spokane
(5) Massachusetts vs (12) Harvard
(4) Cincinnati vs (13) Georgia State

Raleigh
(6) Virginia vs (11) Richmond
(3) Wisconsin vs (14) Delaware

Buffalo
(7) Connecticut vs (10) New Mexico
(2) Villanova vs (15) American

SOUTH REGION
St. Louis
(1) Kansas vs (16) Davidson/Bryant
(8) California vs (9) VCU

San Diego
(5) Texas vs (12) Arizona State
(4) Duke vs (13) Stephen F. Austin

Raleigh
(6) Pittsburgh vs (11) SMU
(3) Iowa vs (14) Mercer

Orlando
(7) Florida State vs (10) Providence
(2) Florida vs (15) North Carolina Central

National Semifinals: West vs Midwest, East vs South

Last four in: Baylor, Stanford, Tennessee, Colorado
First four out: Dayton, Wake Forest, Indiana, Arkansas
Others considered: La Salle, St. Joseph’s, Clemson, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Illinois, Louisiana Tech, Utah, Washington, LSU, Missouri, Ole Miss, BYU, St. Mary’s

A few notes about this week’s bracket:
The bracket is once again dominated this week by the “power conferences”.  The Pac-12 and Big 12 both led the way with 7 teams, the Big Ten and ACC have 6 each, and the American has 5.  The Big East put 4 teams in, and the SEC has 3.  The only other conferences with multiple bids were the A-10 (5 teams) and the Mountain West (2).  The matchups I get in these brackets are never intentional, but I always get a kick out of some of them.  This week’s bracket has, among other things, round of 64 games between Harvard and UMass, and between Virginia and Richmond — both non-conference series that should be played in the regular season and are not.

The A-10 actually took a bit of a slip this week as Dayton has fallen to the first four out and needs to turn things around quickly to even stay under consideration.  However, Richmond continues to surge and has moved up to the 11 seed line.

The Big 12 continues to look like a 7 bid league, something I laughed at the notion of just a month ago.  However, Baylor is in some trouble and does need to score a few more big wins or they could slip right off the board.  On the other end, Texas is looking more and more impressive and came in this week as a 5 seed (and I know many of you will disagree with that high of a seed for the Longhorns)!

The Pac 12 provided one of my biggest movers this week as Arizona State slid from simply Under Consideration all the way into the field, and even narrowly avoided being in the First Four.  Herb Sendek’s team had a solid but not spectacular week with wins over Utah and Colorado, but with so many others near the bottom slipping, the Sun Devils slid right on up.  Colorado was my toughest choice to include in the field and I do not think they will be there much longer — I just felt even dirtier putting any of my last four teams out in instead of them…for now.  Additionally, I am starting to keep half an eye on Washington.  It may only last a few days, but at 5-3 in conference (with four of those five wins coming over teams also on the board), the Huskies may deserve a little consideration..though not too much yet.

Finally, amongst the smaller conferences (not including the A-10 or MWC), only three non-automatic qualifiers even got a look this week.  Louisiana Tech, BYU and St. Mary’s are all on my board still, but none of these teams has any margin for error left.  Odds are winning out to the conference finals may not even be enough for them at this point, especially Louisiana Tech who does not have a top 100 opponent left on their schedule.

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Highlighted Games for Saturday, Jan 25th

Be sure and check out Chad Sherwood’s most recent bracket projection HERE:  https://hoopshd.com/2014/01/25/chads-bracket-projection-january-24-2014/

 

SPOTLIGHT GAMES

-MICHIGAN AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten). Michigan has been playing much better after a somewhat disappointing start, but this is an extremely tall order. Michigan State is competing for a #1 seed and it won’t be easy to win there. It’s a conference rivalry between two good teams who are looking to add to their profiles. Should be fun.

 

OTHER HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-IOWA AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten). Northwestern is a mile away from the bubble, but they’ve played well these past two weeks, so Iowa better not overlook them.

-FLORIDA STATE AT DUKE (ACC). Both teams are good, but both of their profiles could use some improvement.

-XAVIER AT PROVIDENCE (Big East). Xavier appears to be solid right now, but could use some good wins on the road. Providence is right on the bubble, so every game they play has a pivotal feel to it right now.

-GEORGE WASHINGTON AT GEORGE MASON (Atlantic Ten). GW is solidly in the field for now, but this is the kind of game that can be dangerous. It’s a rivalry road game against a team with a weak profile, but who is also capable of playing well at times.

-VCU AT LA SALLE (Atlantic Ten). La Salle got off to a slow start and they still have a lot of work to do, but they have looked good in their last five games. They need wins in games like this if they want to get back onto the bubble. VCU has been playing better lately as well.

-SYRACUSE AT MIAMI FL (ACC). Miami is playing better and only lost by five when these two met earlier in the year, but it’s still unlikely that they’ll be able to play their way back onto the bubble. Still, beating a #1 caliber seed would be a good start.

-GEORGIA AT KENTUCKY (SEC). Kentucky is likely undermatched in this one.

-TEXAS AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve). This is a conference rivalry game between two teams who really need a big win. Both are inside the bubble, but I believe both are very close to it. Even though Baylor is in the rankings their overall profile isn’t that good.

-KANSAS STATE AT IOW STATE (Big Twelve). The biggest thing missing from Kansas State’s profile is a big win on the road. There is a reason it’s missing, though. They have not played well on the road, and it isn’t likely they’ll be able to win at Iowa State, who is one of the toughest teams in the country at home.

-VILLANOVA AT MARQUETTE (Big East). Marquette has no good wins, but no bad losses. As far out of the picture as they appear to be, this is the kind of game that could really jumpstart their season if they’re able to pull it off.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big Twelve). Okie State is still a protected seed, but they don’t appear to be the #1 seed caliber team that a lot of us thought they would be. Still, they shouldn’t have trouble winning this one at home.

-VIRGINIA TECH AT VIRGINIA (ACC). This is a great conference rivalry, but this year it’s a huge mismatch. Virginia needs to win so they can avoid a bad loss on their profile.

-TENNESSEE AT FLORIDA (SEC). Tennessee is a bubble team, and Florida is a solid protected seed. This is the kind of road win that could move Tennessee way inside the bubble if they’re able to pull it off, but it is far easier said than done.

-OKLAHOMA AT TEXAS TECH (Big Twelve). Oklahoma has looked good lately and should be able to pick up another conference road win today.

-NEW MEXICO AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West). New Mexico will make the field if they hold serve against the non-tournament teams in their league, but the way it has played out this year, that’s pretty much everyone other than San Diego State, so they need to win this game.

-DAYTON AT RHODE ISLAND (Atlantic Ten). Dayton is quickly trending in the wrong direction, and a loss today would be extremely damaging. It’s not good for a bubble team to lose to a team that’s not even in the picture.

-SAINT JOSEPH’S AT RICHMOND (Atlantic Ten). Richmond had a really good week, and it looks like they finally may be playing like the NCAA Tournament caliber team many of us thought they would be. They still have some work to do as we have them right on the bubble right now, but if they keep going like they’ve been going they should be fine.

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT OLE MISS (SEC). Both teams are outside the bubble, but both have decent wins and could perhaps play their way onto it with a strong finish to the season.

-SOUTH CAROLINA AT MISSOURI (SEC). Mizzou is right on the bubble and cannot afford a home loss to a team as weak as South Carolina.

-WISCONSIN AT PURDUE (Big Ten). Wisconsin has been slipping a little bit, and they’ve got another tough test against a Purdue team that has just one home loss on the year, and who could still play their way onto the bubble.

-PITTSBURGH AT MARYLAND (ACC). Pitt is 17-2, but has played a weak schedule. Although Maryland isn’t good, this would still probably be Pitt’s best win to date if they pull it off.

-ILLINOIS STATE AT INDIANA STATE (Missouri Valley). Indiana State can play their way onto the bubble if they win out.

-UCONN AT RUTGERS (American). UConn shouldn’t have too much trouble picking this one up on the road.

-SOUTHERN MISS AT EAST CAROLINA (Conference USA). It’s a tall order, but if Southern Miss wins out they’ll likely end up inside the bubble.

-COLORADO AT ARIZONA STATE (Pac Twelve). Both teams are trending down and desperately need a win in this one.

-EASTERN KENTUCKY AT BELMONT (Ohio Valley). Belmont is probably out of strikes, but as weak as the bubble is they may get a look if they win out. These are probably the two best teams in the OVC.

-GEORGETOWN AT CREIGHTON (Big East). Georgetown has really hit the skids and are now shorthanded for the rest of the year. Creighton is coming off a very impressive win at Nova and is going to be extremely tough to beat at home.

-WICHITA STATE AT DRAKE (Missouri Valley). Wichita could end up on the #1 line if they win out.

-KANSAS AT TCU (Big Twelve). Kansas should win this one easily, but they did lose this game a year ago.

-BYU AT GONZAGA (West Coast). BYU is outside the bubble, and Gonzaga is barely inside it. This is one of the few chances that either team has remaining at getting a notable win, so it’s a huge game for both teams.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT UTAH STATE (Mountain West). Injuries have hit Utah State hard. It’s unfortunate because this would have been a fantastic game if both teams were healthy. San Diego State, I think, can still end up on the #1 line if they win out, which they are good enough to do.

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